Louis Proyect wrote:
> Of course. And what will happen is 4 years of ineffective, centrist bullshit
> that will make the misery of the American people only 90 percent of what it
> would be under the Republicans...

It's possible that it could be better than that, though it's hard to
judge what's meant by "better."

The Bush League's rule has been characterized by dominance by the
particularistic rule by individual capitalist interests, grabbing
pieces of government functions (continuing and deepening the tradition
of the Clinton I years) to grant them short-term gains while pushing
costs onto others (workers, etc.) and onto the future (including the
environment), in alliance with the kultur warriors and the neocon
knee-jerk war-hawks. This seems irrational from the point of view of
the ruling class as a whole, especially in the longer term.

The promise of the Obama administration seems to be that it can
reconcile the individual capitalist interests to serve the collective
and long-term interests of the class as a whole. It's a response to
the crises (in finance, in Iraq, etc.) and the repeated, blatant
failures of the Bushwhackers to serve broader capitalist class
interests. The most obvious piece of this puzzle is that Obama will be
more "multilateral" in its policies (trying to reconcile the competing
interests of the capitalist elites of the richer countries) as opposed
to the Bush-in-a-china-shop "full-spectrum domination" policies of the
last 8 years or so. This kind of attitude will likely be mirrored (in
part) in other areas, such as health & welfare, etc.

It's a little like having social democracy without a labor movement.
The lack of a "backbone" in the form of a labor movement and other
mass movements likely means that (1) the effects will be much not
serve working-class interests much at all, simply providing emergency
aid to avoid mass unrest; and (2) the "progressive" aspects of Obama
policies will fade after the most obvious aspects of the crises have
moderated. The progressivism will be like that of the early 20th
century (Teddy R, etc.), focusing on "middle-class" reforms. (By the
way, one reason for the fuktup political system in California is those
old "progressive" reforms.)

On the other hand, I expect the Obama administration to do better on
the gender/sex and race dimensions of politics. The irrationality of
the kultur klub will likely be localized within the Palin faction of
the GOP. If the latter wins control over its party, it's likely that
the DP will remain in power for more than a decade. In general, the
capitalists will be pleased with this outcome.

> This is like being stuck in a Samuel Beckett play that has no conclusion.

It's true that there will be no conclusion as long as class relations
continue to shift further & further to the right, so that today's
"center-right" is yesterday's "right-wing." (Yesterday's right-winger
was Nixon.)

-- 
Jim Devine /  "Nobody told me there'd be days like these / Strange
days indeed -- most peculiar, mama." -- JL.
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