Re: [ob] Trader / Investor , mana lebih profitable ? To : Mbah, JT, A9, Bumi, Rei, Jacob, Tasrul. Thanks

2010-04-05 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
hi df,
saya belum karatan boleh nimbrung ya?

itu tergantung dr skill-nya masing2. kalo yg jago trading (memanfaatkan 
leverage dan naik turun gelombang/wave) mungkin bisa mengalahkan yg 
investing.
coba saja review... berdasarkan statistik, ebih banyak trader yang loss 
atau yg profit?

ini terlampir contoh saham pilihan yg contohnya disimpan setahun.
kalo ada trader yg performancenya lebih baik, ya mungkin saja.
tapi utk investing juga kan perlu skill utk stock pick sebab kalo salah 
pilih bisa saja malah loss..
bagaimana nyari perusahaan yg bagus secara valuasi.
semoga dpt idenya...


Dumb Fish wrote:
  
 Maap bang Ian, kelupaan ... tapi aye tulis  ulang didalam email untuk 
 para senior :) so siapa aja yang udah karatan di IHSG mohon 
 tanggapanya :).
 Bang Ian , kalau untuk mengalahkan inflasi memang betul. Tapi yang 
 saya harapkan jawaban dari pertanyaan  , mana lebih profitable ? 
 sebagai trader atau investor ? kita bahas secara  umum yah.. tidak 
 subjektif :). Mohon wejangannya bang Ian.
  
 Thanks

 *From:* Irwan Napitupulu irwannapitupulu@ gmail.com
 *To:* obrolan-bandar@ yahoogroups. com
 *Sent:* Tue, April 6, 2010 12:41:25 AM
 *Subject:* Re: [ob] Trader / Investor , mana lebih profitable ? To : 
 Mbah, JT, A9, Bumi, Rei, Jacob, Tasrul. Thanks

  
 Walau saya ngga termasuk yang ditanyakan, kebetulan ada artikel saya 
 yang dimuat di majalah Investor edisi April 2010 (baru terbit hari 
 Senin ini) yang bisa di baca di halaman 116-117.
  
 Tujuan dari artikel itu saya tulis adalah untuk merubah mindset 
 masyarakat tentang saham, bahwa ternyata saham merupakan alternatif 
 investasi yang cukup handal untuk mengalahkan inflasi kalau kita time 
 frame nya adalah tahunan.
  
 IAN

 2010/4/6 Dumb Fish dumbfish2004@ yahoo.com 
 mailto:dumbfish2...@yahoo.com



 Lagi survey mohon dibantu.
 Mohon tanggapannya Mbah dan para senior yang lain. Mana lebih
 profitable kalau dalam hitungan setahun secara umum yah...
  
 Thanks

inline: 1year perform.png

Re: [ob] Milis sepi.. --- Misi CENTRE OF EXCELLENCE

2010-03-30 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
Mbah, saya daftar dulu, mau ikutan tanya2 nantinya.  :)

jsx_consultant wrote:
  

 Memang kedepan, embah mau menambah PORSI/BOBOT diskusi soal
 Investasi untuk mengimbangi Bobot trading yang sangat besar
 saat ini...




Re: [ob] 10 reasons why this is not a bull market

2010-03-25 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
kata orang2 yg percaya teori chart reading, selama bikin Higher High 
melulu itu ciri uptrend alias bullish.


Kwee Cheng wrote:
  

inline: jkse 25mar10.png

Re: [ob] ILUSI ??

2010-03-24 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
klo mau tau ilusi atau bukan, tanya yg punya reksadana saham, misalnya 
nab-nya naik apa turun sejak 17maret sampe sekarang.
coba deh diliat2.

JT wrote:

 IHSG Daily and Weekly chart…., kalo yg bilang ILUSI pasti lagi pegang 
 BAKRIE…., hayo ngaku !! Hehehe…..

 JT

 *Daily *

 jsc.png

 *Weekly *

 jsc2.png

 Web : www.JsxTrader.com

 Tweet : @JT_jsxtrader

 





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Re: [ob] REMINDER TANGGAL PENTING DI BULAN MARET UNTUK TRADING

2010-03-11 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
iya pak, kagak ada bid...

boyz® wrote:
  

 Tanggal penting bulan Maret:
 *Jangan* trading/beli saham/jual saham di BEI tgl 16 Maret 2010 !!

 you were warned !
 :p

 salam,




Re: Silahkan HACK www.obrolanbandar.com ...Re: [ob] Idxbot kena dos

2010-03-11 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
kalo sampe ada yg ladenin tantangan ini dengan meninggalkan jejak, 
namanya lamer mbah, bukan hacker.
hacker nyusup tapi nggak meninggalkan jejak. sampe embah aja  nggak tau 
udh disusupin berapa kali.
paling hackerny ngasih tau embah bolongnya di mana.

jsx_consultant wrote:
  

 Silahkan COBA HACK www.obrolanbandar.com malam ini,
 jadi kita bisa lihat BERSAMA besok pagi

 Embah pengen membuktikan apakah ada HACKER HEBAT disini ???




Re: [ob] Re: PGAS

2010-03-10 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
sinyalnya mantap pak Hans.. thank u,
saya skrg udh siap2 kabur dulu ah.
maklum mental tempe..


Hans Kwee wrote:
  

 PGAS setelah di tunggu 8 hari akhir nya tembus juga 3850

 target berikutnya test 4000 - 4075

 disclaimer o nt

 thx
 Hans


 2010/3/2 Hans Kwee hanskwe...@gmail. com mailto:hanskwe...@gmail.com

 PGAS
 02 March 2010, 08:49

 PGAS mendapatkan perhatikan khusus... karena 2 system memberikan
 signal pada saham ini

 JT Hans Breakout System dan JT Hans Momentum System sama2
 memberikan signal yang baik pada PGAS...

 Break peak 3725 dan trigger untuk jalan 3700...

 buy area 3700 - 3750...

 kita harapkan pgas dapat meluncur ke utara...
 Test 3850 bila tembus bisa test 4000 - 4075...

 CL di 3625 ke bawah...

 discalimer on

 thx

 Hans

 www.jsxtrader. com http://www.jsxtrader.com/

  

inline: pgas 10mar10 inv HnS.png

Re: [ob] Re: PGAS

2010-03-10 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
sy udah cukup segitu aja targetnya... mau segera pindah bus.

itulah bagusnya mekanisme di market, hampir di setiap level ada saja 
yang merasa harga sudah murah (ingin beli) dan ada saja yang merasa 
harga sudah cukup mahal (jadi mau jualan).
contohnya sekarang saya mau kabur, kalo gak ada yg beli gimana.. ya 
harus ada yg merasa harga sekarang ini bagus untuk dibeli dan nampung 
jualan yg mau profit taking.  :)

indikator alligator-nya tidak salah pak. saya lihat memang baru break 
fractal, tapi saya kan tadi lampirkan gambar chart yg bukan pake 
alligator, jadi beda2 dikit cara pandangnya.
buat pengguna alligator juga perlu yang supply barang dong supaya ada 
volume meyakinkan.

silakan tongkat estafet dibawa oleh alligator-mania...
good luck!


B_ND wrote:
  

 loh kok kabur pak..BUkannya baru aja break dwntrend line nya.? Volume 
 juga cukup bagus tuh. Alligator juga baru break up fractalnya.
 Bener nggak pak Hans?

 Intinya...aye minta diliatin gitu pak.hehe

 Salam,

 2010/3/10 Aria Santoso ariasantoso@ gmail.com 
 mailto:ariasant...@gmail.com

 sinyalnya mantap pak Hans.. thank u,
 saya skrg udh siap2 kabur dulu ah.
 maklum mental tempe..


 Hans Kwee wrote:
 
 
  PGAS setelah di tunggu 8 hari akhir nya tembus juga 3850
 
  target berikutnya test 4000 - 4075
 
  disclaimer o nt
 
  thx
  Hans
 
 
  2010/3/2 Hans Kwee hanskwe...@gmail. com
 mailto:hanskwe...@gmail. com mailto:hanskwe...@gmail.com
 
  PGAS
  02 March 2010, 08:49
 
  PGAS mendapatkan perhatikan khusus... karena 2 system memberikan
  signal pada saham ini
 
  JT Hans Breakout System dan JT Hans Momentum System sama2
  memberikan signal yang baik pada PGAS...
 
  Break peak 3725 dan trigger untuk jalan 3700...
 
  buy area 3700 - 3750...
 
  kita harapkan pgas dapat meluncur ke utara...
  Test 3850 bila tembus bisa test 4000 - 4075...
 
  CL di 3625 ke bawah...
 
  discalimer on
 
  thx
 
  Hans
 
  www.jsxtrader. com http://www.jsxtrade r.com/
 http://www.jsxtrader.com/



Re: [JT] RE: [ob] 15 SAHAM Menarik - Follow Up

2010-02-11 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
trading harus well planned..., kalo udh didepan monitor, all we should 
do, just execute... :)

8 jempol but prof JT!!!
jempol minjem dr temen2 dipake sekalian...


JT™ wrote:
  

 System sih banyak, mau breakout, bottom reversal, swing, trend 
 following, semua ada, satu2 lagi kita uji coba, kita mau make sure 
 systemnya bener2 handal, karena kalo kita deliver sesuatu, we must 
 stand behind what we deliver... :)

 SP realtime?? Ngga lah, it is not the way we should trade..., trading 
 harus well planned..., kalo udh didepan monitor, all we should do, 
 just execute... :)

 JT

 www.jsxtrader.com

 “ Trade By Rules, Not HOPE “






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Re: [ob] Fast and Deep Scenario

2010-01-26 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
bener sekali Mbah, kenyataan yg terjadi  kadang bisa diluar 
perkiraan.pengamatan empiris.
contohnya di salah satu chat room tanggal 26 sore saat dow fut merah dan 
eropa merah, banyak orang berpikir dow akan merah juga.
tapi ada yg memperkirakan dow akan ditutup hijau. kalo posting di milis 
tanpa penjelasan mendetail bisa diketawain  :P
and i wonder the result is exactly as the prediction.
may be just a lucky guess... or a great observation.

jsx_consultant wrote:
  

 Ilmu Elliott Wave itu adalah ilmu empiris, prinsip2 EW dibuat
 bukan berdasarkan logika deduksi ilmiah tapi berdasarkan
 pengamatan empiris...

 Contoh:
 Kalo ada Alien datang kebumi untuk melakukan study empiris
 tentang beda perempuan dan laki laki, maka mungkin dia akan
 bikin Prinsip2 membedakan laki2 dan perempuan yg bunyinya sbb:
 - Laki laki: Badannya kekar, pantatnya tepos, dadanya datar,
 punya penis+biji , suaranya ngebass, pake celana, rambutnya
 pendek.
 - Prempuan: Badannya semampai, pantatnya gede, dadanya maju
 kedepan, penisnya hilang, suaranya nyaring, pake rok,
 rambutnya panjang.

 Tapi ada kan: Laki laki yg badannya semampai, dadanya gede,
 penisnya hilang digigit pacarnya yg gemes dan rambutnya panjang.

 Jadi prinsip2 seperti ini, juga termasuk prinsip Elliott wave bisa 
 dilanggar kalo kita yakin bahwa dengan melanggar ini akan
 menghasilkan jawaban yg LEBIH BAIK.

 Jadi kalo anda YAKIN bahwa: Jika Wave 4 hanya lebih RENDAH sedikit
 dari wave 1, dan pengaruhnya TIDAK significant terhadap VALIDITAS
 bentuk Wave 3 yg KOKOH dan SEHAT, maka anda sebaiknya melanggar
 prinsip EW daripada anda MEMBOHONGI diri sendiri

 Jadi Prinsip EW tidak seperti rumus Phytagoras, hukum Archimedes
 atau Newtonian law yg tidak bisa dilanggar...




Re: Bls: Bls: [ob] BNBR QUIZ: Berapa target BNBR ?

2010-01-12 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
mbah, maaf saya kok malah jadi bingung baca tulisan di bawah ini.
rebound bumi 62% itu kok saya gak nemu.

harga tertinggi 8750 terendah 385 dipake fibo 50% ada di posisi 4567.
kalo pake oongan pak oen, yang katanya akan ke setengah harga tertinggi 
artinya ke 4375.

sorry saya bolot alias lemot..


jsx_consultant wrote:
  

 Elliott Wave skillnya udah mulai mahir nih ye... hehehe...

 Gimana kalo pake cara sederhana pak Adrian Mualana yaitu
 Fibo Retracement, jadi engga ada masalah engga sehati:

 http://www.obrolanbandar.com/piwbumibnbr.png 
 http://www.obrolanbandar.com/piwbumibnbr.png

 - BUMI saat ini sudah berhasil rebound 62%
 - BNBR saat ini baru rebound sekitar 25%
 - BNBR 38% di 105
 - BNBR 50% di 111
 - BNBR 62% di 119

 pak Oentoeng dulu bilang Group Bakrie bisa rebound sekitar 50%,
 BUMI sudah rebound 62%

 Jadi kalo BNBR rebound 50% = 111
 Tapi kalo rebound 62% ikut BUMI =119

 Kalo BUMI naik lagi tentunya BNBR juga naek lagi...




Re: [ob] Re: Minggu ya amat manis... Berawal dari BCIP, lanjut ke INTP... Dan berakhir di ASII...

2009-12-17 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
om Gman, santai aja.
kalo mau hasilnya seolah2 sama dengan analisa pak rojak ini simple aja kok.
abis market close diliat yg naik banyak.
lalu tinggal posting di milis.
mantaaaph kan  :)
cuan banyak d (keliatannya).


Muhamad Rojak wrote:
  

 Dear Mr Gman, gw ngak tersinggung kok, malah gw kaciiiaann d ama
 orang2 yg modelnya kayak elo yg selalu NEGATIVE THINKING. Gimana elo
 bisa dapet profit? Makanya, saran gw, besok elo ke Gramedia gih, and
 cari buku yg judulnya THE SECRET. Sebenernya gw mau kok kasih saran
 buat pick saham tertentu, tp masalahnya, entar bandarnya bisa ngamuk,
 dong. Lagian, entar enak di elo dong! Gw udah capek2 analisa, eh...
 Elo cuma makan GAJI BUTA doang. Ogah ah... he.. he..

 Pada tanggal 17/12/09, G-MAN germantantra@ gmail.com 
 mailto:germantantra%40gmail.com menulis:
  Gue sih bukannya ikek jak, level kita agak beda soalnya, Cuma hobi 
 aja sama.
  saham
 
  Cuma lu entah kayanya bullshit atawa lu super jago jak.
 
  Gua sendiri piling prof JT, Mr.DE, Mr.Tasrul ngga sehebat lu
  stockpickingnya.
 
  Kalo lu betul seperti yang lu sebut, boleh juga tu lu sikat 
 pendaringannya
  mereka, yg selama ini gua rasa udah cukup hebat.
 
  Biki WS2 geetuuu, kan jag
 
  Semua org lagi mabok, Cuma lu sendiri yg bilang santa hehehe.
 
 
 
  Boleh dong kita liat bukti tradinglu jak?
 
  Kalo ngomong sih, anak tk juga bisa .
 
  Kasih bukti dong boy, soalnya lu komporin org karena bukti2 yg 
 remeh, spt
  dow ijo, minyak naik,
 
  Lu punya kesimpulan pun, sori ya Jak, rada2 'mudah'
 
  None whatsoever teknikal.
 
 
 
  Darimane lu jak taunya? Bandar duduk diseblahlu?
 
  Kasian jak, orang2 konsen dan ko di B7, seakan2 lu superhero main di BC.
 
  Sori ya Jak, kalo tersinggung.
 
  Gua ga perduli ahahahaha
 
 
 
  Maaf ya kawan2 lain, sekedar omongan nora sebelum berangkat liburan
 
  Take care you all
 
  See you all next year
 
  GBU
 
  (by the way, I have 0 porto on B7)
 
 
 
  G-Man




Re: [ob] Re: IHSG GOES TO 2,700-2,800 (Bravo Mr. Rojak)

2009-12-04 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
maklum Mbah, area pertempuran.
area konflik. lg testing2 adu kekuatan.
blum sampe angsa hitam.


jsx_consultant wrote:

 Orang berfikir angsa itu putih dan kaget ternyata ada angsa
 hitam

 Data pengangguran bagus, index naik karena tanda resesi berakhir
 tambah jelas, tapi ternyata index saat ini udah turun lagi
 keasal dalam sekejab, Ini bukan TAL tapi Black Swan
 mengkale... hehehe...

 --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com 
 mailto:obrolan-bandar%40yahoogroups.com, David Lau dj_davi...@... 
 wrote:
 
  TAL = BLACK SWAN
 
  Bener ga Mbah...?
 
 
 
  Regards,...
  DvDâ„¢
 
  In Te Domine, Speravi Non Confundar In Aeternum
  

inline: dji 03dec09 monthly.png

Re: [ob] Re: IHSG GOES TO 2,700-2,800 (Bravo Mr. Rojak)

2009-12-04 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
pak vivid,
contoh sederhana yg mnrt Embah pake regresi linear adalah spt gambar 
terlampir (saham di indonesia pergerakan sampe 04des'09)
semoga pergerakannya gak brubah setelah sy posting di sini.

vividtrader wrote:
  
 ada yg pernah trading dengan menggunakan statistik? klo ada please 
 share...  thx

 Pada 5 Desember 2009 00:13, jsx_consultant jsx-consultant@ 
 centrin.net. id mailto:jsx-consult...@centrin.net.id menulis:



 Kalo engga bisa dijelaskan secara logika ilmiah bukan berarti
 engga ada logikanya,
 mungkin saja otak kita kalah pintar ama penemu iching jaman dulu...
  
 Jadi lakukan saja dengan study empris seperti yg dilakukan Mr
 Elliott saat
 menemukan Elliott wave principle... .
  
 Metoda buaya juga merupakan hasil study empiris dengan cara computer
 simulation..
  
 Metoda statistik linear regression dan multiple regression bisa
 digunakan
 untuk menganalisa variable sosial seperti kawin/cerai,
 keberuntungan dll.
  
 Saat ini, metoda statistik untuk ilmu sosial sudah ada softwarenya
 yaitu
 SPSS

inline: contoh statistik 04dec09.png

Re: [ob] Re: Tanya ami

2009-12-04 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
utk dji lagnya lebih kecil...

David Lau wrote:
  

 Tapi rada delay. -/+ 10 menit ya?

 Regards
 DvD™

 In Te Domine, Speravi Non Confundar In Aeternum

 Powered by Merpati Post®

 *From: * Wijaya Liman wijaya.liman@ yahoo.com
 *Date: *Fri, 4 Dec 2009 09:55:21 -0800 (PST)
 *To: *obrolan-bandar@ yahoogroups. com
 *Subject: *[ob] Re: Tanya ami

  
 gratis... pa Jsxsniper. pake bullquote. salam kenal

 *From:* JsxSniper jsxsni...@yahoo. co.id
 *To:* Wijaya Liman wijaya.liman@ yahoo.com
 *Sent:* Sat, December 5, 2009 12:49:49 AM
 *Subject:* Tanya ami

 Bro pake software amibroker bisa dapet intraday ada cara gratisannya 
 ga ya? Ato yg bro wijaya pake adl data berbayar..
 -One shoot-





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Re: [ob] TO : Senior OB Prof JT, Mbah, P.Tasrul ....

2009-10-29 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
hello DF,
i'm glad to know that u now realize to whom we should refer to.

Dumb Fish wrote:
  
 Justru sekarang CL , risknya makin gede. Udah ada tanda reversal baru 
 mau CL dah telat sih. Coba nunggu besok. Atau ikut Prof JT, ntar ada 
 Technical rebound di harga 2700 baru CL.
  
 Thanks

 *From:* Dwi Murtono murtono...@yahoo. com
 *To:* obrolan-bandar@ yahoogroups. com
 *Sent:* Thu, October 29, 2009 2:58:27 PM
 *Subject:* [ob] TO : Senior OB Prof JT, Mbah, P.Tasrul 

  

 Dear Pak JT..
 Secara TA apakah besok IHSG akan REVERSAL...Wah nyangkut berat di B7 : 
 BUMI, ENRG  BTEL...Modal udah tergerus rata2 30% bosAne bingung 
 ambil keputusan HOLD or CL...
 Mohon masukannya.. ..Thanks

 Salam,
 Dwi M

 *From:* JT jsxtra...@yahoo. com
 *To:* obrolan-bandar@ yahoogroups. com
 *Sent:* Thu, October 29, 2009 2:08:53 PM
 *Subject:* RE: [ob] Feeling judul berita besok: Stock rebound as US 
 economy out of recesion

  

 Ini juga belum firm rebound kok pak…, masih mantul doang.., istilah 
 TA-nya Dead Cat Bounce…, Tapi early signal sih sdh ada, Cuma ngga bisa 
 kita langsung bilang rebound.., Om Boyz kasih syarat tiga candle UP 
 baru firm (begitu kan Bro..?).., Cuma kalo buat copet-copet, nunggu 3 
 candle Up ya kite makan ape ?? Hehehe….

  

 Anyway, general recomendasinya. ., sabar aja dulu. Ojo Ke SuSu…  J

  

 JT




Re: [ob] BUMI JEBOL

2009-10-27 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
komando terakhir yg jelas 2575 abis, out.
selebihnya blum ada instruksi yg jelas.

boyz® wrote:
  

 Kemarin sih komando nya jendral Arto : Short ADRO  BUY BUMI...
 belum ada komando Short BUMI ...

 Salam,



 On Tue, Oct 27, 2009 at 10:50 AM, Thomas Frederick thomaszone_2000@ 
 yahoo.com mailto:thomaszone_2...@yahoo.com wrote:

 Jendral jadi ngeshort ke 1700?




Re: [ob] Pura2 full margin

2009-10-26 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
tdk bisa pura2 kid, they hv the actual data...

kidod25 wrote:
  

 Pada pura2 full margin, terus message yg pada takut akan bear. Nanti 
 akan di kasih murah ama bandar tuh. Kalau turun dikit2 gini, males juga

 _



Re: Bls: [ob] Re: Etrading Running Rate LELET....

