. Was the Fed talking about the numbers as revised in 2004, or
pre-revision? The quote you referenced was Feb 11, but the BLS article I
referenced was 2004 Mar 5.
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.
Here is a plot of the historical real 3-month T-bill rate:
http://erikreuter.net/econ/tb_cpi.png
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atheists, 49 stupid theists and 41 smart theists.
This means that if we pick a random atheist, we have a 90% chance of
picking a smart one, but if we pick a random smart person, we have only
a 21.9% chance of picking an atheist.
18%
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Erik Reuter http://www.erikreuter.net
On Mon, Mar 22, 2004 at 06:05:29PM -0600, Ronn!Blankenship wrote:
But as I said, I don't think this calculation answers the question at
all,
By totally missing the point, you have perhaps provided a useful data
point...
--
Erik Reuter http://www.erikreuter.net
aggregate demand, thus a slowdown in GDP growth and low inflation.
And again, how would an increase influence your model?
Now that I can answer. Higher interest rates would almost surely result
in a recession in the current environment. That would mean lower
employment.
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that. Inflation is complicated!
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assertion, that not believing in
god puts you above average, then the group believing in god must be
below average (or else the undecided group is large and well below
average thus allowing the other two groups to be above average). Or are
you playing at something Garrison Keillor'ish?
--
Erik Reuter
some be above average but the group below average.
Or are you playing at something Garrison Keillor'ish?
I've never even heard of Garrison Keillor. Should I have?
According to the Prairie Home Companion, in Lake Wobegone, all the
children are above average.
--
Erik Reuter http
an effect along these lines caused by relative sizes
of the atheist and non-atheist populations, which it seems to me is
skewed towards non-atheists in the US.)
Yes, I think atheists are less than 10% in America (much less, I think).
--
Erik Reuter http://www.erikreuter.net
On Sun, Mar 14, 2004 at 10:08:56PM -0500, Erik Reuter wrote:
I haven't had time yet to write up an interpretation of the data, but
I will post one soon so we can discuss. In the meantime, if anyone
has any interpretation they'd like to post, please do! It will be
interesting to see if we draw
to
assume they do it or something like it but just don't waste time showing
the viewers...
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have
time to send a UAV or whatever.
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?
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On Tue, Mar 16, 2004 at 08:47:20PM -0500, John D. Giorgis wrote:
I am deeply and personally offended that you would describe opponents
of gay marriage as calling for a, quote, massacre of homosexuals.
Uh oh, JDG's offended. I feel more censorship attempts coming on...
--
Erik Reuter http
On Mon, Mar 15, 2004 at 01:43:05PM +0530, ritu wrote:
translate into a victory for terrorists? Zapatero has said that the
struggle against terrorism would remain a top priority for Spain.
But does he mean mostly just the ETA, or does he mean all terrorism?
--
Erik Reuter http
On Sun, Mar 14, 2004 at 04:44:35PM -0600, Reggie Bautista wrote:
But there is not a single idea that I can't express without using
those words.
Wrong. I just pointed one out.
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://erikreuter.net/econ/nfp_rgdp_pro.png
Productivity and 6-year-lagged Private Fixed Investment/3 , 3yr compounded
http://erikreuter.net/econ/pro_inv.png
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On Sat, Mar 13, 2004 at 12:07:16AM -0600, Ronn!Blankenship wrote:
So what do we do when X's right to free speech conflicts with Y's
right to freely exercise his or her religion?
The religious brain-rot has been afflicting you for a while, huh Ronn?
--
Erik
decides to get worked up about? What character sequence was he
talking about, specifically?
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of unemployment in Japan? How many
percentage points has Japan's unemployment rate risen as a result of
their trade policy, and how does this number compare to that in America?
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as strict rules, isn't there a guideline about
not posting under aliases?
For The Fool: Since you seem to have forgotten it, I'm reposting the
relevant parts of the Etiquette Guideline you're violating below.
violating? One can violate a guideline?
--
Erik Reuter http://www.erikreuter.net
mean it), but JDG's interpretation was
straightforward from what you wrote.
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on him. And if you aren't hiding behind an
alias (which you admit you use for defense), then why not launch your
attack and sign the last name that you were born with?
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and silence someone while
hiding behind your alias and hypocritically accusing someone else of
attacking when they are actually expressing their opinion and have
never attempted to force their opinion on others.
