Robert Gassler wrote:
> Apparently there is no way to look ahead and prevent another disaster like 
> the Soviet Union – totalitarian state capitalism in a developing country 
> disguised as a socialist revolution. The freedom that is socialism can exist 
> only under a dictatorship. That makes no sense.<

Huh? I didn't say anything like that.

Among other things, I don't use the word "totalitarian" since there's
no such thing as "total state power" except in fiction (Orwell's
"1984," etc.) Dictatorships are most often quite corrupt, which means
that a lot of the state employees have been bought off, i.e., that the
state apparatus does not follow orders from the top very well. Elites
don't have enough information to control the people at the bottom of
the hierarchy enough to get them to do what they want. Most often, you
see sullen and cynical people at the bottom (and also in the middle of
the hierarchy) who mouth the official slogans but don't really go
along with the official party line in practice but instead try to
exploit the system for personal survival and even for gaining
advantage over others. That weakens and even defeats the goals of
those at the top.

Also, these days authoritarian state capitalisms in "developing"
countries are explicitly anti-socialist and often theocratic.

I do see the underdevelopment and encirclement of a country as major
barriers for the creation of true socialism, but they aren't
insurmountable. If you want socialism, the way to go is to avoid
top-down measures as much as possible, to mobilize the grass-roots
workers and peasants. (For richer countries, drop the word
"peasants.") The more that a revolution is rooted in and supported by
the "masses," the more likely that it will be democratic and thus
socialist. We saw some effort in this direction during the Nicaraguan
revolution, for example.

This bottom-up effort has to start long before any revolution (which
of course may not happen at all). Among other things, this approach
has the extra benefit of allowing people to win progressive and
democratic reforms before any revolution by pressuring the current
ruling class. Social democracy (a superior version of capitalism
compared to the current _status quo_) was a compromise given to
working classes who were pushing for much more. In this case, the
means (mass pressure) and the ends (socialism) mesh pretty well.

> The question is precisely about the system, since any system can be spoiled 
> by a lunatic. If it is impossible to prevent the rise of such a leader – as 
> Jim Devine’s argument seems to suggest – then socialism is not a liberated 
> zone, though it may be an egalitarian one.<

It's quite possible to prevent the rise of a lunatic to power, while
it's wrong to say that "any system can be spoiled by a lunatic." See
above: a system based on bottom-up power is less likely to be "spoiled
by a lunatic." It's only when power is highly hierarchical and
centralized that a single person can have a big impact.

Though bureaucratic socialism (or "state capitalism," if you will) may
be more egalitarian than capitalism (of the sort we live under) in
terms of the personal distribution of wealth, it's not especially
egalitarian in the distribution of political power. (In desperate
brevity, the fall of the USSR involved those with the most political
power trying to turn that edge into personal wealth.)

BTW, I didn't say that the USSR's system was spoiled by a lunatic.
Rather, I said that the historical and institutional situation which
prevailed in the USSR rewarded and cultivated lunacy (and also the
appearance of lunacy). When the system is f*cked up, the scum rises to
the top.

> If there is no royal road to the future, if both capitalism and socialism 
> involve suffering for most people, then there is not much point in choosing 
> between them.<

If I can read CC correctly, sayiung that there "is no royal road" is
saying "it ain't easy." Saying "it ain't easy" is hardly the same as
giving up. It's also a mistake to think in either/or terms (capitalism
and "totalitarian state capitalism" disguised as "socialism").
-- 
Jim Devine / "Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti." (Go your own
way and let people talk.) -- Karl, paraphrasing Dante.
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