On Thu, Jan 17, 2019 at 5:29 PM David Garcia <
d.gar...@new-tactical-research.co.uk> wrote:

> I read nearly everything written and watch the parliamentary debates....
> and the only
> consistent message that emerges is that "no one knows anythingā€¯. So this
> is what I
>
think I know becoming less certain as you go down the bullet points:
>

Thanks, David, for this lucid summary which, as you  say, mirrors most of
what is out there in public. I suggest that the forces driving the
stalemate are similar on both sides but, for obvious reasons, not
acknowledged. The Tory extreme Brexiteers and Corbyn's Bennite politburo
both want the most damage possible to society so that their version of
revolution will take over in the rubble. The best guarantee of this is no
deal.

The Tory Alt-right are a financial cabal with international interests
linked to the City of London, offshore  tax havens and London-based
billionaires (Russian, Greek etc). After 600 years of no laws, the City
must at all costs resist the threat of being subject to supervision by
French politicians and German bureaucrats. They have precious little stake
in the national economy, less in the Celtic fringe and even less in the
preservation of what passes for political and legal order or the people's
welfare. May was appointed to supervise the consequences of Boris Johnson's
Leave campaign and decided that her only chance of survival was to play in
their way, even though she voted remain. Her MO is intransigence and she
knows she is on the way out, but the logic remains the same even at this
late stage.

The Corbynites are 70s Marxists whose only dream is a socialist revolution
in one country led by them. It is not that they fear the EU, but staying in
the EU or a soft Brexit would strengthen the British status quo, even the
UK itself. Corbyn can say he's in favour of a Customs Union since the other
side will never let him have it. The same goes for demanding a general
election. The timing should be after the deluge not before it. They and the
Brexiteers need to run down the clock to a no deal fiasco. In Corbyn's case
this means staying out of the charade of cross-party discussions and making
several no confidence motions even if they are bound to fail. The Liberals
have sussed that one out and say they will not vote against the government
in any further moves of this kind from Labour. Both sides will not
contemplate another referendum since it will end up as remain. Extension of
the time limit will likewise be dangerous for their strategy --some people
may find out the real reasons for their behaviour. The problem is that in
each party the group calling the shots is small but, for now, powerful.

The difference between this scenario and yours, David, (the media's and
politicians' public statements) is that mine is based on no evidence
whatsoever.  Sometimes a novelist manque can beat the journalists and
academics.

Keith



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