Re: [Vo]:E-Cat / philosophical remarks
At 07:41 AM 11/8/2011, Jed Rothwell wrote: I understand why he does not trust people. He has had a painful life and he has often been betrayed and unjustly persecuted. For example, one of the charges they sent him to jail for was defrauding the stockholders. He himself was the only stockholder, so this was Kafkaesque. Someone in the Italian justice system had it in for him. Does anyone have a link for that?
Re: [Vo]:E-Cat / philosophical remarks
Alan J Fletcher a...@well.com wrote: For example, one of the charges they sent him to jail for was defrauding the stockholders. He himself was the only stockholder, so this was Kafkaesque. Someone in the Italian justice system had it in for him. Does anyone have a link for that? No, sorry, I do not. That is what I have heard in conversations with various people. It could be an exaggeration. - Jed
Re: [Vo]:E-Cat / philosophical remarks
Lack of a patent is one side of the vulnerability. The other, even more important the stealability, guessability of his solution (catalyst). Is it something so awfully difficult as that shown in the nice old (1966( movie- How to steal a million with Audrey Hepburn and poeter OToole or is it relatively easy, with a bit of Sherlock Holmes style thinking and with some smart tests? We have no many certainties in this problem but if Defkalion was able to do it and if Chan'Formula works than Rossi' secret is weak. On Fri, Nov 25, 2011 at 8:46 PM, Jed Rothwell jedrothw...@gmail.com wrote: Alan J Fletcher a...@well.com wrote: For example, one of the charges they sent him to jail for was defrauding the stockholders. He himself was the only stockholder, so this was Kafkaesque. Someone in the Italian justice system had it in for him. Does anyone have a link for that? No, sorry, I do not. That is what I have heard in conversations with various people. It could be an exaggeration. - Jed -- Dr. Peter Gluck Cluj, Romania http://egooutpeters.blogspot.com
Re: [Vo]:E-Cat / philosophical remarks
On Fri, Nov 25, 2011 at 10:46 AM, Jed Rothwell jedrothw...@gmail.comwrote: Alan J Fletcher a...@well.com wrote: For example, one of the charges they sent him to jail for was defrauding the stockholders. He himself was the only stockholder, so this was Kafkaesque. Someone in the Italian justice system had it in for him. Does anyone have a link for that? No, sorry, I do not. That is what I have heard in conversations with various people. It could be an exaggeration. Indeed. And I am sure you saw the large catalog of charges and convictions Rossi has amassed -- I forget where the cite is for that at the moment but it was quite impressive.
Re: [Vo]:E-Cat / philosophical remarks
Am 25.11.2011 20:20, schrieb Peter Gluck: Lack of a patent is one side of the vulnerability. The other, even more important the stealability, guessability of his solution (catalyst). I think they intentionally made their scientific publication and their patent in such a way that it will be rejected. If he proves that the device or that the catalyst works, he can easily get a patent. It could be it doesnt work at all. Possibly it cannot been patented because it doesnt work or it is stolen. Possibly he says he has a full house and has nothing. He is not playing football with his own bones, he is playing poker. Others make him all proposals and publish announcements and ideas and theories and research results and he gets them at no cost. He gets a lot but does not give anything serious. He accuses all others they want to steal his invention, now then why can he not been accused to play a irrational and crazy poker play? Why doesnt he show evidence and patent it by fact, not by theory? Whatever he does, this is a game and not a serious behaviour. Its not Football, its Poker what he plays. Peter
Re: [Vo]:E-Cat / philosophical remarks
The degree of correlation of Rossi's problems with the law and the efficiency of the E-cats is an open question. The definition from this writing can be applied here: http://egooutpeters.blogspot.com/2011/01/first-seed.html However this idea of intelligence can be used but also abused. I have a certainty- Piantelli's system works, therefore Rossi's CAN work too. Rossi, despite what he says, has borrowed Piantelli's know what and in part know how elements.Not know why and no know why not elements. Has made many empirical tests with additives and, it is possible he has found some method of enhancement. Believe an old engineer, it is not possible to do the show of Rossi without a drop of real excess heat. On Fri, Nov 25, 2011 at 9:38 PM, Mary Yugo maryyu...@gmail.com wrote: On Fri, Nov 25, 2011 at 10:46 AM, Jed Rothwell jedrothw...@gmail.comwrote: Alan J Fletcher a...@well.com wrote: For example, one of the charges they sent him to jail for was defrauding the stockholders. He himself was the only stockholder, so this was Kafkaesque. Someone in the Italian justice system had it in for him. Does anyone have a link for that? No, sorry, I do not. That is what I have heard in conversations with various people. It could be an exaggeration. Indeed. And I am sure you saw the large catalog of charges and convictions Rossi has amassed -- I forget where the cite is for that at the moment but it was quite impressive. -- Dr. Peter Gluck Cluj, Romania http://egooutpeters.blogspot.com
Re: [Vo]:E-Cat / philosophical remarks
