Re: [agi] If aliens are monitoring us, our development of AGI might concern them

2008-11-29 Thread Charles Hixson

Well.
The speed of light limitation seems rather secure. So I would propose 
that we have been visited by roboticized probes, rather than by 
naturally evolved creatures. And the energetic constraints make it seem 
likely that they were extremely small and infrequent...though I suppose 
that they could build larger probes locally.


My guess is that UFOs are just that. Unidentified. I suspect that many 
of them aren't even objects in any normal sense of the word. Temporary 
plasmas, etc. And others are more or less orthodox flying vehicles seen 
under unusual conditions. (I remember once being convinced that I'd seen 
one, but extended observation revealed that it was an advertising blimp 
seen with the sun behind it, and it was partially transparent. Quite 
impressive, and not at all blimp like. It even seemed to be moving 
rapidly, but that was due to the sunlight passing through an interior 
membrane that was changing in size and shape.


It would require rather impressive evidence before I would believe in 
actual visitations by naturally evolved entities. (Though the concept of 
MacroLife does provide one reasonable scenario.) Still... I would 
consider it more plausible to assert that we lived in a virtual world 
scenario, and were being monitored within it.


In any case, I see no operational tests, and thus I don't see any cause 
for using those possibilities to alter our activities.



Ed Porter wrote:


Since there have been multiple discussions of aliens lately on this 
list, I think I should communicate a thought that I have had 
concerning them that I have not heard any one else say --- although I 
would be very surprised if others have not thought it --- and it does 
relate to AGI --- so it is “on list.”




As we learn just how common exoplanets are, the possibility that 
aliens have visited earth seems increasingly scientifically 
believable, even for a relatively rationalist person like myself. 
There have, in fact, been many reportings of UFOs from sources that 
are hard to reject out of hand. An astronaut that NASA respected 
enough to send to the moon, has publicly stated he has attended 
government briefings in which he was told there is substantial 
evidence aliens have repeatedly visited earth. Within the last year 
Drudge had a report from a Chicago TV station that said sources at the 
tower of O'Hare airport claimed multiple airline pilots reported to 
them seeing a large flying-saucer-shaped object hovering over one of 
the building of the airport and then disappearing.


Now, I am not saying these reports are necessarily true, but I am 
saying that --- (a) given how rapidly life evolved on earth, as soon 
as it cooled enough that there were large pools of water; (b) there 
are probably at least a million habitable planets in the Milky Way (a 
conservative estimates); and (c) if one assumes one in 1000 such 
planets will have life evolve to AGI super-intelligence --- the 
chances there are planets with AGI super-intelligence within several 
thousand light years of earth are very good. And since, at least, 
mechanical AGIs with super intelligence and the resulting levels of 
technology should be able to travel through space at one tenth to one 
thousandth the speed of light for many tens of thousands of years, it 
is not at all unlikely life and/or machine forms from such planets 
have had time to reach us --- and perhaps --- not only to reach us --- 
but also to report back to their home planet and recruit many more of 
their kind to visit us.


This becomes even more likely if one considers that some predict the 
Milky Way actually had its peak number of habitable planets billions 
of years ago, meaning that on many planets evolution of intelligent 
life is millions, or billions, of years ahead of ours, and thus that 
life/machine forms on many of the planets capable of supporting 
intelligent life are millions of years beyond their singularities. 
This would mean their development of extremely powerful 
super-intelligence and the attendant developments in technologies we 
know of --- such as nanofabrication, controlled fusion reactions, and 
quantum computing and engineering --- and technologies we do not yet 
even know of --- would be way beyond our imagining.


All of the above is nothing new, among those who are open minded about 
(a) the evidence about the commonness of exoplanets; (b) the fact that 
there are enough accounts of UFO's from reputable sources that such 
accounts cannot dismissed out of hand as false, and (c) what the 
singularity and the development of super-intelligence would mean to a 
civilization.




But what I am suggesting that I have never heard before is that it is 
possible the aliens, if they actually have been visiting us repeatedly 
are watching us to see when mankind achieves super-intelligence, 
because only then do we presumably have a chance of becoming their equal.


