The Fertility Gap

2006-09-14 Thread J.D. Giorgis
A thought-provoking article about the implications of
differing fertility rates based on political ideology
in the US:

http://www.opinionjournal.com/editorial/feature.html?id=110008831

JDG



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Fwd: [lbstakoma] sci-fi magazines

2006-03-15 Thread J.D. Giorgis
Hi Everyone,

I haven't been around in a while, but someone in my
neighborhood just passed along the following notice,
and I figured that someone here might be interested.  
Contact Neda for more information

JDG

--- Neda Juraydini [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 Date: Wed, 15 Mar 2006 11:46:09 -0500
 From: Neda Juraydini [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 Subject: [lbstakoma] sci-fi magazines
 To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 
 My husband has stacks of the magazines Asimov,
 Analog and Fantasy 
 Science Fiction. Dating back to '96 or '95, and
 maybe older.  He's 
 having a hard time parting with them but is willing
 to do so if he can 
 find a new home for them. Any ideas??
 
 
 Neda
 
 905 Jackson
 
 



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Week 13 NFL Picks

2003-11-29 Thread J.D. Giorgis
On Thanksgiving Day I took Green Bay and Miami, and
surprisingly went 1-1 in this .500 kind of year for
me.

Arizona at Chicago - The story of the Cardinals this
year has been surprising people at home and getting
blown out on the road.  Pick: BEARS

New England at Indianpolis - Bill Belichick, aka Lex
Luther, has traditionally had Petyon SuperManning's
number, but the Patriots have continued to pile up
even more injuries each and every week, and something
tells me that this is the Colts' year and they'll
prove it tomorrow.  Pick: COLTS

Minnesota at St. Louis - This should be a fascinating
game of two offensive-oriented teams.   Last week, the
Vikings got two picks returned for touchdowns in two
minutes to seal the win... and this week they are
playing Marc Bulger - who is throwing picks the way
Pedro Martinez throws strikeouts.  I'll go with the
upset here... Pick: VIKINGS


Buffalo at New York Giants - Travis Henry and Eric
Moulds were already playing hurt, and now Drew Bledsoe
has a concussion.  Things don't look good for perhaps
the NFL's worst road team next to Arizona right now. 
Pick: GIANTS


Cincinnati at Pittsburgh - I can't bail on my pick to
win the division... Pick: BENGALS


Philadelphia at Carolina - Memo to the NFL that
overreacted to Eagles losses the first two weeks of
the season - this team is still pretty darn good. 
Pick: EAGLES


San Francisco at Baltimore - The Ravens are an
absolutely inexplicable team, almost winning in spite
of themselves.   Jeff Garcia returns from injury this
week, but maybe he should have waited until afte rthe
49ers play Baltimore's defense.  Pick: RAVENS


Atlanta at Houston - Both these teams got robbed last
week after playing two of the three best teams in the
AFC incredibly tough...  In this one, I'll go with the
potential return of Michael Vick providing the spark
that this team needs.  Pick: FALCONS

New Orleans at Washington - Yes Tim Hasselbeck looked
awfully good last week.  In Buffalo, we call this the
well-documented Alex Van Pelt effect of backup QB's
surprising defenses that had prepared extensively for
another QB.   Hasselbeck has no such luxury this week.
 Pick: SAINTS

Denver at Oakland - The Broncos choked big time
against the Bears at home last week, and should take
it out on the Raiders.  Pick: BRONCOS

Kansas City at San Diego - The Chiefs are winning it
all this year.  Pick: CHIEFS

Cleveland at Seattle - Yes the Seahawks gave up 38
points on offense to the hapless offense of the
Baltimore Ravens last week.  Which means, of course,
that they will probably play Cleveland to a 13-13 tie.
  I have to take a winner, though, so... Pick:
SEWAHAWKS

Tampa Bay at Jacksonville - The Bucs still have an
outside shot at the playoffs and simply cannot affor
to stumble here.  Pick: BUCS

Tennessee at NY Jets - This looks like the first
Monday Night humdinger of the year.  Pick: TITANS


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  Tonight I have a message for the brave and oppressed people of Iraq:
 Your enemy is not surrounding your country — your enemy is ruling your  
 country. And the day he and his regime are removed from power will be
   the day of your liberation.  -George W. Bush 1/29/03

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Molly Ivins

2003-06-03 Thread J.D. Giorgis
David Frum, National Review:
 http://www.nationalreview.com/frum/diary060103.asp



Bill O'Reilly debated Al Franken and Molly Ivins in an
event broadcast on C-Span on Sunday afternoon, and he
made this great joke that cracked up the conservatives
in the audience: 

These HMOs are getting so arrogant that men who want
to beat their wives have to get the hospital bills
pre-cleared.

No, no, no - of course he didn't say that. O'Reilly
can be a pretty outrageous guy, but he knows perfectly
well that a joke about wife-beating is a career-ender.

The joke actually was made by Molly Ivins, and it
really went like this: The price of gas is riz so
high - yes she said riz: if you're a Texan who
wants to advocate gun control and lesbian marriage,
you have to sprinkle your speech with hick phrases so
that nobody gets the idea you're just another of them
Yankee liberals - the price of gas is riz so high
that women who want to run over their husbands have to
carpool. And the liberals in the audience really did
crack up, including both Franken and the ostensibly
neutral moderator, whose name I did not catch.

Now there are is a very obvious point to be made about
this little humorous gem, and I'm sure it has already
occurred to you. (Actually there are two: the other
being that it's not very funny, but then none of Molly
Ivins' work has been very funny since a court told her
to quit repackaging Florence King's writing as her
own.)

Let me venture instead this possibly slightly less
obvious point - Molly Ivins went on to deliver a
passionate little speech about her commitment to
civilizing American discourse! Apparently, American
discourse is being rendered viciously uncivil by Rush
Limbaugh's habit of explaining dynamic scoring over
the airwaves - and the liberal way to elevate the
vulgar tone of right-wing debate is to make jokes
about killing people. 


=
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John D. Giorgis   -  [EMAIL PROTECTED]
  Tonight I have a message for the brave and oppressed people of Iraq:
 Your enemy is not surrounding your country — your enemy is ruling your  
 country. And the day he and his regime are removed from power will be
   the day of your liberation.  -George W. Bush 1/29/03

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Iraq's Chemical Weapons

2003-04-04 Thread J.D. Giorgis
Here is an excellent graphic describing Iraq's
chemical weapons arsenal and delivery systems:
http://images.latimes.com/media/acrobat/2003-04/7268711.pdf


In other news, we may have confirmation of a smoking
gun in a few hours or days:
 http://abcnews.go.com/wire/World/ap20030404_495.html
Officer: Troops Find Vials of Powder
Troops Find Vials of White Powder, Documents on
Chemical Warfare Near Baghdad, Officer Says

The Associated Press
NEAR BAGHDAD, Iraq April 4 — 
U.S. troops found thousands of boxes of white powder,
nerve agent antidote and Arabic documents on how to
engage in chemical warfare at an industrial site south
of Baghdad, a U.S. officer said Friday.

Col. John Peabody, engineer brigade commander of the
3rd Infantry Division, said the materials were found
Friday at the Latifiyah industrial complex 25 miles
south of Baghdad.

It is clearly a suspicious site, Peabody said.

Peabody said troops found thousands of boxes, each of
which contained three vials of white powder, together
with documents written in Arabic that dealt with how
to engage in chemical warfare.

He also said they discovered atropine, used to counter
the effects of nerve agents.

The facility had been identified by the International
Atomic Energy Agency as a suspected chemical,
biological and nuclear weapons site. U.N. inspectors
visited the plant at least nine times, including as
recently as Feb. 18.

The facility is part of a larger complex known as the
Latifiyah Explosives and Ammunition Plant al Qa Qaa.

During the 1991 Gulf War, U.S. jets bombed the plant.




Meanwhile, signs that Iraq may use chemical weapons
are on the increase:

http://www.latimes.com/news/custom/showcase/la-war-chemwar4apr04.story



8:20 PM PST, April 3, 2003   
Iraqi 'Chatter' Threatens Use of Chemicals
 Intercepted electronic transmissions heighten effort
by U.S.-led troops to find any secret caches.
By Bob Drogin, Times Staff Writer


WASHINGTON -- Alarmed by intercepts of Iraqi
communications mentioning use of special weapons and
other fresh intelligence, U.S. special operations
teams and mobile units of scientists and weapons
experts have stepped up their search for suspected
Iraqi caches of chemical and biological weapons, U.S.
officials said Thursday.

The effort was given added urgency as armored columns
of U.S. troops poured across the red line, a radius
about 50 miles around Baghdad, and began besieging the
outskirts of the capital.

U.S. officials had warned that crossing the line could
trigger a desperate counterattack by Iraqi artillery,
missiles or drone aircraft capable of spraying lethal
substances on massed U.S. troops. It's more difficult
to target such attacks on fast-moving troops spread
out across the desert.

But U.S. experts believe that Iraq can no longer rely
on biological weapons to stop or slow U.S. forces,
because microbe-based agents such as anthrax or
botulinum toxin may not take effect for days or weeks.

Any biological attack would take too long now to have
a useful military effect, one official said.

Instead, U.S. military officials chiefly worry that
Iraqi troops may try to use such deadly nerve gases as
Tabun, sarin or VX. Such agents, which Iraq is known
to have produced in the past, attack the central
nervous system and can cause death in hours or even
minutes.

U.S. intelligence indicates shells and warheads filled
with chemical agents may have been stockpiled in
hidden arsenals in and around Baghdad, and are in the
custody of Republican Guard and Special Republican
Guard units that are trusted by the regime.

U.S. Defense Secretary Donald H. Rumsfeld told a
Pentagon briefing audience Thursday that we've always
believed the risk of chemical attack increased the
closer that coalition forces got to Baghdad.

Although the Pentagon clearly hopes to avoid street
fighting in Baghdad, some officials say that the
danger of chemical attack is likely to recede if U.S.
forces are drawn into the city's concrete confines.
That's because poison gas would also endanger Iraqi
troops and civilians in urban combat.

Once you're mixed up with them, it doesn't make any
tactical sense to use chemical weapons, said a second
U.S. official, unless they're just reaching out in
some irrational act.

The official said concerns about a possible
unconventional attack also have mounted in recent days
because of fresh electronic intercepts of Iraqi
military radio transmissions and other chatter that
use euphemisms or code words to refer to weapons of
mass destruction.

There are allusions to using special weapons, the
official said. There seem to be a lot more now.

Marines, already in protective suits, increased their
precautions as they approached Baghdad's perimeter.
They were ordered to keep special gloves and gas masks
close at hand, and to sleep with protective boots on
for the first time since the war began.

Special operations forces that have conducted
clandestine raids deep inside Iraqi lines against
suspected weapons facilities, 

Rebuilding Iraq Won't Be Free

2003-04-04 Thread J.D. Giorgis
April 4, 2003   E-mail storyPrint  
 

Iraq Debts Add Up to Trouble
 Economists say Bush administration officials are
wrong to assume that petroleum revenue will pay for
postwar reconstruction.

By Warren Vieth, LA Times Staff Writer

http://www.latimes.com/news/printedition/front/la-war-iraqdebt4apr04.story

WASHINGTON -- To hear some Bush administration
officials tell it, the reconstruction of Iraq will
largely pay for itself, thanks to a postwar gusher of
petroleum revenue.

The one thing that is certain is Iraq is a wealthy
nation, White House Press Secretary Ari Fleischer
said.

A look at the national balance sheet tells a different
story.

Iraq will emerge from the war a financial shambles,
many economists say, with a debt load bigger than that
of Argentina, a cash flow crunch rivaling those of
Third World countries, a mountain of unresolved
compensation claims, a shaky currency, high
unemployment, galloping inflation and a crumbling
infrastructure expected to sustain more damage before
the shooting stops.

And the more oil Iraq produces to pump up its
earnings, the more likely it becomes that prices will
fall, leaving it no better off than before.

Clearly, it's a basket case, said Dean Baker,
co-director of the liberal Center for Economic and
Policy Research in Washington. Once you start talking
about it, you see what an impossible situation it is.
I don't think the Bush administration is anxious to
have that conversation.

Bathsheba Crocker, director of the Post-War
Reconstruction Project at the centrist Center for
Strategic  International Studies, said Iraq's oil
money is not the panacea many Bush officials seem to
think it is.

It's unreasonable to think that oil is going to
finance all of the needs of the country, Crocker
said. All told, there's just not enough money to go
around.

Baker and Crocker are among a small but vocal
contingent of nongovernment economists and foreign
policy analysts who say it is time for the United
States to stop pretending that life in Iraq after the
war will resemble something out of The Beverly
Hillbillies.

The reality, they say, will look more like Chapter 11.
In their view, the only satisfactory solution is an
international aid and debt relief program as ambitious
as the Marshall Plan that helped Europe recover from
the ravages of World War II.

Unless debt and reparations are dealt with properly,
Iraq is basically bankrupt, said Rubar Sandi, an
Iraqi American investment banker who is pressing
administration officials to embrace a major debt
relief initiative.

I know they might not like what I'm saying, said
Sandi, whose Washington-based Corporate Bank Business
Group has investments in several developing countries.
But I am a businessman, and it's simple mathematics.

Although the debt write-offs would be spread far and
wide, some of the biggest hits would be taken by
countries such as Russia and France, which supplied
Saddam Hussein with military gear and other goods
before the 1991 Persian Gulf War and have been staunch
opponents of the current conflict.

Even then, experts say, Iraq's oil revenue probably
would fall short of what is needed to pay for postwar
reconstruction, and much of the immediate shortfall
would wind up being financed by U.S. Treasury bonds.

So far, the administration seems not to have noticed.
Deputy Defense Secretary Paul Wolfowitz told Congress
last week that Iraq would be able to pick up much of
the tab for postwar rebuilding.

We're dealing with a country that can really finance
its own reconstruction relatively soon, he said.

Office of Management and Budget Director Mitchell
Daniels Jr. asserted that oil and gas revenue and
confiscated Iraqi assets would provide abundant
resources for reconstruction.

Some members of Congress agree. I don't think it
makes sense to ask U.S. taxpayers to pay the full cost
of rebuilding Iraq when the Iraqi state has plenty of
resources to do so itself, said Sen. Byron L. Dorgan
(D-N.D.), who introduced a resolution Thursday calling
for the use of oil proceeds to finance the rebuilding
effort.

However, Bush administration officials have declined
to make specific estimates of the long-term costs of
rebuilding Iraq.

Without question, Iraq possesses assets any country
would covet.

It sits atop the world's second-biggest pool of proven
oil reserves, some 112 billion barrels, as well as
huge deposits of natural gas and petroleum yet to be
discovered.

But wealth in the ground does not necessarily
translate into money in the bank, at least not
immediately. Iraq's oil infrastructure has
deteriorated badly during Hussein's reign, and most
experts say it would take up to two years and $5
billion to restore production to its pre-Gulf War
level.

Estimates of Iraq's potential oil earnings during the
first year or two after the war range from about $15
billion to $20 billion, depending on price and
production assumptions.

From that income, at least $11 billion would be needed
initially for routine 

British Troops Winning Hearts and Minds

2003-04-04 Thread J.D. Giorgis
It seems to me that there is a national partnership
between the US and Europe, with the US specializing in
being the best warriors they can be, Europeans
specializing in peackeeping, and the British bridging
the gap.   Here seems to be more evidence for that...

JDG 



From London to Iraq: Peacekeeping Lessons Learned the
Hard Way


http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A23555-2003Apr3.html
By Glenn Frankel
Washington Post Foreign Service
Friday, April 4, 2003; Page A30 


LONDON, April 3 -- It was Royal Marines versus Iraqi
civilians on the soccer field in Zubair south of
Basra. The referee was a local community leader, and
the crowd of onlookers included armed British riflemen
who kept a nervous eye on the proceedings. The final
score: 9 to 3 for the Iraqis.

The game, as described in today's London Evening
Standard newspaper, was the latest example of a
military legend being forged in southern Iraq with the
help of the media and transmitted home: British
soldiers as civic-minded peacekeepers, struggling to
win the hearts and minds of Iraqi civilians and
deliver the message that the United States and the
United Kingdom have come to Iraq not as conquerors but
as liberators.

It's a legend built on national pride and years of
military training. But there's a flip side to the
portrait: While British troops are seen as sensitive
and concerned, their American counterparts are often
depicted as inflexible and wary warriors who mistreat,
humiliate and, even occasionally, slaughter civilians.

A lot of this is stage-managed and done for public
relations, said Ellie Goldsworthy, a former major in
British military intelligence who now works for the
Royal United Services Institute, a defense research
organization. But a lot of it is for real. British
troops are trained to come across as very forthcoming,
very friendly and open and ready to take risks in
dealing with the civilian population.

First, we have football matches, then we have tea
parties, and then somehow our soldiers go out and meet
the local ladies, said Philip Wilkinson, a retired
British army colonel who teaches at the Center for
Defense Studies at King's College. It's amazing how
quickly they do that. You can't go into a single
military base back in Britain and not meet wives who
have been brought back from the countries we've served
in.

From the beginning of the war, British soldiers in
Iraq have appeared more willing to run risks when it
comes to civilians. The first British soldier to die
from enemy fire, Sgt. Steven Roberts, 33, was shot
last week after he stepped down from his armored
vehicle in Zubair to tend to an agitated group of
civilians.

Still, last Tuesday, Lt. Col. Mike Riddell-Webster of
the Black Watch regiment traded his helmet for a
tam-o'-shanter, ditched his sunglasses and took his
men to patrol the streets of Zubair on foot. It was,
reported the Daily Telegraph, a quintessentially
British moment.

You can't win hearts and minds from the back of an
armored vehicle, Goldsworthy said. You've got to get
down, take off your helmet and deal with people on
their own level.

The British say the lessons they have learned come
from hard experience during the waning days of the
British Empire and in Northern Ireland. British forces
used brutal tactics to suppress rebellions in Malaya
and Kenya in the 1950s. Three decades ago, British
troops mowed down 13 unarmed demonstrators in
Londonderry on the day known as Bloody Sunday.

British analysts contend U.S. forces have much to
learn. Some British officers disparagingly refer to
Americans as Ninja Turtles because they are covered
in body armor, helmets and Ray-Bans. There's a
warrior-wimp syndrome in the U.S. Army, Wilkinson
said. The Americans treat civil affairs [relations
with local civilians] as a specialization, and you
have specialized civil affairs battalions to do the
touchy-feely stuff. Your warriors stay as warriors and
perceive themselves as warriors.

We don't have those kind of resources. Every single
soldier has to become an agent of the civil affairs
program. . . . We teach our young officers and
soldiers all of this touchy-feely stuff right from the
beginning.

American troops have been carefully briefed on
protecting Iraqi civilians, U.S. officials say. But
often they have been surprised by the hostility they
have encountered in southern Iraq. Last Saturday, a
suicide bomber driving a taxi filled with explosives
killed four soldiers of the 3rd Infantry Division at a
checkpoint near the city of Najaf. The driver had
slowed down and waved for help, according to one
officer's account. When soldiers approached the car,
it exploded.

Since then, U.S. troops have adopted a much more wary
posture toward civilian vehicles. The British press
gave heavy coverage to Washington Post reporter
William Branigin's account of an incident Monday in
which U.S. troops fired on a van full of Iraqi
civilians at a checkpoint outside Najaf, killing 10.

British military experts contend 

UN Considers a New Korean War to be Entirely Possible

2003-04-04 Thread J.D. Giorgis
NORTH KOREA: U.N. Envoy Says War Is Possible; Security
Council To Meet  

http://www.unfoundation.org/unwire/util/display_stories.asp?objid=32999
UN WIRE
 U.N. Secretary General Kofi Annan's envoy for North
Korea, Maurice Strong, yesterday called it entirely
possible for a war to result from U.S.-North Korean
tensions over North Korea's nuclear ambitions.

I think a war is unnecessary.  It is unthinkable in
its consequences, and yet it's entirely possible,
Strong said in London after visiting the Korean
Peninsula.  North Korea's leaders, he added, are
prepared to go to war if they believe the security
and the integrity of their nation is really
threatened, and they do.

The U.N. Security Council plans to meet Wednesday, a
day before North Korea is to withdraw from the Nuclear
Nonproliferation Treaty, to discuss the crisis.  The
United States has been seeking a Security Council
measure condemning North Korea over what Washington
calls a failure to live up to international
obligations involving nuclear nonproliferation. 
Strong said the meeting is likely to be contentious.

North Korea said Jan. 12 that it would withdraw from
the treaty, and the International Atomic Energy Agency
referred the matter to the council (Associated Press,
April 3).  The council took up the meeting Feb. 19,
then referred it to expert consultations.  A deadlock
resulted from U.S.-Chinese differences over how to
deal with North Korea, and current Security Council
President Adolfo Aguilar Zinser this week announced
there would be a meeting next week (Japan Economic
Newswire, April 3).

In related news, North Korea said today that it will
not renounce efforts to develop missiles.  Responding
to U.S. sanctions imposed over North Korea's alleged
transfer of missile technology to Pakistan, the
state-run Korean Central News Agency said it is
Pyongyang's sovereign right to produce, deploy or
export missiles to other countries.

The agency added that North Korea's missile program is
defensive in nature and poses no threats to any
country that respects our independence (Jong-Heon
Lee, United Press International, April 4).
 
 


=
---
John D. Giorgis   -  [EMAIL PROTECTED]
  Tonight I have a message for the brave and oppressed people of Iraq:
 Your enemy is not surrounding your country — your enemy is ruling your  
 country. And the day he and his regime are removed from power will be
   the day of your liberation.  -George W. Bush 1/29/03

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Iraq Was Starving Civilians

2003-04-04 Thread J.D. Giorgis
It will be interesting to count the instances of
outrage over this, as Saddam attempted to starve
civilians in Basra and blame it on the allies.

JDG



Complex found bulging with food in hungry city
Distribution center was used by U.N. oil-for-food
program
From Mike Boettcher
CNN
Thursday, April 3, 2003 Posted: 4:29 PM EST (2129 GMT)
 
BASRA, Iraq (CNN) -- A giant food distribution complex
seized Wednesday by U.S. and British forces in this
city grappling with hunger contained massive amounts
of food. 

A walk through only about 20 percent of the warehouses
in the complex revealed that tens of thousands of tons
of supplies -- including huge quantities of baby milk
-- were being stored in Iraq's second-largest city,
which has been wracked by a food shortage. 

There are vast amounts of food staples, tea, sugar,
tires, car batteries and sewing machines in the
warehouses. 

Also found were large quantities of cash, weapons and
documents relating to the food-distribution system.
Coalition officials hope the documents will help them
smooth out the distribution process. 

A small force of Iraqis tried Wednesday night without
success to retake the complex, which had been used by
the U.N. oil-for-food program. 

Iraq's second-largest city was controlled by Iraqis
until Wednesday. Parts of it remained in contention
Thursday. Six or seven volleys of rockets targeted
armored positions Wednesday night in the part of the
city still held by Iraqis. 

British troops, with the support of American special
operations forces, have been pushing steadily into the
city in a slow and methodical process. 

Although Iraqi paramilitary fighters were putting up
fierce resistance, the suburbs and parts of the city
appeared to be in coalition control. 

British forces late Wednesday and Thursday bombarded
Iraqi forces around Basra with long-range artillery. A
British military spokesman said the situation around
Basra was stabilizing by the day. (Full story) 

As we drove through a suburb Thursday, a few Iraqis
waved, but most appeared neutral. On the other hand,
we saw no glares of hatred, either. 

Many people in Basra recall the failure of the United
States to follow through on implied promises of
military support to an uprising by Shia Muslims
crushed by President Saddam Hussein. Thousands were
killed by Saddam after the 1991 Persian Gulf War. 

Meanwhile, coalition forces were trying to determine
the needs of Basra's residents and then to meet them.
Medical supplies and water headed the list. 

CNN Correspondent Mike Boettcher is with U.S. special
operations forces in southern Iraq. 

EDITOR'S NOTE: This report was written in accordance
with Pentagon ground rules allowing so-called embedded
reporting, in which journalists join deployed troops.
Among the rules accepted by all participating news
organizations is an agreement not to disclose
sensitive operational details. 


=
---
John D. Giorgis   -  [EMAIL PROTECTED]
  Tonight I have a message for the brave and oppressed people of Iraq:
 Your enemy is not surrounding your country — your enemy is ruling your  
 country. And the day he and his regime are removed from power will be
   the day of your liberation.  -George W. Bush 1/29/03

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Canada

2003-04-03 Thread J.D. Giorgis
Canadians hurl abuse at U.S. hockey peewees
 

By INGRID PERITZ
Wednesday, April 2, 2003 - Page A1 
Toronto Globe and Mail

http://www.globeandmail.com/servlet/ArticleNews/TPStory/LAC/20030402/UMASSN//?query=Brockton
 
MONTREAL -- A peewee hockey tournament in Montreal
became a trip into hostile territory for a busload of
Americans who say they encountered such fierce
anti-Americanism that they will think twice before
returning.

During a four-day visit, boys travelling with their
Massachusetts hockey team witnessed the burning of the
Stars and Stripes and the booing of the U.S. national
anthem. When travelling in their bus emblazoned with a
red-white-and-blue Coach USA logo, they saw people
on the street who extended their middle fingers or
made other angry gestures.

On the ice, the Canadian players told their visiting
counterparts that the U.S. sucks and dispensed other
anti-American insults, the Americans said.

It was a shock to go to a tournament and have kids
saying this to us. These are our friends that are
doing this, Brockton Boxers coach Ernest Nadeau said.

We didn't expect Canadian players -- especially young
boys -- would take things to that extreme, he said in
an interview.

The 11- and 12-year-old boys from Brockton, 30
kilometres south of Boston, had been looking forward
to the hockey tournament in Montreal. But parents who
accompanied them said they were unprepared for the
depth of anti-American sentiment over the U.S.-led war
against Iraq.

One parent, Bill Carpenter, was so upset he cancelled
his family's vacation to Quebec this summer.

We were very offended by the whole thing, said Mr.
Carpenter, who accompanied two sons on the trip.

I understand the opposition to the war. But we were
made to feel unwelcome just about anywhere we went.

Montreal is a 5½-hour drive for us. It's not like we
were travelling to Syria or France or Germany, he
said. As Americans, we felt in the past that Canada
was our closest ally and friend. No one told us we
were heading into unfriendly territory.

The trip soured soon after the Americans rolled into
Montreal on March 20.

Their bus entered downtown Montreal just as hundreds
of college and university students were marching
through the streets in an antiwar demonstration.
Police cruisers spotted the U.S. bus and escorted it
to its hotel on Sherbrooke Street as a safety
precaution. A police officer urged the visitors to
remain in the bus until the protest passed.

The children watched as several demonstrators made
obscene gestures toward the bus. A U.S. flag was
dragged through the street.

We felt horrible, Mr. Nadeau said. How would you
feel if the Canadian flag was dragged down the streets
in the U.S.A.? This is a country that's supposed to be
our ally.

That night, about a dozen families went to the
Montreal Canadiens-New York Islanders game at the
Montreal Bell Centre, a much-anticipated visit planned
months in advance. In a gesture later condemned, the
U.S. national anthem was widely booed by the crowd,
leaving the visiting American children perplexed.

The kids were just questioning, 'Why are they doing
this?'  said David Cruise, who was there with his
12-year-old son. It's hard for them to realize we
weren't in America any more; we were in a different
country.

I said, 'They're booing our national anthem because
they don't like us.' 

Mr. Cruise felt so uncomfortable that he left with his
son after the first period. Whether you're for or
against the war, we have guys over there dying, Mr.
Cruise said. The next time, we'll stay in the States.
I'm not going back there again.

The visitors say anti-American comments continued when
the young players faced off against the Beverly
Bandits, a team from Beverly, Ont. U.S. players say
the Canadians hurled insults during face-offs and at
other times.

They told us we sucked, gave us the finger and said
'Down with the U.S.A.' or 'The U.S.A. sucks, Mr.
Nadeau said. At one point, a Canadian player made a
disparaging remark about the United States and the
referee turned around and said, 'I agree with you.'
What stunned us was that the referee, who is supposed
to be unbiased, is agreeing with the boys on the ice.

His players wanted to retaliate against the
Canadians, but Mr. Nadeau said he urged them not to
do anything foolish.

Denis Desrochers, president of the minor hockey team
in Beverly, west of Hamilton, said in an interview
that he had heard nothing about the anti-American
slurs.

It boggles my mind that the kids would say that. They
don't even talk about it, he said. I wouldn't
tolerate it. Whether you're American or Canadian,
you're not allowed to swear at any kids. On Saturday,
Mr. Carpenter went for a walk downtown with his two
children as another antiwar demonstration unfolded in
Montreal -- one of several that drew huge crowds in a
province staunchly opposed to the war.

Mr. Carpenter came across a knot of demonstrators
surrounding a protester who, with an Iraqi flag and a
U.S. flag, had climbed 

Taiwan Inelgible for WHO Aid Against SARS

2003-04-03 Thread J.D. Giorgis
At this point, I say that the United States should
recognize Taiwanese independence to whatever extent it
asks us to, and tell Beijing to take their objections
and stuff it.  Really, what will Red China do to us?  
Eventually, Beijing will come back to reality and just
get over it.   Time to do the right thing.

JDG



http://straitstimes.asia1.com.sg/topstories/story/0,4386,180847,00.html?

TAIWAN
Anger over lack of help from WHO 
TAIPEI - The President, the media and ordinary
Taiwanese are outraged by the World Health
Organisation's (WHO) failure to send its experts to
tend to Taiwan's SARS outbreak, despite reports of 14
confirmed cases.

The reason: Taiwan is not a member of the United
Nations.
 
They have also lashed out at Beijing for not giving
the WHO a tacit go-ahead to work with Taiwan's health
authorities.

Beijing, which views Taiwan as a breakaway province,
has objected to its attempts to become a member of the
UN or any other international organisation. 

'Sars knows no national boundaries,' said President
Chen Shui-bian on Monday.

'Taiwan's being excluded from the WHO's help list
shows disregard for the interest of 23 million
Taiwanese.' 

However, the WHO said Taiwan was getting the help it
needed. 

The United States, Taiwan's key ally, has so far sent
two medical experts to help combat Sars.

As of yesterday, there were 78 suspected cases, with
14 confirmed to have contracted the virus after trips
to China and Hongkong. 

The government has suspended shipping traffic between
China and Taiwan's defence outpost of Matsu, and
postponed sports and cultural exchanges between the
outlying Taiwanese island of Kinmen and the Chinese
costal city of Xiamen. 

It has also ordered more than 600 people who have
close contact with Sars patients to stay home. --
Lawrence Chung, Taiwan Bureau 


=
---
John D. Giorgis   -  [EMAIL PROTECTED]
  Tonight I have a message for the brave and oppressed people of Iraq:
 Your enemy is not surrounding your country — your enemy is ruling your  
 country. And the day he and his regime are removed from power will be
   the day of your liberation.  -George W. Bush 1/29/03

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Doh!

2003-04-02 Thread J.D. Giorgis
A journalist was fired from the LA Times for altering
a photo to, quote, improve the composition.


http://www.latimes.com/news/custom/showcase/la-ednote_blurb.blurb

Right.

JDG

=
---
John D. Giorgis   -  [EMAIL PROTECTED]
  Tonight I have a message for the brave and oppressed people of Iraq:
 Your enemy is not surrounding your country — your enemy is ruling your  
 country. And the day he and his regime are removed from power will be
   the day of your liberation.  -George W. Bush 1/29/03

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Brin: David Frum on the War Plans

2003-04-02 Thread J.D. Giorgis
Dr. Brin recently made some harsh criticisms of the US
war plans in Iraq, and suggested that it would be the
prowess of US soldiers in the field that would salvage
success in this war.  David Frum's commentary on this
from a few days ago seems particularly relevant - as
well as providing some great one-liners.

JDG

MAR. 29, 2003: QUAGMIRE - PART 1 
A reader writes:

I've thought considerably about the D-Day invasion,
which is widely agreed as a
great triumph. But how would today's media reacted at
the time to these issues?

- The anti-aircraft fire disrupted the paratroop
droppings, spreading them for miles, and causing great
confusion.

- The initial landings on the Utah beach were off the
mark by about a half mile as a I recall. The strong
tides carried the landing craft from the correct
landing point. 

- The Army Air Force bombers dropped their bombs
inland from Omaha Beach,
missing key German positions that later lead to the
death of so many American soldiers on the beach.

- Allied intelligence didn't realize the hedgerows
were so tall, and would cause so much havoc. The
initial breakout strategy was obsolete.

Many of today's media would sum this up as a complete
failure of the invasion, but it wasn't. The
paratroopers, in small groups adjusted to the
situation. Patratoopers who didn't know even know each
other began working together to achieve objectives.
Teddy Roosevelt, Jr. made a quick decision on the
beach, saying we'll start the war right here. He
communicated back to the invasion fleet to bring
troops to his position. Despite horrific losses, the
troops on Omaha moved ahead and prevailed. Troops in
the field developed tactics to kill Germans dug into
strong defensive positions. This included mounting
obstacles from the beach on the front of tanks to
break through the hedgerows. So we now see D-Day for
what it was, a tremendous accomplishment, in which the
troops adjusted to the situation on the ground. Just
like our troops are adjusting to the situation in
Iraq.

And from another:

When I was a Company Commander in Germany, a
sarcastic and ironic piece of paper was floating
around the Army. It quoted a WWII German general and a
present-day Soviet general making disparaging comments
about us, based of course on the Soviet and German
rigidity of command and control. It went like this:

The reason the Americans are so successful at war is
that war is chaos, and the American Army practices
chaos on a daily basis.---German general (can't
remember the name of the guy. Might have been Guderian
or Rommel).

Americans are so hard to fight because they do not
know their doctrine, and if they do, they do not feel
compelled to follow it.---Soviet guy (also don't
recall who.)

Written at the bottom in longhand, as if from an
American general to the troops, is 'Keep up the good
work!'

I thought you might think it was funny.


=
---
John D. Giorgis   -  [EMAIL PROTECTED]
  Tonight I have a message for the brave and oppressed people of Iraq:
 Your enemy is not surrounding your country — your enemy is ruling your  
 country. And the day he and his regime are removed from power will be
   the day of your liberation.  -George W. Bush 1/29/03

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Snap Judgements

2003-03-31 Thread J.D. Giorgis
Snap Judgments
By WILLIAM SAFIRE
http://www.nytimes.com/2003/03/31/opinion/31SAFI.html

WASHINGTON
I never made it higher than corporal, but it doesn't
take a military genius to figure out the strategy when
you have air supremacy: break the back of the enemy's
armor and its infantry before your big ground assault.
A month's bombing worked in the last gulf war and a
couple of weeks should degrade the Iraqi Army again.

Here is a baker's dozen of my snap judgments about
this war: 

1. Best gamble: jumping our guns a few days early in a
daring bid to win all at once. Our air strike to kill
Saddam and his gang may not have succeeded, but
failing to try on the basis of a sleeper spy's tip
would have been a great mistake. 

2. Biggest diplomatic mistake: trusting the new
Islamist government of Turkey. This misplaced
confidence denied us an opening pincers movement and
shocked the awesomeness out of rapid dominance. 

3. Best evidence of Saddam's weakness: his reliance on
suicide bombers for media victories. Individual
self-destruction may or may not terrorize a civilian
population but is not a weapon capable of inflicting
decisive casualties on, or striking fear into, a
powerful army. (It does vividly demonstrate the
Baghdad-terrorist nexus.) 

4. Most stunning surprise: the degree of intimidation
of Shiites in southern cities by Saddam's son Uday's
Gestapo. When Basra falls, however, fierce retribution
on these thuggish enforcers by local Shia may send a
message of uprising to co-religionists who make up a
third of Baghdad's populace. 

5. Most effective turnaround of longtime left-wing
lingo: Defense Secretary Rumsfeld's labeling of Uday's
paramilitaries as death squads. 

6. Most profound statement from a military leader:
Gen. Tommy Franks, refuting criticism of a pause in
the ground war, said, We have the power to be
patient. 

7. Most overdue revelation by the Pentagon: that
Russia has long been smuggling sophisticated arms to
Saddam's regime with Syria's hostile connivance. Who
suppressed this damning data for a year, and to what
end? And is the C.I.A. still ignorant of the
transmission to Iraq through Syria of a key component
in rocket propellant from China, brokered by France? 

8. Most inexplicable weakness of our intelligence and
air power: the inability to locate and obliterate all
of Saddam's TV propaganda facilities. 

9. Biggest long-run victory of coalition forces to
date: the lightning seizure of southern oil fields
before Saddam had a chance to ignite them. This
underappreciated tactical triumph will speed Iraq's
postwar reconstruction by at least a year. 

10. Worst mistake as a result of State and C.I.A.
interference with military planning: fearing to offend
the Turks, we failed to arm 70,000 free Kurdish pesh
merga in northern Iraq. Belatedly, we are giving Kurds
the air, commando and missile support to drive
Ansar-Qaeda terrorists out of a stronghold, but better
planning would have given us a trained, indigenous
force on the northern front. 

