RE: [Vo]:Story on climate crisis would need some comments
David: I typically enjoy your posts but I find the “Global Warming Hoax” material utterly ridiculous. It is being driven by strong nonscientific motives. Please examine your motives for embracing it. Then answer this question, “If there is even a minimal chance that WE (humanity) are contributing to a warming of the planet, what is the HARM of minimizing that effect” (and supporting steps to so minimize)? Your answer will tell you everything you need to understand about your motives and bias. PS, the HARM (instituting carbon emission standards etc) you imagine is just that (imagined) and it has to do with economics not science. Ransom From: David Roberson [mailto:dlrober...@aol.com] Sent: Wednesday, December 02, 2015 2:09 PM To: vortex-l@eskimo.com Subject: Re: [Vo]:Story on climate crisis would need some comments Jed, I can not force you to look into the data yourself. That is your decision. You sound much like the established Physics community in assuming that LENR is not real because most physicists believe that. Have you actually taken the time to look at how that 97% figure was determined? If you did, you would have seen that it was proven false and that the university for which the scientist worked could not be forced to release the procedure used to reach that figure. A hacker finally obtained the data! It is amazing that you attack what I am merely reporting without doing any research on your own. Google the phrase "Global Warming Hoax" and read plenty of articles by reputable scientists from NASA, etc. It shouldn't take too long for you to realize that the science is quite flawed. Of course, if you believe that the science is settled, then you do not need to research further. Can I assume that you are really going to review a few of those articles? If not, then please refrain from calling that 97% figure accurate until you prove it is. Also, no one is suggesting that the earth is not warming up. It is mainly a natural cycle with the contribution of man hidden within the noise. Dave -Original Message- From: Jed RothwellTo: vortex-l Sent: Wed, Dec 2, 2015 2:21 pm Subject: Re: [Vo]:Story on climate crisis would need some comments David Roberson wrote: The reference that 97% of scientists believe that man is responsible for 90% of the problem has been proven wildly wrong (<1% actually agree) but keeps being stated over and over. That's nonsense. You sound like the editors at Scientific American who keep assuring me that no paper on cold fusion has ever been published. Most climatologists are sure that CO2 from burning fuel is causing global warming. Maybe they are right, and maybe they are wrong, but there is no doubt that is what the majority of them think. Not <1%; most of them. This is a matter of fact. Not an opinion, and not a scientific dispute. This is what climatologists say in opinion polls and in their own journals and web sites. You can dispute scientific findings all you like, but you cannot dispute what climatologists tell poll takers, or what they say publicly. They DO NOT say what you claim they say. Along the same lines, the people at Scientific American may claim that no good papers have been published. They may claim that no papers have been published in Nature, or in Science. But when they say that no papers have been published they are denying a matter of fact that anyone can verify. That's stupid. - Jed
RE: [Vo]:Story on climate crisis would need some comments
David: Countries like the US are already throttling their economies even as the cost of energy has been cut in half.Energy will not be a limiter under the system currently in place regardless of carbon limits. Hence, you are imaging a PERIL that doesn’t exist because you don’t understand current economics. You really don’t need to get all worked up even if the Global Warming Scientists turn out to wrong or only minimally right. Your conclusions regarding PERIL are wrong. However, if Global Warming Scientists are right or even partially right, we may be in real PERIL and that is worth the current international efforts. Which is why you should be supporting the efforts for carbon emission reductions (it can’t hurt and may help). The reason you are taking the position you do has little to do with the science of climate and everything to do with your misunderstanding of economics. Ransom From: David Roberson [mailto:dlrober...@aol.com] Sent: Wednesday, December 02, 2015 3:39 PM To: vortex-l@eskimo.com Subject: Re: [Vo]:Story on climate crisis would need some comments The peril is that countries such as the USA will throttle their economies by making energy too expensive. The end result is that millions will find their standard of living much reduced for a cause that is beyond mankind's control. The wealthy people of the world will not suffer too severely, but the poor are going to take a beating as is generally the case. Also, it will be a bad day if and when the world's energy supplies become regulated by one central authority. The opportunity for abuse is astounding! If LENR ever proves itself to be the new energy source we are hoping for, then the problem will be solved without any corrupt intervention. I have great hopes for Rossi, but until we have proof I remain a bit skeptical. My thermal models suggest that what he says is true provided his fuel actually delivers the required watts per kilogram for an extended time period. Dave -Original Message- From: Ransom Wuller < <mailto:rwul...