Am 25.11.2011 21:01, schrieb Peter Gluck: The degree of correlation of Rossi's problems with the law and the efficiency of the E-cats is an open question. The definition from this writing can be applied here:http://egooutpeters.blogspot.com/2011/01/first-seed.html However this idea of intelligence can be used but also abused. I have a certainty- Piantelli's system works, therefore Rossi's CAN work too. There are others that replicated the experiments and got no certainty. Piantellis experiments, so far I know them, are so complicated, it is not possible to get certainty from simply looking at them. So, what is the reason for this certainty? Even if he is your friend, this doesnt exclude, that he has made errors. Rossi, despite what he says, has borrowed Piantelli's know what and in part know how elements.Not know why and no know why not elements. Has made many empirical tests with additives and, it is possible he has found some method of enhancement. Believe an old engineer, it is not possible to do the show of Rossi without a drop of real excess heat. Of course this can be done. I know how, but I have not enough shameles coolness to do it. Remember Keely. He did it very very long time and when he died they found hidden pressured air pipes and vacuum pipes in his devices. Peter
Re: [Vo]:E-Cat / philosophical remarks
On Fri, Nov 25, 2011 at 3:10 PM, Peter Heckert peter.heck...@arcor.de wrote: There are others that replicated the experiments and got no certainty. Citations, please? The cleansing of Ni of resident gases is arduous and necessary. Do these replications follow that protocol? T
Re: [Vo]:E-Cat / philosophical remarks
At 11:38 AM 11/25/2011, Mary Yugo wrote: Indeed. And I am sure you saw the large catalog of charges and convictions Rossi has amassed -- I forget where the cite is for that at the moment but it was quite impressive. You can read Rossi's version on the Krivit site. And you can read in http://corrieredibologna.corriere.it/bologna/notizie/cronaca/2011/23-novembre-2011/fusione-fredda-svolta-o-bluff-cat-sotto-esame-ateneo-1902274913518.shtml that the Bologna team do not care about such details.
Re: [Vo]:E-Cat / philosophical remarks
I have the certainty because I and some other friends have seen the cells working and giving excess heat. I have certainty because what Piantelli says and does has a logical consistency and I have followed the development for long years and it was development, was progress. This does not mean that the system is simple, there are lots of parameters that have to be fine-tuned. One example is the elimination of the initial heat peaks (Rossi had one in the Feb experiment). Re. replication I have seen here many examples of failed replication due to a I know better syndrome The case of the Zichichi reproduction is explained in New Energy Times No 29. Now many people try to reproduce Piantellli's system, me too. Piantelli is a great scientist (see my blog) but he is not inerrant. It was only one Italian who never erred; I remember well Mussolini ha sempre ragione and this habit did not lead to a happy end. On Fri, Nov 25, 2011 at 10:10 PM, Peter Heckert peter.heck...@arcor.dewrote: Am 25.11.2011 21:01, schrieb Peter Gluck: The degree of correlation of Rossi's problems with the law and the efficiency of the E-cats is an open question. The definition from this writing can be applied here:http://egooutpeters. **blogspot.com/2011/01/first-**seed.htmlhttp://egooutpeters.blogspot.com/2011/01/first-seed.html However this idea of intelligence can be used but also abused. I have a certainty- Piantelli's system works, therefore Rossi's CAN work too. There are others that replicated the experiments and got no certainty. Piantellis experiments, so far I know them, are so complicated, it is not possible to get certainty from simply looking at them. So, what is the reason for this certainty? Even if he is your friend, this doesnt exclude, that he has made errors. Rossi, despite what he says, has borrowed Piantelli's know what and in part know how elements.Not know why and no know why not elements. Has made many empirical tests with additives and, it is possible he has found some method of enhancement. Believe an old engineer, it is not possible to do the show of Rossi without a drop of real excess heat. Of course this can be done. I know how, but I have not enough shameles coolness to do it. Remember Keely. He did it very very long time and when he died they found hidden pressured air pipes and vacuum pipes in his devices. Peter -- Dr. Peter Gluck Cluj, Romania http://egooutpeters.blogspot.com
Re: [Vo]:E-Cat / philosophical remarks
Am 25.11.2011 21:37, schrieb Peter Gluck: I have the certainty because I and some other friends have seen the cells working and giving excess heat. I have certainty because what Piantelli says and does has a logical consistency and I have followed the development for long years and it was development, was progress. This does not mean that the system is simple, there are lots of parameters that have to be fine-tuned. One example is the elimination of the initial heat peaks (Rossi had one in the Feb experiment). Ok, I accept this as your personal experience. But you must still see, Piantelli and you and your other friends are the only ones who think they have clearly seen it. If it is not published and not documented in public, then I have no reason to share your experience. You and Piantelli and your other friends might have seen a Fata Morgana. The rest of the world has seen other experiences. What I see, is the hydride research that is done worldwide and I wonder why do these devices work so reliably and there is not a single documented case of radiation or energy anomalies. These devices even work in space and hydride storages are used for gaschromatography and other chemical analysis where high purity is needed. But anyway, even if Piantellis devices work, this is no reason to assume that Rossis devices work. Rossi is a poker player and he works together with Focardi and Stremmenos whose names both appear repeatedly in Piantellis publications. If they contribute to Rossis pokerplay, they might for example have played Poker with Piantelli and gave him false analysis results. So far I have read the transmutation elements that where found where all analyzed by Focardi. Possibly Piantelli and you where fooled by them? So, excuse me, without an evident and understandable proof I believe nothing. best, Peter