2009-10-22 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
nanti sesi 2 yg bid di bawah2 itu dikasih juga gak jendral?  ;)

artomoro9 wrote:
  


 gak dapet mbah..
 cuma di kasih 17K lot tadi.

 regards,
 A9


 --- Pada *Kam, 22/10/09, jsx_consultant 
 /jsx-consult...@centrin.net.id/* menulis:


 Dari: jsx_consultant jsx-consult...@centrin.net.id
 Judul: [ob] Re: Etrading Running Rate LELET
 Kepada: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
 Tanggal: Kamis, 22 Oktober, 2009, 11:57 AM

 Ini TAL BANGET 

 BUMI 2650 BUY


 --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
 /mc/compose?to=obrolan-ban...@yahoogroups.com, Saham Oke
 wasi...@... wrote:
 
  Etrading running rate macet2 yang lain sama
  Internet gak maslah
 
 




 
 http://sg.rd.yahoo.com/id/messenger/neptune/*http://id.messenger.yahoo.com/



Re: Bls: [ob] B U M I... Good Job Jendral.. BUMI Candlenya IJO...

2009-10-21 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso




ikut embah aja, jangan masuk mulut buaya.
sabar, tunggu bull warrior join.

itu buaya2 milis aja pada kabur. masa kita makan muntahan orang.  :)
copet2 udh pada tunggu di bawah sampe pegel gak dikasih.

kurang nyali ni bozz bumi.
angkat keatas takut gak cukup yg makan atas,  tekan ke bawah takut
ditampung copet. 



elvira raven wrote:

  
  

  

walaupun BUMI tidak hijau dari harga kemaren, tapi BUMI
hijau candlenya hari ini..
Open 2775.. close 2825.. 
Jendral lain kali kasih tau donk.. yg hijau candlenya atau
harga hari ini :D




--- On Wed, 10/21/09, It's Elaine! elainesu...@gmail.com
wrote:

From: It's Elaine! elainesu...@gmail.com
Subject: Re: Bls: [ob] B U M I
To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
Date: Wednesday, October 21, 2009, 3:02 AM
  
    
  
  Oh dear don't be so cynical to him, he did a good job.
We  general Artomoro9.
  
  
  

Date: Wed, 21 Oct 2009 15:55:49 +0800 (SGT)

To: obrolan-bandar@
yahoogroups. com

Subject: Re: Bls: [ob] B U M I





  

  
  

  









  
  
  
  
  



  

  
  






Re: Bls: [ob] B U M I

2009-10-21 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
pasukan copet pak JT antri 2650-2700, anak buah embah maunya main diatas 
buaya.
bull warrior standby utk tabrak di 2950.
selebihnya yg makan diluar itu adalah pasukan bingung.  :)

jendral A9 aja blum komando serbu.


artomoro9 wrote:
  


 1-2 lot  adalah bentuk perjuangan. no problem.


 regards,
 A9


 --- Pada *Rab, 21/10/09, Andre Andre /andre...@yahoo.com/* menulis:


 Dari: Andre Andre andre...@yahoo.com
 Judul: Re: Bls: [ob] B U M I
 Kepada: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
 Tanggal: Rabu, 21 Oktober, 2009, 3:04 PM



 Om saya bantu lg skrg pake 2 lot

 
 *From:* artomoro9 artomo...@yahoo.co..id
 *To:* obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
 *Sent:* Wed, October 21, 2009 3:02:01 PM
 *Subject:* RE: Bls: [ob] B U M I

  


 tinggal selangkah lagi ijonya.

 regards,
 A9


 --- Pada *Rab, 21/10/09, Peter Alimin /milis...@live. com/* menulis:


 Dari: Peter Alimin milis...@live. com
 Judul: RE: Bls: [ob] B U M I
 Kepada: OB obrolan-bandar@ yahoogroups. com
 Tanggal: Rabu, 21 Oktober, 2009, 3:00 PM



 sip dah..
 yg penting fractal bukan?
 jangan sampe apes besoknya.

 
 
 To: obrolan-bandar@ yahoogroups. com
 From: artomo...@yahoo. co.id http://co.id
 Date: Wed, 21 Oct 2009 15:55:49 +0800
 Subject: Re: Bls: [ob] B U M I

  

 ijoo dah.


 regards,
 A9


 --- Pada *Rab, 21/10/09, bad_boy /aa.j...@gmail. com/* menulis:


 Dari: bad_boy aa.j...@gmail. com
 Judul: Re: Bls: [ob] B U M I
 Kepada: obrolan-bandar@ yahoogroups. com
 Tanggal: Rabu, 21 Oktober, 2009, 11:46 AM

 JENDRALpasukan berani mati siyaaappp...
 tunggu perintah komandan
 tapi peluru dah abis, pake petasan cabe rawit ajah yah

 --- In obrolan-bandar@ yahoogroups. com
 http:///mc/compose?to=obrolan-ban...@yahoogroups.com,
 artomoro9 artomo...@.. . wrote:
 
 
  hehehe.
  kalo ane bilang DEAL ijo, ntar ente kaga dapat barang.
 
  diemin aja dulu. perhatikan terus.
 
 
  regards,
 
  A9
 
 
 
  --- Pada Rab, 21/10/09, Andre Andre andre...@... menulis:
 
  Dari: Andre Andre andre...@...
  Judul: Re: Bls: [ob] B U M I
  Kepada: obrolan-bandar@ yahoogroups. com
 http:///mc/compose?to=obrolan-ban...@yahoogroups.com
  Tanggal: Rabu, 21 Oktober, 2009, 11:27 AM
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
  
 
 
 
 
 
 
  Om arto kasih bumi ijo hari ini deal ga?
 
  From: artomoro9 artomo...@.. .
  To: ob obrolan-bandar@ yahoogroups. com
 http:///mc/compose?to=obrolan-ban...@yahoogroups.com
  Sent: Wed, October 21, 2009 11:22:07 AM
  Subject: Re: Bls: [ob] B U M I
 
 
  
 
 
 
 
 
  Â 
 
  

  maaf.
 
  maksudnya gak dikasih di bawah garis itu.
 
  regards,
 
  A9
 
 
 
  --- Pada Rab, 21/10/09, ruzli...@gmail. com
 ruzli...@gmail. com menulis:
 
  Dari: ruzli...@gmail. com ruzli...@gmail. com
  Judul: Re: Bls: [ob] B U M I
  Kepada: artomoro9 artomo...@yahoo. co.id
  Tanggal: Rabu, 21 Oktober, 2009, 11:20 AM
 
  Maksudnya mau dibawa ke garis merah atau mau ikut beli
 di garis merah ?
  DEAL nya ga jelas
  -Original Message-
  From: artomoro9 artomo...@yahoo. co.id
  Date: Wed, 21 Oct 2009 12:16:46
  To: obrolan-bandar@ yahoogroups. com
  Subject: Bls: [ob] B U M
   I
 
 
  DEAL...!!
 
 
  regards,
 
  A9
 
 
 
  --- Pada Rab, 21/10/09, JT jsxtra...@yahoo. com menulis:
 
  Dari: JT jsxtra...@yahoo. com
  Judul: [ob] B U M I
  Kepada: obrolan-bandar@ yahoogroups. com,
 jsxtra...@yahoogrou ps.com 

Re: [ob] Re: Profitunity Test Case: BUMI for tomorrow

2009-10-21 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
maaf ya mbah, bukan website itu yang asal2an. emang ilmu basicnya yg bgitu.
contoh pola candlestick tsb terjadi di asii 2 hari yang lalu.
hati2 ada yg mirip dengan itu, namanya piercing line. efek 
psikologisnya sangat berbeda.
sampe kmaren ada expert yg salah juga membaca asii sebagai piercing 
line padahal bearish thrusting.


jsx_consultant wrote:
  

 Pak Boyz,

 Ini www.candlesticker.com seperti asal asalan, masa formasi
 ini aja dibilang Continuation bearish
 - http://www.candlesticker.com/Cs51.asp 
 http://www.candlesticker.com/Cs51.asp

 Padahal ini yg disebut siBil dengan Divergence pattern, yang
 menunjukan signal positif...

 --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com 
 mailto:obrolan-bandar%40yahoogroups.com, boyz® m457...@... wrote:
 
  Bro Hans, bisa dishare dasar pola candle reversal-nya.
  as i see it is *on neck bearish*, a bearish continuation pattern.
 
  http://www.candlesticker.com/Cs53.asp 
 http://www.candlesticker.com/Cs53.asp
  http://www.litwick.com/indicators/2231.html 
 http://www.litwick.com/indicators/2231.html
 
  Salam,
 
 
  2009/10/21 Hans h...@...
 
  
  
   Ia mbah ini pola candle reversal. Perlu konfirmasi. Ini pola 
 divergance
   daily yg disebut si bill...
   Mana buaya udah gak ganas... Moha2 gak bobo tuh buaya bumi...
   Berdoa mulai... Biar buaya ganas lagi
  
   Hehe
   Thx
   Hans
  
 


 



Re: [ob] Riwayat bumi...

2009-10-21 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
pas di support ya bang... kalo nembus bawah kabur?

Aria Bela Nusa wrote:
  

 Riwayatmu bumi :

  



Re: [ob] Re: Profitunity Test Case: BUMI for tomorrow

2009-10-21 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
Pak Hans, konfirmasi sebagai reversalnya di level mana ya?
Maaf, saya ilmu basicnya dr literatur jadi belum paham kalo pola 
candlestick hari ini disebut reversal pattern.
Kalo rumor sih saya juga denger.
Semoga berkenan kasih bocoran dr Pak Hans secara teknikal sebelum opening.

Salam,
Aria

Hans wrote:
  

 Kalau polanya sih peluang reversal. Sy lupa namanya, tapi open bawah 
 gap down lalu close atas dekat high...

 Perlu konfirmasi.. .

 Thx
 Hans

 Sent from my BlackBerry® smartphone

 *From: * jsx_consultant jsx-consultant@ centrin.net. id
 *Date: *Wed, 21 Oct 2009 15:58:54 -
 *To: *obrolan-bandar@ yahoogroups. com
 *Subject: *[ob] Re: Profitunity Test Case: BUMI for tomorrow

  

 Pak Boyz,

 Ini www.candlesticker. com seperti asal asalan, masa formasi
 ini aja dibilang Continuation bearish
 - http://www.candlest icker.com/ Cs51.asp 
 http://www.candlesticker.com/Cs51.asp

 Padahal ini yg disebut siBil dengan Divergence pattern, yang
 menunjukan signal positif...

 --- In obrolan-bandar@ yahoogroups. com 
 mailto:obrolan-bandar%40yahoogroups.com, boyz® m457...@...  wrote:
 
  Bro Hans, bisa dishare dasar pola candle reversal-nya.
  as i see it is *on neck bearish*, a bearish continuation pattern.
 
  http://www.candlest icker.com/ Cs53.asp 
 http://www.candlesticker.com/Cs53.asp
  http://www.litwick. com/indicators/ 2231.html 
 http://www.litwick.com/indicators/2231.html
 
  Salam,
 
 
  2009/10/21 Hans h...@...
 
  
  
   Ia mbah ini pola candle reversal. Perlu konfirmasi. Ini pola 
 divergance
   daily yg disebut si bill...
   Mana buaya udah gak ganas... Moha2 gak bobo tuh buaya bumi...
   Berdoa mulai... Biar buaya ganas lagi
  
   Hehe
   Thx
   Hans
  
 

 
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Re: [ob] Re: Profitunity Test Case: BUMI for tomorrow

2009-10-21 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
Jendral A9,
laporan... besok saya setengah pleton jadi bear waria aja di 2950.
semoga gak pada ngikutin saya.

artomoro9 wrote:
  

 setuj.
 dah ya bahas TA nya. ?
 kesimpulannya gimane..? dah panjang lebar tuh ..

 regards,
 A9


 --- Pada *Kam, 22/10/09, boyz® /m457...@gmail.com/* menulis:


 Dari: boyz® m457...@gmail.com
 Judul: Re: [ob] Re: Profitunity Test Case: BUMI for tomorrow
 Kepada: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
 Tanggal: Kamis, 22 Oktober, 2009, 12:15 AM



 Setuju banget bro...
 Potensi rebound selalu ada. Apalagi di BUMI, anything can happen. :)

 That's why, di posting sebelumnya ane bilang sah-sah aja untuk
 risk taker yg mau coba test adrenaline or nyopet di level
 sekarang.  Risk udah terukur di level 2700-2725 dan potensi Reward
 lumayan besar.
 But, jgn terlalu terpana dengan potensi reward sehingga lengah and
 ngga prepare escape plan. Ada 'rongga' yg lumayan besar dibawah
 2650 yg harus diperhatikan.

 And dikarenakan ga semua orang punya jantung dual-core atau
 jantung cadangan, hehehe...
 i mean, ga nyaman dengan resiko tinggi, ya baiknya nonton dulu
 dipinggiran sampai price udah diatas Alligator.

 Trading should be fun, right? :)

 Salam,


 2009/10/22 JT™ jsxtra...@yahoo.com
 /mc/compose?to=jsxtra...@yahoo.com



 Ikut nimbrung Boss, membaca candle stick alone memang can be
 dangerous, harus dikombinasikan dgn tools lainnya seperti sar,
 indikator, dan juga pengamatan thd trend sebelumnya. Sehingga
 bisa didapat pesan yg lebih solid.

 Dalam case bumi hari ini, ane melihat memang ada early
 reversal signal, namun masih butuh konfirmasi yg bisa didapat
 dari pergerakan bbrp hari kedepan. Early Signal tsb terlihat
 dari analisa volume, dimana volume mulai expanded sementara
 range menyempit.., dan ini terjadi di level support yg ane
 yakini cukup kuat.., sementara indikator dgn periode
 aggressive sdh menunjukan kondisi jenuh jual.

 Sayangnya trend jangka pendek tidak dalam kondisi ideal, tapi
 seperti ente aware, indikator trend biasanya memang terlambat.

 So, base on tech fact diatas, ane liat potensi rebound memang
 cukup besar.

 JT

 Powered by TLKM BullBerry®

 “ Good Trade Comes To Those Who Wait “

 
 
 *From: * boyz® m457...@gmail.com
 /mc/compose?to=m457...@gmail.com
 *Date: *Wed, 21 Oct 2009 23:36:01 +0700
 *To: *obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
 /mc/compose?to=obrolan-ban...@yahoogroups.com
 *Subject: *Re: [ob] Re: Profitunity Test Case: BUMI for tomorrow

 Si Bill ngga ngaco sih,
 Lah dia kan ngga pakai candlestick chart, dia pakai bar chart.
 hehehe...
 Jangan terlalu cepat judge dulu ah, gitu2 PhD lho, kekekek.

 Lagipula, bearish thrusting is a low reliability continuation
 pattern.
 Bisa dikatakan fifty-fifty lah peluangnya.

 tapi kan, si Bill menggabungkan Divergence Bar (bearish
 thrusting) tsb dgn indikator lain.
 Bisa jadi dgn begitu, peluang reversalnya yg ditangkap oleh
 Bill, bukan yg continuation-nya.

 Salam,


 2009/10/21 jsx_consultant jsx-consult...@centrin.net.id
 /mc/compose?to=jsx-consult...@centrin.net.id



 Bearish Thrusting disebut Divergence Bar oleh si Bill dan
 dijadikan salah satu ANDALAN PENTING
 untuk signal rebound. Mengingat pengalaman si Bill yg udah
 40 thn trading, udah ada bayangan
 sepertinya siapa yg ngaco
  
 Kalo si Bill yg salah berarti salah satu TOPIC BESAR dari
 Profitunity engga usah diajarin... hehehe...
 
 
 *From:* obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
 /mc/compose?to=obrolan-ban...@yahoogroups.com
 [mailto:obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
 /mc/compose?to=obrolan-ban...@yahoogroups.com] *On
 Behalf Of *boyz®
 *Sent:* Wednesday, October 21, 2009 11:21 PM

 *To:* obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
 /mc/compose?to=obrolan-ban...@yahoogroups.com
 *Subject:* Re: [ob] Re: Profitunity Test Case: BUMI for
 tomorrow

  

 Bearish Thrusting is a low reliability pattern, mBah.
 Saya ga tau banyak ttg reputasi candlesticker.com
 http://candlesticker.com.

 Di buku Encyclopedia on Candlestick Charts karangan
 Thomas Bulkowski, ada pembahasan tentang _On Neck_ pattern
 di chapter 70. (dia membuat statistik masing2 pola dari
 ribuan sample candlestick).
 Di situs-nya juga ada 

Re: [ob] Re: Profitunity Test Case: BUMI for tomorrow

2009-10-21 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
masa jendral ronda, taruna bobo.  :)
malam2 banyak rumor nih jendral, yang bakal dikeluarin pagi2.
sy mendingan nguping para pembesar yg lg asyik obrolan santai sbelum bobo.

namanya juga OB.

artomoro9 wrote:
  

 udah bobo aja.
 dah malem.

 regards,
 A9


 
 http://us.lrd.yahoo.com/_ylc=X3oDMTFndmQxc2JlBHRtX2RtZWNoA1RleHQgTGluawR0bV9sbmsDVTExMDM0NjkEdG1fbmV0A1lhaG9vIQ--/SIG=11kadq57p/**http%3A//downloads.yahoo.com/id/internetexplorer/
   
 mailto:obrolan-bandar-traditio...@yahoogroups.com?subject=change%20delivery%20format:%20Traditional
 ._,_._,___



Re: [ob] B U M I

2009-10-20 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso

*santai dulu ah...



SEPERTI BAYI *



Dua orang kakek-kakek yang sudah pensiun sedang duduk di sebuah bangku   di bawah pohon sambil ngobrol.  

Salah seorang kakek berkata kepada   kakek yang satunya, Bejo, sekarang aku berusia 73 tahun dan sekarang   aku sering sakit-sakitan.   Umurmu juga sama denganku, apakah kamu   mengalami seperti yang aku rasakan?   

Wahhh ... kalau aku malah merasa seperti bayi yang baru lahir, jawab   Kakek Bejo.   

Benarkah!?   Seperti bayi yang baru   lahir!? tanya kakek satunya tidak   percaya.   

Iya ..., botak, ompong ..., bahkan saat ini aku sedang ngompol!   






ruzli...@gmail.com wrote:
 


Ready To Fire ..

*From: * fifi young fifiyoung03@ gmail.com
*Date: *Wed, 21 Oct 2009 11:04:31 +0700
*To: *obrolan-bandar@ yahoogroups. com
*Subject: *Re: [ob] B U M I

 


* be ready for nyopet...!
SERBU...!
*

2009/10/21 JT jsxtra...@yahoo. com mailto:jsxtra...@yahoo.com

 


Garis merah merupakan area nyopet….,  let see om BD berani masuk
daerah itu ngga…,  silahkan Om…  J

 


JT

 







Re: [ob] Ko lesu, Ayo Serbu

2009-10-16 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
jakarta barat gempa... kuat ni...

Syat wrote:
  

 Weekend bakal menarik nih siapa saja yg dianggil diinterview ... Bisa 
 jadi momentum / trigger ihsg buat tgl 20 ntar ...

 *Note: sorry buat yg tilpun gw ngk diangkat, maklum lagi nunggu tilpun 
 juga dari Cikeas nih ... ;)






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Re: [ob] Re: asma

2009-10-16 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
embah bukan dokter tapi yg ditulis benar semua.
i know from my personal experience mbah.

jsx_consultant wrote:
  

 Asma biasanya berhubungan dengan alergi, sebaiknya asma disembuhkan
 sebelum orang tsb dewasa, kalo sudah dewasa sudah lebih susah lagi.

 Alergi ini penyakit turunan dan untuk mengetahuinya darahnya
 bisa dicheck dilaboratorium apakah memang dia memang punya
 kecendrungan alergi.

 Penderita harus dicari terhadap apa ia alergi, zat yg menimbulkan
 alergi ada banyak macamnya. Tidak mudah mencari ia alergi terhadap
 apa, bisa karena debu , kutu kasur, serbuk bunga dll.

 Ada anak yg alergi terhadap debu rumah dan alerginya kambuh
 kalo kipas dinyalakan karena debu jadi berterbangan. Ada anak
 yg alergi terhadap kapuk kasur tanpa disadari, sesudah kasurnya
 diganti spring bed, asmanya langsung berkurang.

 Tapi mencari penyebab alergi ini tidak mudah. Jika tidak
 ketemu penyebabnya, diklinik alergi dan asma bisa
 dilakukan pengecekan. Diklinik biasanya kulit si anak ditusuk
 jarum dengan macam macan zat penyebak alergi, jika kulitnya
 bentol berarti dia alergi terhadap zat tsb.

 Kalo sudah ketahuan penyebab alerginya, si dokter akan memberikan
 pengobatan dan perawatan secara continue .

 Embah bukan dokter, jadi sebaiknya dibawa kedokter atau klinik
 ahli alergi atau asma...

 --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com 
 mailto:obrolan-bandar%40yahoogroups.com, Andi Lesmana 
 riil_inves...@... wrote:
 
  Dear All,
 
  Article buah sirsak menarik untuk menambah pengetahuan kita.
 
  Mumpung week end, saya punya keluarga yg terkena penyakit asmaN 
 sangat menyedihkan saat tiba2 muncul asma nya.
 
  Adakah member ob yg punya pengalaman penyembuhan penyakit asma?
 
  Terima Kasih.
 
 
  Andi Lesmana
 




Re: [ob] Re: NO INVESTING.

2009-10-15 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
there'll be loss of the forward cost only perhaps.  :)
but we've got lucky by ignorance in that sub-prime mortgage issue.
i love indonesia.

It's Elaine! wrote:
  

 /Oh I fogot, Idnonesia has huge US debt too ya... good good./

 On Fri, Oct 16, 2009 at 9:22 AM, charles_3983 charles_3...@yahoo.com 
 mailto:charles_3...@yahoo.com wrote:

 EL,

 Indo kan boleh dibilang exposurenya ga segede china kalo USD falls..
 USD reserve indo kan kecil hehehe
 lagian bukannya banyak negara yang udah mulai diversifikasi USD nya...

 Terus kalau suatu saat perdagangan global pakai SDR apa problem
 ini akan tetap memukul negara lain atau US saja?

 Please commentnya... Thanks b4


 --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
 mailto:obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, It's Elaine!
 elainesu...@... wrote:
 
  ?
 
