Hi Krim, I think I appreciate that, but I guess I'm saying seeing the "geometric" acceleration is one thing, but predicting the sort of dates Kurzweil does is another - probably overlooking additional complexities like society's "skeptical correctness". My own pet theory (after Kondratiev and more recently Dawkins memes) is that these things always take three (human) generations, so long as humans control the press and the internet, no matter how "fast" the technology aspects.
Moore's law has hit such limits - there are just so many mp3's and HDDVD tracks humans can conceive of. Ian On 6/11/07, Krimel <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > [Ian] > Timescales aside, I find Kurzweil's predictions hype. What it does > show is that evolution is needed to explain life and intellgence, and > that complex adaptive systems are needed to achieve it. Oh look, we > are one. > > [Krimel] > Kurzweil addresses this, claiming that the process of evolution itself has > followed the path of accelerating returns. He claims that as complexity > proceeds time speeds up and that the process of evolution has followed a > geometric pattern of acceleration. Moore's law he claims is an extension of > this. > > moq_discuss mailing list > Listinfo, Unsubscribing etc. > http://lists.moqtalk.org/listinfo.cgi/moq_discuss-moqtalk.org > Archives: > http://lists.moqtalk.org/pipermail/moq_discuss-moqtalk.org/ > http://moq.org.uk/pipermail/moq_discuss_archive/ > moq_discuss mailing list Listinfo, Unsubscribing etc. http://lists.moqtalk.org/listinfo.cgi/moq_discuss-moqtalk.org Archives: http://lists.moqtalk.org/pipermail/moq_discuss-moqtalk.org/ http://moq.org.uk/pipermail/moq_discuss_archive/