Re: [Vo]:E-Cat / philosophical remarks
Have you read Piantelli's publications see my Taxonomy on the blog Ego Out and on lenr-canr, there are many.papers. What do you think about the Pontignano Poster I have sent today? If you read these you will not ask why the hydrides do not give this effect. The poker play analogy has absolute no sense, Piantelli has never collaborated with Rossi who is no scientist and (this is my opinion not Piantelli's) is not somebody I will want as a friend unreliable and unpredictable. Type of anti-Galahad or reverse Lohengrin. I prefer serious and honest science and engineering to shows. On my blog I wrote exactly what I think. Going tto sleep, schone Traume! PeterG On Fri, Nov 25, 2011 at 11:06 PM, Peter Heckert peter.heck...@arcor.dewrote: Am 25.11.2011 21:37, schrieb Peter Gluck: I have the certainty because I and some other friends have seen the cells working and giving excess heat. I have certainty because what Piantelli says and does has a logical consistency and I have followed the development for long years and it was development, was progress. This does not mean that the system is simple, there are lots of parameters that have to be fine-tuned. One example is the elimination of the initial heat peaks (Rossi had one in the Feb experiment). Ok, I accept this as your personal experience. But you must still see, Piantelli and you and your other friends are the only ones who think they have clearly seen it. If it is not published and not documented in public, then I have no reason to share your experience. You and Piantelli and your other friends might have seen a Fata Morgana. The rest of the world has seen other experiences. What I see, is the hydride research that is done worldwide and I wonder why do these devices work so reliably and there is not a single documented case of radiation or energy anomalies. These devices even work in space and hydride storages are used for gaschromatography and other chemical analysis where high purity is needed. But anyway, even if Piantellis devices work, this is no reason to assume that Rossis devices work. Rossi is a poker player and he works together with Focardi and Stremmenos whose names both appear repeatedly in Piantellis publications. If they contribute to Rossis pokerplay, they might for example have played Poker with Piantelli and gave him false analysis results. So far I have read the transmutation elements that where found where all analyzed by Focardi. Possibly Piantelli and you where fooled by them? So, excuse me, without an evident and understandable proof I believe nothing. best, Peter -- Dr. Peter Gluck Cluj, Romania http://egooutpeters.blogspot.com
Re: [Vo]:E-Cat / philosophical remarks
Predictions are very dicey, especially about the future -- evidence very fallible, especially unsubmitted, especially nonexistent -- conclusions rather premature, especially imagined... while the feverish delirium of racing on hobby horses suggests dreaming -- the joint production evolving as a self-generating expanding random fractal of weird situations -- reality shows now reality -- not just Rossi or CF, but mainstream economics and politics and cosmology -- ie, FaceBook has gone from a college dorm room to 800 members worldwide in some 8 years -- it's a 'social game' ! -- becoming the largest social entity of all -- I find using dashes the best way to sort my thoughts these wonder full strange days... not just a pragmatic skeptic, but a bamboozled flummoxed amazed one... here I stand, for I know not which way to turn... Rich ? On Fri, Nov 25, 2011 at 2:01 PM, Peter Heckert peter.heck...@arcor.de wrote: Am 25.11.2011 22:28, schrieb Peter Gluck: Have you read Piantelli's publications see my Taxonomy on the blog Ego Out and on lenr-canr, there are many.papers. What do you think about the Pontignano Poster I have sent today? I have not seen it, sorry and dont know where to look. My doubt about Piantelli is this: I have read many times in the web, Piantelli got an OU factor of two or three reliably. Because this is not enough to make electricity he does not want to go public with this. This is what they write and I dont know, if it is true. Now, if he is a /real/ scientist, then he must know, how groundbreaking important such a result is for the whole science and for the whole world. So then he should do a blackbox demonstration and change the future of science and of the world by doing so. As a /real/ scientist he had the moral obligation to do so, if these reports are true. I cannot read all papers. Even if I understand them it is still unclear if I can trust them. I have seen scientists and engineers doing big nonsense in my life and sometimes I have also found myself doing big nonsense, but not intentionelly. But I have seen people that do this carelessly or intentionelly and have fun doing it. I want to see this same fundamental proof of efficiency from Defkalion and from Piantelli and from any other researcher that I want to see from Rossi. A convincing blackbox test Energy in Energy out, documented without gaps and independently trutable witnessed. Anything inside the blackbox can stay secret and undocumented, if the test is run long enough to exclude hidden energy sources or hidden energy storage. Chan Defkalion have nothing else delivered than verbal claims, I dont understand why you believe them. (Defkalion has made many definitely false announcements and claims in their forum and this is a strong reason for disbelieve.) Peter
