[Edited Message Follows]
[Reason: Added  a reference to the "Volcker shock"]

On Wed, Feb 28, 2024 at 01:20 PM, Mark Baugher wrote:

> 
> I remember the 70s in the US as a time when economists invented a new
> term, "stagflation," i.e. not buoyant.

Yes, the term derived from economic stagnation and wage nflation. Economists 
bemoaned the slowing of economic growth from the preceding postwar decades on 
so-called "wage push" inflation caused by the unions. Cost of living clauses 
(COLA's) were a feature of union contracts. Volcker's hiking the Fed Funds Rate 
to 20% in 1980 also has to be seen in this context. It produced a recession 
designed to constrain the unions. It wasn't a response to a quiescent labour 
movemnt.

I beleive you were in the SWP in the 70's. Wasn't the long UMW strike in 
'77-'78 a precipitating factor in the SWP's "industrial turn"? I had left the 
Trotskyist movement by then, but I recall my criticisms and those of other 
comrades at the time was that the implementation rather than the timing of the 
turn was ill-conceived.  If you correctly guaged then that union bargaining 
power was on the threshold of a major decline, you were more prescient than 
most.


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