Re: [Wikimedia-l] Wikimedia (Foundation) endowment

2013-03-20 Thread Mathieu Stumpf

Le 2013-03-18 13:01, Fae a écrit :

I suggest you step away from the technology component before this
becomes a mantra. Given a span of 100 years, assumptions become 
rather

large. We can start to assume that within one or two decades,
*everyone* on the planet is data-connected, we can assume that
language barriers break down or become irrelevant, we can assume that
connection and hardware costs become vanishingly small and we can
assume that engagement with human knowledge is fully immersive.


Your assumptions seems really big to me.

I won't discuss the *everyone* on the planet is data-connected, I 
hope you are right, but to my mind it sounds like a very optimistic 
point of view. This depend a lot on the global economic developpement, 
as well as mankind ability to find a way to sustain such a huge energy 
requirement: electronic devices for everyone imply  electricity for 
everyone (hopefuly clean produced/stored/delivered).


Now language barriers break down or become irrelevant. That statement 
is so big that I am wondering wether I am misintrepreting an ironic 
statement as a serious one or not. After all I am not an english native 
speaker, so excuse me if you were ironic, but otherwise this is just a 
real case example of how huge the language barriers are.


They are many challenges on the language barriers. And to my mind we, 
as wikimedia contributors, can play an important role in this 
challenges. We know that many language are disapearing right now, 
impoverish human culture. Unfortunately I discovered that even on this 
present list some people were using metric like how many scientific 
papers where published in this language last year to evaluate wether it 
was an important language or something which we may let completely 
disapear (sum of all human knowledge?). So not only there is work to 
preserve language (and culture) diversity, but there's even work to do 
to convince people that it's important in the first place (for 
scientific-centric mind, think about what you need to realize works in 
anthropology and history, for example).


An other thing in which we will, to my mind, be really helpful, will be 
the wikiomega/wiktionnaries integration into wikidata. This will enable 
to see which concepts are covered into which languages, and possibly 
help to build equivalent neologisms with respect to the equivalent 
etymological path/construction in the target language. Moreover this 
could help build new languages, possibly yet another attempt for an 
international language. Not that I would be enthusiast with such a 
project, I'm fine with learning esperanto which as far as I know is the 
current most successful project in this category. Now, many linguistic 
critics (and also non-linguistic ones, not relevant here) where 
published on esperanto, so maybe some linguists may come with something 
better and that they could be helped with a the semantic cartography 
wikidata could become. It doesn't look like UNO and other international 
organsiation are realy interested to give ressources to build and 
promote an international language, so may be __we__ could do it.




Developing a strategy would require some big thinking of scenarios:
* Does Wikimedia get subsumed into a new ecology of open knowledge
organizations?
* Does operations become irrelevant as it will be naturally 
factored out?

* In a future of cheap as chips access, does access mean
socialization and education?

Classically, one might bounce around environmental scenarios such as
religious division, hyper-connection social instability (meme
threats), population crisis etc.

It's a big talk, and above was mentioned spending 5 years on this.
Consider how darn slow us unpaid Wikimedia volunteers are to nit-pick
our way forward, thinking of how we take longer than a year+ to reach
some conclusions is not unreasonable, and it is not as easy as saying
quote examples as if this was a discussion short-cut.


Are refering to something like Basic income guarantee ?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Basic_income_guarantee

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Re: [Wikimedia-l] Wikimedia (Foundation) endowment

2013-03-20 Thread Garfield Byrd
SJ:

I have been asked by the Audit Committee to do a report on the Endowment
Issue and present the report at their next meeting, which will take place
in this summer.

Regards,

Garfield


On Mon, Mar 18, 2013 at 10:12 AM, Samuel Klein meta...@gmail.com wrote:

 On Mon, Mar 18, 2013 at 12:53 PM, MZMcBride z...@mzmcbride.com wrote:
  Nathan wrote:
 To return to the endowment again as the main topic, I think there are
 some risks we need to consider in an endowment. In general I think
 having an endowment is a good idea for a charitable institution,

 Yes and yes.

  I suggested quite recently that the Board pass a resolution creating a
  committee to examine the points you raise and additional questions
  outlined here: https://meta.wikimedia.org/wiki/Endowment/Questions.
 
  I continue to think that we (as a community) are still not at a place
  where we can make good judgments about whether to set up an endowment.
  There simply isn't enough information available to make a sound decision,
  in my opinion. That said, the idea of creating an endowment does seem
 like
  an idea that has broad support for further consideration and exploration,
  which is why I think an investigative or exploratory committee would make
  a lot of sense here and now. Thoughts?

 More information is certainly needed.  It is bound up in other
 strategic thinking, as others have noted.

 I think we should set up a strategy committee, with a subgroup focused
 on an endowment and long-term investment options.

 SJ

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415.882.0495 (fax)
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Imagine a world in which every single human being can freely share in
the sum of all knowledge. Help us make it a reality!

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Re: [Wikimedia-l] Wikimedia (Foundation) endowment

2013-03-18 Thread Ting Chen

Hello dear all,

at first thank you very much MZ for put this together. This is a quite 
hot topic both for the board election, which is coming soon again, and 
also on the board.


The following is my personal opinion why WMF should not build an 
endowment. The rationale from me are the following three:

1. WMF doesn't need an endowment
2. An endowment poses extra risks and problems for the WMF
3. From some aspect an endowment is contraproductive for the WMF even if 
we ignore the risks.


Let me explain in more detail:

1. WMF does not need an endowment.

For most NGO and non-profit organizations, an endowment is a method to 
mitigate the risk of unconstant income and unsecure funding. With the 
endowment the organization is indepenmdant on the ever changing 
fundraising result or on its dependance on grants. The WMF is not facing 
these problems. The WMF is not dependant on one or few grants, and it is 
not dependant on some big donations. The fundraising model of the WMF is 
based on microgrants from hundreds of thousands of participants, and 
practically from every region of the world. This makes it less 
vulnerable for example on changing economic situations. This is 
especially the case since we are not exhausting our fundraising 
potential (and as I understand the current strategy, we are not planning 
to exhaust this potential), and we have a fairly good strategic reserve. 
For the year 2009 for example we were all a bit nervous on our 
fundraising result since at that time the financial crises began to 
seriously impack the world economy. But at that year we doubled our fund 
raising result, achieved our goal before the targetted fund raising 
deadline. This trend kept for the last few years, independant of the 
world economy. It proves the robustness of this fundraising model. In 
comparison to most other non-profit organizations we are in a lucky 
situation that this model works for us. It certainly does not work for 
all organizations. And because the model is robust and it works well for 
us, we should not simply do what everyone else does: try to build up an 
endowment. If we don't need it, we don't need it.


2. An endowment poses extra risks and problems for the WMF

An endowment is a very big bunch of money. And if you have that money 
somewhere in your safe, it won't be any benefit. You need to invest it 
so that it get's return. An endowment is actually pretty similar like a 
bank. And as a bank, you need experts to take care of investment, of 
risk management, and all other things. Either you need your own experts 
(actually you always need your own expert at least for overseeing), or 
you need to buy experts. You need to trust him. Either way it means that 
you must pay the bill. And, the following is really my very personal and 
unprofessional opinion: There is no 100% security if you are a bank. 
Lheman Brothers were rated by all agencies as AAA until it went 
bancrupt. Even the United States Treasury Security is not as secure as 
it seemed to be. I trust the hundred thousand people who give us 10 to 
100 dollars more than the few experts, when it comes to security. And 
the work ethic investment was already mentioned here in the list. I 
believe we can debate forever if investment in United States Treasury 
Security is ethic or not.


3. From some aspect an endowment is contraproductive for the WMF even if 
we ignore the risks


I believe the Wikimedia projects represent a culture: the sharing 
culture. Even if it is not explicitely stated in our vision and mission, 
the Wikimedia projects are avant gards of this culture, and they get 
their strength from this culture. The annual fundraising campaign is one 
of our most effectful method to propagate this culture, even it is not 
designed so. I know many people, my colleagues, friends, people who use 
Wikipedia daily, but never think about how its service is maintained, 
until the annual fundraising campaign. Often it is at that time when 
people tell me: Oh, I just see you are fundraising again, I am happy to 
make this contribution to show my support. Normally people never say 
this, until at the end of the year when our fund raising banner is on 
our project pages. I know for a lot of you the banners are annoying. But 
I also know that for a lot of people, who are not so involved in our 
projects, the banner is the reminder of our sharing culture. It is the 
time when they feel that they need to contribute something, and it 
definitively make them happy to do so. It makes them to feel also to be 
part of it. Our annual fund raising campaign is not thought to be a 
propaganda for the sharing culture, but in effect it is a very effective 
propaganda for it. And I believe it would be a los for all of us, if we 
don't have it any more.


So far, my thoughts. As I said all my private opinions, and some of them 
certainly very primitive and unprofessional. I am happy to get feedbacks 
and critics and learn from them.


Greetings
Ting

Re: [Wikimedia-l] Wikimedia (Foundation) endowment

2013-03-18 Thread Dan Rosenthal
A couple of counterarguments for Ting:

1) (WMF does not need an endowment).  The crux of this argument is that the
WMF is not dependent on large grants, but from a widely spread grassroots
campaign of small donations. While it is true that this has worked for us
in the past, the WMF budget grows and gets bigger, and it is dangerous to
rely solely on donations. A year of underperforming donations, poor
fundraising, bad economy affecting users willingness to donate, etc., could
be disastrous for the WMF. An endowment is a long-term security blanket to
cover the WMF in situations when fundraising fails. Additionally, our
fundraising model is not perfect. Zack can correct me if I'm wrong on this,
but the annual fundraising drive is disruptive to people's experiences and
expectations. It serves as a reminder, but probably also serves to turn
some people off to further engagement in Wikimedia.  We've evolved from
staring at Jimmy-face year after year, and our campaigns keep getting
better, (thanks in no small part to work by Megan, Zack, Ryan, and the rest
of that team) but it would be best if we didn't have to run them at all. So
no, I dispute the premise that the WMF does not need an endowment.  It's
been well established that we can benefit from an endowment, and while
there are certainly drawbacks, sticking the status quo is not really
acceptable for this kind of innovative organization.

