Sara is right: a lower birth rate and the resulting increasing percentage of 
“Empty Nesters” and retired households in town are the biggest factor in 
declining school enrollment - there are simply far fewer kids here than there 
used to be.  …This trend has been obvious for decades.

The number of students leaving for private schools may be a factor, but I would 
argue is insignificant in light of the general shrinking of the available 
school-aged population.  ( I will agree, though, that the town’s increasing 
average income and home values suggests that more families can afford private 
schools nowadays.)

-Allen Vander Meulen

Sent from my iPhone

> On Mar 24, 2022, at 16:45, Sara Mattes <[email protected]> wrote:
> 
> Mr. Dwyer,
> As someone who advocates the use of good data before we jump to conclusions 
> and answers, that we diagnose accurately before we prescribe, what data have 
> you used to imply large numbers of students are leaving for private schools?
> What have the numbers been over the years, decades?
> Perhaps there are historical trends that might inform this discussion.
> 
> Regards,
> Sara Mattes
> ------
> Sara Mattes
> 
> 
> 
> 
>> On Mar 23, 2022, at 9:11 AM, JAY DWYER <[email protected]> wrote:
>> 
>> Hi Fuat,
>> 
>> “There are lies ,damn lies and statistics”.
>> 
>> I agree that we have to take more than one matrix when evaluating 
>> performance. In addition to the numerical scores I was also shocked by the 
>> number of students leaving to go to private schools. That fact car leaded 
>> what did decline in Lincoln school enrollment over the last 10 years as the 
>> population has grown.
>> 
>> Something is amiss !
>> 
>> People vote with their feet in their pocketbooks when they’re not pleased 
>> with the product.
>> 
>> If you agree with my perspective please vote for Joseph Dwyer for school 
>> committee on March 28.
>> 
>> Thank you,
>> 
>> Jay Dwyer
>> 603.560.1787 c
>> 
>> 
>> 
>>> On Mar 22, 2022, at 4:51 PM, Fuat Koro <[email protected]> wrote:
>>> 
>>> 
>>> Bryce, 
>>> 
>>> My observation is when residents question the "goodness" of our education, 
>>> discussions typically get stuck in much the same way you highlighted: 
>>> 
>>> "Typical assessment approaches like test scores and rankings by various 
>>> publications are not good indicators of our education quality. In the 
>>> absence of a yardstick, here are a few personal anecdotes why I think our 
>>> education is good (or bad). "
>>> 
>>> Perhaps this already exists, but as part of their stated role, the School 
>>> Committee should be able to help us understand what our data-driven 
>>> evaluation criteria are. 
>>> 
>>> Regards,
>>> Fuat Koro
>>> 
>>> On Tue, Mar 22, 2022 at 1:59 PM Bryce Wells via Lincoln 
>>> <[email protected]> wrote:
>>>> Jay,
>>>> 
>>>> I find it concerning that you are prescribing a solution to a (perceived) 
>>>> problem without any background or experience as an educator.  I find it 
>>>> galling that you are using Niche.com as your primary source for the 
>>>> problem, but that's another issue for another time.  My recommendation is 
>>>> that you at least start with the state-mandate proficiency exams and the 
>>>> school's performance therein... btw, I have no idea where LPS ranks.
>>>> 
>>>> More homework?  Oh brother.  Have you vetted or discussed this 
>>>> multi-pronged plan with Becky McFall or Sharon Hobbs?  You might want to 
>>>> start there and see WHAT shortfalls they think there MIGHT be and how THEY 
>>>> think they should be solved.  That sort of approach will surely get my 
>>>> attention... and vote.  
>>>> 
>>>> Without getting into personal specifics (because as Lincoln Talk's eristic 
>>>> pundit Dennis Liu would remind me, the plural of anecdote is NOT data), 
>>>> both my boys went through LPS and are thriving at LS.  They were well 
>>>> prepared for high school.  Many of their friends are thriving.  Is there 
>>>> room for improvement?  Always.  
>>>> 
>>>> Also, personally speaking, they had many friends who went to Fenn or other 
>>>> private schools.  The parents I spoke to about that decision (a deeply 
>>>> personal one) communicated that they wanted their child in a same-sex 
>>>> learning environment or they valued the private education experience or 
>>>> they wanted to provide more avenues for their child outside of LS.  
>>>> 
>>>> Thanks for listening.
>>>> 
>>>> Bryce
>>>> 
>>>> 
>>>> On Tue, Mar 22, 2022 at 1:34 PM JAY DWYER <[email protected]> wrote:
>>>>> Why ?
>>>>> 
>>>>> Here are the numbers for K-8 Lincoln Schools from : niche.com
>>>>> 
>>>>> 
>>>>> 59% proficient in math
>>>>> 61% proficient in english 
>>>>> 
>>>>> What grade do you get with 61% on a report card?
>>>>> 
>>>>> You get an F for failure.
>>>>> 
>>>>> We spent $13 million a year for our schools and this is what we get.
>>>>> 
>>>>> People with the ability to pay $40,000 a year take their kids out of 
>>>>> Lincoln schools and put them in private schools like Fenn.
>>>>> You know many families that have done this.
>>>>> 
>>>>> We are not traditionally rigorous in teaching. One pair and told me she 
>>>>> “liked that her son was not pushed too hard in school”
>>>>> 
>>>>> This is a poor foundation which is a recipe for failure in future grades 
>>>>> and in life.
>>>>> 
>>>>> I have a solution they will not cost any money.
>>>>> 
>>>>> 1) Written homework every night that is graded and handed back the next 
>>>>> morning with a traditional % grade.
>>>>> 
>>>>> 2) The final exam every week on what you learned that week.
>>>>> 
>>>>> 3) A report card every Monday morning with average scores of Homeworks 
>>>>> and grade on the final exam with a rank in class.
>>>>> 
>>>>> I experience this program for three years in 6/7 and eighth grade. I went 
>>>>> through Central Catholic high school in Lawrence it was easy. I graduated 
>>>>> with a degree in economics from Georgetown university and felt 100% 
>>>>> confident that I could learn anything.
>>>>> 
>>>>> If these ideas makes sense to you I ask for your vote on March 28 for 
>>>>> Lincoln school committee.
>>>>> 
>>>>> Thank you,
>>>>> 
>>>>> 
>>>>> Joseph Dwyer
>>>>> 
>>>>> Lincoln School Board Candidate
>>>>> 6 Emerson Rd
>>>>> Lincoln, Ma 01773
>>>>> [email protected]
>>>>> 603.560.1787 c
>>>>> 
>>>>> 
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