Perhaps this means that only then we can understand them. Or 

RE: [agi] If aliens are monitoring us, our development of AGI might concern them

2008-11-27 Thread Ed Porter
Eric,

 

You have made a series of fantastic allegations, and I asked what evidence
you had for them, and all you provide is that you have experienced them
while under the influence of drugs.

 

I hope --- for your sake --- that for at least some percent of your weekly
existence you are sober enough to be capable of understanding how
unpersuasive that is --- and why.  

 

I understand that you might experience many of the things you say in the
theater of your own mind, particularly when under the influence.  And I
understand that experiences in that theater are real in a meaningful sense.

 

But that in no way means your statements are correct descriptions of
external reality, as many of your statements would appear to claim to be.
And you have provided no evidence, other than drug induced experience within
your own mind, that they are.

 

Ed Porter

 

-Original Message-
From: Eric Burton [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] 
Sent: Wednesday, November 26, 2008 8:28 PM
To: agi@v2.listbox.com
Subject: Re: [agi] If aliens are monitoring us, our development of AGI might
concern them

 

Thoughts are surely a subset of felt experience. The contact

experiences reliably induced by committed doses of for instance

psilocibin are objective, not subjective events! They are breaches in

consensus reality, they mutate it. I don't know the source of the

information I've received when bemushroomed. It could be aeons old and

delivered by panspermia. Much of it is presented with great gravity.

 

The experince could easily be a disorienting allergic response evolved

on Earth to discourage predation. But that does not explain the

intimate Other that appears in the head to take great glee in the

interface! It does not explain the reams of art, the many and varied

vistas and plateaus, and the challenges one encounters in the

psilocibin trance. Either it is offering us all this or it is

generated by the brain. Why then is this uniquely characteristic

hallucinosis particular to the ingestion of this specific substance?

 

You can read for yourself on the effects I'm describing. But none of

this feeds into anyone's theory of mind until we can trap and trace

the experiences in question. It is probably quantum.

 

 

On 11/26/08, Ed Porter [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 What evidence, other than your thoughts when using drugs, do you have for

 such statements?



 -Original Message-

 From: Eric Burton [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]

 Sent: Wednesday, November 26, 2008 5:22 PM

 To: agi@v2.listbox.com

 Subject: Re: [agi] If aliens are monitoring us, our development of AGI
might

 concern them



 What I want to emphasize is that our world is bathed in signals from

 superintelligent civilizations every day. The way you can put an

 antenna into the ground and use the Earth to conduct radio

 frequencies, these things are using the organization of space and

 time. The laws of physics and the cosmological constants that inform

 them may arise from the content of communication and computation being

 performed at the psycho-atomic level, where mind manifests in quark

 form!



 What could possibly concern such a superior race!





 On 11/26/08, Ed Porter [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 Translate into English, please.



 -Original Message-

 From: Bob Mottram [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]

 Sent: Wednesday, November 26, 2008 1:35 PM

 To: agi@v2.listbox.com

 Subject: Re: [agi] If aliens are monitoring us, our development of AGI

 might

 concern them



 2008/11/26 Ed Porter [EMAIL PROTECTED]:

 I have never experienced a UFO, but several people I have known and

 generally trusted, and who are not drug users or wackos, have claimed to

 have seen them directly.





 belief (Y, foo)

 belief (X, credibility (Y)  minimum credibility (X)) || dominance

 heirachy (Y)  dominance heirachy (X)

 meme strength (X, Y)  threshold

 = belief (X, foo)





 ---

 agi

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Re: [agi] If aliens are monitoring us, our development of AGI might concern them

2008-11-27 Thread Ben Goertzel
 But that in no way means your statements are correct descriptions of
 external reality, as many of your statements would appear to claim to be.
 And you have provided no evidence, other than drug induced experience within
 your own mind, that they are.

 Ed Porter

The notions of correct descriptions and external reality rather
fall apart when one subjects them to careful rational scrutiny, as
many philosophers of science have found...

The real question to me is what is the utility of the ideas being
proferred ... and IMO the jury is still out on that...

I do think, however, that it would be a strategic and sociological
mistake to associate AGI with UFO-related space aliens or Terrence
McKenna style mushroom aliens, at this point in time ;-) ... so, I
suggest we can this thread or take it to some other forum...