2) (Endowment poses extra risks and problems for WMF).  Yes, endowments
require money management. So does fundraising. Is it really so different
for us to have a team dedicated to overseeing and growing an endowment,
than for us to have a team that exists mostly to run tests on banners for
fundraising every year?   The comparison to banks is irrelevant. An
endowment is not a bank, it is not regulated as a bank, and it answers to a
different set of stakeholders than a bank does. The 2008 financial meltdown
was a catastrophic failure of management, oversight, ethics, on many sides.
Despite the AAA ratings from Moodys and other institutions, plenty of
people saw it coming and gave the dire warnings.  Actually, an endowment
acts as a hedge against this sort of thing. Careful wealth management can
limit the risk to the endowment from market shocks that fundraising cannot
avoid. For instance, high unemployment will, broadly speaking, hurt
fundraising which depends on disposable income.  Endowments don't rely
nearly as directly on end-consumers, their confidence, and their
job/financial security.

3) (Endowment counterproductive to vision). I disagree with this point as
well. The Wikimedia vision and culture is about getting information to
people, about sharing, about freedom of knowledge.  I wholly disagree that
the fundraising campaign is an effective way to propogate this culture. In
fact, it is antithetical to this culture. It is essentially an annual
hostage-taking of the WMF projects until we get our money. It means that
projects are not truly free -- they are not gratis because if enough people
don't donate, they will disappear, and they are arguably not libre because
they are under a constant existential threat.  If we want more people to
have access to Wikimedia projects which makes more sense -- removing the
risk of shutdown by employing an endowment that will ensure the freedom of
the projects in perpetuity; or to beg for money year after year, simply
because it reminds people that we exist?

Finally, it's a false dichotomy that we can't have both an endowment and do
fundraising. The endowment itself can do its own fundraising as needed,
which can serve the purpose of reminding people we exist, and continuing to
grow from a personal, grassroots level (rather than by large grants).

Frankly, without senior WMF staff buy-in, an endowment is dead in the
water. Even if the community designed and implemented one on their own,
it'd need support from all sorts of other entities (WMF legal, probably
WCA, etc.).

-Dan

Dan Rosenthal


On Mon, Mar 18, 2013 at 10:20 AM, Ting Chen wing.phil...@gmx.de wrote:

 Hello dear all,

 at first thank you very much MZ for put this together. This is a quite hot
 topic both for the board election, which is coming soon again, and also on
 the board.

 The following is my personal opinion why WMF should not build an
 endowment. The rationale from me are the following three:
 1. WMF doesn't need an endowment
 2. An endowment poses extra risks and problems for the WMF
 3. From some aspect an endowment is contraproductive for the WMF even if
 we ignore the risks.

 Let me explain in more detail:

 1. WMF does not need an endowment.

 For most NGO and non-profit organizations, an endowment is a method to
 mitigate the risk of unconstant income and unsecure funding. With the
 endowment the organization is indepenmdant on the ever changing fundraising
 result or on its dependance on grants. The WMF is not facing these
 problems. The WMF is not dependant on one or few grants, and it is not
 dependant 

Re: [Wikimedia-l] Wikimedia (Foundation) endowment

2013-03-18 Thread Anders Wennersten

Ting Chen skrev 2013-03-18 08:20:


So far, my thoughts. As I said all my private opinions, and some of 
them certainly very primitive and unprofessional. I am happy to get 
feedbacks and critics and learn from them.


I wonder if our thoughts on an endowment depends on our presupposition 
on what the purpose of an endowment would be.


You seem to think of  fund to ease uneven funding from year to year and 
if this would be the purpose I would agree to your concerns


My thought is of a fund to be used in extreme situations, many many 
years ahead from now, if nightmare scenarios would occur in 30-60 
years from now, to ensure the content of our projects will still be 
accessible for all  free of charge.


And in my perspective I am in no hurry getting it up, it could be part 
of our next 5 year strategic plan to get it going


But I would like to see as MZ suggest, that we as son as possible look 
into the technicalities of an endowment so we have a common 
understanding what we mean when we discuss this further.


Anders



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Re: [Wikimedia-l] Wikimedia (Foundation) endowment

2013-03-18 Thread Dariusz Jemielniak
hi Fae,

I share your commitment to avoiding a bureaucratic monster. However, I have
to practically point out, that in our case any vision and strategy of a
long time horizon is a grave mistake. We can't predict technologies and
Internet trends 10 years in the future, so even vision creation beyond this
point is a dangerously blinding and binding exercise. Strategy creation and
its time horizon have to be based on the stability of the environment. The
only business I know of that relies on something close to 100 years of time
horizon for strategy is forestry. We, on the other hand, are in the
Internet business, and going beyond 5 years in terms of strategic plans,
and beyond 10 years in terms of long-term powerful visions is more likely
to lull us to sleep, rather than help.

best,

dariusz (pundit)


On Mon, Mar 18, 2013 at 9:45 AM, Fae fae...@gmail.com wrote:

 I enjoyed Ting's perception, he always seems to have a viewpoint
 reliably in the center of the Wikimedia movement.

 I previously pushed for a commitment to perpetuity, including a 100
 year plan for basic backup. The operational side of our movement
 failed to either understand why this is important, or properly to
 respond to a relatively simple proposal for a better strategy.

 Should an endowment run the risk of establishing a century spanning
 immovable bureaucracy, then our shared open knowledge vision, must be
 far greater than the English Wikipedia, bigger than Wikipedia, span
 wider than any Wikimedia project. These projects have a natural
 lifespan of less than a decade, not generations.

 Until the movement is ready to lay out a serious vision and strategy
 that covers the next 100 years, we are not ready to justify asking
 donors for hundreds of millions of dollars to stick in a WMF managed
 investment account. This alone would create a potential for
 reputational risk so great, it could wipe out the Wikimedia brand, and
 our stake in the open knowledge movement, permanently.

 Thanks,
 Fae
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 Guide to email tags: http://j.mp/mfae

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kierownik katedry Zarządzania Międzynarodowego
i centrum badawczego CROW
Akademia Leona Koźmińskiego
http://www.crow.alk.edu.pl
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Re: [Wikimedia-l] Wikimedia (Foundation) endowment

2013-03-18 Thread Fae
On 18 March 2013 09:03, Dariusz Jemielniak dar...@alk.edu.pl wrote:
 hi Fae,

 I share your commitment to avoiding a bureaucratic monster. However, I have
 to practically point out, that in our case any vision and strategy of a
 long time horizon is a grave mistake. We can't predict technologies and
 Internet trends 10 years in the future, so even vision creation beyond this
 point is a dangerously blinding and binding exercise. Strategy creation and
 its time horizon have to be based on the stability of the environment. The
 only business I know of that relies on something close to 100 years of time
 horizon for strategy is forestry. We, on the other hand, are in the
 Internet business, and going beyond 5 years in terms of strategic plans,
 and beyond 10 years in terms of long-term powerful visions is more likely
 to lull us to sleep, rather than help.

The sum of human knowledge is not about internet technology of the
moment, or limited to the next 5 years.

If the WMF and the leading figures in our movement cannot produce a
vision or even a highest possible level strategy for 100 years, then
the case for having a billion dollar endowment looks exceedingly weak
and probably idle dreaming. There is no sensible case for an endowment
fund that only imagines the next couple of years - that is in fact why
we talk about reserve funds that cover that period and short term
risks that might arise.

If I am looking to leave a million dollars in my will to benefit human
knowledge, I would want the comfort of knowing the organization that
will use my money will exist *long* after my death, it will not
repurpose funds in unexpected ways, or waste it on an empire
building bureaucracy that has the natural priority of paying benefits
to careerist senior management types involved in operations.

Thanks,
Fae
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Re: [Wikimedia-l] Wikimedia (Foundation) endowment

2013-03-18 Thread Dariusz Jemielniak
On Mon, Mar 18, 2013 at 10:39 AM, Fae fae...@gmail.com wrote:

 The sum of human knowledge is not about internet technology of the
  moment, or limited to the next 5 years.


Absolutely! And this is a great vision. But adjusting strategy to this
vision requires understanding current technologies. Thus, it is impossible
to create anything meaningful strategically that far into the future.



 If the WMF and the leading figures in our movement cannot produce a
 vision or even a highest possible level strategy for 100 years, then
 the case for having a billion dollar endowment looks exceedingly weak
 and probably idle dreaming.


I agree with you that a compelling vision is a different story - and you've
just quoted it above.



 There is no sensible case for an endowment
 fund that only imagines the next couple of years - that is in fact why
 we talk about reserve funds that cover that period and short term
 risks that might arise.


An endowment is a fund that basically is meant to secure the long term
existence and to support what we do now - with an assumption that we'll
adjust to the emerging technologies (a huge leap of faith, considering that
even now we're pretty bad at keeping up with the pace of new ways of doing
the web services). I'm not disagreeing with what you're saying, I only
emphasize the importance of not talking about strategic planning for 100
years. Call it a vision exercise and we're on the same page.

If I am looking to leave a million dollars in my will to benefit human
 knowledge, I would want the comfort of knowing the organization that
 will use my money will exist *long* after my death, it will not
 repurpose funds in unexpected ways, or waste it on an empire
 building bureaucracy that has the natural priority of paying benefits
 to careerist senior management types involved in operations.


Yup, totally agree, I think that the endowment should be clearly reserved
for keeping knowledge free, but not necessarily for management at all.

dj
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Re: [Wikimedia-l] Wikimedia (Foundation) endowment

2013-03-18 Thread Federico Leva (Nemo)

Dariusz Jemielniak, 18/03/2013 10:33:

It is not about being a business or not  - it is about basics of
strategic planning. Comparisons for endowments undoubtedly should be
made to non-business organizations, but the horizon for strategic
planning is not determined as much by the profit/non-profit nature of
our organization, but rather by the nature of the industry we're in. It
just does not make much sense to create strategies and visions 100 years
into the future in our case.


I disagree. The horizon for strategic planning in the case of business 
is just making profit, so you can build dams or power plants with a 50 
or 100 years timeframe in mind, sell them all ten years later to buy 
banks or other big factories in a new sector and start again (cf. 
creation of Enel as told by Paul Ginsborg). That's exactly the opposite 
of what donors want for an endowment, and the point you're missing in 
your last reply to his point: it's reasonable to be unable to produce a 
meaningful long-term strategic plan for the sort of activities and 
objectives that the WMF has, but not for Wikimedia in general.
In fact in https://meta.wikimedia.org/wiki/Wikimedia_Trust I defined 
the aim as *negation* (or rather, the complement) of the 5-years 
strategic plan; more on the page.


Nemo

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Re: [Wikimedia-l] Wikimedia (Foundation) endowment

2013-03-18 Thread Federico Leva (Nemo)

Dariusz Jemielniak, 18/03/2013 11:41:

[...] are we seriously arguing
whether in the practice of strategic planning for NGOs time horizon for
STRATEGY (not vision) can be set for 100 years?


If you don't know, nobody can; *you* brought this topic up.
And I still don't see anything in your arguments supporting your theory 
that in our case any vision and strategy of a
long time horizon is a grave mistake, except the claim that, probably, 
all the institutions with endowments are more similar to forestry 
business than to us.


