It's not the numbers so much as the process. You have to get to some pretty silly numbers to make it a poor decision.
Sometimes its OK to say that the number is "high enough" or "low enough" On Mon, Nov 16, 2009 at 11:19 AM, William Marino <[email protected]>wrote: > Those are made up numbers. You have no data and are offering your gut > reaction (which I agree with, but also lack the data). > > > > -----Original Message----- > From: [email protected] <[email protected]> > To: [email protected] <[email protected]> > Sent: Mon Nov 16 11:08:11 2009 > Subject: Re: Football Numbers > > I'm saying that their chances of scoring from the 30 with 2 minutes to go > is 50% > > and the chances of stopping the Pats was 60%. > > So the odds of the Colts winning was 30%. > > I'm OK with that. > > Ray > > > > On Mon, Nov 16, 2009 at 8:59 AM, Steve Gendron <[email protected]> wrote: > > > You guys are really drinking the Belichek Kool-aid. Are you really > telling me that the chances of Manning scoring from the Colts 30 with no > time outs are equal to that of them scoring on the Pats 30 under the same > conditions? No matter how you slice it, it was a bad call. It cost the > Patriots home field advantage in the playoffs, which can be the difference > in a Superbowl drive. > > ________________________________ > > From: [email protected] [ > mailto:[email protected] <[email protected]>] > On Behalf Of Ray Salemi > > Sent: Monday, November 16, 2009 8:45 AM > To: [email protected] > > Subject: Re: Football Numbers > > > Steve O has cleverly summed up my numbers approach > > > > It seems to make sense that the Patriots had a much > better chance of making two yards than they had of stopping the Colts. > > > > I bow to his explanatory powers! > > > > > > > > -- > Author of "Leading After a Layoff: Reignite Your Team's Productivity in > Just 12 Weeks" > www.leadingafteralayoff.com > > > > > > > > > -- Author of "Leading After a Layoff: Reignite Your Team's Productivity in Just 12 Weeks" www.leadingafteralayoff.com --~--~---------~--~----~------------~-------~--~----~ You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "Red Sox Citizens" group. To post to this group, send email to [email protected] To unsubscribe from this group, send email to [email protected] For more options, visit this group at http://groups.google.com/group/redsoxcitizens?hl=en -~----------~----~----~----~------~----~------~--~---