  *usd falls - loses its base value - all USD foreign reserves
 lose their
  value - deflation* - *China dumps - USD falls further -
 deflation
  spiral.*
 
 
  On Fri, Oct 16, 2009 at 8:55 AM, cyhss sa...@... wrote:
 
  
   uhm just wondering, if you believe on deflation, and why
 thinking usd will
   fall? It seems to contradict to each other.
  
  
  
   --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
 mailto:obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, It's Elaine! elainesui83@
   wrote:
   
*Short term trading is preferred. The deflation spiral is
 starting to get
   a
bit out of control. If you hold USD right now, you gotta be
 out of your
mind.*



Re: [ob] Tembus dunk...

2009-10-14 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
kalo gitu sisain dikitlah buat besok biar bisa kiss10,050.  :P

boyz® wrote:
  

 Biasalah... level spikologis. Trader sono juga mirip-2 disini psiko-nya.

 Salam,


 2009/10/15 jkunci jku...@yahoo. com mailto:jku...@yahoo.com

 DOW 1.1, trusss meluncur ke bawah.hiihiii

 --- In obrolan-bandar@ yahoogroups. com
 mailto:obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, JT jsxtra...@.. . wrote:
 
  DOW juga tembus Darvas tuh, boss…., sayang vol kurang ok..
 
 
 
  JT
 
 
 
  dow.png
 
 
 
  From: obrolan-bandar@ yahoogroups. com
 mailto:obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com [mailto:obrolan-bandar@
 yahoogroups. com mailto:obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com] On
 Behalf Of boyz®
  Sent: 14 Oktober 2009 22:57
  To: obrolan-bandar@ yahoogroups. com
 mailto:obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
  Subject: [ob] Tembus ga yah?
 
 
 
 
 
  Indikator2 yang sekarang berada di posisi kritis.
 
  DJIA, mau menembus level psikologis 10.000.
  Oil, mau menembus Upper Darvas Box atau mau membuat new high,
 sekaligus menembus long-term bearish resisten (MA200 Weekly) yg
 skrg berada di 75.41.
  DJUSCL, hampir sama kondisinya dengan Oil, mau menembus Upper
 Darvas Box atau mau membuat new high, sekaligus menembus long-term
 bearish resisten (MA200 Weekly) yg skrg berada di 311.89.
 
  Dalam kiasan, seperti roket yang mau menembus sebuah lapisan
 dari beberapa lapisan-lapisan atmosfir. Yang mana pada setiap
 lapisan atmosfir tsb, terdapat resisten-resisten (daya tolak)
 dengan kadar-nya masing-2.
 
  Salam,
 





Re: [ob] IHSG: The Last Subwave 5 ?

2009-10-13 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso

mantap mbah!

??,???
The Commander stands for the virtues of wisdom, sincerely, benevolence, courage 
and strictness. - Sun Tzu: The Art of War.
English translation by LIONEL GILES, M.A. (1910)

itu terjemahannya hanya copas, jangan protes ke saya ya... :P


jsx_consultant wrote:
 


Umumnya Jendral tidak memberikan alasan penyerbuan pada
prajurit karena itu Sangat Rahasia...

Dalam perang, prajurit yg maju pertama menyerbu daratan dari laut
umumnya mati, apakah seorang Jendral harus menjelaskan kenapa
seorang prajurit harus mati ?.

Yg paling diperlukan dari seorang Jendral adalah KETEGASAN dan
WIBAWA. Seorang Jendral bisa menembak bawahan yg menolak perintah
perang tapi dibursa kan TIDAK bisa. Jadi faktor WIBAWA dan CHARISMA
seorang jendral dibursa menjadi lebih penting...

Didalam perang ada semboyan: Merdeka atau Mati , dibursa jadi
apa ?.

10:16 IHSG +26... hehehe...

Mudah mudahan pak Arto bisa gantiin embah untuk seterusnya,
embah udah jarang jadi jendral karena memang udah engga kuat,
ini engga boong...

--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com 
mailto:obrolan-bandar%40yahoogroups.com, artomoro9 artomo...@... 
wrote:



 yang mumet kalo embah tanya analisanya.

 ane kaga pinter kasi analisa mbah.
 mau kursus dulu.




 regards,

 A9

 BUMI ontheway...!!!





Re: BUMI - RE: [ob] IHSG: The Last Subwave 5 ?

2009-10-13 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
siap jendral!
saya bantu El di BNBR besok.
bagian yg susah2 taruna ajah yg ngurus.

jadi bikin indeks ijo 3 hari berturut2 bagian jendral yah...  :)
itungan mulai besok.
okay?


artomoro9 wrote:

 no, thanks.

  i don't NEED your help BUMI.

 note : tolongin BNBR aja tuh


 regards,
 A9
 BUMI ontheway to 4000..!

 --- Pada *Sel, 13/10/09, It's Elaine! /elainesu...@gmail.com/* menulis:


 Dari: It's Elaine! elainesu...@gmail.com
 Judul: Re: BUMI - RE: [ob] IHSG: The Last Subwave 5 ?
 Kepada: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
 Tanggal: Selasa, 13 Oktober, 2009, 10:56 PM



 /If you have difficulties jacking up BUMI, I'll help you tomolo. .
 Just a friendly offer. I have a plan on all B7./ /Are you ok with
 this?/

 2009/10/13 artomoro9 artomo...@yahoo.co.id
 /mc/compose?to=artomo...@yahoo.co.id





 
 
 
 http://us.lrd.yahoo.com/_ylc=X3oDMTFndmQxc2JlBHRtX2RtZWNoA1RleHQgTGluawR0bV9sbmsDVTExMDM0NjkEdG1fbmV0A1lhaG9vIQ--/SIG=11kadq57p/**http%3A//downloads.yahoo.com/id/internetexplorer/





 http://us.lrd.yahoo.com/_ylc=X3oDMTFndmQxc2JlBHRtX2RtZWNoA1RleHQgTGluawR0bV9sbmsDVTExMDM0NjkEdG1fbmV0A1lhaG9vIQ--/SIG=11kadq57p/**http%3A//downloads.yahoo.com/id/internetexplorer/



Re: 5 menit 3000 ! Re: [ob] who cares, bandarmology + Momentun BUMI masih naik

2009-10-11 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
jendral a9, jangan mengkeret dong.
kalo soal ngarep sih boleh2 aja.
saya juga ngarep dalam minggu ini dji 10,050. ihsg 2.600.
soal analisa, memang udh kebanyakan yg jago analisa sejak masuk bullish 
period.  :)

pasukan elite skuadron udara, siapkan ACES II.

artomoro9 wrote:
  


 mohon maaf mbah.

 kan ngarep boleh dong mbah.

 oke deh di ralat, karena ga ada analisanya.


 sorry semua. anggap aja posting tadi gak ada.

 maaf maaf.


 regards,
 A9
 note:
 nanti saya kasi analisanya atau komentar saya kalo udah 4000 aja ya mbah.

 --- Pada *Ming, 11/10/09, Embah /jsx-consult...@centrin.net.id/* 
 menulis:


 Dari: Embah jsx-consult...@centrin.net.id
 Judul: RE: 5 menit 3000 ! Re: [ob] who cares, bandarmology +
 Momentun BUMI masih naik
 Kepada: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
 Tanggal: Minggu, 11 Oktober, 2009, 7:44 PM



 Apakah anda punya analisa yg menunjukan BUMI akan ke 4000 dalam
 seminngu ?.
  
 Kalo ada, please di share Kalo engga ada mohon DIRALAT
  

 
 *From:* obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
 [mailto:obrolan-ban...@yahoogroups.com] *On Behalf Of *artomoro9
 *Sent:* Sunday, October 11, 2009 7:27 PM
 *To:* obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
 *Subject:* 5 menit 3000 ! Re: [ob] who cares, bandarmology +
 Momentun BUMI masih naik

  


 dikit amat 3000 mbah...?


 kalo 4000 dalam 1 minggu gimana mbah..?
 cakep ga...?



 regards,
 A9
 disclaimeronBIJI.

 --- Pada *Ming, 11/10/09, jsx_consultant /jsx-consultant@
 centrin.net. id/* menulis:


 Dari: jsx_consultant jsx-consultant@ centrin.net. id
 Judul: Re: [ob] who cares, bandarmology + Momentun BUMI masih naik
 Kepada: obrolan-bandar@ yahoogroups. com
 Tanggal: Minggu, 11 Oktober, 2009, 6:44 PM

 Ini milis demokratis, jadi selama engga nyinggung orangnya,
 masih OKE...

 Embah lagi care ama TA loh, embah lagi coba coba metoda
 Profitunity
 dari Bill William:

 Menurut methoda ini, momentun BUMI untuk naik masih ada,
 coba liat grafiknya:

 - http://www.obrolanb andar.com/ piwbumi.png
 http://www.obrolanbandar.com/piwbumi.png

 Bill William's Profitunity:
 - BUMI close antara garis Hijau dan biru, artinya BUMI sudah
   rebound kedaerah KESEIMBANGAN dimana harga
   bisa naik atau turun.
 - Tapi AO Momentun dan AC Accelator meningkat, jadi
   BUMI masih mungkin naik dengan target Red Circle
   di 3000 (Penggaris Goceng)
  
 Jadi bisa saja BUMI naik ke 3000 dalam 5 menit hari
 Senin... hehehe...




 
 
 http://id.answers.yahoo.com/question/index;_ylt=AjO3kFB4MH9t8_Wg.IsJRzLtRgx.;_ylv=3?qid=20080916002637AALjeQI




 
 



Re: [ob] Robert Prechter?

2009-10-10 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
booster ad to EW course?  ;)
r u in cahoots with someone?  - just kidding. huehuehe...

It's Elaine! wrote:
  

 /Anyone ever heard a name of Robert Prechter?/

 



Re: [ob] Robert Prechter?

2009-10-10 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
hi el,
good to be in contact with u again.  :)

the wave counting is not an easy part to do because the variation of 
wave types is quite complex.
it's not as simple as most ppl think (about the basic wave).

besides, do we wave available data for below time frame?
* Grand supercycle: multi-century
* Supercycle: multi-decade (about 40-70 years)
* Cycle: one year to several years (or even several decades under an 
Elliott Extension)
* Primary: a few months to a couple of years
* Intermediate: weeks to months
* Minor: weeks
* Minute: days
* Minuette: hours
* Subminuette: minutes

my mentor informed me it's more accurate to be applied in forex, 
commodity or index compares to stock.

btw, eem reached it's technical target.
many stocks run more than 200% within the last 6 month.
and ur 1 liner bait is still powerful to hook many entertaining 
responses   ;)

happy weekend!


It's Elaine! wrote:
  

 /Ah yes, Elliot Wave. I read somewhere on bloomberg news, he said 
 about deflation or something, obviously based on his wave counting 
 (though I failed to see it). I know nothing about this wave mumbo 
 jumbo though..

 How accurate is this method ? anyone have a profitable experience with 
 wave counting?/

 On Sat, Oct 10, 2009 at 11:00 PM, Aria Santoso ariasant...@gmail.com 
 mailto:ariasant...@gmail.com wrote:

 booster ad to EW course?  ;)
 r u in cahoots with someone?  - just kidding. huehuehe...

 It's Elaine! wrote:
 
 
  /Anyone ever heard a name of Robert Prechter?/
 
 



 




Re: [ob] Robert Prechter?

2009-10-10 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
hi joe,
i do agree to the 1st sentence. somehow, it produces lazy mediocre. yes, 
indeed!

to err is human.
the difference between experts and laymen is the courage to do mistakes 
more and being known by public in the same time.

Joe Martin wrote:
  

 Gak ada ceterus paribus dalam hidup. Jadi pakar aja bisa salah apalagi 
 noob kaya gue

 *kaboer

 *From: * Andre Andre andre...@yahoo. com
 *Date: *Sat, 10 Oct 2009 09:19:51 -0700 (PDT)
 *To: *obrolan-bandar@ yahoogroups. com
 *Subject: *Re: [ob] Robert Prechter?

  
 i subscribed to his newsletters before...he did short sp at 1500 or 
 something and cover it at 700 something... but currently his 
 predictions always wrong and when he done it wrong he always said that 
 it might go higher before crash bla bla blah perhaps he was good 
 when he was younger but now not seems that good hehehe

 *From:* It's Elaine! elainesui83@ gmail.com
 *To:* obrolan-bandar@ yahoogroups. com
 *Sent:* Sat, October 10, 2009 11:13:42 PM
 *Subject:* Re: [ob] Robert Prechter?

  

 /Ah yes, Elliot Wave. I read somewhere on bloomberg news, he said 
 about deflation or something, obviously based on his wave counting 
 (though I failed to see it). I know nothing about this wave mumbo 
 jumbo though..

 How accurate is this method ? anyone have a profitable experience with 
 wave counting?/

 On Sat, Oct 10, 2009 at 11:00 PM, Aria Santoso ariasantoso@ gmail.com 
 mailto:ariasant...@gmail.com wrote:

 booster ad to EW course?  ;)
 r u in cahoots with someone?  - just kidding. huehuehe...

 It's Elaine! wrote:
 
 
  /Anyone ever heard a name of Robert Prechter?/





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Re: banteng ketaton ! Re: [ob] BUMI - Intraday to A9 n Boyz

2009-10-09 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
Thanks Jendral A9!
Target done.
Pasukan siap dibubarkan...
tinggal pasukan elite yg masih di lokasi pertempuran.

artomoro9 wrote:
  



 DEAL...!


 regards,
 A9
 (banteng ketaton ! yang masih berbiji)

 --- Pada *Jum, 9/10/09, boyz® /m457...@gmail.com/* menulis:


 Dari: boyz® m457...@gmail.com
 Judul: Re: banteng ketaton ! Re: [ob] BUMI - Intraday to A9 n Boyz
 Kepada: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
 Tanggal: Jumat, 9 Oktober, 2009, 10:19 AM



 Wekz  jendral bikin ane tersipu malu nih,
 masa kopral dipanggil kumendan... :P

 mmm... perintah kumendan Aria S katanya 2875 kudu di kiri, jend.. :)

 Salam,


 2009/10/9 artomoro9 artomo...@yahoo.co.id
 /mc/compose?to=artomo...@yahoo.co.id




 siyap kumendan boyz...

 ni hari BUMI kudu rebound.

 ijo gak ijo pokoke BUMI rebound.


 regards,
 A9
 (banteng ketaton yg masih punya biji)


 Ada baiknya jendral memimpin mundur pasukan... jgn
 kabur sendirian..
 banyak fans anda khususnya newbie2 yg masih
 mengharapkan aba2 dari anda.. seperti ketika anda
 memimpin saat bullish...
 Mundur untuk menyerang kembali ?
 why not...
 boyz tolong kasih strategi apa yg ada di buku War
 Manual of Tsun Zu... kl perangnya di ibaratkan seperti
 situasi saham bumi skarang...
 thx





 
 





 
 http://sg.rd.yahoo.com/id/messenger/trueswitch/mailtagline/*http://id.messenger.yahoo.com/invite/
 ,_._,___



Re: [ob] BUMI - Intraday

2009-10-08 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
pak JT  pak Boyz: biji nangka
Jend A9: kalo gak balikin ke 3050, biji kismis aja.  :)
09okt'09: kalo 2875 gak ke kiri, saya ijin kabur dulu.

fifi young wrote:
  

 Huahahaha..

 Jendral bijinye mengkeret...
 'ga berani mimpin perang lagee...
 'mang biji apaan sich...?
 hihi...

 2009/10/8 [ M S ] mimpi.sa...@gmail.com mailto:mimpi.sa...@gmail.com

  



 Jangan patah semagat Jend A9

 Lanjutkan, pertahankan dan tingkatan perjuangan ente.

 Masih punya biji khan?


 
 *From: * artomoro9 artomo...@yahoo.co.id
 mailto:artomo...@yahoo.co.id
 *Date: *Fri, 9 Oct 2009 00:30:23 +0800 (SGT)
 *To: *obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
 mailto:obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
 *Subject: *Re: [ob] BUMI - Intraday

  


 biji l.. mimpin perang.

 ane udah di gebukin orang sekampong nihh

 gile aje lu..






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Re: [ob] Harga Coal Naik

2009-10-08 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
benar sekali pak Rei.
nanti malam ada tontonan menarik.
kalo gak kuat bertahan diatas 308, akan banyak yg prepare to short  :)

Rei wrote:
  

 Bukan harga coal pak, tapi harga index DJ US coal yg terdiri dari 
 beberapa coal companies.

 Cmiiw

 2009/10/9 paramanandana@ yahoo.com mailto:paramanand...@yahoo.com

  


 Semalam harga coal naik 3,7 %, mencapai US 302


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Re: banteng ketaton ! Re: [ob] BUMI - Intraday to A9 n Boyz

2009-10-08 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
pak boyz, ane masih taruna blum lulus. :)
kalo bukan serbuan pasukan jendral a9, mana bisa ijo tu.
biji kismis jendral udh direndem air anget, udah megar dikit.

ampun jendral :P just kidding supaya gak stress.

boyz® wrote:
  

 Wekz  jendral bikin ane tersipu malu nih,
 masa kopral dipanggil kumendan... :P

 mmm... perintah kumendan Aria S katanya 2875 kudu di kiri, jend.. :)

 Salam,



Re: [ob] PANIC BUYING atau SELL ON STRENGHT ?

2009-10-07 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
permisi tanya...
bukankah double bottom itu kejadiannya saat downtrend?
jadi ini double bottom apa double top ya?

kokol...@yahoo.co.id wrote:
  

 Lebih cakep kalo bumi turun ke 2650..bikin double bottom trus mental 
 ke atas...skrg pun sbnrnya double bottom di 2800 dan close di atas 
 EMA50 nya...so..balik ke 3000 kah hari ini?

 Sent from my BlackBerry® powered by Bakrie Group






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ADRO (To Peter) Re: [ob] bumi?

2009-09-25 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
for adro, my version is about 2000.
pls re-check and wait for anyone who'd like to share the details.

Peter Alimin wrote:
 Pak bagus, daripada bahas bumi trs yg h1nya aja msh nggak jelas, boleh minta 
 tolong nggak ulasan fundamental dan nilai wajar adro. Thx ya pak.

 Sent from my BlackBerry®
 powered by Sinyal Kuat INDOSAT
   





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Re: [ob] bumi?

2009-09-25 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
19.2K?

Elaine Sui wrote:
  

 /Ehh, only one liner review for Bukit Asam? you know bukit asam is way 
 *below *their fair value.. hee don't play hide and seek with me.
 *
 Elaine*/*
 *

 On Fri, Sep 25, 2009 at 11:37 PM, Bagus Putra Perdana 
 disclosure@gmail.com mailto:disclosure@gmail.com wrote:



 Having Declared They Got a 19 % IRR is not that bad El, Ultimately
 when 12 % of it is already secured and Were Guaranteed by the
 rights to hold Account Receivables too.
  
 Why BUMI? Simple El.., The Price Level They Went Down Last Year,
 who didnt scoop them?!. i was avg down mine back then. that made
 my holding a bit bigger than it should be (damn i admit it, i
 didnt get out when it was 8000 and i do have some initial position
 at 2800 ish before the lehman incident, so it would be quite clear
 i re-shape my position at some much bargain level)
  
 Why do i keep on flirt BUMI despite its Smart Management?
  
 another simple one Missy, we all know that well too..
  
 KPC! Indonesia Natives Gotta Have Some Chunks on that
 crownasset... Dang KPC is a really good one. a really good one...
  
 besides i dont just pick BUMI, I Have the chunk Of all Indonesia's
 Coal Proxy, with diffrent concentrated proportion of course...
  
  
  
 Its Not Easy To Double Production Level When Ure Producing At 50
 Mn/Tonne Level.
  
 So Far Only BUMI and ADARO sitting at those level.
  
 Adaro Is An Exact Opposing Stories of BUMI, Come Up With Lousy
 Balance on IPO, They Gradually Improved the Lousy-Mezzanine-Build
 Balance sheet to a more and more healthy one. Proceeds Of IPO
 (Which Held at Fairly Good Price) was mainly used for Buying The
 Stake Of the Minority shares which were before punching their
 Earning After taxes (though they too bought it at exact expensive
 price as high as the IPO price). nonetheless no destruction on
 shareholders value. the remains Internal Cash was demonstrated to
 be used all for Coal-related decision. that provide some good
 marks for the management.
  
 negative thing is its likely already reflected on the price. Full
 Value Level has been reached. but the upside is there though, for
 longer-period player, given the assuring action of the
 shareholders. they dont do reckless non-coal acquisition. that
 made the difference, the whole difference...
  
 PTBA has Best Asset, They were A sure winner.
  
 Infinite Period Of Contract with Infinite Amount Resources. Not
 Yet Materialized. But Time Is Our Friend With This One
  
 Problem is their execution is naturally lame and slowed. well what
 can we say?, they were SOE. Time and commitment as a long-term
 holder is always on the mental note when we were entering this one.
  
 ITMG is very Good on Free CashFlow Wise. Its Balance were mostly
 On Hard Assets, problem is limited amount of current Reserves.
 10-11 Year Span at best now.

 INDY? Not A Pure Play on Coal, I have to see more on KIDECO. but
 its quite prident with cash management. so its a neutral one. i
 didnt enter these one though. under review and Yet to be tuned
 later on.
  
  
 Thanks For Ur Toughts Missy... U always bring a good point of view...
 On Fri, Sep 25, 2009 at 11:05 PM, Elaine Sui
 elainesu...@gmail.com mailto:elainesu...@gmail.com wrote:

  

 /I'm worried about CIC. They're just rich big fat sitting
 duck. You can create a good looking proposal, walk to their
 office, tell them you have a good investment opportunity,
 bring them to dinner at expensive restaurant. Soon they will
 pour you with munnnyyy.

 There's always be the magic words 'debt restruct' and that
 often happens on Bakrie Group. I didn't say CIC is not smart,
 I'm just saying that Bumi mgt is waay smarter (in a sarcastic
 way), and CIC is too big to watch over this 'naughty boy'..

 I wonder, why did you pick BUMI?