Nemo

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Re: [Wikimedia-l] Wikimedia (Foundation) endowment

2013-03-18 Thread Fae
On 18 March 2013 11:28, Dariusz Jemielniak dar...@alk.edu.pl wrote:
...
 I honestly don't believe that anyone with some basic understanding of
 principles of organizational strategic planning would dispute that.
 However, I entirely agree with Fae that we need a powerful, long-term
 vision (and I believe that making all knowledge universally accessible is
 quite good in this respect, and also appealing to donors for endowment).

As I have a MBA specializing in international strategy, hand in hand
with a couple of decades as a consultant, I would count myself as
having a basic understanding. ;-)

 In other words, I completely do not understand why you insist that in spite
 of a long term vision we also need a 100-year spanning strategy. But let's
 assume we do: could you give examples of goals, say for year 10, year 20,
 year 50?...

I suggest you step away from the technology component before this
becomes a mantra. Given a span of 100 years, assumptions become rather
large. We can start to assume that within one or two decades,
*everyone* on the planet is data-connected, we can assume that
language barriers break down or become irrelevant, we can assume that
connection and hardware costs become vanishingly small and we can
assume that engagement with human knowledge is fully immersive.

Developing a strategy would require some big thinking of scenarios:
* Does Wikimedia get subsumed into a new ecology of open knowledge
organizations?
* Does operations become irrelevant as it will be naturally factored out?
* In a future of cheap as chips access, does access mean
socialization and education?

Classically, one might bounce around environmental scenarios such as
religious division, hyper-connection social instability (meme
threats), population crisis etc.

It's a big talk, and above was mentioned spending 5 years on this.
Consider how darn slow us unpaid Wikimedia volunteers are to nit-pick
our way forward, thinking of how we take longer than a year+ to reach
some conclusions is not unreasonable, and it is not as easy as saying
quote examples as if this was a discussion short-cut.

Thanks,
Fae
-- 
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Re: [Wikimedia-l] Wikimedia (Foundation) endowment

2013-03-18 Thread Dariusz Jemielniak
On Mon, Mar 18, 2013 at 1:01 PM, Fae fae...@gmail.com wrote:

 As I have a MBA specializing in international strategy, hand in hand
  with a couple of decades as a consultant, I would count myself as
 having a basic understanding. ;-)


I'd assume it goes way beyond basics.


 Developing a strategy would require some big thinking of scenarios:
 * Does Wikimedia get subsumed into a new ecology of open knowledge
 organizations?
 * Does operations become irrelevant as it will be naturally factored out?
 * In a future of cheap as chips access, does access mean
 socialization and education?


The thing is, this is guesswork, and also a dangerous one in the sense that
we separate this discussion from our resources (for instance, we have
text-based knowledge bases, are we sure these will be even relevant in half
a century? no way to decide. In terms of access: again, a great leap of
faith is made e.g. in terms of energy resources allowing for a sustainable
development of networks. It is just possible to conceive a scenario in
which we'll have to wind down bandwidth consumption, rather than all go
into a realistic VR). A century-long time horizon makes telepathic data
transfer perfectly viable. Same it goes with hardware to brain porting.
With this perspective, universal connectivity to the net as we know it now
is a very modest assumption. We know that technologies completely changing
our field are behind the corner.


 Classically, one might bounce around environmental scenarios such as
 religious division, hyper-connection social instability (meme
 threats), population crisis etc.


And so did e.g. Barber or Huntington, and failed in many of their
predictions just several years after they were made.


 It's a big talk, and above was mentioned spending 5 years on this.
 Consider how darn slow us unpaid Wikimedia volunteers are to nit-pick
 our way forward, thinking of how we take longer than a year+ to reach
 some conclusions is not unreasonable, and it is not as easy as saying
 quote examples as if this was a discussion short-cut.


As long as it is not really a strategy creation exercise, but rather an
imagination stimulation and concept brainstorming, I think it is a great
idea. But we should not mistake trying to look way too far beyond what we
can see as great vision. It is guesswork.

best,

dj
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Re: [Wikimedia-l] Wikimedia (Foundation) endowment

2013-03-18 Thread Dariusz Jemielniak
Fine, let's call it strategy. Off-the-record, can you name some other
organizations, preferably more or less in our industry, which have
strategies longer than 20 years?

Other than that I think that your idea of discussing a dispersed archive is
great and definitely worth covering, and beyond any doubt it is also a good
reason to have an endowment for.

best,

dj


On Mon, Mar 18, 2013 at 2:18 PM, Fae fae...@gmail.com wrote:

 On 18 March 2013 12:14, Dariusz Jemielniak dar...@alk.edu.pl wrote:
 ...
  As long as it is not really a strategy creation exercise, but rather an
  imagination stimulation and concept brainstorming, I think it is a great
  idea. But we should not mistake trying to look way too far beyond what we
  can see as great vision. It is guesswork.

 I'm happy to continue calling this part of strategy creation, while
 you call it speculation or guesswork.

 However I believe it is perfectly clear that if the movement has no
 100 year plan, even in concept, and cannot set some top level goals to
 show our commitment to a century long view, then a public call to
 create a billion dollar endowment will quickly be shot down as banking
 money for the sake of job security.

 An easy-peasy goal is to ensure all project knowledge content is
 actively archived in a way that the commitment to preservation is
 meaningfully demonstrated. Pointing to a reasonably future-proofed but
 cost effective 100-year (multi-location) archive is one obvious way of
 explaining what an endowment is for.

 PS I have heard the archive question answered recently by a
 representative of the WMF on a radio interview as Oh, it's all over
 the internet, if we disappear it could always be re-created (or words
 to that effect) - I thought this a particularly naff answer for an
 organization with many millions in the bank to spend on operational
 risks.

 Thanks,
 Fae
 --
 fae...@gmail.com http://j.mp/faewm
 Guide to email tags: http://j.mp/mfae





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Re: [Wikimedia-l] Wikimedia (Foundation) endowment

2013-03-18 Thread Fae
On 18 March 2013 13:24, Dariusz Jemielniak dar...@alk.edu.pl wrote:
 Fine, let's call it strategy. Off-the-record, can you name some other
 organizations, preferably more or less in our industry, which have
 strategies longer than 20 years?

Google it - some random reading:
* 100 year project
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-2199247/The-100-year-Starship-project-plans-transport-humans-solar-system.html
* 100 year plan
http://www.nutraingredients-usa.com/Industry/Unigen-pens-100-year-plan
* 100 year plan http://www.cnv.org/server.aspx?c=3i=541
* 100 year scenario planning
http://www.computerweekly.com/opinion/Technology-in-the-next-100-years-the-futurologists-view
* How Google and Virgin wanted to be on Mars in 100 years
http://www.google.com/virgle/plan_1.html :-D

A business search might discover some more down to earth long term
strategy examples. If this gets a bit more serious, I might spend a
couple of hours in the British Library business center tracking some
down.

Cheers,
Fae
-- 
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Guide to email tags: http://j.mp/mfae

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Re: [Wikimedia-l] Wikimedia (Foundation) endowment

2013-03-18 Thread Nathan
To return to the endowment again as the main topic, I think there are
some risks we need to consider in an endowment. In general I think
having an endowment is a good idea for a charitable institution, and
certainly the WMF needs a strategic reserve of some size to maintain
operations in the event of a crisis. But a lot of thought has to go
into the target size of that fund, the nature of its fundraising, how
or whether it is used, and what role (and of what prominence) it plays
in WM/WMF public relations.

There's a risk that the presence of a large endowment, or even a
campaign to raise funds for an endowment, could cannibalize or turn
off some donors. While I agree with Dan that there is something
undesirable in making each annual fundraiser a life or death event,
and essentially threatening our userbase with the end of the projects
if the fundraiser doesn't go well, it's also clearly true that this is
at least effective in raising money. There would at a minimum be a
need to recalibrate messaging if an endowment were established that
could carry the WMF through several years.

We should also consider how having an endowment might affect the
democratic nature of the WMF. (And before someone says
NOT#DEMOCRACY!! yes, I know). This is the flipside of making the
organization dependent on the annual fundraiser. While it's subject to
economic fluctuations, it also is held responsible for the value it
provides to user. If at some point the WMF loses the confidence,
interest or support of the greater community of readers, then the
organization will suffer as a result. But as an endowment becomes
larger, the influence of the community decreases and the independence
of management increases.

I'm not sure what the current target is for a reserve, but a good
starting point and middle ground between an endowment and a reserve is
to have a fairly robust target - say three years of operational
funding with a complete cessation of fundraising. In anything but a
nightmare scenario, that should give the WMF a solid cushion of at
least 5 to 10 years in the event of a major disruption in income, but
avoid some of the challenges of a larger endowment and related
campaign.

~Nathan

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Re: [Wikimedia-l] Wikimedia (Foundation) endowment

2013-03-18 Thread Dariusz Jemielniak
thanks for these three examples. All relate to innovation breakthroughs
(the main goal for strategy is achieving something completely
technologically impossible, and not movement growth/sustenance). They are
interesting though - let me know if you come up with something else :) For
now I think we can mute this dispute, as it diverts from the endowment
issue.

best,

dj


On Mon, Mar 18, 2013 at 2:46 PM, Fae fae...@gmail.com wrote:

 On 18 March 2013 13:24, Dariusz Jemielniak dar...@alk.edu.pl wrote:
  Fine, let's call it strategy. Off-the-record, can you name some other
  organizations, preferably more or less in our industry, which have
  strategies longer than 20 years?

 Google it - some random reading:
 * 100 year project

 http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-2199247/The-100-year-Starship-project-plans-transport-humans-solar-system.html
 * 100 year plan
 http://www.nutraingredients-usa.com/Industry/Unigen-pens-100-year-plan
 * 100 year plan http://www.cnv.org/server.aspx?c=3i=541
 * 100 year scenario planning

 http://www.computerweekly.com/opinion/Technology-in-the-next-100-years-the-futurologists-view
 * How Google and Virgin wanted to be on Mars in 100 years
 http://www.google.com/virgle/plan_1.html :-D

 A business search might discover some more down to earth long term
 strategy examples. If this gets a bit more serious, I might spend a
 couple of hours in the British Library business center tracking some
 down.