Re: [Vo]:E-Cat / philosophical remarks
The problem is that it is easy to come up with fraudulent methods that could have delivered the observed demo results. Add to which Rossi has had no end of opportunities to remove all doubt, at no extra cost in effort or materials, and without danger of loss of IP, but has chosen not to for reasons that I (and others) are unable to guess. This leads to the two hotly contested options: 1/ It's real, but Rossi is not able to see how bad the decisions he is making are, and is incapable of taking sensible advice. 2/ It's a very elaborate scam. I'm in camp 1, but would not be surprised if outputs are much less than initially announced due to steam/water issues. But my belief is based mostly on multiple reports of similar results (though smaller output) by others. If it were just Rossi I would still be in camp 2. Rossi's failure in commercialisation of the biggest thing since the transistor is not totally unprecedented - the Wright brothers were almost as bad. But the fact that he is selling his house to finance a white elephant 1MW demo, when he would have had investors (with the expert help he so obviously needs) beating a path to his door to make him a billionaire if he simply did one good multi-day 10kW scale demo (with proper setup, record keeping and inspection), just leaves me amazed. It is so bad that at this point I am actually starting to feel he doesn't deserve success, I am glad that other groups seem to be closing in on similar results. On 8 November 2011 13:30, Berke Durak berke.du...@gmail.com wrote: The important thing with the e-Cat is that there don't seem to be any good faith classical models left around to explain the effect. In other words, all the various demonstrations disprove the notion that this is just misunderstood classical physics. It is either an elaborate hoax, or this is the real stuff. Elaborating models with hot bricks in the reactor core etc. is mostly an intellectual distraction, because a hot brick model is obviously not a good faith model. People can simulate all the hot brick/cement/iron slug/wet vapor models they want, but unless someone discovers something that can be there only if this is a hoax, such models won't speak for the hoax hypothesis. -- Berke Durak
Re: [Vo]:E-Cat / philosophical remarks
On Tue, Nov 8, 2011 at 9:08 AM, Robert Lynn robert.gulliver.l...@gmail.com wrote: The problem is that it is easy to come up with fraudulent methods that could have delivered the observed demo results. This is true and that's one of the points. Add to which Rossi has had no end of opportunities to remove all doubt, at no extra cost in effort or materials, and without danger of loss of IP, but has chosen not to for reasons that I (and others) are unable to guess. I disagree. Designing and setting up an iron-clad demonstration for public consumption is a major task, and is never good enough if there is disinformation by the mainstream media. Getting the product to the market is the best demonstration one can do. So we can assume that he just opted for the latter at the expense of the former. 1/ It's real, but Rossi is not able to see how bad the decisions he is making are, and is incapable of taking sensible advice. Rossi is Rossi, not god. If his decisions were that bad, we wouldn't be having this discussion in the first place. 2/ It's a very elaborate scam. That option seems less and less likely. Rossi's failure in commercialisation of the biggest thing since the transistor is not totally unprecedented - the Wright brothers were almost as bad. I have checked the media coverage of the Wright brothers flights the other day. The silence was astounding. But the fact that he is selling his house to finance a white elephant 1MW demo, when he would have had investors (with the expert help he so obviously needs) beating a path to his door to make him a billionaire if he simply did one good multi-day 10kW scale demo (with proper setup, record keeping and inspection), just leaves me amazed. It is so bad that at this point I am actually starting to feel he doesn't deserve success, I am glad that other groups seem to be closing in on similar results. The problem is not with Rossi. The problem is with the human race. We are a bunch of fuck-ups too stupid to get rid of our own human parasites and invest in useful technology and adopt them before we poison what little drinkable water is left by fracking or nuclear disasters. Maybe we deserve to die. -- Berke Durak
Re: [Vo]:E-Cat / philosophical remarks
From Robert Lynn The problem is that it is easy to come up with fraudulent methods that could have delivered the observed demo results. Add to which Rossi has had no end of opportunities to remove all doubt, at no extra cost in effort or materials, and without danger of loss of IP, but has chosen not to for reasons that I (and others) are unable to guess. This leads to the two hotly contested options: That's not necessarily true at all. There may be a very practical reason as to why Rossi has behaved in such an unscientifically verifiable way that naturally leads many to seriously doubt his results: http://www.mail-archive.com/vortex-l@eskimo.com/msg54430.html Regards Steven Vincent Johnson www.OrionWorks.com www.zazzle.com/orionworks