11. Best military briefer: General Franks is less of a
showman than the last war's bombastic Norman
Schwarzkopf, but his low-key deputy, Lt. Gen. John
Abizaid, is Franks's secret information weapon. Since
Abizaid speaks fluent Arabic, why doesn't he hold a
cool news conference with angry Arab journalists? 

12. Most inspiring journalism: embedding is
almost-full disclosure that puts Americans in close
contact with local conflict, but the greatest war
correspondent of this generation is not attached to
any unit. He is John Burns of The Times, who is
reporting with great insight, accuracy and courage
from Baghdad and makes me proud to work on the same
newspaper. (Among TV anchors, a lesser calling, the
best organized are MSNBC's John Seigenthaler, CNN's
Paula Zahn and Wolf Blitzer, and Fox's Tony Snow.) 

13. Greatest wartime mysteries: What tales of
special-ops derring-do await the telling? Who, in the
fog of peace, will honor Iraqis inside Baghdad
spotting military targets to save civilians? Will we
learn first-hand of the last days of Saddam in his
Hitlerian bunker? What scientists, murdered lest they
point the way to germs and poison gases, left
incriminating documents behind? Where are the secret
files of Saddam's Mukhabarat, detailing the venal
transactions with Western, Asian, Arab and Persian
political and business leaders — and connections to
world terror networks? 

Snap judgments, these. Considered conclusions come
after unconditional surrender.  




=
---
John D. Giorgis   -  [EMAIL PROTECTED]
  Tonight I have a message for the brave and oppressed people of Iraq:
 Your enemy is not surrounding your country — your enemy is ruling your  
 country. And the day he and his regime are removed from power will be
   the day of your liberation.  -George W. Bush 1/29/03

__
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Jpeg Question

2003-03-31 Thread J.D. Giorgis
Hi All,

I sent my Dad the picture of the camera-toting
dolphin, and he reports:

Don't know why but I can no longer see any jpg files.
They come out all fuzzy. Not sure why. Any ideas?


I'm clueless, but I'm hoping that maybe somebody here
might have an idea.

JDG

=
---
John D. Giorgis   -  [EMAIL PROTECTED]
  Tonight I have a message for the brave and oppressed people of Iraq:
 Your enemy is not surrounding your country — your enemy is ruling your  
 country. And the day he and his regime are removed from power will be
   the day of your liberation.  -George W. Bush 1/29/03

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Halliburton

2003-03-31 Thread J.D. Giorgis
I'd just like to note that after a recent discussion
in which a couple list-members got all pissy at the
suggestion that they would not post articles to this
list about students being prohibited from wearing
pro-life T-Shirts at school that I am absolutely
shocked, *shocked* I tell you, that nobody has
forwarded this news item to the List so far

JDG

Halliburton out of the running 
 
Dick Cheney's former employer won't have lead role in
reconstructing Iraq
March 31, 2003: 7:15 AM EST 
 
http://money.cnn.com/2003/03/28/news/companies/Halliburton/index.htm


NEW YORK (CNN/Money) - Halliburton, the energy and
construction company once run by Vice President Dick
Cheney, is no longer in the running for a $600 million
contract to rebuild post-war Iraq, according to the
United States Agency for International Development. 

The development is likely to spare Cheney, who was
Halliburton's CEO from 1995-2000, and the Bush
administration from conflict-of-interest criticism. 

A spokesperson for USAID, Ellen Yount, said there are
two remaining firms bidding on the contract. No
decision has been made on who will be awarded it, she
said. 


Halliburton, which declined to comment, could still be
awarded a sub-contractor role. 

Newsweek reported that it was unclear whether
Halliburton took itself out of the running for the
contract, was asked by the Bush administration to do
so, or whether its bid was simply not deemed
competitive. 

Post-war Iraq will require massive rebuilding centered
on reconstructing oil wells. The work will also
include emergency repair of electrical supply
facilities, water and sanitation systems, roads and
bridges, public buildings such as hospitals and
schools, irrigation structures and ports. 

Newsweek reported that a Cheney spokeswoman, Cathie
Martin, said the vice president hadn't even heard
that Halliburton would not be awarded the
reconstruction contract and added, The vice president
has nothing to do with these contracts. 

Cheney sold his Halliburton shares when he re-entered
politics as Bush's running mate. He held on to some
options, but promised to donate all profits to
charity. 

Timothy Beans, the chief acquisition officer for the
U.S. Agency for International Development, would not
identify the final bidders on the contract, the weekly
magazine said. 

Halliburton has won one Iraq-related job. The
company's Kellogg Brown  Root unit this week was
awarded a contract by the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers
to put out oil fires and make emergency repairs to
Iraq's oil infrastructure. Halliburton wouldn't
speculate about the deal's monetary value. 

Shares of Dallas-based Halliburton (HAL: Research,
Estimates) fell 6 cents to $21.44 Friday.   
 




Halliburton Out of the Running 
 
The construction firm once run by Dick Cheney won’t
get a big Iraq contract  
 
By Michael Hirsh
NEWSWEEK WEB EXCLUSIVE 
   http://www.msnbc.com/news/892259.asp
 
 
  March 28 —  After taking some political heat,
Halliburton is stepping out of the kitchen. The giant
energy and construction firm once managed by Vice
President Dick Cheney is no longer in the running for
a $600 million rebuilding contract in postwar Iraq,
NEWSWEEK has learned.   

TIMOTHY BEANS, THE chief acquisition officer
for the U.S. Agency for International Development,
said in an interview that Halliburton is not one of
the two finalists to be prime contractor for the
reconstruction of Iraq, though the Houston-based firm
could take part as a subcontractor. The contract is to
be awarded next week.
   Halliburton was one of five large U.S.
companies that the Bush administration asked in
mid-February to bid on the 21-month contract, which
involves the reconstruction of Iraq’s critical
infrastructure, including roads, bridges and
hospitals, after the war. But the administration has
come under increasingly strident criticism abroad and
at the United Nations for offering postwar contracts
only to U.S. companies. Many of the questions have
been raised about Halliburton, which Cheney headed
from 1995 until 2000. On Monday, the U.S. Army
announced it had awarded a contract to extinguish oil
fires and restore oil infrastructure in Iraq to
Halliburton’s Kellogg, Brown  Root engineering and
construction division. Rep. Henry Waxman, a California
Democrat, later sent a letter to Lt. Gen. Robert
Flowers, commander of the Army Corps of Engineers,
questioning why other oil-service companies had not
been allowed to bid.
Allegations of a too-close-for-comfort
relationship with corporate America have long dogged
Cheney and other Bush administration officials, as
well as insiders. On Thursday, leading hawk Richard
Perle stepped down as chairman of the Defense Policy
Board, a Pentagon panel of unpaid outside advisers,
after congressional Democrats raised questions about
his relationship with Global Crossing, a telecom firm
that had sought his assistance in winning government
approval for a deal with an Asian conglomerate.
Cheney’s 

Don't Go Back to the UN

2003-03-31 Thread J.D. Giorgis
While I find many of these arguments persuasive, I
just can't envision a proces by which the formation of
a successor organization to the UN occurs.   For this
to happen, many countries need to become disillusioned
by the UN, and so far I don't see that happening.  The
United States remains somewhat unique in the world in
having seen how broken the UN is before everyone else.

JDG





Don't Go Back to the U.N. 

By Charles Krauthammer
Friday, March 21, 2003; Page A37 

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A1196-2003Mar20.html

Don't go back, Mr. President. You walked away from the
United Nations at great cost and with great courage.
Don't go back.

No one knows when this war will end. But when it does,
you'll have to decide the terms. Yet in the past few
days both you and Tony Blair have said you will seek a
new U.N. resolution, postwar, providing for the
governance of Iraq.

Why in God's name would we want to re-empower the
French in deciding the postwar settlement? Why would
we want to grant them influence over the terms, the
powers, the duration of an occupation bought at the
price of American and British blood? France, Germany
and Russia did everything they could to sabotage your
policy before the war. Will they want to see it
succeed after the war?

The Frankfurter Allgemeine reports that on Feb. 21,
Germany's U.N. ambassador, Gunter Pleuger, wrote his
Foreign Ministry that the United States, blocked on a
U.N. war resolution and fighting alone, would later
remorsefully return to the council to seek help in
rebuilding Iraq.

That is their game. Why should we play into it? And
why return the issue to Kofi Annan, who had the
audacity to declare the war illegitimate because it is
supported by only 17 U.N. resolutions and not 18?

Mr. President, we lost at the United Nations. Badly.
But that signal defeat had one significant side
benefit. For the first time, Americans got to see what
the United Nations truly is. The experience has been
bracing. The result has been an enormous and salutary
shift in American public opinion.

You've seen the polls: Seventy-five percent of
Americans disapprove of how the United Nations handled
the situation with Iraq. In December, polls showed a
majority of Americans opposed to a war without U.N.
backing. Today, after the U.N. debacle, 71 percent
support the war regardless.

What happened? Americans finally had a look inside the
sausage factory. Their image of the United Nations as
a legitimating institution had always been deeply
sentimental, based on the United Nations of their
youth -- UNICEF, refugee help, earthquake assistance.
A global Mother Teresa. That's what they thought of
the United Nations, and that's why they held it in
esteem and cared about what it said. Now they know
that it is not UNICEF collection boxes but a committee
of cynical, resentful, ex-imperial powers such as
France and Russia serving their own national interests
-- and delighting in frustrating America's -- without
the slightest reference to the moral issues at stake.
The American public understands that this is not a
body with which to entrust American values or American
security.

On Sept. 12, 2002, you gave the United Nations a fair
test: Act like a real instrument for collective
security or die like the League of Nations. The United
Nations failed spectacularly. The American people saw
it. And the American people are now with you in
leaving the United Nations behind.

Why resurrect it after the war? When not destructive,
as on Iraq, it is useless, as on North Korea. China
has blocked the Security Council from even meeting to
deal with North Korea's brazen nuclear breakout. On
this one, the Security Council wants the United States
to unilaterally engage North Korea -- this amid daily
excoriations of the United States for unilateralism.

The hypocrisy is stunning. But the deeper issue is
that the principal purpose of the Security Council is
not to restrain tyrants but to restrain the United
States.

The Security Council is nothing more than the victory
coalition of 1945. That was six decades ago. Let a new
structure be born out of the Iraq coalition. Maybe it
will acquire a name, maybe it won't. But it is this
coalition of freedom -- led by the United States and
Britain and about 30 other nations, including such
moderate Arab states as Jordan, Kuwait, Bahrain and
Qatar -- that should set and institutionalize the
terms for postwar Iraq. Not the Security Council.

If we're going to negotiate terms, it should be with
allies who helped us, who share our vision and our
purposes. Not with France, Germany, Russia and China,
which see us -- you -- as the threat, and whose
singular purpose will be to subvert any victory.

There were wars and truces and treaties before the
United Nations was created -- as there will be after
its demise. No need to formally leave the
organization, Mr. President. Just ignore it. Without
us, it will wither away.

Fighting a war and rebuilding Iraq are tasks enough, 

More Details on Overtime

2003-03-31 Thread J.D. Giorgis
After further review, it appears that the Bush plan
will produce a net increase of 660,000 workers covered
under overtime laws.   Moreover, the excluded workers
will come primarily from such highly-paid,
upper-middle-class to rich-class professions as
engineers and pharmacists.   Perhaps most importantly,
it significantly simplifies the regulations which will
make application *and* _enforcement_ much easier in
the future.  

In other words, this action by Bush is pro-worker,
pro-Union, and pro-40 hour work week, and the
hysterical opposition of the AFL-CIO to this is
positively shameful.

JDG




BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS, DAILY REPORT, FRIDAY,
MARCH 28, 2003

For the first time in half a century, federal
regulations proposed Thursday by the Labor Department
could drastically change which workers qualify for
overtime wages.  Nearly 22 million Americans could be
affected by new definitions of white and blue collar
workers.  The changes could cost businesses $870
million to $1.57 billion.  The largest impact would be
felt by lower-income workers and highly compensated,
professional employees.  For the first time, employers
would be required to pay overtime to as many as 1.3
million lower-income workers who put in more than 40
hours a week.  But 640,000 white-collar professionals
who now are required to get overtime, such as some
engineers and pharmacists, would lose it.  (USA TODAY,
page B1) .




Posted 3/26/2003 9:17 PM  
 
http://www.usatoday.com/news/washington/2003-03-26-overtime-pay_x.htm
 
Plan would extend low-income overtime pay
WASHINGTON (AP) — As many as 1.3 million low-income
workers would be eligible for overtime pay for the
first time in a proposed overhaul of decades-old labor
regulations being released Thursday by the Bush
administration. 

But in a trade-off, about 640,000 white-collar workers
such as engineers, insurance claims adjusters and
pharmacists who now receive overtime pay could lose
it, The Associated Press has learned. 

The changes being proposed by the Labor Department are
confined to a section of the 1938 Fair Labor Standards
Act that defines blue-collar and white-collar workers,
and determines who must be paid an hourly rate of
time-and-a-half for working beyond 40 hours a week.
About 110 million workers are covered by the
regulations, which have not been updated in 28 years. 

It is just one of several changes the administration
is pursuing to workplace regulations and programs,
including the Family Medical Leave Act, job training
programs and unemployment insurance. The overtime
proposal is subject to a 90-day public comment period.
Final regulations probably will not take effect until
late this year or early in 2004. 

Business groups long have complained that the complex
rules, which contain outdated job descriptions and
salary levels, require overtime pay for already
well-compensated and highly skilled professionals. A
surge in overtime pay lawsuits aimed at employers also
is a concern. 

But employers could face $334 million to $895 million
in direct payroll costs for the 1.3 million low-wage
workers estimated to become eligible for overtime pay
in the proposal. Overall, businesses could face costs
of $870 million to $1.57 billion to put the changes in
place. 

The benefits of increased productivity and fewer
lawsuits could amount to savings of $1.1 billion to
$1.9 billion, said Tammy McCutchen, administrator of
the Labor Department's wage and hour division. 

Our proposal has attempted to simplify and update, to
make those rules easier to apply and easier to
enforce, McCutchen said. 

The current regulations are 31,000 words. The proposed
replacement is 13,000 words, she said. 

Easy, clear rules mean employees will understand when
they're entitled to overtime, employers will know what
their obligations are and the Department of Labor will
be able to more vigorously enforce the law. 

Union officials have said they would oppose any
changes that would cause longer work weeks, because
required overtime pay is the only brake stopping many
employers from demanding excessive work hours. 

We're concerned that these rules could weaken the
tradition of the 40-hour work week, said Kathy
Roeder, spokeswoman for the AFL-CIO, which hadn't seen
the proposal Wednesday night. 

Workers now are exempt from overtime pay if they earn
more than $155 a week, or $8,060 a year, and meet
other convoluted, confusing job criteria, such as
devoting at least 80% of their time to exercising
discretion and other intellectual tasks that cannot
be standardized in ... a given period of time. 

Employees who work under collective bargaining
agreements negotiated by unions will not be affected
by any changes. Also, companies still can choose to
pay overtime to exempt workers. 

The proposal would raise the salary cap to $425 a
week, or $22,100 a year, and any worker earning less
automatically would be required to receive overtime
pay. 

Jobs most affected by the changes likely would be
assistant 

Colitas

2003-03-31 Thread J.D. Giorgis
Learn something new every day:
 http://www.straightdope.com/classics/a5_001.html


BTW - not mentioned here is my friend's pet theory
about Hotel California, which is that it is about
divorce.

JDG

=
---
John D. Giorgis   -  [EMAIL PROTECTED]
  Tonight I have a message for the brave and oppressed people of Iraq:
 Your enemy is not surrounding your country — your enemy is ruling your  
 country. And the day he and his regime are removed from power will be
   the day of your liberation.  -George W. Bush 1/29/03

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Computer Power Supplies

2003-03-30 Thread J.D. Giorgis
O.k., I've managed to confirm that at minimum, my
computer's power supply died.   Anybody have any
advice on buying a 400watt power supply?  

Thanks for all your help.

JDG

=
---
John D. Giorgis   -  [EMAIL PROTECTED]
  Tonight I have a message for the brave and oppressed people of Iraq:
 Your enemy is not surrounding your country — your enemy is ruling your  
 country. And the day he and his regime are removed from power will be
   the day of your liberation.  -George W. Bush 1/29/03

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UK Cuts Greenhouse Emissions

2003-03-30 Thread J.D. Giorgis
I must say that these numbers definitely surprised
me...

JDG



Minister claims greenhouse gain 

Terry Macalister
Wednesday March 26, 2003
The Guardian 

The government today hails signs that its climate
change strategy is producing results, with carbon
dioxide emissions falling 3.5% over the past 12 months
after rises over the previous two years. 
That appears to put Britain on target for cutting
greenhouse gases ahead of the timetable agreed at
Kyoto. The figure will be announced by energy minister
Brian Wilson alongside £82m of public money for wind
projects. 

The minister is likely to disappoint a meeting of the
British Wind Energy Association by suggesting that
money to build a new national electricity
infrastructure capable of meeting the needs of
renewables must come from the private sector. He will
urge regulator Ofgem to do more to make this happen. 

The energy white paper set a goal of cutting carbon
dioxide output by 60% from 1990 levels by 2050; the
government previously talked of 20% by 2010. 

New figures produced by Mr Wilson suggest Britain's
greenhouse gas emissions fell 9% in 2002 compared with
1990, not far short of the 12.5% by 2008-12 agreed by
all signatories of the Kyoto protocol. 

That was achieved despite a 30% increase in economic
output over the past 12 years and is attributed mainly
to the switch from coal to gas-fired power plus energy
efficiency. It has been helped by a fall in energy
consumption. 

The drive to produce electricity from renewable
sources is also beginning to help and will accelerate
as new schemes come on stream. 

There are more than 1,000 wind turbines in Britain and
120 were sanctioned over the past week alone. The
percentage of electricity demand met by renewables
fell slightly last year because of growth in
consumption. 

Mr Wilson aims to stimulate this sector further with
£42m of public money to be allocated to five schemes.
Another £40m has been earmarked for capital grants
covering offshore wind schemes. 




=
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John D. Giorgis   -  [EMAIL PROTECTED]
  Tonight I have a message for the brave and oppressed people of Iraq:
 Your enemy is not surrounding your country — your enemy is ruling your  
 country. And the day he and his regime are removed from power will be
   the day of your liberation.  -George W. Bush 1/29/03

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Light Echoes

2003-03-30 Thread J.D. Giorgis
Hubble Watches Light From Mysterious Star Reverberate

http://www.spacedaily.com/news/spaceart-03a.html
Baltimore - Mar 28, 2003
In January 2002, a dull star in an obscure
constellation suddenly became 600,000 times more
luminous than our Sun, temporarily making it the
brightest star in our Milky Way galaxy.
The mysterious star has long since faded back to
obscurity, but observations by NASA's Hubble Space
Telescope of a phenomenon called a light echo have
uncovered remarkable new features. These details
promise to provide astronomers with a CAT-scan-like
probe of the three-dimensional structure of shells of
dust surrounding an aging star.

The results appear this week in the journal Nature.

Like some past celebrities, this star had its 15
minutes of fame, says Anne Kinney, director of NASA's
Astronomy and Physics program, Headquarters,
Washington. But its legacy continues as it unveils an
eerie light show in space. Thankfully, NASA's Hubble
has a front row seat to this unique event in our
galaxy.

Light from a stellar explosion echoing off
circumstellar dust in our Milky Way galaxy was last
seen in 1936, long before Hubble was available to
study the tidal wave of light and reveal the
netherworld of dusty black interstellar space.

As light from the outburst continues to reflect off
the dust surrounding the star, we view continuously
changing cross-sections of the dust envelope. Hubble's
view is so sharp that we can do an 'astronomical
cat-scan' of the space around the star, says the lead
observer, astronomer Howard Bond of the Space
Telescope Science Institute in Baltimore.

Bond and his team used the Hubble images to determine
that the petulant star, called V838 Monocerotis (V838
Mon) is about 20,000 light-years from Earth. The star
put out enough energy in a brief flash to illuminate
surrounding dust, like a spelunker taking a flash
picture of the walls of an undiscovered cavern.

The star presumably ejected the illuminated dust
shells in previous outbursts. Light from the latest
outburst travels to the dust and then is reflected to
Earth. Because of this indirect path, the light
arrives at Earth months after light coming directly
toward Earth from the star itself.

The outburst of V838 Mon was somewhat similar to that
of a nova, a more common stellar outburst. A typical
nova is a normal star that dumps hydrogen onto a
compact white-dwarf companion star.

The hydrogen piles up until it spontaneously explodes
by nuclear fusion -- like a titanic hydrogen bomb.
This exposes a searing stellar core, which has a
temperature of hundreds of thousands of degrees
Fahrenheit.

By contrast, however, V838 Mon did not expel its outer
layers. Instead, it grew enormously in size, with its
surface temperature dropping to temperatures not much
hotter than a light bulb. This behavior of ballooning
to an immense size, but not losing its outer layers,
is very unusual and completely unlike an ordinary nova
explosion.

We are having a hard time understanding this
outburst, which has shown a behavior that is not
predicted by present theories of nova outbursts, says
Bond. It may represent a rare combination of stellar
properties that we have not seen before.

The star is so unique it may represent a transitory
stage in a star's evolution that is rarely seen. The
star has some similarities to highly unstable aging
stars called eruptive variables, which suddenly and
unpredictably increase in brightness.

The circular light-echo feature has now expanded to
twice the angular size of Jupiter on the sky.
Astronomers expect it to continue expanding as
reflected light from farther out in the dust envelope
finally arrives at Earth. Bond predicts that the echo
will be observable for the rest of this decade.

The research team included investigators from the
Space Telescope Institute in Baltimore; the
Universities Space Research Association at the U.S.
Naval Observatory in Flagstaff, Ariz.; the European
Space Agency; Arizona State University; the Large
Binocular Telescope Observatory at the University of
Arizona at Tucson; the Isaac Newton Group of
Telescopes in Spain's Canary Islands; and the
INAF-Osservatorio Astronomico di Padova in Asiago,
Italy.


=
---
John D. Giorgis   -  [EMAIL PROTECTED]
  Tonight I have a message for the brave and oppressed people of Iraq:
 Your enemy is not surrounding your country — your enemy is ruling your  
 country. And the day he and his regime are removed from power will be
   the day of your liberation.  -George W. Bush 1/29/03

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Why S. Iraq is the Shi'a Holy Land

2003-03-30 Thread J.D. Giorgis
Holy Places, Battle Scenes 
A guide to Shiite Iraq. 
http://www.opinionjournal.com/taste/?id=110003262
BY ERIC ORMSBY 
Friday, March 28, 2003 12:01 a.m. EST 

The exotic names Karbala and Najaf, where coalition
forces in Iraq are engaged in fierce combat, have
little resonance for most Americans. But for Shiite
Muslims they represent two of the holiest places on
the face of the earth, about which we should probably
know more.

The cities' shrines and sites of pilgrimage are equal
in importance for Shiites to the pilgrimage to Mecca,
their golden domes rising over a landscape of
perennial sorrow and lamentation: Both Karbala and
Najaf are indissolubly associated with the martyrdoms
of Ali, the Prophet Muhammad's son-in-law, and of his
son Husayn ibn Ali. The deaths of these men at the
hands of those whom Shiites still remember with curses
gave Shiism its foundational myth as well as its
distinctive stamp.





Though Shiite Islam is less known in the West than its
Sunni counterpart, it not only commands millions of
adherents but has created, over its long history, an
imposing and often brilliant cultural and intellectual
legacy, most vividly exemplified in the architecture
of its shrines and mosques. We connect Shiism with
Iran, but the Iranian adoption of this branch of Islam
occurred late--in the mid-16th century.
At Muhammad's death in 632, one faction supported Ali
for the nascent caliphate because he was married to
Muhammad's daughter Fatima and because he was the
closest surviving male blood-relative of Muhammad.
Other factions, following egalitarian bedouin
practices, militated for Abu Bakr, a close friend of
the Prophet renowned for his piety. Ali was in fact
passed over twice more for the caliphate, acceding to
power only in 656.

For his supporters, known as the party of Ali or
shi'at Ali (whence the name Shia), the first three
caliphs were little better than usurpers. Even as
caliph, however, Ali was under constant challenge, and
in 661 he was stabbed to death in the great mosque of
Kufa by a radical dissident. Control of the new empire
passed to his archenemy, the first Umayyad Caliph
al-Mu'awiyah. One of the archvillains of Shiite
hagiography, whenever al-Mu'awiyah's name is
mentioned, the tag May he lie in the pit of hell! is
invariably affixed.

The city of Najaf lies in the vicinity of the once
powerful city of Kufa, with its rival Basra one of the
principal garrison towns of early Islam, seething
cantonments where much that is uniquely Islamic in
art, thought and the sciences first took shape.
Traditionally Ali is believed to have been buried in
Najaf, which even now bears the honorific title
Mashhad Ali, the place of martyrdom of Ali. As such,
Najaf commands the reverence that St. Peter's holds
for Roman Catholics.





Almost 20 years later, when the Umayyad Caliph Yazid
pressured Husayn, one of Ali's sons by his marriage to
the Prophet's daughter, to offer allegiance to his
rule, Husayn steadfastly refused. After fruitless
negotiations and skirmishes, Husayn and most of his
family were massacred at Karbala in October 680.
Husayn was decapitated, and his head was mounted on a
spear and paraded in public. During one such display a
voice is said to have cried out from the crowd, Be
gentle! On that face I have seen the lips of God's
Apostle!
The murder of Husayn provoked horror: for a
self-proclaimed Muslim ruler to kill a descendant of
the Prophet himself and to profane his body both
outraged and galvanized his supporters. The martyrdom
of Husayn, even more than that of his father, lies at
the inmost heart of Shiite Islam and is annually
commemorated with intense ceremony that includes
passion plays, self-flagellation and chanted
lamentation. Nowhere perhaps is the Shiite sense of a
deep and tragic injustice at the core of things more
conspicuous than in this ceremony, as is that ardent
yearning for the messianic return of the last imam who
will restore a just order to the world. The ceremony
takes place on the 10th day of the Muslim month of
Muharram during the period known as Ashura. By an
inauspicious coincidence Ashura fell this year mere
days before the outbreak of war. 

Mr. Ormsby is a professor at McGill University's
Institute of Islamic Studies. 


=
---
John D. Giorgis   -  [EMAIL PROTECTED]
  Tonight I have a message for the brave and oppressed people of Iraq:
 Your enemy is not surrounding your country — your enemy is ruling your  
 country. And the day he and his regime are removed from power will be
   the day of your liberation.  -George W. Bush 1/29/03

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CIA Warnings of Iraqi Resistance Were Toned Down

2003-03-30 Thread J.D. Giorgis
If this is true... this is highly embarassing.

JDG

Analysts Say Threat Warnings Toned Down 
Guerrilla Tactics Were Predicted 

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A34283-2003Mar26.html

By Walter Pincus and Dana Priest
Washington Post Staff Writers
Thursday, March 27, 2003; Page A27 


Intelligence analysts at the CIA and Pentagon warned
the Bush administration that U.S. troops would face
significant resistance from Iraqi irregular forces
employing guerrilla tactics, but those views have not
been adequately reflected in the administration's
public predictions about how difficult a war might go,
according to current and former intelligence
officials.

CIA analysts thought there was a good chance we would
be forced to fight our way through everything, said
one intelligence official who sat in on many
briefings. They were much more cautious about it
being an easy situation.

With U.S. and British troops being forced to defend a
more than 200-mile supply line from the Kuwaiti border
to U.S. troops 50 miles from Baghdad and to fend off
small-scale attacks by the Iraqi irregular forces,
analysts at the CIA and the Defense Intelligence
Agency are complaining that their reports would be
softened as they moved to the White House. The
caveats would be dropped and the edges filed off, the
intelligence official said.

The intelligence we gathered before the war
accurately reflected what the troops are seeing out
there now, one military intelligence official said.
The question is whether the war planners and
policymakers took adequate notice of it in preparing
the plan. At least one pre-war intelligence analysis
described potential threats of Iraqi irregular forces
mining harbors, planting bombs and firing at troops
while disguised in civilian clothes, according to one
senior intelligence official.

A CIA spokesman said the intelligence agencies
presented President Bush and senior national security
officials with the full debate, including a National
Intelligence Estimate that analyzed the scenarios that
U.S. forces would likely encounter during a war.
Senior intelligence officials have all had their
say, the spokesman said.

One senior administration official said the consensus
among intelligence agencies is that Saddam's Fedayeen,
a Baath Party militia commanded by President Saddam
Hussein's son Uday numbers about 25,000 members. The
force has led a series of guerrilla-style attacks on
coalition forces in southern Iraq cities.

The official said the paramilitary force is viewed as
a potential major annoyance to the U.S. war plan at
the moment, but one that could expand into a
significant problem. Because U.S. and other foreign
media have heavily reported the attacks, the official
said, they could become a major factor in the public
relations battle during these early days of the war.

We look at them as one of Saddam Hussein's tools,
particularly in his trying to lure us into urban
warfare, one senior intelligence official said
yesterday. But he added that they could become more
important than they are if the media turns them into
the equivalent of the black pajama Vietcong,
referring to the guerrilla force that caused many U.S.
casualties in the Vietnam War.

That view was echoed at the Pentagon yesterday by Maj.
Gen. Stanley McChrystal, who, when asked about the
firefights involving the fedayeen, described them as
fairly limited incidents [that] take on a greater
perceived value than they are.

The fedayeen, also known as martyrs of Saddam or
men of sacrifice, were organized in 1995 by Uday
Hussein. In addition to the paramilitary force, there
are an additional 3,000 in a reserve made up of Baath
Party members and some Iraqi journalists, according to
an intelligence official.

[Policymakers] were told the fedayeen would fight
more fanatically than regular army forces, using
conventional or unconventional means, one analyst
said yesterday. We did not predict the notoriety they
have already achieved.

Pentagon spokesmen struggled yesterday to deal with
the media focus on the irregular forces. Victoria
Clarke, the Pentagon's chief spokeswoman, described
them as thugs who have done extraordinary things
which go outside all laws and norms. If captured, she
said, they would be treated as war criminals.

Brig. Gen. Vincent K. Brooks, deputy director of
operations for the U.S. Central Command, which is
running the war, described the activities of the
fedayeen who operate either in or out of uniform as
more akin to the behaviors of global terrorists.

CIA and Pentagon analysts disagree about how long the
fedayeen and other units, such as the 15,000 members
of the Special Republican Guard and the Special
Security Organization, a force of 10,000 that enforces
Baath Party orders, would continue to fight.

CIA analysts believe these groups will fight to the
end, whether Hussein is alive or not. This is about
surviving for them, said one former senior Iraqi
analyst who still consults with the Pentagon. A large

Re: North America

2003-03-30 Thread J.D. Giorgis
Aye, aye, aye  like the great English word
cleave, North America is a term that has multiple
definitions when referring to the Western Hemisphere.

Cultural Context and some Economic Contexts: 
 North America = US + Canada
This is as opposed to Latin America, which includes
everything else.*

some Geographical and some Economic Contexts:
  North America = US + Canada + Mexico
This is as opposed to Central and South America

some Geographical contexts and Geological Contexts:
  North America = Panama, Nicaragua, El Salvador,
Honduras, Guatemala, Belize, Mexico, US and Canada
This is as opposed to South America, which includes
everything else.  Inclusion of the Carribean varies,
may be either in the North or as a separate third
grouping. 

JDG

* - Everything else limited to the Western
Hemisphere.  Greenland and St. Pierre  Miquelon are
not considered in the above defintions, as they're
basically of too small population to matter much. 
Inclusions of them may vary.  US Caribbean territories
including Puerto Rico, the USVI, and Guantanamo Bay
are not uncluding in United States above.

=
---
John D. Giorgis   -  [EMAIL PROTECTED]
  Tonight I have a message for the brave and oppressed people of Iraq:
 Your enemy is not surrounding your country — your enemy is ruling your  
 country. And the day he and his regime are removed from power will be
   the day of your liberation.  -George W. Bush 1/29/03

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US Moves to War Plan B, and C, and D.....

2003-03-30 Thread J.D. Giorgis
Analysis 
War's Military, Political Goals Begin to Diverge 

By Rick Atkinson and Thomas E. Ricks
Washington Post Foreign Service
Sunday, March 30, 2003; Page A01 

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A49102-2003Mar29.html

KIFL, Iraq, March 29 -- Ten days into the invasion of
Iraq, the political imperative of waging a short and
decisive campaign is increasingly at odds with the
military necessity of preparing for a protracted, more
violent and costly war, according to senior military
officials.

Top Army officers in Iraq say they now believe that
they effectively need to restart the war. Before
launching a major ground attack on Iraq's Republican
Guard, they want to secure their supply lines and
build up their own combat power. Some timelines for
the likely duration of the war now extend well into
the summer, they say.

This revised view of the war plan, a major departure
from the blitzkrieg approach developed over the past
year, threatens to undercut early Bush administration
hopes for a quick triumph over the government of
President Saddam Hussein.

Wars often divide political and military leaders. But
in the U.S. campaign in Iraq, that point of tension
came surprisingly soon, after just a week of fighting,
perhaps because an unusually lean launch helped the
U.S. force advance so quickly.

Carrying out the original aim of a quick war with
minimal civilian casualties would require taking
chances that officers here now deem imprudent. In the
past week, they found the Iraqi resistance tougher and
more widespread than expected, and the planned charge
to Baghdad stopped short of the city, with Hussein
still in place. 

The Army, which has little more than two divisions
here, soon will have three brigades -- the rough
equivalent of one division -- devoted just to the
protection of the vulnerable supply lines from Kuwait
to Najaf. 

And Iraq's best troops -- the Republican Guard and the
elite Special Republican Guard -- haven't yet been
engaged in large numbers on the ground.

To some commanders in the field, that adds up to a
need for longer timelines for the war. They are
discussing a more conventional approach that would
resemble the 1991 Persian Gulf War. It would mean
several weeks of airstrikes aimed at Republican Guard
units ringing Baghdad, and resuming major ground
attacks after that.

At the same time, commanders say the first 10 days of
fighting reaped many successes. An initial plan last
year predicted that it would take 47 days for U.S.
troops to get within 50 miles of the outskirts of
Baghdad, noted a senior Army commander. Instead, the
3rd Infantry Division got that far in less than a
week. By invading from the south and putting in
smaller troop contingents in the west and north, U.S.
forces reduced a military problem the size of
California to one closer to the size of Connecticut.

In the process, Iraq's oil fields were not destroyed,
and no missiles laden with chemical or biological
weapons were fired. U.S. casualties, while painful,
were light by the standards of modern military
conquest.

Look at the big picture, said Paul Van Riper, a
retired Marine lieutenant general who helped review
the war plan. Three hundred miles, relatively few
casualties, and almost no armored vehicles lost.

There also remains hope for a silver bullet outcome
that could bring an abrupt change in fortunes. The
possibilities are a coup, a bomb that kills Hussein or
any one of several other scenarios that tip the
regime, as Defense Secretary Donald H. Rumsfeld has
put it in White House meetings. This could all turn
around in a couple of weeks, said one retired U.S.
general who served in the northern Iraq relief
operation in 1991.

But when the U.S. ground attack resumes, it will
probably look very different from the first week of
fighting. You adjust the plan, said an Army general
in Iraq. The initial strategy was to get to Baghdad
as rapidly as you can, change the regime, bring in
humanitarian aid and declare victory. Now it's going
to take longer.

The next phase of the war is likely to have
scaled-back ambitions, not in the eventual goal of
removing Hussein, but in how that is achieved. Retired
Army Col. Benjamin W. Covington said the
administration's initial approach was unrealistic. No
country and no military force in recorded history has
ever attempted to simultaneously fight and win a war,
preserve the resources and infrastructure of the
country, reduce noncombatant deaths to the absolute
minimum within their capability and conduct a major
humanitarian effort, he said. 

The first tactical change is likely to be that ground
forces will wait for airstrikes to pound their
opponents. This phase was skipped this month in Iraq
but was carried out for five weeks during the Gulf
War, as many commanders here recall. My concern is
that we're trying to rush things, the Army source
said. If people would revise their thinking and say,
'Okay, we're going to spend a couple weeks' time
getting positioned and 

Re: mexico wants to eliminate the public domain

2003-03-30 Thread J.D. Giorgis
This article posted by the Fool used some technical
terms, but since I actually have some professional
experience in this field, I thought that I'd point out
that the concept of public domain has never existed
in Mexico the way it has existed in the US.  
Moreover, despite the hysterical title put by Kneem on
this article, but one major legal change being
proposed in Mexico is fairly technical: extending
copyrights from life + 75 years to life + 100 years.  
Another legal change discussed would bring Mexican law
into closer harmony with Canadian law, and thus
provide for artists to be compensated when their laws
are played on the radio.

