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Claude,
I suppose we'll have to agree to differ on this. But it's
interesting you should mention Bruce in this regard. In one of our conversations
several months ago, Bruce actually brought up the idea of extending auction end
times to me, before we were seriously considering applying the idea
ourselves. Seems he's in favor of it (even with the massive number of auctions
he puts up every week). Like me, Bruce feels that the current sniper-dominance
of desirable auctions is a negative -- both for the seller and the overall
bidding environment.
The problem comes from sniper programs forcing most
people to guess what amount they should put in as their sniper bid --
that is, if you don't have such incredibly deep pockets that you can just put in
any amount. If you guess what you feel the poster "is worth" -- either to you
personally or based on what they have been going for lately, you may well lose
to someone who guesses higher (or someone who can afford to put in any bid he
wants to). You have no last chance "fair warning" opportunity to up
your guess in light of the last bid -- because the last bids are submitted
behind the scenes in the last microseconds by the sniper programs. So, whomever
guessed highest wins.
In a very important way, that's not really an auction --
it's more of a guessing game. In a real auction, you are supposed to be
able to see the last bid... even at the last second... and have a chance to
trump it if you want. That ability is what defines an "auction" as such. That
type of visible action in an auction is good for the seller and good for
the bidding environment (and for creating auction excitement, something woefully
missing from eBay ever since the sniper programs took over).
You seem to forget that for many years the auctions on eBay
were not subject to sniper bids -- the sniper programs had not yet been
invented. People had to actually watch an item they wanted close in real
time and place their last second bids manually... and hopefully get back a
response from eBay that let them know if they were the high bid or not and maybe
get in another bid before the close. It wasn't perfect, and those with a higher
speed connection definitely had an edge over those who didn't, but at least the
bidders could see what was happening and the last bid showing when the auction
ended was in fact the winning bid. There was nothing funny happening "behind the
scenes" in the last microsecond and there was often bidding excitement
generated as the auction neared its close and people visibly competed
head-to-head.
I'm not necessarily trying to "recapture" anything, but
I don't see anything wrong with giving as many bidding options as
possible to people -- including restoring the ability to see what the last bid
is and a chance to respond to it.
-- JR
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