 Cheers,
 Fae
 --
 fae...@gmail.com http://j.mp/faewm
 Guide to email tags: http://j.mp/mfae





-- 

__
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profesor zarządzania
kierownik katedry Zarządzania Międzynarodowego
i centrum badawczego CROW
Akademia Leona Koźmińskiego
http://www.crow.alk.edu.pl
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Re: [Wikimedia-l] Wikimedia (Foundation) endowment

2013-03-18 Thread Dan Rosenthal
Nathan hit on something that I was thinking about, while reading Darius and
Nemo's comments.  (some snipping below)

We should also consider how having an endowment might affect the
democratic nature of the WMF  This is the flipside of making the
organization dependent on the annual fundraiser. If at some point the
WMF loses the confidence,
interest or support of the greater community of readers, then the
organization will suffer as a result. But as an endowment becomes
larger, the influence of the community decreases and the independence
of management increases.

This is definitely a risk, and one that needs to be addressed. In our
current state I think if we had an endowment magically appear today,  the
combination of board, staff, and community could be counted on to provide
enough oversight that while there may be policy disputes, the vision and
fundamental shape of the WMF are generally similar to what they are now. We
could reasonably count on that to stay the same in the near future. But as
that timeline grows further into the future, that assumption becomes more
shaky, especially when you reach the point in time where the majority of
staff/board/users have turned over from the present generation to the next;
losing that institutional memory.  We've seen how contentious questions
involving the community's relationship with the WMF can be.  If the
endowment can be structured in such a way that it guarantees perpetual
community oversight of the WMF's implementation of the movement's vision,
this is a good thing. But if not, it risks the organization slowly drifting
into something different, without the leverage of the fundraiser to bring
it back.


Dan Rosenthal


On Mon, Mar 18, 2013 at 4:52 PM, David Gerard dger...@gmail.com wrote:

 On 18 March 2013 13:39, Thomas Morton morton.tho...@googlemail.com
 wrote:

  Just having a backup is only 1/10th of the problem though, if that.
  If Wikimedia Commons, for example, where to disappear in a cloud of smoke
  overnight what would it take to turn one of those backups into a properly
  functioning replacement?
  Open knowledge data is only useful when it's accessible :)


 Yes, that's the precise thing I'm saying needs proper testing :-)

 My threat model here is if WMF vanishes one day, say it's hit by a
 meteor (including legal meteors).


 - d.

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Re: [Wikimedia-l] Wikimedia (Foundation) endowment

2013-03-18 Thread MZMcBride
Nathan wrote:
To return to the endowment again as the main topic, I think there are
some risks we need to consider in an endowment. In general I think
having an endowment is a good idea for a charitable institution, and
certainly the WMF needs a strategic reserve of some size to maintain
operations in the event of a crisis. But a lot of thought has to go
into the target size of that fund, the nature of its fundraising, how
or whether it is used, and what role (and of what prominence) it plays
in WM/WMF public relations.

[...]

These are all good points.

I suggested quite recently that the Board pass a resolution creating a
committee to examine the points you raise and additional questions
outlined here: https://meta.wikimedia.org/wiki/Endowment/Questions.

I continue to think that we (as a community) are still not at a place
where we can make good judgments about whether to set up an endowment.
There simply isn't enough information available to make a sound decision,
in my opinion. That said, the idea of creating an endowment does seem like
an idea that has broad support for further consideration and exploration,
which is why I think an investigative or exploratory committee would make
a lot of sense here and now. Thoughts?

MZMcBride



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Re: [Wikimedia-l] Wikimedia (Foundation) endowment

2013-03-18 Thread George Herbert
On Mon, Mar 18, 2013 at 9:53 AM, MZMcBride z...@mzmcbride.com wrote:

 I continue to think that we (as a community) are still not at a place
 where we can make good judgments about whether to set up an endowment.
 There simply isn't enough information available to make a sound decision,
 in my opinion. That said, the idea of creating an endowment does seem like
 an idea that has broad support for further consideration and exploration,
 which is why I think an investigative or exploratory committee would make
 a lot of sense here and now. Thoughts?



I have seen some good criticisms, which I tend to disagree with but I
think are very healthy to explore and discuss.

I think that an exploratory committee is an excellent idea.  I think
that, regardless of what form it takes, preserving the data and its
history and editability for future generations and the benefit of
humankind writ large is a goal I think it would be good to get
consensus around and then start some thinking / planning.

If an Endowment helps that, then it's worth examining more closely.
If it hurts that, then perhaps not.


-- 
-george william herbert
george.herb...@gmail.com

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Re: [Wikimedia-l] Wikimedia (Foundation) endowment

2013-03-16 Thread MZMcBride
Samuel Klein wrote:
Yes, let us build an endowment.
It makes practical sense: As a community institution that aims to
serve our society for the next 100 years, it matches our scope and
vision.  And as a respected and visible global project, we can raise
the funds we need.

phoebe ayers wrote:
All that said, I strongly support the idea, on the principle that what we
do is important for the long-term and needs to be supported as such. We
did discuss the idea during my time on the board, a year or so ago, and it
sounds like it's coming up again, which is great!

Hi SJ and Phoebe.

What do you think about this as a path forward?

The Board votes on a resolution that would create an investigative
committee (a Sustainability Committee or an Endowment Committee or
whatever) that would take six months or a year or more to examine the
questions put forward by Stu (now available here:
https://meta.wikimedia.org/wiki/Endowment/Questions)? The purpose of the
committee would be to report back to the Board with solid answers to these
questions (and additional questions, of course) about a possible endowment.

The investigative committee could consist of some Wikimedia Foundation
staff, some Advisory Board members, some community members, some outside
financial and/or legal people, et al.

I think very broadly there's likely support for the creation of an
endowment, but I don't think there's enough solid information yet.

Is this a reasonable (or tenable) path forward? After having seen the
volume of past discussion about this idea, I'd really prefer not to look
back at this mailing list discussion in two or three years and still not
have made forward real forward progress. ;-)  If you have other ideas
about next steps here, please share!

MZMcBride



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Re: [Wikimedia-l] Wikimedia (Foundation) endowment

2013-03-15 Thread George Herbert




On Mar 14, 2013, at 10:57 PM, Michael Snow wikipe...@frontier.com wrote:

 Aside from that, it's only recently that Wikimedia sites have approached 
 having the kind of redundancy and failover capabilities we've talked about 
 needing for a long time. That's at least one example of something that can 
 add pretty significant costs without having a material impact on traffic 
 (except in emergencies, of course).

This.

The data in the various Wikis and ability for people to get to it and maintain 
it are a public trust.

Before there was much Foundation or money, as internet public services are wont 
to do, a shoestring needed to suffice.  It would not be responsible to go back 
to those days.  It would actually be a betrayal of the trust and intent of 
those donations over the years.

That is not to say that there is no way that technology or ops tools cannot 
eventually possibly shrink those costs.  But we should be prepared to keep 
spending that much.


George William Herbert
Sent from my iPhone
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Re: [Wikimedia-l] Wikimedia (Foundation) endowment

2013-03-15 Thread Theo10011
Hi Michael

On Fri, Mar 15, 2013, Michael Snow wikipe...@frontier.com wrote:

 I'm not sure why you would use traffic ranking for financial analysis,
 even the envelope-and-napkin kind of analysis we're engaging in here. I'm
 pretty confident that just because Google has been sitting at #1 for some
 time, it doesn't mean that their core operational costs have remained flat
 over that period.


I'm actually not using the traffic for financial analysis. I'm only using
the trend in traffic to compare the hosting costs - I think it would be
fair to assume that both are intrinsically linked. :)

The analysis of 6M/ year wasn't based on traffic at all, it was from the
annual budget and expenditure I saw in the reports, though that was an
envelope-and-napkin kind of analysis, it wasn't entirely based on
conjectures either. I also think its unfair to compare Wikipedia with
google, but if you were to take a top 10 traffic website and separate
their infrastructure and cap-ex, and look at annual operational costs
especially with things like bandwidth cost, it would have to be comparable.
(Maybe not for google but let's say for twitter or linked.in - comparable
bandwidth usage *is* the reason they are in the same league.)


 Aside from that, it's only recently that Wikimedia sites have approached
 having the kind of redundancy and failover capabilities we've talked about
 needing for a long time. That's at least one example of something that can
 add pretty significant costs without having a material impact on traffic
 (except in emergencies, of course).


I wouldn't know about the redundancies or those capabilities, it seems
fairly the same. My location and perspective might have more to do with
that but I just don't see the change as that dramatic. I wouldn't say there
isn't any change, from a performance stand-point, it just seems
incrementally better - outages still happen[1], there
are occasionally things that break, and minor lag issues persist on the
other side of the world. I'm grateful for the improvements but I wouldn't
really know what changed under the surface.

On Fri, Mar 15, 2013, James Alexander jameso...@gmail.com wrote:

 Aye, I know for example that our page views have more then doubled in the
 last 5 years (since 2008) and I believe grew even more dramatically in the
 years before that.


They increased a lot, but I don't think they more than doubled, or even
doubled[2]. The rise is pretty steady from Feb 09.

Regards
Theo

[1]http://blog.wikimedia.org/c/technology/operations/outage/
[2]
http://stats.wikimedia.org/reportcard/RC_2012_02_detailed.html#fragment-31
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Re: [Wikimedia-l] Wikimedia (Foundation) endowment

2013-03-15 Thread James Alexander
On Thu, Mar 14, 2013 at 11:36 PM, Theo10011 de10...@gmail.com wrote:


 On Fri, Mar 15, 2013, James Alexander jameso...@gmail.com wrote:
 
  Aye, I know for example that our page views have more then doubled in the
  last 5 years (since 2008) and I believe grew even more dramatically in
 the
  years before that.


 They increased a lot, but I don't think they more than doubled, or even
 doubled[2]. The rise is pretty steady from Feb 09.

 Regards
 Theo


According to http://reportcard.wmflabs.org/ (which is, I believe, the
official numbers from the logs and comscore) we went from 9.55B page views
in July 2008 to 21.79B page views in Feb 2013. We also went from 242M
uniques in January 2008 to 488M in 2013 (I believe comscore undercounts
developing countries where less advertising is focused as well so that
number is probably more dramatic).

James
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Re: [Wikimedia-l] Wikimedia (Foundation) endowment

2013-03-15 Thread Theo10011
Thanks James. I guess I stand corrected.

On Fri, Mar 15, 2013, Michael Snow wikipe...@frontier.com wrote:

 I didn't say you used traffic ranking to support your own estimate, you
 used it to try and rebut the estimates provided by Erik and others. That's
 still a kind of analysis.


I was just providing the figures I saw in context, I thought Erik was doing
the same kind of analysis. ;)

Anyway, I see your point. I get there is a whole lot missing from that
picture.

Regards
Theo
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Re: [Wikimedia-l] Wikimedia (Foundation) endowment

2013-03-15 Thread Theo10011
Going back to the original discussion. Werespielchequer added a proposal to
the page[1] that is worth looking at.