JDG  

=
---
John D. Giorgis   -  [EMAIL PROTECTED]
  Tonight I have a message for the brave and oppressed people of Iraq:
 Your enemy is not surrounding your country — your enemy is ruling your  
 country. And the day he and his regime are removed from power will be
   the day of your liberation.  -George W. Bush 1/29/03

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Fwd: Quote of the day!

2003-03-25 Thread J.D. Giorgis
 Quote of the day (I wonder who actually said it)
  From a friend (no offense to anyone):
 
 you know the world's gone mad when the best rapper
 is a white guy, the
 best golfer is a black guy, the Swiss hold the
 America's Cup, France is
 accusing the USA of arrogance and the Germans don't
 want to go to war!
 
 Meanwhile, us Mexicans are still waiting for Saudi
 Arabia to deplete its oil
 reserves so we can become a world power...

JDG

=
---
John D. Giorgis   -  [EMAIL PROTECTED]
  Tonight I have a message for the brave and oppressed people of Iraq:
 Your enemy is not surrounding your country — your enemy is ruling your  
 country. And the day he and his regime are removed from power will be
   the day of your liberation.  -George W. Bush 1/29/03

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From the Front Lines

2003-03-24 Thread J.D. Giorgis
Marines Meet Potent Enemy in Deadly Fight
By MICHAEL WILSON
NY Times

http://www.nytimes.com/2003/03/24/international/worldspecial/24BATT.html

NASIRIYA, Iraq, March 23 — What looked to be an easy
ride into this city turned into a messy firefight
today when Iraqi tanks, regular soldiers and
guerrillas darted through the streets and turned their
mortars, artillery cannons, rockets and rifles on
advancing United States marines.

The battle began shortly after dawn. The infantry
unit, code-named Timber Wolf, approached the southern
edge of Nasiriya, which straddles the Euphrates River
in the south. The city's bridges, which were
eventually captured, are essential to the allied
troops behind Marine Task Force Tarawa, who are
looking to head north, toward Baghdad. 

The marines were trying to secure the bridges and
retrieve four wounded Army soliders. The soldiers were
among those left stranded after about a dozen members
of their unit were killed or captured after making a
wrong turn while trying to skirt the city before dawn.

Still, there was little clue what was in store for the
marines — the deadliest battle of the war so far. 

Minutes before 7 a.m., Col. Glenn Starnes, commanding
officer of the artillery battalion, listening on a
radio several miles south, shouted, Timber Wolf is
taking fire!

Tanks, part of a light armor reconnaissance unit,
crept forward 100 yards at a time against pockets of
Iraqi infantry and bands of Iraqi guerrillas known as
Martyrs of Saddam. 

The battle continued throughout the afternoon, with as
many as 10 marines killed and dozens wounded. The
Marine artillery unit, trying to provide cover fire
for the tanks, spent frustrating hours unable to shoot
into the city for fear of hitting fellow marines.
Iraqi mortar fire sounded in the distance, and Colonel
Starnes winced and cursed as American cannon
batteries, caught off guard, scrambled to get into
position. Twenty-three minutes later, the first
battery reported itself fully in the fight, or ready
to fire.

Radar detected the location of the Iraqi mortars, and
the Marine cannons returned fire, but it was
impossible to tell what was hit. Mortars are easy to
move and hide, especially in a city, where the shooter
can drag the weapon around a corner or into a home and
shut the door in seconds. 

You've got to remember, Maj. Phillip Boggs said,
you can hide a mortar in nothing.

The American command center was code-named Nightmare.
On its maps, it appeared that besides mortar, up to
four Iraqi tanks were shooting from behind a building.

Waste it, an officer said under his breath, wanting
to demolish the site. But firing would have been too
dangerous with so little information about the target.

With every denied spoken over the artillery radios,
curses followed and the unit was forced to hold its
fire. 

Let's not get gun-happy here, Major Boggs cautioned
the officers under the tarp that was the command
center, quickly heating under the midmorning sun. 

We are running amok, he said. We're suppressing
him, probably, but we're not killing him.

Reports came in of a platoon-sized group of 30 or 40
Iraqis, and smaller squads of soldiers apparently from
Iraq's 11th Mechanized Infantry Division. The
leadership of the division reportedly surrendered to
Army units the day before. But marines approaching the
city found machine gun nests in outlying dwellings,
Colonel Starnes said.

They also found four Army soldiers, injured in a
ditch, and called in an evacuation team. The soldiers
were part of a group of about 20 that made a wrong
turn in the dark, intending to skirt the city, only to
be ambushed, Colonel Starnes said. 

There was a puzzle. The Iraqi mortar and artillery
fire missed by such large distances that the marines
wondered about another motivation behind the rounds.

I'm afraid he's trying to unmask me, Colonel Starnes
said. I'm afraid he's trying to find out where we're
at. Returning fire, he feared, could give away his
position. 

A leutenant, Michael Slawsky, said, It would be
really nice to have some forward observer out there to
tell us `left' or `right' or whatever, and what we
hit.

After being pinned down most of the morning, the
infantry unit and the forward observer for the
artillery advanced shortly before noon, meeting
machine-gun fire.

The fight did not let up. Cobra helicopters flew low,
barely above the oversized balloons regularly launched
by an artillery unit to test the wind. More than a
dozen marines shouted orders and scribbled down
coordinates, hunched over lunchbox-sized portable
telephones, often struggling to be heard above the
din. 

The phone boxes frequently went silent for no apparent
reason. Officers wiggled the cables or clicked the
button on the handset, or picked up the box and
slammed it down on the table until it worked again.

With the heat came the flies. The voices on the other
end of the radio sounded frantic, shouting above
machine-gun fire in the background. Tensions rose
quickly in 

The Timeline Of the War Decision

2003-03-24 Thread J.D. Giorgis
Here is a fascinating article about how the war plans
were made, including some insight as to why it took
more than an entire year to go from the axis-of-evil
speech to the war.

JDG



Attack Was 48 Hours Old When It 'Began'  

By Bob Woodward
Washington Post Staff Writer
Sunday, March 23, 2003; Page A01 
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A12215-2003Mar22.html

When President Bush huddled with his senior national
security team Wednesday afternoon to consider fresh
CIA intelligence that President Saddam Hussein and
other key members of the Iraqi leadership were
spending the night at a complex in southern Baghdad,
the Bush team was aware of another, perhaps even
bigger secret.

Under the official war plan, designated OPLAN 1003 V
and approved by the president, the war with Iraq had
already begun.

A little more than two hours earlier, at 1 p.m.,
Washington time, 31 Special Operations teams -- about
300 men -- began pouring under cover of darkness into
western and southern Iraq. Joining smaller contingents
of U.S. Special Forces and CIA paramilitaries already
in Iraq, the special operators fanned out to sever
communications, take down observation posts and
position themselves to prevent what the Bush
administration most feared -- moves by the Iraqi high
command to use chemical or biological weapons, attack
Israel with Scud missiles or destroy the country's oil
fields.

The plan anticipated a 48-hour window for the special
operators to carry out their missions before the
official start of the war, set for 1 p.m. Friday with
massive airstrikes against Baghdad and other cities.
Soon afterward, the president was to announce the
start of the air war, and conventional ground forces
were to cross the Kuwait border into Iraq nine hours
later.

Over the course of a three-hour meeting in the Oval
Office Wednesday afternoon, the president and his
senior national security advisers tore up this
choreographed opening to the war. Acting on
information presented by CIA Director George J. Tenet,
the president ordered an airstrike and cruise missile
attack on the Baghdad complex, called Dora Farm, in an
attempt to kill Hussein and other senior members of
the leadership.

In addition, on Thursday, the administration decided
to move up the ground operation by 24 hours. It would
commence 15 hours before the first large-scale
airstrikes hit Iraq.

The revision of the war plan on the fly on Wednesday,
which was described by numerous well-placed government
sources, fit a pattern established in January 2002,
when Defense Secretary Donald H. Rumsfeld and U.S.
Central Command chief Gen. Tommy R. Franks began
drafting the blueprint for war.

Over the ensuing 14 months, in a series of what these
sources described as seemingly endless, often
excruciating two- to three-hour sessions in Rumsfeld's
office and in secure video conference calls between
the Pentagon and Franks's headquarters in Tampa, the
Pentagon planners came up with more than 20 versions
of the plan. In all, Bush received a dozen detailed
briefings as it evolved.

The constant reshaping, questioning and tinkering by
Rumsfeld and Franks strained and nearly broke the
system of war planning, according to several senior
and well-placed sources. But the process also built in
some unprecedented flexibility and surprise,
characteristics that have defined the war's opening
days.

Push and Pull 


In his State of the Union address on Jan. 29, 2002,
Bush declared that Iraq was part of an axis of evil
-- setting the country on what, in hindsight, seems
like an inevitable course toward war. 

At about the same time, as the first phase of the war
in Afghanistan was winding down following the ouster
of the Taliban militia from power, the president
signed a secret intelligence order authorizing the CIA
to undertake a comprehensive program to remove
Hussein. He authorized spending upwards of $200
million to support opposition groups and expand
intelligence collection.

The first CIA paramilitary team secretly began
operating in Iraq in June 2002 to gather intelligence
and meet with and support opposition groups.
Eventually the CIA deployed additional paramilitary
teams and established links with Iraqis throughout the
country, including Baghdad.

On a parallel track to this covert operation,
Rumsfeld, Franks and other civilian and uniformed
Pentagon officials began work on the administration's
top-secret war plan.

According to various sources, when Franks first was
asked to present a concept of operations, he proposed
a large force. Rumsfeld, with the experience of the
Afghanistan war fresh in his mind, pushed for a
radically different approach that would involve a
smaller ground force and much larger participation by
Special Operations troops.

The push and pull between the two men continued over
the months that followed. The initial plan called for
14 days of airstrikes before the onset of the ground
attack. Rumsfeld pressed Franks to reduce the time
between the air and 

Poland Becomes 4th Coalition Member in Combat

2003-03-24 Thread J.D. Giorgis
Sort of makes you wonder who else has joined in the
fighting without touting it  Maybe the Czechs,
Italians, or Hungarians?   

JDG


Poland Admits Iraq Combat Role After News Photos 
Mar 24, 1:12 pm ET 

By Douglas Busvine
WARSAW (Reuters) - Poland admitted on Monday that its
elite GROM commando unit had taken part in the
U.S.-led attack on Iraq after the soldiers posed for a
Reuters news photographer.

The Defense Ministry had denied that GROM (Thunder)
special forces were involved in combat, but on Monday
it confirmed their participation after dailies
splashed photographs of the soldiers in the Iraqi port
of Umm Qasr, where U.S.-led troops are battling
pockets of Iraqi resistance.

Defense Minister Jerzy Szmajdzinski refused, however,
to divulge details of the troops' role in supporting
the main U.S.-British force fighting to oust Iraqi
President Saddam Hussein.

We are determined not to comment on secret
operations, Szmajdzinski told reporters, saying only
that GROM troops were operating in the coastal
region of Iraq and in Gulf waters.

You don't comment about the theater of operations
because that would give away information about our
capability...this is secret, he added.

GROM is an SAS-style commando unit which has seen
recent action in Afghanistan. It is one of the few
highly trained units in Poland's armed forces, which
are mostly underfunded and still rely on outdated
Soviet-era equipment.

Poland, a NATO member whose government has supported
the tough U.S. line against Baghdad, sent 200 troops
to the Gulf in what they originally said was a
supporting, non-combat, role.

The Reuters photographs showed masked GROM soldiers
taking prisoners, scrawling graffiti on a portrait of
Saddam and posing with U.S. Navy Seals holding up a
U.S. flag.

These photos shouldn't have happened, said
Szmajdzinski. The next time it will definitely be
with the Polish flag.

Surveys show that most people in this east European
country of 38 million do not want Polish troops to
take active part in fighting in Iraq, although a
majority backs an auxiliary role.

Szmajdzinski denied the government had failed to tell
the nation that Polish troops would take part in
combat.

We sent our contingent to take part in military
operations, not to be observers -- that was obvious,
he said. Nobody misled anyone. 


=
---
John D. Giorgis   -  [EMAIL PROTECTED]
  Tonight I have a message for the brave and oppressed people of Iraq:
 Your enemy is not surrounding your country — your enemy is ruling your  
 country. And the day he and his regime are removed from power will be
   the day of your liberation.  -George W. Bush 1/29/03

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Sullivan on the BBC

2003-03-23 Thread J.D. Giorgis
As a side note, whie driving through several stretches
of Pennsylvania, Maryland, and West Virginia over the
weekend, I couldn't get any radio coverage of the NCAA
Men's Basketball tournament, and my only radio source
of war coverage was NPR.   As an example of how biased
NPR is, even by mainstream media standards, while most
radio news outfits cover the actual war, NPR seemed to
find coverage of the anti-war protests far more
interesting - and provided virtually play-by-play
coverage.  My general impression was that they'd start
in Washington, and after several minutes, we now take
you to New York where protests are under way, and by
evening protests are winding down around the country,
but protest activity is still heavy in San Francisco
at this hour...   Unbelievable.   And of course,
despite this comprehensive coverage, almost no mention
was made of the extremist views of so many of these
protestors, nor was much shrift given to pro-war
views, nor (unlike on DC Television that night) was
coverage given to law enforcement professionals
describing legal infractions by protestors.  

Hard to imagine that these are my US taxpayer dollars
at work...  I mean, I am generally sympathetic to much
of the concept behind public broadcasting in the US,
but this kind of propagandizing under the veneer of
news should be left to the private sector.

Anyhow... on to Andrew Sullivan

JDG



AXIS OF BIAS: Lileks observes a moronic convergence: 
11:50 NPR is running . . . the BBC. It's interesting,
listening to these guys - I'm unsure how it's possible
to sneer the entire time you're speaking. I fear the
announcer's face will stay that way. Perhaps you can
recognize an old Beeb hand by the permanently curled
lip. I've tuned in twice in half an hour; both times
they were talking about the FAILURE to get Saddam, and
what this FAILURE means for the war which might be
hindered by this initial FAILURE. And then the
reporter - a female one, with a sneerier sneer - says
the question now is when the attack will come, and
whether the President will give his generals
permission to act with a free hand.
Um . . . haven't we already settled that question? I
know it conflicts with the Beeb's view of Bush as a
vulture with a bloody globe clutched in one claw, the
other holding the leashes of the Joint Chiefs of
Staff, but I heard hours ago that theater decisions
had been left to the folks who do this for a living. 
Unbelievable: NPR's top of the hour theme is somber,
downbeat, with a few disconsolate snare drums - music
to lose by! Is it too much to ask of these people to
play something that doesn't sound like the music you'd
use for the sinking of a f--king aircraft carrier?
*$#%*(#$%$#5
Nah, James. They've only just begun. Imagine how
terrified they are that Saddam might actually be dead.
- 1:14:03 PM


=
---
John D. Giorgis   -  [EMAIL PROTECTED]
  Tonight I have a message for the brave and oppressed people of Iraq:
 Your enemy is not surrounding your country — your enemy is ruling your  
 country. And the day he and his regime are removed from power will be
   the day of your liberation.  -George W. Bush 1/29/03

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Oops, Clinton Just Lied Again....

2003-03-23 Thread J.D. Giorgis
...in case you still didn't believe that Bill Clinton
is and was a compulsive liar, he now claims to have
dunked a basketball in a high school basketball game. 


http://www.pittsburghlive.com/x/tribune-review/sports/s_124908.html?s_124908.html

JDG - No Comment Needed, Maru

=
---
John D. Giorgis   -  [EMAIL PROTECTED]
  Tonight I have a message for the brave and oppressed people of Iraq:
 Your enemy is not surrounding your country — your enemy is ruling your  
 country. And the day he and his regime are removed from power will be
   the day of your liberation.  -George W. Bush 1/29/03

__
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Kagan on the Atlantic Divide

2003-03-23 Thread J.D. Giorgis
Although I have significant disagreements with this
article, I nonetheless found it thought-provoking. 
Although its 20 pages, you can probably skim some
sections to get the main points.

In a nutshell: Kagan views the current Atlantic divide
as in large part the national dissasociation between
mid-tier powers and great powers.  Mid-tiers seek
rules based systems, great powers seek to act
unilaterally.  In the end, the US should show greater
commitment to international rules, and Europe should
so great commitment to enforcing those rules with
military power.

   http://www.policyreview.org/JUN02/kagan_print.html

JDG


Here is my analysis:

1) Was disappointed that Kagan treated Europe's
process of unification into the European Union as
unique, and drew no parallels to the formation of the
United States - which at the time included a great
deal of both religious diversity (Puritans in New
England, Catholics in Maryland, Quakers in
Pennsylvania, Protestants everywhere else) and ethnic
diversity (Dutch in New York, Swedes in the
mid-atlantic, Germans in PA - in fact, the US Congress
fell one vote shy of making German the national
language.)   Indeed, the US in large part is the
culmination of the transition from ethnic-based
nationalism (frex, France is the land of the French,
Germany is the land of the Germans, the US, however,
is *not* the land of the US'ins) to idea-based
nationalism (US nationalism resides around the
Consitution, the Declaration of Independence, and
other ideals, etc.) - a transition that the Europeans
are just beginning.   

Moreover, Kagan declares without comment - until about
ten pages later anyways - that the European Union was
designed as a counterweight to US hegemony, without
acknowledging the much more complex picture that the
US actually pushed the formation of the UN.   If
having the German lion lie down with the French lamb
is a major European triumph of rules, it is a
triumph with US fingerprints over it.   Moreover, many
Americans, including myself, still view a strong and
united Europe as being in the US national interest
(despite the best efforts of the French to shake that
belief recently.)

2) I am not at all convinced that, as Kagan asserts,
the end of the Cold War made the US more prone to
toss its weight around the world.   I haven't done
the analysis, but what about Grenada, Nicaragua, and
all the silent battles fought by US special ops during
the Cold War throughout the developing world?  

Indeed, completely neglected by Kagan is that an
unwilling US practically had to be dragged into the
Balkan conflict by the Europeans, after the Europeans
realized that they lacked the military might to solve
this problem on their own.

I guess, in the end, the end of the Cold War to 9/11
provides too small of a sample to draw firm
conclusions either way about the rold of a hyperpower
in a unipolar world, without perceived strategic
threats.

3) Europe, or more specifically, France - can hardly
be described as being pacifistic over militaristic. 
If the US is going to be called militaristic for
intervening in the Balkans, Haiti, and Somalia - then
France must similarily be credited for its
interventions in Cote d'Ivoire, the Central African
Republic, and any other of its former colonies.  

Indeed, an analysis of French foreign policy without
mention of the Gaullist view that American cultural
and military hegemony is France's primary long-term
strategic threat just seems inadequate.

Kagan sometimes comes tantalizingly close to tackling
this, only to come up empty - but, a primary source of
the Atlantic divide he is analyzing is the inherent
irrationality of a French worldview that views the US
to be a greater strategic threat to French interests
than Hussein, bin Laden, or China.   Although Kagan
admits that the US has a conscience and an idealistic
streak, France doesn't see it.  Indeed, although Kagan
talks of the US's indispensible role in defending
Western Civilization, his oversight causes him to miss
out on the paradox of France considering the very
protector of its civilization - the US - to be its
greater threat.  

4) Kagan's central proposition in describing his
worldview seems to be that mid-tier powers favor
rules, and big-time-powers, quote, fear rules that
may constrain them   

The problem with this analysis is that he only barely
touches upon the role of low-powers in this worldview.
 If the mid-tiers live in the idealism world of
rules and agreements, and (in Kagan's view) the
big-powers reside in a Hobbesian world (in Kagan's
view) simply because they can (and fear constraint,
then certainly the low-powers also live in the
Hobbesian world.Clearly, there is no evidence that
Saddam Hussein's Iraq, Islamic Fundamentalist Iran,
Kim Jong Il's DPRK, nor Al-Qaeda/Taliban Afghanistan
have any interest in operating in a system of
international rules.  Indeed, the DPRK clearly views
the European-style international rules system as a way
to have their cake and 

Re: Corrected French History

2003-03-21 Thread J.D. Giorgis
To everyone on Brin-L: 

In a recent thread, a certain listmember impugned both
 my patriotism and my honor, and over the course of a
rather long and detailed response, I included two very
 heated insults.  I recognize now that it was impolite
 to make such assessments to his face in any medium,
 let alone over a public list-serv.  This was, to say
the least, regrettable, and should not have happened.

 JDG


=
---
John D. Giorgis   -  [EMAIL PROTECTED]
  Tonight I have a message for the brave and oppressed people of Iraq:
 Your enemy is not surrounding your country — your enemy is ruling your  
 country. And the day he and his regime are removed from power will be
   the day of your liberation.  -George W. Bush 1/29/03

__
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Will the Worst Case Scenario Occur?

2003-03-20 Thread J.D. Giorgis
The Pentagon's Scariest Thoughts
By ANTHONY H. CORDESMAN


WASHINGTON — Watching television images of American
soldiers in the Kuwaiti desert, chemical-protection
suits strapped to their belts, it's hard not to worry
about what Saddam Hussein may have in store for them.
Still, one needs to be careful in talking about
worst-case scenarios: most worst cases will not
happen.

Consider one of the possibilities Pentagon planners
have most feared — an Iraqi infliction of smallpox,
which can kill 30 percent of those infected. The fact
is, there is no evidence that Iraq has smallpox — we
know for certain only that it is one of the last
countries where an outbreak occurred. Most allied
soldiers have been vaccinated, and the rest can
quickly be inoculated. Thus the serious threat would
be to civilian workers at our ports and military
bases. It could hamper our logistics while we immunize
these people, but smallpox doesn't seem likely to go
undetected or spread so widely that it could not be
contained.

As for other methods of chemical or biological attack,
all weapons of mass destruction are not created equal.
Though VX nerve gas is very lethal, chemical weapons
and toxins still must be delivered in large amounts to
produce large casualties. Saddam Hussein relies
primarily on large rockets and missiles with
relatively simple unitary warheads and contact fuses,
which cannot disseminate agents effectively over a
wide area. 

Iraq also still seems to rely on wet versions of
biological agents like anthrax, which lose
effectiveness in sunlight and in hot weather. The
story will be very different, however, if Iraq has
developed anthrax in the form of dry micropowders that
are coated for wide dissemination and resistance to
the sun, and that have been re-sized to increase their
infectiveness.

This is possible, but we don't have enough evidence to
say it is probable. This danger would be compounded if
Iraq has built a covert delivery system, or has more
sophisticated chemical and biological warheads and
bombs. The discovery by weapons inspectors this month
of warheads fitted with cluster bomblets that could
spread chemical or biological agents, and of large
unmanned drones, is worrisome. With improved delivery,
the lethality of these agents could be 10 to 100 times
higher.

The pilotless drone shown to reporters outside Baghdad
last week may have looked like a flimsy toy, but Iraq
may have developed more sophisticated craft, and they
can be very dangerous. The most efficient way to use
chemical and biological agents is a low-flying,
slow-flying system that releases just the right amount
of an agent in a long line over a target area or that
circles in a spiral. Iraq has been working on sprayers
for its unmanned vehicles for two decades. Iraqi
soldiers could also fly helicopters or aircraft laden
with agents in suicide missions, disguising them as
reconnaissance or conventional attack missions. 

What can our troops do? They have Patriot missile
defense systems that are vastly improved from the
Persian Gulf war — but the new Patriots, which could
work on drones and aircraft as well as missiles, are
untested in real combat. And they are not designed to
deal with shorter-range artillery rockets and shells
that might be fired at our troops in Iraq or at
close-range targets in Kuwait.

The effectiveness of any missile or artillery attack
by Iraq's army depends on its being able to fire large
numbers of chemical rounds at relatively static
targets. Thus the biggest concern would be when our
forces concentrate, particularly on the edges of Iraqi
cities and military bases. However, British and
American forces have armored vehicles with filters and
systems that increase the air pressure in the cabin,
an extremely effective defense against chemical and
biological agents. Further, they will carry out their
major regroupings and maneuvers at night, when Iraq's
army is blind. 

Those factors usually get lost in press coverage,
which tends to look at the chemical protection suit as
the first and last line of defense from a chemical
attack. Yes, even a false alarm could force our
soldiers to suit up — the protective gear is
unpleasant and being forced to use it could delay our
soldiers' advance. But it is important to keep the
risk of chemical or biological warfare in perspective.

As for other unorthodox threats, there is speculation
that retreating Iraqi troops may be ordered to set the
oil fields ablaze. The Iraqi military rationale is
that the oil smoke would paralyze American operations.
But this seems off the mark. Our missiles do not rely
on lasers anymore — oil smoke does not affect
satellite positioning technology. Our planes and
helicopters can fly above and around such smoke. Most
wells are in remote areas and thus the fires would
have little tactical impact. In fact, setting the
fields ablaze might do more to inhibit Iraq's military
operations.

Iraq could also use its dams and waterways to create a
limited flood plain in the 

Blood for Oil Analysis

2003-03-19 Thread J.D. Giorgis
...the blood for oil argument simply doesn't add up:
  http://www.cato.org/dailys/03-18-03.html

JDG



=
---
John D. Giorgis   -  [EMAIL PROTECTED]
  Tonight I have a message for the brave and oppressed people of Iraq:
 Your enemy is not surrounding your country — your enemy is ruling your  
 country. And the day he and his regime are removed from power will be
   the day of your liberation.  -George W. Bush 1/29/03

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First Report That War Has Begun

2003-03-19 Thread J.D. Giorgis
Can anyone from the UK vouch for the credibility of
this paper?
 

http://www.thisislondon.co.uk/til/jsp/modules/Article/print.jsp?itemId=3895393


This is
LONDON
19/03/03 - War on Iraq section

The war has started
By Robert Fox, Defence Correspondent and David Taylor,
Evening Standard

British and American troops were involved in fierce
fighting near Iraq's main port today as the war to
topple Saddam Hussein began. 

The firefight broke out near Basra as men of the
Special Boat Service targeted the strategically vital
city and the oilfields in southern Iraq. 

At the same time allied troops were flooding into the
demilitarised zone on the Iraqi border with Kuwait 40
miles away to take up positions for an all-out
invasion. 

Cruise missiles were also loaded onto B52 bombers at
RAF Fairford in Gloucestershire, a clear sign that the
bombardment of Baghdad could be only hours away. 

British troops taking up forward battle positions
were ordered to switch off satellite phones and allied
warplanes bombed targets in Iraq after coming under
fire in the no-fly zone. 

By lunchtime, allied forces were in position to strike
from the moment the 48-hour deadline set by President
Bush for Saddam to quit Iraq expires at 1am British
time tomorrow. But the White House had refused to rule
out a strike before that. 

The fighting reported at Basra was believed to involve
British special forces and US marines in an operation
to prepare landing sites for amphibious craft during
an invasion. 

Other special units were deep inside Iraq on secret
operations to prepare landing strips in the desert for
airborne troops. 

Basra, Iraq's only seaport, lies on the Shatt al Arab
waterway where the Tigris and the Euphrates open into
the northern Gulf. 

Surrounded by treacherous sandbanks and marshes it is
difficult to approach from the sea. 

Artillery, infantry and the tanks of the 7th Armoured
Brigade had already moved into Forming Up Positions,
and some were already on the start line. 

An attack could target Basra and proceed up alongside
the Euphrates towards the strategic cities of
Nasariya, Najaf and Karbala. 

Tony Blair said he believed all MPs, irrespective of
their views on the war, now wished British troops
well. 

I know everyone in this House wishes our Armed Forces
well, he said in the Commons.

A sandstorm whipped across northern Kuwait as the pace
of preparations suddenly quickened Kuwaiti security
sources disclosed that allied troops move into the
demilitarised zone, which straddles the Iraq-Kuwait
border, at around 11am local time, 8am UK time. 

The source, working in the Umm Qasr area in the east
of the zone, said: American convoys are still driving
towards Umm Qasr. 

A US military spokesman said he could not confirm or
deny that troops were inside the zone. 

A British Army spokesman said only that soldiers had
taken up  forward battle positions. 

At Fairford, 14 giant American B52 bombers which will
lead the fight against Saddam were loaded up with
cruise missiles this morning. 

The first flight of B52s were expected to take off two
hours before sunset to give them enough flying time to
identify their targets and drop their first
devastating payload before heading for home. 

The missiles were driven to the aircraft in five
articulated lorries escorted by police at 10.30am. 

Troops meticulously loaded the weapons - each costing
around £1million - into the bomb bays by forklift
truck. 

With an estimated flight time of only six hours to
Iraq the bombers are expected to play a huge part in
the initial air bombardment. A single B52 can deliver
a payload of more than 70,000lb at a range of 8,800
miles without being refuelled. They are likely to take
up positions over the Mediterranean or the Red Sea to
unleash cruise missiles or satelliteguided smart
bombs. RAF Tornados, Harriers and Jaguars are also
likely to be involved in the opening 48-hour
offensive. 

The Tornados will be given the specific task of taking
out air defences and barracks round small missile
batteries and air strips in the Iraqi desert. 

This will enable the enemy positions to be quickly
seized by airborne forces and turned into bases for
the advancing allied armies. 

The Harrier force of up to 20 planes has the job of
supporting special forces, the SAS and Special Boat
Service and American Rangers in the hunt for Scud
missile sites and any artillery shells with chemical
warheads. Intelligence suggests Saddam has given his
generals personal authority to unleash the deadly
weapons as a last desperate measure to hold the Allies
off from attacking Baghdad. 

The mainstay of the bombing attack will be the 750
American and British fighter bombers from Gulf bases
and the six American aircraft carriers now at battle
stations in the Mediterranean and the Arabian Sea. 

The aircraft, including RAF Tornados and Harriers,
F16s, F15s and F18 Hornets will work on a taxi rank
basis, forming ranks in the air before being sent in
on targets. Along with 

Allies to Face Chemical Ali in Basra

2003-03-18 Thread J.D. Giorgis
Allies Hope to Move Quickly to Seize City in Iraq's
South
By PATRICK E. TYLER
NY TIMES
http://www.nytimes.com/2003/03/18/international/middleeast/18BASR.html?pagewanted=allposition=top


KUWAIT CITY, March 17 — One of the first major
objectives in the war against Iraq will be to seize
its largest southern city, Basra, and secure its port
facilities and nearby oil fields.

Officials say they are aiming for a rapid and benign
occupation of Basra that results in flag-waving crowds
hugging British and American soldiers — all of which
would create an immediate positive image of American
and British war goals while undermining Iraqi
resistance elsewhere in the country.

But things rarely go as planned in war, and as the
onset of conflict appeared imminent today, soldiers
prayed and prepared to move. Everywhere a sense that
the waiting was almost over was palpable among
military units.

This afternoon, soldiers of the Third Infantry
Division's First Brigade Combat Team began packing up
and dismantling parts of a mobile command center in
the Kuwaiti desert. They packed their own bags, too.
The division is to head for Baghdad and beyond. 

You could call it relief, almost, that something is
happening, said Capt. Andrew J. Valles, the brigade's
civil-military operations officer. 

[In a further sign that military activity was rapidly
speeding up, marines at the forward headquarters in
Kuwait for the First Marine Division, which will lead
the drive toward Baghdad, began on Tuesday morning to
load their gear onto Humvees, trucks and other
vehicles. There was a sense that they would not be
returning to the base, Camp Matilda, anytime soon.]

As a military objective, Basra, a largely Shiite
Muslim city of more than one million people with no
great affection for President Saddam Hussein's
government, is thought to be vulnerable.

The Iraqi military command has ordered all of its
front-line divisions to pull back to defend Baghdad,
officials said, leaving poorly trained and equipped
garrison units to protect the port city and the oil
fields that straddle the border region with Kuwait,
just 40 miles south of Basra. 

The city is a key to Iraq's southern oil region. Not
all of the signals suggest that it will fall easily.
Last week President Hussein appointed the most
notorious member of his inner circle, Ali Hassan
al-Majid, to direct the defense of southern Iraq. Mr.
Majid, known as Chemical Ali, has been accused of
war crimes for his use of mustard and nerve gases
against the Kurdish population in northern Iraq in
1988.

American officials are not certain whether Mr. Hussein
appointed Mr. Majid, a close relative, to ensure that
the restive Shiites of southern Iraq remained loyal to
Baghdad, or whether Mr. Majid has been entrusted with
executing a military strategy devised to blunt or
undermine the American-British invasion.

We fully recognize his image and his track record, a
military official said. 

One fear is that Mr. Hussein, by appearing to expose
Basra to easy occupation, is preparing to surprise
American and British forces by attacking them with
chemical or biological weapons.

All I can tell you is that the marines will be
wearing their chem suits, the official added,
referring to the protective clothing and gas masks
designed to protect soldiers from attacks with
chemical or biological weapons.

The fate of Basra is viewed as critical. The first
image of this war will define the conflict, said Maj.
Chris Hughes, a Marine Corps spokesman. Military
officials said the 15th Marine Expeditionary Unit,
under the command of the British Royal Marines, had
been designated to take Basra.

An early success, if secured, would inoculate the
military to some extent against any setbacks that
occur in Baghdad, where a powerful American army of
tanks, mobile artillery and infantry will face down
Mr. Hussein's most loyal and best armed Republican
Guard divisions. The willingness of these Guard
divisions to fight will determine in greatest measure
the human cost of the war, military officials say.

If Basra falls, American and British officials are
planning to organize relief convoys of food and other
aid that can roll into the city from depots positioned
here and in Iranian cities that lie just east of Basra
across the Shatt-al-Arab waterway.

Soldiers will carry packets of food to pass out to
children, and medics will provide care to Iraqis in
need as the occupation forces roll in, military
officials said. To speed the relief work, the Pentagon
has dispatched a 60-member disaster response team that
will enter the city with British and American troops.

American officials said they had begun radio
broadcasts and leaflet drops in and around Basra to
notify residents that the attacking allied forces will
use kid gloves in taking the city. 

They will avoid bombing electrical and other civilian
infrastructure targets, the officials said, and are
advising civilians that they will be safe in their
homes and that there is no need to 

30 Nations Publicly Join US Coalition, France May Yet Join Up

2003-03-18 Thread J.D. Giorgis
Those countries include: Afghanistan, Albania,
Australia, Azerbaijan,  Bulgaria, Colombia, the Czech
Republic, Denmark, El Salvador, Eritrea, Estonia,
Ethiopia, Georgia, Hungary, Italy, Japan, the Rep. of
Korea, Latvia, Lithuania, the FYR Macedonia, the
Netherlands, Nicaragua, the Philippines, Poland,
Romania, Slovakia, Spain, Turkey, the UK, and
Uzbekistan. 


Powell: 30 Nations Support U.S. on Iraq
2:50 PM EST,March 18, 2003 
By BARRY SCHWEID, AP Diplomatic Writer 

WASHINGTON -- As the United States moved closer to war
with Iraq, Secretary of State Colin Powell said
Tuesday that 30 nations have declared varying levels
of support and 15 others have given their backing
privately. 

Most of the nations named by Powell would not have a
combat role, but have allowed the United States to
base troops on their soil and to let U.S. planes
overfly their territory. Others have offered expertise
in dealing with possible chemical weapons attacks. 
 
We now have a coalition of the willing that includes
some 30 nations who publicly said they could be
included in such a listing, Powell said, and there
are 15 other nations, for one reason or another, who
do not wish to be publicly named but will be
supporting the coalition. 

Powell told reporters he had received assurances of
open support in telephone conversations Tuesday from
the foreign ministers of Denmark and the Netherlands,
which were listed, but that Russian President Vladimir
Putin had reaffirmed his opposition to war with Iraq
in a telephone conversation with President Bush. 

But Powell said a mutual concern over terrorism and a
planned reduction in nuclear weapons arsenals pull us
together, and I think we will have this disagreement
and move on. 

At the same time, Powell said Iraqi President Saddam
Hussein so far had rejected Bush's demand that he
leave Iraq, but that a number of countries were still
trying to persuade the Iraqi president to go into
exile. 

He has essentially dismissed the message, Powell
said. 

Asked when the United States may go to war against
Iraq, the former Army general said he had learned
long ago not to make predictions. 

The State Department released the list of 30
countries, one of which, Japan, was identified as only
a post-conflict member of the coalition. 

Spokesman Richard Boucher said some of them may put
troops on the ground, while others would take on
other roles, such as assisting in a defense against
the use of chemical or biological weapons or
permitting allied combat planes to fly over their
territory. 

Boucher did not specify which countries would send
troops to fight. But Britain is known to have
contributed about 45,000 troops, Australia has offered
2,000 and Poland, 200. Albania has offered 70 soldiers
for noncombat roles and Romania contributed 278
non-combat experts in demining, in chemical and
biological decontamination and military police. 

No Arab country was listed by the State Department.
But Boucher declined to say none supported the United
States against Iraq. 

On the diplomatic front, Powell met with his senior
staff on Tuesday as we move into a new phase of
diplomacy, Boucher said. 

The U.S. focus will be on the humanitarian situation
and considering ways to assure food is distributed to
the Iraqi people and that oil exports are continued
after the war, Boucher said. 

The spokesman said the United States would seek a U.N.
resolution to ensure food distribution. 

