Hello,

As my first attempt at an experiment, I examined the use of Mnemosyne
in the context of a Mandarin Chinese course. I had two groups, one of
which used the off-the-shelf version of Mnemosyne and one of which
used modified version that had no scheduling algorithm. (In other
words, the second program always scheduled cards for review the next
day, regardless of user input, so those users would activate just one
or two sub-decks to study each day, depending on what they felt the
greatest need to study.)

Because it was conducted in the context of an academic course and
lasted for three full weeks, the experiment was difficult to control
to any acceptable level of rigor, and the results are essentially
confounded because so many factors (number of cards studied per day,
number of cards studied in total, specific material studied, etc)
varied from person to person and between the two groups. The
differences between the two groups are still quite striking, though.

Check out this box plot:

http://tinyurl.com/cydnu4

It looks to me as though some folks were predisposed to score at or
near ceiling level regardless of the intervention (as would be
expected from a pool of subjects recruited from a class essentially to
do extra coursework), and that this kept the means of the groups from
separating. However, the large discrepancy of variance between the
groups suggests that the spaced repetition intervention is boosting
the scores of low performers—for whatever reason, be it the spacing
effect or else a simple cultivation of good daily studying habits.

To quote from my introduction,

"This thesis argues that the spaced repetition intervention resulted
in a significant increase in evaluation scores and that the intuitive
repetition intervention did not; that the spaced repetition
intervention was in particular of better help to struggling
individuals than the intuitive repetition intervention was; and that
the spaced repetition intervention appeared to promote a distribution
of scores in which subjects clustered closely in the higher score
range, whereas the intuitive repetition intervention resulted in a
wide distribution of scores with high intra-group variance. While the
differences between the two intervention groups are clear, the present
study was unable to determine which specific factor or factors
contributed the most to the success of the spaced repetition group."

I finished the first draft of my full manuscript today:

http://tinyurl.com/cqfpjz

It will need further revisions and copy-editing (see if you can find
the error in the abstract!), but the content is essentially complete.

—Bill
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