RE: [geo] Engineering drama, post CEC

2017-10-16 Thread Douglas MacMartin
The start was Andrew’s email, which was based on a presentation given at CEC17 (sorry, there weren’t any viewgraphs, but you’ve already got the summary). There’s nothing inherently “wrong” with any approach. Eventually we’ll need a more serious engineering analysis of different options

RE: [geo] Engineering drama, post CEC

2017-10-16 Thread Douglas MacMartin
Hi Andrew, I personally don’t see this as a problem (and I’ve worked a bit with Wake on question). The direct costs of getting stuff to the stratosphere are not going to be the long-term barrier to deployment (and might not even be the biggest costs of deployment, assuming one needs to

[geo] Solar geoengineering reduces atmospheric carbon burden

2017-09-01 Thread Douglas MacMartin
GTC, equivalent to 12-26% of twenty-first-century emissions at a cost of under US$0.5 per tCO2. Douglas MacMartin Senior Research Associate & Senior Lecturer, Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering Faculty Fellow, Cornell Atkinson Center for a Sustainable Future Cornell University (650)

RE: [geo] Bullshit in geoengineering discourse

2017-08-06 Thread Douglas MacMartin
I think it would be more accurate to say that, based on what we know today, we don’t know what the costs of DAC would be if deployed at scale. I understand that people have made estimates, but it is very hard to reliably forecast costs from things done at 3 or more (?) orders of magnitude

RE: [geo] Help: What do we know and what don't we know about solar geoengineering?

2017-07-19 Thread Douglas MacMartin
Hi Ken, We tried to write some down in our Earth’s Future piece last year, at least for stratospheric aerosols MacMartin, D. G., B. Kravitz, J.C.S. Long, and P.J. Rasch, “Geoengineering with stratospheric aerosols: what do we not know after a decade of research?” Earth’s Future, 4,

RE: [geo] Consensus, Certainty, and Catastrophe: Discourse, Governance, and Ocean Iron Fertilization

2017-04-11 Thread Douglas MacMartin
I haven’t read the article, but just in case there’s anyone who hasn’t been following this, the abstract by itself is extremely misleading. It would be pretty stupid and irresponsible to issue carbon credits for an approach for which there is no evidence for the claimed amount of net

RE: [geo] US scientists launch world's biggest solar geoengineering study

2017-03-25 Thread Douglas MacMartin
Embark on what? The Guardian article is somewhat confused in general. Basically, there’s only two real observations. Harvard has some research money. And some quite small fraction of that research money will go into very small scale outdoor field experiments. I personally think it

RE: [geo] Fwd: Watch the Videos of the "Restoring the Carbon Balance" Webinars and More

2017-02-10 Thread Douglas MacMartin
Actually I think it quite plausible that fossil fuels will be competitive in 2040+ (absent carbon pricing). I don’t see anything on the horizon in storage that would make me believe that that problem is guaranteed to be solved by then (I think it’s really hard to predict when there’s orders of

RE: [geo] "UN Convention still says “No” to manipulating the climate"

2016-12-16 Thread Douglas MacMartin
Agree that it isn’t a blanket endorsement, but I’m not sure what disagreement there is; the only geoengineering research that doesn’t help understand biodiversity impacts would be research into the hardware needed for deployment. Everything else that I can think of would ultimately be needed

RE: [geo] RESEARCHERS INVESTIGATING LARGE SUNSHADES TO COMBAT GLOBAL WARMING

2016-12-12 Thread Douglas MacMartin
I think if you can get them there, keeping them there is comparatively easy... (The advantage of it being an equilibrium point is that the effort required to keep it there is in principle small.) Though I think it would be cheaper to massively transform the world's energy system in the next

RE: [geo] What has social science research on the public perception of climate engineering done? And what can it do?

