Re: [MORPHMET] using regression residuals for other analyses

2016-03-24 Thread Joe Felsenstein
These complicated issues aside, there is a simpler reason not to use a
residual from a regression as the basis for further analyses.  If two
characters are under natural selection based on some combination -- such as
selection on a ratio between them -- then the current value of character Y
is a response, not to the current value of character X, but to its value in
the past.  Response to selection is not instant, so we'd really want to
regress Y on past values of X.  How far in the past depends on information
on the strength of selection.  We don't yet know that, and we don't have
values of X in the past.

Far better to make a joint analysis of selection on both of them.  Once one
takes the residual one has built in the assumption that the response of one
character to another is instantaneous, in effect that the selection
involved is infinitely strong and the heritabilities complete.

I believe that Hansen and Bartoszek have warned about this in a paper in
Systematic Biology in 2012.

Joe

Joe Felsenstein j...@gs.washington.edu
 Department of Genome Sciences and Department of Biology,
 University of Washington, Box 355065, Seattle, WA 98195-5065 USA

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Re: [MORPHMET] using regression residuals for other analyses

2016-03-24 Thread Ian Dworkin
Just as a quick follow up (and clarifications).

 I recognize that there are already a number of methods to deal with these
well known  issues (McCoy et al. 2006, Klingenberg 1996, Burnaby 1966,
etc..) and they may be better ways still. However, since the "using
residuals from a pooled within-group regression" remains so common, I
thought the broader conversation may be useful.

Also I did not mean that everyone will always observe very high vector
correlations for the allometric slope of shape on sex (across sexes) or
small partial R^2. I was trying to make a bit of a caricature of an example
to make my point. Sorry for any confusion.

Cheers,
Ian
dwor...@mcmaster.ca

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Re: [MORPHMET] using regression residuals for other analyses

2016-03-24 Thread Ian Dworkin
Dean and Andrea,

 I wanted to follow up on what Dean wrote regarding using residuals from a
pooled within-group regression, and what I think may be important
discussion that follows from it. Considerable research has gone into
investigating this issue, and as Dean points out, most of the time it is
best to include the additional predictor (let's just use centroid size) in
the model and fit it with the  shape ~ group + size + group:size term.
Indeed, I think we could all find 10-15 different papers (each) that
discuss this issue (and a few of them pertaining to geometric
morphometrics).

However, there are some common cases in geometric morphometrics that I
think many of us deal with, and at least to my mind we do not have a very
satisfactory guide to deal with some of them. Let's imagine a case that I
think is particularly common in geometric morphometric studies, where we
are examining sexual shape dimorphism, where we have sex as a categorical
predictor as well as centroid size.

So we might start with the model
shape ~ sex + size + sex:size

Geometric morphometric analyses are pretty sensitive, and at least with
some systems (like fly wings) sample sizes tend to be relatively high.
Frequently I have observed that the evidence is not consistent (based on
Null Hypothesis Statistical Testing, NHST) with a common allometric
relationship between the two sexes. Indeed since NHST (and assessment of
significance) is in part a function on sample size, with large enough N,
this term will be significant (even if the magnitude of effect is very
small).

 Thus (as Dean has already clearly laid out) it may be unreasonable to use
a pooled within-group regression and use the residuals (so that you can
separate out allometric from non-allometric components of sexual shape
dimorphism for instance).

However, if you go ahead and examine the vector correlations/angle between
the slopes (shape ~ size) across sexes you will observe that the vector
correlation is  ~1 (angle is  ~0). Similarly the partial coefficient of
determination (r^2) for the size:sex term is quite small relative to the
partial r^2 for the marginal contributions of size and sex. Thus despite
the NHST suggesting a lack of a common allometric relationship, this
"deeper" examination suggests the slopes are very similar.

So what do you do (again if you want to partition the allometric and
non-allometric components of shape variation)? if the vector correlation is
0.99 do you decide they are effectively the same and proceed with pooled
within-group regression to extract residuals? How about if the VC is 0.95?
0.9? At what point do you risk causing substantial inferential problems?

Or do you alternatively not try to use a pooled within-group regression at
all, and instead just predict shapes for males or females at particular
centroid sizes given the full model (sex + size + sex:size), so you can get
a sense of the extent of sexual shape dimorphism for comparable sizes (or
whatever your goals might be).

While I do not expect any hard and fast rules, I am wondering if anyone has
done the relevant simulations to look at when the former (residuals from
pooled within-group regression) becomes substantially problematic (in terms
of magnitude of the sex:size interaction term).

While I can quibble and be a pedant (who among us GMers are not!), I think
the paper by Nelly, Michel and Chris is very useful (but does not get into
the issue about when using residuals from pooled regression is problematic).

N. A. Gidaszewski, M. Baylac, and C. P. Klingenberg, “Evolution of sexual
dimorphism of wing shape in the Drosophila melanogaster subgroup.,” *BMC
Evol Biol*, vol. 9, p. 110, 2009.

I hope this leads to useful discussion!

Cheers

Ian

dwor...@mcmaster.ca

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RE: [MORPHMET] using regression residuals for other analyses

2016-03-24 Thread Adams, Dean [EEOBS]
Hi Andrea,

It is generally preferable to perform the more complex analysis with size 
included as a covariate.  Using a sequential approach that first obtains the 
shape residuals and then examines patterns using these as data is not 
guaranteed to get to the same, or even the correct, place.  And this approach 
can leave potentially important biology out. 