Self-righteous hypocritical cowardly control-freak.
--
Erik Reuter http
will nevertheless
attempt to fill in for him, if possible at double his former rate). If
you attempt to silence Fool, then on that day I, too, will be a Fool.
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if there are grounds for community
self-regulation here (within the established frameworks), you are just
making a Fool of yourself.
Better a fool than a self-important, human-rights denying, irrational,
reality-challenged mind-rotted religious bigot.
--
Erik Reuter http://www.erikreuter.net
Two relevant articles cited below, with excerpts.
***
The Economy Gets Back on Track
but Once Again Leaves Many Workers Behind
By Kevin L. Kliesen
http://www.stlouisfed.org/publications/re/2004/a/pages/econ_track.html#
Excerpt:
Is the United States Deindustrializing?
Another reason some
in
particular.
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.
Unfortunately respect has to be earned in many cases.
I'm not sure about the unfortunately, but otherwise I agree, yes, it
does.
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. They keep the email
flowing. In Nick's case, he also owns some of the equipment. But that
doesn't obligate him to be a list censor.
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that they
start to believe their own cutesy writing is worth something even when
there is no meaningful thought behind it.
You're unbelievable Erik.
Perhaps, if you're an idiot. You aren't worth talking to anymore Travis.
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Erik Reuter http://www.erikreuter.net
do anything
that is mentioned in the guidelines. I only agree to something if it is
specifically written down as a contract that I sign or type my name to.
When I signed up for brin-l, I agreed to no such contract.
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Erik Reuter http://www.erikreuter.net
On Sat, Mar 13, 2004 at 11:36:29AM -0800, Damon Agretto wrote:
Actually, you did. It clearly states that WE AGREE.
Actually, I did NOT.
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On Sat, Mar 13, 2004 at 11:51:42AM -0800, Damon Agretto wrote:
Actually you did, Erik. Are you not using the service as of now? Have
you in the past used the service? To what extent have you used the
service?
Okay, then pay up, Damon.
http://erikreuter.net/damon.html
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by signing one's name to a contract that is clearly worded
as such. Which I did not do. In fact, when that list was first written,
I specifically objected to it. And I'm on record as doing so. Only
a doofus would claim that I agreed to it. And such a doofus would
certainly lose in court.
--
Erik
On Sat, Mar 13, 2004 at 03:18:33PM -0500, John D. Giorgis wrote:
Did you agree to the US Constitution?
So, you're reading my fucking posts now, huh? I must be doing something
wrong. Fuck!
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http
pm slot.
H. I didn't know there was a SG spinoff coming. But if it is typical
Sci-Fi channel fare, then I doubt it will be worth watching. I wonder
how much longer the original will stick around, and whether it will go
down hill...
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of the situation.
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the US Constitution
to be morally binding when in fact you have never agreed to it
Hmmm. Having trouble rectifying these two statements.
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On Sat, Mar 13, 2004 at 02:46:04PM -0600, Ronn!Blankenship wrote:
Can we change the name of the list to something more descriptive, like
Children-L?
How about, censorship-of-all-none-inane-idiotic-one-liner-posts-L?
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Erik Reuter http://www.erikreuter.net
On Sat, Mar 13, 2004 at 01:30:33PM -0800, Damon Agretto wrote:
You do not need to sign anything to agree to a contract.
For something like this, I do. And I did not agree.
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On Sat, Mar 13, 2004 at 02:24:18PM -0700, Trent Shipley wrote:
Just because what I said was funny doesn't mean I wasn't serious.
Just because I said it was amusing doesn't mean I thought you weren't
serious.
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or offended by what others write,
and worry more about what you write or plan to write yourself.
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one of the means at the communities disposal if
certain individuals cannot stand to read things that they disagree with
then they can just delete them. And most of the individuals in the
community can additionally use killfiles if they wish.
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foreign workers even if the
foreign workers are a better value. In other words, when it comes to
labor, employ Americans. That is essentially buy American.
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real-life harm or be construed as a threat to cause real-life harm to
members of the list.
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On Sat, Mar 13, 2004 at 08:07:41PM -0700, Trent Shipley wrote:
Why would we ask or expect people to be tolerant?
Okay, strike the tolerance part.