-- Ben G


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Re: [agi] If aliens are monitoring us, our development of AGI might concern them

2008-11-27 Thread Eric Burton
All I've tried to impress is that these revelations, epiphanies,
theophanies or what-have-you are at least as primary as the sensations
associated with daily life. I am tempted to compare the problem to
that of many people speaking about one microscope no-one can access.
If the issue is what you see through it then a projector would solve
the problem. A digital video output on the locked away microscope
would also serve. What I am thinking is...

Psychedelic experiences are as encapsulated, personal, and
inaccessible as dreams, though not as ephemeral. Like dreams, you
could potentially make recordings of the constituent sensations as
they arise and translate them onto a receiver sensorium in order to
communicate insights, objects and events which resist Englishing. I am
talking about VR recreations. Then various gnoses, paradoxes and rap
sessions with aliens would be opened to some extent.

There is some allusion here to the fate of Gallileo. The solution
could be group hallucinations, telepathic drugs or cybernetic
telepathy used with drugs, so that a distributed warping occurs. Then
these experiences would each carry the weight of a dozen people's
sworn testimony. Otherwise, only when some wide-eyed camper returns to
civilization clutching the blueprints for a working stardrive will
they gain sway with science.

Ok... bye :D

On 11/27/08, Ed Porter [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 Eric,



 You have made a series of fantastic allegations, and I asked what evidence
 you had for them, and all you provide is that you have experienced them
 while under the influence of drugs.



 I hope --- for your sake --- that for at least some percent of your weekly
 existence you are sober enough to be capable of understanding how
 unpersuasive that is --- and why.



 I understand that you might experience many of the things you say in the
 theater of your own mind, particularly when under the influence.  And I
 understand that experiences in that theater are real in a meaningful sense.



 But that in no way means your statements are correct descriptions of
 external reality, as many of your statements would appear to claim to be.
 And you have provided no evidence, other than drug induced experience within
 your own mind, that they are.



 Ed Porter



 -Original Message-
 From: Eric Burton [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]
 Sent: Wednesday, November 26, 2008 8:28 PM
 To: agi@v2.listbox.com
 Subject: Re: [agi] If aliens are monitoring us, our development of AGI might
 concern them



 Thoughts are surely a subset of felt experience. The contact

 experiences reliably induced by committed doses of for instance

 psilocibin are objective, not subjective events! They are breaches in

 consensus reality, they mutate it. I don't know the source of the

 information I've received when bemushroomed. It could be aeons old and

 delivered by panspermia. Much of it is presented with great gravity.



 The experince could easily be a disorienting allergic response evolved

 on Earth to discourage predation. But that does not explain the

 intimate Other that appears in the head to take great glee in the

 interface! It does not explain the reams of art, the many and varied

 vistas and plateaus, and the challenges one encounters in the

 psilocibin trance. Either it is offering us all this or it is

 generated by the brain. Why then is this uniquely characteristic

 hallucinosis particular to the ingestion of this specific substance?



 You can read for yourself on the effects I'm describing. But none of

 this feeds into anyone's theory of mind until we can trap and trace

 the experiences in question. It is probably quantum.





 On 11/26/08, Ed Porter [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 What evidence, other than your thoughts when using drugs, do you have for

 such statements?



 -Original Message-

 From: Eric Burton [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]

 Sent: Wednesday, November 26, 2008 5:22 PM

 To: agi@v2.listbox.com

 Subject: Re: [agi] If aliens are monitoring us, our development of AGI
 might

 concern them



 What I want to emphasize is that our world is bathed in signals from

 superintelligent civilizations every day. The way you can put an

 antenna into the ground and use the Earth to conduct radio

 frequencies, these things are using the organization of space and

 time. The laws of physics and the cosmological constants that inform

 them may arise from the content of communication and computation being

 performed at the psycho-atomic level, where mind manifests in quark

 form!



 What could possibly concern such a superior race!





 On 11/26/08, Ed Porter [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 Translate into English, please.