 *Elaine*
 /

 On Fri, Sep 25, 2009 at 10:24 PM, kang_ocoy_maen_saham
 disclosure@gmail.com mailto:disclosure@gmail.com
 wrote:

 To The Extreme, Yes Missy, I am deeply worried, hence my
 deep concern (C'mon I Hold Some Pile Of BUMI too in My
 Portfolio, i dont like to cash-in at this level and unload
 it now but if the shareholder value is furtherly ruined by
 bad cash management, sure miss, i'll jump the boat and
 bundle the gain. safety first, that is what i was ordered
 to ensure...)

 Current CashFlow Figure Is Already Bleak Enough Even
 without extra 250Mn P/A Cash Coupon Payment. U know what i
 was talkin... All that worth for equity holders is
 

Re: [ob] BUMI EPS $ 5.97

2009-09-10 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
itu laba bersih per saham utk periode brp lama pak?
saya ingin tahu annual-nya kira2 berapa.
terima kasih.

nicholas alvin wrote:
  
 BUMI memiliki kandungan batubara sebanyak lebih dari 10 milyar MT.
 Berandai andai:
 kalau harga jual $ 70/ mt, dijual semuanya, pendapatannya $ 700 milyar
 Dengan OPM 37.63 % maka operating profitnya $ 263.41 milyar.
 Atau laba operasi persahamnya $ 13.57 atau Rp 135.700,-
 Dengan NPM 16.54 %, makan net profitnya $ 115.78 milyar
 Laba bersih persaham = $ 5.97 atau Rp 59.700,-
 Kalau saja BG punya 60 % saham BUMI maka kekayaan BG = $ 69 milyar
 lebih kaya dari Warren Buffett atau Bill Gates.
 Apalagi kalau harga batubara naik ke $ 200/Mt, kita2 juga pada kecipratan
 rejeki.


 _



Re: [ob] Shanghai -4%

2009-08-31 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
santai aja..., kalo dji nanti malem ijo tebel besok kita panen

Ferry wrote:

 Hayoo loe..






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Re: [ob] amazing bagus putra perdana

2009-08-31 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
ini hadiah buat jendral arto... supaya semangat:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SBmAPYkPeYU

artomoro9 wrote:
  


 pesan kang bagus buat saya via FB :

 kata kang bagus :..bos art hati2 kalo mo amblesin BUMI kalo bisa jgn 
 terlalu ambles en kelamaan...


 ..Bottomline : dont dump too deep, kalo H1 rilis takutnya ngelawan 
 Headwind...





 regards,
 A9






Re: [ob] Kalo jd orangya BD or BOZZ or Bozz

2009-08-29 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
biar bisa jadi provokator yang dianggap ilmiah  :P


**bLi-iNdRa** wrote:
  

 Perlu dikitlah ngerti TA, biar bisa ikut bikin gambar grafiknya jadi 
 bagus:p hehehe

 Best Regards
 **bLi iNdRa**

 ==cuan ga cuan yg penting happy==

 *From*: AB
 *Date*: Sun, 30 Aug 2009 03:19:28 +0800 (SGT)
 *To*: obrolan-bandar@ yahoogroups. comobrolan-bandar@ yahoogroups. com
 *Subject*: [ob] Kalo jd orangya BD or BOZZ or Bozz
  

 Ngapain ngerti TA. Yang penting bisa hajar kanan injek kiri trus 
 nyampe ke tujuan.
 Beres urusan...

 AB




Re: [ob] CINA jebol tuh - SHI chart update

2009-08-24 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
i expect 2500 within this week.

t_bumi wrote:
  

 --- In obrolan-bandar@ yahoogroups. com 
 mailto:obrolan-bandar%40yahoogroups.com, Dean Earwicker 
 dean.earwicker@ ... wrote:
 
  Ya iyalah, masa nampung diatas.. ;)
 
  Sip : tbumi

 Tanggul air jebol berarti air akan mengalir kemana mana. Bursa

 Cina jebol beberapa waktu lalu, bisa saja dana dari sana akan

 mengalir ke bursa Jakarta yg lebih menarik bagi investor.




Re: [ob] Centong BUMI

2009-08-22 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
Bang Ian bisa ajah... :)
what an imagination.
yg menunggangi kuda lumping biasanya makan beling.. :P

Irwan Napitupulu wrote:
  
 Gambarnya Pak Aria menarik juga, setelah saya perhatikan dengan 
 teliti, bentuknya seperti gambar kuda lumping.
  
 Coba Pak Aria lihat lagi gambarnya, sekarang degan mindset kuda 
 lumping. Mirip khan? Mantap punya tuh :)
  
 IAN

 2009/8/22 Aria Santoso ariasant...@gmail.com 
 mailto:ariasant...@gmail.com

 Irwan Napitupulu wrote:
 
  Ini saya buatkan gambar centong di saham BUMI yang sebenarnya sudah
  dibuatkan beberapa waktu yang lalu. Di versi yang terakhir ini
 bandar
  BUMI tampaknya sudah melengkapi keseluruhan gambar centong dengan
  membuat sangkutan gagangnya sehingga gambar jadi sempurna.
 
  http://info-saham.com/files/BUMI_0.png
 http://info-saham.com/files/BUMI_0.png
  http://info-saham.com/files/BUMI_0.png
 http://info-saham.com/files/BUMI_0.png
 
  IAN

 _



Re: [ob] Kinerja KDSI

2009-08-20 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
kerugian di Q4 2008 itu knapa ya pak?

pangerantop1 wrote:
  

 Sejumlah Investor akan mulai memburu saham PT Kedawung Setia 
 Industrial Tbk (KDSI) hingga menembus level Rp 350. Penguatan harga 
 saham perseroan didukung kinerja fundamental perseroan pada juni 2009 
 dengan EPS mencapai rp 31, adapun Book Value-nya mencapai 595.

 



Re: [ob] Salam Kenal

2009-08-20 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
Hi El,
i met him face to face.
i suppose, he knows how to differentiate ass kissers from real experts.
OB is entertaining...  :)

Cheers!


Elaine Sui wrote:
  

 /Hello IAN nice to have you here.

 Perhaps you knew already that OB is 95% a$$ kissers, stock junkies, 
 fake players and opportunists that will take advantage of anyone 
 especially from a nice guy like you. (yes, I'm talking about all 
 replies above )

 5% are true experts.

 Again, welcome to OB.
 *
 Elaine*/

 _



Re: [ob] Kinerja KDSI

2009-08-20 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
terima kasih untuk penjelasan anda.
mohon maaf mungkin pertanyaan saya yang salah.

yg saya maksudkan kerugian di Q4 2008 itu adalah pencatatan laba/rugi 
hanya di periode 3 bulan terakhir (okt-nov-des) di tahun 2008.

saya melihat periode pencatatan per 3 bulan.
2008.
Q1 (jan-mar) dicatatkan profit, EPS = 6.747
Q2 (apr-jun) dicatatkan profit, EPS = 7.261
Q3 (apr-jun) dicatatkan profit, EPS = 14.767
Q4 (apr-jun) dicatatkan loss, EPS = -14.661
Total setahun di 2008 EPS = 14.114

saya menangkap penjelasan anda yg mengatakan bahwa Q4 2008 tidak 
mencatat kerugian maksudnya adalah laporan keuangan yang diserahkan 
sebagai laporan keuangan tahunan 2008 merupakan kesimpulan dari semua 
keuntungan selama periode 12 bulan dari januari sampai desember 2008 
yang masih ada sisa keuntungan walaupun ada pencatatan rugi di periode 3 
bulan terakhir 2008.

untuk 2009 saya belum dapat data Q2.
Q1 (jan-mar) dicatatkan profit, EPS = 3.123 (tidak sampai setengah dari 
Q1 2008).
jika anda katakan Q2 sudah 31. Artinya pencatatan periode 3 bulan di Q2 
itu (april-juni) adalah 31 (lebih dari 4 kali lipat Q2 2008) atau (31 - 
3.123) = 27.877 (hampir 4x Q2 2008).
Ini hasil yang cukup mengejutkan. Apakah ada peristiwa khusus seperti 
keuntungan selisih kurs atau dapat project yg sangat besar?

melihat data sejarah
EPS 2008 = 14.114
EPS 2007 = 35.803
EPS 2006 = 24.423
EPS 2005 = (24.578)
EPS 2004 = (82.492)
posisi 5 tahun terakhir masih -32.73 (rugi).

apakah pola seperti tahun 2008 (beban pajak di akhir tahun) akan 
berulang di tahun 2009?

jika kita asumsikan performa KDSI akan sama dengan 2008 maka harga 
wajarnya (dalam kondisi risk free return sebesar 6.5%, inflasi 0.66) 
sekarang ini hanya di kisaran 196.
investor yang berhitung harus punya alasan yg kuat untuk menghargai 
premium lebih dari itu.

mungkin anda mendapatkan informasi yg mendahului publikasi di market. 
silakan jika bersedia berbagi.

buat kawan2 stock trader/scalper tidak perlu melakukan perhitungan 
semacam hal ini.
silakan join kapan saja asal paham cara mengelola resikonya.
toh yg bisa baca grafik pergerakan harga sudah banyak sekali di sini...

good luck  be extra careful!

pangerantop1 wrote:
  

 Tambahan bahwa q4 2008 KDSI ada Beban pajak atas revaluasi senilai rp 
 8.105.425.440 (rp 20.01/lembar saham)sehingga mengurangi laba 
 bersih-nya dari rp 34.12 menjadi rp 14.11
 Jika tidak ada beban pajak atas revaluasi maka EPS q4 2008 seharusnya 
 adalah rp 34.12

 Penjualan KDSI untuk q4 2008 lebih dari 1 Trilyun dengan laba usaha 
 mencapai 36 milyar sehingga sama sekali tidak tepat dikatakan bahwa 
 KDSI q4 2008 mengalami kerugian.

 Demikian penjelasan-nya.

 
  Pak Aria,
 
  Q4 2008 KDSI tidak mencatat kerugian, bahkan mencatat laba bersih rp 
 14.11/lembar saham.
 
  Saat ini Q2 2009 EPS-nya bahkan sudah mencapai rp 31 dan PER  3.
 
  Aria Santoso ariasantoso@  wrote:
  
   kerugian di Q4 2008 itu knapa ya pak?
  
   pangerantop1 wrote:
   
   
Sejumlah Investor akan mulai memburu saham PT Kedawung Setia
Industrial Tbk (KDSI) hingga menembus level Rp 350. Penguatan harga
saham perseroan didukung kinerja fundamental perseroan pada juni 
 2009
dengan EPS mencapai rp 31, adapun Book Value-nya mencapai 595.
   
   




Re: [ob] Kinerja KDSI

2009-08-20 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
mohon maaf ada typo:

Aria Santoso wrote:
 terima kasih untuk penjelasan anda.
 mohon maaf mungkin pertanyaan saya yang salah.

 yg saya maksudkan kerugian di Q4 2008 itu adalah pencatatan laba/rugi 
 hanya di periode 3 bulan terakhir (okt-nov-des) di tahun 2008.

 saya melihat periode pencatatan per 3 bulan.
 2008.
 Q1 (jan-mar) dicatatkan profit, EPS = 6.747
 Q2 (apr-jun) dicatatkan profit, EPS = 7.261
 Q3 (jul-sept) dicatatkan profit, EPS = 14.767
 Q4 (okt-des) dicatatkan loss, EPS = -14.661
 Total setahun di 2008 EPS = 14.114

 saya menangkap penjelasan anda yg mengatakan bahwa Q4 2008 tidak 
 mencatat kerugian maksudnya adalah laporan keuangan yang diserahkan 
 sebagai laporan keuangan tahunan 2008 merupakan kesimpulan dari semua 
 keuntungan selama periode 12 bulan dari januari sampai desember 2008 
 yang masih ada sisa keuntungan walaupun ada pencatatan rugi di periode 
 3 bulan terakhir 2008.

 untuk 2009 saya belum dapat data Q2.
 Q1 (jan-mar) dicatatkan profit, EPS = 3.123 (tidak sampai setengah 
 dari Q1 2008).
 jika anda katakan Q2 sudah 31. Artinya pencatatan periode 3 bulan di 
 Q2 itu (april-juni) adalah 31 (lebih dari 4 kali lipat Q2 2008) atau 
 (31 - 3.123) = 27.877 (hampir 4x Q2 2008).
 Ini hasil yang cukup mengejutkan. Apakah ada peristiwa khusus seperti 
 keuntungan selisih kurs atau dapat project yg sangat besar?

 melihat data sejarah
 EPS 2008 = 14.114
 EPS 2007 = 35.803
 EPS 2006 = 24.423
 EPS 2005 = (24.578)
 EPS 2004 = (82.492)
 posisi 5 tahun terakhir masih -32.73 (rugi).

 apakah pola seperti tahun 2008 (beban pajak di akhir tahun) akan 
 berulang di tahun 2009?

 jika kita asumsikan performa KDSI akan sama dengan 2008 maka harga 
 wajarnya (dalam kondisi risk free return sebesar 6.5%, inflasi 0.66) 
 sekarang ini hanya di kisaran 196.
 investor yang berhitung harus punya alasan yg kuat untuk menghargai 
 premium lebih dari itu.

 mungkin anda mendapatkan informasi yg mendahului publikasi di market. 
 silakan jika bersedia berbagi.

 buat kawan2 stock trader/scalper tidak perlu melakukan perhitungan 
 semacam hal ini.
 silakan join kapan saja asal paham cara mengelola resikonya.
 toh yg bisa baca grafik pergerakan harga sudah banyak sekali di sini...

 good luck  be extra careful!

 pangerantop1 wrote:
  

 Tambahan bahwa q4 2008 KDSI ada Beban pajak atas revaluasi senilai rp 
 8.105.425.440 (rp 20.01/lembar saham)sehingga mengurangi laba 
 bersih-nya dari rp 34.12 menjadi rp 14.11
 Jika tidak ada beban pajak atas revaluasi maka EPS q4 2008 seharusnya 
 adalah rp 34.12

 Penjualan KDSI untuk q4 2008 lebih dari 1 Trilyun dengan laba usaha 
 mencapai 36 milyar sehingga sama sekali tidak tepat dikatakan bahwa 
 KDSI q4 2008 mengalami kerugian.

 Demikian penjelasan-nya.

 
  Pak Aria,
 
  Q4 2008 KDSI tidak mencatat kerugian, bahkan mencatat laba bersih 
 rp 14.11/lembar saham.
 
  Saat ini Q2 2009 EPS-nya bahkan sudah mencapai rp 31 dan PER  3.
 
  Aria Santoso ariasantoso@  wrote:
  
   kerugian di Q4 2008 itu knapa ya pak?
  
   pangerantop1 wrote:
   
   
Sejumlah Investor akan mulai memburu saham PT Kedawung Setia
Industrial Tbk (KDSI) hingga menembus level Rp 350. Penguatan 
 harga
saham perseroan didukung kinerja fundamental perseroan pada 
 juni 2009
dengan EPS mencapai rp 31, adapun Book Value-nya mencapai 595.


Re: [ob] SHANGHAI INCIDENT (the sequel)

2009-08-19 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
i expect it to be  rebound at 2785.

stock.bree...@yahoo.com wrote:
  

 Get ready for a deeper dive!!!^^..




Re: [ob] SHANGHAI INCIDENT (the sequel)

2009-08-19 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/cbuilder?ticker1=SHCOMP%3AIND

mh wrote:
 Dear all, 

 Mau nanya kodenya indeks bursa shanghai di bloomberg apa yah?


 Thank u

 Mh
 Powered by Telkomsel BlackBerry®

 -Original Message-
 From: Aria Santoso ariasant...@gmail.com

 Date: Wed, 19 Aug 2009 13:08:51 
 To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
 Subject: Re: [ob] SHANGHAI INCIDENT (the sequel)


 i expect it to be  rebound at 2785.

 stock.bree...@yahoo.com wrote:
   
  

 Get ready for a deeper dive!!!^^..




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Re: [ob] SHANGHAI INCIDENT (the sequel)

2009-08-19 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
nanti malam i pM u my friend.  :P
cold money BUY!!!

no margin trading.


Learning Trader wrote:
  

 pas banget 1:27 rebon ke 2793 low sementara 2785.

 dapet angka 2785 dari mana yah?

 On Wed, Aug 19, 2009 at 1:08 PM, Aria Santoso ariasant...@gmail.com 
 mailto:ariasant...@gmail.com wrote:

  

 i expect it to be rebound at 2785.



 stock.bree...@yahoo.com mailto:stock.breeder%40yahoo.com wrote:
 
 
  Get ready for a deeper dive!!!^^..
 




Re: [ob] El: LOL

2009-08-10 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
i love general of bull warrior!  :)

artomoro9 wrote:
  

 I love indonesia.




Re: [ob] inco

2009-08-04 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
MRE hit technical target today @ $1.35.


Jullia wrote:
  

 Compare since March 2009:
 Chart INCO, ANTM and MRE (ausie,biggest nickel company)
 What u see for INCO and ANTM in advance?

 http://www.asx. com.au/asx/ research/ companyInfo. do?by=asxCode 
 asxCode=mre# chart 
 http://www.asx.com.au/asx/research/companyInfo.do?by=asxCodeasxCode=mre#chart

 --- In obrolan-bandar@ yahoogroups. com 
 mailto:obrolan-bandar%40yahoogroups.com, Hans Kwee hanskwee01@ ... 
 wrote:
 
  Cucian di sikat sejak 14 juli 2009 3650
  jemuran di taruh di 4500 tadi
 
  supir ugal2 an, jemuran di samber supir...
  yang udah masuk... peluang taruh jemuran anda 5600
  tetapi gak mungkin 1 - 2 hari kering.
 
  taruh pengaman bila hujan lebat di 4500
 
  ane di jemput gak ya... males uber2 supir yang ugal2an
 
  thx
  Hans
  Disclaimer On

inline: mreVsAntmInco 03aug09.png

Re: [ob] Tlkm

2009-08-04 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
mekindascrewel wrote:
 Bahasin tlkm dong , ngk ada yg nanggepin sih ?

 ?9?0 

 
   

inline: tlkm 04aug09.png

Re: [ob] Property sector H1/09

2009-08-02 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
Embah Yth,
saya kurang paham, ambil contoh BSDE saja, apakah itu EPS-nya sdh di 
annualized?
kalo belum, artinya sdh over value skrg ya...

salam,
ace


jsx_consultant wrote:
  

 Property sector H1/09

 http://www.investda ta.net/QZ92PROA. TXT 
 http://www.investdata.net/QZ92PROA.TXT

 - YOY Net profit growth: BSDE +21%, LPKR +2% lainnya minus
 - YOY Sales growth: CTRA +21 , LPKR +11%, lainnya minus
 - Q2 vs Q1: Net profit group group Ciputra semua negatif, makanya
 Jumat kemarin sahamnya group Ciputra pada minus dan BD bakrie
 engga berani ngangkat ELTY karena sentimen lagi jelek.




Re: [ob] BUMI - PROJECT CANCEL

2009-07-30 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
saya nunggu Pak Oentoeng aja... menurut beliau setengah harga tertinggi, 
belum batal.

Jack Cowok wrote:
  
 PROJECT BUMI kita ke 3000 di batalkan.

 Take Profit dulu.

 Males..karena Mama Lauren kasih target 4000

 JC Downgrade BUMI ke 1600


 Salam
 JACK





Re: [ob] Re: Correction Scenarios... SOFT landing or HARD?

2009-07-28 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
Nah selama ini kan jendral yang ajarin saya TA.
pura2 gak bisa ya Jendral Arto...


TA = Tubruk Aja  :)

artomoro9 wrote:
  

 jT ama billy pada gile ye, njerumusin gue, ga mau ajarin TA. sama tuh 
 ama si hepi, die juga ga mau ajarin. Ampun dah. Mau Belajar TA kaga 
 ada yg mau ngajarin, apalg iching. macd? tau nya mcdonald doang ama 
 fibo, itu juga diajarin ama elaine.

 billy_budiman92 wrote:
   
  ahahahhahahaha, bener tuh prof, kalau kayak gini kan lebih ok, 
 pokoknya INDF 2,800, BUMI 3,000, IHSG 2,800 gak pake TA, MODAL duit, 
 koar2, asal tubruk aja, hehehheheheee
  GBU
  --- In obrolan-bandar@ yahoogroups. com , JT jsxtra...@. .. wrote:
 
  Jangan.., Jendral Art Jangan diajarin TA.., kalo diajarin TA ntar 
 jadi malah
  kelamaan mikir, mending die ngga usah ngerti, jadi nyalinya gede, 
 apa aja
  main tubruk !!, hahahaha
 
  BTW, katanya mau belajar I Ching ?? Hehe
 
  JT
 
  -Original Message-
  From: obrolan-bandar@ yahoogroups. com [mailto: obrolan-bandar@ 
 yahoogroups. com ]
  On Behalf Of artomoro9
  Sent: 28 Juli 2009 20:53
  To: m457...@...
  Cc: obrolan-bandar@ yahoogroups. com
  Subject: RE: [ob] Re: Correction Scenarios... SOFT landing or HARD?
 
