Ernie:

I like "fudge factor;" it is also used in architecture to accommodate

small discrepancies in calculations that, in practical terms, don't mean too 
much.

Like being off 1/64th of an inch when the job allows for, say, wood shrinkage 
of 1/32 of an inch.


Clearly the fudge factor can apply to other problems, like generalizations 
about history.

Think I'll stick with Professor Borrowdale on the usefulness of the junk concept
at least in some cases, those that don't ruffle the feathers of people
in the physics community ;-)

About laws of history, I should tell you that they beat this idea out of our 
heads
in history grad school.  I mean, who doesn't want to come up with a nice glossy 
law of
how history works?  I sure do, and way back when it was sort of a passion.
But that was before my MA program and everyone got serious about
what will fly and what will not.

"So you think you have discovered a law of history, do you?"
"Yes, sir, its all written out here for you to review."
"Dammit, how many times do I have to tell you that there are NO laws of 
history?"
"But sir, if you will just look at my paper..."
"I don't have time for such nonsense."

At which the professor takes out a long sturdy stick and says, "assume the 
position."

WHACK.

"Do you still believe there are laws of history?"
"Well, yes, because..."

WHACK  WHACK  WHACK

"Now do you still believe there are laws of history?"


"Owww, that is painful, owww, no sir, not any more."
(cry, cry, cry)



Maybe this explains things better....

B.



________________________________
From: [email protected] <[email protected]> on 
behalf of Centroids <[email protected]>
Sent: Monday, December 17, 2018 2:58 PM
To: [email protected]
Cc: Billy Rojas
Subject: Re: [RC] F= M+A+ Junk ? @#% +22+ZX=wth

Hi Billy,


I do think that the "junk" metaphor is useful, but technically you may well be 
quite right.

Actually, the more technical term is “fudge factor.” :-). That is an extra term 
added to your formal theory in order to match reality.

In fact Einstein incorrectly added one himself:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cosmological_constant
Cosmological constant<https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cosmological_constant>
en.wikipedia.org
In cosmology, the cosmological constant (usually denoted by the Greek capital 
letter lambda: Λ) is the energy density of space, or vacuum energy, that...


Also, it IS often quite useful to rewrite equations using “relativistic 
corrections” that are small perturbations against the classical version.

So your instincts weren’t that far off. Just don’t call them junk. :-)

E


When it comes to physics you lost me around paragraph #2,

so I don't know nearly enough to tell if there really is or is not some "junk"

to allow for in the science involved. But the value of the "junk hypothesis"

in the social sciences is that it makes us   -your favorite word-  humble

when thinking we can devise laws of history when all that is currently

possible are generalizations or maybe (maybe) weak laws that rest upon

strong generalizations.

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