Stefan, Gary R., Gary F., list,

This post might need to have a paragraph moved up or down, but here goes.

As to "opinion versus true opinion": Mostly I was expositing Peirce's views on truth (with which I generally agree). It's Peirce who often called truth the final _/opinion/_ that sufficient investigation would reach. Peirce held that truth is immutable, unchangeable.

When you say that we don't have any truth (because we don't have absolute theoretical assurance of truth), the question is, how do you know that? Why do you think that _/that/_ is a truth? Obviously it's inconsistent. Anyway, we just can't attain absolute theoretical certainty, that's all. But there's no escaping the fact that to hold an opinion is to hold that that opinion is true.

If one doesn't want to hold one's opinion as flatly true, then one qualifies the opinion, hedges it with words like 'probably', 'seemingly', 'if I recall correctly,' etc., and then _/that/_ opinion, a qualified version of the previous, is the opinion that one more firmly hold - an opinion, e.g., that 'probably people have lived in yonder house', or 'seemingly people have lived in yonder house', etc. Even if the truth, as you say, doesn't have 'error bars,' it will still be true that there can be truth in terms of error bars. For example, it can be true that it seems that people have lived in yonder house, and that that's how it would seem to anybody with the same vantage point and information, without its being true that people have lived in yonder house. So the opinion, that it seems that people have lived in yonder house, is a safer opinion, likelier to be true.

So one says, 'horses give birth to live young,' and concedes a tiny probability of error, or a thin feasibility of error, almost as a philosophical nicety, and in fact sometimes as an afterthought, since one has no real doubt of that horses give birth to live young. One bets on it, commits oneself to it as true, for practical purposes, and don't you actually think that that one is a pretty safe bet? For theoretical purposes, one is more cautious about such commitment. But even for theoretical purposes one does not wait for an absolute theoretical certainty that one never can have. Peirce argued that fruitful inquiry comes from real doubt, not from merely verbal, quarrelsome, or Cartesian hyperbolic doubt.

Standard first-order logic does not include such qualifications of truth as 'plausibly', 'seemingly', etc. I wouldn't get too hung up on that. Anyway, the idea that something is possibly true does not automatically mean the idea that it escapes being either true or false in a flat-out way. 'Partly true' etc., is a way of speaking of a proposition as a conjunction of truth(s) and falsehood(s). Such a conjunction, if it contains a single falsehood, is false. But if most of the component propositions are true, it's helpful and informative to say that it's 'mostly true'. Newton's physics is 'true enough' at velocities that don't get "near lightspeed," as people say, where the phrase 'near lightspeed' means 1/7 or more of lightspeed. Newton's physics is really 'not true enough' at any velocity in terms of the constancy of lightspeed, the unification of time quantities and distance quantities, etc. In speaking of the truer (or less true) one sometimes prefers to say 'more accurate' or 'more generally true' or 'more deeply true', or the like. Yet even Peirce uses the phrase 'more true' in "A Neglected Argument".

I don't know whether Foucault meant in saying "Mendel said the truth but he wasn't within the biological truth of his time". Did he mean that Mendel's truth was not among the biological truths commonly recognized (at least by biologists) in his time, that it was found by a separate stream of investigation, and so on? Then "the biological truth commonly recognized" or the like would have been a better phrase, but Foucault seems to be working a bit of literary metaphysical titillation, whether merely for effect or in a serious effort to weaken the idea of truth, I don't know. Or did Foucault mean that Mendel's truth was not among the opinions comprising the 'so-called "truth"' popular among biologists in his time (and was reached by separate stream of investigation, and so on)? Then that's just a relativist way of speaking about truth.

If somebody states, 'your opinion is the truth', one need not interpret that statement to mean 'it is absolutely theoretically certain that your opinion is the truth' or 'the truth is defined as your opinion'. Now 'a truth' and 'a falsehood' have long been taken as equivalent expressions for 'a true proposition' and 'a false proposition' respectively, and Peirce talked that way. (An aside: in English 'a falsity' and 'a falseness' are not interpreted to mean 'a false proposition'.) When I said that one can think of a truth as a true opinion (or just as well a true proposition), I meant opinion that coincides with the final opinion that sufficient investigation would reach, the difference being that truth is pragmatically _/defined/_ (e.g., by Peirce) as that final opinion, and is not _/defined/_ as yours or my firm opinion that happens to be true despite yours and my lack of absolute theoretical certainty.

Also Peirce did think that truth can have 'error bars', so to speak. He held that if not even the final opinion on a question could achieve complete precision (e.g., because of measurement's limitations even in principle), then that leads to the idea that there is imprecision, indefiniteness, vagueness in the real itself, and from there he derives tychism and synechism. I.e., if, _/even in principle/_, no one could ever be quite precise about X, then X itself, the object, is really vague. See "Fallibilism, Continuity, and Evolution" in CP 1.141-175 http://www.textlog.de/4248.html , placed by the volume's editors right after the brief MS "F.R.L." (First Rule of Logic), circa 1899, titled "First Rule of Reason" by the editors in CP 1.135-140, http://www.textlog.de/4249.html .

As to the idea of knowledge: 'Knowledge' is an 'achievement' word, it means that one successfully knows the truth because it has been proven to one, and, in science, it tends to mean that one can prove it to others too. It is generally taken to mean not merely justified belief but justified _/true/_ belief. The key ideas there are of truth and proof, and so the idea of knowledge brings no way to escape the commitment to something as true; it increases the commitment in fact, insofar as it implies a commitment to something as _/proven true/_. There are ways of weakening the achievement sense of the verb 'to remember' (e.g., "I remember him as being here"), and maybe one could do the same with the verb 'to know' but, for whatever reason, people don't do that.