Re: [Vo]:E-Cat / philosophical remarks
Suggesting that it is due to his inability to get a patent points again to why he should have done a proper black box demo in January - then he could have quickly signed up a large expert technology development partner that could have quickly resolved all of his IP ownership problems. The system is not lacking in patentablity, just knowledge of how to do it effectively, resources to do it comprehensively, and money/political connections to make it stick. On 8 November 2011 14:45, OrionWorks - Steven V Johnson svj.orionwo...@gmail.com wrote: From Robert Lynn The problem is that it is easy to come up with fraudulent methods that could have delivered the observed demo results. Add to which Rossi has had no end of opportunities to remove all doubt, at no extra cost in effort or materials, and without danger of loss of IP, but has chosen not to for reasons that I (and others) are unable to guess. This leads to the two hotly contested options: That's not necessarily true at all. There may be a very practical reason as to why Rossi has behaved in such an unscientifically verifiable way that naturally leads many to seriously doubt his results: http://www.mail-archive.com/vortex-l@eskimo.com/msg54430.html Regards Steven Vincent Johnson www.OrionWorks.com www.zazzle.com/orionworks
Re: [Vo]:E-Cat / philosophical remarks
Robert Lynn robert.gulliver.l...@gmail.com wrote: Suggesting that it is due to his inability to get a patent points again to why he should have done a proper black box demo in January - then he could have quickly signed up a large expert technology development partner that could have quickly resolved all of his IP ownership problems. That is what I told Rossi . . . about a hundred times. As the Japanese would say, he heard that from me so many times, his ears are calloused (mimi ni tako ga dekita). That is why I say I disagree with his business strategy. Believe me I'm sick of telling him that. It is like talking to a wall. - Jed
Re: [Vo]:E-Cat / philosophical remarks
My sympathys. Also thanks for your Miley report, heartening to see the reverse engineering is progressing so fast. I'm sure others won't be far behind, and once Chinese govt et al awakens there'll be several hundred thousand (ex-petroleum?) engineers and scientists working on understanding, enhancing and perfecting the processes within 6 months. Improvements will be ridiculously fast and so at this point lacking a powerful partner Rossi is almost inevitably going to be left behind. Given how important it all is the IP could well be specially legislated around by countries anxious to use it. Experimentally the first step should be to set up a pressurised heated test chamber with a large array of different blends/compositions/procession techniques and a thermal camera to look at them all to identify the most promising candidates - could potentially screen 1000's of variants over extended periods through a standard sequence of conditions quite quickly. Similar techniques are used for other early stage materials development and drug identification programs. On 8 November 2011 15:14, Jed Rothwell jedrothw...@gmail.com wrote: Robert Lynn robert.gulliver.l...@gmail.com wrote: Suggesting that it is due to his inability to get a patent points again to why he should have done a proper black box demo in January - then he could have quickly signed up a large expert technology development partner that could have quickly resolved all of his IP ownership problems. That is what I told Rossi . . . about a hundred times. As the Japanese would say, he heard that from me so many times, his ears are calloused (mimi ni tako ga dekita). That is why I say I disagree with his business strategy. Believe me I'm sick of telling him that. It is like talking to a wall. - Jed
Re: [Vo]:E-Cat / philosophical remarks
I wrote earlier that Rossi is in a bind because he has no viable patent. Then just now I wrote that I have urged him to do a proper test, get funding, and then hire experts, the way, Robert Lynn recommends. The problem is, Rossi does not trust outsiders. He cannot even bring himself to give a reactor to the University of Bologna where he has many friends. This is a problem largely of his own making. I understand why he does not trust people. He has had a painful life and he has often been betrayed and unjustly persecuted. For example, one of the charges they sent him to jail for was defrauding the stockholders. He himself was the only stockholder, so this was Kafkaesque. Someone in the Italian justice system had it in for him. I do no see any way for him to escape this conundrum. Rossi says that a public demonstration, controlled by independent engineers, for the benefit of the international media can be beneficial for the dissemination of E-Cat . . . would be completely useless. I expect he sincerely believes this, but it is nonsense. Without question, such a test with be beneficial for the dissemination of the E-cat. But it would destroy his business strategy. He would not think of doing it. Plan B would be to adopt a conventional business strategy like the Lynn and I advocate. I am sure he has never seriously considered doing that. When I and others have suggested this he has brushed us off. As things stand he will never allow a proper test. - Jed
Re: [Vo]:E-Cat / philosophical remarks
