Gwern, thanks for your comments.

To your first point:

> Seems to me that equally consistent with the
> evidence is the suggestion that both groups' scores were increased -
> just the spaced group increased *more*. At least, I'm not seeing any
> score comparison with students who did neither intuitive nor spaced
> repetition.

My advisor killed my idea to have a third comparison group of non
software users. I still disagree with that decision, but her argument
was essentially that any difference would be trivially explained by
the fact that my intervention amounted to a "studying aid." She wanted
my only comparisons to be between two groups with just one variable
modified between them, namely the utilization of spaced repetition
scheduling. I still think it would be useful knowledge to at least SEE
where the rest of the class was on this material at those two
evaluation points, though; so as I said, I disagree with her reasoning
and decision.

Also, to your point about the score increases: it is true that the
average scores for the two groups increased in roughly-equivalent
magnitudes—about 12 points for the spaced group and about 10 points
for the intuitive group. However, I specifically said that the spaced
group showed a SIGNIFICANT (as in, p < .05) increase. The difference
for the intuitive group was NOT statistically significant, largely due
to the massive variance of the group. One reason the intuitive group
has such a high average improvement, actually, is that one individual
showed an improvement of 42 points between pre-assessment and post-
assessment, which is a wholly anomalous score. My assumption is that
that individual simply hadn't learned the material before the pre-
assessment was administered, and so failed it terribly.

On thing that must be cleared up is that 32.6% figure you tossed out.

Out of the 9 sub-decks the participants were given, only 2 of them
(decks 2 and 3) were tested on the pre-assessment and the post-
assessment. This was to buy time for any benefits due to the spaced
repetition schedule to manifest. My assumption was that subjects would
not place much emphasis on studying such "old" material over the
course of the experiment, and so the intuitive group would be expected
to study decks 2 and 3 heavily at the start of the experiment and then
to drop off for the rest of the study.

The 32.6% figure meant that, during the time period that I tracked,
the spaced repetition group studied 32.6% more cards from decks 2 and
3 than the intuitive repetition group did.

Recall that I was unable to collect adequate learning data for the
first five days of the study, though. Thus, I do not know how many
times members of either group studied decks 2 and 3 during that time.
That was the time in which I predicted the intuitive group would study
those decks the heaviest, so it MAY be the case that the total trials
of the assessment-relevant material between the groups was near-equal.
If I could show that, then my results would be much stronger, but I
simply lack the data.

You are correct in saying that I should have given a more full account
of subject compliance. I will draw up a table and put it in my
Appendix D.

One other point: One reason I decided not to do any analyses of the
easiness factors assigned within or between groups is that subjects
showed rather different opinions of what each grade meant. This was
especially prevalent in the intuitive group; one of the intuitive
subjects began by only assigning grades of 0 or 4, for instance. I
tried to do running checks of everyone's learning data to ensure that
the grading distributions seemed reasonable and to alert people to any
issues I had with their grading, but on such a subjective task, it's
difficult to know what's "correct." Also, to be fair, the two groups
had different ideas of what the grades were for. The spaced repetition
group knew the purpose behind them, but the intuitive repetition
subjects had no clear idea what the grades were for (beyond some
general idea I gave that the grades would "help us determine which
characters in the decks were especially difficult to remember," etc).

Thank you for you bringing these concerns to my attention.

—Bill
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