Best, Ben

On 9/26/2014 5:52 AM, sb wrote:

Ben, Garys, list,

seems i took some things down the wrong pipe (see my post to Gary). There is not much in what you say that I'd disagree with. But there is still the truth-problem, but maybe this is just a problem of labeling.

For me truth has no little errorbars, but i'm apodictic here like "god doesn't throw dices". What is true now, can't be false later. Yes, truth is not changeable. And we don't have this truth.

But by introducing the "distincton between opinion and true opinion" it seems to me you are trying to reintroduce truth under a new flag. Something is true or not true, do we know with absolute certainty that something is true or not true? No, we can't and therefore you have to introduce the errorbars. But errorbars and truth don't fit together, something is true or not and not possibly-maybe-a-little -less-than-true. Samples can have errorbars but not truth and hence true opinion as something actual existent doesn't seem sound to me.

This Foucault quote shows the paradox "Mendel said the truth but he wasn't within the biological truth of his time" you are already adressing. Now exchange Mendel with Newton. Is Newtons mechanics true or false? Hmm, i would say neither, it works under certain circumstances. So yes, inquiry can be succesful! In this little example we had three meanings of truth: as actual opinion, truth as better viable opinion and truth as true opinion at the end of all time.

That's the reason why i wouldn't use truth and opinion as opposites. I belief the better distinction is knowledge and opinion like the greece doxa and episteme. Important is wether you can give a sound justification for your belief or not. Knowledge is justified belief and opinion unjustified belief.

Is there much difference between what you and i said except not using the word "truth"?

Best
Stefan

P.S.: Introducing the errorbars into this topic is problematic, because it assumes bayesian statistics. But yes it is important to argue for the reasonableness of a knowledge claim and to point at possible shortcomings but this just means to justify.

Stefan, Gary R., Gary F., list,

I'm not sure how much there is in what you say that I'd disagree with.

I'd point out that I wasn't attempting to describe social influences on research in real depth, but just to indicate that I believe that they exist and that I had given them at least a little thought.

"Light pseudo-hallucinatory fun" was just my way of referring to fanciful fun in the mind. I wasn't jumping to the end of "the long run" or of sufficient investigation except in that sense in which every one of us does in asserting a proposition, making a declarative statement. To assert a proposition is to say that anybody who _/were/_ to investigate it far enough _/would/_ find it to be true. Note the conditional modal 'would' as per Peirce's repeated formulation of truth as the end of inquiry.

All this idea of truth as _/only/_ at the end of the longest run, as attainable _/only/_ by a perfect sign incorporating all possible perspectives at the end of all times, goes against Peirce's idea that inquiry can succeed without taking forever or almost forever. When you think that you've reached the truth about something, then you think that your actual opinion coincides with the final opinion that would be reached by sufficient investigation. That final opinion to which sufficient research would be destined is not affected by any person's or group's actual opinion. The idea of the final opinion is a way of defining truth pragmatically in relation to investigation. You can't have absolute theoretical certainty that your actual opinion coincides with the final opinion that would be reached; but you can have strong reasons to think that it does. But even then, being scientifically minded, you would not _/define/_ the truth as yours or anybody's actual opinion.

Now, statisticians add error bars to their graphs. One way, pointed out by Peirce, to close a suspected gap between actual opinion and the ideal final opinion is for one's actual opinion to include a confession of its own possible error, its being merely plausible, or likely, or whatever, so that, in asserting your opinion, you're asserting that anybody who were to investigate far enough would find it likely that such-and-such is the case; or even that anybody who were to investigate far enough would find it likely that anybody who were to investigate far enough would find it likely that such-&-such is the case.

The proposition that I asserted was that conflating the ideas of truth and opinion, making them the same thing in the mind, leads, like by having a drink or a toke or both, to fanciful fun in the mind, the thought of somehow having one's cake and eating it too, for example, some idea of people's conflicting opinions/truths as involving conflicting realities, various actual worlds, somehow intersecting, maybe in a somewhat magical way like in an old _Dr. Strange_ comic book. But maybe I'm wrong. Maybe some people never get any pleasurable sensation out of it at all.

The distinction between opinion and truth, which can also be formulated as the distincton between opinion and true opinion, is one that Peirce certainly held with; he strongly opposed James's idea of changeable truths. Peirce held that opinions, propositions, etc., can be true and can be false. He did not believe that truths can be false.

Sometimes it is hard to arrive at a firm conclusion about which opinion is true, and sometimes something that one firmly believed turns out false, it feels as if one's truth turned out to be false. As Robert Creeley wrote somewhere, "What I knew / wasn't true". That doesn't make the truth-opinion distinction spurious. But there won't be a 'constructive' definition of truth from philosophy that will empower philosophy to hand out warrants of truth, validity, soundness, etc., to particular conclusions claimed by researchers in the special sciences.

I certainly agree that it is good to approach the object from multiple perspectives. The idea of convergence is not just the idea of one person approaching every more closely to the truth from a single direction, but also of various researchers converging from various starting points (and zigzagging too) till things fit together like in a crossword puzzle, as Haack said.

Best, Ben

On 9/24/2014 8:36 AM, sb wrote:
Ben, Gary, R., Gary F.,
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