  Ihsg jatuh dari 2800 ke 1100 = 1700 point = crash. Kita bagi 3 
 kategori..
  1700/3 = 567. Kalo -567 pts = itu soft koreksi, kalo -567x2= -1134 
 pts =
  big koreksi. Nah EL DAN PAK OEN sepakat bahwa akan ada big koreksi, 
 atau =
  -1000 pts, hal ini yg ane kagak setuju. Cape lah ngomong crash/big 
 koreksi.
  Kalo minus -50 ampe -90 itu biasa. Liat postingan ane sebelumnya 
 bahwa ihsg
  bisa ke 2300 tgl 4 agustus, yg awalnya ane targetkan tgl 23 july, 
 karena
  bomber mariot, jadi gagal target itu. Kenapa ane sampaikan disini 
 target2
  itu? Karena ane hanya ingin berbagi, kalo salah itu biasa, kalo 
 bener itu
  luarbiasa. Susahnya, ane kaga pinter TA, jadi ane kaga bisa kasi 
 analise,
  ane aja cuma pake fibo taunya. ane lg mau ikut kursus TA. ada yg 
 bersedia
  ngajarin TA buat ane?
 
  boyz wrote:

   Iya lah ... setuju sama om Arto... Koreksi aja ... gak
  usah Crash ... Kondisi nggak (belum) mestakung untuk Crash... Kalau 
 untuk
  koreksi, ya memang dalam setiap Bull pasti ada koreksi. Makanya ane 
 bikin
  Topic : Correction Scenarios  Terjemahannya kira-kira : 
 Skenario-skenario
  koreksi. Harap dibedakan antara Crash dgn Koreksi. Walaupun sama-2 
 turun 
  tapi beda skala. 1. Soft Correction 2. Hard Correction 3. Crash 
 Nggak semua
  momen harga saham dan indeks turun di sebut crash Kalau masih ada 
 yg bingung
  dengan definisi tsb, googling aja. Biar gampangnya, ane kasih 
 gambaran. Coba
  buka chart IHSG... 1. Soft Correction = Jan 2007 2. Hard Correction 
 = Agust
  2007 3. Crash  = Awal 2008 - Okt 2008 Salam, --- In obrolan-bandar@
  yahoogroups. com, artomoro9 artomoro9@ . wrote:   Pak oen. justru
  info yg ane terima TIDAK seperti itu. Sampai hari ini AGENDA crash 
 itu belum
  di rencanakan, belum masuk. Yg ada hanyalah pemilihan saham2 yg
  memang secara fundamental memang bagus kedepan nya. Crash seperti 2008
  sangat kecil akan terjadi lg, karena yg punya barang sdh sale semua 
 karena
  bangkrut akibat krisis keuangan di amerika sono. Mereka (hf 
 /fm)sekarang
  bener2 memilih saham yg fundamentalnya bagus. Saham ayam bebek udah 
 ga masuk
  daftar lg. Koreksi biasalah terjadi tapi bukan crash boombang, trus 
 amblek.
  Asia dan eropa masih oke kok. Harga Komodity naik/turunnya masih 
 normal.
  Rupiah strong. Ada yg turun/naik itu biasa, sekarang idx sudah 
 masuk zaman
  normal.. GAk perlu kuatir berlebihan, ada embah, Prof jt, iching, yg
  nongkrongin ob, pasti ada early warning kalo emang akan crash. Ga 
 usah liat
  index nya, pilih aja saham yg oke punya. ptba 14k, kapan? Sebelum 
 bulan
  puasa 2009. bull or bear ? Ora ngurus. Sing penting oentoeng. Loh  
 kok
  jadi pak oentoeng. He he he.   (Not) Fortune Teller wrote:
  
 
 
 
  Akses email lebih cepat. Yahoo! menyarankan Anda meng-upgrade browser
  ke Internet Explorer 8 baru yang dioptimalkan untuk Yahoo! Dapatkan 
 di sini!
 
  http://downloads. yahoo.com/ id/internetexplo rer
 
 
 
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mengenai informasi berbayar (was: Re: [ob] PTBA 11800)

2009-07-23 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
Teman-teman Obers,
Sebelum milis ini menjadi tempat men-diskredit-kan seseorang atau 
membentuk opini publik yg kurang tepat terhadap profesi seseorang, saya 
ingin memberikan opini utk balancing.

JT memang sangat baik dengan memberikan analisa gratis di milis ini, 
memandu para newbie trader (termasuk saya) dan banyak menjawab 
pertanyaan dari para member lain. Tapi saya rasa milis ini bukan 
tempatnya untuk membandingkan tokoh mana yang lebih baik dari tokoh 
lain, apalagi hanya dinilai dari layanan yang menerima bayaran.

Saya pernah bertemu dengan JT dan juga dengan SV dalam kesempatan yang 
berbeda. Saat mereka memberikan penjelasan pada audience workshop, 
keduanya terlihat sangat berdedikasi untuk berusaha agar para hadirin 
memahami setiap perihal yang disampaikan.

Saya juga penah mendengar nada miring saat JT mulai memberikan kursus 
sehingga ada yg berpendapat bahwa JT memberikan analisa gratis di milis 
OB hanya utk promosi trainingnya, padahal sangat bisa dimengerti bahwa 
diperlukan pemahaman dasar yang cukup sebelum kita mampu membaca chart 
dan banyak hal lain yang hanya dapat disampaikan dengan baik dengan cara 
bertatap muka dalam komunikasi lisan.

Memberikan training berbayar bukan berarti mengurangi nilai baik 
seseorang. Demikian pula bagi mereka yg memberikan service rekomendasi 
berbayar, tidak bisa dinilai kurang baik dari yg memberikan secara 
gratis. Itu soal pilihan hidup, ada yang bersedia memberikan waktunya 
utk mengabdi pada komunitas sosial, ada yg memilih untuk memberi harga 
atas hasil 'jerih payah'nya.

Kita senang segala hal yang gratis tapi tidak seharusnya menganggap 
mereka yg tidak memberikan service secara gratis artinya kurang atau 
tidak baik dibandingkan mereka yg memberikan secara gratis.

Salam,
Ace



Sanjaya wrote:

 JT bukan SV.

 SV mah mana ada sebaik JT yg dermawan bagi2 ilmu dan info chart setiap 
 hari dgn gratis (TANPA MESTI BAYAR) :)

 *From:* obrolan-bandar@ yahoogroups. com [mailto:obrolan- 
 ban...@yahoogrou ps.com] *On Behalf Of *thomher69
 *Sent:* Thu, 23 Jul 2009 21:36 PM
 *To:* Obrolan
 *Subject:* Re: [ob] PTBA 11800

 Prof JT mau tanya nih, sorry ya . aapa nama lain anda SV ya , my Teacher

 Powered by Telkomsel BlackBerry®

 *From*: JT
 *Date*: Thu, 23 Jul 2009 19:19:08 +0700
 *To*: obrolan-bandar@ yahoogroups. com
 *Subject*: RE: [ob] PTBA 11800

 Kalo urusan WAVE, coba tanya ke Mbah, Ibu Rokaya, atau Pak Hans…, 
 mereka ahlinya.., ane ngga menguasai ilmu wave, Cuma tau gitu-gitu 
 aje, sekedar sok-sok’an aje…, hehe.., jadi ane ngga berani kasih 
 komentar… J

 Kalo mau tanya TEORI-nya, coba tanya Pengamat Market Noh…, he’s the 
 man… hehehehe

 JT

 *From:* obrolan-bandar@ yahoogroups. com [mailto:obrolan- 
 ban...@yahoogrou ps.com] *On Behalf Of *David Chandra
 *Sent:* 23 Juli 2009 18:15
 *To:* obrolan-bandar@ yahoogroups. com
 *Subject:* Re: [ob] PTBA 11800



 prof JT..
 PTBA lagi wave 2 right??
 ad small correction sblm lanjut ke highest resistance.. which probably 
 can reach 13.500

 am i right?
 CMIIW..





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Re: [ob] Awas Bumi ke 3000...!

2009-07-20 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
monthly chart attached.

chartist traders: target Jendral Arto ini adalah prediksi 1 candle/bar 
ahead.
mohon masukan utk entry level.
thanks in advance...


artomoro9 wrote:
  

 Tp bumi 3000, 19 agustus 09. Semoga. Agak lama memang tapi sebulan 
 dapat gain 60% cuma di bumi. High risk high return. Disclaimer ONTHEWAY.


inline: BUMI 17Jul'09 monthly.png

Re: [ob] OOT: Optical illusions

2009-07-19 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
kalo mau rekomendasi stockpick, dibuat 3d kayak gini aja pak boyz...  :)
biar bozz sewa 3d viewer dulu...

boyz wrote:
  



 Pak Rei Hebat euy :)
 hehehe...

 Salam...



 --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, Rei highwaysta...@... wrote:
 
  Yg pertama ada bundaran macam mangkok kalo dilihat dari atas.Yg 
 kedua: What
  is This
 
  On Sun, Jul 19, 2009 at 7:42 PM, boyz m457...@... wrote:
 
  
  
   --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, elvira raven elviraraven@
   wrote:
   
ada 9 dolphin boyz.. hahahag kan kaskuser jadi tau itu.. di 
 kaskus banyak
   kok yg kaya ginian
   
  
  
   Hehehe... sip :)
   nih sekarang yg agak susah dikit :p
   3D image ...
  
  
  
  
  
  
   Pertanyaan :
   1. What do you see at picture 1,
   2. Spell the question in picture 2.
  
   Clues : *Parallel-viewing*.
   http://www.vision3d.com/3views.html
   http://www.magiceye3ds.com/howtosee3d.aspx
  
  
   Good luck :)
  
   Salam,




Re: [ob] ASING NET BUY !

2009-07-16 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
bener sekali pak agung, bursa akan ditutup 3 hari berturut2 mulai besok.

agung aja wrote:
  
 besok IHSG tutup pak
 hehehe
  
  
 regards

 *From:* Data Saham datasahamku@ yahoo.com
 *To:* obrolan-bandar@ yahoogroups. com
 *Sent:* Friday, July 17, 2009 11:28:44 AM
 *Subject:* [ob] ASING NET BUY !

  


 Asing Hari ini justru belanja 150 miliar ...ayo jangan ketinggalan 
 belanja barang murah...ini hanya sementara besok rebound lagi ...BUY. 
 BUY..BUY






[ob] tetap tenang dan waspada

2009-07-16 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
saya sangat sedih dan prihatin dengan kejadian ini.
harap tetap tenang dan waspada.
berita yg beredar dipandang secara objektif.

seharusnya televisi tidak melakukan efek blow-up dengan menayangkan 
kisah dokumentasi bom di marriot sebelumnya.
ini membawa efek terror mental bagi masyarakat yang sedang khawatir.

dengar radio saja, televisi dimatikan.
let say our prayers...


Re: [ob] Re: Prediksi Billy Hari Ini ... mbah aza bisa salah ... :)

2009-07-10 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
sejarah membuktikan ada legendaris trader yang bisa mencetak rekor 
trading 77%.
ini bukan rekor menebak, it' absolutely different. karena yg jago nebak 
pun, belum tentu berani entry.

W.D Gann malah pernah membukukan 264 trading sukses dari 286 (Oktober 1909).
Prediksi koreksi tajam dilakukan saat market sedang sangat bullish di th 
1920-an.
sumber: buku technical analysis for mega profit - hal 206.

buat kita, tdk perlu pandai menebak, tp gimana caranya trading supaya 
lebih besar profit drpd loss.
it should be possible.
it is possible.
buktinya ada orang2 yg cari nafkah sepenuhnya dari dagang saham di milis 
ini dan belum bangkrut.

 
harrywijaya81 wrote:


 udah lah ...

 jgn diperpanjang lg ...
 mana ada org yg bisa prediksi  70% tingkat kebenarannya
 mbah aaza bisa salah
 bd pun bisa salah , padahal dia yg ngegoreng itu saham ... :)

 utk WTA billy , bisa dilihat dari alummni2 nya ...
 apakah para alummni yg dihasilkan d jago atau msh tunggu
 recommend2 billy .


 yg berminat silahkan daftar , yg gak berminat jgn protes ,
 hihihiihihiii ... :)

 peace  :)



Re: [ob] Mbah, need ur advise IHSG + 13 tapi KOMO hancur lebur

2009-07-09 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
hadiah buat Pak Rully sebuah cerita, yang ada hubungannya dengan anjing:

ada seekor bulldog yang dipersiapkan sebagai anjing aduan.
alkisah setelah sekian lama dilatih menuruti instruksi dan diberi 
makanan bergizi, tibalah hari pertandingan.
si bulldog diadu dengan seekor herder yg besar. setelah ronde pertama 
selesai, bulldog ini sdh luka2.
masuk ronde ke dua, bulldog ini tetap maju berkelahi dan sekali lagi 
kalah terdesak.
setelah istirahat, lanjut ronde ke 3, bulldog ini kalah lagi.
hari yang melelahkan dan sangat mengecewakan buat pemilik bulldog. 
pulang dengan kekalahan,  tetapi majikan ini tetap memberikan makanan 
bergizi dan merawat luka2nya sampai sembuh untuk dipersiapkan agar bisa 
bertanding di pertandingan berikutnya.
singkat cerita bulldog ini berulang kali kalah dalam beberapa kali 
pertandingan melawan sang herder besar, namun terus dilatih dan 
dipersiapkan untuk menjadi pemenang.
sampai suatu hari yg membanggakan, bulldog ini mulai memahami serangan 
sang herder dan berhasil bertahan tanpa luka2 di ronde pertama, ronde 
kedua bulldog ini mampu mendesak sang herder besar. ronde ke tiga si 
bulldog menang telak. sang herder terpojok dan luka2.
di lain hari, pertandingan berikutnya: si bulldog berhadapan dengan sang 
herder besar. tatapannya tetap kuat, percaya dirinya masih tetap tinggi 
walaupun bekas luka2 lamanya masih ada. sang herder besar tidak lagi 
berani menatap mata si bulldong, mungkin masih mengenang kekalahan 
terakhirnya. setiap si bulldong mendekat, sang herder menghindar. terus 
menerus demikian.
pertandingan dihentikan.
sang herder dianggap kalah tanpa bertanding.
tidak ada lagi pertandingan selanjutnya di hari kemudian.

ini bukan analogi antara retail  bandar. it's about mental attitude.


 Original Message 
Subject: Re: [ob] Mbah, need ur advise IHSG + 13 tapi KOMO hancur lebur
Date: Thu, 9 Jul 2009 14:59:12 +0900
From: Rully rullymainsa...@gmail.com
Reply-To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
Rully wrote:


 It IS a dog eat dog world ya...?
  
 et tu, Mbah?
  
  

 - Original Message -
 *From:* boysngi...@gmail.com mailto:boysngi...@gmail.com
 *To:* obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
 mailto:obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
 *Sent:* Thursday, July 09, 2009 2:14 PM
 *Subject:* Re: [ob] Mbah, need ur advise IHSG + 13 tapi KOMO
 hancur lebur

 Ha ha

 Hari ini saya ketawa abis.

 Well set-up trap. Gak sia-sia membiarkan ob dikomporin seharian
 kemarin

 Ha ha.

 Thanks all, clear my trading. Still hold investment

 Lucky berry

 
 *From*: Dean Earwicker
 *Date*: Thu, 9 Jul 2009 12:17:00 +0700
 *To*: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
 mailto:obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
 *Subject*: Re: [ob] Mbah, need ur advise IHSG + 13 tapi KOMO
 hancur lebur

 Hidup neolib. lol

 makan siang dimana nih? lumayan dari hasil cut loss.. (hihi apacoba..)

 Regards,
 DE






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Re: [ob] Re: HIBURAN Fase DEPRESSION

2009-07-07 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
yang belum dikabarkan berubah plan (terakhir saya re-check dengan pak 
Oentoeng), target semua BG ke setengah harga tertinggi.

wimanto_tr wrote:


 --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com 
 mailto:obrolan-bandar%40yahoogroups.com, Pemain Mini 
 pemainm...@... wrote:
 
  Dear All, BUKAN RAMALAN BUKAN HIMBAUAN
  berhubung katanya udah mau / udah masuk
  fase depression, berikut adalah sekilas rangkuman
  target2 saham yang kami kumpulkan untuk tahun depan dan
  kedepan nya berdasarkan posting2 di milis ini.
  spy para investor / trader masih tahan mental untuk gebukan
  berikutnya. Sekali Lagi, ini cuma ringkasan dari posting2 terdahulu,
  bukan bermaksud NAGIH JANJI yang postingtapi kalau mau DIGENAPI
  ya lebih BAGUShehehe.
 
  IDX : 3000 - 4000 ( Oentoeng )
 
  Saham - TP - Tahun - Postingan
  AALI - 40.000 - 2009 ( Elaine, Mbah ? )
  ADHI - 2500 - 2009 ( Oentoeng )
  ANTM - 200.000 - 2012 ( TBUMI, DE )
  BNBR - 1000 - 2009 ( Elaine, Oentoeng )
  BUMI - 1 - End 2008 ( TBUMI )
  ELTY - 1000 - 2009 ( Elaine, Oentoeng )
  INDF - 2800 - ? ( Oentoeng )
  SMCB - 4000 - ? ( Oentoeng )
  SMGR - 8000 - 2009 ( Oentoeng )
  TINS : 250.000 - 2012 ( DE )
  TOTL - 900 - 2009 ( Oentoeng )
 
  Sory jika ada yang salah...CMIIW..
  silakan jika ada yg mau nambah
 
 masi validkah or perlu revise?



Re: [ob] Re: HIBURAN Fase DEPRESSION

2009-07-07 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
silakan di-cek dengan yg memberikan prediksi. semoga beliau blum lupa.  :)

anru.s...@gmail.com wrote:



 Jadi berapa? Tahun?

 Sent from my BlackBerry®
 powered by Sinyal Kuat INDOSAT

 
 *From*: Aria Santoso
 *Date*: Tue, 07 Jul 2009 18:31:17 +0700
 *To*: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
 *Subject*: Re: [ob] Re: HIBURAN Fase DEPRESSION

 yang belum dikabarkan berubah plan (terakhir saya re-check dengan pak
 Oentoeng), target semua BG ke setengah harga tertinggi.

 wimanto_tr wrote:
 
 
  --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com 
 mailto:obrolan-bandar%40yahoogroups.com
  mailto:obrolan-bandar%40yahoogroups.com, Pemain Mini
  pemainm...@... wrote:
  
   Dear All, BUKAN RAMALAN BUKAN HIMBAUAN
   berhubung katanya udah mau / udah masuk
   fase depression, berikut adalah sekilas rangkuman
   target2 saham yang kami kumpulkan untuk tahun depan dan
   kedepan nya berdasarkan posting2 di milis ini.
   spy para investor / trader masih tahan mental untuk gebukan
   berikutnya. Sekali Lagi, ini cuma ringkasan dari posting2 terdahulu,
   bukan bermaksud NAGIH JANJI yang postingtapi kalau mau DIGENAPI
   ya lebih BAGUShehehe.
  
   IDX : 3000 - 4000 ( Oentoeng )
  
   Saham - TP - Tahun - Postingan
   AALI - 40.000 - 2009 ( Elaine, Mbah ? )
   ADHI - 2500 - 2009 ( Oentoeng )
   ANTM - 200.000 - 2012 ( TBUMI, DE )
   BNBR - 1000 - 2009 ( Elaine, Oentoeng )
   BUMI - 1 - End 2008 ( TBUMI )
   ELTY - 1000 - 2009 ( Elaine, Oentoeng )
   INDF - 2800 - ? ( Oentoeng )
   SMCB - 4000 - ? ( Oentoeng )
   SMGR - 8000 - 2009 ( Oentoeng )
   TINS : 250.000 - 2012 ( DE )
   TOTL - 900 - 2009 ( Oentoeng )
  
   Sory jika ada yang salah...CMIIW..
   silakan jika ada yg mau nambah
  
  masi validkah or perlu revise?
 

 _





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Re: [ob] MY FINAL PREDICTION

2009-07-03 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
tantangan diterima degan wta, lalu diubah mau pake ta klasik supaya wta 
aman.
prediksi di milis OB kmarin malam beda dengan email kmarin malam yg 
dikirim kepada alumni (selisih kurang dari 1 jam).
alumni: pls re-check.
lalu ada update prediksi lagi sebelum market open.

jika yg ingin diuji adalah wta, maka saat market closing datanya sudah 
lengkap dan bisa dihitung scoring wta-nya.
tdk perlu tunggu data lain seperti dow, oil price, sentimen regional, 
hasil broker briefing, etc.
saat billy mengakui bahwa banyak faktor yg perlu dipertimbangkan selain 
data teknikal, penonton seharusnya sdh bisa mengambil kesimpulan sejauh 
mana peran data teknikal utk digunakan dlm pengambilan keputusan trading.

rules of the game blum beres.
sebaiknya batal aja ya embah...?

kasian penonton...  :)

saya asumsikan embah hanya ingin menyadarkan kita semua seperti apa yg 
sdh disampaikan pak boyz: no holy grail.
we need to be well prepared how to react to market movement (as expected 
or otherwise)

sorry for the spoiler.


Melisa Lais wrote:


 Buat Embah,

 Peraturannya bagaimana ya? 
 Kemarin/ billy/ prediksi TLKM bakalan turun jika /DOW /turun, apakah 
 boleh diganti atau bagaimana ya??
 Mohon kejelasan peraturan dari embah..

 2009/7/3 billy_wta billybudima...@yahoo.com 
 mailto:billybudima...@yahoo.com



 INDF, ADRO, INCO, PTBA DOWN
 TLKM UP

 That's it Embah, you just want to know up or down right ?

 Meskipun ini sangat beresiko, biarlah semua orang tahu I berani
 take a risk. Jadi I bukan pengecut atau suka ngomong I TOLD YOU

 Tanpa mencoba tantangan ini, I tidak akan tahu bagaimana kerja WTA
 terutama WTA E, untuk memprediksi market yang berjalan di tengah
 news2 yang masih volatile

 GBU



Re: [ob] Re: MY FINAL PREDICTION ...

2009-07-03 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
  congrats for the accuracy of your real prediction!

old days: you claimed your winnings. ppl watch.
same as today.
later: (i wish) embah will acknowledge your winning and ppl salute you.
honor is gained not taken.

i hope someday you know the difference between the one who protects you 
and uses you.
many ppl care.. billy boy.

i shall say no more words until the final day.
good luck for another 9 days ahead.



billy_wta wrote:

 kan yang penting I sudah posting yang FINAL pagi, so itu lah yang I 
 anggap sebagai the REAL PREDICTION.

 
  --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com 
 mailto:obrolan-bandar%40yahoogroups.com, Aria Santoso ariasantoso@ 
 wrote:

   tantangan diterima degan wta, lalu diubah mau pake ta klasik 
 supaya wta
   aman.
   prediksi di milis OB kmarin malam beda dengan email kmarin malam yg
   dikirim kepada alumni (selisih kurang dari 1 jam).
   alumni: pls re-check.
   lalu ada update prediksi lagi sebelum market open.
  
   jika yg ingin diuji adalah wta, maka saat market closing datanya 
 sudah
   lengkap dan bisa dihitung scoring wta-nya.
   tdk perlu tunggu data lain seperti dow, oil price, sentimen regional,
   hasil broker briefing, etc.
   saat billy mengakui bahwa banyak faktor yg perlu dipertimbangkan 
 selain
   data teknikal, penonton seharusnya sdh bisa mengambil kesimpulan 
 sejauh
   mana peran data teknikal utk digunakan dlm pengambilan keputusan 
 trading.
  
   rules of the game blum beres.
   sebaiknya batal aja ya embah...?
  
   kasian penonton... :)
  
   saya asumsikan embah hanya ingin menyadarkan kita semua seperti 
 apa yg
   sdh disampaikan pak boyz: no holy grail.
   we need to be well prepared how to react to market movement (as 
 expected
   or otherwise)
  
   sorry for the spoiler.
  