Turkey was included on the list, and Powell said even
as the Turkish parliament debates a U.S. proposal to
use Turkish territory for an invasion of northern Iraq
he was confident of Turkish cooperation in one form or
another. 

Powell also hinted that if the parliament accepts the
U.S. proposal the Bush administration might revive its
offer of $6 billion in special economic assistance. 

Powell said war plans have been drawn up designed to
minimize Iraqi civilian casualties and to warn Iraqi
commanders about their actions. He said the U.S. aim
was to make it as quick as possible. 

Powell also said he would not attend a U.N. Security
Council meeting on Wednesday at which the chief U.N.
weapons inspector, Hans Blix, is due to make a report.


France and Russia, which opposed war and sought to
extend inspections, have indicated they would be
represented by their foreign ministers. 

But Powell said he saw no point in going, and that
U.S. Ambassador John Negroponte would represent the
United States. 

It's not a question of the United States boycotting
the meeting, Powell said. It's just that I don't
particularly see a need for me to go. 




Paris: We may help in chemical war
Tuesday, March 18, 2003 Posted: 1:50 PM EST (1850 GMT)


  
France could help despite opposition to military
action, Chirac's ambassador says 

WASHINGTON (CNN) -- Despite French opposition to a war
in Iraq, the French military could assist a U.S.-led
coalition should Iraq use biological and chemical
weapons against coalition forces, the French
ambassador to the 

President Bush to Address the Nation Tonight

2003-03-17 Thread J.D. Giorgis
ABC has just shown video of a US military officer
telling troops in Kuwait that the President is going
to talk to the nation tonight.

In other news, forces in Kuwait packed up their
civilian items and placed them into storage today, and
yesterday they opened their vacuum-sealed chemical
suits.   These suits begin degrading upon exposure to
the elements.

Lastly, the US has warned UN weapons inspectors to
leave Iraq, and Iraq is expelling foreign journalists.

Suffice to say, it definitely looks like this is
it.

JDG

=
---
John D. Giorgis   -  [EMAIL PROTECTED]
  Tonight I have a message for the brave and oppressed people of Iraq:
 Your enemy is not surrounding your country — your enemy is ruling your  
 country. And the day he and his regime are removed from power will be
   the day of your liberation.  -George W. Bush 1/29/03

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WHO Issues Alert, CDC Activates War Room

2003-03-17 Thread J.D. Giorgis
World Health Organization issues emergency travel
advisory
Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS) Spreads
Worldwide 

 
15 March 2003 | GENEVA -- During the past week, WHO
has received reports of more than 150 new suspected
cases of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS), an
atypical pneumonia for which cause has not yet been
determined. Reports to date have been received from
Canada, China, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region
of China, Indonesia, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand,
and Viet Nam. Early today, an ill passenger and
companions who travelled from New York, United States,
and who landed in Frankfurt, Germany were removed from
their flight and taken to hospital isolation.

Due to the spread of SARS to several countries in a
short period of time, the World Health Organization
today has issued emergency guidance for travellers and
airlines.

“This syndrome, SARS, is now a worldwide health
threat,” said Dr. Gro Harlem Brundtland, Director
General of the World Health Organization. “The world
needs to work together to find its cause, cure the
sick, and stop its spread.”

There is presently no recommendation for people to
restrict travel to any destination. However in
response to enquiries from governments, airlines,
physicians and travellers, WHO is now offering
guidance for travellers, airline crew and airlines.
The exact nature of the infection is still under
investigation and this guidance is based on the early
information available to WHO.

TRAVELLERS INCLUDING AIRLINE CREW: All travellers
should be aware of main symptoms and signs of SARS
which include:

#61607; high fever (38oC)

AND

#61607; one or more respiratory symptoms including
cough, shortness of breath, difficulty breathing

AND one or more of the following:

#61607; close contact* with a person who has been
diagnosed with SARS

#61607; recent history of travel to areas reporting
cases of SARS.

In the unlikely event of a traveller experiencing this
combination of symptoms they should seek medical
attention and ensure that information about their
recent travel is passed on to the health care staff.
Any traveller who develops these symptoms is advised
not to undertake further travel until they have
recovered.

AIRLINES: Should a passenger or crew member who meets
the criteria above travel on a flight, the aircraft
should alert the destination airport. On arrival the
sick passenger should be referred to airport health
authorities for assessment and management. The
aircraft passengers and crew should be informed of the
person’s status as a suspect case of SARS. The
passengers and crew should provide all contact details
for the subsequent 14 days to the airport health
authorities. There are currently no indications to
restrict the onward travel of healthy passengers, but
all passengers and crew should be advised to seek
medical attention if they develop the symptoms
highlighted above. There is currently no indication to
provide passengers and crew with any medication or
investigation unless they become ill.

In the absence of specific information regarding the
nature of the organism causing this illness, specific
measures to be applied to the aircraft cannot be
recommended. As a general precaution the aircraft may
be disinfected in the manner described in the WHO
Guide to Hygiene and Sanitation in Aviation.

* * *

As more information has become available,
WHO-recommended SARS case definitions have been
revised as follows:

Suspect Case 

A person presenting after 1 February 2003 with history
of :

#61607; high fever (38oC)

AND

#61607; one or more respiratory symptoms including
cough, shortness of breath, difficulty breathing

AND one or more of the following:

#61607; close contact* with a person who has been
diagnosed with SARS

#61607; recent history of travel to areas reporting
cases of SARS

Probable Case 

A suspect case with chest x-ray findings of pneumonia
or Respiratory Distress Syndrome

OR

A person with an unexplained respiratory illness
resulting in death, with an autopsy examination
demonstrating the pathology of Respiratory Distress
Syndrome without an identifiable cause.

Comments 

In addition to fever and respiratory symptoms, SARS
may be associated with other symptoms including:
headache, muscular stiffness, loss of appetite,
malaise, confusion, rash, and diarrhea.

* * *

Until more is known about the cause of these
outbreaks, WHO recommends that patients with SARS be
isolated with barrier nursing techniques and treated
as clinically indicated. At the same time, WHO
recommends that any suspect cases be reported to
national health authorities.

WHO is in close communication with all national
authorities and has also offered epidemiological,
laboratory and clinical support. WHO is working with
national authorities to ensure appropriate
investigation, reporting and containment of these
outbreaks.

*Close contact means having cared for, having lived
with, or having had direct contact with respiratory
secretions 

US Sending Food to the DPRK

2003-03-17 Thread J.D. Giorgis
U.N. envoy says U.S. food donation keeps aid flowing
to North Korea 
Sun Mar 16, 4:41 AM ET  


BEIJING - A U.N. envoy bound for North Korea (news -
web sites) said Sunday that the United States is
promising to send 40,000 tons of food immediately for
the hungry nation. 

   

Maurice Strong, a Canadian aide to Secretary General
Kofi Annan (news - web sites), was en route to
Pyongyang as part of U.N. efforts to mediate in a
standoff over the North's nuclear program. 


His announcement of new aid — part of a U.S.
commitment of 100,000 tons of food — follows warnings
by aid agencies that foreign donations have dropped
off sharply, jeopardizing programs that feed millions
of North Koreans. 


Washington is one of the North's biggest aid donors. 


In the next few months, the humanitarian assistance
will keep going, said Strong, who was to go to
Pyongyang on Tuesday. Beyond that, there is still a
lot of uncertainty, a lot of doubt, and so we have to
just keep working at it. 


Strong said he had information for North Korean
officials after a meeting in Washington with U.S.
officials last week, but he wouldn't give any details.



Aid agencies have appealed to donors to put aside
unease over helping the North during the crisis over
its nuclear program and missile tests. 


The important thing is that the humanitarian aid
continues while the attempts to resolve the larger
nuclear and nuclear-related issues continue, Strong
said. 


The World Food Program, a U.N. agency, has said that
even with the American donation, its programs in North
Korea will run out of food in June. 


The U.N. children's agency, UNICEF (news - web sites),
said last week that its clinics in the North will run
out of medicines next month and other essential
supplies in coming months. 


=
---
John D. Giorgis   -  [EMAIL PROTECTED]
  Tonight I have a message for the brave and oppressed people of Iraq:
 Your enemy is not surrounding your country — your enemy is ruling your  
 country. And the day he and his regime are removed from power will be
   the day of your liberation.  -George W. Bush 1/29/03

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Coup in Central African Republic

2003-03-17 Thread J.D. Giorgis
CENTRAL AFRICAN REPUBLIC: Rebel Leader Stages Coup;
Refugees Flee  
UN WIRE

 Rebel commander General Francois Bozize, who led a
weekend coup in the Central African Republic while
President Ange-Felix Patasse was in Niger for a
meeting of African leaders, suspended the constitution
and dismissed the legislature yesterday, tightening
his hold on the country as thousands of refugees fled
to Chad.

In a brief radio address, Bozize said his forces
ousted the government because of the mismanagement of
the country and its inability to carry out its
domestic responsibilities.  Our government is that of
peace and national reconciliation.  Declared
president of the C.A.R. on state radio,  Bozize said
he would speedily take steps toward reconstruction of
the country, including meeting with officials from the
World Bank and International Monetary Fund.

The takeover by Bozize's forces, who moved on the
capital, Bangui, on Saturday, followed six failed coup
attempts in six years in the C.A.R., one of the
world's poorest countries.  Three soldiers from the
Republic of the Congo who were part of a 300-member
African security force policing the capital died in
the fighting (Joseph Benamsse, London Independent,
March 17).  Hospital and military sources said at
least eight people were killed during the coup, and
dozens were wounded.

Bozize said in his radio address that the coup was
only a temporary suspension of the democratic
process and that he would meet as soon as possible
with the nation's political parties and other active
forces to draft a consensus program for the
country, including the preparation and holding of
transparent elections.

He said searches would be carried out to identify
looters, who ransacked the homes of government
officials and foreign nationals as well as ministries
and shops.  In an effort to halt the looting, Bozize
announced a curfew during hours of darkness (Agence
France-Presse/Yahoo! News, March 17). 

The African Union today condemned the coup and said
its conflict prevention and resolution body will meet
very shortly to consider the situation and the
measures to be taken, according to Amara Essy, the
interim African Union Commission chairman (Associated
Press/Yahoo! News, March 17).

South African President Thabo Mbeki, chairman of the
African Union, expressed his unequivocal
condemnation of the coup.  Coming at a time when
government and opposition parties were involved in
preparations for national dialogue, peace and
reconciliation, the unconstitutional transfer of power
subtracts rather than adds to the momentum for peace
and stability and indeed undermines continental
efforts aimed at sustainable development and economic
recovery, Mbeki said (AFP, March 17).

In neighboring Chad, the U.N. High Commissioner for
Refugees is setting up a field office in the border
town of Gore, where refugees from the C.A.R. have fled
their country's unrest, which began in mid-February. 
UNHCR officials said Friday that more than 4,000
people crossed into Chad last week, bringing the total
number of refugees in the area to roughly 30,000.


Chadian Soldiers Reportedly Tried To Abduct Women
Refugees

UNHCR officials appealed to Chadian authorities to
reign in government troops, who have been accused of
harassing refugees.  Last Tuesday, Chadian troops
allegedly tried to abduct women from a refugee camp in
Gore, while on Wednesday, Chadian forces reportedly
went on a looting spree in Gore.  The military was
thereafter ordered to stay out of Gore (UNHCR release,
March 14).

Last week, the World Food Program announced that
donors had ignored its $6.1 million appeal for funds
for the C.A.R.  No contributions were received (UN
Wire, March 12).
 
 


=
---
John D. Giorgis   -  [EMAIL PROTECTED]
  Tonight I have a message for the brave and oppressed people of Iraq:
 Your enemy is not surrounding your country — your enemy is ruling your  
 country. And the day he and his regime are removed from power will be
   the day of your liberation.  -George W. Bush 1/29/03

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US Formally Withdraws Resolution

2003-03-17 Thread J.D. Giorgis
Reading between the lines here, basically what
happened is this: a country whose leadership supports
the war, but faces unhappiness with the war among its
own people and/or possible diplomatic retribution from
France is going to be unlikely, ceteris paribis, to
vote for a resolution when it knows that its yes
vote won't count anyways due to the veto.  Since the
UNSC votes in English alphabetic order, France would
thus have the opportunity to veto very early, and
nations with a vote before F, i.e. Chile and
Cameroon, could simply wait to pass first before
seeing if France would vote no.   Thus, the French
veto really did poison the discussions, since it
made the opinions of the undecideds essentially
unknowable.

JDG  



IRAQ: U.S., U.K., Spain Withdraw Resolution; Annan
Orders U.N. Staff To Leave, Niger May Have Forged
Documents, Iraqis Lead World in Asylum-Seeking
UN WIRE

 The United States, the United Kingdom and Spain this
morning took a major step toward launching war against
Iraq, withdrawing their faltering resolution at the
Security Council and declaring that they reserve the
right to take their own steps to secure the
disarmament of Iraq, according to British Ambassador
to the United Nations Jeremy Greenstock.

Before the ambassadors of the three countries entered
a closed Security Council session this morning on
Iraq, Greenstock announced, We have had to conclude
that council consensus will not be possible, adding
that the three countries would therefore not seek a
vote on the draft resolution.  One country in
particular has underlined its intention to veto a
resolution no matter what the circumstances,
Greenstock said, referring to France without naming
the country.  France, which supports more time for
weapons inspections rather than an attack on Iraq, has
repeatedly said it would veto the resolution if a vote
was called (CNN.com, March 17). 

French President Jacques Chirac said in a CBS 60
Minutes interview broadcast yesterday that Paris will
naturally go to the end with its refusal to back an
Iraq war.  He proposed giving Iraqi President Saddam
Hussein 30 more days to comply with U.N. disarmament
resolutions, an offer U.S. Vice President Dick Cheney
dismissed as further delaying tactics (Bob Kemper,
Chicago Tribune, March 17).

U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations John Negroponte
today said nearly 4½ months have passed since the
council unanimously passed Resolution 1441, which
declared Iraq in material breach of its obligations
under previous resolutions to disarm.  The government
of Iraq has clearly failed to comply, Negroponte
said.  Through acts of omission as well as
commission, Iraq is in further material breach.

Negroponte added that the vote would have been close
but that in the face of an explicit threat to veto,
the vote-counting became a secondary consideration.

When asked if he believed the three countries would
have received the needed nine votes from among the 15
council members to pass their resolution, Greenstock
said that the threat of a veto affected the framework
of discussion about the resolution.

U.S. Secretary of State Colin Powell said the
withdrawn resolution was not a resolution we believed
was necessary but was one last step to see if
Hussein would disarm.  

The United Nations is an important institution, and
it will survive, Powell said, but clearly, this was
a test the Security Council did not meet.  He added
that Hussein was able to thumb his nose at
Resolution 1441.

A couple of hours after the U.S.-British-Spanish
announcement, U.N. Secretary General Kofi Annan
announced that he was withdrawing U.N. weapons
inspectors and aid workers from Iraq.  We will find a
way to resume aid to the country, Annan said.

The council will have to give me a mandate to
continue activities in Iraq, Annan said, adding that
pulling out U.N. staff does not mean the end of U.N.
operations in Iraq.

Syrian U.N. Ambassador Mikhail Wehbe said withdrawing
weapons inspectors from Iraq has a very dangerous
implication -- it means there are no more
inspections.

Wehbe also confirmed to reporters that a ministerial
meeting on the Iraq crisis is scheduled for Wednesday
(Angela Stephens, UN Wire, March 17).

ElBaradei said today that Washington advised him last
night to pull out our inspectors from Baghdad.  U.N.
officials said the inspectors and support staff could
be evacuated from Iraq in as little as 48 hours.  The
IAEA said it would wait for Security Council advice
today before deciding whether to pull out.  U.N.
Monitoring, Verification and Inspection Commission
Executive Chairman Hans Blix said UNMOVIC inspectors
will continue their work in Iraq unless we call them
back.

Most of the inspectors' helicopters have already left
Iraq after their insurance was canceled (William Kole,
Associated Press/Yahoo! News, March 17).

U.N. Iraq-Kuwait Observer Mission employees began
pulling out of the Iraqi-Kuwaiti border zone today
after their alert status was increased to level 4,
which 

Pulling out of Germany and the ROK L3! Re: [Fwd: Water conservation]

2003-03-16 Thread J.D. Giorgis
Gautam Mukunda wrote:
  
  --- Dan Minette [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 wrote:
   There is an indication that the administration
 is
   considering pulling
   troops out of S. Korea and reducing the force in
 W.
   Europe.  Given the
   statements of the governments of S. Korea and
   Germany, it seems that the
   administration is thinking about a redefinition
 of
   its role in the world.
   It won't abandon the world and retreat into
 fortress
   US, but it may no
   longer be available to fight the main surge of a
 N.
   Korean attack.  It
   might also move out of all of its German bases
 to a
   friendlier location in
   E. Europe, with a scaled back presence.  My
 guess is
   that this will now be
   coupled with why is this my problem? response
 to
   issues like the Balkans.
   The US would intervene when world peace is at
 stake,
   but special attention
   to certain areas of the world would be reduced.
  
   Dan M.
  
  So, let's talk about this a little bit.  Is this a
  good idea or not?  Actually, I'd suggest that this
 is
  a discussion in two parts.
  
  1. Is this a good idea _for the United States_?

I think that it is a slightly bad idea for the US to
pull out of Germany.

From a purely strategic-location perspective, if there
is any justification for the US keeping troops in
Europe, it would be in Eastern Europe, since the next
European crises/conflicts will likely involve the
Balkans, Belarus, the Rep. of Moldova, Ukraine, or
Russia, in roughly that order of likeliness. 

Now, I know very little about what sort of
*facilities* we actually have in Europe, but it seems
like whenever US soldiers get hurt in the Middle East,
the first stop is always Rammstein in Germany - so I
don't know how difficult it would be to duplicate
those facilities in another country.   Likewise, if we
had a Prince Sultan-style airbase in Germany, it
probably wouldn't be worthwhile to try and move
something like that.

With that being said, however, we need to sort of
probe/pressure Germany to find out if they are
fundamentally going to align themselves as a friend of
the United States or if they are going to
fundamentally align themselves with the French as our
enemy.

Just one year ago, I was very hopefull about the
direction Germany was taking - especially as they
began to finally support military ventures outside
their borders in the Balkans, and then in Afghanistan.
 It was possible that true strategic relationship
could be produced with a US-German pillarship of NATO.
 The US would specialize in being the thunder and
lightning of offensive operations, and the Germans
would specialize in peackeeping (two fairly different
skill sets.)  (The UK would sort of blue a glue
between them, participating in both.)  I still have
hope that this could materialize, especially was
Schroeder gets bounced but it is a fundamental
question that the US needs to answer.  

Keeping US troops in Germany may help keep Germany
aligned as our friend, in which case keeping our
troops in Germany will be well worth it, even with no
other strategic value.On the other hand, if
Germany is going to align itself with France as our
enemy, the possibility of Germany, paralyzing any
assets we keep in Germany over the long-term, as the
US becomes embroiled in some future conflict, is
frightening enough that it would be prudent to place
our military assets in countries that are more likely
to be fundamentally aligned with our strategic vision,
and indeed, just aligned with us as friends in the
future.

As for Dan's fear that pulling out of Germany will
lead to the US calling future Balkan-style conflicts
not our problem, I see this as being unlikely -
especially under the current Administration.  Not only
do I truly believe that the Bush sees the world
through a moral vision, but I believe that there is a
fundamental recognition that failed States are a
primary source of our most significant strategic
threat of the moment - international terrorism.   I
think that the US will be very wary of letting any
more failed States arrise (and I think that this is a
primary reason the US is willing to let Palestine
languish under occupation until it democratizes... the
US feels safer letting Israel occupy Palestine than to
force Israel to create a Palestinian State that would
essentially be a corrupt and failing dictatorship.) 
Anyhow, it looks like we may get to test this
prediction of mine fairly soon*, as reports this week
indicate that Papua New Guinea, already one of the
world's poorest countries, is on the verge of
collapse.   We'll see how the US reacts... although
with one out of every one thousand Americans in the
Persian Gulf, are hands are a bit tied at the moment.

As for pulling out of the ROK, I think that it would
be a very bad idea.  As many of you know, my basic
strategic forecast for the future is that China is the
greatest long-term threat to US interests, and as
China develops, I expect Cold War II to ensue between
the US and China in 

Walk Away from the UN

2003-03-15 Thread J.D. Giorgis
This editorial makes a pretty good analysis of how
this crisis has transpired so far, until the end. 
Somehow, Krauthammer seems to have missed the fact
that the US proposed exactly the same resolution he
described several weeks ago, and it was rejected by
the French, et all.   Indeed, Jose Maria Aznar
famously proclaimed, how can anyone be opposed to
this plain and simple fact?  

JDG




Call the Vote. Walk Away. 

http://www.washingtonpost.com/ac2/wp-dyn/A13017-2003Mar11?language=printer

By Charles Krauthammer

Wednesday, March 12, 2003; Page A21 


Walk away, Mr. President. Walk away from the U.N.
Security Council. It will not authorize the coming
war. You can stand on your head and it won't change
the outcome. You can convert to Islam in a Parisian
mosque and it won't prevent a French veto.

The French are bent not just on opposing your policy
but on destroying it -- and the coalition you built
around it. When they send their foreign minister to
tour the three African countries on the Security
Council in order to turn them against the United
States, you know that this is a country with resolve
-- more than our side is showing today. And that is a
losing proposition for us.

The reason you were able to build support at home and
rally the world to at least pretend to care about
Iraqi weapons of mass destruction is that you showed
implacable resolve to disarm Iraq one way or the
other. Your wobbles at the United Nations today --
postponing the vote, renegotiating the terms -- are
undermining the entire enterprise.

I understand that the wobble is not yours but a
secondary, sympathetic wobble to Tony Blair's. Blair
is courageous but opposed by a large part of his party
and in need of some diplomatic cover.

But, Mr. President, he's not going to get it. Even if
you marshal the nine votes on the Security Council by
watering down the resolution, delaying the invasion,
establishing criteria Hans Blix is sure to muddy and
Mohamed ElBaradei is sure to say Saddam Hussein has
met, France and Russia will still exercise the veto.
You may call it a moral victory. The British left,
which is what this little exercise is about, will not.
It will not care what you call it but what Kofi Annan
calls it, and he has already told us: a failed
resolution rendering a war that follows illegitimate.

This, of course, is the rankest hypocrisy. The United
Nations did not sanction the Kosovo war, surely a just
war, and that did not in any way make it illegitimate.
Of the scores of armed conflicts since 1945, exactly
two have received Security Council sanction: the
Korean War (purely an accident, the Soviets having
walked out over another issue) and the Gulf War. The
Gulf War ended in a cease-fire, whose terms everybody
agrees Hussein has violated. You could very well have
gone to war under the original Security Council
resolutions of 1991 and been justified.

I understand why you did not. A large segment of
American opinion swoons at the words United Nations
and international community. That the international
community is a fiction and the United Nations a farce
hardly matters. People believe in them. It was for
them that you went to the United Nations on Sept. 12,
2002.

And it worked. When you framed the issue as the United
Nations enforcing its own edicts, vindicating its own
relevance by making Hussein disarm, the intellectual
opposition to the war -- always in search of some
standard outside the United States' own judgment and
interests to justify American action -- fell apart.

Thus Resolution 1441, passed unanimously, bought you
two things: domestic support and a window of
legitimacy, a time to build up our forces in the
region under the umbrella of enforcing the will of the
international community.

Mr. President, the window has closed. Diplomatically,
we are today back where we were before Sept. 12. It is
America, Britain, Australia, a few Gulf states, some
of Old Europe, most of New Europe and other
governments still too afraid to say so openly. That's
enough. And in any case that is all you are going to
get.

Why are we dallying and deferring at the United
Nations? In your news conference last week, you said
you were going to have people put their cards on the
table. I thought it a lousy idea to call a vote we
were sure to lose. But having made your decision, you
are making it worse by waffling. The world knows you
as a cards-on-the-table man. Now you're asking for an
extension of time and a reshuffle of the deck.

If, for Blair's sake, you must have a second
resolution, why include an ultimatum that Blix will
obfuscate and the French will veto? If you must have a
second resolution, it should consist of a single
sentence: The Security Council finds Iraq in
violation of Resolution 1441, which demanded 'full and
immediate compliance by Iraq without conditions or
restrictions.' 

The new resolution should be a statement not of policy
but of fact. The fact is undeniable. You invite the
French to cast what will be seen 

Radio Free France

2003-03-14 Thread J.D. Giorgis
March 10, 2003 9:00 a.m.
A Theory
What if there’s method to the Franco-German madness?
Michael Ledeen
National Review 
 http://www.nationalreview.com/ledeen/ledeen031003.asp

 Assume, for a moment, that the French and the Germans
aren't thwarting us out of pique, but by design,
long-term design. Then look at the world again, and
see if there's evidence of such a design.
 
Like everyone else, the French and the Germans saw
that the defeat of the Soviet Empire projected the
United States into the rare, almost unique position of
a global hyperpower, a country so strong in every
measurable element that no other nation could possibly
resist its will. The new Europe had been designed to
carve out a limited autonomy for the old continent, a
balance-point between the Americans and the Soviets.
But once the Soviets were gone, and the Red Army
melted down, the European Union was reduced to a
combination theme park and free-trade zone. Some
foolish American professors and doltish politicians
might say — and even believe — that henceforth power
would be defined in economic terms, and that military
power would no longer count. But cynical Europeans
know better.

They dreaded the establishment of an American empire,
and they sought for a way to bring it down. 

If you were the French president or the German
chancellor, you might well have done the same. 

How could it be done? No military operation could
possibly defeat the United States, and no direct
economic challenge could hope to succeed. That left
politics and culture. And here there was a chance to
turn America's vaunted openness at home and toleration
abroad against the United States. So the French and
the Germans struck a deal with radical Islam and with
radical Arabs: You go after the United States, and
we'll do everything we can to protect you, and we will
do everything we can to weaken the Americans.

The Franco-German strategy was based on using Arab and
Islamic extremism and terrorism as the weapon of
choice, and the United Nations as the straitjacket for
blocking a decisive response from the United States. 

This required considerable skill, and total cynicism,
both of which were in abundant supply in Paris and
Berlin. Chancellor Shroeder gained reelection by
warning of American warmongering, even though, as
usual, America had been attacked first. And both
Shroeder and Chirac went to great lengths to support
Islamic institutions in their countries, even when —
as in the French case — it was in open violation of
the national constitution. French law stipulates a
total separation of church and state, yet the French
Government openly funds Islamic study centers,
mosques, and welfare organizations. A couple of months
ago, Chirac approved the creation of an Islamic
political body, a mini-parliament, that would provide
Muslims living in France with official stature and
enhanced political clout. And both countries have
permitted the Saudis to build thousands of radical
Wahhabi mosques and schools, where the hatred of the
infidels is instilled in generation after generation
of young Sunnis. It is perhaps no accident that Chirac
went to Algeria last week and promised a cheering
crowd that he would not rest until America's grand
design had been defeated.

Both countries have been totally deaf to suggestions
that the West take stern measures against the
tyrannical terrorist sponsors in Iran, Iraq, Syria,
Libya, and Saudi Arabia. Instead, they do everything
in their power to undermine American-sponsored trade
embargoes or more limited sanctions, and it is an open
secret that they have been supplying Saddam with
military technology through the corrupt ports of
Sheikh Mohammed bin Rashid's little playground in
Dubai, often through Iranian middlemen.

It sounds fanciful, to be sure. But the smartest
people I know have been thoroughly astonished at
recent French and German behavior. This theory may
help understand what's going on. I now believe that I
was wrong to forecast that the French would join the
war against Iraq at the last minute, having gained
every possible economic advantage in the meantime. I
think Chirac will oppose us before, during, and after
the war, because he has cast his lot with radical
Islam and with the Arab extremists. He isn't doing it
just for the money — although I have no doubt that
France is being richly rewarded for defending Saddam
against the civilized countries of the world — but for
higher stakes. He's fighting to end the feared
American domination before it takes stable shape.

If this is correct, we will have to pursue the war
against terror far beyond the boundaries of the Middle
East, into the heart of Western Europe. And there, as
in the Middle East, our greatest weapons are
political: the demonstrated desire for freedom of the
peoples of the countries that oppose us. 

Radio Free France, anyone? 

— Michael Ledeen, an NRO contributing editor, is most
recently the author of The War Against the Terror
Masters. Ledeen, Resident 

Deadlier Than War

2003-03-14 Thread J.D. Giorgis
Deadlier Than War 
By Walter Russell Mead
Wednesday, March 12, 2003; Page A21 
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A13019-2003Mar11.html


Those who still oppose war in Iraq think containment
is an alternative -- a middle way between all-out war
and letting Saddam Hussein out of his box.

They are wrong.

Sanctions are inevitably the cornerstone of
containment, and in Iraq, sanctions kill.

In this case, containment is not an alternative to
war. Containment is war: a slow, grinding war in which
the only certainty is that hundreds of thousands of
civilians will die.

The Gulf War killed somewhere between 21,000 and
35,000 Iraqis, of whom between 1,000 and 5,000 were
civilians.

Based on Iraqi government figures, UNICEF estimates
that containment kills roughly 5,000 Iraqi babies
(children under 5 years of age) every month, or 60,000
per year. Other estimates are lower, but by any
reasonable estimate containment kills about as many
people every year as the Gulf War -- and almost all
the victims of containment are civilian, and
two-thirds are children under 5.

Each year of containment is a new Gulf War.

Saddam Hussein is 65; containing him for another 10
years condemns at least another 360,000 Iraqis to
death. Of these, 240,000 will be children under 5.

Those are the low-end estimates. Believe UNICEF and 10
more years kills 600,000 Iraqi babies and altogether
almost 1 million Iraqis.

Ever since U.N.-mandated sanctions took effect, Iraqi
propaganda has blamed the United States for
deliberately murdering Iraqi babies to further U.S.
foreign policy goals.

Wrong.

The sanctions exist only because Saddam Hussein has
refused for 12 years to honor the terms of a
cease-fire he himself signed. In any case, the United
Nations and the United States allow Iraq to sell
enough oil each month to meet the basic needs of Iraqi
civilians. Hussein diverts these resources. Hussein
murders the babies.

But containment enables the slaughter. Containment
kills.

The slaughter of innocents is the worst cost of
containment, but it is not the only cost of
containment.

Containment allows Saddam Hussein to control the
political climate of the Middle East. If it serves his
interest to provoke a crisis, he can shoot at U.S.
planes. He can mobilize his troops near Kuwait. He can
support terrorists and destabilize his neighbors. The
United States must respond to these provocations.

Worse, containment forces the United States to keep
large conventional forces in Saudi Arabia and the rest
of the region. That costs much more than money.

The existence of al Qaeda, and the attacks of Sept.
11, 2001, are part of the price the United States has
paid to contain Saddam Hussein.

The link is clear and direct. Since 1991 the United
States has had forces in Saudi Arabia. Those forces
are there for one purpose only: to defend the kingdom
(and its neighbors) from Iraqi attack. If Saddam
Hussein had either fallen from power in 1991 or
fulfilled the terms of his cease-fire agreement and
disarmed, U.S. forces would have left Saudi Arabia.

But Iraqi defiance forced the United States to stay,
and one consequence was dire and direct. Osama bin
Laden founded al Qaeda because U.S. forces stayed in
Saudi Arabia.

This is the link between Saddam Hussein's defiance of
international law and the events of Sept. 11; it is
clear and compelling. No Iraqi violations, no Sept.
11.

So that is our cost.

And what have we bought?

We've bought the right of a dictator to suppress his
own people, disturb the peace of the region and make
the world darker and more dangerous for the American
people.

We've bought the continuing presence of U.S. forces in
Saudi Arabia, causing a profound religious offense to
a billion Muslims around the world, and accelerating
the alarming drift of Saudi religious and political
leaders toward ever more extreme forms of
anti-Americanism.

What we can't buy is protection from Hussein's
development of weapons of mass destruction. Too many
companies and too many states will sell him anything
he wants, and Russia and France will continue to
sabotage any inspections and sanctions regime.

Morally, politically, financially, containing Iraq is
one of the costliest failures in the history of
American foreign policy. Containment can be tweaked --
made a little less murderous, a little less dangerous,
a little less futile -- but the basic equations don't
change. Containing Hussein delivers civilians into the
hands of a murderous psychopath, destabilizes the
whole Middle East and foments anti-American terror --
with no end in sight.

This is disaster, not policy.

It is time for a change.

Walter Russell Mead is senior fellow for U.S. foreign
policy at the Council on Foreign Relations and author
most recently of Special Providence: American Foreign
Policy and How It Changed the World. 



© 2003 The Washington Post Company

=
---
John D. Giorgis   - 

Computer Repair Question

2003-03-13 Thread J.D. Giorgis
Can anybody provide some advice on this:

I bought a brand new computer last June.

As is my habit, I basically leave my computer turned
on all the time, except when I am on travel for
multiple days.

Last night, I had guests over, so I turned my computer
off.

This morning, I turned on my computer to check my
e-mail.   I was simply sitting, typing away, when my
computer mysteriously powered down.

Upon inspection, I noticed (ack!) that a side panel to
the computer case had come a bit loose.  
Additionally, my friend noted that the back of the
computer was unusually warm (which is odd, since I
bought an extra fan for the case - as I knew I would
leave it on a lot in a non-air-conditioned apartment.)


At this point I went to work, but when I came home,
the computer still will simply not turn on.   I
plugged in my old computer using the same cord to the
same surge protector and same plug - and clearly, my
old computer is working just fine from that plug.

So, any ideas as to what happened and how it could be
corrected?

Thanks muchly for any advice you might have.

JDG

=
---
John D. Giorgis   -  [EMAIL PROTECTED]
  Tonight I have a message for the brave and oppressed people of Iraq:
 Your enemy is not surrounding your country — your enemy is ruling your  
 country. And the day he and his regime are removed from power will be
   the day of your liberation.  -George W. Bush 1/29/03

__
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UK Fears ICC Charges Without a 2nd UN Resolution

2003-03-12 Thread J.D. Giorgis
See all the way at the bottom now we know another
reason why the US won't sign the ICC Treaty.
JDG




Bush Lobbies For Deal On Iraq 
Plan Would Set Deadlines, Goals 

 
By Karen DeYoung and Colum Lynch
Washington Post Staff Writers
Wednesday, March 12, 2003; Page A01 


President Bush personally weighed in yesterday on
diplomatic efforts to secure United Nations' authority
for war against Iraq, telephoning the presidents of
Chile, Mexico and Angola to push a compromise proposal
that U.S. and British officials believe could begin to
break the impasse at the U.N. Security Council.

Under the evolving plan, Iraq would be given a set of
benchmark disarmament tasks and a deadline for
achieving them, a proposal that incorporates
suggestions made by undecided council members. The
proposal would also automatically authorize the end of
U.N. weapons inspections and the use of force against
Iraq unless a council majority agrees that Baghdad has
fully complied with the benchmark demands.

Diplomats and senior administration officials
cautioned that many parts of the proposal, which would
amend a widely opposed resolution introduced last
week, were still under discussion. Chief among the
points of disagreement was a deadline date, originally
set for March 17. The six undecided members have
suggested April 17, while the United States has
insisted that it be no later than the end of next
week. Britain is seeking a middle ground. The White
House has said a vote on the measure must be held by
Friday.

Bush's personal intervention marked a sharp change
from days of saber-rattling against Iraq and
conversations largely limited to fellow leaders who
already agreed with him, suggesting that the White
House is closing in on the final phase of diplomacy.
He also telephoned the leaders of Australia, Italy and
Spain yesterday, all strong supporters of his stern
attitude toward the United Nations and aggressive
policy against Baghdad.

Despite U.S. and British optimism that they will be
ready to put a new version of the resolution on the
table today or early Thursday, and stand a good chance
of winning the nine of 15 council votes needed for
passage, early reaction from the six was not
encouraging. I don't think this can be accepted,
said one diplomat who said both the benchmarks and the
early deadline remained unacceptable. The six
uncommitted members are Angola, Mexico, Guinea,
Cameroon, Chile and Pakistan.

What they had seen and heard so far, the diplomat
said, is not what we expected in terms of
compromise. Saying that the six were very
frustrated, the diplomat added, I don't think there
will be any solution to this problem. . . . This may
possibly be the end of the road in terms of possible
compromise. 

An amended resolution is still almost certain to be
vetoed by France and perhaps Russia, who oppose any
deadline and have argued that only the U.N. inspectors
can set benchmarks or judge compliance. But U.S. and
British officials, with Spain and Bulgaria the only
other declared members on their side, have made clear
they will consider nine votes a moral victory
sufficient to launch a war they say is legally
justified by years of U.N. demands on Iraq.

We prefer a vote of 15 to nothing, a senior official
said. But we'd also be glad to have nine votes. In
fact, the official said, many in the administration
view a vetoed majority as a very good outcome, leaving
the United States on what it perceives as moral high
ground but with no obligation to obey the terms of the
mooted resolution.

The resolution would not be a resolution, the
official said. It would be a vetoed resolution, and
the administration would see no further need to wait
for additional reports from inspectors, or for any
deadline beyond a decision by Bush.