Consider the simplest case with shape, size, and groups (i.e., mancova). Here 
the full model is: shape~size+group+size:group. Say for instance, that one 
finds a significant interaction term. This means that the groups have different 
shape~size relationships (ie different allometric slopes). In this case, using 
residuals from a shape~size regression in a subsequent manova is not correct, 
as these are residuals from a common-slope model, whereas the mancova has found 
evidence that the groups have different slopes. Thus the residuals are not 
capturing what one intends. (As a side note there was a nice paper in the 
mid-1990s on the univariate equivalent of this, describing why anova of 
regression residuals is not the same as ancova). 

But additionally, using the sequential-analysis approach eliminates the 
possibility of identifying interesting interactions between effects that one 
had not considered. Again take this simple example. Here, performing a manova 
on the regression residuals is intended to evaluate differences in the mean 
shapes among groups. But this explicitly ignores the possibility that the 
groups may differ in their allometries themselves, rather than their 
size-adjusted least squares means. Such allometric differences represent 
potentially important biological information that is left unexplored using the 
piecewise analysis procedure.

For these reasons the analysis including size as a covariate is preferred. And 
while it is more complicated to consider models that include interactions, and 
various post-hoc comparisons are required (of group means, of slopes, etc.), 
one ought to do so when possible, so as to properly identify where patterns of 
shape variation occur, and what potential factors associate with it. 

Dean

Dr. Dean C. Adams
Professor
Department of Ecology, Evolution, and Organismal Biology
   Department of Statistics
Iowa State University
www.public.iastate.edu/~dcadams/
phone: 515-294-3834


-Original Message-
From: andrea cardini [mailto:alcard...@gmail.com] 
Sent: Thursday, March 24, 2016 12:01 PM
To: morphmet@morphometrics.org
Subject: [MORPHMET] using regression residuals for other analyses

Dear All,
this is something that, I believe, has already come up in the past. 
However, I'd like to check it again.

What are the issues with, say, regressing shape on size, saving residuals and 
using those in further analyses (e.g., other regressions or testing group 
differences etc.)?

I suspect that all the factors (size, other predictors, groups etc.) should be 
incorporated in a single model and may have a partial intuition about some of 
the problems with rerunning, instead, analyses on residuals but I'd be very 
grateful to know how those with a better understanding of the methods see it.

Thanks in advance.
Cheers

Andrea


-- 

Dr. Andrea Cardini
Researcher, Dipartimento di Scienze Chimiche e Geologiche, Università di Modena 
e Reggio Emilia, Via Campi, 103 - 41125 Modena - Italy tel. 0039 059 2058472

Adjunct Associate Professor, Centre for Forensic Science , The University of 
Western Australia, 35 Stirling Highway, Crawley WA 6009, Australia

E-mail address: alcard...@gmail.com, andrea.card...@unimore.it
WEBPAGE: https://sites.google.com/site/alcardini/home/main


FREE Yellow BOOK on Geometric Morphometrics: 
http://www.italian-journal-of-mammalogy.it/public/journals/3/issue_241_complete_100.pdf

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[MORPHMET] using regression residuals for other analyses

2016-03-24 Thread andrea cardini

Dear All,
this is something that, I believe, has already come up in the past. 
However, I'd like to check it again.


What are the issues with, say, regressing shape on size, saving 
residuals and using those in further analyses (e.g., other regressions 
or testing group differences etc.)?


I suspect that all the factors (size, other predictors, groups etc.) 
should be incorporated in a single model and may have a partial 
intuition about some of the problems with rerunning, instead, analyses 
on residuals but I'd be very grateful to know how those with a better 
understanding of the methods see it.


Thanks in advance.
Cheers

Andrea


--

Dr. Andrea Cardini
Researcher, Dipartimento di Scienze Chimiche e Geologiche, Università di 
Modena e Reggio Emilia, Via Campi, 103 - 41125 Modena - Italy

tel. 0039 059 2058472

Adjunct Associate Professor, Centre for Forensic Science , The 
University of Western Australia, 35 Stirling Highway, Crawley WA 6009, 
Australia


E-mail address: alcard...@gmail.com, andrea.card...@unimore.it
WEBPAGE: https://sites.google.com/site/alcardini/home/main


FREE Yellow BOOK on Geometric Morphometrics: 
http://www.italian-journal-of-mammalogy.it/public/journals/3/issue_241_complete_100.pdf


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[MORPHMET] II Iberian Symposium on Geometric Morphometrics, Madrid, June 9-10.

2016-03-24 Thread soledad.esteban
Dear colleagues,

We are happy to announce that the deadline for abstract submission for the II 
ISGM has been extended to March 31st: 
http://2isgm.transmittingscience.org/abstract-information/


Plenary speakers: Benedikt Hallgrimsson (University of Calgary, Canadá), Chris 
Klingenberg (Manchester University, Inglaterra) y Ángel Baltanás (Universidad 
Autónoma de Madrid, España).


Official language: English, althougth other languages will be accepted.


Symposium webpage: http://2isgm.transmittingscience.org/

 
Therefore, you can go to Paris to our colleagues French Symposium 
(http://biogeosciences.u-bourgogne.fr/smef9/programme.php), and afterwards 
travel to Spain for the Iberian one. June is going to be a busy month for 
morphometricians! :)


If you have any doubt do not hesitate to contact us at 
2i...@transmittingscience.org


All the best

Sole
Soledad De Esteban-Trivigno
Institut Català de Paleontologia Miquel Crusafont (ICP)

Campus de la Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona
Cerdanyola del Vallès (Barcelona). Spain
www.icp.cat  
 

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