On Sep 10, 2007, at 7:17 PM, Sabri Oncu wrote:

I agree with Daniel. Index funds are not always your best choice.
For example,
if you are invested in an equity index fund in these days, you are
in serious
trouble. Index funds are managed with the objective of minimizing
the risk of
loss relative to the index. But, they are wide open to the market
risk. If the
market goes down, the index fund goes down together with the
index.  Nobody in
the index fund business manages the market risk. But then markets
always go up
in the long run, aren't they? At least, this is what we have been
taught for
who knows how long.

For someone saving for retirement or some such, with a time horizon
of 30-40 years, there's just no reason to try to outguess the market.
"These days," for sure - if you mean the last month or two. If you
mean the last three or four years? The last 20-25 years? The last
50-60 years? Everyone can be a genius looking backwards.

Doug

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