 -Original Message-

 From: Bob Mottram [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]

 Sent: Wednesday, November 26, 2008 1:35 PM

 To: agi@v2.listbox.com

 Subject: Re: [agi] If aliens are monitoring us, our development of AGI

 might

 concern them



 2008/11/26 Ed Porter [EMAIL PROTECTED]:

 I have never 

Re: [agi] If aliens are monitoring us, our development of AGI might concern them

2008-11-27 Thread Ben Goertzel
On Thu, Nov 27, 2008 at 12:42 PM, Eric Burton [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 All I've tried to impress is that these revelations, epiphanies,
 theophanies or what-have-you are at least as primary as the sensations
 associated with daily life.


I tend to agree ... but unless you are going to tie these ideas in
specifically with AGI, this isn't really the right venue for such
discussions.

Why don't we take this discussion to the Singularity list?  (to which
I've now cc'd it.)  There is a lot more obvious relevance between
these musings and the Singularity, than between them and AGI in
specific...

-- Ben G


---
agi
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Re: [agi] If aliens are monitoring us, our development of AGI might concern them

2008-11-27 Thread Eric Burton
Singularity is a good home for it. Kind of a panicked digression ,_,


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Re: [agi] If aliens are monitoring us, our development of AGI might concern them

2008-11-26 Thread Bob Mottram
2008/11/26 Ed Porter [EMAIL PROTECTED]:
 As we learn just how common exoplanets are, the possibility that aliens have
 visited earth seems increasingly scientifically believable

I'm not sure that alien visitation logically follows from the
discovery of exoplanets.


 There have, in fact, been many
 reportings of UFOs from sources that are hard to reject out of hand.

Well I'm happy to report that I can dismiss all the reports which I've
read about out of hand, since they don't really constitute good
evidence in my opinion.  Blurry photos or videos, and anecdotal claims
wouldn't stand up to serious scrutiny in a scientific journal.



  An
 astronaut that NASA respected enough to send to the moon, has publicly
 stated he has attended government briefings in which he was told there is
 substantial evidence aliens have repeatedly visited earth.


Unfortunately if you read the biography of this guy it seems that he's
held outspoken views on such things for a very long time.  Astronauts
are not supermen - they're just ordinary people with the same biases
and superstitions as everyone else.  They're just as likely to believe
in conspiracy theories and other wacky stuff.

I should say that I do think there is a good chance that the universe
is populated with life, but that we have observed no direct evidence
of this at present.  Also, the existence of life does not necessarily
imply human-like life with an advanced technological civilization.
Having a large brain is only one minority strategy for reproducing
your genes.

But, all of the above is off topic, so you can safely ignore it.


---
agi
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RE: [agi] If aliens are monitoring us, our development of AGI might concern them

2008-11-26 Thread Ed Porter
Bob,

 

I share much of your skepticism, and many of your reasons for doubting.  

 

I have never experienced a UFO, but several people I have known and
generally trusted, and who are not drug users or wackos, have claimed to
have seen them directly.  But I have a tremendous belief in the ability of
people to misperceive things and for rational people to develop arguments
for unjustified conspiracy-like theories --- so I still remain skeptical.

 

But if one combines (a) the increasing evidence that habitable planet are
probably plentiful in our solar system, (b) the evidence of how quickly life
originated on earth, (c) the reasonable belief of what amazing advances in
intelligence and technology AGI could give to a civilization that survived
it and how such technology might reasonably be expected to enable galactic
space travel and civilization, (d) that it would take only one civilization
that achieved AGI say 10 to 100 million years ago to have distributed itself
throughout much of our galaxy, and (d) if one accepts that it is at least
possible that not all the people claiming to have seen or recorded aliens or
UFO are lying or have experienced misperceptions or delusions or
mis-interpretations of their recorded data --- then I think it is not
unreasonable to assume that there is --- at least --- a non insignificant
chance that aliens are visiting and monitoring us.

 

In my own rather skeptical mind, if I were to make a wild guess I would
currently put the probability of this at roughly at least one in ten, a
large enough possibility that it should, at least, be considered in
discussions of the future of AGI and the singularity.

 

Ed Porter.