A French official yesterday described the new
proposals as a completely artificial attempt at
compromise that merely restates U.S. and British
insistence that weapons inspections be ended by a
definite early date, regardless of whether they are
making progress. Referring to a report to the council
by chief U.N. weapons inspector Hans Blix last Friday,
the official said, The inspectors have already said
they need not years, not days, but months to complete
their assessments.

The official said it was doubtful the proposal would
draw in any of the six undecided votes particularly
with the short deadline Washington is demanding.
They've resisted so much pressure . . . if they were
going to swallow this so easily, they would have done
it days ago, the official said, adding that French
Foreign Minister Dominique de Villepin has just
returned from a tour of the three African countries
quite confident they will stand firm in opposition.

Germany and Syria are seen as extremely unlikely to
change their opposition to any deadline, and China is
likely to vote no or abstain. 

In a day of frenzied diplomacy, most of the
negotiating took place in bilateral and regional
conversations on the telephone and behind closed

SCOUTED: Proposal Made for 14 Solar Planets

2003-03-12 Thread J.D. Giorgis
Having Pups Over Pluto And The Planetary Misfits Of
The Kuipers

As king of the Kuipers should Pluto remain an
honourary planet until something bigger is found
beyond Neptune 
by Robert Sanders
for Berkeley NewsCenter
Berkeley - Mar 12, 2003
Ask any kid how many planets are in our solar system,
and you'll get a firm answer: nine. But knock on a few
doors in Berkeley's astronomy department, and you'll
hear, amid the hemming and hawing, a whole range of
numbers.
Professor Gibor Basri, who plans soon to propose a
formal definition of a planet to the international
body that names astronomical objects, argues that
there are at least 14 planets, and perhaps as many as
20. To the well-known list of nine he adds several
large asteroids and more distant objects from the
rocky swarm called the Kuiper Belt circling beyond the
orbit of Neptune.

Professor Imke de Pater and Assistant Professor Eugene
Chiang, on the other hand, toss out Pluto without a
backward glance. It's just a big rock, they say, a
former member of the Kuiper Belt, puppy-dogging
Neptune around the solar system.

Not so fast, says Professor Alex Filippenko. The
International Astronomical Union (IAU), which rules on
names for astronomical bodies, has officially said
that Pluto remains a planet, at least for the time
being.

Thus, officially, there are nine. He cavils a bit,
however, making it clear to his students that Pluto is
more fundamentally a Kuiper Belt Object (KBO), though
an unusually large one.

Professor Geoffrey Marcy and research astronomer Debra
Fischer, both planet hunters within the department,
also prefer to keep the number at nine, noting that
the sun, though it probably had 12 or 14 planets in
the past, will in five billion years probably lose
Mercury and Pluto, bringing the count down to seven.

Moons, fusors, brown dwarfs
This difference of opinion within the astronomy
department is part of a larger debate in the
astronomical community over what constitutes a planet.
It provides endless hours of beer-hall debate and
Friday-afternoon tea-time chat, with little hope for
resolution in the near future.

It's something of an embarrassment that we currently
have no definition of what a planet is, Basri said.

People like to classify things. We live on a planet;
it would be nice to know what that was.

The IAU has sidestepped any formal definition,
largely, Basri says, because a good definition would
eject Pluto from the list and relegate it to a minor
planet or, even worse, a comet. Basri has come up
with a definition that keeps Pluto in the fold, but
necessarily brings in other objects that until now
have not been considered planets -- objects with names
such as Vesta, Pallas and Ceres, now considered
asteroids, or KBOs such as Varuna.

He's now preparing a formal definition to put before
the IAU Working Group on Extra-Solar Planets, and has
posted an article on his Web site that lays out his
definition and arguments as to why it should be
adopted.

By 10 years from now, I'd be a little surprised if
the IAU had not adopted something along the lines I'm
proposing, Basri said. It's reasonable.

Most astronomers and the IAU agree that planets should
be orbiting a star -- or more precisely, an object
that is big enough to ignite hydrogen fusion in its
core (what Basri calls a fusor). The IAU Working Group
also excludes anything, like a star, that is big
enough to manage core fusion itself. The consensus
thus excludes moons, even those such as Ganymede,
which is almost as large as Mars but which happens to
be orbiting the planet Jupiter rather than a star.

The definition also excludes failed stars called brown
dwarfs, which are too small to be stars but too big to
be planets. These are the subjects of Basri's
research.

In 1995, he was the first to obtain a spectrum
confirming that brown dwarfs exist, and he has
concentrated on tests that can distinguish brown
dwarfs from low-mass stars.

This work naturally led him to focus on mass as a way
to distinguish between planets and non-planets. He
proposes a natural upper limit for a planetary mass
object of about 13 times the mass of Jupiter, or
about 4,000 Earths. At this size, gravity will cause
an object to give off heat, as happens with Jupiter,
but the pressure at the core is a bit too cool to fuse
the element easiest to fuse, deuterium or heavy
hydrogen. Because anything bigger, including stars and
brown dwarfs, is able to fuse deuterium, Basri argues
that it makes sense to define a planetary mass
object -- or planemo, as he has dubbed them -- as an
object too small to achieve any fusion.

A natural lower limit to the mass of a planemo, Basri
says, would be a body large enough for self-gravity to
squash it into a round shape. On average, that would
be about 700 kilometers in diameter, though that
number is squishy -- an iron wrecking ball like
Mercury could be smaller and round, while icy planets
like Pluto would need to be larger to achieve
roundness. This limit excludes all but a few 

The UN Is Killing Americans

2003-03-12 Thread J.D. Giorgis
REVIEW  OUTLOOK

Bush in Lilliput 
Delaying action in Iraq is endangering American lives.


Wednesday, March 12, 2003 12:01 a.m. EST 
Wall St. Journal

The Bush Administration is putting a special focus on
winning the support of Guinea . . .--page A3,
yesterday's Wall Street Journal.

We've never visited Guinea, which is perhaps our loss.
But the spectacle of the U.S. government begging that
African nation for permission to sacrifice American
blood and treasure to save the world from Saddam
Hussein exposes the farce that the U.N. Security
Council's Iraq debate has become. Every day of delay
in starting the war matters little to Guinea but it
puts more Americans at mortal risk.

President Bush is of course trying to accommodate his
stalwart friend, Tony Blair. The British Prime
Minister wants a nine-vote majority in the 15-member
Security Council as a shield against his Labour Party
critics. But Mr. Blair's fate will surely rise or fall
on how well the war goes and not on who approves it in
advance. Mr. Bush has already done him the favor of
going for a first U.N. resolution last fall, followed
by weeks of further delay this year to seek a second. 

That second effort now looks like a diplomatic
blunder, given Russian and the implacable French
opposition. The process itself has also forced the
U.S. to give up some of the attack advantage of
strategic surprise. And it now risks causing more
tangible harm as the U.S. agrees to more concessions
and extensions--yesterday to one beyond even the
earlier final deadline of March 17.

This latest delay is aimed at gathering the elusive
but somehow crucial votes of six swing Council
nations. In addition to Guinea, those countries are
Mexico, Chile, Angola, Pakistan and the always
strategically vital Cameroon. The U.S. has already
been reduced to bribing these countries with cash or
other favors in return for their support. Yet they've
all played hard to get, posing as Hamlet for their 10
minutes of fame on the world stage.
The Mexican and Chilean fandango is especially
insulting given the preferential treatment their
exports receive to the U.S. market. Maybe we should
transfer to Bulgaria--which is supporting us sans
bribery--the trade benefits that these two nations
apparently take for granted. These columns have long
tried sympathetically to explain Mexican realities to
our readers, but President Vicente Fox's U.N. war
straddle will cost his country years of U.S. public
goodwill.

Mexican and French soldiers will not be doing any
dying once the war finally does start. That privilege
will belong to Americans (and some Brits and Aussies),
and every day that they are prevented from starting to
disarm Saddam is one more day he is able to prepare
death traps for them and for us. 

There are now daily reports that the Iraqi dictator
has booby-trapped oil wells, dispersed his mobile
poison labs or placed agents among Iraqi civilians.
Yesterday's AP dispatch had him opening a training
camp for Arab volunteers willing to carry out suicide
bombings against U.S. forces. Every day of delay also
gives him, or al Qaeda, more time to plant or mobilize
agents to attack the U.S. homeland.

There are other growing costs of delay. One is the
economic damage from uncertainty--which is small
compared with life and limb but seems large if you
lose your job. Another is the lesson to other thugs,
such as North Korea's Kim Jong Il, that they can also
use the U.N. to stymie and wait out American resolve.
And then there is the cost to President Bush's own
political standing and credibility as he lets the
world's pygmies tie him down like Gulliver.





We could support further delay in starting the war if
there were any hope at all that U.N. inspections might
disarm Saddam short of costing American lives. The
trend is in fact the opposite. Hans Blix, Mohammed El
Baradei and the other inspectors seem more inclined
than ever to forgive Iraqi intransigence. Mr. El
Baradei made a public fuss last week about one
British-U.S. claim that turns out to have been false,
but which was in any case peripheral to Iraq's weapons
of mass destruction. Mr. Blix buried deep in his
latest report the news of an illegal Iraqi drone
capable of delivering chemical weapons. 
As each day passes, the evidence mounts that the U.N.
inspections regime is not about containing Saddam; it
is about containing America. Messrs. Bush and Blair
went to the U.N. in good faith to build international
support, and perhaps in the process to rescue the U.N.
from irrelevance. The U.N. is proving daily that is in
fact another League of Nations. Mr. Bush's obligation
is not to the reputation of the U.N. but to the safety
of American soldiers and citizens.




=
---
John D. Giorgis   -  [EMAIL PROTECTED]
  Tonight I have a message for the brave and oppressed people of Iraq:
 Your enemy is not surrounding your country — your enemy is ruling 

David Frum on France

2003-03-11 Thread J.D. Giorgis
From David Frum's Blog:

I’m in Minneapolis, Minnesota, but thanks to the
miracle of modern satellite technology, I was able to
join yesterday in a French television program that
pitted former French foreign minister Hubert Vedrine
against a line-up of North American sparring partners.
Vedrine too was in his own way highly impressive:
poised, well-spoken, and beguilingly frank about his
hostility to the United States. The 
book he cowrote a couple of years back with Dominique
Moisi is full of unconvincing humbug about human
rights and France’s special symbolic significance in
the world. On television, Vedrine dispenses with all
the pretense and gets straight to the point: French
ambition, resentment, and envy of the United States. 

I couldn’t take notes during the conversation and the
transcript is not yet posted to Nexis, if it ever will
be, so I’ll have to recall Vedrine’s words from
memory. I was struck by one thing above all – how
little he talked about Iraq, the show’s purported
subject. Neither Saddam Hussein’s weapons of mass
destruction nor Saddam’s cruelty and tyranny
interested Vedrine much. What fascinated him instead
was the United States – and the need, as he repeatedly
said, for the nations of the world to join together to
contain and control it. In his press conference last
week, President Bush described France as a “friend.”
Vedrine spoke about the United States in the way that
states more typically speak of their enemies.

Vedrine’s words were illustrated by three or four
video clips intended to offer the French television
viewer some context. One clip, on the evolution of
American power, started with some quick shots of D-Day
and the proceeded through B-52s dropping bombs on
Vietnamese rice paddies, weeping Vietnamese widows and
orphans, vast sheets of dollars spitting out of the
presses of the Mint, Donald Duck and Mickey Mouse,
McDonald’s arches, and President Bush addressing
Congress on September 20. Another, on American
religion, showed the Christian Coalition, Pat
Robertson, and elderly white people in absurd hats
proudly discussing their disdain for Muslims. It was
rather as if an American TV show produced a video clip
about France that began with Marshall Petain, cut to
scenes of torture from the Battle of Algiers, a
reeking pissoir, politicians accepting bribes, and
rioting truck drivers smashing windows to protest
France’s hopeless inability to compete on world
markets. 

After an hour of this, I made a personal vow: Never,
ever again will I permit anyone to disparage in my
hearing Americans’ ignorance of the rest of the world.
Compared to what the French are getting from their
media, Americans are bloody Baedekers.



=
---
John D. Giorgis   -  [EMAIL PROTECTED]
  Tonight I have a message for the brave and oppressed people of Iraq:
 Your enemy is not surrounding your country — your enemy is ruling your  
 country. And the day he and his regime are removed from power will be
   the day of your liberation.  -George W. Bush 1/29/03

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Those Sanctions Really Worked in North Korea

2003-03-07 Thread J.D. Giorgis
Kazakhstan tops North Korea's weapons shop list
 
SEOUL (AFP) Mar 06, 2003
Russia and Kazakhstan were the main suppliers of
fighters and other conventional weapons to North Korea
in the past ten years, according to a Swedish research
institute.
The website of the Stockholm International Peace
Research Instituteshowed that North Korea acquired 35
SS-N-2b Styx anti-ship missiles from Russia between
1992 and 1996.

One of the Styx missiles was fired into international
waters in the Sea of Japan on February 24, South
Korea's Yonhap news agency said.

Between 1993 and 2002, North Korea imported 308
million dollars worth of weapons -- 176 million
dollars from Kazakhstan, 103 million dollars from
Russia and 29 million dollars from China, SIPRI said.

During the same period, China delivered 550 portable
SAM missiles and 16 Romeo-class submarines while
Kazakhstan shipped 34 MiG-21 fighters, 24 KS-19
anti-aircraft guns and four fire control radars, it
said.

Russian weapons purchased by North Korea during the
period included Styx missiles, four surveillance
radars, six fire control radars and 32 IFV armored
vehicles.

North Korea also produced other weapons under Russian
license -- 1,100 AT-4 anti-tank missiles, 550 SA-16
portable SAM missiles and 500 SA-7 portable SAM
missiles, according to the institute.

The impoverished North is capable of producing most
conventional weapons.




All rights reserved. © 2002 Agence France-Presse.


=
---
John D. Giorgis   -  [EMAIL PROTECTED]
  Tonight I have a message for the brave and oppressed people of Iraq:
 Your enemy is not surrounding your country — your enemy is ruling your  
 country. And the day he and his regime are removed from power will be
   the day of your liberation.  -George W. Bush 1/29/03

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Ditch Turkey

2003-03-05 Thread J.D. Giorgis
Unfortunately, I must totally disagree with the author
of this article.   In my mind, the integration of
Turkey, ie. a secular Muslim democracy in the Middle
East into Western Civilization is one of the most
important tasks facing our civilization.  We must
prove that Western Civilization and Muslim
Civilization are not incompatabile, and that indeed,
they can be merged.   Turkey is perhaps our best
chance of accomplishing that.

Likewise, Hitchens totally fails to consider the
consequences of endorsing the formation of a
Kurdistan.   For better or for worse, such actions
would be viewed as the US dismembering an Arab,
Muslim, State.   Even worse, it would also be viewed
as the US stabbing-in-the-back its primary Muslim
ally.   Unfortunately, we simply must do the best we
can for the Kurds - as ethnic minorities in
democratic, pluralistic Turkey and Iraq.

JDG



Talking Turkey
An ally we're better off without.
By Christopher Hitchens
Updated Tuesday, March 4, 2003, at 2:50 PM PT 


The slander of the Iraqi and Kurdish opposition, and
of their friends, as little better than puppets of the
Bush administration is an idea that is half-alive in
the minds of those who are knowingly trying to buy
more time for Saddam Hussein. Every now and then,
one gets a sneer about it. So, it's good to step aside
from the everyday arguments with the regime preservers
and point out that proxies and mercenaries seldom
express themselves as forcefully and publicly as the
Iraqi opposition has been doing recently.

 
The first point of disagreement—about the role of
American officers in the aftermath—is a matter of
principle but still somewhat contingent since nobody
can know in advance what conditions will be in the
post-Baathist republic. Many of the supplies required
for rebuilding may be deliverable, for example, only
by military transports. Nonetheless, a strong
presumption has been established against any uniformed
tutelage; the Iraqi National Congress, the Shiite
forces, and the Kurds have united forcefully on the
issue of self-government.

A second point of dissent hardly admits of any
negotiation at all. Turkey has no rights in any part
of Iraq, and least of all does it have any right to
involve itself in the Kurdish areas, emancipated for a
dozen years from Saddam's rule, which adjoin its own
borders. The Bush administration has been entirely too
lenient with Ankara, not just on this point but on
many related ones.

1) Kurdistan itself. It has taken decades for the
Turkish state even to acknowledge that another people
with a distinct language and culture lives within its
borders. It's sadly true that a Kurdish rebellion in
southeastern Turkey was led by a Shining Path-type
leader named Abdullah Ocalan (believe me: I
interviewed him in Lebanon and found a Kurdish Pol
Pot), but this in itself expresses the desperate
conditions that obtain. Under steady civilian pressure
from within and without, Turkish authorities are now
prepared to concede on the Kurdish right to
exist—principally because the European Union has
insisted on the point. The time for Washington to make
a statement about Kurdish rights in Turkey would be
right about now. (We have only been waiting since
Woodrow Wilson first murmured on the same point.)

2) Cyprus. If any regime in the world has collected a
bigger sheaf of resolutions condemning its
international behavior than the Iraqi one, it must be
the Turks (followed perhaps by the Israelis).

Since 1974, Turkey has patrolled a line of forcible
partition drawn by its own troops—the first occupation
of the territory of another European state since 1945.
It has expelled almost one-third of the original Greek
inhabitants and further violated international law by
importing settlers and colonists from the Anatolian
mainland. It has been condemned for murder, rape, and
theft by innumerable European court rulings. So
abysmal are conditions in its sweatshop colony in
northern Cyprus, policed by the notorious thug and
proxy Rauf Denktash, that the majority of Turkish
Cypriots have recently joined vast demonstrations
calling for an end to his rule and a federal
brotherhood with their Greek co-citizens. Turkey could
not hang on to Cyprus for a day without vast tranches
of American military aid that shield it from the real
cost of the annexation. This aid should be cut off
without any further shameful delay: It makes the
United States an accomplice in a gross violation of
international law and human rights.

3) Armenia. The destruction and dispossession of the
Armenian people, in the first ethnocide of the 20th
century, is not the responsibility of Turkey's
present-day elected government. Nonetheless, the
Turkish authorities continue to deny historical
responsibility and even to deny that the massacres
occurred at all. Repeated proposals in the U.S. Senate
to observe a day for Armenian-Americans (bravely
sponsored for years by former Sen. Robert Dole) have
been defeated by an alliance of defense contractors
owed 

4,000 Allied Troops on the Ground in Iraq

2003-03-04 Thread J.D. Giorgis
300 SAS troops already in Iraq
By Michael Smith
(Filed: 04/03/2003) 
The London Telegraph

Several thousand allied special forces, including more
than 300 SAS personnel, are already operating inside
Iraq.

   
Anti-war protestors demonstrate as US B52 bombers move
into RAF Fairford 
This suggests that, despite efforts to secure a United
Nations resolution backing force, the war has begun.

Defence sources said last night that two SAS Sabre
squadrons - about 240 men - plus more than 100 support
troops were engaged in various parts of Iraq.

The scale of the operations in the south and west is
unprecedented. British special forces did not enter
Iraq during the 1991 Gulf war until the ground
offensive began.

The men are part of joint special operations, which
include more than 4,000 American and Australian
special forces with headquarters in Qatar and bases in
Jordan, Kuwait and Turkey. Their insertion into Iraq
coincides with intensified air attacks.

Iraq said yesterday that American and British aircraft
killed six civilians and wounded 15 others in raids on
Basra but Washington said the jets had struck military
targets after coming under anti-aircraft fire.

In the Commons, the Conservatives said that the action
amounted to the opening shots in a new Gulf war.

Geoff Hoon, the Defence Secretary, told MPs that there
had been no substantial change in activity but that
patrols in the no-fly zones now involved a broader
range of aircraft. RAF aircraft have played only a
supporting role in the latest attacks.

Eight American B52 bombers arrived at RAF Fairford in
Gloucestershire yesterday, from where they could bomb
targets in Iraq. Mr Hoon told the Commons that he had
given permission for 14 B52s to be stationed there.

Last September RAF and US air force patrols of the
no-fly zones were turned into a de facto air war when
a raid by 106 aircraft on the H3 air base in western
Iraq signalled the start of an intensification of
attacks aimed at destroying air defences.

The Telegraph disclosed in January that a team of 35
SAS men was operating in and out of western Iraq as
part of a 100-strong allied force looking for Scud
missile launchers that could be used to attack Israel.
The special forces are now moving in and out of Iraq
virtually at will, monitoring Iraqi oilfields west of
Baghdad and in the north amid concern that Saddam
Hussein will set fire to them in the event of an
invasion.

The priority of the SAS, which is being ferried back
and forth by RAF Chinook helicopters normally based at
Odiham, Hants, has been to ascertain Iraqi troop
positions and confirm that targets selected from
satellite photographs for the first attacks in any air
war are not decoys.

The troops have also been looking for suitable holding
areas in south-western Iraq for the many Iraqi troops
who are expected to give themselves up in the early
phases of fighting.

The allied plans involve a rapid advance across
southern Iraq towards Baghdad from Kuwait and it is
feared that this could be seriously delayed by the
need to deal with large numbers of prisoners of war.

Other roles have included monitoring troop movements
in the vast desert west of Baghdad and in the north
around Saddam's home town of Tikrit, where senior
commanders expect the Iraqis to put up stiff
resistance.



=
---
John D. Giorgis   -  [EMAIL PROTECTED]
  Tonight I have a message for the brave and oppressed people of Iraq:
 Your enemy is not surrounding your country — your enemy is ruling your  
 country. And the day he and his regime are removed from power will be
   the day of your liberation.  -George W. Bush 1/29/03

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Iranians Boycott Elections

2003-03-04 Thread J.D. Giorgis
OPINION
March 4, 2003 9:00 a.m.
The Iranian-Election Revolt
The people speak. The West won’t listen.
Michael Ledeen - National Review 
 
Iran held municipal elections over the weekend. All
the regime's big guns had implored the people to turn
out in record numbers, to demonstrate that the people
were committed to participation in the Islamic
Republic. Supreme Leader Khamenei, Eminence Grise
Rafsanjani, and President Khatami — the vapid matinee
idol of the New York and Los Angeles Times apologists
— made clear their desperate desire for a record
turnout.
 
Be careful what you ask for. There was a record
turnout, but it was a negative record. The official
reports speak of a ten-percent turnout in Tehran and
other major cities, with higher participation
elsewhere. If those numbers were accurate, it would
represent a massive abstention, and hence an enormous
vote of no confidence in the system. But the real
numbers are worse still: Of the roughly seven million
people entitled to vote in Tehran, less than 70,000
actually voted. I make that about one percent. These
data come directly from a high-ranking official
involved in the elections office, who was shocked by
the results. 

The Iranian people rejected the regime in the most
unmistakable way, yet the story you read in our
newspapers is that the hard liners routed the
reformers in something resembling a real election. As
if the Iranian people, after years of mass
demonstrations against the mullahcracy, after
thousands of freedom fighters had sacrificed their
lives in protest against Islamic oppression, had
suddenly seen the darkness and decided they preferred
tyranny to freedom. Or perhaps they had heard the
shameful nonsense emanating from the mouth of Deputy
Secretary of State Armitage (Iran is a democracy)
and decided that since the Supreme Leader was a
confirmed democrat, the best path to liberty was to
give the regime a huge vote of confidence.

No way. The elections were a protest non-vote, pure
and simple. The pathetic Khatami and his apologists at
the BBC and elsewhere in the Western media are now
crying that the system is being undermined and
chances for reform have been weakened, but they have
totally missed the point. Chances for reform are nil
so long as Khamenei and Rafsanjani are in command, and
the Iranian people are disgusted with Khatami's failed
promises and empty gestures. He's not only
ineffectual, but a coward to boot. He's threatened to
resign with monotonous regularity, but never does it.
He promised reforms but has produced none at all, and
there is manifestly less freedom today than when he
came to office.

If we had had any honest reporters in Tehran for the
past two weeks, they would have put the elections in
their proper context. The vote came hard on the heels
of a weeklong demonstration for the benefit of the
United Nations Human Rights Commission, which visited
Iran on a fact-finding mission. Headed by the usual
Frenchman, the commission managed to complain about
the protracted use of solitary confinement in Iranian
prisons. But they did not denounce the more terrible
practices such as torture and arbitrary executions.
Indeed, while they were in Iran, the regime rounded up
five more newspaper editors and locked them up, with
no protest from the commissioners. And apparently the
commissioners did not insist on interviewing the
country's most celebrated prisoners, like student
leader Tabarzadeh or the recently arrested jurist
Sholeh Sadi, who had bravely denounced the regime in
uncompromising language. And unbeknownst to the
commissioners, the regime had staged a dry run for
the prisoners. Blonde-haired, blue-eyed agents of the
regime, pretending to be commissioners, were sent into
the prisons to interview prisoners. Those who
complained about maltreatment were isolated, and
maltreated some more. Those who spoke well about their
conditions were permitted to be interviewed by the
real commissioners.

God willing, Judgment Day is coming to the Middle
East, and the long-suffering people of Iran, Iraq,
Syria, and Saudi Arabia will get their chance to be
free. I have no doubt that they will have suitably
harsh words for the Western governments and
journalists who failed to help them, or even tell the
real story.

— Michael Ledeen, an NRO contributing editor, is most
recently the author of The War Against the Terror
Masters. Ledeen, Resident Scholar in the Freedom Chair
at the American Enterprise Institute, can be reached
through Benador Associates.


=
---
John D. Giorgis   -  [EMAIL PROTECTED]
  Tonight I have a message for the brave and oppressed people of Iraq:
 Your enemy is not surrounding your country — your enemy is ruling your  
 country. And the day he and his regime are removed from power will be
   the day of your liberation.  -George W. Bush 1/29/03

__
Do you 

Blowback

2003-03-04 Thread J.D. Giorgis
Arming Saudi Arabia today, may, in a couple decades,
be looked upon like our arming of Hussein in 1980 and
the mujaheddin in Afghanistan.

JDG



March 4, 2003, 9:30 a.m.
Blowback Alert
Saudi Arabia is next.

By Gerald M. Steinberg
National Review 
 

Officials in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia have
announced that once the war with Iraq is over, Western
troops — particularly the Americans — would receive a
letter of thanks and a return ticket home. 
 
On the face of it, this seems like a good idea — a
rare example of a win-win situation in the Middle
East. Few Americans enjoy spending time on distant
desert bases protecting a corrupt royal family and its
retainers, who in turn resent this evidence of their
own weakness. At the same time, the fanatical Wahhabis
that control religion and society in Saudi Arabia
would cheer the departure of the infidels. Indeed,
this is the core demand of Osama bin Laden, the
onetime Saudi citizen who founded al Qaeda and planned
the mass terror of 9/11. Heeding bin Laden's call, 15
more Saudis were recruited to carry out the attacks
against the World Trade Center and the Pentagon —
helped along also by substantial Saudi funding and
religious justification. Thus by ridding themselves of
the impure forces on holy Islamic ground, the
Saudi rulers can also appease bin Laden. 

Indeed, once Saddam is gone and the threat from Iraq
is destroyed (at least for now), the main
justification for the presence of foreign military
forces will also disappear. When Saddam invaded Kuwait
in 1990 — and threatened to move against Saudi Arabia
and seize its oil wells — American troops were
dispatched immediately. Although a post-Saddam Middle
East will still pose many threats to the Saudi royal
family and its oil income, the security situation
should improve, and, in any case, this will no longer
be America's problem. With Iraqi oil back on line and
available after the war, any disruptions in Saudi
production will have less impact. 

However, the departure of the American and other
forces from Saudi Arabia could create new and more
menacing difficulties for the U.S., Israel and other
countries. If the huge arsenals of the world's most
advanced weapons become available to radical groups
and Islamic terrorists, the result could be a
catastrophic case of blowback. Following the war
against the Soviet Union in Afghanistan, guerrillas
who had been trained and armed by the U.S. (including
bin Laden) turned their weapons against their former
benefactors. The potential blowback from the Saudi
arsenal of advanced aircraft and missiles would be
many times more devastating. 

The scope of this threat should not be underestimated.
For over 30 years, Saudi defense officials (princes of
the royal family) have been converting a significant
portion of their oil income into weapons and bases.
Multi-billion-dollar deals to acquire large numbers of
the most advanced combat aircraft, tanks, missiles,
and other systems were signed and implemented over the
years, making Saudi Arabia one of the most highly
armed countries in the world. In the early 1980s — and
despite strenuous objections from Israel and within
the U.S. — the Reagan administration agreed to sell
AWACS airborne battle stations to the Saudis, as well
as F-15s (over 150 of these advanced fighter-bombers
are now in the Saudi inventory) and tactical missiles
(such as the Maverick and Sidewinder). Large and
modern bases were also built — including the Prince
Sultan complex south of Riyadh, complete with a
15,000-foot runway and advanced air-traffic control,
navigation, meteorological, and communications
systems. The additional weapons purchased from France
and Britain also should not be overlooked in this
assessment. 

Throughout this period, successive American
governments rejected concerns that this arsenal could
be turned against the U.S. and Israel. (While the
Saudis are often portrayed as pragmatic and passive,
they are at the forefront of anti-Israel incitement
and anti-Semitism, and have sent symbolic forces to
fight in past Arab-Israeli wars.) Repeated
reassurances were given that these weapons could not
be operated without American permission and
cooperation. 

But if the U.S. and other Western forces depart, huge
stockpiles of some of the most advanced weapons in the
world would no longer be locked away. In the likely
event of a major political upheaval in Saudi Arabia —
and the replacement of the royal family with an
Islamic regime that is closely aligned with Islamic
radicals or terror groups — these weapons and bases
could become a central element in the war against the
U.S. and the West. Pakistanis or others might be given
access to these weapons, and with Pakistan spinning
toward radicalism and nuclear-armed chaos, the
prospect of what could follow is not encouraging. 

Moreover, the intercontinental ballistic missiles it
purchased from China many years ago could provide the
foundation for a Saudi strategic force. A number of
former diplomats 

Letter to a Dutchman: What This War is About

2003-03-04 Thread J.D. Giorgis
Rod Dreher
National Review
March 4, 2003 9:00 a.m.
Letter to a European Friend
Explaining this war.
 
 

Dear Harry,

Thanks so much for your recent letter. You Dutch are
great about remembering birthdays. I hardly noticed
that I even had a birthday this year, inasmuch as the
day came at the end of an exhausting week.. The whole
country had been under high terror alert that week.
Anti-aircraft missiles had been parked around
Washington, and here in New York, police commandos
were on the streets carrying assault rifles. Julie and
I decided not to bother going out to celebrate, to
instead stay home with Matthew and be grateful that
nothing bad happened.  
 
I've been meaning to write to answer your concerns
about the war, and to address your remarks about the
increasing anti-Americanism in the air in Europe. I
finally have the time, given that Julie and Matthew
have gone to Texas to stay with her folks for a few
weeks. It might sound paranoid to you, but I feel a
lot better with them down there for the time being.
I'm hearing that more and more New Yorkers are doing
this, quietly. Maybe this is overreacting, but if a
dirty bomb should go off, we have no car, and no way
of getting out of town. Until they left, every moment
of every day I'd sit at my desk in Manhattan,
wondering how I would get home to them across the
river in Brooklyn if there were another catastrophic
terrorist attack. I hate having my family split up
like this, however temporary, but I can't bear the
thought of something terrible happening to them when
and if the war starts, and me not having gotten them
to someplace safer when I had the chance. We lived
through September 11, and are not eager to go through
anything like that again, if we can help it.

I must tell you that beyond particular arguments over
the usefulness of this or that aspect of the Iraq
standoff, I believe that experience is at the root of
the American public's willingness to go to war with
Iraq, versus Europe's overwhelming rejection of same.
We know what these terrorists can do, and will do; for
Europeans, it was all a story on television. Most
Americans understand the lesson of 9/11; most
Europeans, in my view, do not. 

Because you are my friend, I don't want to bore you by
going through the kinds of policy arguments I would
use in a public debate, which you may have read in the
newspapers and magazines anyway. I want to tell you
what 9/11 was like for us, and why it matters to the
way we, and lots of Americans, feel about this war.

That morning began with a phone call from my father,
who had been watching TV. Look out your front door,
the World Trade Center is on fire, he said. It was a
warm, clear, beautiful September day. And there was
one of the towers, billowing smoke and paper, which
was being carried by the wind right over our house in
Brooklyn. While I was downstairs gathering my notepad
so I could run across the bridge to cover the fire, I
heard the explosion of the second plane hitting. It
shook our building. I opened the door, saw the second
tower burning, kissed Julie goodbye, and told her,
I'm going to get as close as I can.

There was an exodus of workers crossing the bridge out
of Manhattan. I stopped to talk to some of them. They
were gasping and sobbing, talking about having seen
people jumping to their deaths from the upper floors.
I have never seen that kind of trauma in anyone. They
were very nearly in shock. I am fortunate that I
stopped to talk to them, because I had plenty of time
to have made it to the south tower. As it was, I was
standing on the bridge watching the fire, about to
begin my descent into Manhattan, when the south tower
collapsed. My knees nearly buckled. I was sure I had
just seen tens of thousands of people die. I turned
back toward home, because there was no getting into
Manhattan now.

My mobile phone wasn't working, so I had no way of
letting Julie know I hadn't been killed. All she knew
was that my last words were, I'm going to get as
close as I can. It took me almost an hour to get home
that morning. When she saw me coming, she ran down the
street holding Matthew, sobbing. She had to live for
nearly an hour anticipating that the Islamic
terrorists had killed me too.

We were lucky: We really didn't know anyone who died
in the Towers, though eight people from our church
perished. People in our parish who had grown up in
Beirut told us that the slightly sweet smell that hung
in the air in our neighborhood was burning flesh. I
hadn't counted on ever knowing what that smelled like.
We went and stood by the harbor with hundreds of our
neighbors, watching the smoke rise from the 16-acre
crematorium, praying and wondering what had happened
to our city and our country.

Six days later, they reopened the Financial District,
and I went there to report on what I saw. Harry, I
hope you never have to see anything like this in
Amsterdam. The immensity of the violence done to New
York and America on that day became clear to me in a
way 

Saddam Assasinated Missile Chieft to Thwart Inspections

2003-03-04 Thread J.D. Giorgis
Saddam 'killed missile chief' to thwart UN team 
By David Wastell and Julian Coman in Washington
(Filed: 02/03/2003) 
The Telegraph

Western intelligence agencies are investigating claims
that Saddam Hussein ordered the murder of a senior
Iraqi missile engineer to prevent him passing vital
information to United Nations weapons inspectors.

Gen Muhammad Sa'id al-Darraj, who was in charge of
Iraq's mobile Scud missiles until three months ago,
died 24 hours after talks with Saddam's officials,
according to Arab newspaper reports. The officials
wanted to discuss how the general would conceal his
knowledge if he were called for interview by the UN.

The London-based Al-Zaman newspaper said that Gen
al-Darraj told indignant relatives shortly before he
died that he had been slipped a poisoned drink during
the meeting at one of Saddam's presidential palaces.

Iraqi opposition groups suspect that the general's
loyalty to Saddam was in doubt after he was removed
from his post at the end of last year.

British Government officials said yesterday that they
were still trying to corroborate the report.

UN inspectors held their initial private interviews
with Iraqis involved in Saddam's weapons programme - a
biologist and a missile expert - on Friday, their
first such talks for three weeks.

Last week Britain's ambassador to the UN, Sir Jeremy
Greenstock, gave a private briefing to other members
of the Security Council on Iraq's continuing efforts
to conceal its chemical weapons and nerve gas
production from the weapons inspectors, The Telegraph
has learnt.

Officials say that Sir Jeremy will reveal more to his
senior UN colleagues this week, including sensitive
intelligence information, in an effort to boost
support for the British and American-backed resolution
on Iraq.

Donald Rumsfeld, the United States Secretary of
Defence, put further pressure on Saddam's regime by
linking senior Iraqi officials to a new list of 24
crimes for which detainees in the war on terrorism may
be tried by American military tribunals.

Mr Rumsfeld said that war-crimes suspects in Saddam's
regime might be brought to Guantanamo Bay, where about
650 al-Qa'eda suspects are currently held, after any
military action. According to Pentagon officials,
Saddam and other top Ba'ath Party activists could be
put on trial for crimes against Kurds in northern Iraq
and Shia Muslims in the south.

The war crimes list includes employing poison or
analogous weapons, using protected persons as
shields and using protected property as shields. Mr
Rumsfeld said that the 19-page list was a codification
of existing laws of war to take account of the new
landscape of international terrorism.

During an emergency Arab summit in Egypt yesterday the
United Arab Emirates became the first Arab country to
call publicly for Saddam and his aides to go into
exile, to spare Iraq's people from war.

The UAE said that the Iraqi leadership should be
offered all suitable privileges to leave within two
weeks, plus internationally binding guarantees that
they would not face prosecution in any form. The
proposal appeared to receive backing from Saudi
Arabia's foreign minister, Prince Saud al Faisal.