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out in his excellent recent
book, .The Progress Paradox. (Random House), that if left-leaning
Americans seriously want better statistics about middle-income gains,
then they should simply close their borders.
--
Erik Reuter http://www.erikreuter.net
and then see how much of an effect that may have
on whatever metric is important to you (GDP growth, unemployment, etc.).
Do you even know the relevant differences in trade restrictions between
Japan and America?
Or you could just continue making glib comments...
--
Erik Reuter http
redistribution of wealth? Free trade is not the
problem -- it is helping our rapid technological advance, as you alluded
to in your first paragraph. The important problem to solve would appear
to be how to equitably divide the fruits of that progress.
--
Erik Reuter http://www.erikreuter.net
, there is some amount
of politics in the awarding of some of those contracts). Obviously, the
number on the bid is not the ONLY thing they consider (there is quality,
reliability, honesty, nationality, to name a few)
--
Erik Reuter http://www.erikreuter.net
On Fri, Mar 12, 2004 at 02:27:25AM -0600, The Fool wrote:
Religion is a disease that destroys critical thinking abilities. Frex
JDG.
While I tend to agree about JDG, I can't help but wonder what disease
destroyed your critical thinking abilities?
--
Erik Reuter http://www.erikreuter.net
with their fly unzipped. In contrast, quite frequently there are people
who want to post something that might result in someone else deciding to
feel offended.
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specific word or words are you talking about?
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an insurance company like Lloyd's
of London?
Why didn't he just sell the stock? Some restriction? Way to avoid paying
taxes on the capital gains?
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a silly comment like this sooner or later. I
guess you are more predictable than I am, huh?
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the population density.
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Americans who would not want to be associated with those we's and
ours).
I'm still reading up on the employment issue, in case anyone still wants
to discuss it. There is a lot of conflicting data. I'll post what I've
seen soon.
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, but the GDP per capita is more than 21 times higher in
South Korea!
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, or give it to
some conservative public radio organization (or send it to NASA, or or
to DOE, or some local pork, etc.). So, NPR is competing in much the same
way anyone else competes for federal grants, which bears much similarity
to competing for federal contracts.
--
Erik Reuter http
On Mon, Mar 08, 2004 at 11:47:49AM -0600, Robert Seeberger wrote:
Do you see the Culture as a Libertarian outcome or as a Socialist
outcome?
Yes.
(I think I might be able to predict your very short answer,
How'd you do?
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you will run into
conflicting loyalties)
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on those that have nurtured them even if it means
not being quite as profitable.
Then the company officers and/or directors are disloyal to their
owners/shareholders. Your loyalty is not at all clear.
--
Erik Reuter http://www.erikreuter.net
,
If they benefit from dedicated employees, then that will show up in
profits. If it does, then there is no need for government intervention.
differentiating them from company officers and/or directors is
disingenuous.
No, but the concept of loyalty here is naive and simplistic.
--
Erik Reuter
free market
is an unhealthy system, IMO. We value loyalty but the free market
doesn't.
It seems you are saying that restrictions are needed to make a free
market system healthy with respect to loyalty. What restrictions did
you have in mind, if not tariffs or trade restrictions?
--
Erik Reuter
, great,
they should get the extra investment. But if they are lower because they
are not providing adequate services and protection to their citizens,
then they should be carefully scrutinized for labor or environmental
violations.
--
Erik Reuter http://www.erikreuter.net
).
Nobody can seriously argue that the poor will starve if there are
increased taxes on consumption. They just won't be able to buy as
much. Which would be a good thing for their health, because the poor
tend to be really fat too.
Let them eat cake
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that to annual salaries?
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On Sat, Mar 06, 2004 at 02:27:58PM -0600, Dan Minette wrote:
From: John D. Giorgis [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Here is an article with the data, and an interesting discussion of
this topic:
http://www.economist.com/PrinterFriendly.cfm?Story_ID=2446951
I needed to pay, AFAIK, to get the
, rather than by raising
prices, particularly when profit margins are high.The only way for
wages (measured in dollars) and overall prices (also measured in
dollars) to spiral higher together is for the government to create
too many dollars.
--
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taxes
on imports and taxes on exports
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as a successful sire? No, on all counts.
Good one word description for Card's entire rant.
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with the country the
way it is now (high debt, high current account deficit, low retirement
savings, aging demographics). But savings comes out of DISCRETIONARY
spending. Taxing consumption is not specific enough. The taxes need to
fall on DISCRETIONARY consumption, not all consumption.
