Re: Scouted: U.S. to collapse in next two years?

2009-01-03 Thread Alberto Vieira Ferreira Monteiro
Dan M. wrote:

 As if Things Weren't Bad Enough, Russian Professor Predicts End of U.S.
 In Moscow, Igor Panarin's Forecasts Are All the Rage; America
 'Disintegrates' in 2010

 I read this a few weeks ago and got a good chuckle out of it.  It shows
 than Americans aren't the only ones who can be clueless about how things
 work in other countries. :-)

Maybe we could work around a Big Bet about which is the next
country that will disintegrate. Russia? Canada? USA? China? Brazil?
India? Australia? South Africa?

I bet on China, but Bolivia came close to it a few months ago.

Alberto Monteiro


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Re: Scouted: U.S. to collapse in next two years?

2009-01-03 Thread David Land
Right. As everyone knows, Mexico is a great power that is poised to
take over the entire Southern tier of the United States. And those
damned Canadians have been quietly biding their time since the
American revolution, lying in wait for just the right moment to
arrive. And the European Union is so blatantly an effort to organize
Europe for a take-over of the United States that it's a wonder no
one's mentioned it before...

Clearly, the only solution is for the US to mount a massive attack on
all the countries listed in the article at once.
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Re: Who's on Twitter?

2009-01-03 Thread David Land
I'm no twitter as http://twitter.com/dland Nick has been kind enough
to mention me several times in his musings on Twitter.
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Re: Who's on Twitter?

2009-01-03 Thread Julia Thompson

On Sat, 3 Jan 2009, David Land wrote:

 I'm no twitter as http://twitter.com/dland Nick has been kind enough
 to mention me several times in his musings on Twitter.

OK, that one looks somewhat more interesting than some of the Tweets I see 
dumped to LiveJournal.

Then again, the less interesting things are in response to other Tweets, 
and the person Tweeting the most is engaged in discussions with other 
folks.

Julia

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Re: Who's on Twitter?

2009-01-03 Thread David Land
Julia,

 OK, that one looks somewhat more interesting than some of the Tweets I see
 dumped to LiveJournal.

Thank you (if you're referring to my twitter feed). I try to remember
that the people who are following me (there are a little under a
hundred, with some falling off and new ones replacing them over time)
are an audience, so I write with them in mind.

 Then again, the less interesting things are in response to other Tweets,
 and the person Tweeting the most is engaged in discussions with other
 folks.

In my experience, the least interesting tweeple are the ones who use
twitter as a kind of public instant message with their friends. Every
message is a reply to someone else, and they often look something
like:

@boogerbrain *Yawn*
@mesopotamia That's what she said!
@fooboo Was that thing actually _on_ your plate?
@noobee If you say so, but actually, I like em crunchy.

I wonder if these people have anything at all to say on their own...

There is a hierarchy of engagement on Twitter in which following is
worth one point, replying is worth more -- maybe two to five
points, and retweeting is maybe double that again. I don't think
I've been retweeted. Not bleeding edge enough, I guess.
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Scouted: Paul Saffo on non-human intelligence

2009-01-03 Thread Nick Arnett
Paul Saffo:

DISCOVERY (OR CREATION) OF NON-HUMAN INTELLIGENCE CURES HUMANKIND'S
EXISTENTIAL LONELINESS

The last two sentences are great:
 A world shared with super-intelligent robots is a hard thing to imagine.
If we are lucky, our new mind children will treat us as pets. If we are very
unlucky, they will treat us as food.

http://snipurl.com/9f313
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Re: Who's on Twitter?

2009-01-03 Thread Julia Thompson


On Sat, 3 Jan 2009, David Land wrote:

 Julia,

 OK, that one looks somewhat more interesting than some of the Tweets I see
 dumped to LiveJournal.

 Thank you (if you're referring to my twitter feed). I try to remember
 that the people who are following me (there are a little under a
 hundred, with some falling off and new ones replacing them over time)
 are an audience, so I write with them in mind.

 Then again, the less interesting things are in response to other Tweets,
 and the person Tweeting the most is engaged in discussions with other
 folks.

 In my experience, the least interesting tweeple are the ones who use
 twitter as a kind of public instant message with their friends. Every
 message is a reply to someone else, and they often look something
 like:

 @boogerbrain *Yawn*
 @mesopotamia That's what she said!
 @fooboo Was that thing actually _on_ your plate?
 @noobee If you say so, but actually, I like em crunchy.