At the same summit, President Bashar al-Assad of Syria
called on fellow Arab League nations not to provide
America with military facilities to wage war on Iraq.


=
---
John D. Giorgis   -  [EMAIL PROTECTED]
  Tonight I have a message for the brave and oppressed people of Iraq:
 Your enemy is not surrounding your country — your enemy is ruling your  
 country. And the day he and his regime are removed from power will be
   the day of your liberation.  -George W. Bush 1/29/03

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Posner: Was I Really That Stupid?

2003-03-03 Thread J.D. Giorgis
Updated Tuesday, February 25 at 1:27 PM
 
 Was I That Stupid?
by Gerald Posner

This past weekend, millions turned out in cities
worldwide for antiwar protests – the largest since the
Vietnam war – by groups opposed to US military action
against Iraq. Tens of thousands in the United States
recently braved frigid east coast weather and almost
half-a-million people marched through Florence and
Paris in what was promoted as one in a series in many
Europe-wide anti-war rallies. 

Many of my fellow Democrats have been gushing about
the hordes that have taken to the streets, basking in
nostalgia about the street demonstrations over Vietnam
that were a factor in changing government policy in
Southeast Asia. But the enthusiasm that the protests
kindled in some seemed strange, as all they did for me
was bring back shameful 
memories of my own political naiveté thirty years ago.


In 1972 I was a freshman at UC Berkeley, then proud to
boast it had the only city council in America that
refused to stand for the Pledge of Allegiance.
Carrying around baby-doctor Benjamin Spock’s leftist
manifesto on Vietnam, I quickly became an activist
during the next two years in immense antiwar protests
that seemed almost daily occurrences 
at Berkeley. As a political science major I thought I
had all the answers. The North Vietnamese were merely
freedom fighters trying to liberate their country from
the shackles of western imperialism. The US 
war was unjust and being waged against innocents. And
Governor Ronald Reagan, who kept badmouthing us and
sending in the tough Alameda sheriff’s department to
disburse the crowds, was somewhere right of Attila the
Hun. 

Three decades later I have no pride in the memory of
those protests. Rather, I wonder how it was possible
to be so mistaken about real politics and world
events. My political gullibility is an embarrassment.
The so-called peace movement had completely deluded 
itself, conveniently ignoring any evidence that
countered its agenda. How was it not possible to have
seen that the North was a convenient tool for the
Soviets to bleed the US and that it represented one of
the 
most repressive old-line communist dictatorships since
Stalin? What were we marching for three decades ago?
Certainly not for the right of North Vietnam to invade
neighboring Cambodia, killing tens of thousands of
civilians in a brutal war of submission. Nor did we
raucously protest so that two million Cambodians could
be exterminated under the Khmer Rouge. Not many of us
would have been so enthusiastic in Sproul Plaza had we
known that the North Vietnamese secret police would
imprison, torture, and kill tens of thousands of
political prisoners in a futile, but barbarous,
attempt to “cleanse” the country of western influence.


None of the tragedies that happened after the US
withdrawal from Southeast Asia should have come as a
surprise. But they did to those of 
us in the antiwar movement because we had blinded
ourselves to any reality. 

Will today’s current peace protestors eventually feel
as foolish as I do? I think even more so. Weapons of
mass destruction, a war declared on America by Islamic
extremists, and a leader in Saddam who rivals the most
thuggish dictators in recent history, changes the
entire equation. 
Thirty years ago there was never a question of North
Vietnam attacking America or its civilians around the
globe. Our often-misguided peace demonstrations
inadvertently assisted the communists in brutally
reuniting the country. But today’s peaceniks, who seem
to be more interested in protecting Saddam than in
trying to prevent the massive loss of life on American
soil if terrorists get their hands on weapons of mass
destruction, are playing with much more dangerous
consequences. They are deluding themselves to the post
9.11 realities, and in so doing, their success would
put the country at considerable risk. 

Saddam must be delirious with joy to think that not a
shot has been fired, and the same old suspects – Jesse
Jackson, Al Sharpton, and Ramsey Clark - are taking to
the streets and leading many impressionable and
idealistic young Americans in trying to stop a war
that is, unfortunately, a necessity. Such
demonstrations give Saddam the false 
hope that peace sentiment on the street will weaken
the resolve of Western leaders, and the vacillation of
allies like Germany and France only rekindle the
shameful specter earlier European weakness when it
came to dealing with its own fascist dictators a
generation ago. 

The loose collaboration of leftists, anti-war
activists, and anti-globalization proponents, must
wake up. There are fundamentalists 
who would kill them without a second thought merely
because they are Westerners. Appeasement gets you
nowhere, as Europe learned from Hitler. 

I looked at the recent television images of thousands,
almost in a party atmosphere, as they chanted their
rhyming protests against a possible war. Was I that
stupid? I hope not. 

Gerald Posner is a Miami and 
New 

US Plans Iraqi Occupation

2003-02-25 Thread J.D. Giorgis
and Krugman is again all wet.

JDG


U.S. makes plans for post-Saddam Iraq
From Barbara Starr
CNN Washington Bureau
Monday, February 24, 2003 Posted: 1:16 PM EST (1816
GMT)


  
U.N. weapons inspectors pass an Iraqi soldier Monday
in Baghdad. 

WASHINGTON (CNN) -- The Bush administration is laying
extensive plans for a long-term U.S. military and
civilian administration in Iraq once the regime of
Saddam Hussein is removed from power, either through
war or other means, officials said Monday. 

Some of the initial plans were discussed last week in
testimony on Capitol Hill, but further White House and
Pentagon briefings are expected this week with more
detail. 

More than 100 officials from government agencies that
would be involved met Friday and Saturday for a
classified briefing at the National Defense University
in Washington to begin to lay out the framework. 

Here is what officials have said about that framework:


At the core of a post-Saddam administration would be
the U.S. Central Command. Gen. Tommy Franks, who is
the head of Central Command, and his troops would
remain in charge of security and stability for Iraq
when the shooting stops. 

The goal would be to keep those troops in place as
long as necessary but also install a civilian
administrator so there is no appearance solely of a
U.S. military occupation of Iraq. 

The Pentagon also has established an Office of
Reconstruction and Humanitarian Assistance, which
retired Army Lt. Gen. Jay Garner will run. Garner has
previous experience in humanitarian relief operations
in northern Iraq with the Kurds. He would coordinate
operations under the plan. 

Garner and several staffers are expected to move from
the Pentagon into the Persian Gulf region in the near
future and then be ready to deploy to the Iraqi
capital, Baghdad. Their stated goal will be to also
solicit international and private sector support for
all efforts rather than have the U.S. military do the
work. 

The Pentagon envisions an era of transition before
Iraq can be transformed into a democracy, according to
one official. 

The office will have separate deputies overseeing
three areas: 

• Humanitarian relief: The weekend meeting identified
this area as a major and continuing issue. Some 60
percent of Iraqis get their food from U.N. and other
relief organizations, and the Pentagon is trying to
ensure aid agencies can get back into Iraq as soon as
hostilities cease. The meeting underscored that the
military's humanitarian daily rations airdropped over
Afghanistan would be insufficient for ensuring food
for as large a population as Iraq. Ensuring a safe
water supply also will be a top priority. 

• Reconstruction of infrastructure: Iraq's basic
infrastructure of roads, bridges, civil works and
other facilities has deteriorated badly over the last
20 years. The Pentagon will coordinate repair and
reconstruction as well as work needed to restore oil
fields. 

• Civil administration: This effort envisions first
removing any Baath Party or Saddam supporters from the
government and then beginning to work to establish a
new government. The United States would work side by
side with Iraqis in the bureaucracy and courts and
justice system, including the possibility of writing a
new legal code. 

Officials emphasize they do not know how long any of
this process will take or how much it will cost. 

The whole effort depends on how much destruction is
caused during a war and the amount of resistance the
United States might encounter in Iraqi society. 


=
---
John D. Giorgis   -  [EMAIL PROTECTED]
  Tonight I have a message for the brave and oppressed people of Iraq:
 Your enemy is not surrounding your country — your enemy is ruling your  
 country. And the day he and his regime are removed from power will be
   the day of your liberation.  -George W. Bush 1/29/03

__
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US Pledges $10mil for Disarmament Efforts in Afghanistan

2003-02-24 Thread J.D. Giorgis
Obviously, disarmament is just one very small portion
of the rebuilding in Afghanistan, but this article
belies Krugman's ridiculous assertion that the US was
pledging not one cent towards Afghanistan in the next
budget.   In other news, President Karzai himself has
stated that he is, quote, not worried about the
reconstruction of Afghanistan being abandoned.   If
you think about it, this is a very, very, strong
statement of support for the Bush Administration's
reconstruction efforts, since in general, recipients
of aid try to play up the amount of need they have -
they almost never say that they are not worried that
their needs will not be met. 

JDG



Donor nations pledge $50.7 million to Karzai
The Japan Times

Japan and three other major donor countries pledged
Saturday to continue to support Afghanistan's efforts
to rebuild at a conference in Tokyo.
The four countries unveiled an aid package totaling
$50.7 million that is designed to help Afghan soldiers
leave the military and rejoin society as civilians.
The money being provided covers the budget for the
first year of the three-year program.

During the Tokyo Conference on Consolidation of Peace
in Afghanistan, Japan pledged to provide $35 million,
the U.S. offered $10 million, Britain some $3.5
million and Canada $2.2 million.

The process of disarmament, demobilization and
reintegration -- known as DDR -- of former combatants
into Afghan society will cost about $134 million over
three years, according to the United Nations
Development Program.

More than 30 donor countries, the European Union and
about 10 international institutions took part in the
conference.

In addition to the four major donors, many other
countries expressed readiness to offer financial aid,
although they did not provide specific figures during
the meeting.

Germany, which is in charge of organizing the new
police force in Afghanistan, said it will cooperate
closely with Japan to reduce the number of Afghan
police officials.

Afghan President Hamid Karzai emphasized the
importance of the DDR plan to ensure peace and
security in his homeland.

Achieving DDR answers the deepest aspirations of the
Afghan people, who are eager to move away from war and
violence toward a peaceful, safe and civil society,
Karzai said in his opening speech.

Afghanistan has between 150,000 and 200,000 soldiers,
of which 100,000 will be discharged in line with the
reorganization of the country's military and police
forces.

Foreign Minister Yoriko Kawaguchi vowed to continue
her commitment toward Afghanistan's reconstruction
process and called on the international community to
continue to support the from guns to plows plan.

Each of the major donor nations has already played a
leading role in supporting Afghan's efforts to
rebuild, with Japan taking responsibility for the DDR
program.

Some 34 countries and 12 international organizations
attended the conference. Among the participants were
Sadako Ogata, special representative of Prime Minister
Junichiro Koizumi for Assistance to Afghanistan, and
Lakhdar Brahimi, special representative of the U.N.
secretary general for Afghanistan. 

The Japan Times: Feb. 23, 2003



Afghan leader says donors committed

Karzai states war no impediment

By Peggy Hernandez, Boston Globe Correspondent,
2/23/2003

TOKYO - Hamid Karzai, president of Afghanistan's
interim government, said yesterday that he has
assurances from President Bush and Prime Minister Tony
Blair of Britain that a war with Iraq will not impede
his country's reconstruction. 

Karzai, attending a one-day donors conference here,
secured another $51 million in aid for his war-torn
country.

''Generally, of course, war in Iraq will have an
impact,'' Karzai said. But he said that an attack
would not impede financial assistance to Afghanistan
or efforts to bring peace to the divided country. ''We
are not worried.''

The conference, attended by representatives from more
than 40 countries, served as a follow-up to a historic
session in January 2002, in which dozens of nations
and organizations pledged $4.5 billion to rebuild the
country. The new pledges come from Japan, the United
States, Britain, and Canada.

The United Nations, the World Bank, and the Asian
Development Bank estimate it will cost about $15
billion over 10 years for Afghanistan's
reconstruction.

In Tokyo, Karzai offered more details to the donor
countries about his three-year plan for ''disarmament,
demobilization, and reintegration'' to develop the
country. Under the plan, the country's warlords and
their soldiers are expected to surrender their weapons
in exchange for cash, vocational training, and work
placement.

Karzai will formally announce the start of the program
on March 21, the Afghan new year. He also said he
hoped the country will be able to hold its first
general election in June or July 2004.

''During the past year, we have had some remarkable
achievements,'' Karzai said. ''Most were made possible
by the desire of the 

Interview With Hans Blix

2003-02-24 Thread J.D. Giorgis
 
All Eyes on The Inspector 
 
 An interview with the U.N. diplomat. He talks about
Iraqi credibility, the necessity of a military threat
and wrangling within the Security Council
  
 
  
 

Posted Sunday, February 23, 2003; 10:31 a.m. EST
TIME: In a perfect world, how long should inspections
proceed before you know whether Iraq is cooperating?

Blix: It should not take a very long time. There will
always be a residue of uncertainty, but for the larger
things, industrial-scale activities, I think within a
number of months. 

TIME: Do you think Iraq is becoming more cooperative? 

Blix: There is clearly a difference between the tone
[of my report to the U.N.] on Jan. 27 and the one I
had [in the second report] Feb. 14. I am supposed to
give an accurate description of the reality I see. And
if the reality changes, I damn well ought to register
that. By the 14th of February, we had been to Baghdad,
and there were a number of things that ... did not
bring us close to disarmament but opened up the
potential opportunity for progress. 

TIME: What exactly was this potential progress?

Blix: They [initially] said, We destroyed all the
biological weapons in the summer of 1991—but the
documentation was destroyed, and we cannot tell you
anything more about it. Now they said, Well, maybe
there is a way of finding out underground. I said that
our people were not very hopeful about it, but
nevertheless we would [pursue] it. They claim they had
drilled in the ground and there was rock underneath,
and they thought we might still find traces of it. 

TIME: Any other hopeful developments?

Blix: We [received] a letter that gave us the names of
persons who had taken part in the destruction of
biological weapons in the summer of 1991. These are
people who are still alive and who [could be]
interviewed about it. Since then we have had further
names from the missile sector and from the chemical.
I'm not rushing to conclusions that this is going to
give results. They could be scripted. They could all
tell us the same story. 

TIME: Have you begun to interview the people on those
lists?

Blix: No, but we are planning for how it will be done.


TIME: Is credible threat of force necessary to get
even minimal compliance?

Blix: Just as Kofi Annan says, diplomacy may need to
be backed up by force. Inspections may need to be
backed up by pressure. 

TIME: So the buildup of U.S. forces actually has
helped you? 

Blix: I don't think there would have been any
inspection but for outside pressure, including U.S.
forces. 

TIME: Are the members of the U.N. Security Council
depending on you too much to make up their minds?

Blix: No, I don't think so. The way I read the U.S.
and perhaps the U.K. now, they are more intent on
looking at the cooperation rather than the degree of
disarmament. It seems to me that the U.S. and U.K. are
looking at: Is there a change of heart? 

TIME: You said Feb. 14 that many proscribed items,
including tons of chemical agent, were unaccounted
for. You said there were significant outstanding
issues, including the whereabouts of previously
identified stores of anthrax and VX poisons and
long-range missiles. Isn't it reasonable to conclude
that the Iraqis aren't cooperating?


Blix: Is non-delivery of documents that they deny
having noncooperation? They deny they have these
documents, and [others] say they are not giving the
documents. Well, I don't have evidence that they have
them. 

 
TIME: So when you say to them, what happened to the
anthrax? They say, well, there was a hole in the
ground in the desert and we put it in?


Blix: Yes. It was not a hole in the ground; they
poured it in the ground. They did the same with the
VX. 

TIME: Do you believe them?

Blix: I'd like to see evidence of it. I don't work by
gut feelings. I have to be the lawyer. Some people
say, Jump at this. I'd like to see evidence. I'd like
to interview the people. If they have contemporary
documents, we can establish whether the documents are
authentic. 

TIME: How could there be no documents? Hasn't the
Iraqi regime in the past had a Prussian-like
efficiency in terms of keeping records?

Blix: Well, they've been one of the best-organized
regimes in the Arab world. But then, if they destroyed
their documents with that efficiency, there might be
relatively little left. But when they've had need of
something to show, then they have been able to do so. 

TIME: So this is all a bit odd.

Blix: Yes, it's a bit odd. 

TIME: What will you do if in the end you don't get
documents as evidence?

Blix: I would not say they are guilty. I do not say
they have them. I say that I will not recommend to the
Security Council to have any confidence. 

TIME: There are also questions about whether the
quantities of weapons that Iraq originally declared
represent the full amount anyway. 

Blix: You're hinting at their lack of credibility. Of
course they have no credibility. If they had any, they
certainly lost it in 1991. I don't see that they have
acquired any 

The Best Case Against Iraq Yet

2003-02-24 Thread J.D. Giorgis
February 21, 2003
A Last Chance to Stop Iraq
By KENNETH M. POLLACK

 
WASHINGTON — With the Bush administration set to put a
resolution on Iraq before the United Nations Security
Council next week, those opposed to war will rally
around the notion that Saddam Hussein can be deterred
from aggression. They will continue to say that the
mere presence of United Nations inspectors will
prevent him from building nuclear weapons, and that
even if he were to acquire them he could still be
contained.

Unfortunately, these claims fly in the face of 12
years — and in truth more like 30 years — of history. 

Observers have a very poor track record in predicting
the progress of the Iraqi nuclear weapons program. In
the late 1980's, the nuclear experts of the American
intelligence services were convinced that the Iraqis
were at least 5 and probably 10 years away from having
a nuclear weapon. For its part, the International
Atomic Energy Agency did not even believe that Iraq
had a nuclear weapons program. After the 1991 Persian
Gulf war, United Nations inspectors found that not
only did Iraq have a program far more extensive than
anyone had realized, but it was also less than two
years away from producing a weapon.

Four years later, the international agency was so
certain that it had eradicated the Iraqi nuclear
program that it wanted to end aggressive inspections
in favor of passive monitoring. Then a slew of
defectors came out of Iraq — including Hussein Kamel
al-Majid, the son-in-law of Saddam Hussein who led the
Iraqi program to build weapons of mass destruction;
Wafiq al-Samarrai, one of Saddam Hussein's
intelligence chiefs; and Khidhir Hamza, a leading
scientist with the nuclear weapons program. These
defectors reported that outside pressure had not only
failed to eradicate the nuclear program, it was bigger
and more cleverly spread out and concealed than anyone
had imagined it to be.

In the late 1990's, American and international nuclear
experts again concluded that the Iraqi nuclear program
was dormant: yes, the scientists were still working in
teams; yes, they still had all of the plans; and yes,
they probably were hiding some machinery — but they
were not making any progress. Then another batch of
important defectors escaped to Europe and told Western
intelligence services that after the inspectors left
Iraq in 1998, Saddam Hussein had started a crash
program to build a nuclear weapon and that the Iraqis
had devised methods to hide the effort. 

The reports of these defectors prompted the German
intelligence service in 2001 to conclude that Iraq was
only three to six years away from having one or more
nuclear weapons. Today, the American, British and
Israeli intelligence services believe that unless he
is stopped, Saddam Hussein is likely to acquire a
nuclear weapon in the second half of this decade. 

Even this estimate may be overly optimistic. While
it's true that the presence of weapons inspectors does
hamper the Iraqis, there are some critical caveats. We
simply do not know how close Iraq is to acquiring a
nuclear weapon, nor do we know to what extent the
inspectors' presence is slowing the Iraqi program.
What we do know is that for more than a decade we have
consistently overestimated the ability of inspectors
to impede the Iraqi efforts and we have consistently
underestimated how far along Iraq has been toward
acquiring a nuclear weapon.

For all of these reasons the assurances from Mohamed
ElBaradei, the head of the International Atomic Energy
Agency, that he has Iraq's nuclear program well in
hand should be less than comforting.

Nor is there reason to be confident about how Saddam
Hussein will behave once he has acquired a nuclear
weapon. 

He has been anything but circumspect about his
aspirations: He has stated that he wants to turn Iraq
into a superpower that will dominate the Middle
East, to liberate Jerusalem and to drive the United
States out of the region. He has said he believes the
only way he can achieve his goals is through the use
of force. Indeed, his half-brother and former chief of
intelligence, Barzan al-Tikriti, was reported to say
that Iraq needs nuclear weapons because it wants a
strong hand in order to redraw the map of the Middle
East.

It is probably true that fear of retaliation kept Iraq
from using chemical weapons against coalition forces
during the gulf war. However, this should give us
little comfort that he will be similarly deterred in
the future. Before the 1991 war, Secretary of State
James Baker warned his Iraqi counterpart, Tariq Aziz,
that Iraq faced terrible consequences if it used
weapons of mass destruction, mounted terrorist attacks
or destroyed Kuwaiti oil fields. 

Yet despite this warning, Saddam Hussein tried to send
terrorist teams to America and did blow up the Kuwaiti
oil fields — he simply gambled on which two of the
three things Mr. Baker mentioned were unlikely to
result in America ending the regime. (Many officials
from that Bush administration have 

The Wash Post on Iraq vs. DPRK

2003-02-20 Thread J.D. Giorgis
Editorial

No Easy Way 
Friday, February 14, 2003; Page A30 


RUSSIA, CHINA and several European governments have
been insisting that the United States cannot take
action against Iraq without the full involvement of
the United Nations. So it's curious to hear those same
countries argue that in the case of North Korea,
another rogue state that threatens its neighbors with
weapons of mass destruction, the only solution is
unilateral steps by the Bush administration. North
Korea's defiance of the nuclear Non-Proliferation
Treaty was rightly referred to the U.N. Security
Council on Wednesday by the International Atomic
Energy Agency. The agency's chief, Mohamed ElBaradei,
said Pyongyang's defiance set a dangerous precedent
that should receive zero tolerance. Yet the Russian
and Chinese governments grumbled that any action by
the Security Council would be counterproductive. The
only solution, they insist, is direct dialogue
between the United States and North Korea. More than
the Bush administration, neighbors ought to be gravely
concerned about the incipient nuclearization of the
Korean Peninsula. Yet while demanding a veto over any
campaign to disarm Iraq, Russia and China propose to
stand aside while Washington disarms North Korea on
its own -- presumably by meeting Pyongyang's demands
for political and economic bribes.

The consistency in these apparently paradoxical
positions is not hard to find. Both represent the easy
way out of confronting a dictator. In Iraq,
multilateralism is embraced as a way of blocking the
tough but probably necessary measure of military
intervention; in North Korea, power is delegated to
the United States because that will save other
countries from having to take responsibility for
facing Kim Jong Il. The United States has been willing
enough to go along with this formula -- the Clinton
administration consented to multilateral containment
of Saddam Hussein while negotiating unilateral deals
with Mr. Kim. The problem is that this path of least
resistance didn't work in either case, and not because
of the Bush administration's belligerence. North Korea
pocketed Mr. Clinton's concessions and went right on
working on nuclear weapons.


http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A5704-2003Feb13.html


=
---
John D. Giorgis   -  [EMAIL PROTECTED]
  Tonight I have a message for the brave and oppressed people of Iraq:
 Your enemy is not surrounding your country — your enemy is ruling your  
 country. And the day he and his regime are removed from power will be
   the day of your liberation.  -George W. Bush 1/29/03

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France Tells Eastern Europeans to Pipe Down

2003-02-20 Thread J.D. Giorgis
Chirac Scolding Angers Nations That Back U.S.
By CRAIG S. SMITH
NY Times

RUSSELS, Feb. 18 — New Europe barked back at old
Europe today, deepening the continental rift over
Iraq after President Jacques Chirac of France told
Central and Eastern European countries to keep their
views on Iraq to themselves or risk losing their
chance to join the European Union.

We thought we were preparing for war with Saddam
Hussein and not Jacques Chirac, said Alexandr Vondra,
deputy foreign minister of the Czech Republic, one of
the European Union applicants that have drawn French
ire by openly supporting the United States and Britain
in the Iraqi crisis. Mr. Vondra said his country and
its immediate neighbors definitely cannot remain
silent, as Mr. Chirac advised on Monday.

The French president, in an unusually emotional
outburst in Brussels after the European Union meeting
on Monday about Iraq, derided the Central and Eastern
European countries that have signed letters expressing
their support for the American policy on Iraq for
being badly brought up, and having missed an
opportunity to keep quiet.

All 13 candidates today endorsed the joint declaration
on Iraq issued on Monday by the 15 European leaders,
warning Saddam Hussein that he had one last chance
to disarm and vowing to avoid new lines of division
over European policy on Iraq.

But divisions exist. The war of words highlighted not
only disagreement over Iraq, but also France's
struggle for dominance in European affairs in the face
of an enlarging European Union whose incoming members
are historically beholden to the United States.

France has long been concerned that the former
Communist countries, indebted to the United States for
liberation from Soviet domination in the cold war,
would turn out to be a sort of Trojan horse bringing
America's influence into the union.

For France, the European Union is a way for it to
remain a big power in the world because it can use
Europe to act and to have a certain influence in world
affairs that it can't have anymore on its own, said
Gilles Lepesant, a French expert on European identity
and Eastern Europe. France fears that expanding the
European Union membership will erode its influence and
weaken Europe's position as a potential counterweight
to American power.

The broader European Union membership is also more
likely to produce a decentralized organization that
leaves much power with national governments, rather
than the more centralized, cohesive union favored by
France and Germany.

The tension across Europe has grown steadily as
Central and Eastern European countries have sided with
the United States over how to resolve the Iraq crisis.
Defense Secretary Donald H. Rumsfeld last month
chastised France and Germany for opposing the United
States, calling them old Europe, out of step with
the new Europe made up of former Soviet bloc
countries.

While France this month recalled its gratitude to the
United States for liberation from Germany more than
half a century ago, the gratitude of former Communist
states toward Washington seems far more immediate and,
for now, binding. Even once rock-solid bonds like that
between Germany and the United States have been
undermined in recent months.

Andrzej Kapiszewski, professor of sociology and
political science at Krakow University in Poland,
recalled that even under communism, America remained a
benevolent presence. I'm from Krakow, and practically
every single person had some relative in the United
States, Mr. Kapiszewski said.

There is little sense of obligation to Western Europe,
though, and some irritation at the long, difficult
negotiations insisted on by Western Europe for
membership of the European Union. 

The East-West European divide broke into the open when
eight European leaders, including the European Union
candidates Poland, Hungary and the Czech Republic,
signed a letter of support for Washington's position
in January. That letter was followed by another signed
by 10 more countries, including seven candidates for
the European Union.

The letters reinforced widespread suspicion in France
that the poorer European countries are primarily
attracted to European Union membership for economic
reasons while their political allegiance will remain
with Washington.

Europe is not a cash register, warned Dominique de
Villepin, the French foreign minister, on Sunday.

In his comments on Monday, Mr. Chirac went on to
suggest that opposing France and Germany could hurt
candidates for European Union membership. He warned,
in particular, that Romania and Bulgaria, the poorest
of the thirteen candidates and the two that are still
negotiating to enter the bloc in 2007, could hardly
find a better way of reducing their chances for
membership by speaking up against France.

The French defense minister, Michele Alliot-Marie,
echoed Mr. Chirac in Warsaw today, telling her hosts
that it was better to keep silent when you don't know
what's going on.

The comments were rejected across 

The Draft and Inequality

2003-02-20 Thread J.D. Giorgis
The draft 

Warriors-by-numbers

Feb 13th 2003 | BOSTON 
From The Economist print edition


An old and much-loathed scheme resurfaces

THE last man to be conscripted into America's armed
forces was called up on Valentine's Day 30 years ago.
But the idea of the draft as a social equaliser lives
on. In his recent call to renew it, Charles Rangel, an
outspoken black Democratic congressman from Harlem,
noted that few of his colleagues have children in the
armed forces and that a disproportionate number of
soldiers are black. Mr Rangel means mostly to make
Americans nervous about war, and his words won't bring
back conscription. But the idea that the draft was a
useful tool for social engineering endures.

Military recruits these days are 20% black, a
proportion that has held steady since 1979; in the
general population, only 14% of 18-34-year-olds are
black. By contrast, Latinos, America's largest
minority, account for 11% of new entrants and for 15%
of the population at large. Whites, too, are
under-represented. 




United States


Wars 


Congressman Charles Rangel, Charles Moskos and James
Fallows (editor of the Atlantic Monthly) advocate
renewal of the draft. See also a selection of articles
on the draft by Joshua Angrist.




 
The relatively heavy proportion of blacks may be seen
as a bad thing: a sign that blacks have fewer
opportunities and end up with the most dangerous and
gruelling jobs. Yet Colin Powell, for one, thinks
their increasing presence both in the ranks and in the
officer corps is a strong sign of success. For many
decades, blacks were under-represented: a legacy of
the segregation of the armed forces, which was not
fully ended until 1954 and which excluded black
volunteers in favour of white draftees. Few blacks
served in Korea or the second world war. And although
many remember Vietnam as a war fought
disproportionately by blacks, it was not until 1972,
near the end of the draft, that the proportion of
blacks in the armed forces reached 11%, more or less
their share of the population at the time. 

The draft, in fact, did not do much for social
levelling. Even during the peak Vietnam conscription
years, far more soldiers were rejected for low test
scores than were able to wriggle out of service—as
Bill Clinton was accused of doing—through deferments
for being at college. Many low-scoring applicants are
rejected today (the army is a fighting machine, not a
remedial school). But a new draft might further damage
the chances of those volunteers with most to gain from
military training. 

The draft may also damage draftees' capacity to earn
money afterwards in the civilian world. One comparison
between the incomes of men with high lottery numbers
(who were likely to be drafted) and those with lower
ones showed that the conscripts earned about 15% less
than they would otherwise have done, and that the
difference persisted in every year they worked after
they came home. Whatever his views about Iraq, Mr
Rangel's aim looks off.


=
---
John D. Giorgis   -  [EMAIL PROTECTED]
  Tonight I have a message for the brave and oppressed people of Iraq:
 Your enemy is not surrounding your country — your enemy is ruling your  
 country. And the day he and his regime are removed from power will be
   the day of your liberation.  -George W. Bush 1/29/03

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Abortion, Miscarriage, and Subsequent Premature Births

2003-02-12 Thread J.D. Giorgis
This was an interesting column on an oft-discussed
list subject.

JDG




Subject:   Abortion's Link to Premature Birth is No
Mystery
Source:   Elliot Institute; February 10, 2003

Abortion's Link to Premature Birth is No Mystery
by David Reardon

The March of Dimes has announced a major fund raising
effort to 
understand
and battle premature deliveries. March of Dimes
medical director Dr. 
Nancy
Green told Time magazine that the 27 percent rise in
premature births 
over
the last few decades is a mystery.
(http://www.time.com/time/magazine/article/0,9171,1101030210-4185
59,00.html)

Dr. Green's claim that the rise in premature birth
rates is a mystery
reflects either a distressing ignorance of the medical
literature or a
calculated case of selective recall.

At least 48 published studies have shown significantly
higher risk of
premature birth and low birth weight deliveries among
women with a 
history
of abortion.(1-48) One of the best, a Danish record
based study (1), 
found
the risk doubled after just one abortion. Multiple
abortions increase 
the
risk even more. A doubling of risk among an estimated
one-fourth of
delivering women who have a prior history of abortion
would result in a 
25
percent rise overall.

The only real mystery surrounding the 27 percent rise
in premature
delivery rates among the post-Roe generation of women
is why the March 
of
Dimes has failed to call attention to this major risk
factor. Their 
fact
sheets downplay the risk of abortion, stating only
that women are at
higher risk of premature delivery if they have had
more than three
abortions or miscarriages. Other risk factors such as
drinking, 
smoking,
and drug use are also elevated by a history of
abortion.

The March of Dimes professes that its position on
abortion is one of
neutrality. This is a good position to be in if one is
trying to gather 
in
donations from as large an audience as possible.

But the fact that the March of Dimes encourages
prenatal screening for
birth defects that can only be treated by abortion
does not support 
the
claim that they are neutral. Instead, it supports the
view that the 
March
of Dimes is encouraging eugenic targeting of unfit
children that do 
not
deserve to be born. Their refusal to aggressively
educate the public
about the role abortion plays in heightening the risk
posed to 
subsequent
pregnancies is another sign that their claim of
neutrality is a just a
veneer over a pro-abortion, eugenic- minded charity.

According to the March of Dimes, In 2000, hospital
charges for 23,000
prematurity-related infant stays totaled $1.2 billion.
The average 
charge
was $58,000 per baby, compared to $4,300 for a typical
newborn stay.
(http://www.marchofdimes.com/aboutus/791_6775.asp)
Treatment of these
children through employer health plans is estimated at
$4.7 billion per
year. One fifth of these costs may be is attributable
to extra cases of
prematurity arising from abortion-related morbidity.

Premature birth is the leading cause of neonatal death
and is related 
to
increased risk of cerebral palsy, vision and hearing
loss, retardation 
and
other lifelong health problems.

You can register your complaints about the March of
Dimes coverup by
calling 1-888-MODIMES.

The list of 48 studies showing abortion's relationship
to premature 
birth
and low birth rate deliveries compiled by Brent Rooney
can be found at
http://www.vcn.bc.ca/~whatsup/APB-Major.html


=
---
John D. Giorgis   -  [EMAIL PROTECTED]
  Tonight I have a message for the brave and oppressed people of Iraq:
 Your enemy is not surrounding your country — your enemy is ruling your  
 country. And the day he and his regime are removed from power will be
   the day of your liberation.  -George W. Bush 1/29/03

__
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Abortion, Miscarriage, and Subsequent Premature Births

2003-02-12 Thread J.D. Giorgis
This was an interesting column on an oft-discussed
list subject.   Please note that if you are easily
offended by a column that presents strong pro-life
viewpoints, in addition to the scientific information
that I am interested in comments on, you may not wish
to read this article.

JDG




Subject:   Abortion's Link to Premature Birth is No
Mystery
Source:   Elliot Institute; February 10, 2003

Abortion's Link to Premature Birth is No Mystery
by David Reardon

The March of Dimes has announced a major fund raising
effort to 
understand
and battle premature deliveries. March of Dimes
medical director Dr. 
Nancy
Green told Time magazine that the 27 percent rise in
premature births 
over
the last few decades is a mystery.
(http://www.time.com/time/magazine/article/0,9171,1101030210-4185
59,00.html)

Dr. Green's claim that the rise in premature birth
rates is a mystery
reflects either a distressing ignorance of the medical
literature or a
calculated case of selective recall.

At least 48 published studies have shown significantly
higher risk of
premature birth and low birth weight deliveries among
women with a 
history
of abortion.(1-48) One of the best, a Danish record
based study (1), 
found
the risk doubled after just one abortion. Multiple
abortions increase 
the
risk even more. A doubling of risk among an estimated
one-fourth of
delivering women who have a prior history of abortion
would result in a 
25
percent rise overall.

The only real mystery surrounding the 27 percent rise
in premature
delivery rates among the post-Roe generation of women
is why the March 
of
Dimes has failed to call attention to this major risk
factor. Their 
fact
sheets downplay the risk of abortion, stating only
that women are at
higher risk of premature delivery if they have had
more than three
abortions or miscarriages. Other risk factors such as
drinking, 
smoking,
and drug use are also elevated by a history of
abortion.

The March of Dimes professes that its position on
abortion is one of
neutrality. This is a good position to be in if one is
trying to gather 
in
donations from as large an audience as possible.

But the fact that the March of Dimes encourages
prenatal screening for
birth defects that can only be treated by abortion
does not support 
the
claim that they are neutral. Instead, it supports the
view that the 
March
of Dimes is encouraging eugenic targeting of unfit
children that do 
not
deserve to be born. Their refusal to aggressively
educate the public
about the role abortion plays in heightening the risk
posed to 
subsequent
pregnancies is another sign that their claim of
neutrality is a just a
veneer over a pro-abortion, eugenic- minded charity.

According to the March of Dimes, In 2000, hospital
charges for 23,000
prematurity-related infant stays totaled $1.2 billion.
The average 
charge
was $58,000 per baby, compared to $4,300 for a typical
newborn stay.
(http://www.marchofdimes.com/aboutus/791_6775.asp)
Treatment of these
children through employer health plans is estimated at
$4.7 billion per
year. One fifth of these costs may be is attributable
to extra cases of
prematurity arising from abortion-related morbidity.

Premature birth is the leading cause of neonatal death
and is related 
to
increased risk of cerebral palsy, vision and hearing
loss, retardation 
and
other lifelong health problems.

You can register your complaints about the March of
Dimes coverup by
calling 1-888-MODIMES.

The list of 48 studies showing abortion's relationship
to premature 
birth
and low birth rate deliveries compiled by Brent Rooney
can be found at
http://www.vcn.bc.ca/~whatsup/APB-Major.html


=
---
John D. Giorgis   -  [EMAIL PROTECTED]
  Tonight I have a message for the brave and oppressed people of Iraq:
 Your enemy is not surrounding your country — your enemy is ruling your  
 country. And the day he and his regime are removed from power will be
   the day of your liberation.  -George W. Bush 1/29/03

__
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Global Warming and El Nino

2003-02-12 Thread J.D. Giorgis
Ancient Climate May Augur Future Effects Of Global
Warming

by Matthew Huber
West Lafayette - Feb 12, 2003
Ancient lake sediments and modern computers both
indicate that El Nino might react differently to
global warming than current theory claims, according
to a Purdue research report.
Purdue University's Matt Huber has simulated the
hothouse climate of the distant past with a computer
model to study the reaction of the tropical Pacific
Ocean, a key player in removing heat from the
atmosphere.

