Louis Proyect wrote:

> I don't know about 2006, but I suspect that there will be huge pressure on
> the left to back Hillary Clinton or some other wolf in sheep's clothing in
> 2008.

[...]

> I don't know if Nader will run again, but the issues will
> probably be so polarized on a class basis that a campaign that opposes both
> the Republicans and the Democrats will get more support than it did last
> year. I think that Camejo would run a damned fine campaign but I doubt that
> he will run.

Actually, I agree with Louis on this.  I think that, as things look
now, there's a clear opening for an independent campaign in 2008 with
opposition to the war, a new foreign policy (that really enhances
national security), and universal health care as the main issues.

But, and this is where the agreement with Louis probably ends, I don't
think that this will work if it is presented as an inflexible
decision, i.e., regardless of what may happen *in* the DP.  We have to
get out of our minds that political independence is the same as
mechanical, logistical, or organizational separation.  It is not. 
Here and now, the way to conquer political independence, in the
*class* sense, is by engaging with the DP.  That's why I believe that
the independent campaign has to be carefully prepared since yesterday,
but not announced formally, until after the DP primaries.

IMHO, the way to attract the Democratic rank-and-filers (and that
decisive bunch of people who claim to be independent) is by making a
public commitment to *seriously consider endorsing* the DP candidate
*if and only if* such candidate *clearly* commits to troop withdrawal
and the progressive reform of foreign policy.  And then doing as we
say.  That'll send a clear message to the base of the DP that the left
is not in it for ideology or (worse) ego -- that we're serious about
stopping the war and moving the nation forward.  Then the ball will be
in the DP's court.  If we proceed this way, I think that we'll win
even if we don't succeed in the election.  But, again, the way I see
it, the only scenario in which an independent campaign would have a
good shot is IF the pro-war line (Hillary, Biden, Schumer, Lieberman,
etc.) prevails in the primaries.

Louis says that there'll be a lot of pressure on the radical left to
back up a DP candidate.  The way I see it, this pressure is the
expression of hardwired structural conditions.  For the time being, It
is a fact of life.  But, I say, we can turn it around and have the
*public* pressure be on the DP to nominate an anti-war candidate.  It
can be a boost to the progressive wing of the party and brutal
pressure on the corrupt, pro-war leaders, because they will realize
that it is a de-facto threat of excision at the rank-and-file level. 
Appeals to party loyalty will be less effective.  After all, the
masses are entitled to say, "Hey, it's you party leaders who have to
show us loyalty, loyalty to our interests, and not us to yours."  So,
if they don't nominate an anti-war candidate, *they* will be in
trouble and an organizationally independent alternative, even if
humble, will prove necessary.  But then it'll be necessary for real,
and not just as some sort of radical fetish.

Julio

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