  
   Melisa Lais wrote:
   
   
Buat Embah,
   
Peraturannya bagaimana ya?
Kemarin/ billy/ prediksi TLKM bakalan turun jika /DOW /turun, 
 apakah
boleh diganti atau bagaimana ya??
Mohon kejelasan peraturan dari embah..
   
2009/7/3 billy_wta billybudiman20@
mailto:billybudiman20@
   
   
   
INDF, ADRO, INCO, PTBA DOWN
TLKM UP
   
That's it Embah, you just want to know up or down right ?
   
Meskipun ini sangat beresiko, biarlah semua orang tahu I berani
take a risk. Jadi I bukan pengecut atau suka ngomong I TOLD YOU
   
Tanpa mencoba tantangan ini, I tidak akan tahu bagaimana kerja WTA
terutama WTA E, untuk memprediksi market yang berjalan di tengah
news2 yang masih volatile
   
GBU



Re: [ob] BRNA...memakan korban

2009-07-03 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
untuk yang sudah mempersiapkan diri seperti Pak Sulistyo tentu tdk jadi 
korban. :)


sulistyo_winarto wrote:


 Pak Aria Santoso  Senior OB, BRNA ada apa nih ? mo makan korban lagi 
 ? Salam

 --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com 
 mailto:obrolan-bandar%40yahoogroups.com, Cougar Boy boysngi...@... 
 wrote:
 
  Ini gara-gara short sell masih dilarang.
 
  Sayang sekali mustinya.. Trader gak perlu short sell nginap.. Cuman
  intraday aja cukup.
 
  Kalau dibolehkan short sell seperti dulu.. Penggorengan seperti ini
  gak bakalan berani
 
  On 6/19/09, Achmad Assegaf assegaf_ach...@... wrote:
  
   Itu dia dia juga
   gak ada bandar Rugi
  
  
   Ahmad
  
   --- On Thu, 6/18/09, sulistyo_winarto sulistyo_wina...@... wrote:
  
  
   From: sulistyo_winarto sulistyo_wina...@...
   Subject: [ob] BRNA...memakan korban
   To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com 
 mailto:obrolan-bandar%40yahoogroups.com
   Date: Thursday, June 18, 2009, 11:49 PM
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
   Dear Mbah  Senior OB, banyak korban di BRNA : OD, DB, ZP, KI dll.
   Yang keliatan untung cuma YU, DP. Iseng2 check.
  
   Salam Bum-bum




Re: [ob] Index US Coal

2009-06-29 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
BTU chart attached.

jsx_consultant wrote:


 Index DJUSCL praktis sama dengan gerakan saham batubara
 Peabody (BTU).

 Gerakan BUMI tentu mempengaruhi BTU dan BTU juga mempengaruhi
 BUMI. Pada umumnya saham BUMI bergerak searah dengan BTU.
 Tapi ketika BUMI kena kasus Repo, tentunya gerakannya menjadi
 tidak sinkron.

 Disamping itu BUMI lebih volatile dalam arti
 gerakan harga coal mempunyai pengaruh lebih kuat terhadap harga
 BUMI sehingga harga BUMI bisa Overshoot keatas atau kebawah.

 --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com 
 mailto:obrolan-bandar%40yahoogroups.com, Cougar Boy boysngi...@... 
 wrote:
 
  mungkin ngak kalau dibalik mbah.
  BUMI yang mempengaruhi index DJUSCL ??
 
  cuman sekedar pemikiran saya aja, soalnya BUMI kan produsen thermal coal
  terbesar di dunia
 
  2009/6/29 jsx_consultant jsx-consult...@...
 
  
  
   Index US Coal
  
   IHSG sangat dipengaruhi oleh saham batubara terutama BUMI
   selain oleh gerakan index regional dan Dowjone.
  
   Dan gerakan saham BUMI sangat dipengaruhi oleh index DJUSCL
  
   Lihat: http://www.obrolanbandr.com/pwldjuscl.htm 
 http://www.obrolanbandr.com/pwldjuscl.htm
  
  
  
 


inline: BTU 29jun09.png

[ob] about investor fundamental

2009-06-25 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
yg jual dekat modal beli itu namanya investor kacilakaan alias 
teknikalis nyangkut (semoga kita tidak terus2an menjadi bagian dari 
kelompok ini).
investor fundamental yg benar membeli saat valuasi murah di bawah harga 
wajarya, menjual setelah profit jauh diatas modal beli saat harga premium.
ada cara  teknik yang harus dipelajari dengan baik.

style trading teknikalis  fundamentalis mungkin berbeda, tapi jika 
dipelajari/dilaksanakan dengan cara yang benar akan menghasilkan profit.

 Original Message 
Subject:Re: [ob] Re: SAYA PILIH SBY...!
Date:   Thu, 25 Jun 2009 08:49:52 -0700 (PDT)
From:   simon bolenang simon_bolen...@yahoo.com
Reply-To:   obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com



simon bolenang wrote:


 Itulah kesalahan investor fundamental, sudah nyungsep dalem juga
 masih di kekepin, akhirnya setelah dekat modalnya baru jual.
 Investor fundamental jago belinya, tapi ngak bisa jualan, karena terlalu
 cinta sama sahamnya, kalau masih bisa naik bisa2 dibawa mati.

 --- On *Thu, 6/25/09, JT™ /jsxtra...@yahoo.com/* wrote:



 From: JT™ jsxtra...@yahoo.com
 Subject: Re: [ob] Re: SAYA PILIH SBY...!
 To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
 Date: Thursday, June 25, 2009, 11:33 AM

 Samaaa, kalau udh cinta sama saham juga gitu, udh tau nyungsep
 berat tapi masih dibilang keren.., semua berita, lap-keu,
 indikator, yg bagus2 dikeluarin..., garis trend digeser2, periode
 MA dirubah2.., etc..etc.. hehehe


 Sent From BullBerry®

 “TA is not 100% Fool Proof, Never Trade Without Stop Order”

 -Original Message-
 From: Ican ican.do...@gmail.com
 /mc/compose?to=ican.do...@gmail.com

 Date: Thu, 25 Jun 2009 20:25:05
 To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
 /mc/compose?to=obrolan-ban...@yahoogroups.com
 Subject: Re: [ob] Re: SAYA PILIH SBY...!


 Manusia itu kalau sudah cinta apapun pasti dibela walau sudah
 disajikan
 data-data oleh pihak independen dan berkompeten.
 Demikian juga dengan yang benci, apa pun pasti dicari untuk menemukan
 titik lemah.
 Tinggal seberapa banyak yang netral.




Re: Fw: [ob] about investor fundamental

2009-06-25 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
terima kasih nasirawon utk hujatan ini.

mungkin tulisan sy kurang jelas bahwa fundamentalis itu memiliki cara2 
menghitung harga wajar saham dengan data laporan keuangan.
entry beli para fundamentalis adalah saat harga di bursa lebih rendah 
dari valuasi harga hasil perhitungan. kemudian timing jualnya adalah 
saat harga sudah diatas harga wajarnya (bukan di dekat harga modal 
beli). saat ada perubahan parameter dan perubahan kondisi fundamental 
maka bisa jadi harga wajar berubah pula sehingga kerugian bisa aja 
terpaksa direalisasikan saat harga wajarnya jatuh dalam.

maaf saya trader teknikalis (bukan fundamentalis) tapi hanya ingin 
meluruskan supaya tidak ada kesan bahwa investor fundamentalis itu 
seolah-olah aliran gaya trading yg 'bodoh' seperti tulisan rekan kita di 
email sebelumnya.

kalo soal bacot mungkin saya memang lebih banyak posting dari anda tapi 
masih banyak yang jauh lebih besar bacot di milis oB ini.
saya sadar tidak bisa menyenangkan semua orang, itu hak semua orang 
untuk senang atau tidak senang dengan pendapat orang lain.


nasira...@yahoo.com wrote:
 Halah... Banyak bacot lu aria...!

 Makco lu, walaupun buta huruf, juga ngarti kalo beli dgn hrg murah, jual hrg 
 tinggi...

 Wuakakakak.



 --Original Message--
 From: Aria Santoso
 Sender: OB
 To: OB
 ReplyTo: OB
 Subject: [ob] about investor fundamental
 Sent: Jun 26, 2009 00:37

 yg jual dekat modal beli itu namanya investor kacilakaan alias teknikalis 
 nyangkut (semoga kita tidak terus2an menjadi bagian dari kelompok ini). 
 investor fundamental yg benar membeli saat valuasi murah di bawah harga 
 wajarya, menjual setelah profit jauh diatas modal beli saat harga premium. 
 ada cara  teknik yang harus dipelajari dengan baik. style trading teknikalis 
  fundamentalis mungkin berbeda, tapi jika dipelajari/dilaksan akan dengan 
 cara yang benar akan menghasilkan profit.  Original Message  
 Subject: Re: [ob] Re: SAYA PILIH SBY...! Date: Thu, 25 Jun 2009 08:49:52 
 -0700 (PDT) From: simon bolenang simon_bolenang@ yahoo.com Reply-To: 
 obrolan-bandar@ yahoogroups. com To: obrolan-bandar@ yahoogroups. com simon 
 bolenang wrote:Itulah kesalahan investor fundamental, sudah nyungsep 
 dalem juga  masih di kekepin, akhirnya setelah dekat modalnya baru jual.  
 Investor fundamental jago belinya, tapi ngak bisa jualan, karena terlalu  
 cinta sama sahamnya, kalau masih bisa naik bisa2 dibawa mati.   --- On 
 *Thu, 6/25/09, JT™ /jsxtra...@yahoo. com/* wrote: From: JT™ 
 jsxtra...@yahoo. com  Subject: Re: [ob] Re: SAYA PILIH SBY...!  To: 
 obrolan-bandar@ yahoogroups. com  Date: Thursday, June 25, 2009, 11:33 AM  
  Samaaa, kalau udh cinta sama saham juga gitu, udh tau nyungsep  berat tapi 
 masih dibilang keren.., semua berita, lap-keu,  indikator, yg bagus2 
 dikeluarin.. ., garis trend digeser2, periode  MA dirubah2.., etc..etc.. 
 heheheSent From BullBerry®   “TA is not 100% Fool Proof, Never Trade 
 Without Stop Order”   -Original Message-  From: Ican 
 ican.do...@gmail. com  /mc/compose? to=ican.doank@ gmail.com   Date: 
 Thu, 25 Jun 2009 20:25:05  To: obrolan-bandar@ yahoogroups. com  
 /mc/compose? to=obrolan- ban...@yahoogrou ps.com  Subject: Re: [ob] Re: 
 SAYA PILIH SBY...!Manusia itu kalau sudah cinta apapun pasti dibela 
 walau sudah  disajikan  data-data oleh pihak independen dan berkompeten.  
 Demikian juga dengan yang benci, apa pun pasti
 Powered by Telkomsel BlackBerry®






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Re: [ob] BUMI utang gap di Rp 1380

2009-06-23 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
Pak Simon,
sejak KIPS BUMI terbentuk di awal 2009 harga saham BUMI sudah naik 500% 
lebih dr harga bottom-nya 385 sampai harga saham BUMI di 2300/2325 hanya 
dalam kurun waktu kurang dari 5 bulan.
itulah mengapa banyak trader yg hanya numpang nama di KIPS BUMI tanpa 
berperan aktif membantu sudah bisa exit dengan profit.
ketika harga uptrend bagus apa anda pernah mengakui atau menyinggung 
hubungan kenaikan harga dengan perjuangan KIPS BUMI?
kasian juga organisasi ini, saat harga naik tdk ada yg mengakui 
perjuangannya, saat beberapa hari harga turun sudah dikatakan tidak 
bertaring.

Saya akan mengusulkan kepada Pak Rully untuk merubah bentuk KIPS BUMI 
dalam format yang berbeda (not for public benefit).
Jangankan taringnya, geraham dan semua giginya saya usulkan agar 
dimanfaatkan utk kepentingan member saja atau di-ompong-kan saja 
sekalian...  :)
you're my inspiration pak Simon. terima kasih.

salam,
ace


simon bolenang wrote:


 Setelah KIPS BUMI tidak bertaring, harga batubara turun,
 index saham regional  turun, FED kemungkinan mau
 naikkan suku bunga, terakhir malah
 BUMI  mau gadein anak perusahaannya.
 Average buying price BUMI dari awal tahun berkisar Rp 1150 -
 Rp 1450 ( dari beberapa broker besar)



Re: [ob] Bumi Investors Say: ââ,¬Ëoe No Probe? No Problemââ,¬â¢ - APA GUE BILANG! INDO UDAH RUSAK! INVESTOR L UAR LARI SEMUA

2009-06-21 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
pak t_bumi yth,
apakah perusahaan batubara di indonesia boleh merubah kontrak harga 
penjualan batubara sesuai kenaikan harga minyak sehingga meningkatkan 
profit margin?
biasanya berapa lama kontrak harga akan berlaku? bulanan, tahunan?

salam,
ace

t_bumi wrote:



 --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, agung aja agung.ke...@... wrote:
 
  gabung KIPS aja biar kenal Pak Rully dan tau apa yang dibahas di 
 dalam KIPS
 
 
  Sip : tbumi

 Suhu politik di Iran yang masih memanas terus akan membuat harga 
 minyak memanas, dan tentunya

 harga batubara akan ikut membara.

 http://www.bbc.co.uk/indonesian/news/story/2009/06/090620_irankeepprotest.shtml
  
 http://www.bbc.co.uk/indonesian/news/story/2009/06/090620_irankeepprotest.shtml

 http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/middle_east/8110582.stm 
 http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/middle_east/8110582.stm

 http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/americas/8110514.stm 
 http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/americas/8110514.stm



Re: [ob] Bumi Investors Say: ‘No Probe? No Pro blem’ - APA GUE BILANG! INDO UDAH RUSAK! INVE STOR LUAR LARI SEMUA

2009-06-20 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
Dear PH,
I suppose that u need to learn about the difference of law  ethics.

Should u do fart in front of us, it would be unfavorable to many of us; 
however we couldn't sue you for that. It's not a law-breaking thing so 
we can't take any legal action.
In fact we are not happy for that action and the bad smell left for us. 
It's about ethics in social relationship.

Below allegation in public is managed under law. Please be so kind to 
ensure that you will settle it.

Cordially,
Ace



 Original Message 
Subject:[ob] Bumi Investors Say: ‘No Probe? No Problem’ - APA GUE 
BILANG! INDO UDAH RUSAK! INVESTOR LUAR LARI SEMUA
Date:   Fri, 19 Jun 2009 20:04:02 -0700 (PDT)
From:   PH™ vaulst...@yahoo.com
Reply-To:   obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com



PH™ wrote:



 Even leader / representative of Minority shareholder bisa di beli... ;(
 Takut kali kalau masalah ini berlanjut saham dia nanti kena margin 
 call... jadi boke... dan mendingan jg terima duit dulu dari orang 
 tertentu


 ---


   Bumi Investors Say: ‘No Probe? No Problem’

 In 2007, Indonesia was ranked worst out of 11 regional markets in the 
 Asian Corporate Governance Association survey, and, judging by the 
 market regulator’s apparent whitewash of the PT Bumi Resources probe, 
 nothing much has changed.

 However, despite the potential damage to the credibility of the bourse 
 and the regulator — not to mention the interests of small investors — 
 it now appears that it’s a case of “out of sight, out of mind,” with 
 analysts and even Bumi’s minority shareholders suddenly saying they 
 are happy with the decision of the Capital Market and Financial 
 Institution Supervisory Agency (Bapepam-LK).

 In January, the agency launched a probe into the Bumi’s purchase of 
 three coal firms — PT Darma Henwa, PT Fajar Bumi Sakti and PT Pendopo 
 Energi Batubara — for a total of Rp 6.18 trillion ($593 million) after 
 an investor and media outcry over allegations that the acquisitions 
 were overpriced.

 It was also alleged that the acquisitions amounted to a material 
 transaction requiring the approval of Bumi shareholders — which was 
 never given — ­and that some of the coal firms were actually 
 affiliated with Bumi’s owners, the Bakrie group of companies, through 
 obscure cross-shareholding arrangements.

 However, after a seemingly interminable probe that included the 
 recruitment of an outside appraiser, the only fault Bapepam could come 
 up with was that the price paid for one of the targets, PT Fajar Bumi 
 Sakti, was Rp 370 billion too high.

 But even here Bumi was given an easy way out — all it had to do was 
 renegotiate the price and bring it down to a “reasonable” level, which 
 it says it is now in the process of doing.

 The market watchdog also let Bumi off the hook on the material 
 transaction question, saying that since the transactions took place in 
 different fiscal years the issue of materiality did not arise — a view 
 that many would consider excessively legalistic given that all of the 
 transactions took place within little more than one week. Dharma Henwa 
 was bought on Dec. 30, Pendopo Energi Batubara on Jan. 5 and Fajar 
 Bumi Sakti on Jan. 7.

 Capital market regulations designed to protect the interests of 
 minority shareholders require a company to seek shareholder approval 
 for a transaction if its value exceeds 10 percent of the company’s 
 revenue or 20 percent of its market value. In this case, the combined 
 value of the transactions would have required such approval had they 
 not been completed in different years.

 On the affiliation issue, Bapepam has completely abandoned its 
 investigation without coming up with any findings, saying that the 
 question is now irrelevant.

 Indra Safitri, an independent capital market legal consultant, said 
 that Bapepam had based its actions on the findings of the independent 
 appraiser.

 “The other issues become irrelevant if the prices paid are 
 reasonable,” he said, when asked whether the market watchdog was 
 justified in abandoning its affiliation probe.

 Meanwhile, a representative of Bumi’s minority shareholders, Rully 
 Oetomo, said: “We welcome the fact that Bumi’s management is willing 
 to renegotiate and seek a better price for Fajar Bumi.”

 Rully said that since the transactions were found to have been 
 nonmaterial, Bumi would not now have to seek shareholder approval. A 
 meeting had been scheduled for this purpose this coming Friday.

 “We will not push Bapepam to continue the investigation into the 
 affiliation issue if we are happy with the price,” Rully said.

 But despite the newfound acquiescence of the company’s shareholders, 
 doubts nevertheless persist, not to mention concerns over the future 
 of corporate governance here as a whole, with one analyst having aptly 
 characterized the entire affair as “nothing more than a game.”


 

Re: [ob] Bumi Investors Say: ‘No Probe? No Problem’ - APA GUE BILANG! INDO UDAH RUSAK! INVESTOR LUAR LARI SEMUA

2009-06-20 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
Dear Melisa,
Do u read thorougly the allegation to Mr Oetomo Rully by PH?

Prita shares the fact. Story of her life...
She doesn't do this kind of allegation: *Even leader / representative of 
Minority shareholder bisa di beli... ;(*

Freedom of speaking is good, but what will you do when people accuse u 
in public?
Is it character killing: The one who tried to defend us now getting 
accused in accepting bribe.

I'd self voluntarily left this community if most of the people here 
could accept this kind of action.
Hope to hear a word from the moderator...

With best regards,
Ace


Melisa Lais wrote:


 /Another prita?/

 2009/6/20 Aria Santoso ariasant...@gmail.com 
 mailto:ariasant...@gmail.com



 Dear PH,
 I suppose that u need to learn about the difference of law  ethics.

 Should u do fart in front of us, it would be unfavorable to many
 of us;
 however we couldn't sue you for that. It's not a law-breaking
 thing so
 we can't take any legal action.
 In fact we are not happy for that action and the bad smell left
 for us.
 It's about ethics in social relationship.

 Below allegation in public is managed under law. Please be so kind to
 ensure that you will settle it.

 Cordially,
 Ace



  Original Message 
 Subject: [ob] Bumi Investors Say: ‘No Probe? No Problem’ - APA GUE
 BILANG! INDO UDAH RUSAK! INVESTOR LUAR LARI SEMUA
 Date: Fri, 19 Jun 2009 20:04:02 -0700 (PDT)
 From: PH™ vaulst...@yahoo.com mailto:vaulstrad%40yahoo.com
 Reply-To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
 mailto:obrolan-bandar%40yahoogroups.com
 To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
 mailto:obrolan-bandar%40yahoogroups.com

 PH™ wrote:
 
 
 
  Even leader / representative of Minority shareholder bisa di
 beli... ;(
  Takut kali kalau masalah ini berlanjut saham dia nanti kena margin
  call... jadi boke... dan mendingan jg terima duit dulu dari orang
  tertentu
 
 
  ---
 
 
  Bumi Investors Say: ‘No Probe? No Problem’
 
  In 2007, Indonesia was ranked worst out of 11 regional markets
 in the
  Asian Corporate Governance Association survey, and, judging by the
  market regulator’s apparent whitewash of the PT Bumi Resources
 probe,
  nothing much has changed.
 
  However, despite the potential damage to the credibility of the
 bourse
  and the regulator — not to mention the interests of small
 investors —
  it now appears that it’s a case of “out of sight, out of mind,”
 with
  analysts and even Bumi’s minority shareholders suddenly saying they
  are happy with the decision of the Capital Market and Financial
  Institution Supervisory Agency (Bapepam-LK).
 
  In January, the agency launched a probe into the Bumi’s purchase of
  three coal firms — PT Darma Henwa, PT Fajar Bumi Sakti and PT
 Pendopo
  Energi Batubara — for a total of Rp 6.18 trillion ($593 million)
 after
  an investor and media outcry over allegations that the acquisitions
  were overpriced.
 
  It was also alleged that the acquisitions amounted to a material
  transaction requiring the approval of Bumi shareholders — which was
  never given — ­and that some of the coal firms were actually
  affiliated with Bumi’s owners, the Bakrie group of companies,
 through
  obscure cross-shareholding arrangements.
 
  However, after a seemingly interminable probe that included the
  recruitment of an outside appraiser, the only fault Bapepam
 could come
  up with was that the price paid for one of the targets, PT Fajar
 Bumi
  Sakti, was Rp 370 billion too high.
 
  But even here Bumi was given an easy way out — all it had to do was
  renegotiate the price and bring it down to a “reasonable” level,
 which
  it says it is now in the process of doing.
 