 

 

-Original Message-
From: Bob Mottram [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] 
Sent: Wednesday, November 26, 2008 3:27 AM
To: agi@v2.listbox.com
Subject: Re: [agi] If aliens are monitoring us, our development of AGI might
concern them

 

2008/11/26 Ed Porter [EMAIL PROTECTED]:

 As we learn just how common exoplanets are, the possibility that aliens
have

 visited earth seems increasingly scientifically believable

 

I'm not sure that alien visitation logically follows from the

discovery of exoplanets.

 

 

 There have, in fact, been many

 reportings of UFOs from sources that are hard to reject out of hand.

 

Well I'm happy to report that I can dismiss all the reports which I've

read about out of hand, since they don't really constitute good

evidence in my opinion.  Blurry photos or videos, and anecdotal claims

wouldn't stand up to serious scrutiny in a scientific journal.

 

 

 

  An

 astronaut that NASA respected enough to send to the moon, has publicly

 stated he has attended government briefings in which he was told there is

 substantial evidence aliens have repeatedly visited earth.

 

 

Unfortunately if you read the biography of this guy it seems that he's

held outspoken views on such things for a very long time.  Astronauts

are not supermen - they're just ordinary people with the same biases

and superstitions as everyone else.  They're just as likely to believe

in conspiracy theories and other wacky stuff.

 

I should say that I do think there is a good chance that the universe

is populated with life, but that we have observed no direct evidence

of this at present.  Also, the existence of life does not necessarily

imply human-like life with an advanced technological civilization.

Having a large brain is only one minority strategy for reproducing

your genes.

 

But, all of the above is off topic, so you can safely ignore it.

 

 

---

agi

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Re: [agi] If aliens are monitoring us, our development of AGI might concern them

2008-11-26 Thread Bob Mottram
2008/11/26 Ed Porter [EMAIL PROTECTED]:
 I have never experienced a UFO, but several people I have known and
 generally trusted, and who are not drug users or wackos, have claimed to
 have seen them directly.


belief (Y, foo)
belief (X, credibility (Y)  minimum credibility (X)) || dominance
heirachy (Y)  dominance heirachy (X)
meme strength (X, Y)  threshold
= belief (X, foo)


---
agi
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RE: [agi] If aliens are monitoring us, our development of AGI might concern them

2008-11-26 Thread Ed Porter
Translate into English, please.

-Original Message-
From: Bob Mottram [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] 
Sent: Wednesday, November 26, 2008 1:35 PM
To: agi@v2.listbox.com
Subject: Re: [agi] If aliens are monitoring us, our development of AGI might
concern them

2008/11/26 Ed Porter [EMAIL PROTECTED]:
 I have never experienced a UFO, but several people I have known and
 generally trusted, and who are not drug users or wackos, have claimed to
 have seen them directly.


belief (Y, foo)
belief (X, credibility (Y)  minimum credibility (X)) || dominance
heirachy (Y)  dominance heirachy (X)
meme strength (X, Y)  threshold
= belief (X, foo)


---
agi
Archives: https://www.listbox.com/member/archive/303/=now
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Re: [agi] If aliens are monitoring us, our development of AGI might concern them

2008-11-26 Thread Eric Burton
What I want to emphasize is that our world is bathed in signals from
superintelligent civilizations every day. The way you can put an
antenna into the ground and use the Earth to conduct radio
frequencies, these things are using the organization of space and
time. The laws of physics and the cosmological constants that inform
them may arise from the content of communication and computation being
performed at the psycho-atomic level, where mind manifests in quark
form!

What could possibly concern such a superior race!


On 11/26/08, Ed Porter [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 Translate into English, please.

 -Original Message-
 From: Bob Mottram [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]
 Sent: Wednesday, November 26, 2008 1:35 PM
 To: agi@v2.listbox.com
 Subject: Re: [agi] If aliens are monitoring us, our development of AGI might
 concern them

 2008/11/26 Ed Porter [EMAIL PROTECTED]:
 I have never experienced a UFO, but several people I have known and
 generally trusted, and who are not drug users or wackos, have claimed to
 have seen them directly.


 belief (Y, foo)
 belief (X, credibility (Y)  minimum credibility (X)) || dominance
 heirachy (Y)  dominance heirachy (X)
 meme strength (X, Y)  threshold
 = belief (X, foo)


 ---
 agi
 Archives: https://www.listbox.com/member/archive/303/=now
 RSS Feed: https://www.listbox.com/member/archive/rss/303/
 Modify Your Subscription:
 https://www.listbox.com/member/?;
 Powered by Listbox: http://www.listbox.com



 ---
 agi
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RE: [agi] If aliens are monitoring us, our development of AGI might concern them

2008-11-26 Thread Ed Porter
What evidence, other than your thoughts when using drugs, do you have for
such statements?