Berke Durak berke.du...@gmail.com wrote: Designing and setting up an iron-clad demonstration for public consumption is a major task, and is never good enough if there is disinformation by the mainstream media. Designing and setting up a demonstration would take a week or two. However, Rossi himself would not have to do anything. He could not do anything. It is essential that independent experts to all the work. They have to select the instruments and place the thermocouples. It would not be appropriate for Rossi to assist or kibbutz so he would have nothing to do. During the week it takes to set up the test and calibrate he would have to keep busy in another room. Many qualified experts have offered to do all the work for him. He would only have to operate the reactor for a few hours, and then leave the laboratory for a day or two while the experts operate the experiment in his absence. This would not cost him any money. There is not the slightest chance Rossi would allow this, or anything like it. It is completely out of the question. His personality and his business strategy preclude this. He will never allow others to select the instruments, or place them, or even touch them. He will not lift a finger to insert an SD card into the meter, because he thinks it is not necessary, and he will not listen to any suggestion from anyone that he should do that. He will never allow anyone to view the test in his absence. When people view the test when he leaves the room, or touch it, he reportedly reacts with hysteria and violence, and throws them out of the building. If such a test could be done, I do not think that all of the mainstream media would publish disinformation about this. I know a number of reporters and powerful people in the media who would be happy to report this accurately. - Jed
Re: [Vo]:E-Cat / philosophical remarks
I wrote: It would not be appropriate for Rossi to assist or kibbutz I meant kibitz. Voice input does not handle Yiddish well. This means, To look on and offer unwanted, usually meddlesome advice to others. I expect that people in a Kibbutz often kibitz. - Jed
Re: [Vo]:E-Cat / philosophical remarks
On Nov 8, 2011, at 6:41 AM, Jed Rothwell wrote: I wrote earlier that Rossi is in a bind because he has no viable patent. Then just now I wrote that I have urged him to do a proper test, get funding, and then hire experts, the way, Robert Lynn recommends. The problem is, Rossi does not trust outsiders. He cannot even bring himself to give a reactor to the University of Bologna where he has many friends. This is a problem largely of his own making. I understand why he does not trust people. He has had a painful life and he has often been betrayed and unjustly persecuted. For example, one of the charges they sent him to jail for was defrauding the stockholders. He himself was the only stockholder, so this was Kafkaesque. Someone in the Italian justice system had it in for him. I do no see any way for him to escape this conundrum. Rossi says that a public demonstration, controlled by independent engineers, for the benefit of the international media can be beneficial for the dissemination of E-Cat . . . would be completely useless. I expect he sincerely believes this, but it is nonsense. Without question, such a test with be beneficial for the dissemination of the E-cat. But it would destroy his business strategy. He would not think of doing it. Plan B would be to adopt a conventional business strategy like the Lynn and I advocate. I am sure he has never seriously considered doing that. When I and others have suggested this he has brushed us off. As things stand he will never allow a proper test. - Jed Rossi's behavior is absurd, unless he doesn't believe in the technology himself. Then it makes complete sense. If Rossi actually has something useful, and it is not patentable, then he could still make a fortune producing energy and selling it directly to a grid. He could relocate to Mexico and sell power to the west coast of the USA through the existing grid. He could make billions. He could make a fortune with just steam heat by using it to extract oil from Canadian oil sands, though he might have even more trouble with nuclear authorities in Canada than even the USA. In any case, bulk power production would be much easier to beat the red tape on than any kind of small commercial sales. If he produced a just a MW of commercial grid electric power for a few months he would probably have investors flocking to him with money. I would think if he could actually do this he would have done it. If he actually heated a commercial building for more than a year with nickel and hydrogen I would think he would want to show that. If he can produce a COP of 6 or even 3 then it should be easy to drive a sterling generator and turn that COP 6 into COP infinity. I don't see anything happening that is fully consistent with a useful technology being present. There is much happening that is consistent with no useful technology being present. What sane person would invest in E-cats if things are in this status? Best regards, Horace Heffner http://www.mtaonline.net/~hheffner/
Re: [Vo]:E-Cat / philosophical remarks
