Eoghan Glynn wrote:
>>> I haven't seen the customary number-crunching on the recent TC election,
>>> so I quickly ran the numbers myself.

Haven't been able to run my analysis yet. I should be able to a few
weeks after summit :)

In complement to the "partisan analysis" you ran, one interesting
analysis is to see how much the results would be different if we enable
the "proportional vote" option in CIVS (which is designed to deter block
voting). I'll do that one.

>>> The turnout rate continues to decline, in this case from 29.7% to 26.7%.
>>> Here's how the participation rates have shaped up since the first TC2.0
>>> election:
>>> Election | Electorate | Voted | Turnout | Change
>>> ------------------------------------------------
>>> 10/2013  | 1106       | 342   | 30.9%   | -8.0%
>>> 04/2014  | 1510       | 448   | 29.7%   | -4.1%
>>> 10/2014  | 1892       | 506   | 26.7%   | -9.9%
>> Overall percentage of the electorate voting is declining, but absolute
>> numbers of voters has increased. And in fact, the electorate has grown more
>> than the turnout has declined.
> True that, but AFAIK the generally accepted metric on participation rates
> in elections is turnout as opposed to absolute voter numbers.

It's the generally-accepted metric in classic elections, which have a
slow-growing electorate.

I agree that a decline in global participation is not a good trend, but
in our case I think it's more an artifact of our long tail of small
contributors than true decline in interest in existing voters.

What is *is* showing is that we grow the number of people who care about
OpenStack governance at a smaller rate (+12%) than we grow raw
contributors (+25%).

Thierry Carrez (ttx)

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