--
Erik Reuter
On Wed, Mar 03, 2004 at 09:35:55AM -0600, Dan Minette wrote:
From: Erik Reuter [EMAIL PROTECTED]
average
unemployment
rate
years %
==
2001-2004 5.3
1997-2000 4.5
1993-1996 6.3
1989-1992 6.1
1985-1988 6.6
1981-1984 8.6
for these sorts of questions, and
many others, coming out very soon: _The Birth of Plenty_ by William
J. Bernstein, due out in April.
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On Thu, Mar 04, 2004 at 01:40:47PM -0600, Julia Thompson wrote:
Describe how to count up to 1023 on 10 fingers. :)
132 to you!
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On Thu, Mar 04, 2004 at 09:26:00PM -0600, Julia Thompson wrote:
Erik Reuter wrote:
On Thu, Mar 04, 2004 at 01:40:47PM -0600, Julia Thompson wrote:
Describe how to count up to 1023 on 10 fingers. :)
132 to you!
Erik! I didn't know you cared!
Wouldn't that be 9 (thumbs in) or 18
, and that is what I was talking about in the second
part.
Outsourcing can often be done more cheaply outside the country while not
harming foreign workers or the environment, and if it can be, then it
should be. Your efforts to tax it or add red tape hurts everyone.
--
Erik Reuter http
and over since then. Since
you haven't read my post where I discussed in detail, I will summarize:
overall, we get back more than we send out. No question about it. The
only question is the distribution of the benefits -- and that should be
addressed directly, not by restricting trade.
--
Erik Reuter
like off-shoring quite so much if it cost you your
job and job opertunities.
I bet you wouldn't like restricted trade so much when the number of jobs
created in the US goes negative and we enter the worst, most extended
depression in American history.
--
Erik Reuter http://www.erikreuter.net
and lazy, but those same wages here would leave someone squarely at
the poverty level.
Not true. It is not necessary to have an absolute advantage, only a
comparative advantage, to benefit from free trade.
--
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or planning how to coerce people to
one's will.
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of said dials used to lick
their fingers while assembling and years later a number of them had
cancerous growths in their tongues...
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to continue to respond in this thread since it has become quite
tiresome.
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think he did say brushes instead of fingers!
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at this
point.
Not hard to do. Maybe I'll keep posting nonsense here as background
noise to leverage you while I work on a meaningful post elsewhere.
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Under Fire_ by Douglas Irwin.
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on a farm
or at a traditional trade would not be unreasonable. It really needs to
be looked at on a case-by-case basis.
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has
been giving, is yes.
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is implicit in your position of denying
homosexual couples the right to marry. You just don't seem to have the
courage to make it explicit.
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the whitehouse against the church!
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be restricted, but if someone dares to write something
that makes JDG feel unwelcome to express that view here, well shame on
them!
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person on the list. I long ago stopped respecting
your posted opinions after seeing all the insincere psychobabble
nonsense you post.
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that you make so little effort to discern sense from
nonsense before posting your tripe, and that you draw conclusions from
such a short baseline.
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On Sun, Feb 29, 2004 at 12:18:11AM +1100, Andrew Paul wrote:
Erik, I am a little confused.
I agree.
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naked bodies. /serious
You can say that again. In fact, I will say it again: encouraging
irrational thought and behavior is bad for individuals and humanity.
The same cannot be said for naked bodies or words like fuck.
--
Erik Reuter http://www.erikreuter.net
On Sun, Feb 29, 2004 at 02:41:40AM +1100, Andrew Paul wrote:
Anyway, no matter, they do go on like a pair of old women don't they !
You do go on like a doofus, don't you?
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On Sat, Feb 28, 2004 at 10:49:18AM -0500, John D. Giorgis wrote:
Given that every child is produced by a mother and a father...
Within a few decades, this will almost certainly be proved false. Then
you would have no reason for restricting the rights of gay couples
anymore, JDG, huh?
--
Erik
On Sat, Feb 28, 2004 at 04:39:22PM +, Richard Baker wrote:
Erik said:
You do go on like a doofus, don't you?
I don't know if Andrew does, but I know I do!
Occasionally, everyone does I think. But your S/N is quite high. So far
as I have seen, his is very low.
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