2016-11-27 Thread Douglas MacMartin
Stephen – when I was in industry I worked on the engineering of a project that hadn’t yet worked out the objectives, and I don’t think we should be repeating that type of mistake (yes, the project was a disaster… we designed the hardware, then we figured out what hardware we needed, and after 6

RE: [geo] CO2 capture may be our only option for stabilising temperatures - we need to find out the costs, fast | Oxford Martin School

2016-11-22 Thread Douglas MacMartin
, Mayfield Road, Edinburgh EH9 3DW, Scotland s.sal...@ed.ac.uk <mailto:s.sal...@ed.ac.uk> , Tel +44 (0)131 650 5704, Cell 07795 203 195, WWW.homepages.ed.ac.uk/shs <http://WWW.homepages.ed.ac.uk/shs> , YouTube Jamie Taylor Power for Change On 21/11/2016 14:23, Douglas MacMartin wrot

RE: [geo] CO2 capture may be our only option for stabilising temperatures - we need to find out the costs, fast | Oxford Martin School

2016-11-21 Thread Douglas MacMartin
ring@googlegroups.com [mailto:geoengineering@googlegroups.com] On Behalf Of Myles Allen Sent: Sunday, November 20, 2016 1:47 PM To: Douglas MacMartin <macma...@cds.caltech.edu>; 'Stephen Salter' <s.sal...@ed.ac.uk>; geoengineering@googlegroups.com; Oxford Martin Info <i...@oxfordmartin.ox.ac.uk

RE: [geo] Re: The cost of stratospheric climate engineering revisited | SpringerLink

2016-10-05 Thread Douglas MacMartin
The short answer on what altitude we “need” is, nobody knows yet. The climate science hasn’t been funded enough to answer that type of question. So any number anyone has written down is speculation or educated guess until one can more seriously evaluate the pros and cons. That makes it

RE: [geo] Scientists Focused on Geoengineering Challenge the Inevitability of Multi-Millennial Global Warming

2016-09-06 Thread Douglas MacMartin
I’m sorry, but I fail to see the connection between improvements in information technology (e.g. self-driving cars), which are solvable by virtue of faster computation and better algorithms, and CDR, which is limited by energetics and real physical and chemical processes while dealing with a

RE: [geo] ACPD - Multi-model dynamic climate emulator for solar geoengineering

2016-06-28 Thread Douglas MacMartin
Hi Stephen, You’re right, in the final version we should word that better. Thanks! I think that doing this for solar reduction (clearly a first but not a last step) suggests that the tropospheric climate response to an imposed radiative forcing is, in climate models, pretty linear for

RE: [geo] Response of the AMOC to reduced solar radiation – the modulating role of atmospheric-chemistry

2016-05-11 Thread Douglas MacMartin
And yet another area where turning down the sun won’t have the same effect as stratospheric aerosols. (Since it has the opposite sign in the stratosphere.) From: geoengineering@googlegroups.com [mailto:geoengineering@googlegroups.com] On Behalf Of Charles H. Greene Sent: Wednesday, May 11,

Re: [geo] List of current Geoengineering?

2015-12-20 Thread Douglas MacMartin
As an engineer I agree that engineering is purposeful. The other three words I disagree with, as would any other engineer. (Wikipedia's definition of engineering is reasonable) Precision is clearly a subjective construct, as is predictability. I am quite confident for example that adding strat

RE: [geo] The Planet Remade: Reviewed – Duncan McLaren

2015-11-10 Thread Douglas MacMartin
“The crux is that Morton does not believe pathways without geoengineering can avoid climate harms without causing other serious social or economic harms.” Isn’t that patently obvious at this point? That of course is not an argument for deploying solar geoengineering, simply an argument in

RE: [geo] Can geoengineering save coastal cities? | New Scientist

2015-09-07 Thread Douglas MacMartin
Cooling the tropics more than the poles is also a choice for stratospheric aerosol injection; if you want that effect you can presumably do that, and if you’d rather cool the poles more than the tropics you could do that instead. From: geoengineering@googlegroups.com

RE: [geo] Can geoengineering save coastal cities? | New Scientist

2015-09-07 Thread Douglas MacMartin
in the stratosphere. It is the one to two-year life that stops you having local control. Even if you could choose the starting point(s) how would you then direct it? Stephen On 07/09/2015 17:57, Douglas MacMartin wrote: Cooling the tropics more than the poles is also a choice for stratospheric

RE: [geo] Can we have it both ways? On potential trade-offs between Mitigation and Solar Radiation Management | Baatz

2015-09-06 Thread Douglas MacMartin
Didn’t read quite as carefully as I could, but two quick comments: i) the assumption in extending the argument to research is that more research increases the likelihood of SRM being used as an excuse not to mitigate; I suspect that is unfounded. That is, more research may make

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