Horace Heffner hheff...@mtaonline.net wrote: Rossi's behavior is absurd, unless he doesn't believe in the technology himself. Then it makes complete sense. His behavior is irrational and absurd. However, such behavior is common among inventors and discoverers, and it has been throughout history. There are many famous examples such as John Harrison. There are many in the present day and among cold fusion researchers, such as Patterson. I do not think it makes complete sense that Rossi does not believe in the technology himself. If he did not believe in it, he would gleefully promote it and he would put on more impressive demonstrations. Fake but impressive. He would gladly accept money from investors since the only point of doing this would be to fleece people. That is not what he is doing. He is, in fact, beating off investors with a stick. He is turning down money. I know several people who offered him large sums. He refused them all. He did not even answer some of them. This is not characteristic of a fraud who does not believe in his own work. It is characteristic of a lone inventor who does not want to give up control. Patterson was the same way. I know people who offered him funding, which he turned down. As I said, he was determined to have 100% market share. If Rossi actually has something useful, and it is not patentable, then he could still make a fortune producing energy and selling it directly to a grid. He could relocate to Mexico and sell power to the west coast of the USA through the existing grid. He could make billions. I do not think the power companies would allow this. Also, by the time he set up and was able to do this, the secret of this technology would be out and he would be reverse engineered by every major industrial manufacturing company on earth. - Jed
Re: [Vo]:E-Cat / philosophical remarks
On Nov 8, 2011, at 10:10 AM, Jed Rothwell wrote: Horace Heffner hheff...@mtaonline.net wrote: Rossi's behavior is absurd, unless he doesn't believe in the technology himself. Then it makes complete sense. His behavior is irrational and absurd. However, such behavior is common among inventors and discoverers, and it has been throughout history. There are many famous examples such as John Harrison. There are many in the present day and among cold fusion researchers, such as Patterson. I do not think it makes complete sense that Rossi does not believe in the technology himself. This is a different statement from the one I made. I implied Rossi's behavior makes complete sense if he does not believe in the technology himself. I did not say it makes complete sense that Rossi does not believe in the technology. There is a difference. The question though should be which premise is more consistent with Ross not believing in the technology? If he did not believe in it, he would gleefully promote it and he would put on more impressive demonstrations. Fake but impressive. He would gladly accept money from investors since the only point of doing this would be to fleece people. That is not what he is doing. He is, in fact, beating off investors with a stick. He is turning down money. I know several people who offered him large sums. He refused them all. He did not even answer some of them. This is not characteristic of a fraud who does not believe in his own work. Well, that depends on what the terms of the offers was doesn't it? Whether performance clauses were discussed, for example. Also, from whom the offers were made. It is characteristic of a lone inventor who does not want to give up control. Patterson was the same way. I know people who offered him funding, which he turned down. As I said, he was determined to have 100% market share. And yet he is considering a stock offering? If Rossi actually has something useful, and it is not patentable, then he could still make a fortune producing energy and selling it directly to a grid. He could relocate to Mexico and sell power to the west coast of the USA through the existing grid. He could make billions. I do not think the power companies would allow this. You think Mexico would not cooperate with this on a shared profit basis? A chance to make billions? I think someone at some level and above would support it. Mexico is moving into the solar business now I believe. Also, by the time he set up and was able to do this, the secret of this technology would be out and he would be reverse engineered by every major industrial manufacturing company on earth. - Jed How long could it take to have a bunch of E-cats, say 6 M-cats, made and shipped to Mexico? After that it is just a matter of driving an appropriate generator. The ones used for solar thermal should do nicely. Best regards, Horace Heffner http://www.mtaonline.net/~hheffner/
Re: [Vo]:E-Cat / philosophical remarks
I wrote: This is a different statement from the one I made. I implied Rossi's behavior makes complete sense if he does not believe in the technology himself. I did not say it makes complete sense that Rossi does not believe in the technology. There is a difference. The question though should be which premise is more consistent with Ross not believing in the technology? I guess I need more sleep. This should read: This is a different statement from the one I made. I implied Rossi's behavior makes complete sense if he does not believe in the technology himself. I did not say it makes complete sense that Rossi does not believe in the technology. There is a difference. The question though should be which premise is more consistent with Rossi's behavior, he believes his own claims, or not? Best regards, Horace Heffner http://www.mtaonline.net/~hheffner/
Re: [Vo]:E-Cat / philosophical remarks