A good way would be to start small and move the reserve WMF carries already
and invest them, then start transferring the larger donations and
soliciting for the fund to large benefactors. Even with a target of $100M
this could be achieved between 5-10 years depending on how aggressively its
pursued.

A fund like this could easily be established as a charitable trust under
WMF, which would then provide WMF with an annual donation. Donations
directly to the trust would also be tax-deductible. I'm not sure what the
US tax law is on capital gains tax for such trusts but something like this
would have to be established with an indefinite target. The trust should be
expected to exist in perpetuity, and grow with the requirements at the same
time. Even in unforeseen cases, the primary goal of the trust should be to
keep the projects online indefinitely, no 20-30 or even 100 year target -
even if the projects aren't relevant, even if WMF no longer exists - A
trust would ensure there always is a WMF or someone there to run the
projects and carry on the goal.

Regards
Theo

[1]https://meta.wikimedia.org/wiki/Endowment#Proposal

On Fri, Mar 15, 2013 at 8:33 AM, Federico Leva (Nemo) nemow...@gmail.comwrote:

 Liam Wyatt, 15/03/2013 02:55:

  On 15 March 2013 01:51, Erik Moeller e...@wikimedia.org wrote:

  The what's the level required
 for bare survival question is, IMO, only of marginal interest,
 because it is much more desirable, and should be very much possible,
 to raise funds for sustaining our mission in perpetuity.


 Perhaps a more useful measure is to look at the differentiation in the WMF
 budget between what is considered core and what is approved by the FDC.


 I seriously doubt so. Let's not abuse measures and definitions for
 purposes other than those they were designed for, please.

 Nemo


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Re: [Wikimedia-l] Wikimedia (Foundation) endowment

2013-03-15 Thread Thomas Dalton
On Mar 15, 2013 9:26 PM, Theo10011 de10...@gmail.com wrote:

 A good way would be to start small and move the reserve WMF carries
already
 and invest them

Absolutely not. The reserves are there to protect the foundation against
sudden increases in costs or decreases in revenues. They are needed for
that purpose. If we're going to have an endowment, we need to fundraise
specifically for it.
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Re: [Wikimedia-l] Wikimedia (Foundation) endowment

2013-03-14 Thread Manuel Schneider
Hi,

Am 14.03.2013 06:48, schrieb MZMcBride:
 I've started collecting notes about a possible Wikimedia or Wikimedia
 Foundation endowment here: https://meta.wikimedia.org/wiki/Endowment.

thanks for collecting these links, they are interesting. Anyway, I
didn't fully understand the idea behind the page, especially as a
non-native speaker I have problems to come up with a proper translation
/ understanding of Endowment. I understand it as what WM(F) owns and
it may refer to the right WM(F) expects to have on getting / using
their donated money or may refer to the reserves WMF is currently building.

Can you explain this a bit better for people like me, please? Maybe
right on that Meta page would be good, so others can read it as well.

Thank you,


Manuel

-- 
Wikimedia CH - Verein zur Förderung Freien Wissens
Lausanne, +41 (21) 34066-22 - www.wikimedia.ch

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Re: [Wikimedia-l] Wikimedia (Foundation) endowment

2013-03-14 Thread Philippe Beaudette
See also: http://strategy.wikimedia.org/wiki/Endowment



___
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Director, Community Advocacy
Wikimedia Foundation, Inc.

415-839-6885, x 6643

phili...@wikimedia.org


On Thu, Mar 14, 2013 at 4:12 AM, Andrew Gray andrew.g...@dunelm.org.ukwrote:

 On 14 March 2013 08:09, Manuel Schneider manuel.schnei...@wikimedia.ch
 wrote:

  thanks for collecting these links, they are interesting. Anyway, I
  didn't fully understand the idea behind the page, especially as a
  non-native speaker I have problems to come up with a proper translation
  / understanding of Endowment. I understand it as what WM(F) owns and
  it may refer to the right WM(F) expects to have on getting / using
  their donated money or may refer to the reserves WMF is currently
 building.
 
  Can you explain this a bit better for people like me, please? Maybe
  right on that Meta page would be good, so others can read it as well.

 Hi Manuel,

 The basic idea of an endowment is that it's a large sum of money
 collected to set up a charity - it then uses the income from
 investing this money to cover some or all of its operating costs,
 rather than just spending it over a long period of time. The Wellcome
 Trust is a pretty good high-profile example; it has a capital
 endowment of around fifteen billion pounds, and spends about six
 hundred million (4%) a year.

 (In the US context, they're very common for universities, but this is
 less so in Europe; here it's more traditional charities)

 I've given a quick outline on the meta page. Building up an endowment
 sufficient to run WMF would be tricky, of course :-)

 --
 - Andrew Gray
   andrew.g...@dunelm.org.uk

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Re: [Wikimedia-l] Wikimedia (Foundation) endowment

2013-03-14 Thread Manuel Schneider
Thanks Andrew and Philippe for your explanation and links.

So that is a plan to build a reserve of funds that is so big that the
operation can be funded by the capital's gain - interest, dividends...

Sounds interesting, even though the endowment must be huge to cover our
yearly budgets. Another problem is that it is currently very hard to
find an interesting investment with low risks. Interest rates have been
reduced by the major central banks in order to overcome the global
recession, many formerly safe and interesting investments became risky
and those who are still safe partly have even negative interest rates
(eg. german state bonds).


/Manuel
-- 
Wikimedia CH - Verein zur Förderung Freien Wissens
Lausanne, +41 (21) 34066-22 - www.wikimedia.ch

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Re: [Wikimedia-l] Wikimedia (Foundation) endowment

2013-03-14 Thread Thomas Dalton
On 14 March 2013 13:00, Manuel Schneider manuel.schnei...@wikimedia.ch wrote:
 Thanks Andrew and Philippe for your explanation and links.

 So that is a plan to build a reserve of funds that is so big that the
 operation can be funded by the capital's gain - interest, dividends...

Yes, although reserve generally refers to money kept in case
something goes wrong. An endowment would be a separate fund
specifically raised for that purpose.

 Sounds interesting, even though the endowment must be huge to cover our
 yearly budgets. Another problem is that it is currently very hard to
 find an interesting investment with low risks. Interest rates have been
 reduced by the major central banks in order to overcome the global
 recession, many formerly safe and interesting investments became risky
 and those who are still safe partly have even negative interest rates
 (eg. german state bonds).

An endowment is a long-term thing. Current low interest rates probably
won't last more than a few years. Even so, it would need to be a very
large fund, yes. If you can get a return of, say, 2% over inflation
(you can get more than that if you're willing to take some risks) you
need 50 times your annual budget to fund it all from the endowment.
That would be something like $2 billion for the WMF. It doesn't need
to fund the entire budget to be useful, though, and can be built up
over time (eg. from legacies in people's wills).

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Re: [Wikimedia-l] Wikimedia (Foundation) endowment

2013-03-14 Thread Craig Franklin
Hi Manuel,

In my professional experience with endowments (which isn't that extensive,
I must confess), the investments are typically extremely conservative and
designed to give a steady and reliable long term flow of dividends, rather
than shooting for quick capital gains through risky investments in shares
or property.  Things like debentures, government bonds, fixed interest
deposits, and so forth.  Even in these current times of financial
uncertainty, a competent investment adviser should be able to construct an
investment portfolio that provides a modest return with little risk.

Regards,
Craig Franklin

Message: 5
 Date: Thu, 14 Mar 2013 13:00:21 +0100
 From: Manuel Schneider manuel.schnei...@wikimedia.ch
 To: Wikimedia Mailing List wikimedia-l@lists.wikimedia.org
 Subject: Re: [Wikimedia-l] Wikimedia (Foundation) endowment
 Message-ID: 5141bbd5.8050...@wikimedia.ch
 Content-Type: text/plain; charset=utf-8

 Thanks Andrew and Philippe for your explanation and links.

 So that is a plan to build a reserve of funds that is so big that the
 operation can be funded by the capital's gain - interest, dividends...

 Sounds interesting, even though the endowment must be huge to cover our
 yearly budgets. Another problem is that it is currently very hard to
 find an interesting investment with low risks. Interest rates have been
 reduced by the major central banks in order to overcome the global
 recession, many formerly safe and interesting investments became risky
 and those who are still safe partly have even negative interest rates
 (eg. german state bonds).


 /Manuel
 --
 Wikimedia CH - Verein zur Förderung Freien Wissens
 Lausanne, +41 (21) 34066-22 - www.wikimedia.ch

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Re: [Wikimedia-l] Wikimedia (Foundation) endowment

2013-03-14 Thread Mathieu Stumpf

Le 2013-03-14 12:12, Andrew Gray a écrit :
On 14 March 2013 08:09, Manuel Schneider 
manuel.schnei...@wikimedia.ch wrote:



thanks for collecting these links, they are interesting. Anyway, I
didn't fully understand the idea behind the page, especially as a
non-native speaker I have problems to come up with a proper 
translation
/ understanding of Endowment. I understand it as what WM(F) owns 
and

it may refer to the right WM(F) expects to have on getting / using
their donated money or may refer to the reserves WMF is currently 
building.


Can you explain this a bit better for people like me, please? Maybe
right on that Meta page would be good, so others can read it as 
well.


Hi Manuel,

The basic idea of an endowment is that it's a large sum of money
collected to set up a charity - it then uses the income from
investing this money to cover some or all of its operating costs,
rather than just spending it over a long period of time. The Wellcome
Trust is a pretty good high-profile example; it has a capital
endowment of around fifteen billion pounds, and spends about six
hundred million (4%) a year.

(In the US context, they're very common for universities, but this is
less so in Europe; here it's more traditional charities)

I've given a quick outline on the meta page. Building up an endowment
sufficient to run WMF would be tricky, of course :-)


Let's hope it won't turn up into a charity business like the Gates 
Foundation whose investisements are benefits driven, with no 
consideration to ethical problems.


--
Association Culture-Libre
http://www.culture-libre.org/

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Re: [Wikimedia-l] Wikimedia (Foundation) endowment

2013-03-14 Thread MZMcBride
Thomas Dalton wrote:
An endowment is a long-term thing. Current low interest rates probably
won't last more than a few years. Even so, it would need to be a very
large fund, yes. If you can get a return of, say, 2% over inflation
(you can get more than that if you're willing to take some risks) you
need 50 times your annual budget to fund it all from the endowment.
That would be something like $2 billion for the WMF. It doesn't need
to fund the entire budget to be useful, though, and can be built up
over time (eg. from legacies in people's wills).

Exactly.