While it cannot absorb an unlimited amount of
atmospheric heat, Huber has found that even when the
climate warms, the tropical Pacific Ocean maintains
its ability to remove heat periodically - the
permanent loss of which could encourage runaway global
warming.

Huber has found historical evidence for his theory in
45 million-year-old lake sediments, which may indicate
that the relationship between global warming and El
Nino needs to be re-examined.

The tropical Pacific's ability to cool the atmosphere
may be less susceptible to global warming's effects
than we believed, said Huber, an assistant professor
of earth and atmospheric sciences in Purdue's School
of Science. We should still be greatly concerned
about global warming, but it appears that one
mechanism involved in climate change operates
differently than we have imagined.

The research appears in the Feb. 7 issue of Science.

In the decades since theories of global warming came
to prominence, there has been intense scientific
debate over how an influx of greenhouse gases into the
atmosphere would affect the Earth's climate,
particularly El Nino-La Nina oscillations.

El Nino refers to a warming of the surface layers of
the eastern Pacific Ocean, which occurs in those years
when the prevailing westerly winds in the South
Pacific die down, allowing the warm waters from the
western Pacific to slosh eastward. Conversely, in a La
Nina year, the winds pile up warm water in the western
Pacific and drag cooler water up from the depths in
the east.

For the past several millennia the Pacific has
alternated between these two states in an irregular
but basically stable oscillation.

A question climate scientists have debated is whether
future global warming might make the oscillation
stop, Huber said. The worry is that Earth would
suffer a runaway greenhouse effect if that happened.

Ordinarily the cool surface layer of the eastern
Pacific absorbs heat from the tropical atmosphere and
carries it far away via ocean currents that flow
hundreds of meters below the surface. But in an El
Nino year, both the shallows and depths grow so warm
that the atmospheric heat has nowhere to go, causing a
warming of the tropics and strange weather patterns
worldwide.

If you compare the eastern Pacific to a water-cooled
radiator, then the ocean currents are the coolant that
absorbs atmospheric heat, Huber said.

El Nino heats the radiator to the point where it
can't do its job. Nowadays, El Nino events are too
brief to have lasting effect, but some have theorized
that if the oscillation stops the Earth will suffer a
'continuous El Nino-like state' that would warm the
planet very quickly.

Huber's desire to ground such theories with historical
evidence led him to examine a period of the distant
past when the Earth's climate was considerably warmer
- the Eocene epoch. During the Eocene, nearly 50
million years ago, palm trees grew in the north of
England and alligators thrived far above the Arctic
Circle on Canada's Ellesmere Island.

We figured that if a continuous El Nino state had
ever existed, it would have been during the Eocene,
Huber said. So we decided to use a computer model of
the Eocene's climate to see what the eastern Pacific
Ocean would do.

Huber and Rodrigo Caballero, both working at the time
at Denmark's Neils Bohr Institute, spent several years
simulating the Eocene atmosphere and oceans with
computers at the National Center for Atmospheric
Research in Boulder, Colorado. Their results, which
surprised even them, indicated that the tropical
oceans were more resilient at absorbing heat than
current theory states.

It seems that when the global climate was
considerably warmer, the tropical eastern Pacific was
still relatively cool, even though most theories
suggest it would have warmed as well, Huber said.

It turns out these theories were not wrong, merely
oversimplified. Instead of a two-layer ocean, with
shallows that absorb heat and depths that carry it
away, there was a third layer wedged between them. It
was this third layer that was the key to it all.

Huber theorizes this third layer of water remained
cool even when the temperature increased above and
below it. This wedge, which in Huber's computer model
extends across thousands of miles of ocean, would
enable the radiator to keep operating despite a high
level of atmospheric greenhouse gases.

The wedge formed a cool barrier between the warmer
shallows and depths, Huber said. It was a place for
the heat to go 

Abortion Myths

2003-02-12 Thread J.D. Giorgis
http://www.nrlc.org/abortion/pba/RevivalMediaMythsMemo.html


An excerpt follows:

 The September 17, 1996 edition of the Washington Post
contained the results of a lengthy  investigation
conducted by reporters Barbara Vobejda and David M.
Brown, M.D., who interviewed several abortionists (not
those in New Jersey), and concluded:  

Furthermore, in most cases where the procedure is
used, the physical health of the woman whose pregnancy
is being terminated is not in jeopardy Instead,
the “typical” patients tend to be young, low-income
women, often poorly educated or naive, whose reasons
for waiting so long to end their pregnancies are
rarely medical.

Shortly thereafter, in February 1997, the abortion
industry's disinformation campaign completely exploded
when Ron Fitzsimmons -- then and now the executive
director of the National Coalition of Abortion
Providers (an association of 150 or so abortion
providers) -- gave a series of well-publicized
interviews in which he acknowledged that the claim
that the partial-birth abortion procedure was used
rarely and mostly in acute medical situations was
merely a “party line,” and was false.  Mr. Fitzsimmons
expressed regret about his own previous (albeit minor)
role in propagating that “party line,” explaining, “I
lied through my teeth.”

The truth, Mr. Fitzsimmons said, was that “[i]n the
vast majority of cases, the procedure is performed on
a healthy mother with a healthy fetus” (The New York
Times, Feb. 26, 1997). He estimated that 3,000-5,000
abortions annually are performed by the partial-birth
method.  Here are two examples of clear reporting on
these revelations, including confirmations from other
pro-abortion sources:
www.nrlc.org/abortion/pba/PBA%20NYT%20lied.pdf 
and
www.nrlc.org/abortion/pba/PBA%20activists%20lied.pdf

In addition, in early 1997 the PBS media criticism
program Media Matters reviewed the history of the news
media's gullible acceptance of the abortion lobby's
original disinformation about partial-birth abortion,
and concluded that it was a case study in bad
journalism.   The Washington Post’s David Brown was
shown on the program saying that the Post study found,
“Cases in which the mother's life were at risk were
extremely rare. . . . Most people who got this
procedure were really not very different from most
people who got abortions.”

 

Is Partial-Birth Abortion Performed “Rarely”?

The Washington Post reported that a
committee of the Virginia legislature passed a bill to
ban the “rarely used” method (Jan. 28, 2003)  
Likewise, the Associated Press reported, “A bill
seeking to ban a rarely performed procedure commonly
referred to as ‘partial-birth abortion’ moved along in
the [Virginia] Senate . . .”  (Jan. 30, 2003) (Many
similar sightings in other media.)

 

Peggy Girsham, deputy managing editor of NPR News,
recently sent out a note cautioning NPR reporters, “It
is not correct to call these procedures ‘RARE’ -- it
is not known how often they are performed.”  However,
in fact enough is known to demonstrate that it is
tendentious to dismiss these brutal procedures as
“rare.” 

 

Only one state (Kansas) requires reporting the
partial-birth method separately from other methods
used at the same stages in pregnancy.[5]  As noted, in
1997, Ron Fitzsimmons, executive director of the
National Coalition of Abortion Providers, estimated
approximately 3,000-5,000 abortions were performed by
the method annually.   However, since the Supreme
Court’s 2000 ruling in Stenberg v. Carhart rendered
unenforceable the bans on partial-birth abortion that
had been enacted by more than half the states, the
number of partial-birth abortions may have climbed
since Mr. Fitzsimmons made that estimate.  A voluntary
survey of known abortion providers conducted by the
Alan Guttmacher Institute (a special affiliate of
Planned Parenthood), released in January 2003, claimed
2,200 partial-birth abortions in the year 2000
(despite a survey question so convoluted that daily
practitioners of the method could have honestly
answered “zero”). This was more than triple the
absurdly low number of 650 obtained by AGI using the
same question just four years earlier – yet both
numbers were immediately accepted by some journalists
as reliable.  So has the number of partial-birth
abortions more than tripled in just four years?  If
so, isn’t that news?

None of these numbers justify the dismissive adjective
“rare.”  Rare, compared to what?  

Usually, the answer is, “Rare, compared to
first-trimester abortions performed by entirely
different methods.”  But why is that the apt
comparison?  It is evident that a substantial fraction
of the population, and many state and federal
lawmakers, believe that there are some important
distinctions between abortions performed by vacuum
aspiration or drugs during the first three months, and
abortions performed in the fifth month and later
involving partial delivery while the baby is still
alive.  

Rare?  If a virus had killed 

Dutch Forces Bail out Americans in Afghanistan

2003-02-12 Thread J.D. Giorgis
Just for the record, the Europeans still can't project
power on their own in a meaningfull way, and still
should be doing much more to hold up their end of the
Transatlantic Alliance.  Nobody is saying that they
accomplish absolutely nothing with their militaries -
just that they need to accomplish more to reach the
level of, as Gautam puts it, seriousness.

JDG


COMBAT
Ambushed in Afghanistan, G.I.'s Call in Airstrikes
By CARLOTTA GALL
NY Times

ABUL, Afghanistan, Feb. 11 — American Special Forces
troops ran into an ambush early Monday during a
reconnaissance mission in a remote mountain valley of
southern Afghanistan. They escaped injury after
calling in airstrikes on at least five gunmen
positioned in caves, an American military spokesman
said today.

Two Dutch F-16 planes, part of the coalition force,
dropped laser-guided bombs, and American A-10 planes
fired machine guns into the ridge and caves where the
gunmen had been seen. At least five men had opened
fire on the American soldiers with machine guns and
rocket-propelled grenades just after dawn on Monday,
the American military spokesman, Col. Roger King, said
at a briefing at Bagram Air Base. It was unclear if
the rebels had suffered any casualties. 

The Dutch Defense Ministry said the attackers fled
after the F-16's bombed the area, Reuters reported.

The special forces had been sweeping a mountain valley
in Baghran, in the top corner of Helmand Province in
southern Afghanistan, in search of rebel fighters or
weapons caches. Intelligence reports had indicated
suspicious activity in the area, Colonel King said.

We had troops that were moving through the valley,
he said. It was just around dawn, and the troops came
under fire from the ridge line on either side. Special
Forcers were conducting an operation in that valley,
looking for weapons caches and enemy personnel. We got
some reports that there might be enemy personnel there
and it looks like the reports were true. 

The United States military was not sure who the rebels
were or whom they were aligned with, he said, adding,
They fall under the heading of personnel who are
against the coalition and against the government of
Afghanistan.

The Baghran area, mountainous and forested, is thought
to be a principal opium-smuggling route from central
Afghanistan. But the Americans have suspected that
there may also be rebel activity around Baghran, and
in the neighboring province of Oruzgan. Over 50
Special Forces troops have been in Tirin Kot and Deh
Rawud, two towns in Oruzgan just east of Baghran, for
months because a number of senior Taliban figures are
thought to have taken refuge near there.

The former Taliban leader, Mullah Muhammad Omar, is
thought to have retreated to his home province of
Oruzgan when the southern town of Kandahar fell to the
anti-Taliban alliance in December 2001. He was
reported to be moving in the remote mountains between
Deh Rawud and Baghran last year, along with some of
his closest commanders and followers. In July, just
south of Baghran, Afghan aid workers saw a long convoy
of four-wheel-drive cars with armed guards, which they
said certainly belonged to a major Taliban commander.

American military officers say they think that Mullah
Omar is now in Pakistan. But they have noticed
increased activity in the region recently, suggesting
that rebel fighters may be gathering again or setting
up bases in the area.

The increased activity comes amid a propaganda
campaign by Taliban supporters and other opponents of
the government calling for rebels to fight against the
United States presence in Afghanistan and the Kabul
government. The campaign, spread by handwritten
leaflets and announcements to the press, warns that
fighters will rise up if the United States goes to war
against Iraq.


=
---
John D. Giorgis   -  [EMAIL PROTECTED]
  Tonight I have a message for the brave and oppressed people of Iraq:
 Your enemy is not surrounding your country — your enemy is ruling your  
 country. And the day he and his regime are removed from power will be
   the day of your liberation.  -George W. Bush 1/29/03

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Bought and Paid For

2003-02-11 Thread J.D. Giorgis
AT WAR

The Inspections Dodge 
Why are France and Germany pro-Saddam? Follow the
money. 

BY KHIDHIR HAMZA 
Tuesday, February 11, 2003 12:01 a.m. EST 

My 20 years of work in Iraq's nuclear-weapons program
and military industry were partly a training course in
methods of deception and camouflage to keep the
program secret. Given what I know about Saddam
Hussein's commitment to developing and using weapons
of mass destruction, the following two points are
abundantly clear to me: First, the U.N. weapons
inspectors will not find anything Saddam does not want
them to find. Second, France, Germany, and to a
degree, Russia, are opposed to U.S. military action in
Iraq mainly because they maintain lucrative trade
deals with Baghdad, many of which are arms-related. 

Since the passage of U.N. Security Council Resolution
1441 we have witnessed a tiny team of inspectors with
a supposedly stronger mandate begging Iraq to disclose
its weapons stockpiles and commence disarmament. The
question that nags me is: How can a team of 200
inspectors disarm Iraq when 6,000 inspectors could
not do so in the previous seven years of inspection? 

Put simply, surprise inspections no longer work. With
the Iraqis' current level of mobility and intelligence
the whole point of inspecting sites is moot. This was
made perfectly clear by Colin Powell in his
presentation before the U.N. last week. But the
inspectors, mindless of these changes, are still
visiting old sites and interviewing marginal
scientists. I can assure you, the core of Iraq's
nuclear-weapons program has not even been touched.
Yesterday's news that Iraq will accept U-2
surveillance flights is another sign that Saddam has
confidence in his ability to hide what he's got.

Meanwhile, the time U.N. inspectors could have used
gathering intelligence by interviewing scientists
outside Iraq is running out. The problem is that there
is nothing Saddam can declare that will provide any
level of assurance of disarmament. If he delivers the
8,500 liters of anthrax that he now admits to having,
he will still not be in compliance because the growth
media he imported to grow it can produce 25,000
liters. Iraq must account for the growth media and its
products; it is doing neither. 

Iraq's attempt to import aluminum tubes of higher
tensile strength than is needed in conventional
weapons has been brushed aside by the IAEA's Mohammed
El-Baradei. He claims there is no proof that these
tubes were intended for modification and use in
centrifuges to make enriched uranium. Yet he fails to
report that Iraq has the machining equipment to thin
these tubes down to the required thickness (less than
one millimeter) for an efficient centrifuge rotor.
What's more, they don't find it suspect that Iraq did
not deliver all the computer controlled machining
equipment that it imported from the British-based,
Iraqi-owned Matrix-Churchill that manufacture these
units. 

Mr. Blix also discounted the discovery of a number of
empty chemical-weapons warheads. What he failed to
mention is that empty is the only way to store these
weapon parts. The warheads in question were not
designed to store chemicals for long periods. They
have a much higher possibility of leakage and
corrosion than conventional warheads. Separate storage
for the poisons is a standard practice in Iraq, since
the Special Security Organization that guards Saddam
also controls the storage and inventory of these
chemicals. 





What has become obvious is that the U.N. inspection
process was designed to delay any possible U.S.
military action to disarm Iraq. Germany, France, and
Russia, states we called friendly when I was in
Baghdad, are also engaged in a strategy of delay and
obstruction. 
In the two decades before the Gulf War, I played a
role in Iraq's efforts to acquire major technologies
from friendly states. In 1974, I headed an Iraqi
delegation to France to purchase a nuclear reactor. It
was a 40-megawatt research reactor that our sources in
the IAEA told us should cost no more than $50 million.
But the French deal ended up costing Baghdad more than
$200 million. The French-controlled Habbania Resort
project cost Baghdad a whopping $750 million, and with
the same huge profit margin. With these kinds of deals
coming their way, is it any surprise that the French
are so desperate to save Saddam's regime? 

Germany was the hub of Iraq's military purchases in
the 1980s. Our commercial attaché, Ali Abdul Mutalib,
was allocated billions of dollars to spend each year
on German military industry imports. These imports
included many proscribed technologies with the German
government looking the other way. In 1989, German
engineer Karl Schaab sold us classified technology to
build and operate the centrifuges we needed for our
uranium-enrichment program. German authorities have
since found Mr. Schaab guilty of selling nuclear
secrets, but because the technology was considered
dual use he was fined only $32,000 and given five
years probation. 


A Bad Omen

2003-02-10 Thread J.D. Giorgis
Interesting footnote in today's news digest….
 The NYT, alone among the papers, fronts word that
Ansar al-Islam guerrillas, who the administration says
have connections to AQ, assassinated a top Kurdish
official yesterday.

To me, this bears ominious resemblance to the
assasination of Ahmad Shah Massoud, leader of the
Afghan resistance, on September 10th, 2001.   If you
recall, Al Qaeda assassinated Massoud the day before
their attack in the hopes of crippling the US's
ability to retaliate against Taliban-occupied
Afghanistan.  Given the rise in threat status last
week, I hope that this assassination is not a
harbinger of things to come.

JDG

=
---
John D. Giorgis   -  [EMAIL PROTECTED]
  Tonight I have a message for the brave and oppressed people of Iraq:
 Your enemy is not surrounding your country — your enemy is ruling your  
 country. And the day he and his regime are removed from power will be
   the day of your liberation.  -George W. Bush 1/29/03

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More on Afghanistan

2003-02-07 Thread J.D. Giorgis
AFGHANISTAN: ISAF Commander Says Force Needs Three
More Years  

UN WIRE 

 The International Security Assistance Force must stay
in Afghanistan's capital, Kabul, two or three more
years to ensure security and stability, the commander
of the force said yesterday. 

[snip]

The establishment of both the national army and the
police force, along with reconstruction of roads,
schools and hospitals, has already begun, he said. 
But the rebuilding of the whole of Afghanistan will
take many years and a great deal of patience on the
part of the Afghan people and the international
community.

Despite sporadic bombings and rocket attacks, Zorlu
said the 4,000 armed peacekeepers in Kabul have helped
to make the city safer and provide a stable foundation
for reconstruction.  I will leave Afghanistan in a
few days satisfied that ISAF ... has made a
significant impact on Kabul, he said.

The new commander, Germany's Norbert van Heyst,
arrived Wednesday.  Germany doubled its contingent in
the peacekeeping force to 2,500 in December and
extended its participation by a year, while the
Turkish contingent, now at about 1,400, will likely be
reduced to 160, according to Zorlu (Associated
Press/MSNBC.com, Feb. 6).
 
 


=
---
John D. Giorgis   -  [EMAIL PROTECTED]
  Tonight I have a message for the brave and oppressed people of Iraq:
 Your enemy is not surrounding your country — your enemy is ruling your  
 country. And the day he and his regime are removed from power will be
   the day of your liberation.  -George W. Bush 1/29/03

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Adoption of Unwanted Children

2003-01-30 Thread J.D. Giorgis
Terry Eastland: Children with 'special needs' are as
loved as any others 
01/28/2003 Dallas Morning News

By TERRY EASTLAND 

Last month, Dateline NBC told the story of a young
couple's decision to have a baby who had been
diagnosed with Down syndrome. The story, which took
place in 1998, is worth recalling as the nation
continues to grapple with the morality of abortion. 

In Dateline's account, Greg and Tierney Fairchild (of
Hartford, Conn.) receive the good news that Tierney is
pregnant with their first child. But later tests
reveal that their baby will have Down syndrome, a
genetic disorder that can produce a wide range of
physical and mental disabilities. For the Fairchilds,
who both happen to support abortion rights, that
prospect raises the question of whether they (or, to
be precise, Tierney) will choose abortion. 

The Fairchilds worry about the severity of their
child's retardation and the unfair burden it might
place on other children they hope to have. They learn
their baby would have to undergo heart surgery. They
go back and forth on abortion but appear close to
choosing it. 

As the legal deadline for making that decision draws
near, Greg wonders about the adoptability of a baby
like theirs and calls a local service. He is told it
is no problem finding parents for babies with Down
syndrome. The couple is taken aback. 

One of the things we hadn't considered, Tierney
says, was that ... someone else would love to have
[this child] and was prepared to handle it. Her
husband adds, [I]t even makes you question yourself.
What is it exactly that I'm so worried about, if there
are people lined up to adopt this baby? 

As you probably have guessed, the Fairchilds choose
life, and Naia Grace Fairchild is born. She has Down
syndrome and endures difficult surgery, and today she
is a spunky 4-year-old, her parents' evident joy. 

The question is why the Fairchilds made the choice
they did, and the answer obviously involved their
discovery that people were lined up to adopt this
baby. Quickly, it appears, they realized that the
baby they came close to regarding as unwanted – to
use the terminology of Roe vs. Wade, which legalized
abortion – would be wanted by someone else. 

The Fairchilds' story is all the more remarkable when
you consider that infants like theirs – those with
special needs – would seem to be among the least
adoptable. Yet interviews with Thomas Atwood,
president of the National Council for Adoption, and
others knowledgeable about adoption suggest that the
interest in adopting special-needs infants is as
strong nationwide as it was in Hartford in 1998 when
Greg Fairchild made his inquiry. 

Glenn DeMots, president of Bethany Christian Services
(which has offices in 31 states, including Texas),
cites many special-needs placements carried out by his
organization, including one of an infant who died, as
expected, before reaching her first birthday.
Notwithstanding the acute difficulties of her brief
life, she was unquestionably a wanted child. 

While the number of people waiting to adopt an infant
of any description is unknown, Mr. Atwood thinks there
may be as many as 2 million couples who would be
willing to take a newborn into their home – if one
were available. Keep that number in mind as you ponder
the many abortions in America – 1.31 million in 2000,
the most recent year for which the Alan Guttmacher
Institute has collected statistics. The lives
prematurely ended by abortion (the great bulk would
have been normal babies) experienced that fate
because they were deemed – for one reason or none at
all, after much agony or upon casual reaction –
unwanted. 

To the extent pregnant women considering abortion were
to choose adoption instead, the number of abortions
would decline. Unfortunately, women in that
circumstance aren't thinking much about adoption. 

Indeed, unmarried pregnant women -- who get most of
the reported abortions -- now choose adoption much
less often than they did in the early 1970s. That
change would appear to be a result at least in part of
the pro-abortion rights regime established by Roe,
which has shifted the question an unmarried pregnant
woman might ask herself from Who will care for my
child? to Shall I carry this baby or not? 

Kenneth Connor, president of the Family Research
Council and himself an adoptive parent, makes a
persuasive case to anyone who will listen that
increasing adoption should be a key goal of public
policy. The forgotten option, he calls adoption. No
doubt it would be less forgotten if Americans were to
understand that to say a baby is unwanted is to fail
to consult a wider universe. 

As the Fairchilds discovered, there are people out
there ready, indeed eager, to open their arms. 


Terry Eastland is publisher of The Weekly Standard and
a regular contributor to Viewpoints. 



=
-
John D. Giorgis  -   

Abortion: War Without End

2003-01-30 Thread J.D. Giorgis
If you've ever wondered about the difference between
Europe and America on abortion, then this is a
fascinating article.

JDG



Abortion in America 

The war that never ends

Jan 16th 2003 | WASHINGTON, DC 
From The Economist print edition


The United States did not deal with abortion as Europe
did. As a result, the issue divides the country as
bitterly as ever

ANNIVERSARIES don't get much more controversial than
this. On January 22nd, America will mark the thirtieth
anniversary of the Supreme Court decision that
declared abortion a constitutional right.
Anti-abortionists will march in Washington in their
thousands, carrying gruesome photographs. Supporters
of abortion rights will retort that Roe v Wade, the
decision in question, was one of the great milestones
in the long march for women's rights—a heroic decision
that has saved thousands of women from death by
coat-hanger or back-street butchery. The two sides
will end the day even more polarised than ever. 

Since 1973, about 75 countries have liberalised their
abortion laws (the most recent being Switzerland and
Nepal last year). In most countries, that was enough
to settle the debate. Not in America. 

The Supreme Court's ruling immediately created a
furious backlash. State legislatures passed laws
restricting the rights of minors to obtain abortions,
usually by requiring the consent of one or both
parents. In 1976 Henry Hyde, an Illinois congressman,
sponsored legislation eliminating Medicaid funding for
abortions except in extreme cases (such as rape,
incest or where a woman's life was endangered by her
pregnancy). Some extremists took to blowing up clinics
and shooting abortion doctors (who, in turn, took to
coming to work wearing bullet-proof vests). 

There are no signs that the debate is quietening down.
One of George Bush's first actions on coming to office
was to reinstate a rule barring overseas recipients of
American development funds from using their own money
to advocate or provide abortions. The day after the
2002 mid-term elections, Trent Lott, then poised to
resume the leadership of the Senate, promised to ban
partial-birth abortion, a late-term and particularly
grisly procedure. The battle over abortion reaches the
obscurest sides of life. The Centre for Reproductive
Law and Policy has filed lawsuits against the states
of Florida and Louisiana for allowing the sale of
“choose life” licence-plates but not “pro-choice”
ones. 

Why does abortion remain so much more controversial in
America than in the other countries that have
legalised it? The fundamental reason is the way the
Americans went about legalisation. European countries
did so through legislation and, occasionally,
referenda. This allowed abortion opponents to vent
their objections and legislators to adjust the rules
to local tastes. Above all, it gave legalisation the
legitimacy of majority support. 

Most European countries provide abortion free. But
they have also hedged the practice with all sorts of
qualifications. They justify abortion on the basis of
health rather than rights. Many European countries
impose a 12-week limit (America, by contrast, allows
abortion up to about 24 weeks and beyond, and many
abortion-rights advocates seem to oppose any
restrictions.) Frances Kissling, head of Catholics for
a Free Choice, also points out that the Europeans have
been careful to preserve a patina of disapproval. Even
in England, the country with the most liberal abortion
laws in Europe, women have to get permission from two
doctors. 

America went down the alternative route of declaring
abortion a constitutional right. (The only other
country that has done anything comparable is South
Africa.) A seven-to-two majority of justices struck
down state abortion laws on the grounds that
reproductive rights are included in a fundamental
right to privacy which—rather like freedom of speech
and freedom of religion—is guaranteed by the
constitution. 
 
It would be hard to design a way of legalising
abortion that could be better calculated to stir up
controversy. Abortion opponents were furious about
being denied their say. Abortion supporters had to
rely on the precarious balance of power on the Supreme
Court. Legalisation did not have the legitimacy of
majority support. Instead, it rested on a highly
controversial interpretation of the constitution
(abortion rights are clearly not enshrined in the
constitution in the same plain way that free speech
is). By going down the legislative road, the Europeans
managed to neutralise the debate; by relying on the
hammer-blow of a Supreme Court decision, the Americans
institutionalised it.

A second reason is the continued importance of
religion in American life. The Pew Global Attitudes
Project recently revealed that six in ten (59%) of
Americans say that religion plays a “very important”
role in their lives. This is roughly twice the
percentage of self-avowed religious people in Canada
(30%) and an even higher proportion when compared with

Iraq, Iran to Chair UN Disarmament Conference

2003-01-29 Thread J.D. Giorgis
...and Libya is chairing the Commission on Human
Rights.  File this as Reason #3462 why the UN system
is broken...

JDG



Iraq to chair U.N. disarmament conference
From Richard Roth
CNN New York Bureau
Wednesday, January 29, 2003 Posted: 6:49 AM EST (1149
GMT)
 
UNITED NATIONS (CNN) -- Iraq will chair the United
Nations' most important disarmament negotiating forum
during the panel's May session. 

At the rules-minded United Nations, it's not a
country's status with international weapons
inspectors, but the letters in its name that determine
which member state chairs the Conference on
Disarmament. 

The irony is overwhelming, a U.S. diplomat said. 

Chief U.N. weapons inspector Hans Blix and Mohamed
ElBaradei, director-general of the International
Atomic Energy Agency, Monday delivered their 60-day
report on the status of weapons inspections in Iraq.
It was a less-than-glowing summary, with both men
saying Baghdad is not cooperating with inspectors and
is not being forthcoming on disclosing information
about its weapons programs. 

Iraq will take its turn as the head of the conference,
a U.N. spokesman said, because of a purely automatic
rotation by alphabetical order. 

Therefore, joining Iraq as co-chair for the session in
Geneva, Switzerland, will be Iran. 

The conference chair helps organize the work of the
conference and assists in setting the agenda. 

The May 12-June 27 conference will be the 25th
anniversary session since the conference was
established in 1979 after a special U.N. General
Assembly session. 

The conference is made up of 66 countries who have
been divided in recent years on several issues,
including the prevention of an arms race in outer
space. 

The conference and its predecessors have negotiated
such major multilateral arms limitation and
disarmament agreements as: 

• Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons 

• Convention on the Prohibition of Military or Any
Other Hostile Use of Environmental Modification
Techniques 

• Convention on the Prohibition of the Development,
Production and Stockpiling of Bacteriological
(Biological) and Toxin Weapons and on their
Destruction 

• Convention on the Prohibition of the Development,
Production, Stockpiling and Use of Chemical Weapons
and on Their Destruction 

• Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty 


=
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John D. Giorgis  - [EMAIL PROTECTED]
First... to clarify what we stand for: the United States must defend liberty and 
justice because these principles are right and true for all people everywhere.  No 
nation owns these aspirations, and no nation is exempt from them.
  -US National Security Strategy 2002

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Libya to Chair UN Human Rights Commission

2003-01-21 Thread J.D. Giorgis
If this doesn't shred the last bit of the UN's
credibility on human rights, I don't know what will. 
The USA should withdraw from the UN Commission on
Human Rights in protest...

JDG



RIGHTS COMMISSION: Libya Wins Chair Over U.S.
Objections  
UN WIRE  

 In a secret ballot, the U.N. Human Rights Commission
yesterday voted 33-3, with 17 abstentions, to make
Libyan Ambassador Najat al-Hajjaji its chairwoman.

Citing concerns about Libya's human rights record, the
United States called the vote yesterday, breaking with
the custom of filling the commission chair by
acclamation.  Africa currently controls the chair,
which rotates among regional blocs, and the African
Union chose Libya as its candidate during a meeting
last year.

Condemning the nomination of al-Hajjaji prior to
yesterday's vote, the United States cited Libya's
alleged role in rights abuses and involvement in the
1988 bombing of a Pan Am flight over Lockerbie,
Scotland.  Washington is seeking an acknowledgement of
responsibility from Libya in the bombing and
compensation for victims' families.  U.N. sanctions
imposed over the incident were suspended several years
ago.

Canada said last week that it would join the United
States in opposing the nomination, while Western
European countries said they would abstain.  Others
opposed the U.S. move.

It is regrettable that the United States opted for
this method, South African Ambassador George Nene
said.  The previous, reliable practice has been
violated.

U.N. High Commissioner for Human Rights Sergio Vieira
de Mello added that the occasion was a unique
opportunity for the commission to demonstrate that it
can manage with wisdom, speed and restraint its
procedural business (Clare Nullis, Associated Press,
Jan. 20).

Following her election, al-Hajjaji said the panel must
send a message that it deals with all countries
equally in seeking to enforce human rights; account
for religious, cultural and historical differences in
carrying out its work; and assert the universality,
indivisibility and complementarity of human rights
(U.N. release, Jan. 20).

In Tripoli, the Libyan capital, Foreign Ministry
spokesman Hassuna al-Shawsh said the vote showed
Libya has a clean sheet with regard to human rights,
calling the result a shining victory which gives back
their rights to oppressed peoples (The Australian,
Jan. 21).

U.S. Ambassador Kevin Moley said, This is not a
defeat for the United States; this is a defeat for the
Human Rights Commission.

The United States is deeply disappointed. ... Libya's
government continues to commit serious human rights
violations. ... A country with this record does not
merit a leadership role in the U.N. system, Moley
said after the vote (Richard Waddington,
Reuters/Yahoo! News, Jan. 20).

Human Rights Watch last week condemned the nomination
ahead of the vote, calling Libya's human rights record
over the last 30 years appalling.  The group cited
abduction, disappearance and assassination of
political opposition figures; mistreatment of
detainees; and long-term detention without charge or
trial, or after grossly unfair trials.  It said
hundreds remain incarcerated arbitrarily in Libya,
some for more than 10 years, and it questioned
fairness of the country's Peoples' Courts, calling
them grossly unfair.

Following the African Union's nomination of Libya for
the U.N. post, the country indicated it would invite
U.N. and other rights investigators to visit and
promised to review the Peoples' Courts with a view to
abolishing them, Human Rights Watch said.  The group
welcomed such statements but called for more concrete
action from Libya.

Human Rights Watch also criticized the commission
itself over the affair, saying the panel has grown
more timid in recent years as countries with poor
human rights records have vied to become members so
they can block their own censure.

Repressive governments must not be allowed to hijack
the U.N. human rights system, the group's U.N.
representative, Joanna Wechsler, said.  No country
has a perfect human rights record, but every member
should at least show a real commitment to cooperating
with the United Nations on human rights (Human Rights
Watch release, Jan. 17).

Writing yesterday in the Wall Street Journal, Freedom
House President Adrian Karatnycky said the election is
a major blow to the credibility of the U.N. system. 
Karatnycky said Libyan Leader Muammar Qaddafi obtained
African Union support by helping bankroll the
fledgling organization and that the commission vote
will embolden dictators like Zimbabwe's Robert
Mugabe, whom Qaddafi has staunchly defended, as well
as Hugo Chavez, who has proposed Libya as an arbiter
for Venezuela's mounting strike and protest movement. 
The U.N. deserves better.

Karatnycky called for the establishment of a
democracy caucus at the United Nations.  While more
than three-fifths of the members of the Rights
Commission are democracies, they do not represent a
cohesive bloc and appear at the moment unwilling 

[Abortion] Survey of Partial-Birth Abortions Released

2003-01-15 Thread J.D. Giorgis
In the past, the number of partial-birth abortions in
the United States has been debated - so I thought that
the numbers in the enclosed article would be of
interest.

JDG


Subject:   Study Shows Threefold Increase in
Partial-Birth Abortions
Source:   Washington Times; January 14, 2003

Study Shows Threefold Increase in Partial-Birth
Abortions

Washington, DC -- The number of partial-birth
abortions has tripled in the past four years,
according to a report on abortion trends released this
week. 
 
An estimated 2,200 dilation and extraction, or
partial-birth, abortions were conducted in 2000, said
researchers with the pro-abortion Alan Guttmacher
Institute, who surveyed all known U.S. abortion
facilities during the past two years. In 1996,
institute researchers estimated that there had been
650 partial-birth abortions, which are performed on
unborn children older than 20 weeks. 

The 2,200 partial-birth abortions account for 0.17
percent of abortions, said institute researchers
Lawrence Finer and Stanley Henshaw. Moreover, the
2,200 figure should be interpreted cautiously because
projections based on such small numbers are subject to
error, they wrote. 
 
Douglas Johnson, legislative director, and Dr. Randall
O'Bannon, director of education, of the National Right
to Life Committee said the new number shows one of two
things: Either they vastly underreported the number
in 1996 or there's been a huge increase, more than
tripling partial-birth abortions in four years.

We think even the new number only represents a
fraction of the true number, Johnson added. 

In the new study, AGI tries to minimize the
significance of the 2,200 
figure by saying that it amounts to only a fraction of
1% of all reported 
abortions. Johnson commented, It is unbelievably
callous to dismiss the 
killing of 2,200 mostly delivered babies as 'rare.' If
a virus was killing 
2,200 pre-mature infants, we'd call it an epidemic.

Johnson noted that the survey question describes the
abortion method in 
a way that is so confused and inaccurate that even
abortionists who have 
performed hundreds of partial-birth abortions, as
legally defined, could 
honestly answer that they have never performed the
procedure described in the 
question. Secondly, responses to the AGI survey are
purely voluntary, and 
abortionists who perform large numbers of
partial-birth abortions may be 
disinclined to feed the national controversy by
voluntarily reporting.

Partial-birth abortion is expected to be a political
issue again this year, despite a U.S. Supreme Court
decision in 2000 that struck down a Nebraska ban on
partial-birth abortion and chilled enforcement of
dozens of similar laws in other states. 
 
Congress is moving to address the issue on a national
basis,  Johnson said. A federal ban should pass the
House, and we hope it will pass the Senate this
year.
 
Abortion advocates are expecting the same-old,
same-old from the new Congress, said Elizabeth
Cavendish, legal director of the National Abortion and
Reproductive Rights Action League's Pro-Choice
America. Whatever Congress produces is likely to be
extreme and unconstitutional and, like the Nebraska
law, restrictive of too many abortion procedures, she
said. 


