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How's this for an overlay?
I backed Ladykin, winner of the 3YO mile at Te
Aroha, at $22 — the opening quote on Thursday. Not a huge bet but a very
tasty 1100 to 50 . . . 21 to 1 about a horse which started at 6 to 1 — 3½ times
SP. I'd be rather proud of myself except that I know pride goeth before a
fall.
And I'm not in the habit of backing $22 shots . . . I just happened to see the filly run well a couple of starts back and decided to back her until she won. One thing I am certain of . . . those Thursday markets
are a goldmine, especially for favourite backers. The TAB's odds setters seem
reluctant to frame a market with the fav at its true price; it's as if
they are embarrassed to quote anything at evens or less. Opening Downwind at
$2.75, which it stayed at through Friday, was giving money away. And
occasionally something like Ladykin, which was picked by two or three of the
Friday Flash selectors, gets under their guard . . . probably because of a
lack of homework on their part.
Gil
Yahoo! Groups Links
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- [racebase] TAB PDF form for whole meetings Neil
- Re: [racebase] TAB PDF form for whole meetings Gilbert Dymock
- Re: [racebase] TAB PDF form for whole meetings Gilbert Dymock
- Re: [racebase] A bit of a skite Gilbert Dymock
- Re: [racebase] A bit of a skite Peter Harrop
- RE: [racebase] A bit of a skite Todd Irwin
- Re: [racebase] A bit of a skite Neil Franklyn
- Re: [racebase] A bit of a skite Gilbert Dymock