  The market watchdog also let Bumi off the hook on the material
  transaction question, saying that since the transactions took
 place in
  different fiscal years the issue of materiality did not arise —
 a view
  that many would consider excessively legalistic given that all
 of the
  transactions took place within little more than one week. Dharma
 Henwa
  was bought on Dec. 30, Pendopo Energi Batubara on Jan. 5 and Fajar
  Bumi Sakti on Jan. 7.
 
  Capital market regulations designed to protect the interests of
  minority shareholders require a company to seek shareholder
 approval
  for a transaction if its value exceeds 10 percent of the company’s
  revenue or 20 percent of its market value. In this case, the
 combined
  value of the transactions would have required such approval had
 they
  not been completed in different years.
 
  On the affiliation issue

Re: [ob] Bumi Investors Say: ‘No Probe? No Pro blem’ - APA GUE BILANG! INDO UDAH RUSAK! INVE STOR LUAR LARI SEMUA

2009-06-20 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
saya harap anda yg mengusulkan hal ini siap menjadi saksi...

Ruz7 wrote:


 Court Settlement saja Om Rully :)

 Powered By FREN BondBerry. (Bayar Pake Daun). Indeksbei3000®

 
 *From*: Rully
 *Date*: Sat, 20 Jun 2009 12:58:02 +0900
 *To*: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
 *Subject*: Re: [ob] Bumi Investors Say: ‘No Probe? No Problem’ - APA 
 GUE BI LANG! INDO UDAH RUSAK! INVESTOR LUAR LARI SEMUA
 PH,
  
 Would you be kind enough to clarify this allegation? Or should we go 
 to court so you can prove your allegation?
  
 Salam,
 Rully
  
  

 - Original Message -
 *From:* PH™ mailto:vaulst...@yahoo.com
 *To:* obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
 mailto:obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
 *Sent:* Saturday, June 20, 2009 12:04 PM
 *Subject:* [ob] Bumi Investors Say: ‘No Probe? No Problem’ - APA
 GUE BILANG! INDO UDAH RUSAK! INVESTOR LUAR LARI SEMUA


 Even leader / representative of Minority shareholder bisa di
 beli... ;(
 Takut kali kalau masalah ini berlanjut saham dia nanti kena margin
 call... jadi boke... dan mendingan jg terima duit dulu dari orang
 tertentu


 ---


   Bumi Investors Say: ‘No Probe? No Problem’

 In 2007, Indonesia was ranked worst out of 11 regional markets in
 the Asian Corporate Governance Association survey, and, judging by
 the market regulator’s apparent whitewash of the PT Bumi Resources
 probe, nothing much has changed.

 However, despite the potential damage to the credibility of the
 bourse and the regulator — not to mention the interests of small
 investors — it now appears that it’s a case of “out of sight, out
 of mind,” with analysts and even Bumi’s minority shareholders
 suddenly saying they are happy with the decision of the Capital
 Market and Financial Institution Supervisory Agency (Bapepam-LK).

 In January, the agency launched a probe into the Bumi’s purchase
 of three coal firms — PT Darma Henwa, PT Fajar Bumi Sakti and PT
 Pendopo Energi Batubara — for a total of Rp 6.18 trillion ($593
 million) after an investor and media outcry over allegations that
 the acquisitions were overpriced.

 It was also alleged that the acquisitions amounted to a material
 transaction requiring the approval of Bumi shareholders — which
 was never given — ­and that some of the coal firms were actually
 affiliated with Bumi’s owners, the Bakrie group of companies,
 through obscure cross-shareholding arrangements.

 However, after a seemingly interminable probe that included the
 recruitment of an outside appraiser, the only fault Bapepam could
 come up with was that the price paid for one of the targets, PT
 Fajar Bumi Sakti, was Rp 370 billion too high.

 But even here Bumi was given an easy way out — all it had to do
 was renegotiate the price and bring it down to a “reasonable”
 level, which it says it is now in the process of doing.

 The market watchdog also let Bumi off the hook on the material
 transaction question, saying that since the transactions took
 place in different fiscal years the issue of materiality did not
 arise — a view that many would consider excessively legalistic
 given that all of the transactions took place within little more
 than one week. Dharma Henwa was bought on Dec. 30, Pendopo Energi
 Batubara on Jan. 5 and Fajar Bumi Sakti on Jan. 7.

 Capital market regulations designed to protect the interests of
 minority shareholders require a company to seek shareholder
 approval for a transaction if its value exceeds 10 percent of the
 company’s revenue or 20 percent of its market value. In this case,
 the combined value of the transactions would have required such
 approval had they not been completed in different years.

 On the affiliation issue, Bapepam has completely abandoned its
 investigation without coming up with any findings, saying that the
 question is now irrelevant.

 Indra Safitri, an independent capital market legal consultant,
 said that Bapepam had based its actions on the findings of the
 independent appraiser.

 “The other issues become irrelevant if the prices paid are
 reasonable,” he said, when asked whether the market watchdog was
 justified in abandoning its affiliation probe.

 Meanwhile, a representative of Bumi’s minority shareholders, Rully
 Oetomo, said: “We welcome the fact that Bumi’s management is
 willing to renegotiate and seek a better price for Fajar Bumi.”

 Rully said that since the transactions were found to have been
 nonmaterial, Bumi would not now have to seek shareholder approval.
 A meeting had been scheduled for this purpose this coming Friday.

 “We will not push Bapepam to continue the investigation into the
 

Re: [ob] Australian thermal coal price drop 7.7% to $70.81

2009-06-20 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
trader, saat merah atau ijo harus tetap PeDe menyesuaikan strategy dong...
kalo yg cuma bisa nonton doang, ya tinggal melongo.
ya kan bro?


boyz wrote:



 Ya merah juga Gpp, asal minusnya dikit aja :P

 Optimis sajalah... IHSG masih BULL, trend-nya blum patah, kan?

 Salam,

 --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com 
 mailto:obrolan-bandar%40yahoogroups.com, Thomas Frederick
 thomaszone_2...@... wrote:
 
  Moga2 ngga.
  Barusan bangun pagi liat bloomberg.. Ehhh beritanya turun coalnya..
 Darn!!
 
  Liat gelagat bumi di akhir sesi 2 juga bikin ga enak tuh. Tarik2an dia
 malah merah. Sebel dehh...
 
  Moga2 aja dehh tetep IJO
  -Original Message-
  From: boyz m457...@...
 
  Date: Sat, 20 Jun 2009 06:19:39
  To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com 
 mailto:obrolan-bandar%40yahoogroups.com
  Subject: Re: [ob] Australian thermal coal price drop 7.7% to $70.81
 
 
 
  Senin merah dong?
 
 
 
  Salam,
 
 
 
  --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com 
 mailto:obrolan-bandar%40yahoogroups.com, M|C michael.cupert@ wrote:
  
   Busyet dah, senin nyusruk lg nih..makasih infonya..
  
   On 6/19/09, Thomas Frederick thomaszone_2000@ wrote:
   
   
   
  
 




Re: [ob] Bumi Investors Say: ‘No Probe? No Pro blem’ - APA GUE BILANG! INDO UDAH RUSAK! INVE STOR LUAR LARI SEMUA

2009-06-20 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
sambil kita menunggu jawaban penjelasan dari Pak Rully, saya bisa 
sampaikan bahwa jika Pak Rully masih dongkol atau tdk setuju dengan 
tindakan manajemen pun, tidak akan bisa melakukan tuntutan secara hukum 
kepada perusahaan tanpa bisa membuktikan adaya cacat hukum dalam aksi 
perusahaan apalagi jika semua investor juga telah bisa menerima apa yg 
telah diumumkan oleh mappi dan diterima oleh otoritas bursa.

seberapa banyak mereka yg tidak menerima akuisisi ini telah bergabung 
dalam KIPS BUMI?
seberapa banyak investor yg akan hadir di rups BUMI?
apakah benar para investor BUMI peduli dengan aksi perusahaan?
apakah para pemegang saham BUMI peduli...?
sudahkah menghubungi corsec utk menanyakan agenda  undangan RUPS?

atau hanya bisa diam saja... menunggu harga naik?  :)


Cougar Boy wrote:


 bung Rully..mau tanya aja ...


 statement

 ..
 Rully Oetomo, said: “We welcome the fact that Bumi’s management is 
 willing to renegotiate and seek a better price for Fajar Bumi.” 

 Rully said that since the transactions were found to have been 
 nonmaterial, Bumi would not now have to seek shareholder approval. A 
 meeting had been scheduled for this purpose this coming Friday. 

 “We will not push Bapepam to continue the investigation into the 
 affiliation issue if we are happy with the price,” Rully said. 
 ..

 itu beneran bung Rully yang bilang ?

 cuman pingin tahu aja

 Cougar

 On Sat, Jun 20, 2009 at 10:58 AM, Rully rullymainsa...@gmail.com 
 mailto:rullymainsa...@gmail.com wrote:



 

 PH,
  
 Would you be kind enough to clarify this allegation? Or should we
 go to court so you can prove your allegation?
  
 Salam,
 Rully
  
  

 - Original Message -
 *From:* PH™ mailto:vaulst...@yahoo.com
 *To:* obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
 mailto:obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
 *Sent:* Saturday, June 20, 2009 12:04 PM
 *Subject:* [ob] Bumi Investors Say: ‘No Probe? No Problem’ -
 APA GUE BILANG! INDO UDAH RUSAK! INVESTOR LUAR LARI SEMUA


 Even leader / representative of Minority shareholder bisa di
 beli... ;(
 Takut kali kalau masalah ini berlanjut saham dia nanti kena
 margin call... jadi boke... dan mendingan jg terima duit dulu
 dari orang tertentu


 ---


   Bumi Investors Say: ‘No Probe? No Problem’

 In 2007, Indonesia was ranked worst out of 11 regional markets
 in the Asian Corporate Governance Association survey, and,
 judging by the market regulator’s apparent whitewash of the PT
 Bumi Resources probe, nothing much has changed.

 However, despite the potential damage to the credibility of
 the bourse and the regulator — not to mention the interests of
 small investors — it now appears that it’s a case of “out of
 sight, out of mind,” with analysts and even Bumi’s minority
 shareholders suddenly saying they are happy with the decision
 of the Capital Market and Financial Institution Supervisory
 Agency (Bapepam-LK).

 In January, the agency launched a probe into the Bumi’s
 purchase of three coal firms — PT Darma Henwa, PT Fajar Bumi
 Sakti and PT Pendopo Energi Batubara — for a total of Rp 6.18
 trillion ($593 million) after an investor and media outcry
 over allegations that the acquisitions were overpriced.

 It was also alleged that the acquisitions amounted to a
 material transaction requiring the approval of Bumi
 shareholders — which was never given — ­and that some of the
 coal firms were actually affiliated with Bumi’s owners, the
 Bakrie group of companies, through obscure cross-shareholding
 arrangements.

 However, after a seemingly interminable probe that included
 the recruitment of an outside appraiser, the only fault
 Bapepam could come up with was that the price paid for one of
 the targets, PT Fajar Bumi Sakti, was Rp 370 billion too high.

 But even here Bumi was given an easy way out — all it had to
 do was renegotiate the price and bring it down to a
 “reasonable” level, which it says it is now in the process of
 doing.

 The market watchdog also let Bumi off the hook on the material
 transaction question, saying that since the transactions took
 place in different fiscal years the issue of materiality did
 not arise — a view that many would consider excessively
 legalistic given that all of the transactions took place
 within little more than one week. Dharma Henwa was bought on
 Dec. 30, Pendopo Energi Batubara on Jan. 5 and Fajar Bumi
 Sakti on Jan. 7.

 Capital market regulations designed to protect the interests
 

Re: [ob] ph ... MULUT U TOLONG DIJAGA ...!!!

2009-06-20 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
santai aja bos harry, kalo menuduh orang terima suap artinya menuduh yg 
memberi suap juga.
ini pertama kalinya KIPS BUMI bisa kolaborasi dengan manajemen BUMI 
untuk menjemput PH di rumahnya jika masalah ini tidak diklarifikasi.
kawan team IT chatroom siap membantu melacak rumah, kantor ataupun 
warnet yg dipakai PH.


harrywijaya81 wrote:


 --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com 
 mailto:obrolan-bandar%40yahoogroups.com, PHâ„¢ vaulst...@... wrote:
  PH ...
 kalo u ngomong , mulut tolong dijaga , jgn asal keluar aza ...
 w tau , mgkn u salah satu org yg sangkutz di bumi wkt 8000 an yah ... 
 kekekkeke ... rasain u ... kalo emang lg sangkutz berat di bumi , 
 jgn sensitif gt donk tolol .

 mgkn anda tdk kenal dkt dgn rully , tp saya sangat kenal dgn rully ...
 rully bukan type org yg bisa disuap .

 KALO ANDA YG KETUA KIPS , MGKN IYA , BISA DISUAP .

 DASAR TOLOL ...

 
  Even leader / representative of Minority shareholder bisa di beli... ;(
  Takut kali kalau masalah ini berlanjut saham dia nanti kena margin 
 call... jadi boke... dan mendingan jg terima duit dulu dari orang 
 tertentu
 
 
  ---
  Bumi Investors Say: ‘No Probe? No Problem’
 
 
 
 
  In
  2007, Indonesia was ranked worst out of 11 regional markets in the
  Asian Corporate Governance Association survey, and, judging by the
  market regulator’s apparent whitewash of the PT Bumi Resources probe,
  nothing much has changed.
 
  However, despite the potential
  damage to the credibility of the bourse and the regulator †not to
  mention the interests of small investors †it now appears that 
 it’s a
  case of “out of sight, out of mind,� with analysts and even Bumi’s
  minority shareholders suddenly saying they are happy with the decision
  of the Capital Market and Financial Institution Supervisory Agency
  (Bapepam-LK).
 
  In January, the agency launched a probe into the
  Bumi’s purchase of three coal firms †PT Darma Henwa, PT Fajar Bumi
  Sakti and PT Pendopo Energi Batubara †for a total of Rp 6.18 trillion
  ($593 million) after an investor and media outcry over allegations that
  the acquisitions were overpriced.
 
  It was also alleged that the
  acquisitions amounted to a material transaction requiring the approval
  of Bumi shareholders †which was never given †­and that some 
 of the
  coal firms were actually affiliated with Bumi’s owners, the Bakrie
  group of companies, through obscure cross-shareholding arrangements.
 
  However,
  after a seemingly interminable probe that included the recruitment of
  an outside appraiser, the only fault Bapepam could come up with was
  that the price paid for one of the targets, PT Fajar Bumi Sakti, was Rp
  370 billion too high.
 
  But even here Bumi was given an easy way
  out †all it had to do was renegotiate the price and bring it down 
 to a
  “reasonable� level, which it says it is now in the process of 
 doing.
 
  The
  market watchdog also let Bumi off the hook on the material transaction
  question, saying that since the transactions took place in different
  fiscal years the issue of materiality did not arise †a view that many
  would consider excessively legalistic given that all of the
  transactions took place within little more than one week. Dharma Henwa
  was bought on Dec. 30, Pendopo Energi Batubara on Jan. 5 and Fajar Bumi
  Sakti on Jan. 7.
 
  Capital market regulations designed to
  protect the interests of minority shareholders require a company to
  seek shareholder approval for a transaction if its value exceeds 10
  percent of the company’s revenue or 20 percent of its market value. In
  this case, the combined value of the transactions would have required
  such approval had they not been completed in different years.
 
  On
  the affiliation issue, Bapepam has completely abandoned its
  investigation without coming up with any findings, saying that the
  question is now irrelevant.
 
  Indra Safitri, an independent
  capital market legal consultant, said that Bapepam had based its
  actions on the findings of the independent appraiser.
 
  “The
  other issues become irrelevant if the prices paid are reasonable,� he
  said, when asked whether the market watchdog was justified in
  abandoning its affiliation probe.
 
  Meanwhile, a representative
  of Bumi’s minority shareholders, Rully Oetomo, said: “We welcome the
  fact that Bumi’s management is willing to renegotiate and seek a 
 better
  price for Fajar Bumi.�
 
  Rully said that since the transactions
  were found to have been nonmaterial, Bumi would not now have to seek
  shareholder approval. A meeting had been scheduled for this purpose
  this coming Friday.
 
  “We will not push Bapepam to continue the investigation into the 
 affiliation issue if we are happy with the price,� Rully said.
 
  But
  despite the newfound acquiescence of the company’s shareholders, 
 doubts
  

Re: [ob] Bumi Investors Say: 'No Probe? No Problem' - APA GUE BILANG! INDO UDAH RUSAK! INVESTOR LUAR LARI SEMUA

2009-06-20 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
Rully is the founder of KIPS BUMI who was quoted as a representative of 
Bumi's minority shareholders. He is not part of MAPPI members.
KIPS BUMI is on investor's side.

where do u stand?


Vaulstrad wrote:


 I guess it is about how you stand.

 first for that article, i am not the writer.

 Of course i know that if we keep talking this issue never resolve and 
 BUMI still at the lowest level. But it is not about the share price. 
 This is how you should stand. Even Mappi can extend time to talk to 
 BUMI for the outcome. If BUMI agree that it is publish. If not let 
 adjust it to everyone favour.

 This is call independent.

 I believe that he should stand for us. that what the leader of 
 minority shareholder right? maybe he forget. He is just worries if 
 this thing take longer time BUMI share price will be at rock bottom.

 --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com 
 mailto:obrolan-bandar%40yahoogroups.com, Aria Santoso 
 ariasant...@... wrote:
 
  Dear PH,
  I suppose that u need to learn about the difference of law  ethics.
 
  Should u do fart in front of us, it would be unfavorable to many of us;
  however we couldn't sue you for that. It's not a law-breaking thing so
  we can't take any legal action.
  In fact we are not happy for that action and the bad smell left for us.
  It's about ethics in social relationship.
 
  Below allegation in public is managed under law. Please be so kind to
  ensure that you will settle it.
 
  Cordially,
  Ace
 
 
 
   Original Message 
  Subject: [ob] Bumi Investors Say: ‘No Probe? No Problem’ - APA GUE
  BILANG! INDO UDAH RUSAK! INVESTOR LUAR LARI SEMUA
  Date: Fri, 19 Jun 2009 20:04:02 -0700 (PDT)
  From: PHâ„¢ vaulst...@...
  Reply-To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com 
 mailto:obrolan-bandar%40yahoogroups.com
  To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com 
 mailto:obrolan-bandar%40yahoogroups.com
 
 
 
  PHâ„¢ wrote:
  
  
  
   Even leader / representative of Minority shareholder bisa di 
 beli... ;(
   Takut kali kalau masalah ini berlanjut saham dia nanti kena margin
   call... jadi boke... dan mendingan jg terima duit dulu dari orang
   tertentu
  
  
   ---
  
  
   Bumi Investors Say: ‘No Probe? No Problem’
  
   In 2007, Indonesia was ranked worst out of 11 regional markets in the
   Asian Corporate Governance Association survey, and, judging by the
   market regulator’s apparent whitewash of the PT Bumi Resources 
 probe,
   nothing much has changed.
  
   However, despite the potential damage to the credibility of the 
 bourse
   and the regulator †not to mention the interests of small 
 investors â€
   it now appears that it’s a case of “out of sight, out of 
 mind,� with
   analysts and even Bumi’s minority shareholders suddenly saying they
   are happy with the decision of the Capital Market and Financial
   Institution Supervisory Agency (Bapepam-LK).
  
   In January, the agency launched a probe into the Bumi’s purchase of
   three coal firms †PT Darma Henwa, PT Fajar Bumi Sakti and PT 
 Pendopo
   Energi Batubara †for a total of Rp 6.18 trillion ($593 million) 
 after
   an investor and media outcry over allegations that the acquisitions
   were overpriced.
  
   It was also alleged that the acquisitions amounted to a material
   transaction requiring the approval of Bumi shareholders †which was
   never given †­and that some of the coal firms were actually
   affiliated with Bumi’s owners, the Bakrie group of companies, 
 through
   obscure cross-shareholding arrangements.
  
   However, after a seemingly interminable probe that included the
   recruitment of an outside appraiser, the only fault Bapepam could 
 come
   up with was that the price paid for one of the targets, PT Fajar Bumi
   Sakti, was Rp 370 billion too high.
  
   But even here Bumi was given an easy way out †all it had to do was
   renegotiate the price and bring it down to a “reasonable� 
 level, which
   it says it is now in the process of doing.
  
   The market watchdog also let Bumi off the hook on the material
   transaction question, saying that since the transactions took 
 place in
   different fiscal years the issue of materiality did not arise †
 a view
   that many would consider excessively legalistic given that all of the
   transactions took place within little more than one week. Dharma 
 Henwa
   was bought on Dec. 30, Pendopo Energi Batubara on Jan. 5 and Fajar
   Bumi Sakti on Jan. 7.
  
   Capital market regulations designed to protect the interests of
   minority shareholders require a company to seek shareholder approval
   for a transaction if its value exceeds 10 percent of the company’s
   revenue or 20 percent of its market value. In this case, the combined
   value of the transactions would have required such approval had they
   not been completed in different years.
  
   On the affiliation issue, Bapepam has completely abandoned its
   investigation without coming

[ob] Tuduhan: Ketua KIPS makan suap

2009-06-20 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
sekedar pembelajaran buat kita semua, harap memahami dengan baik apa yg 
kita baca dan hati-hati dalam menuduh oarng di depan publik.
penjelasan dan minta maafnya vaulst...@yahoo.com di milis OB sudah cukup 
bagi saya. Kiranya maalah ini boleh ditutup sampai di sini saja.


kelihatannya beliau salah paham karena tdk mengerti apa tujuan KIPS BUMI 
dan pernyataan Pak Rully.
saya undang vaulstrad utk bertemu saya jika ingin lebih jelas mengenai 
perjuangan KIPS BUMI.


 Original Message 
Subject:RE: [KIPS-BUMI] Tuduhan: Ketua KIPS makan suap
Date:   Sat, 20 Jun 2009 15:41:56 +0700
From:   Aria Santoso
To: kips-b...@yahoogroups.com



dalam pemberitaan oleh Jakarta Globe, Pak Rully mewakili suara pemegang 
saham minoritas.