-Original Message-
From: Eric Burton [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] 
Sent: Wednesday, November 26, 2008 5:22 PM
To: agi@v2.listbox.com
Subject: Re: [agi] If aliens are monitoring us, our development of AGI might
concern them

What I want to emphasize is that our world is bathed in signals from
superintelligent civilizations every day. The way you can put an
antenna into the ground and use the Earth to conduct radio
frequencies, these things are using the organization of space and
time. The laws of physics and the cosmological constants that inform
them may arise from the content of communication and computation being
performed at the psycho-atomic level, where mind manifests in quark
form!

What could possibly concern such a superior race!


On 11/26/08, Ed Porter [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 Translate into English, please.

 -Original Message-
 From: Bob Mottram [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]
 Sent: Wednesday, November 26, 2008 1:35 PM
 To: agi@v2.listbox.com
 Subject: Re: [agi] If aliens are monitoring us, our development of AGI
might
 concern them

 2008/11/26 Ed Porter [EMAIL PROTECTED]:
 I have never experienced a UFO, but several people I have known and
 generally trusted, and who are not drug users or wackos, have claimed to
 have seen them directly.


 belief (Y, foo)
 belief (X, credibility (Y)  minimum credibility (X)) || dominance
 heirachy (Y)  dominance heirachy (X)
 meme strength (X, Y)  threshold
 = belief (X, foo)


 ---
 agi
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Re: [agi] If aliens are monitoring us, our development of AGI might concern them

2008-11-26 Thread Eric Burton
Thoughts are surely a subset of felt experience. The contact
experiences reliably induced by committed doses of for instance
psilocibin are objective, not subjective events! They are breaches in
consensus reality, they mutate it. I don't know the source of the
information I've received when bemushroomed. It could be aeons old and
delivered by panspermia. Much of it is presented with great gravity.

The experince could easily be a disorienting allergic response evolved
on Earth to discourage predation. But that does not explain the
intimate Other that appears in the head to take great glee in the
interface! It does not explain the reams of art, the many and varied
vistas and plateaus, and the challenges one encounters in the
psilocibin trance. Either it is offering us all this or it is
generated by the brain. Why then is this uniquely characteristic
hallucinosis particular to the ingestion of this specific substance?

You can read for yourself on the effects I'm describing. But none of
this feeds into anyone's theory of mind until we can trap and trace
the experiences in question. It is probably quantum.


On 11/26/08, Ed Porter [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 What evidence, other than your thoughts when using drugs, do you have for
 such statements?

 -Original Message-
 From: Eric Burton [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]
 Sent: Wednesday, November 26, 2008 5:22 PM
 To: agi@v2.listbox.com
 Subject: Re: [agi] If aliens are monitoring us, our development of AGI might
 concern them

 What I want to emphasize is that our world is bathed in signals from
 superintelligent civilizations every day. The way you can put an
 antenna into the ground and use the Earth to conduct radio
 frequencies, these things are using the organization of space and
 time. The laws of physics and the cosmological constants that inform
 them may arise from the content of communication and computation being
 performed at the psycho-atomic level, where mind manifests in quark
 form!

 What could possibly concern such a superior race!


 On 11/26/08, Ed Porter [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 Translate into English, please.

 -Original Message-
 From: Bob Mottram [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]
 Sent: Wednesday, November 26, 2008 1:35 PM
 To: agi@v2.listbox.com
 Subject: Re: [agi] If aliens are monitoring us, our development of AGI
 might
 concern them

 2008/11/26 Ed Porter [EMAIL PROTECTED]:
 I have never experienced a UFO, but several people I have known and
 generally trusted, and who are not drug users or wackos, have claimed to
 have seen them directly.


 belief (Y, foo)
 belief (X, credibility (Y)  minimum credibility (X)) || dominance
 heirachy (Y)  dominance heirachy (X)
 meme strength (X, Y)  threshold
 = belief (X, foo)


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RE: [agi] If aliens are monitoring us, our development of AGI might concern them

2008-11-25 Thread Ed Porter
 

Since there have been multiple discussions of aliens lately on this list, I
think I should communicate a thought that I have had concerning them that I
have not heard any one else say --- although I would be very surprised if
others have not thought it --- and it does relate to AGI --- so it is on
list.

