No Pete as I just replied my laptop is now the same as RB results on the net..There is no longer a $40 diff....The figures I now get are 271 investments and $288.45 win divie =5.9% plus return over all starters all races Cheers Zach ----- Original Message ----- From: "Peter Harrop" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> To: <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> Sent: Thursday, November 04, 2004 9:52 PM Subject: Re: [racebase] Ratings Change
> > Thanks Zach, > I say 9:30 to be conservative. You are right it is normally at 9 am or > just before that it is updated. > I am still concerned that the tally you got is $40 less than my tally. > The top picks you get after the 9 am update each day should be exactly > the same as the top picks on the site apart from : > 1) There is a change in track conditions. > 2) There is a change in jockey. > 3) The top pick is a late scratching in which case the 2nd pick is > taken. > > But even you you don't take into account changes in track conditions, I > don't think there should be as much as $40 difference. > I am still looking for others to go to (3rd time lucky) > http://www.racebase.co.nz/racem7.txt > and have a browse (at least) through the October top picks and see if it > is what they have been getting. This is VERY IMPORTANT. I am wanting to > know if there is a major fault. Perhaps not as many follow the > predictions as I thought ! > Peter. > > Zach wrote: > > > > Hi Pete did all that last month remember.(all the reinstalling etc) > > Have checked October as it is in my laptop records now and it is the same as > > yours..Once again sorry for any inconvenience.. > > One query I do have is re your comment about d/loading before 9.30am....Now > > I often find that the site has been updated at say 8.55 or say 9.05am or > > something (as stated on the d/load webb site) ARE you saying that even if it > > has been updated it will not be right untill AFTER 9.30am > > Cheers Zach > > > > ----- Original Message ----- > > From: "Peter Harrop" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> > > To: <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> > > Sent: Friday, November 05, 2004 9:49 AM > > Subject: Re: [racebase] Ratings Change > > > > > > > > The other reason that could account for the discrepency : > > > If at any stage you need to reinstall RaceBase from the CD. You MUST > > > follow that up with a 'Whole Database Download' otherwise there could be > > > big gaps in your data. A 'Normal Download' only downloads the last 1000 > > > races, so if your CD only contains the data up to more than 1000 races > > > ago, there will be a period missing. > > > Peter. > > > > > > Peter Harrop wrote: > > > > > > > > Hi Zach. > > > > I've made some comments after each of your points. > > > > > > > > Zach wrote: > > > > > > > > > > Hi Pete...I'm sure you are RIGHT..I'm very sorry that my records > > airn't > > > > > right...Having said that what I have got is what I invested on and the > > > > > effective returns etc > > > > > There's 3 things that I can think of > > > > > 1/ I take the mornings printout as gospel as most of the time I don't > > have > > > > > the luxury of having the ability to follow every race all day,as I'm > > sure is > > > > > the case for a great many of us(working on the swings and roundabouts > > theory > > > > > it should balance out in the long run) > > > > > > > > When you mean the morning download, I presume you mean after 9:30 am. I > > > > notice some people download before this time before the correct track > > > > conditions are posted and before scratchings are taken out. > > > > Apart from that, the morning download should be gospel. The only time > > > > when it may change is when there is a change in track conditions - in > > > > which case the change is posted here and it is just a matter of pressing > > > > one of F1-F4 on the field for the user to change it. OR when there is a > > > > late change in jockey. In this case, where this change has an impact on > > > > a top pick winner (whether promotion or demotion) it is posted here > > > > under the heading 'Ratings Change' (like for Tuesdays race). > > > > Even considering the above, there shouldn't be a difference of $40 in > > > > your divvy total and mine. That is quite a difference. That is why I > > > > suspect there may be something wrong with your database. > > > > > > > > > 2/ I take into account ALL races including the ones with heaps of 1st > > > > > starters > > > > > > > > On my webpage, the 1st set of stats eliminates races where more than > > > > 1/5th of the starters are 1st starters. The 2nd set includes ALL races, > > > > except those where there are less than 3 runners that have had a > > > > previous start. So the 2nd set eliminates only 1 or 2 races per month. > > > > The 2nd set of stats should tally with yours. > > > > > > > > The only other reason that I can think of for the difference apart from > > > > an error in your database is that you may have the settings incorrect. > > > > Make sure you have : > > > > Chart to Use = RaceBase > > > > Method to Use = Margins > > > > Use Jockey Ratings = Yes. > > > > > > > > If you suspect that there may be something wrong with your data, do a > > > > 'Whole Database Download'. That is also why I encourage people to check > > > > what they are getting with their predictions with mine. > > > > > > > > Peter. > > > > > > > > > 3/ If you remember I dicovered a problem with my laptop RB data base > > last > > > > > month and I can't remember which days I used it to get my morning > > d/loads > > > > > of, which I'm sure is the main reason for the difference > > > > > I'll check the web site results against my computers as soon as I get > > time > > > > > Cheers Zach > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > Yahoo! Groups Links > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > Yahoo! Groups Links > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > Yahoo! Groups Links > > > > > > > > > > > > > Yahoo! Groups Links > > > > > > > ------------------------ Yahoo! Groups Sponsor --------------------~--> Make a clean sweep of pop-up ads. Yahoo! Companion Toolbar. Now with Pop-Up Blocker. 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