As I understand it, the yearly annual Wikimedia Foundation budget is about
$35 million. It costs about $2.5 million to keep the sites operational for
a year. So even if an endowment weren't large enough to cover well over
130 full-time staff members, it could still keep us up and running for a
while. Assuming $2.5 million, that's about $125 million, using your
multiply by 50 formula. That's still a shitload of money, but it's much
less than $2 billion. :-)

I think we need to decide, as a community, whether this is something we
want. If it is, we should set up an endowment fund sooner rather than
later, so that people willing to donate to such an endowment have a place
to put their money, I think.

The question then becomes: how do we decide on this? A community
vote (similar to the licensing update vote) followed by a Board
resolution? A Wikimedia-wide requests for comment? Just a Board resolution
(assuming a majority of members support this, of course)?

Thoughts on how to figure out what the next step here is would be really
appreciated. (Particularly looking at you, Philippe, given your work on
both the strategic plan and the licensing vote. Gerard's Law and all. ;-)

MZMcBride



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Re: [Wikimedia-l] Wikimedia (Foundation) endowment

2013-03-14 Thread Philippe Beaudette
On Thu, Mar 14, 2013 at 10:47 AM, MZMcBride z...@mzmcbride.com wrote:

 (Particularly looking at you, Philippe, given your work on
 both the strategic plan and the licensing vote. Gerard's Law and all. ;-)


For the record, I didn't do the licensing vote.  :)  Erik gets all the
sblame/s credit for that.  :-)

My feeling would be that the obvious first place to start would be the
Board of Trustees.  I'd probably start by emailing them and asking them
what they think.  It seems to me, if I were in your shoes (and I'm
carefully taking no position here, not because I don't have an opinion but
because I don't have a considered opinion), that the response to that
would drive the next set of actions.

pb

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415-839-6885, x 6643

phili...@wikimedia.org
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Re: [Wikimedia-l] Wikimedia (Foundation) endowment

2013-03-14 Thread MZMcBride
Philippe Beaudette wrote:
On Thu, Mar 14, 2013 at 10:47 AM, MZMcBride z...@mzmcbride.com wrote:
 (Particularly looking at you, Philippe, given your work on
 both the strategic plan and the licensing vote. Gerard's Law and all.
;-)

For the record, I didn't do the licensing vote.  :)  Erik gets all the
sblame/s credit for that.  :-)

Hah, my bad. For some reason, I was associating it with you in my head. I
thought you did the strategic plan in 2008 and the licensing update in
2009. Meta-Wiki bears you out, though. Maybe I got the licensing update
vote confused with the image filter referendum? Anyway, sorry about that.

My feeling would be that the obvious first place to start would be the
Board of Trustees.  I'd probably start by emailing them and asking them
what they think.  It seems to me, if I were in your shoes (and I'm
carefully taking no position here, not because I don't have an opinion but
because I don't have a considered opinion), that the response to that
would drive the next set of actions.

Well, I think a few of the Board of Trustees members read this mailing
list occasionally. Perhaps they'll chime in. I'd not seen
https://strategy.wikimedia.org/wiki/Endowment. Thank you kindly for
that. (Now if only strategy.wikimedia.org were folded back into
meta.wikimedia.org so that I had a chance of finding these pages on my
own)

MZMcBride



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Re: [Wikimedia-l] Wikimedia (Foundation) endowment

2013-03-14 Thread Theo10011
On Thu, Mar 14, 2013 at 2:47 PM, MZMcBride z...@mzmcbride.com wrote:


 As I understand it, the yearly annual Wikimedia Foundation budget is about
 $35 million. It costs about $2.5 million to keep the sites operational for
 a year. So even if an endowment weren't large enough to cover well over
 130 full-time staff members, it could still keep us up and running for a
 while. Assuming $2.5 million, that's about $125 million, using your
 multiply by 50 formula. That's still a shitload of money, but it's much
 less than $2 billion. :-)

 I think we need to decide, as a community, whether this is something we
 want. If it is, we should set up an endowment fund sooner rather than
 later, so that people willing to donate to such an endowment have a place
 to put their money, I think.


This used to be my pet project for a while. My first edit to strategy wiki
was about an endowment fund[1], I don't think there was anything on the
subject before that one. Stu and Eugene's edit on the subject came later,
so I'll still take some credit for this one. ;)

I brought this up in person to a few board members, and to the foundation
staff on another mailing list an year or two ago. I believe they are all
aware of the idea and its implication. Eugene suggested at some point that
we should come back to this discussion later. The answers were always
ambiguous from what I recall.

There seems to be absence of a long term sustainable financial vision for
the foundation, or if there is, it doesn't seem to be public. The majority
of it seems to revolve around retaining x months of operational reserves
and putting all the chips on the annual fundraiser. I always thought that's
not a very mature financial strategy for an organization.

I started discussing this on strategy wiki, etc. and the first thought was
separating the core and non-core activities, and then separating the
funding models. The core activities are relatively stable, the non-core
differentiate a lot more year on year - moving the non-core to a variable
model where the revenue would define spending, and core activities to its
self-contained sustainable model would be an ideal strategy. The
bare-minimum operational cost of hosting, and being online, could be
covered with such a fund easily, leaving the annual fundraiser target to be
a variable each year without any target, which in turn can define the
spending. The correct calculation,as thomas started alluding to would be -
operating expenses + projected growth (year on year) + annual inflation
rate + reserve/contingency. I had a lot more worked out somewhere according
to tax laws and specific interest rates. Either way, the first implication
would be that this would nullify to some extent, the majority of the
urgency the fundraiser raises, the success of the fundraiser would be
irrelevant to the long term existence of the projects.

Regards
Theo

[1]http://strategy.wikimedia.org/wiki/Proposal:Wikipedia_Fund
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Re: [Wikimedia-l] Wikimedia (Foundation) endowment

2013-03-14 Thread Anders Wennersten
I was marginally involved on this issue two years ago. And by then the 
focus/priority was to ramp up the Fundraising activities.


As this now has been successfully done, I believe this discussion is now 
much better in timing, and worthwhile to work through


I like the idea that the basic running costs for servers etc should have 
guaranteed income by Endowments, but that the programmatic activities 
should still be dependent on the yearly fundraising


Anders

Theo10011 skrev 2013-03-14 19:23:

On Thu, Mar 14, 2013 at 2:47 PM, MZMcBride z...@mzmcbride.com wrote:


As I understand it, the yearly annual Wikimedia Foundation budget is about
$35 million. It costs about $2.5 million to keep the sites operational for
a year. So even if an endowment weren't large enough to cover well over
130 full-time staff members, it could still keep us up and running for a
while. Assuming $2.5 million, that's about $125 million, using your
multiply by 50 formula. That's still a shitload of money, but it's much
less than $2 billion. :-)

I think we need to decide, as a community, whether this is something we
want. If it is, we should set up an endowment fund sooner rather than
later, so that people willing to donate to such an endowment have a place
to put their money, I think.


This used to be my pet project for a while. My first edit to strategy wiki
was about an endowment fund[1], I don't think there was anything on the
subject before that one. Stu and Eugene's edit on the subject came later,
so I'll still take some credit for this one. ;)

I brought this up in person to a few board members, and to the foundation
staff on another mailing list an year or two ago. I believe they are all
aware of the idea and its implication. Eugene suggested at some point that
we should come back to this discussion later. The answers were always
ambiguous from what I recall.

There seems to be absence of a long term sustainable financial vision for
the foundation, or if there is, it doesn't seem to be public. The majority
of it seems to revolve around retaining x months of operational reserves
and putting all the chips on the annual fundraiser. I always thought that's
not a very mature financial strategy for an organization.

I started discussing this on strategy wiki, etc. and the first thought was
separating the core and non-core activities, and then separating the
funding models. The core activities are relatively stable, the non-core
differentiate a lot more year on year - moving the non-core to a variable
model where the revenue would define spending, and core activities to its
self-contained sustainable model would be an ideal strategy. The
bare-minimum operational cost of hosting, and being online, could be
covered with such a fund easily, leaving the annual fundraiser target to be
a variable each year without any target, which in turn can define the
spending. The correct calculation,as thomas started alluding to would be -
operating expenses + projected growth (year on year) + annual inflation
rate + reserve/contingency. I had a lot more worked out somewhere according
to tax laws and specific interest rates. Either way, the first implication
would be that this would nullify to some extent, the majority of the
urgency the fundraiser raises, the success of the fundraiser would be
irrelevant to the long term existence of the projects.

Regards
Theo

[1]http://strategy.wikimedia.org/wiki/Proposal:Wikipedia_Fund
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Re: [Wikimedia-l] Wikimedia (Foundation) endowment

2013-03-14 Thread Samuel Klein
Aha, a welcome topic :)

MZMcBride writes:
 I think we need to decide, as a community, whether this is something we
 want. If it is, we should set up an endowment fund sooner rather than
 later, so that people willing to donate to such an endowment have a place
 to put their money, I think.

Yes, let us build an endowment.
It makes practical sense: As a community institution that aims to
serve our society for the next 100 years, it matches our scope and
vision.  And as a respected and visible global project, we can raise
the funds we need.

It also makes financial sense: Some donors prefer to donate to one.
And there are economies of scale: the flexibility of long-term
investments let them generate better average returns, and large funds
can invest significantly more effectively than small ones.


Anders Wennersten m...@anderswennersten.se writes:
 I was marginally involved on this issue two years ago. And by then the
 focus/priority was to ramp up the Fundraising activities.

 As this now has been successfully done, I believe this discussion is
 now much better in timing, and worthwhile to work through

Right.  When we first considered an endowment, the WMF didn't have the
financial expertise to set one up; later, in 2010, fundraising was
growing quite quickly and took priority.  Now we are in a good
position to plan longer-term investments.

This is good timing for another reason as well.  These issues were
raised at the WMF Audit Committee meeting last week, and the WMF is
considering what an endowment might look like.  Strong community
support would speed that consideration.

SJ
--
Samuel Klein  @metasj   w:user:sj  +1 617 529 4266

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Re: [Wikimedia-l] Wikimedia (Foundation) endowment

2013-03-14 Thread phoebe ayers
On Thu, Mar 14, 2013 at 5:16 AM, Thomas Dalton thomas.dal...@gmail.comwrote:

 On 14 March 2013 13:00, Manuel Schneider manuel.schnei...@wikimedia.ch
 wrote:
  Thanks Andrew and Philippe for your explanation and links.
 
  So that is a plan to build a reserve of funds that is so big that the
  operation can be funded by the capital's gain - interest, dividends...

 Yes, although reserve generally refers to money kept in case
 something goes wrong. An endowment would be a separate fund
 specifically raised for that purpose.
 