Horace Heffner hheff...@mtaonline.net wrote: The question though should be which premise is more consistent with Rossi's behavior, he believes his own claims, or not? The premise that best fits his behavior is the same one that fits Harrison, Patterson, William Shockley, and many other people with a personality similar to Rossi's. They are intensely possessive. They want to micromanage every aspect of the technology. They consider it their baby, and they cannot bring themselves to allow others to develop it. they think they know best and they refuse to listen to anyone else's ideas or advice. This kind of behavior is widespread. You can find countless examples in biographies or the history of technology, or science, or for that matter commerce or war. This is how generals lose campaigns even when they have a large advantage going in. I have seen many programmers like this as well. Most of them work for corporations and they are not allowed to act on their desires. If Shockley had had his way, the transistor might never have emerged from the laboratory. He failed at every subsequent venture because he thought he knew best and he insisted on micromanaging. See: http://www.lenr-canr.org/acrobat/RothwellJtransistor.pdf Rossi also wants to micromanage people, including me. - Jed
Re: [Vo]:E-Cat / philosophical remarks
It helps to put the discovery and development of new technologies into the proper perspective. Thank you for posting the link below as I found it quite informative. Complex systems always progress in starts and stops as the underlying problems are resolved with hard work and a great deal of luck. It is amazing how closely related modern LENR research is to the early days of the transistor. Dave -Original Message- From: Jed Rothwell jedrothw...@gmail.com To: vortex-l vortex-l@eskimo.com Sent: Tue, Nov 8, 2011 2:57 pm Subject: Re: [Vo]:E-Cat / philosophical remarks If Shockley had had his way, the transistor might never have emerged from the laboratory. He failed at every subsequent venture because he thought he knew best and he insisted on micromanaging. See: http://www.lenr-canr.org/acrobat/RothwellJtransistor.pdf Rossi also wants to micromanage people, including me. - Jed
Re: [Vo]:E-Cat / philosophical remarks
On Nov 8, 2011, at 10:54 AM, Jed Rothwell wrote: Horace Heffner hheff...@mtaonline.net wrote: The question though should be which premise is more consistent with Rossi's behavior, he believes his own claims, or not? The premise that best fits his behavior is the same one that fits Harrison, Patterson, William Shockley, and many other people with a personality similar to Rossi's. They are intensely possessive. It is difficult to believe that Harrison, Patterson, or Shockley would put on about a dozen demonstrations of their technology, repeatedly botch the scientific aspects of the demonstrations, and refuse to acknowledge or fix the problems. When Patterson could no longer reproduce his results he freely admitted it. These were scientifically trustworthy people. How about Rossi's self contradiction record with regard to the E-cat? Does that put him in the same camp with Harrison, Patterson, and Shockley, or in a different class? At what point does the balance of probability tip? How many failed failed demonstrations and absurd refusals to correct does it take to seriously question whether there is anything at all to the technology. So far Rossi has left a critical degree of freedom without observations in each experiment. His behavior is completely consistent in this regard. Can this be considered random? At what point does a Baysian model provide a sufficient confidence level the behavior is not random? Which premise is most consistent with Rossi's actions? He believes in the technology and has nothing to hide from a black box evaluation of energy out? He doesn't believe a rigorous test will confirm his claims? The answer seems fairly obvious to me which premise is most consistent. However, others can look at the same set of facts and draw opposite conclusions. This makes for an interesting world I guess. Best regards, Horace Heffner http://www.mtaonline.net/~hheffner/
Re: [Vo]:E-Cat / philosophical remarks
Horace Heffner hheff...@mtaonline.net wrote: It is difficult to believe that Harrison, Patterson, or Shockley would put on about a dozen demonstrations of their technology, repeatedly botch the scientific aspects of the demonstrations, and refuse to acknowledge or fix the problems. How hard? I suggest you read the history of the Shockley Transistor Corporation. The products were too unpredictable as one polite contemporary account put it. This was from a company staffed by 8 people who went on to illustrious careers, including Noyce and Moore. Shockley blamed them for his problems. The entire staff finally jumped ship and formed the Fairchild Semiconductor Corporation. They said he refused to acknowledge or fix problems. Actually, they said it less diplomatically than that. Or read an honest account of Edison's development of incandescent lights, such as A Streak of Luck. If you spoke Japanese I would refer you to the video of Arata's demonstration in March 2008, at Arata Hall, Osaka National University. These people made Rossi look like smooth, polished professional in comparison. In point of fact, Rossi did not totally botch the scientific aspects of his demonstrations. Many scientists and engineers find these demonstrations convincing despite the fact that they are somewhat sloppy. You do not find them convincing but your reasons do not hold water, in my opinion. Your hypotheses suffer from many more scientific problems than Rossi's demonstrations do. When Patterson could no longer reproduce his results he freely admitted it. No he did not. The last thing he told me is, I can make more beads anytime I like. That was wishful thinking. Does that put him in the same camp with Harrison, Patterson, and Shockley, or in a different class? As I said, those people make him look reasonable in comparison. And very successful. He has done irrefutable demonstrations of large-scale reactors which no other cold fusion researcher has ever been able to do. - Jed