[David M]
You mention the difference between plans
and being able to carry them out and then
immediately ignore the key distinction completely. When I refer
to the possible I am referring to what is available
to bring about otherwise I  would call it the impossible.
Of course our plans cannot easily distinguish them but reality
has no such problem!

[Krimel]
I don't think I am ignoring this distinction at all. Notice how the range of
possibility is ever more restricted the closer to the present you set
things. The distribution of probabilities fans out from the present. I have
been trying for sometime to claim that all probabilities collapse to 100% in
the present. This NOW is when things happen. Instances of time are
increasingly probabilistic the farther from the present you get. This
applies to the past as well as the future. 

The future is probabilistic because our models of it are subject to
uncertainties introduced by quantum mechanics at a deep level and just lack
of data in the macro level. 

The past is probabilistic because our memories are faulty or we have
incomplete records of what happened or our methods of historical
reconstruction are flawed.



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