It doesn't need
 to fund the entire budget to be useful, though, and can be built up
 over time (eg. from legacies in people's wills).


Yes. In an university context, which is what I'm most familiar with (and
where endowments are very common in the U.S.), there is often a specific
endowment campaign to plan for and build the endowment that is separate
from normal fundraising -- for instance, you might have a dedicated team
that would work on the endowment, solicit wealthy donors, etc.

And in turn, the endowment is not meant to fund all expenses or to preempt
normal fundraising. It can fund some expenses, and provides long-term
stability for the organization. Endowments often come about when you either
have a very wealthy donor who is setting up a foundation, or when you have
a humanitarian institution that wants to be in business essentially forever
(as is the case with most universities).

There is complicated law and best practice around endowments that I don't
pretend to understand. I do know it's more complicated than setting up a
bank account and calling it the endowment fund, at least to do it well.
Having an endowment would ideally be a part of the WMF's strategic and
long-term financial plan, with some dedicated resources (i.e. staff time to
manage the fund and solicit donations) applied to it. And we would want to
be clear on what we wanted the endowment to do -- what its role would be
over time -- and how it would interact and perhaps affect annual
fundraising.

All that said, I strongly support the idea, on the principle that what we
do is important for the long-term and needs to be supported as such. We did
discuss the idea during my time on the board, a year or so ago, and it
sounds like it's coming up again, which is great!

-- phoebe

-- 
* I use this address for lists; send personal messages to phoebe.ayers at
gmail.com *
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Re: [Wikimedia-l] Wikimedia (Foundation) endowment

2013-03-14 Thread Lisa Gruwell
My team here at the foundation has begun to do a little leg work so that we
are ready to go, if the Board should decide to pursue an endowment.  We
have begun to tip our toes into the world of planned giving and have had
conversations with some of our major donors about it.  At this point, the
planned gifts are for general support, but our strategy would likely be to
direct these types of gifts to an endowment, if we go that route.  We also
set up a simple page on the foundation site about planned giving or Legacy
Gifts, as we are calling it.
http://wikimediafoundation.org/wiki/Legacy_Gift

So far, the conversations have gone well.  There is an interesting
challenge in that donors have to be convinced that the organization is
going to be relevant in 20 or 30 years (or in the case of an endowment –
forever).  I'd love to hear your best arguments for why that this true. (Or
maybe we could devote some thinking to this during the next strategic
planning process).

Best,
Lisa Gruwell

On Thu, Mar 14, 2013 at 12:47 PM, Samuel Klein meta...@gmail.com wrote:

 Aha, a welcome topic :)

 MZMcBride writes:
  I think we need to decide, as a community, whether this is something we
  want. If it is, we should set up an endowment fund sooner rather than
  later, so that people willing to donate to such an endowment have a place
  to put their money, I think.

 Yes, let us build an endowment.
 It makes practical sense: As a community institution that aims to
 serve our society for the next 100 years, it matches our scope and
 vision.  And as a respected and visible global project, we can raise
 the funds we need.

 It also makes financial sense: Some donors prefer to donate to one.
 And there are economies of scale: the flexibility of long-term
 investments let them generate better average returns, and large funds
 can invest significantly more effectively than small ones.


 Anders Wennersten m...@anderswennersten.se writes:
  I was marginally involved on this issue two years ago. And by then the
  focus/priority was to ramp up the Fundraising activities.
 
  As this now has been successfully done, I believe this discussion is
  now much better in timing, and worthwhile to work through

 Right.  When we first considered an endowment, the WMF didn't have the
 financial expertise to set one up; later, in 2010, fundraising was
 growing quite quickly and took priority.  Now we are in a good
 position to plan longer-term investments.

 This is good timing for another reason as well.  These issues were
 raised at the WMF Audit Committee meeting last week, and the WMF is
 considering what an endowment might look like.  Strong community
 support would speed that consideration.

 SJ
 --
 Samuel Klein  @metasj   w:user:sj  +1 617 529 4266

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Re: [Wikimedia-l] Wikimedia (Foundation) endowment

2013-03-14 Thread phoebe ayers
On Thu, Mar 14, 2013 at 1:47 PM, Lisa Gruwell lgruw...@wikimedia.orgwrote:

 My team here at the foundation has begun to do a little leg work so that we
 are ready to go, if the Board should decide to pursue an endowment.  We
 have begun to tip our toes into the world of planned giving and have had
 conversations with some of our major donors about it.  At this point, the
 planned gifts are for general support, but our strategy would likely be to
 direct these types of gifts to an endowment, if we go that route.  We also
 set up a simple page on the foundation site about planned giving or Legacy
 Gifts, as we are calling it.
 http://wikimediafoundation.org/wiki/Legacy_Gift

 So far, the conversations have gone well.  There is an interesting
 challenge in that donors have to be convinced that the organization is
 going to be relevant in 20 or 30 years (or in the case of an endowment –
 forever).  I'd love to hear your best arguments for why that this true. (Or
 maybe we could devote some thinking to this during the next strategic
 planning process).

 Best,
 Lisa Gruwell


Thanks Lisa -- now *that's* a good question :) I added a quick section to
the endowment page, if people want to discuss there:
https://meta.wikimedia.org/wiki/Endowment#Will_we_be_relevant_in3F

-- phoebe
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Re: [Wikimedia-l] Wikimedia (Foundation) endowment

2013-03-14 Thread rupert THURNER
On Thu, Mar 14, 2013 at 8:47 PM, Samuel Klein meta...@gmail.com wrote:
 Aha, a welcome topic :)

 MZMcBride writes:
 I think we need to decide, as a community, whether this is something we
 want. If it is, we should set up an endowment fund sooner rather than
 later, so that people willing to donate to such an endowment have a place
 to put their money, I think.

 Yes, let us build an endowment.
 It makes practical sense: As a community institution that aims to
 serve our society for the next 100 years, it matches our scope and
 vision.  And as a respected and visible global project, we can raise
 the funds we need.

 It also makes financial sense: Some donors prefer to donate to one.
 And there are economies of scale: the flexibility of long-term
 investments let them generate better average returns, and large funds
 can invest significantly more effectively than small ones.

let me play advocatus diaboli here ...

the strong point of the wikimedia movement always has been that it
attracts small donations, which are of immediate use. some reserves to
allow keep the lights on for a couple of years is very understandable.
lets assume our donors are average people, people who have the time
to click and give 10 dollars. why should somebody who earns a little
salary want to give 10 dollars to a foundation which has 40 million on
its bank account?

ok - you say the movement does not need these little donations any
more, because if the foundation would have 800 million dollar it would
leave 40 million to spend as well (5% interest rate). but what if the
foundation only has 200 million? this earns only 10 million a year,
and the sum might be sufficient that we might loose the donors which
made this success possible.

and you say, some people might really _want_ to donate to an endowment
fund, just let the people choose. but - does this choice cannibalize
the normal donations of people who do not want to donate to an
endowment fund?

if yes, then the foundation, the websites, and the content got
disconnected from the donors, and from the contributors.

advocatus diaboli mode out.

rupert.

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Re: [Wikimedia-l] Wikimedia (Foundation) endowment

2013-03-14 Thread MZMcBride
Erik Moeller wrote:
On Thu, Mar 14, 2013 at 10:47 AM, MZMcBride z...@mzmcbride.com wrote:
 It costs about $2.5 million to keep the sites operational for a year.

How did you come up with that number?

I used to say $2 million, but Roan recently told me that it had probably
gone up since that estimate (from 2009). So now I say $2.5 million. It's
advertised on Meta-Wiki here:
https://meta.wikimedia.org/wiki/?banner=money_or_die. ;-)

As I recall, the $2 million (now $2.5 million) figure came from
discussions with technical staff about what it would cost to keep the site
running for a year and an examination of relevant Wikimedia-related budget
breakdowns that were split out between non-technical staff costs, overhead
costs, etc. However, following Cunningham's Law, if you have a better
figure, please share. :-)  We can certainly say it's far less than $35
million to only keep the sites up and running (barebones hosting support
and related tech staff costs), the question is how much less.

MZMcBride



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Re: [Wikimedia-l] Wikimedia (Foundation) endowment

2013-03-14 Thread Milos Rancic
On Fri, Mar 15, 2013 at 2:51 AM, Erik Moeller e...@wikimedia.org wrote:
 On Thu, Mar 14, 2013 at 5:42 PM, Thomas Dalton thomas.dal...@gmail.com 
 wrote:

 Last year's financial report shows almost exactly $2.5m for Internet
 hosting. I'm not sure quite what that covers

 Only data-center usage (facilities, bandwidth, power). It does not
 include capital expenditures (servers, storage, network gear, etc.;
 budgeted at $1.9M in 2012-13) nor ops engineering staffing, nor of
 course any software engineering staffing or the basics of an
 organizational support structure (management/administration, legal,
 etc.).

 What's a bare minimum amount? It's a hard question to answer, because
 it depends on what you consider an acceptable bare minimum.

 - Is it acceptable for the projects to be without legal defense?
 - Is it acceptable to revert back to a single data center mode of operation?
 - Is it acceptable for ops to just barely be able to keep the lights
 on, with minimal effort dedicated to backups/monitoring/maintenance,
 etc.?
 - Is it acceptable for there to be no software engineers to aid with
 reviewing code contributions, and making improvements to the software?
 and so on.

 WMF has operated in the past without staffing and with very minimal
 staffing, so clearly it's _possible_ to host a high traffic website on
 an absolute shoestring. But I would argue that an endowment, to
 actually be worthwhile, should aim for a significantly higher base
 level of minimal annual operating expenses, more in the order of
 magnitude of $10M+/year, to ensure not only bare survival, but actual
 sustainability of Wikimedia's mission. The what's the level required
 for bare survival question is, IMO, only of marginal interest,
 because it is much more desirable, and should be very much possible,
 to raise funds for sustaining our mission in perpetuity.

I like the fact that megalomania is infectious and escalating disease,
which has roots in reality :)

I started to write something like: Come on, it's better to have a bare
minimum than nothing. Then I realized that WMF endowment needs two
year of Mozilla's income. Thus, quite possible for WMF, as well. Not
in two, but yes in five or so years.

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Re: [Wikimedia-l] Wikimedia (Foundation) endowment

2013-03-14 Thread Samuel Klein
On Thu, Mar 14, 2013 at 8:45 PM, George Herbert
george.herb...@gmail.com wrote:
 [Hosting...] Then various operational and administrative costs. My finger in 
 the
 air estimate would be a total of about $4m-$5m.

