From:
Mark Cassino
> William Robb wrote:
>
>> You'all just don't seem to be getting it.
>
> OK - so when a superior technology comes along, the old technology 
> dies off and is gone completely.
>
> Like horse drawn buggies (replaced by automobiles):
>
> http://www.liveryone.net/
>
> Bows and arrows (replaced by guns):
>
> http://www.huntersfriend.com/2007-Bow-Reviews/bow-specifications-charts-main.htm
>  
>
>
> Hand woven fabric replaced by mass produced material:
>
> http://www.camillavalleyfarm.com/other/weavingguilds.htm
>
> Flint and steel (replaced by matches):
>
> http://www.survivalschool.com/products/fire_starting/Flint_&_Steel%20Kits.htm 
>
>
> Oil lamps were replaced by candles which were replace by gas light 
> which were replaced by electric light. (Good thing since oil lamps are 
> a 10,000 year old technology.)
>
> http://www.oillampman.com/
>
> Books, movies, and radio - replaced by TV:
>
> Oh shoot, I guess the Internet has killed off all those plus TV...
>
> Folks don't ride horses to work any more (after all, its a 6,000 year 
> old technology). But I schlepped by the KKK rally held in downtown 
> Kalamazoo yesterday - and there were a couple dozen cops on horseback 
> working the crowd. So the practical application of horses has not gone 
> away.
>
> No one expects film to play the same role that it played in 1975. In 
> the near future it will not be a mainstream technology. People who 
> don't see an advantage to it, or who don't have the time, knowledge, 
> or resources to utilize it - won't use it. People won't be able to pop 
> by the local drug store and get film developed. But that's not the 
> same as it being gone completely, totally, eradicated.
>
> Advancing technology limits old technology, makes it more expensive, 
> drives it into specialized niches, but there is little historical 
> evidence to suggest that old technologies die off and are eradicated, 
> unless you start dealing in minutia like beta video tapes, cylinder 
> records, 8 track tapes, etc - which are not really categories of 
> technologies but rather very limited applications of them.  That's 
> sort of like saying that steam powered locomotives disappeared so, of 
> course, all railroads have gone.
>
> Some form of film will last forever. Or least least as long as flint 
> and steel, oil lamps, and horses. And just as we once lived in a 
> society were everyone saw horses first hand every day, and now they 
> are a rarity, film will become a rarity. But it won't disappear.
>
> Cripes - there are still people taking daguerreotypes these days, 
> mercury poisoning or no... 

Well said.

Steam powered locomotives haven't disappeared entirely, mostly just 
removed to tourist railroads, where they're enjoying a revival of sorts 
- at least it seems there are more working steam lines today than there 
were 10 years ago. Maybe they were there all along, and the inter-net 
just makes it easier for me to find them.

And there's a guy down the road apiece from here who's making a good 
living doing wet plate colloidian photography.

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