 



 

As we learn just how common exoplanets are, the possibility that aliens have
visited earth seems increasingly scientifically believable, even for a
relatively rationalist person like myself.  There have, in fact, been many
reportings of UFOs from sources that are hard to reject out of hand.  An
astronaut that NASA respected enough to send to the moon, has publicly
stated he has attended government briefings in which he was told there is
substantial evidence aliens have repeatedly visited earth.  Within the last
year Drudge had a report from a Chicago TV station that said sources at the
tower of O'Hare airport claimed multiple airline pilots reported to them
seeing a large flying-saucer-shaped object hovering over one of the building
of the airport and then disappearing.

 

Now, I am not saying these reports are necessarily true, but I am saying
that --- (a) given how rapidly life evolved on earth, as soon as it cooled
enough that there were large pools of water; (b) there are probably at least
a million habitable planets in the Milky Way (a conservative estimates); and
(c) if one assumes one in 1000 such planets will have life evolve to AGI
super-intelligence --- the chances there are planets with AGI
super-intelligence within several thousand light years of earth are very
good.  And since, at least, mechanical AGIs with super intelligence and the
resulting levels of technology should be able to travel through space at one
tenth to one thousandth the speed of light for many tens of thousands of
years, it is not at all unlikely life and/or machine forms from such planets
have had time to reach us --- and perhaps --- not only to reach us --- but
also to report back to their home planet and recruit many more of their kind
to visit us.  

 

This becomes even more likely if one considers that some predict the Milky
Way actually had its peak number of habitable planets billions of years ago,
meaning that on many planets evolution of intelligent life is millions, or
billions, of years ahead of ours, and thus that life/machine forms on many
of the planets capable of supporting intelligent life are millions of years
beyond their singularities.   This would mean their development of extremely
powerful super-intelligence and the attendant developments in technologies
we know of ---  such as nanofabrication, controlled fusion reactions, and
quantum computing and engineering  ---  and technologies we do not yet even
know of --- would be way beyond our imagining.

 

All of the above is nothing new, among those who are open minded about (a)
the evidence about the commonness of exoplanets; (b) the fact that there are
enough accounts of UFO's from reputable sources that such accounts cannot
dismissed out of hand as false, and (c) what the singularity and the
development of super-intelligence would mean to a civilization.

 



 

But what I am suggesting that I have never heard before is that it is
possible the aliens, if they actually have been visiting us repeatedly are
watching us to see when mankind achieves super-intelligence, because only
then do we presumably have a chance of becoming their equal.  

 

Perhaps this means that only then we can understand them.  Or perhaps it
means that only then we can become a threat to them.  

 

If they are smart enough to get here from solar systems far away, and if
they are smart enough to appear to instantly disappear the way many accounts
claim UFO's do, then presumably they are smart enough to monitor our
communications, decode them, and if they decide necessary for their benefit,
to intervene, either benevolently or destructively.

 

Those of you who frequent portions of the web much more wigged-out than I do
--- which the entheogen discussing suggested some of you do --- will
probably say ho hum, been there, thought that.

 

But whether is it a new thought or an old though --- if alien life forms are
actually monitoring us, our achieving AGI would substantially change our
relationship to them and may substantially change their behavior toward us
--- and that might just be a very important thought.

 



'd be interested in your thoughts.



 

Ed Porter 

 

-Original Message-
From: Ben Goertzel [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] 
Sent: Tuesday, November 25, 2008 6:53 PM
To: agi@v2.listbox.com
Subject: Re: [agi] JAGI submission

 

 I could also argue that the limitations on RSI would constrain a
hard-takeoff singularity to an explosion of computational power, not of
knowledge. But I think that might be a stretch. Not everyone agrees that
there will even be a singularity in the first place.