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Re: Orson Scott Card on N. Korea

2003-01-15 Thread J.D. Giorgis
--- In [EMAIL PROTECTED], John D. Giorgis
[EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 At 03:56 PM 1/14/2003 -0800 Gautam Mukunda wrote:
 Card's not right about everything (he overstates
the
 importance of the China situation, imo, and
 understates the extent to which the Administration
 seems to have been purposely putting the North
Koreans
 into a corner to force them to give up their
nuclear
 weapons program), but it's a pretty good analysis
on
 the whole.  I'm impressed.
 
 http://www.rhinotimes.com/greensboro/osc2.html
 
 Gautam:
 
 These kinds of solutions to the DPRK crisis (and
their cousing solutions to
 solving the Israel/Palestine crisis)  are always
intriguing, but seem to
 suffer from the serious flaw of being detatched from
reality.   After all,
 do we have any reason to believe that Kim Jong Il
does not also realize
 that greater openness would spell death for his
regime?Or to put it
 another way, what evidence at all do we have that
the DPRK wouldn't require
 us to make concessions for putting a McDonald's in
Pyongyang, rather than
 giving us concessions for the same?


Oops the above commentary refers not to Gautam's
article, but to *this* article that another friend
sent me:
 
http://www.nytimes.com/2003/01/14/opinion/14KRIS.html

NY Times, Rhino Times, its all the same thing, right?

JDG

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Mr. Bush Snookers 'Em Again

2003-01-15 Thread J.D. Giorgis
Many of President Bush's admirers have noticed his
uncanny ability to continually outsmart and outwit his
opponents in the political arena.  

The latest example of this may be in the effects of
the much-criticized steel tariffs he implemented. 
Now, his defenders have always argued that this was a
fair price to pay in order to gain Trade Promotion
Authority, which has already produced bilateral trade
deals with Chile and Singapore, and has permitted the
opening of a new global round of trade talks, as well
as opening discussions on the FTAA.

Well, it turns out that Bush appears to have secured
another quid pro quo in that deal, that being from the
United Steel Worker's of America who have dropped
their decades-long opposition to industry
consolidation.   This turn-around in America's steel
industry has been so amzaing since the imposition of
tariffs that _The Economist_ wrote this week that:
 Most startling of all is the possibility of an
American steel industry emerging that is strong enough
to survive without trade barriers or government
handouts. That really would be something of a
miracle.

As long as you liberals out there (and you know you
are) keep misunderestimating Mr. Bush, we Republicans
are going to laugh all the way to his re-election.  

JDG

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Is Anyone Else Offended By This?

2003-01-14 Thread J.D. Giorgis
Subject:   Late Term Kansas Abortionist to Perform
Free Abortions
Source:   Lawrence Journal World
January 13, 2003

Late Term Kansas Abortionist to Perform Free Abortions

Wichita, KS -- George Tiller, the infamous Kansas
late-term abortionist, will do free abortions on poor
women Saturday to mark 30 years since the Roe v. Wade
Supreme Court decision that legalized abortion.  

Tiller said in a news release that he hoped the free
abortions would draw attention to the increasing
pressure being placed on abortion from pro-life
legislation.

**

I can just see the signs now: 1 Day Only, 100% off
abortion sale.   Or Bring a Friend Day, Buy One
Abortion, Get the Second One Free!  

I think that the above really hits home the
ludicrousness of the abortion situation - and to
encourage women to have abortions by offering
discounts or free for a limited time offers, just
totally grosses me out.

JDG

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Positives in Rebuilding Afghanistan

2003-01-14 Thread J.D. Giorgis
An article in this week's Economist discusses many of
the positive accomplishments in Afghanistan, while
also parsing few words about how very far remains to
go in rebuilding in Afghanistan.   Nevertheless, I
think that it would be good to accentuate some of the
positives, just one year after the end of the Taliban
War:

-The country is at peace for the first time since
1978, with minimal intervention from its neighbors.

-The dispersal of Al Qaeda and Taliban elements within
the country, and shipments of weapons destined for the
remnants are being regularly intercepted.

-An interim republican government, with elections
scheduled for June 2004.

-A World Bank supported reconstruction plan.

-Successful introduction of a new, stable currency.

-The establishment of a mobile phone network in
several major cities.

-Several major infrustructure projects, including the
Salang Tunnel that will link the north and south of
the country in 2003.

-A recently completed deal for a $3.2billion
Turkmenistan-Pakistan gas pipeline through the
country.

-Aid pledges for $1.2billion this year, and hopes by
Norway that the actual figure will end up being nearly
$2bil.

-3million Afghan children are in school, double that
projected by the United Nations for the first year.

-2million repatriated refugees, the largest movement
of people since the foundation of Bangladesh.


Yes, rebuilding one of the poorest places on Earth has
a long ways to go (and the article spends twice as
long detailing a few of the major remaining problems),
but please, lets not count out the effort to rebuild
Afghanistan just yet.

JDG

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Blix Endorses US Policy on Iraq

2003-01-14 Thread J.D. Giorgis
Many people have argued that Bush's hard-nosed policy
in regards to Iraq has been instrumental in unifying
the UN Security Council in regards to the situation,
and then producing the first UN inspections in years
in Iraq.   Apparently Hans Blix agrees with this
assessment

From UN Wire:
 Blix referred to the ongoing U.S. military buildup in
the Persian Gulf in seeking to persuade Iraq to
provide such evidence.  I think they only need look
around their borders and they should realize the
seriousness of the situation,  he said.  What the
show of force demonstrates to Iraq is that here is the
other alternative.



JDG

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Gerrymandering is Evil, It Must Be Eliminated

2003-01-03 Thread J.D. Giorgis

January 3, 2003 9:30 a.m. 
Guess Who’s Coming to the Statehouse?
The surprising political success of Nevada blacks.
by: John J. Miller, National Review

 Seven blacks in the Nevada state legislature may not
sound like a big deal — except that they give the
Silver State the unexpected honor of having elected
the most racially progressive legislature in the
country, compared to its population. Nevada is less
than 7 percent black, but its legislature is 11
percent black (seven of 63 members).
 
What's especially interesting is that none of these
seven lawmakers comes from a majority black district,
according to a recent article in the Las Vegas
Review-Journal. (See the chart at the bottom of the
page. Also read a related editorial on the subject
here — it's unsigned, but the author is Rick
Henderson.) 

The political success of black Nevadans is a
compelling rebuttal to the claims of liberal
civil-rights activists, who say that black candidates
face enormous racial hurdles if they can't run for
office in majority-black voting districts. For years,
groups such as the Congressional Black Caucus and the
NAACP have done everything in their power to bring
racial preferences to the voting booth, in the form of
gerrymandered political districts drawn with the
intent guaranteeing the election of minority
candidates. The Supreme Court has frowned on this
practice, but has not totally overturned it — and the
number of majority-minority districts has steadily
increased over the last couple of decades. 

In Nevada, however, black pols have flourished in the
absence of these peculiar arrangements. Nevada's
record even puts to shame liberal states that probably
like to regard themselves as bastions of racial
tolerance. California has 120 members in its state
legislature, but only six of them are black;
Massachusetts has 200 legislators, but only seven of
them are black.

Nevada isn't the only state where black candidates
have done well: They have strong contingents in the
Michigan, New Jersey, and Ohio legislatures, too.
Where they haven't succeeded — and this is true almost
everywhere — is in statewide elections. And the rise
of majority-minority districts is a big part of the
reason why.

That's because candidates who win in these
environments aren't forced to create multiracial
coalitions that include whites. These districts
generate the likes of Maxine Waters, the
grievance-spewing congresswoman from Los Angeles, not
Douglas Wilder, the former governor of Virginia who
was elected to office with substantial white support.
For black politicians, therefore, the path to
statewide success does not wind through gerrymandered
districts. The next black candidate to win a statewide
election is much more likely to hail from Nevada than
from, say, one of the tangled congressional districts
of North Carolina or Texas.

There will always be majority-minority districts, as
long as there's residential segregation. Yet the
civil-rights establishment hurts minority political
aspirations when it embraces race-driven
redistricting; its strategy may produce a few extra
legislators, but few if any of them will ever become
governors or senators. 

Republicans, unfortunately, often have been strong
supporters of racial gerrymandering, in the belief
that packing as many blacks as possible into the
fewest number of districts essentially whitens the
other ones, and thereby makes them friendlier to the
GOP. This is a clever tack, but it does come with a
high cost. Majority-minority districts are usually
strongholds of extremism, and they make the Democratic
party more liberal than it otherwise would be. Because
Republicans often don't even run candidates in these
districts, it puts many blacks in the position of not
seeing Republicans ask for their votes — until
presidential nominees do. Despite this, Republican
strategists continue to scratch their heads over why
so few blacks voted for George W. Bush two years ago,
and wonder whether they put enough African American on
display at their Philadelphia convention.

The lesson of Nevada is a simple one: Blacks can
succeed without special help — in the voting booth,
and in many other areas as well.


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Week 17 NFL Picks

2002-12-27 Thread J.D. Giorgis
As we enter the final week, I am 148-92 (.616) on the
season, and the Upset Special is at 8-7 after further
review of the season record and the Browns upended the
Ravens.   One last chance for the special to stay
above .500 for the year.

On Saturday, I think that the EAGLES escape from New
York behind AJ Feely, and in Oakland, I think that the
CHIEFS stun the Raiders.   

Meanwhile, the inexorably Super Bowl-bound Atlanta
FALCONS clinch the playoffs with a win on the frozen
tundra in Cleveland and the TITANS beat Houston.  

 In Pittsburgh, I like the STEELERS over the Ravens,
who will be playing for a first-round bye.   I also
think that the COLTS top the Jaguars, although I'm
suddenly nervous that this game will be closer than I
first thought.   

The UPSET SPECIAL of the day is in CAROLINA which puts
the final nail in the Saints' coffin.I like DENVER
to get things done against the Cards, and I think that
the JETS slip past the Packers.I see BUFFALO
playing for pride and drubbing the Bengals.   


In Washington, I think the Cowboys quit on lame-duck
Dave Campo, letting the REDSKINS beat Dallas for the
first time since JFK was in the Whitehouse or
something like that.In the game of the week, I
can't see the PATRIOTS losing at home with the season
on the line, but with the loser needing a ton of help
just to make the playoffs, this game should be a
*war*.   I'd almost rather watch that one than the
Bills this week.  Speaking of meaningless games, the
VIKINGS beat the Lions.

In another upset, the red-hot Seattle SEAHAWKS are
finally playing like I had predicted before the
season, and they upend the one-dimensional Chargers. 
Speaking of Upsets, the BEARS upend the Bucs in the
freezing cold of Champaign, IL.   

On Monday night, the RAMS win a who-knows, who-cares
contest.

JDG  



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Week 16 Picks

2002-12-19 Thread J.D. Giorgis
Sorry for not formally sending my picks last week -
but I was packing my bags for a nice Florida vacation.
  So, here I am, under a palm tree on a warm winter
night on a small island off the cost of Florida - and
my thoughts turn again to my NFL picks.  I am 139-85
(.651) for the year, and the Upset Special is starting
to look good after the Texans took down the Steelers
and the Bills topped the Chargers - sending it to 9-6
on the year.  


Anyhow, I like MIAMI to take control of the AFC East
by whipping the Vikings and Minnesota.   Likewise, I
see the NINERS taking their frustrations out from last
week's loss via a drubbing of the Cardinals.  
Meanwhile, the EAGLES sohuld comfortably move past
Dallas.   

In Green Bay, I'm starting to have to admit that the
Packers are for real - if only because their
incredibly soft schedule lets them stay goosed up for
the truly big games.  Nevertheless, I am going to go
with the homer pick, since the BILLS need it more, and
should be able to handle the cold weather.  Moreover,
the Packers lack depth at WR depth, which offsets the
Bills' lack of depth at corner.   With Donald Driver
shut down by Winfiled  Co., the Packers offense
should struggle.


Another tough place to play is Arrowhead, in Kansas
City, but with Priest Holmes on the bench, I like the
CHARGERS.

Less fearsome these days is Ericcson Stadium in
Charlotte, and as for the game - who knows? who cares?
  Well, the PANTHERS are at home vs. the Bears, so
give me the home team.  Elsewhere in the southeast,
I'll stay on that FALCONS bandwagon against the Colts,
and let me jump onboard that TITANS bandwagon at
Jacksonville.  

Up in Washington, though, I sniff an upset with the
Texans in town, but in the end, I go with the
REDSKINS.   The UPSET SPECIAL is in Baltimore, where
the RAVENS upend the Browns, leaving the Ravens - who
have more rookies on the roster than the Texans in
contention for the division title!


 O.k. gimme the SAINTS in Cincy, and the COLTS over
the Giants.  In Oakland, the Broncos got whupped by
the RAIDERS at home on Monday night, and I can't see
them doing any better on the road.   

On Sunday Night, I see the AFC Playoff picture
thickening as the JETS take out the Patriots in a
desperation game, and on Monday Night give me a mild
upset as the STEELERS take down the Bucs.

JDG

   


 

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How to Disarm Iraq

2002-11-22 Thread J.D. Giorgis
Here's a brilliant essay on what needs to be done to
disarm Iraq   Hopefully everyone who is opposed to
war with Iraq can at least agree that we can't let
Iraq play the tricks described here

 http://slate.msn.com/?id=2074297

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Retronyms

2002-11-22 Thread J.D. Giorgis
Acoustic Guitar
Natural Turf
Analog Watch
Two-Parent Family
Off-Line Publication
Kinetic Warfare

How many other retronyms can you name?  

 http://slate.msn.com/?id=2074367

JDG

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Laser Destroys Aritllery Projectile for 1st Time in Human History

2002-11-06 Thread J.D. Giorgis
Army uses laser to destroy artillery projectile in
flight
 
WASHINGTON (AFP) Nov 05, 2002
A mobile laser destroyed an artillery projectile in
flight Tuesday for the first time in a test in New
Mexico, the US Army said.
The two-foot-long projectile was destroyed with the
Mobile Tactical High Energy Laser, a system that is
being developed by the army and the Israeli defense
ministry, it said.

The system tracked, locked and fired a burst of
photons on an artillery projectile, the army's space
and missile defense command said. Seconds later, at a
point well short of its intended destination, the
projectile was destroyed.

It said it was the first time in history that an
artillery projectile has been destroyed in flight with
a laser.

The system has previously been successfully tested
against Katyusha rockets.

The artillery projectile's small size, combined with
the lack of heat it gives off, makes it much more
difficult to track, the command said.




All rights reserved. © 2002 Agence France-Presse. 


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I Voted.....

2002-11-05 Thread J.D. Giorgis
and if you've done your homework, so should you. 
Personally, given the stakes associated with control
of the Senate, I can't imagine how anybody could *not*
vote if you live in a State like South Dakota,
Missouri, Colorado, Louisianna, New Hampshire,
Minnesota, or Arkansas.

Anyhow, for those of you interested, I voted in 11
partisan races, and plumped for 7 Republicans, 1
Democrat, 1 Green (who, by the way, many people are
predicting will pull off the upset and become my
representative in the State Legislature), and None of
the Above (write-in of a non-candidate) in the
remaining two.

I must say that voting in a State that trends as
left-wing as Maryland, and indeed, voting in Takoma
Park which is one of the most left-wing areas of
Maryland, can be difficult.  For example, the only
candidate endorsed by Maryland Right-to-Life in any
race that I was voting for was Bob Ehrlich (R) for
Governor, and Ehrlich is running ads that insist that
he supports a woman's right to choose!   He got the
endorsement, however, because Kennedy-Townsend (D)
never met an abortion she didn't like, and because
Ehrlich supports parental notification for minors who
want an abortion, opposes using taxpayer dollars for
abortion, and most importantly for me, Ehrlich
supports a conscience clause - that would prevent
the State of Maryland from requiring doctors, nurses,
and hospitals that are morally opposed to abortion
from being required to assist with or perform an
abortion by the State.  I am continually flabbergasted
that *any* American could believe that a doctor,
nurse, or hospital that considers abortion to be
murder should be required by the State to perform one
anyways!  

The other huge difficult with my votes this year is
that I am opposed to building the Inter-County
Connector, a new superhighway that is being proposed.
 As an economist, I know that the evidence from the
experience of other cities is that building
duplicative highways like the ICC usually does
little-to-nothing to reduce congestion.  Rather,
people simply take advantage of the additional roads
to live even further from the cities than they already
do.  The only proven way to alleviate congestion is to
invest the money into mass-transit, such that the
critical mass of transit destinations and transit
frequency makes the mass transit a truly viable
alternative to roads for consumers who want to travel
exactly where they want to go exactly when they want
to go.  Unfortunately, a solid majority of Marylanders
seem to be in favor of plunging billions of dollars
into the highway.  For example, I briefly considered
voting for Townsend when Ehrlich began running ads
emphasizing how committed he was to building the ICC -
until the next week Townsend coutered with an ad
accusing Ehrlich of distorting her record, since she
supports building the ICC too.  So, with the ICC off
the table for the governor's race, and with the Green
Party (unfortunately) not running a candidate for
governor, and with Ehrlich not quite as pro-choice as
I had first thought that he was, I ended up going with
him.   Besides which, I don't want to see
Kennedy-Townsend become Governor and then be running
for Vice-President in 2004 or 2008.Still, this
then finally convinced me to balance my ticket and
vote for the aptly-named Linda Schade of the Green
Party for State Delegate, since she's the only State
Delegate candidate opposing both the ICC and corporate
welfare. 

For County Executive, I took the Democrat since the
Democrat is in favor of building the Metro
Inner-Purple Line and the ICC and the Republican is
in favor of building the ICC and the Purple Line.  I
figure that if everyone is going to support building
this dumb highway, then at least the one who is lising
Metro first in his campaign platform might be a bit
more willing to ensure that the transit gets built
too.  Given how hard it is to find *anything* out
about candidates in these very local races, sometimes
you just have to make your vote on as little details
as that.  I'd like to think, though, that somehow
there could be a better way for interested voters to
find out some actual serious positions of candidates
in these local races.

One of the most difficult non-partisan races to vote
in every year is for the school board, since nobody
really seems to have much in the way of issues. 
Fortuantely, I've developed a fairly effective system
of just searching out the person from the teacher's
unions who is electioneering at the polling place and
just voting against whomever is on the flyer that that
person is handing out.  :) 

Lastly, we had seven candidates for circuit court
judge, six incumbents and one challenger (apparently
he's the first challenger for judgeship to even
qualify for the ballot in decades).  Fortunately, the
challenger is making a big deal about the fact that he
is the only candidate endorsed by the (rabidly
pro-abortion) National Organization for Women, so that
made my six votes easier.

Anyhow, 

In Praise of Paper Ballots

2002-11-05 Thread J.D. Giorgis
http://www.techcentralstation.com/1051/techwrapper.jsp?PID=1051-250CID=1051-110502A

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Week 9 Picks

2002-11-02 Thread J.D. Giorgis
I went a solid 9-5 last week to go 69-47 (.594) on the
season.   Even better, the Michael Vick and the
Atlanta Falcons came through on the Upset special,
which moves to 3-5. 

Baltimore (+7) at Atlanta - The Falcons remain
inexorably Super Bowl bound.  Pick: FALCONS, but take
the points on virtue of Atlanta's inconsistency and
the Balitmore defense.

Tennessee (+3) at Indianapolis - Oddly, the way
Edgerrin James has been playing, the Colts may be a
better team without him.  Pick: COLTS and to cover

Cincinnati (+3) at Houston - Everyone is jumping a
little too hard on the anti-Bengals bandwagon, and is
forgetting that this is still an NFL team.  Sure, the
Bengals are on the road, but when you are as bad as
the Bengals are, getting away from the boo-birds at
the home field is often a positive.   Plus, they have
guaranteed a win - and I'm inclined to believe them.
Pick: BENGALS UPSET SPECIAL!   Yeah, I took the
Bengals again - so I lied!  

NY Jets (+7.5) at San Diego - Here's a battle between
what I thought was the best team in the AFC before the
season, and the team which I think is the best team in
the AFC right now.  I still insist that the Jets are
better than they look, even after collapsing like the
awful turf conditions at the Meadowlands last week,
which nullified their team speed.  Still, the Chargers
really are good, are at home, and coming off of the
Bye.  Pick: CHARGERS, but take the points, as the
Bolts haven't blown anybody out yet this year.

Dallas (+3) at Detroit - This is a really lousy team,
but for anyone who doesn't think that QB's are
important, just loook at what Heisman Joey has done
for these guys.  Pick: LIONS and to cover

San Francisco (+3) at Oakland - When the Raiders came
to Buffalo, and won - thereby annoiting themselves as
the best team in football, and sending Bills fans
everywhere rending their garments about how the Bills
defense was killing this team, I pointed out that the
Raiders defense didn't look like any great shakes in
that game either.  Yes, the Raiders are reeling and
ready for the bounce-back, but the 49'ers are
recovering from a tough road loss as well, their
offense is clicking, and their defense is just plain
better.  Pick: 49'ERS

Minnesota (+7.5) at Tampa Bay - Tony Dungy is no
longer around to have Dennis Green's number - oops
he's gone too, but I still say that the Vikings wilt
in Tampa... as the Bucs offense starts to eeirly
resemble the Super Bowl Ravens offense of old.  Pick:
BUCCANEERS, and to cover

St. Louis at Arizona (+3.5) - Kurt Warner's homeworld
has apparently groomed Marc Bulger to replace their
St. Louis field agent.  Yes, the Cardinals played for
first place last week, and don't you just have the
feeling that the same-old Cardinals are just around
the corner?  Pick: RAMS and to cover

New England (+2) at Buffalo - The
Bledsoe-Brady-Belicihick Bowl.   Yes, the Patriots
season is nearly over if they loose this one, but
Travis Henry will punish New England's ailing run
defense, and the playoff-atmosphere in Buffalo will
help propell the Bills and Bledsoe to the win.  Pick:
BILLS and to cover

Washington (+3) at Seattle - The Seahawks nearly had a
player die on the football field last week.  They
should be running on high emotion, and with Washington
missing Stephen Davis... Pick: SEAHAWKS, and to cover

Philadelphia at Chicago (+5) - The Bears hit a new low
in losing to Detroit and Minnesota on consecutive
weeks.  These guys look ready to mail it in Pick:
EALGES and to cover

Jacksonville (+3) at NY Giants - Just because these
two twams are completely unpredictable.  Pick: JAGUARS

Pittsburgh at Cleveland (+3) - Warner, Brady, Maddox. 
Yeah, the shoe fits.  Pick: STEELERS and to cover

Miami (+4) at Green Bay - The Packers are on a roll,
the Fish are playing Ray Lucas who looked horrible two
weeks ago, and Cris Carter was just brough in off of
the street to start for them its hard to give the
Fish a chance in this game, and even though all my
alarm bells are screamin upset waiting to happen
Pick: PACKERS but take the points





=
-
John D. Giorgis  - [EMAIL PROTECTED]
First... to clarify what we stand for: the United States must defend liberty and 
justice because these principles are right and true for all people everywhere.  No 
nation owns these aspirations, and no nation is exempt from them.
  -US National Security Strategy 2002

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Blix Endorses US Proposal, Negotiatins Continue

2002-10-29 Thread J.D. Giorgis
IRAQ: Blix Calls For Tough Inspections Regime, Agrees
With U.S. Draft  
UN WIRE

 The chief U.N. weapons inspector told the Security
Council yesterday that the decision of waging war on
Iraq would be up to the council, not him.  We've seen
sometimes stated that we hold peace and war in our
hands. We decline that, Hans Blix said.  Our job is
to report, and the decision of whether there is war or
peace, or reaction, is for the council.

Blix, the head of the U.N. Monitoring, Verification
and Inspection Commission, and International Atomic
Energy Agency Director General Mohamed ElBaradei spoke
after presenting their views on the U.S. draft
resolution on Iraq's disarmament.  Council members
said they wanted to hear what the two thought of the
new inspection regime crafted by the United States and
United Kingdom.

Our role is to establish the facts; it’s for the
Security Council to evaluate the facts and determine
whether these facts constitute material breach and
what is the next step to be taken by the council, 
ElBaradei said.  This is a council prerogative.

Neither official would go into the specifics of the
proposed regime with reporters after briefing the
council, but both said it was important that the
regime be fully backed by the council.

The intention is in the draft resolution … to give
very clear signals as to what we can do and to avoid
what people have referred to as 'cat-and-mouse' play. 
It is helpful, Blix said.

British Ambassador Jeremy Greenstock said council
members have a better idea now of what precisely the
inspectors need. ... We will need further time to
absorb what we have heard.  He added, We're talking
about the clarity of what the resolution says. … We're
talking about the inspectors and the council being at
one about the powers that they have. … This is a
cooperative process, not an adversarial one.

The United States said the inspectors welcomed the
tougher regime outlined in the U.S. draft.  I think
it's clear from their comments that they welcome that
authority … that will strengthen their hand and give
them the opportunity to do the job the council has
asked them to do. We were pleased with that, said
Deputy Ambassador James Cunningham.

Although France and Russia have circulated their own
drafts on inspections, both of which envision less
stringent inspection regimes, Blix and ElBaradei
limited themselves to comments on the U.S. text since
it is the only one of the three formally before the
council (Jim Wurst, UN Wire, Oct. 29).

Blix said he was pleased the U.S. resolution gives
inspectors the authority to decide the methods for
interviewing Iraqi weapons scientists, but warned that
there would be great practical difficulties in
removing the scientists from Iraq for the interviews,
as the U.S. resolution provides. 

A demand in the U.S. resolution for Iraq to provide a
complete declaration of its chemical and biological
weapons capabilities 30 days after the resolution is
approved, however, would not be practical, Blix said. 

He and ElBaradei asked the Security Council members to
help provide intelligence information on which suspect
Iraqi sites inspectors should visit, but also said
inspectors would only report to the council (Julia
Preston, New York Times, Oct. 29).

If the Security Council cannot agree on a new
inspections regime, however, then the inspectors
probably will not return to Iraq, Blix said.  He
indicated that there could be dangers in sending
inspectors to Iraq without the full approval of the
council.  

It is almost inconceivable to return inspectors to
Iraq while half of the council wants us to be there
and the other half of the council does not want us to
be there, Blix said.

Let me stress that from the inspectors' horizon,
council unity is of the greatest importance, he said.
 We have difficulty in acting with full strength if
we feel that we do not have the backing (Allen/Lynch,
Washington Post, Oct. 29).


U.S-French Compromises

Negotiations on the new resolution are still
progressing and might continue into next week, Bush
administration officials at the United Nations said.  

The United States and France have neared a compromise
on the language of the new resolution on Iraq,
according to the New York Times.  U.S. and French
officials have agreed that the resolution would
contain language in its final paragraphs warning Iraq
of  serious consequences if it fails to disarm -- a
euphemism for military action, according to the Times
(Preston, New York Times).

France might also agree to a U.S. demand to also
include the phrase material breach in the resolution
-- which the United States believes would create the
authority for military action -- but only if the
Security Council has the authority to determine if
Iraq has committed such a breach, according to the Los
Angeles Times.  Much of the debate over the resolution
on Iraq has centered on the phrase, which means a
violation of a resolution, according to the Times.  

France will accept 'material 

+++ US National Security Policy on WMD and MAD

2002-10-12 Thread J.D. Giorgis
Dr. Brin recently suggested that MAD remained an
appropriate logic for confronting the WMD threat posed
by rogue states and terrorists.   By happy coincidence
I was finally getting around to reading the US
National Security Policy today, and it had a very
detailed rebuttal to Dr. Brin's arguments


**excerpt

It has taken almost a decade for us to comprehend the
true nature of this new threat. Given the goals of
rogue states and terrorists, the United States can no
longer solely rely on a reactive posture as we have in
the past. The inability to deter a potential attacker,
the immediacy of today's threats, and the magnitude of
potential harm that could be caused by our
adversaries' choice of weapons, do not permit that
option. We cannot let our enemies strike first.


In the Cold War, especially following the Cuban
missile crisis, we faced a generally status quo,
risk-averse adversary. Deterrence was an effective
defense. But deterrence based only upon the threat of
retaliation is far less likely to work against leaders
of rogue states more willing to take risks, gambling
with the lives of their people, and the wealth of
their nations. 


In the Cold War, weapons of mass destruction were
considered weapons of last resort whose use risked the
destruction of those who used them. Today, our enemies
see weapons of mass destruction as weapons of choice.
For rogue states these weapons are tools of
intimidation and military aggression against their
neighbors. These weapons may also allow these states
to attempt to blackmail the United States and our
allies to prevent us from deterring or repelling the
aggressive behavior of rogue states. Such states also
see these weapons as their best means of overcoming
the conventional superiority of the United States. 


Traditional concepts of deterrence will not work
against a terrorist enemy whose avowed tactics are
wanton destruction and the targeting of innocents;
whose so-called soldiers seek martyrdom in death and
whose most potent protection is statelessness. The
overlap between states that sponsor terror and those
that pursue WMD compels us to action.

For centuries, international law recognized that
nations need not suffer an attack before they can
lawfully take action to defend themselves against
forces that present an imminent danger of attack.
Legal scholars and international jurists often
conditioned the legitimacy of preemption on the
existence of an imminent threat -- most often a
visible mobilization of armies, navies, and air forces
preparing to attack. 

We must adapt the concept of imminent threat to the
capabilities and objectives of today's adversaries.
Rogue states and terrorists do not seek to attack us
using conventional means. They know such attacks would
fail. Instead, they rely on acts of terrorism and,
potentially, the use of weapons of mass destruction --
weapons that can be easily concealed and delivered
covertly and without warning. 

The targets of these attacks are our military forces
and our civilian population, in direct violation of
one of the principal norms of the law of warfare. As
was demonstrated by the losses on September 11, 2001,
mass civilian casualties is the specific objective of
terrorists and these losses would be exponentially
more severe if terrorists acquired and used weapons of
mass destruction. 

The United States has long maintained the option of
preemptive actions to counter a sufficient threat to
our national security. The greater the threat, the
greater is the risk of inaction -- and the more
compelling the case for taking anticipatory action to
defend ourselves, even if uncertainty remains as to
the time and place of the enemy's attack. To forestall
or prevent such hostile acts by our adversaries, the
United States will, if necessary, act preemptively. 

The United States will not use force in all cases to
preempt emerging threats, nor should nations use
preemption as a pretext for aggression. Yet in an age
where the enemies of civilization openly and actively
seek the world's most destructive technologies, the
United States cannot remain idle while dangers gather.

**end excerpt***

JDG

=
---
John D. Giorgis  -  
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
First... to clarify what we stand for: the United States must defend liberty and 
justice because these principles are right and true for all people everywhere.  No 
nation owns these aspirations, and no nation is exempt from them.
  -US National Security Strategy 2002

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Iraq: Take This Reso and Shove It

2002-09-23 Thread J.D. Giorgis

Iraq Vows Not to Abide by Any New U.N. Vote 
Limiting Agreement to Existing Terms Suggests Baghdad 
By Rajiv Chandrasekaran
Washington Post Foreign Service
Sunday, September 22, 2002; Page A28 


BAGHDAD, Iraq, Sept. 21 -- Iraq said today that it
would not abide by any new U.N. Security Council
resolution that differed from the country's prior
agreements with the world body. The announcement
suggested that Baghdad would refuse to comply with
weapons inspections if the council authorized the
United States and other nations to use military force
against Iraq.

The American officials are trying, according to the
media, to issue new, bad resolutions from the Security
Council, the government said in a statement read on
state-run Baghdad radio. Iraq declares that it will
not cooperate with any new resolution that contradicts
what has been agreed upon with the [U.N.] secretary
general.

The announcement said top Iraqi leaders made the
decision during a meeting chaired by President Saddam
Hussein.

Iraq said on Monday that it would accept the
unconditional return of U.N. weapons inspectors, who
were authorized under the terms of the 1991 Persian
Gulf War cease-fire agreement to search for weapons of
mass destruction. The inspectors left Iraq in 1998
after a dispute over the facilities they could visit.
Today's statement suggests that offer would be
rescinded in the event of a new resolution.

The announcement also appeared to be designed to
pressure Russia, China and France -- which have veto
power on the Security Council -- to oppose the Bush
administration's effort to pass a new resolution
permitting military action if Hussein fails to comply
with existing council resolutions mandating weapons
inspections and other actions by the Iraqi government.
All three nations have voiced skepticism about the
need for a new resolution.

At the White House, Sean McCormack, a National
Security Council spokesman, said Iraq's position that
it will not comply with future resolutions is very
disappointing, the Associated Press reported. We are
working very hard within the international community
and specifically in the United Nations to address in
an effective way the issue of Iraqi noncompliance, he
said.

Iraq's state-run media did not provide any
interpretation of the announcement, and Iraqi
officials were not immediately available for comment.
Hussein, in a letter read to the U.N. General Assembly
on Thursday, declared that Iraq is clear of all
nuclear, chemical and biological weapons. He claimed
the United States had fabricated charges that his
government was secretly building weapons of mass
destruction.

The chief U.N. weapons inspector, Hans Blix, has said
some of his deputies could arrive here by Oct. 15.


© 2002 The Washington Post Company

=
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John D. Giorgis [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Ba'atha delenda est!-  Freedom is Not Free

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US Releases National Security Policy Statement

2002-09-21 Thread J.D. Giorgis

The actual statement is available here:
  http://www.whitehouse.gov/nsc/nss.html

Bush Describes Tough Foreign Policy Vision
 Government: Doctrine submitted to Congress emphasizes
the need for preemptive attacks and reserves the right
for U.S. to take unilateral action

By EDWIN CHEN, LA TIMES STAFF WRITER


WASHINGTON -- President Bush formally laid out his
strategic global doctrine Friday, advancing a
distinctly American internationalism that asserts the
right to launch preemptive attacks on terrorists and
regimes whose weapons of mass destruction pose a
threat to the United States.

The president also declared his intention to dissuade
potential rivals from trying to equal or surpass
America's military might.

The toughly worded 31-page document pulls together the
major themes of Bush's foreign policy addresses in the
year since the Sept. 11 attacks. It was sent to
Congress to meet a 1986 law that requires such an
assessment from each president.

But Bush's plan drew special attention because of the
highly charged atmosphere surrounding his
administration's effort to enlist the United Nations
in a new confrontation with Iraq. He also used the
document to spell out his view of U.S. strategy in a
post-Cold War world where terrorists, rather than
other superpowers, are thought to pose the biggest
threat to America. Bush made clear that he believes
the Cold War tactics of containment and deterrence are
no longer adequate to protect U.S. interests.

Traditional concepts of deterrence will not work
against a terrorist enemy whose avowed tactics are
wanton destruction and the targeting of innocents,
the document said.

In the Cold War, weapons of mass destruction were
considered weapons of last resort whose use risked the
destruction of those who used them. Today, our enemies
see weapons of mass destruction as weapons of choice.

Vowing to take unilateral action against perceived
threats, the Bush administration pledged to protect
the United States and its interests abroad by
identifying and destroying the threat before it
reaches our borders.

While the United States will constantly strive to
enlist the support of the international community, we
will not hesitate to act alone, if necessary, to
exercise our right of self-defense by acting
preemptively against such terrorists, to prevent them
from doing harm against our people and our country


By articulating an aggressive,
go-it-alone-if-necessary doctrine, Bush distanced
himself from his recent predecessors, including his
father, the 41st president.

He's at the start of a new era, said Bruce Buchanan,
a presidential scholar at the University of Texas.
It's comparable to what happened on President
Truman's watch at the beginning of the Cold War and
containment.

Secretary of State Colin L. Powell and other top
administration officials argued Friday that Bush's
first-strike doctrine is a long-standing U.S. option.
But Buchanan disagreed.

It is really a significant departure, not just from
the containment doctrine but from widely accepted
American principles such as: America will not strike
first, Buchanan said. And to elevate it to the
status of a doctrine--without incorporating specific
examples of a clear and present danger--that's a
novelty. It's going to take a while to sell it to the
foreign policy establishment.

On Capitol Hill, some Democrats were skeptical.

Rep. Edward J. Markey (D-Mass.) accused the Bush
administration of having a political personality
disorder.

They've moved from enforceable treaties as an
American strategy to military invasion as a
nonproliferation strategy, he said.

Said Sen. John F. Kerry (D-Mass.), a potential
candidate for the 2004 Democratic presidential
nomination: I'm not at all convinced that the new
doctrine from the administration--which seems to
ignore the fact that we live in a globalized world
where allies and partnerships are more important than
ever--will actually advance our interests.

Kerry termed it a highly ideological doctrine.

But Rep. Christopher Cox (R-Newport Beach) praised the
Bush doctrine, noting that it also stresses the need
for alliances.

The notion is, preserving the peace requires us to
work carefully with the great powers, he said.

The national security policy statements sent to
Congress by previous presidents have been routine and
have drawn little attention, said John Lewis Gaddis, a
foreign policy scholar at Yale.

There were really no definable crises forcing a
reassessment of the grand strategy, he said. But
Bush clearly is thinking about revisions of the grand
strategy.

The forceful words in the document are also likely to
rankle some U.S. allies, who were already reluctant to
join Bush's campaign against Iraqi President Saddam
Hussein.

There was little official reaction around the world to
the document as of late Friday. But the question of
use of force against Iraq has become a major issue in
the neck-and-neck German campaign for chancellor that
culminates in elections 

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