 It is important to know how much money is going on essentials and how much
 on nice-to-haves. (That ought to be how the core/non-core split works, 
 really)

I think a useful breakdown is
{([hosting + core operations] + core projects) + additional
projects} = budget

The boundaries get fuzzier, moving out.
 Hosting :Bandwidth and hardware; has two line-items in the budget.
 Core ops :  Everything needed to make hosting work with [reasonable]
uptime / disaster response / critical updates.
 Core projects :  Everything needed to make the Projects and
Foundation work with [reasonable] efficiency and accessibility.
Including fundraising, financial and legal project support,
development of major features, mediawiki platform innovation, support
for community tech innovation.
 Additional projects A :  Efforts to upgrade reasonable service to
excellent.  Support for new Projects. Experiments in engagement /
collaboration / governance.
 Additional projects B :  Work to bridge gaps in current projects,
research to find solutions to unsolved problems, outreach to new
audiences.  Other exploratory work, e.g., in design / communication /
education / dissemination / translation.

There are other ways we could classify our work.  There are options
for in-kind donations or volunteer-run versions of many costs, though
this is not always sustainable.  There are options for degrading the
quality of services rather than dropping them entirely.

This classification isn't perfectly tied to long-term importance: it
focuses on things we've already done and want to protect.  Something
supported by an additional project today may become a core project
tomorrow, or key to the future of the movement... or it may be spun
off or handed off to a partner.

Last year, our definition of non-core WMF projects was I believe
similar to group B above.

SJ

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Re: [Wikimedia-l] Wikimedia (Foundation) endowment

2013-03-14 Thread Lisa Gruwell
We also have to consider what these costs will be in 5 years and beyond to
know really how big an endowment would need to be.  This will require some
fairly complicated projects, that will most certainly be wrong at some
point in time.  :)

On Thu, Mar 14, 2013 at 7:16 PM, Samuel Klein meta...@gmail.com wrote:

 On Thu, Mar 14, 2013 at 8:45 PM, George Herbert
 george.herb...@gmail.com wrote:
  [Hosting...] Then various operational and administrative costs. My
 finger in the
  air estimate would be a total of about $4m-$5m.
 
  It is important to know how much money is going on essentials and how
 much
  on nice-to-haves. (That ought to be how the core/non-core split works,
 really)

 I think a useful breakdown is
 {([hosting + core operations] + core projects) + additional
 projects} = budget

 The boundaries get fuzzier, moving out.
  Hosting :Bandwidth and hardware; has two line-items in the budget.
  Core ops :  Everything needed to make hosting work with [reasonable]
 uptime / disaster response / critical updates.
  Core projects :  Everything needed to make the Projects and
 Foundation work with [reasonable] efficiency and accessibility.
 Including fundraising, financial and legal project support,
 development of major features, mediawiki platform innovation, support
 for community tech innovation.
  Additional projects A :  Efforts to upgrade reasonable service to
 excellent.  Support for new Projects. Experiments in engagement /
 collaboration / governance.
  Additional projects B :  Work to bridge gaps in current projects,
 research to find solutions to unsolved problems, outreach to new
 audiences.  Other exploratory work, e.g., in design / communication /
 education / dissemination / translation.

 There are other ways we could classify our work.  There are options
 for in-kind donations or volunteer-run versions of many costs, though
 this is not always sustainable.  There are options for degrading the
 quality of services rather than dropping them entirely.

 This classification isn't perfectly tied to long-term importance: it
 focuses on things we've already done and want to protect.  Something
 supported by an additional project today may become a core project
 tomorrow, or key to the future of the movement... or it may be spun
 off or handed off to a partner.

 Last year, our definition of non-core WMF projects was I believe
 similar to group B above.

 SJ

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Re: [Wikimedia-l] Wikimedia (Foundation) endowment

2013-03-14 Thread Theo10011
On Thu, Mar 14, 2013, Erik Moeller e...@wikimedia.org wrote:

 Only data-center usage (facilities, bandwidth, power). It does not
 include capital expenditures (servers, storage, network gear, etc.;
 budgeted at $1.9M in 2012-13) nor ops engineering staffing, nor of
 course any software engineering staffing or the basics of an
 organizational support structure (management/administration, legal,
 etc.).


I'm not technically inclined, but those numbers sound odd. Maybe I'm
missing something? The traffic ranking didn't go up nearly as substantially
in the last couple of years as the hosting and cap-ex mentioned above. The
total listed revenue for 06/07 is around 2.7 Million, 07/08 is 5 million,
08/09 is 8.6 million from there on it started doubling, but that was the
total revenue at the time, assuming it had to be higher than the actual
hosting cost. I don't think there were any substantial visitor milestones
crossed after that, another argument could be made that the costs
associated with hosting went down in that period. Either way, the two don't
seem to be growing at the same pace.



 What's a bare minimum amount? It's a hard question to answer, because
 it depends on what you consider an acceptable bare minimum.

 - Is it acceptable for the projects to be without legal defense?
 - Is it acceptable to revert back to a single data center mode of
 operation?
 - Is it acceptable for ops to just barely be able to keep the lights
 on, with minimal effort dedicated to backups/monitoring/maintenance,
 etc.?
 - Is it acceptable for there to be no software engineers to aid with
 reviewing code contributions, and making improvements to the software?
 and so on.


How about door #3. Any idea what amount that would be close to. Ops
keeping the light on seems like a good definition of core.



 WMF has operated in the past without staffing and with very minimal
 staffing, so clearly it's _possible_ to host a high traffic website on
 an absolute shoestring. But I would argue that an endowment, to
 actually be worthwhile, should aim for a significantly higher base
 level of minimal annual operating expenses, more in the order of
 magnitude of $10M+/year, to ensure not only bare survival, but actual
 sustainability of Wikimedia's mission. The what's the level required
 for bare survival question is, IMO, only of marginal interest,
 because it is much more desirable, and should be very much possible,
 to raise funds for sustaining our mission in perpetuity.


In 2011, I calculated that amount to be closer to $6M/year from a
diversified low-to-medium risk portfolio. A fund like that would need to
have a variable yield above a certain set amount to negate any year-on-year
increases. I believe there are companies that can calculate the annual
projected cost over the next 10 years and suggest options.

On Fri, Mar 15, 2013, Lisa Gruwell lgruw...@wikimedia.org wrote:

 We also have to consider what these costs will be in 5 years and beyond to
 know really how big an endowment would need to be.  This will require some
 fairly complicated projects, that will most certainly be wrong at some
 point in time.  :)


Actually, that's the benefit of separating the costs between core and
non-core. The projection for the hosting and bare-minimum operations
already has 10 year of past data to draw from. The cost would also remain
the same for every large internet property, things like bandwidth and
datacenter usage would be fairly the same for everyone.

The non-core expenses however are a different story. They depend on
whatever direction the foundation chooses. Those expenses would be nearly
impossible to predict from what I've seen.

Regards
Theo
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Re: [Wikimedia-l] Wikimedia (Foundation) endowment

2013-03-14 Thread rupert THURNER
currently the bylaws say: transfer the money to any 501(c)
organisation. wmf would not be allowed to be charitable in switzerland
as it is not guaranteed the donors money end up what it was ment for:
http://wikimediafoundation.org/wiki/Bylaws#Section_2._Distribution_of_Assets.

rupert.

On Fri, Mar 15, 2013 at 6:17 AM, Peter Southwood
peter.southw...@telkomsa.net wrote:
 Parallel to that question, is what happens to the endowment if the WMF is
 wound up. This would be of some interest to possible donors.
 In principle I am in favour of an endowment.
 Cheers,
 Peter
 - Original Message - From: phoebe ayers phoebe.w...@gmail.com
 To: Wikimedia Mailing List wikimedia-l@lists.wikimedia.org
 Sent: Thursday, March 14, 2013 10:52 PM
 Subject: Re: [Wikimedia-l] Wikimedia (Foundation) endowment


 On Thu, Mar 14, 2013 at 1:47 PM, Lisa Gruwell
 lgruw...@wikimedia.orgwrote:

 My team here at the foundation has begun to do a little leg work so that
 we
 are ready to go, if the Board should decide to pursue an endowment.  We
 have begun to tip our toes into the world of planned giving and have
 had
 conversations with some of our major donors about it.  At this point, the
 planned gifts are for general support, but our strategy would likely be
 to
 direct these types of gifts to an endowment, if we go that route.  We
 also
 set up a simple page on the foundation site about planned giving or
 Legacy
 Gifts, as we are calling it.
 http://wikimediafoundation.org/wiki/Legacy_Gift

 So far, the conversations have gone well.  There is an interesting
 challenge in that donors have to be convinced that the organization is
 going to be relevant in 20 or 30 years (or in the case of an endowment –
 forever).  I'd love to hear your best arguments for why that this true.
 (Or
 maybe we could devote some thinking to this during the next strategic
 planning process).

 Best,
 Lisa Gruwell



 Thanks Lisa -- now *that's* a good question :) I added a quick section to
 the endowment page, if people want to discuss there:
 https://meta.wikimedia.org/wiki/Endowment#Will_we_be_relevant_in3F

 -- phoebe
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Re: [Wikimedia-l] Wikimedia (Foundation) endowment

2013-03-14 Thread Michael Snow

On 3/14/2013 10:26 PM, Theo10011 wrote:

On Thu, Mar 14, 2013, Erik Moeller e...@wikimedia.org wrote:

Only data-center usage (facilities, bandwidth, power). It does not
include capital expenditures (servers, storage, network gear, etc.;
budgeted at $1.9M in 2012-13) nor ops engineering staffing, nor of
course any software engineering staffing or the basics of an
organizational support structure (management/administration, legal,
etc.).

I'm not technically inclined, but those numbers sound odd. Maybe I'm
missing something? The traffic ranking didn't go up nearly as substantially
in the last couple of years as the hosting and cap-ex mentioned above.
I'm not sure why you would use traffic ranking for financial analysis, 
even the envelope-and-napkin kind of analysis we're engaging in here. 
I'm pretty confident that just because Google has been sitting at #1 for 
some time, it doesn't mean that their core operational costs have 
remained flat over that period.


Aside from that, it's only recently that Wikimedia sites have approached 
having the kind of redundancy and failover capabilities we've talked 
about needing for a long time. That's at least one example of something 
that can add pretty significant costs without having a material impact 
on traffic (except in emergencies, of course).


--Michael Snow


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[Wikimedia-l] Wikimedia (Foundation) endowment

2013-03-13 Thread MZMcBride
Hi.

I've started collecting notes about a possible Wikimedia or Wikimedia
Foundation endowment here: https://meta.wikimedia.org/wiki/Endowment.

Any additional relevant links to past discussions or thoughts about this
idea are welcome on that page, its talk page, or this mailing list.

MZMcBride



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