That's what the most prolific feed I see is, mostly.  Except a little more 
interesting than that.  It lends a cheerful surreality to my day, so I 
don't complain.  And I get information about the guy's life that I 
wouldn't otherwise.

 I wonder if these people have anything at all to say on their own...

That one does, actually.  His LJ is about half LoudTwitter and half actual 
posts with real information, and it's usually information I'm glad to 
have.  (Even if it's bad stuff, I like to know what's going on with 
folks.)

 There is a hierarchy of engagement on Twitter in which following is
 worth one point, replying is worth more -- maybe two to five
 points, and retweeting is maybe double that again. I don't think
 I've been retweeted. Not bleeding edge enough, I guess.

I know someone who has a Twitter account just so's he can send stuff to 
his to-do list, which is on a website which won't take text messages, but 
will accept Tweets and convert them into to-do items.  He has several 
people following him, and the fact of that creeps him out just a little. 
(I think they just need the clue that he's not intending to interact with 
anyone there.)

Julia

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Re: Who's on Twitter?

2009-01-03 Thread Ronn! Blankenship
At 02:20 PM Saturday 1/3/2009, David Land wrote:

In my experience, the least interesting tweeple


I suppose calling them twits is frowned upon . . .


are the ones who use
twitter as a kind of public instant message with their friends. Every
message is a reply to someone else, and they often look something
like:

@boogerbrain *Yawn*
@mesopotamia That's what she said!
@fooboo Was that thing actually _on_ your plate?
@noobee If you say so, but actually, I like em crunchy.

I wonder if these people have anything at all to say on their own...


The conversation in the Niven chat room (in session now) is rather 
more intelligent than the above . . .


. . . ronn!  :)



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Re: Scouted: U.S. to collapse in next two years?

2009-01-03 Thread Alberto Vieira Ferreira Monteiro
David Land wrote:

 Right. As everyone knows, Mexico is a great power that is poised to
 take over the entire Southern tier of the United States. And those
 damned Canadians have been quietly biding their time since the
 American revolution, lying in wait for just the right moment to
 arrive. And the European Union is so blatantly an effort to organize
 Europe for a take-over of the United States that it's a wonder no
 one's mentioned it before...

 Clearly, the only solution is for the US to mount a massive attack on
 all the countries listed in the article at once.

It's surprising that not a single piece of the future-former-USA went
to Israel. Those conspiracy theorists are getting unimaginative.

Alberto Monteiro
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Re: Scouted: U.S. to collapse in next two years?

2009-01-03 Thread Doug Pensinger
 Alberto

 
  Clearly, the only solution is for the US to mount a massive attack on
  all the countries listed in the article at once.
 
 It's surprising that not a single piece of the future-former-USA went
 to Israel. Those conspiracy theorists are getting unimaginative.


Sheesh, don't you know?   Israel _controls_ all those countries.

Doug
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Israel to collapse in 25 years?

2009-01-03 Thread Dan M


 -Original Message-
 From: brin-l-boun...@mccmedia.com [mailto:brin-l-boun...@mccmedia.com] On
 Behalf Of Doug Pensinger
 Sent: Saturday, January 03, 2009 5:17 PM
 To: Killer Bs (David Brin et al) Discussion
 Subject: Re: Scouted: U.S. to collapse in next two years?
 
  Alberto
 
  
   Clearly, the only solution is for the US to mount a massive attack on
   all the countries listed in the article at once.
  
  It's surprising that not a single piece of the future-former-USA went
  to Israel. Those conspiracy theorists are getting unimaginative.
 
 
 Sheesh, don't you know?   Israel _controls_ all those countries.
 

Switching the conversation to something not as much fun, I've been wondering
if Hamas, Hezbollah, and Iran have found a heads I win, tails you lose
proposition.  

The first two attack Israel with rockets located in the middle of civilians.
If Israel doesn't respond, they up the attacks.  If it does, it kills lots
of civilians and Hamas and Hezbollah gain in popularity.  Iran is setting
Israel up so it (or the US which is doubtful) will have to bomb its nuclear
facility or face an enemy with the ability to wipe out Israel and virtually
all of its population in 15 minutes.  If Israel does bomb, it won't know if
it got all of the facilities, or if there is a buried one.