*Meanwhile, *a representative of Bumi's minority shareholders*, Rully 
Oetomo,

said: We welcome the fact that Bumi's management is willing to renegotiate
and seek a better price for Fajar Bumi.*
dan *representative of Minority shareholder* dituduh oleh 
vaulst...@yahoo.com mailto:vaulst...@yahoo.com melalui posting email 
di milis OB telah menerima suap.

**Even leader / representative of Minority shareholder bisa di beli... ;(**


untuk kawan2 semua:
saya ingin kita coba merenungkan perbedaan antara hukum  etika.
pelanggaran hukum bisa dituntut tapi pelanggaran etika tidak bisa dituntut.
contoh sederhana:
* jika saya mengambil barang milik anda tanpa ijin walaupun nilainya 
kecil, maka saya bisa dituntut karena bisa dikenakan pasal pencurian 
selama ada bukti dan saksi.
* jika saya melukai anda, maka saya bisa dituntut karena bisa dikenakan 
pasal penganiayaan selama ada bukti dan saksi.
* jika saya meludahi anda di muka umum, maka saya bisa dituntut karena 
bisa dikenakan pasal perbuatan tidak menyenangkan selama ada saksi yg cukup.
* jika saya kentut di dekat anda, dan saya tidak mengaku. anda tinggal 
kebauan, dongkol, tapi saya tidak bisa dituntut. hanya secara etika 
pergaulan saya akan tidak disukai jika memiliki kebiasaan seperti itu.


apakah anda bisa menuntut mereka yg tidak terbukti bersalah secara hukum?
terlepas dari anda suka atau tidak suka.
itulah kenyataannya...



*Sent:* Saturday, June 20, 2009 3:07 PM
*To:* kips-b...@yahoogroups.com
*Subject:* RE: [KIPS-BUMI] Tuduhan: Ketua KIPS makan suap



Lho koq jadi pak Rully yang kena tuduhan? Setahu saya yang melakukan 
penilaian itu kan MAPPI bukan KIPS-BUMI. Emang ketua MAPPI nya pak Rully 
juga?



To: kips-b...@yahoogroups.com
Date: Sat, 20 Jun 2009 14:57:33 +0700
Subject: [KIPS-BUMI] Tuduhan: Ketua KIPS makan suap

 Original Message 
Subject: [ob] Bumi Investors Say: 'No Probe? No Problem' - APA GUE
BILANG! INDO UDAH RUSAK! INVESTOR LUAR LARI SEMUA
Date: Fri, 19 Jun 2009 20:04:02 -0700 (PDT)
From: PHT vaulst...@yahoo.com mailto:vaulst...@yahoo.com
Reply-To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com 
mailto:obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com

To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com mailto:obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com

Even leader / representative of Minority shareholder bisa di beli... ;(
Takut kali kalau masalah ini berlanjut saham dia nanti kena margin call...
jadi boke... dan mendingan jg terima duit dulu dari orang tertentu

---

Bumi Investors Say: 'No Probe? No Problem'

In 2007, Indonesia was ranked worst out of 11 regional markets in the Asian
Corporate Governance Association survey, and, judging by the market
regulator's apparent whitewash of the PT Bumi Resources probe, nothing much
has changed.

However, despite the potential damage to the credibility of the bourse and
the regulator - not to mention the interests of small investors - it now
appears that it's a case of out of sight, out of mind, with analysts and
even Bumi's minority shareholders suddenly saying they are happy with the
decision of the Capital Market and Financial Institution Supervisory Agency
(Bapepam-LK).

In January, the agency launched a probe into the Bumi's purchase of three
coal firms - PT Darma Henwa, PT Fajar Bumi Sakti and PT Pendopo Energi
Batubara - for a total of Rp 6.18 trillion ($593 million) after an investor
and media outcry over allegations that the acquisitions were overpriced.

It was also alleged that the acquisitions amounted to a material transaction
requiring the approval of Bumi shareholders - which was never given - -and
that some of the coal firms were actually affiliated with Bumi's owners, the
Bakrie group of companies, through obscure cross-shareholding arrangements.

However, after a seemingly interminable probe that included the recruitment
of an outside appraiser, the only fault Bapepam could come up with was that
the price paid for one of the targets, PT Fajar Bumi Sakti, was Rp 370
billion too high.

But even here Bumi was given an easy way out - all it had to do was
renegotiate the price and bring

Re: [ob] ph ... MULUT U TOLONG DIJAGA ...!!!

2009-06-20 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
saya siap pertemukan anda dengan Pak Rully apa back up yang bisa anda 
berikan?
apakah anda member KIPS BUMI?

Vaulstrad wrote:


 OK GUA RALAT DECH BUAT RULLY.. GUE CUMAN KESEL AJA KENAPA DIA CEPET 
 BGT BERUBAH PENDAPAT.

 MAAF BUAT PAK RULLY. BUT PLEASE GIVE US PROPER REASON. KARENA KITA 
 BANYAK YG SUDAH BACK YOU UP FOR THAT REASON. NOW YOU TURN US DOWN.

 Dari article di bawah saja sudah jelas orang sudah judge kita jelek.

 In
   2007, Indonesia was ranked worst out of 11 regional markets in the
   Asian Corporate Governance Association survey, and, judging by the
   market regulator’s apparent whitewash of the PT Bumi Resources 
 probe,
   nothing much has changed.
  
   However, despite the potential
   damage to the credibility of the bourse and the regulator †not to
   mention the interests of small investors †it now appears that 
 it’s a
   case of “out of sight, out of mind,� with analysts and even 
 Bumi’s
   minority shareholders suddenly saying they are happy with the decision
   of the Capital Market and Financial Institution Supervisory Agency
   (Bapepam-LK). 

 you see?? ...suddenly saying they are happy with decision of the 
 capital market...

 Please ini sangat merusak kreabilitas bursa saham kita. Gimana Asing 
 bisa stay lama disini dan beli di harga premium di banding dengan 
 negara2 lain nya.

 --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com 
 mailto:obrolan-bandar%40yahoogroups.com, Thomas Frederick 
 thomaszone_2...@... wrote:
 
  Jangan berantem dehh...
 
  Kalo rully bener2 bisa dibuktikan terima duit... Silahkan 
 dimaki-maki. Kita se milis ngolok2in juga no problem.
 
  Tapi kalo lu ngga bisa buktikan
 
  YOU OWE RULLY A VERY VERY BIG APOLOGY.
 
  Minimum di publikasikan di OB.
 
 
  -Original Message-
  From: harrywijaya81 harrywijay...@...
 
  Date: Sat, 20 Jun 2009 08:04:23
  To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com 
 mailto:obrolan-bandar%40yahoogroups.com
  Subject: [ob] ph ... MULUT U TOLONG DIJAGA ...!!!
 
 
  --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com 
 mailto:obrolan-bandar%40yahoogroups.com, PHâ„¢ vaulstrad@ wrote:
   PH ...
  kalo u ngomong , mulut tolong dijaga , jgn asal keluar aza ...
  w tau , mgkn u salah satu org yg sangkutz di bumi wkt 8000 an yah 
 ... kekekkeke ... rasain u ... kalo emang lg sangkutz berat di 
 bumi , jgn sensitif gt donk tolol .
 
  mgkn anda tdk kenal dkt dgn rully , tp saya sangat kenal dgn rully ...
  rully bukan type org yg bisa disuap .
 
  KALO ANDA YG KETUA KIPS , MGKN IYA , BISA DISUAP .
 
  DASAR TOLOL ...
 
 
 
  
   Even leader / representative of Minority shareholder bisa di 
 beli... ;(
   Takut kali kalau masalah ini berlanjut saham dia nanti kena margin 
 call... jadi boke... dan mendingan jg terima duit dulu dari orang 
 tertentu
  
  
   ---
   Bumi Investors Say: ‘No Probe? No Problem’
  
  
  
  
   In
   2007, Indonesia was ranked worst out of 11 regional markets in the
   Asian Corporate Governance Association survey, and, judging by the
   market regulator’s apparent whitewash of the PT Bumi Resources 
 probe,
   nothing much has changed.
  
   However, despite the potential
   damage to the credibility of the bourse and the regulator †not to
   mention the interests of small investors †it now appears that 
 it’s a
   case of “out of sight, out of mind,� with analysts and even 
 Bumi’s
   minority shareholders suddenly saying they are happy with the decision
   of the Capital Market and Financial Institution Supervisory Agency
   (Bapepam-LK).
  
   In January, the agency launched a probe into the
   Bumi’s purchase of three coal firms †PT Darma Henwa, PT Fajar 
 Bumi
   Sakti and PT Pendopo Energi Batubara †for a total of Rp 6.18 
 trillion
   ($593 million) after an investor and media outcry over allegations 
 that
   the acquisitions were overpriced.
  
   It was also alleged that the
   acquisitions amounted to a material transaction requiring the approval
   of Bumi shareholders †which was never given †­and that some 
 of the
   coal firms were actually affiliated with Bumi’s owners, the Bakrie
   group of companies, through obscure cross-shareholding arrangements.
  
   However,
   after a seemingly interminable probe that included the recruitment of
   an outside appraiser, the only fault Bapepam could come up with was
   that the price paid for one of the targets, PT Fajar Bumi Sakti, 
 was Rp
   370 billion too high.
  
   But even here Bumi was given an easy way
   out †all it had to do was renegotiate the price and bring it 
 down to a
   “reasonable� level, which it says it is now in the process of 
 doing.
  
   The
   market watchdog also let Bumi off the hook on the material transaction
   question, saying that since the transactions took place in different
   fiscal years the issue of materiality did not arise †a view 
 that many
   would consider excessively legalistic given that all of 

Re: [ob] Technical Analysis untuk saham SIDEWAYS

2009-06-20 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
Pak Jimmy Yth,
coba pake mata telanjang aja dulu pak.
Saat anda menentukan saham tsb sedang sideways artinya sdh menggunakan 
metode membacaan ciri trend.
SimilarHigh/SimilarLow.
Tinggal tentukan area Support  Resistance-nya.

Supaya jelas, kira-kiranya, saya lampirkan contoh nyata dengan 
menggunakan saham bei.

salam,
ace

jimmywidj...@yahoo.com wrote:
 Hi Guys...
 Kalo untuk saham sideways..kira kira teknikal analisisnya cocok pake apa ya ?

 Thank You Guys...

 Jimmy Lesmana Widjaya
 Sent from my BlackBerry®
 powered by Sinyal Kuat INDOSAT

   

inline: sideways.png

Re: [ob] RE: OB Ribut2 Lagi, Besok Gue CUT LOSS

2009-06-20 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
Pak Yudizz,
Yang ribut kan cuma saya, jadi cuma saya yang mentalnya lemah.
yang lain nyantai aja...
semua member OB sini mentalnya kuat. terbukti mampu melewati bearish 
2008 dan survive!
saya satu2nya member milis OB yang paling lemah mentalnya.

Salam,
ace


Yudizz wrote:


 Pake ilmu psikologi aja.

 Dengan adanya ribut2 ini menunjukkan bahwa secara mental para pelaku 
 market
 sudah LEMAH. Tidak ada persatuan menunjukan tidak ada lagi perasaan 
 OPTIMIS.

 Kalo bandar mau gebuk itu tinggal masalah waktu doang. Semudah Manny
 Pacquiao meng-KO Ricky Hatton.

 Mudah2an saya salah, karena saya memang bukan pakar bandarmologi.

 Regards,
 Yudizz

 Powered by BEI Berbullish™
 May The BULL Be With You





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Re: Bls: [ob] sektor plantation

2009-06-19 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso

Hello Jendral Arto,
Saya sudah watch terus plantation sejak tanggal 10 Juni'09 sampai 
sekarang, apakah senin sudah boleh beli?


salam,
Ace


 Original Message 
Subject:Bls: [ob] sektor plantation
Date:   Wed, 10 Jun 2009 20:48:26 +0800 (SGT)
From:   andiyanto dharmawan andiyanto_dharma...@yahoo.co.id
Reply-To:   obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
References: 	109333.52809...@web76013.mail.sg1.yahoo.com 
4a2f878b.1050...@gmail.com




andiyanto dharmawan wrote:



rally kapan lagi?udah rally panjang gini..


*Dari:* Aria Santoso ariasant...@gmail.com
*Kepada:* obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
*Terkirim:* Rabu, 10 Juni, 2009 17:14:35
*Topik:* Re: [ob] sektor plantation

masuknya nanti saat rally aja ya jendral...
sekarang nunggu dulu :)

artomoro9 wrote:



 watch : aali, unsp, sgro, tbla, lsip.

 oil 70
 cpo mulai up.

 http://ifs.marketce nter.com/ charts/charts. jsp?cID=FS iFSsymbols= 
MPO-BMDiFScompa reTo=iFSperiod= DiFSvminutes= iFSchartsize= 
575x300iFSbarde nsity=LOW iFSbartype= CANDLEiFSstudie s=iFSohlc= 
true 
http://ifs.marketcenter.com/charts/charts.jsp?cID=FSiFSsymbols=MPO-BMDiFScompareTo=iFSperiod=DiFSvminutes=iFSchartsize=575x300iFSbardensity=LOWiFSbartype=CANDLEiFSstudies=iFSohlc=true








 DISCLAIMER ON



Re: [ob] Kim Eng Securities: Technical analysis: We are Bullish

2009-06-19 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
Pak Yudizz Yth,
Mungkin saja mereka punya charting software tsb atau analysis tools yg 
bahkan lebih canggih sekalipun tapi tdk dipakai utk ditampilan dalam 
presentasi ini.
Analisa mereka yang menggunakan ChartNexus belum tentu kalah dengan 
orang2 lain yg menggunakan Metastock. Buktinya anda juga pakai ChartNexus.
Lagipula selama datanya benar dan ilmu TA penggunanya juga punya dasar 
yg baik tentu hasil analisanya akan berada di kisaran yg sama dengan 
analis manapun secara umum.

Pak Nicholas Alvin,
Terima kasih telah berbagi untuk kita semua.
Perbandingan halaman 9 dan 10 cukup menarik.


Pemerhati presentasi analis,
Presentasi yg cukup lengkap ini tentu dipersiapkan dengan tujuan tertentu.
Saya rasa patut diperhatikan tujuan dari publikasi analisa ini karena 
indeks telah bergerak 1000 poin dari bottomnya baru keluar pernyataan 
bullish, padahal secara teknikal jika menunggu indeks tembus ma200 saja 
statement ini sdh boleh dikeluarkan selambatnya di awal bulan Mei 09 
(terlambat lebih dari satu setengah bulan: file presentasi ini baru 
rampung tadi pagi). Bagaimana dengan ajakan exit nantinya, berapa lama 
kemudian baru akan dikeluarkan statement We are bearish sejak secara 
teknikal telah terjadi?
Ada yg bisa bantu menjelaskan konteks presentasi ini?

salam,
ace

Yudizz wrote:


 Gile, masa sekuritas sekelas Kim Eng bikin chartnya pake ChartNexus..?!?

 Payah lu, biasa kalo main guyur2an sampe ratusan milyar, tapi beli 
 Metastock aja nggak mampu. Hihihi….

 Regards,

 Yudizz

 Powered by BEI Berbullish™

 May The BULL Be With You

 

 *From:* obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com 
 [mailto:obrolan-ban...@yahoogroups.com] *On Behalf Of *nicholas alvin
 *Sent:* Friday, June 19, 2009 4:04 PM
 *To:* ob Obrolan bandar; Nicholas Alvin
 *Subject:* [ob] Kim Eng Securities: Technical analysis: We are Bullish




 *We are Bullish *

 v Key Points

 v Comparison; Dow Jones, Commodity, and Dollar Index

 v Commodity Gain Signal

 v US Financial Condition Chart, better

 v IDX Sector Returns, back to reality – back to commodity

 v Indonesia President 2009 Election Time Table

 v Investor’s Mind?

 v IDX, Trend line Chart

 v IDX, Moving Average/MA Chart

 v Oil Price Chart

 v Top Picks

 Arwani Pranadjaya

 apranadj...@kimeng.co.id /mc/compose?to=apranadj...@kimeng.co.id






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Re: [ob] Re: Mbah nanya tanda alam apa ini , tumben2 BNBR bergerak sendiri

2009-06-19 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
Yes, I am PeDe!
Pls adjust our strategy accordingly...

jsx_consultant wrote:


 --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com 
 mailto:obrolan-bandar%40yahoogroups.com, boyz m457...@... wrote:
 
 
  Jadi Senin merah ya, mBah? 
 

 Hari ini 27 kepala negara UNI EROPA ngasih statement bahwa mereka
 melihat tanda pertama SUSTAINABLE ECONOMIC RECOVERY, jadi
 mereka menganggap stimulus tambahan sudah tidak perlu seperti
 policy BUDGET DEFICIT... 27 Kepala Negara UE udah mulai PEDE...

 Are We PEDE too ?.

 yang jelas, index London ampe naek 2%...



Re: [ob] AALI

2009-06-18 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
Kasian juga trader yg ambil keputusan beli dengan berlandaskan informasi 
ini. Sejak 10:35:08 sampe market closing malah kena guyur.
Mungkin cara bacanya: grup besar mau belanja, jadi harga akan ditekan 
dulu. begitukah?

andiyanto dharmawan wrote:


  AALI: Citigroup Upgrade TP jadi Rp20.600, Buy
 Citigroup meng-upgrade target price atas AALI jadi Rp20.620 dari 
 Rp17.940/saham dan mempertahankan
 rekomendasi rating Buy, terkait dengan :
 * valuasi PE saat ini di 13.8x P/E F09E masih terdiskon 20%-25% dari 
 rata-rata P/E saham
 plantation Malaysia di 17.9x P/E F09E.
 * blue chip di sektor plantation, tingginya ROE
 * 6% dividend yield
 * Sehatnya balance sheet
 * strkutur bisnis yang simple (dowjones/fz)


 
 http://sg.rd.yahoo.com/id/mail/domainchoice/mail/signature/*http://mail.promotions.yahoo.com/newdomains/id/



Re: [ob] DJI to Pak Halim.... Re: The next den BEI part 2 ?

2009-06-17 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
saya tebak merah aja deh... (tapi tetap berharap tebakannya salah).


Cougar Boy wrote:

 Ampun bozz ampun gak berani tebak

 Ha ha

 Cuman berani nunggiun aja di retracement..
 Btw eropa min berapa sih ? Koq pada ketakutan ?

 On 6/17/09, jsx_consultant jsx-consult...@centrin.net.id 
 mailto:jsx-consultant%40centrin.net.id wrote:
  Jangan muter muter, jawab closing DJI IJO atau MERAH ?.
 
  Index eropa udah semuanya merah, masa engga berani jawab...
 

inline: dji 16jun09.png

Re: [ob] Apakakah DOW akan koreksi lagi?!!

2009-06-17 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
Bu ada yg bilang bearish continuation nih...
http://www.trending123.com/patterns/Continuation-Diamond-Chart-Pattern-Bearish.html

Rokaya Aritonang wrote:


 Pola Diamond adalah pola reversal..seharusnya naik keatas..tapi power 
 (volume) saat break resistance tidak mendukung..itu sebabnya jadi 
 mental kebawah dulu...baru naik lg...

 Best Regard,


 Rokaya A.

 --- On *Wed, 6/17/09, HOTMONEY /vividtra...@gmail.com/* wrote:


 From: HOTMONEY vividtra...@gmail.com
 Subject: Re: [ob] Apakakah DOW akan koreksi lagi?!!
 To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
 Date: Wednesday, June 17, 2009, 10:23 PM

 Pola diamond gagal maksudnya apa bu?

 Pada 17 Juni 2009 22:13, Rokaya Aritonang rok...@yahoo. com
 http://us.mc543.mail.yahoo.com/mc/compose?to=rok...@yahoo.com
 menulis:



 Kemungkin Dow akan membentuk koreksi untuk wave A, artinya
 peluang rebound terbuka...

 Best Regard,


 Rokaya A.








Re: [ob] Re: Dewa dah ijo

2009-06-16 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso

bagusnya ada yg hitungkan present value DEWA

http://i44.tinypic.com/2ho8wnn.png


agung39 wrote:



Masak gara gara MAPPI report bisa AR kanan BOzz,
Bukannya BUMI malah harus Tender Offer di harga 350???

--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com 
mailto:obrolan-bandar%40yahoogroups.com, jsxtrader jsxtra...@... 
wrote:


 Kalo AR kanan too much to ask ngga?

 --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com 
mailto:obrolan-bandar%40yahoogroups.com, agung39 agung39@ wrote:

 
  Waduh..udah 235...ditinggal nyari nyari berita...udah main lompat 
aja tuh..emang mau kemana sih dia???

  O iya...kan katanye MAPPI akan presentasi nanti jam 17.00...
  Apa udah ada bocorannya ya???
 
 





Re: [ob] KEMAHALAN!!!!!!!!!!!!

2009-06-16 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso

ada yang cuma cari 100 perak aja pak... sampe 2175 besok juga udh senang.

http://i40.tinypic.com/24e7y91.png

t_bumi wrote:



--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com 
mailto:obrolan-bandar%40yahoogroups.com, I believe in Elaine 
siangmalamph...@... wrote:


 Yang pasti DEWA yg naik , kl BUMI , ngk tau tuh . Hehehe
 Sent from my BlackBerry® smartphone from Sinyal Bagus XL, Nyambung 
Teruuusss...!


 Sip : tbumi

Ini namanya retailer mau cari cuan di BUMI, tapi MAPPI tak mau

ketinggalan juga yaitu mau cari cuan dgn dulunya menyatakan

dan berteriak bahwa akuisisi tsb ada masalah. MAPPI kan menerima

bayaran cukup besar dari audit tsb.


.






Re: [ob] Re: bumbum -bnbbrrrr

2009-06-12 Terurut Topik Aria Santoso
bu fifi dulu waktu kecil sering main layangan ya... :)

kode rahasia yg dikasih udh kluar kandang, supaya gak keselomot, kita 
perlu pelajari baik2 informasi strategi dr pak oentoeng.
yang mau ikutan 5 lot aja ya, bukan 5,000 lot. nanti gak jadi naik.

fifi young wrote:


 *Wuahahaha...
 Dasar A.S. = Anak Singiiit...
 canda ya...
 Sering2 kek gitu aja, BD pusyiiing dech...
 *




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