 

 

You could argue that, but not convincingly 

Re: [agi] If aliens are monitoring us, our development of AGI might concern them

2008-11-25 Thread Eric Burton
It's definitely occurred to me before that alens who came across a
planet where the indigenous life had been replaced by their machines
in what has been called a negative singularity, that they would see
that as sort of like a weedy lot. Technology crowds culture out so the
positive singularity scenario really hinges on bringing our whole
cultural archive with us and mandating its expression in all the forms
our species takes in the future.

It was on some psilocybin mushrooms when they presented to me three
situations for the end of the world: transcendance by technological
singularity, Earth immolated by hydrocarbon flame, and salvation by
aliens. But the alien salvation scenario could obviously go either way
depending on how they perceive us... and being replaced by machines
was one thing we dealt with in my head that session. ^-^

Eric B

On 11/25/08, Ed Porter [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:


 Since there have been multiple discussions of aliens lately on this list, I
 think I should communicate a thought that I have had concerning them that I
 have not heard any one else say --- although I would be very surprised if
 others have not thought it --- and it does relate to AGI --- so it is on
 list.



 



 As we learn just how common exoplanets are, the possibility that aliens have
 visited earth seems increasingly scientifically believable, even for a
 relatively rationalist person like myself.  There have, in fact, been many
 reportings of UFOs from sources that are hard to reject out of hand.  An
 astronaut that NASA respected enough to send to the moon, has publicly
 stated he has attended government briefings in which he was told there is
 substantial evidence aliens have repeatedly visited earth.  Within the last
 year Drudge had a report from a Chicago TV station that said sources at the
 tower of O'Hare airport claimed multiple airline pilots reported to them
 seeing a large flying-saucer-shaped object hovering over one of the building
 of the airport and then disappearing.



 Now, I am not saying these reports are necessarily true, but I am saying
 that --- (a) given how rapidly life evolved on earth, as soon as it cooled
 enough that there were large pools of water; (b) there are probably at least
 a million habitable planets in the Milky Way (a conservative estimates); and
 (c) if one assumes one in 1000 such planets will have life evolve to AGI
 super-intelligence --- the chances there are planets with AGI
 super-intelligence within several thousand light years of earth are very
 good.  And since, at least, mechanical AGIs with super intelligence and the
 resulting levels of technology should be able to travel through space at one
 tenth to one thousandth the speed of light for many tens of thousands of
 years, it is not at all unlikely life and/or machine forms from such planets
 have had time to reach us --- and perhaps --- not only to reach us --- but
 also to report back to their home planet and recruit many more of their kind
 to visit us.



 This becomes even more likely if one considers that some predict the Milky
 Way actually had its peak number of habitable planets billions of years ago,
 meaning that on many planets evolution of intelligent life is millions, or
 billions, of years ahead of ours, and thus that life/machine forms on many
 of the planets capable of supporting intelligent life are millions of years
 beyond their singularities.   This would mean their development of extremely
 powerful super-intelligence and the attendant developments in technologies
 we know of ---  such as nanofabrication, controlled fusion reactions, and
 quantum computing and engineering  ---  and technologies we do not yet even
 know of --- would be way beyond our imagining.



 All of the above is nothing new, among those who are open minded about (a)
 the evidence about the commonness of exoplanets; (b) the fact that there are
 enough accounts of UFO's from reputable sources that such accounts cannot
 dismissed out of hand as false, and (c) what the singularity and the
 development of super-intelligence would mean to a civilization.



 



 But what I am suggesting that I have never heard before is that it is
 possible the aliens, if they actually have been visiting us repeatedly are
 watching us to see when mankind achieves super-intelligence, because only
 then do we presumably have a chance of becoming their equal.



 Perhaps this means that only then we can understand them.  Or perhaps it
 means that only then we can become a threat to them.



 If they are smart enough to get here from solar systems far away, and if
 they are smart enough to appear to instantly disappear the way many accounts
 claim UFO's do, then presumably they are smart enough to monitor our
 communications, decode them, and if they decide necessary for their benefit,
 to intervene, either benevolently or destructively.



 Those of you who frequent portions of the web much more wigged-out than I do
 --- which