Plus, demographics favor the Palestinians in the long run.  Further, since
Arabs control oil, there is a great desire to please Arabs by many world
powers (the UN tacit approval of the genocide in the Sudan is a good example
of this), other countries will have to act against their own self interests
to worry about Israel.

So, can anyone argue me out of this pessimistic viewpoint?  I honestly hope
so, even though I'll argue hard for this pointit's one argument I'd love
to lose.

Dan M. 


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Re: Israel to collapse in 25 years?

2009-01-03 Thread Doug Pensinger
 Dan M wrote:


 So, can anyone argue me out of this pessimistic viewpoint?  I honestly hope
 so, even though I'll argue hard for this pointit's one argument I'd
 love
 to lose.


Well, note that there has never been the kind of tacit support for Israel
from moderate Arab states such as Jordan, Egypt and Saudi Arabia as there is
in this particular conflict.  The Sunnis are probably more fearful of
Shia/Iranian ascendancy than they are of a stable Jewish state.

I don't know if it will happen, but if the current incursion takes control
of the Gaza/Egypt border and allows wounded Palestinians (that Hamas is not
allowing to cross) to get to the emergency facilities that have been set up
there, they might gain a little popular support.  Of course the idea is to
weaken Hamas enough so that more moderate factions can take charge.  I'm
sure that there are more than a few members of Fatah that aren't too unhappy
with the idea.

In any case, what the nut case running Iran would like to see is world war
3, and I'm not even sure that he would mind if Iran itself was cauterized as
a result.

Doug
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Re: Israel to collapse in 25 years?

2009-01-03 Thread Ronn! Blankenship
At 05:54 PM Saturday 1/3/2009, Dan M wrote:


  -Original Message-
  From: brin-l-boun...@mccmedia.com [mailto:brin-l-boun...@mccmedia.com] On
  Behalf Of Doug Pensinger
  Sent: Saturday, January 03, 2009 5:17 PM
  To: Killer Bs (David Brin et al) Discussion
  Subject: Re: Scouted: U.S. to collapse in next two years?
 
   Alberto
  
   
Clearly, the only solution is for the US to mount a massive attack on
all the countries listed in the article at once.
   
   It's surprising that not a single piece of the future-former-USA went
   to Israel. Those conspiracy theorists are getting unimaginative.
  
 
  Sheesh, don't you know?   Israel _controls_ all those countries.
 

Switching the conversation to something not as much fun, I've been wondering
if Hamas, Hezbollah, and Iran have found a heads I win, tails you lose
proposition.

The first two attack Israel with rockets located in the middle of civilians.
If Israel doesn't respond, they up the attacks.  If it does, it kills lots
of civilians and Hamas and Hezbollah gain in popularity.  Iran is setting
Israel up so it (or the US which is doubtful) will have to bomb its nuclear
facility or face an enemy with the ability to wipe out Israel and virtually
all of its population in 15 minutes.  If Israel does bomb, it won't know if
it got all of the facilities, or if there is a buried one.

Plus, demographics favor the Palestinians in the long run.  Further, since
Arabs control oil, there is a great desire to please Arabs by many world
powers (the UN tacit approval of the genocide in the Sudan is a good example
of this), other countries will have to act against their own self interests
to worry about Israel.

So, can anyone argue me out of this pessimistic viewpoint?  I honestly hope
so, even though I'll argue hard for this pointit's one argument I'd love
to lose.

Dan M.


Apparently the strategy works, as I've heard on the news when Gaza 
citizens are interviewed they blame America as well as Israel for 
civilian deaths rather than Hamas for launching rockets from civilian 
neighborhoods.


. . . ronn!  :)



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Re: Israel to collapse in 25 years?

2009-01-03 Thread Charlie Bell

On 04/01/2009, at 10:54 AM, Dan M wrote:
 Plus, demographics favor the Palestinians in the long run.  Further,  
 since
 Arabs control oil, there is a great desire to please Arabs by many  
 world
 powers (the UN tacit approval of the genocide in the Sudan is a good  
 example
 of this),

No it's no - the UN and African Union have peace-keeping operations in  
Darfur. They're underfunded and undereffective, but that's not tacit  
approval.

Charlie.
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