Jeanne Massey wrote: "By the 2020s, baby boomleters (kids of baby boomers) will be having kids And likely buying homes in big numbers (though not as big as in their parents' generation), filling in some (but not likely all) those homes built for their parents' generation."
Dottie Titus responds: Not quite accurate. Baby boomers began life in 1946. That generation runs through 1964 (assuming a generation is 18 years). Our kids have already had their kids, for the most part. Here's a chart: Generation Born Age 18 Age 40 Baby Boomers 1946-1963 1964-1981 1986-2003 Baby Boomleters 1964-1981 1982-1999 2004-2021 Next generation 1982-1999 2000-2017 2022-2039 So the baby boomleters are more likely finished having children by 2020 and their children, in many cases, will also be about done having children. Me again: The baby boomlet was extended and actually peaked in 1990 (not 81), meaning that the next generation of births will likely continue well into the 2020s. Dottie is correct that there was peak of baby boomlet births in the early 80s. Births then declined and fluctuated through the mid 80s and rose again in the late 80s, peaking in 1990. See the trend in Minnesota: See http://server.admin.state.mn.us/pdf/popn81.pdf Nationwide: "The baby boomlet peaked in 1990, when 4.2 million babies were born - just 110,000 fewer than the baby boom's peak in 1961." http://www.mrp.txstate.edu/mrp/relations/news/news61_usatoday.html A substantial number of births (though lower) still occurred in the early 90s due a mix of tail-end baby boomers and Generation Xers both having babies. http://www.tomorrowtoday.biz/generations/xpaper2020.html Back to Minnesota, the post baby boomlet lull in births was offset a bit by rising births among immigrant families starting in the late 90s. According to a state report http://www.demography.state.mn.us/resource.html?Id=2390 "Minnesota is seeing a new baby boomlet" Date Published: May 4, 2002 "Immigration and higher birth rates among women over age 30 contributed to a rising number of births in the late 1990s, according to a new report from Minnesota Planning. The number of births recorded in 2000 was 67,452, the highest number since 1990. Births to immigrant mothers in Minnesota more than doubled, from 3,644 in 1995 to 9,223 in 2000. Almost 14 percent of new births in 2000 occurred to women born outside the United States. Mexico, Laos and Somalia were the most frequent countries of origin." Jeanne Massey Kingfield REMINDERS: 1. Be civil! Please read the NEW RULES at http://www.e-democracy.org/rules. If you think a member is in violation, contact the list manager at [EMAIL PROTECTED] before continuing it on the list. 2. Don't feed the troll! Ignore obvious flame-bait. For state and national discussions see: http://e-democracy.org/discuss.html For external forums, see: http://e-democracy.org/mninteract ________________________________ Minneapolis Issues Forum - A Civil City-focused Civic Discussion - Mn E-Democracy Post messages to: mailto:[email protected] Subscribe, Un-subscribe, etc. at: http://e-democracy.org/mpls