@freeark.com> rwul...@freeark.com> To: vortex-l < <mailto:vortex-l@eskimo.com> vortex-l@eskimo.com> Sent: Wed, Dec 2, 2015 4:11 pm Subject: RE: [Vo]:Story on climate crisis would need some comments David: You said: “No one should assume that the guys making the global climate computer models are great experts, which is what is happening at the world's peril.” What PERIL? Ransom From: David Roberson [ <mailto:dlrober...@aol.com?> mailto:dlrober...@aol.com] Sent: Wednesday, December 02, 2015 2:58 PM To: <mailto:vortex-l@eskimo.com> vortex-l@eskimo.com Subject: Re: [Vo]:Story on climate crisis would need some comments The YouTube reference is dead on! Jed, you can research the global warming discussion and become more informed. No one should assume that the guys making the global climate computer models are great experts, which is what is happening at the world's peril. If you take the time to look into the subject, you will see that those models have all missed the real world tests by a rather large margin and need to be modified every couple of years. Why do you suppose this is true? A person can argue that only the high priests of climate have the answers, much like you are saying, but when they fail to make correct predictions it is time to question them. Every one of their models predicts that the earth should be hotter than it actually is measured to be after a modest period of time elapses. Of course, a new correction factor is then established which keeps them functioning a bit longer, but only for a short time into the future. Anyone familiar with curve fitting can readily see what they are achieving by this technique. It is tragic that anyone accepts that they are experts in anything but guessing the future climate! Dave -Original Message- From: Jed Rothwell < <mailto:jedrothw...@gmail.com> jedrothw...@gmail.com> To: vortex-l < <mailto:vortex-l@eskimo.com> vortex-l@eskimo.com> Sent: Wed, Dec 2, 2015 3:18 pm Subject: Re: [Vo]:Story on climate crisis would need some comments Lennart Thornros < <mailto:lenn...@thornros.com> lenn...@thornros.com> wrote: Let us leave the dispute about organizations. I actually started to address the topic in the headline by saying: The debate about global warming is far from conclusive. I do not know the answer. You do not know the answer, but experts in climatology say they do know it. They are probably right. Non-experts from outside a field -- such as the plasma fusion scientists who attacked cold fusion -- are usually wrong. You probably know next to nothing about climatology, because it is a complex subject. Therefore you have no basis to judge whether these experts are right or wrong. I know nothing about climatology so I have no basis to ju
RE: [Vo]:Story on climate crisis would need some comments
David: You said: “No one should assume that the guys making the global climate computer models are great experts, which is what is happening at the world's peril.” What PERIL? Ransom From: David Roberson [mailto:dlrober...@aol.com] Sent: Wednesday, December 02, 2015 2:58 PM To: vortex-l@eskimo.com Subject: Re: [Vo]:Story on climate crisis would need some comments The YouTube reference is dead on! Jed, you can research the global warming discussion and become more informed. No one should assume that the guys making the global climate computer models are great experts, which is what is happening at the world's peril. If you take the time to look into the subject, you will see that those models have all missed the real world tests by a rather large margin and need to be modified every couple of years. Why do you suppose this is true? A person can argue that only the high priests of climate have the answers, much like you are saying, but when they fail to make correct predictions it is time to question them. Every one of their models predicts that the earth should be hotter than it actually is measured to be after a modest period of time elapses. Of course, a new correction factor is then established which keeps them functioning a bit longer, but only for a short time into the future. Anyone familiar with curve fitting can readily see what they are achieving by this technique. It is tragic that anyone accepts that they are experts in anything but guessing the future climate! Dave -Original Message- From: Jed RothwellTo: vortex-l Sent: Wed, Dec 2, 2015 3:18 pm Subject: Re: [Vo]:Story on climate crisis would need some comments Lennart Thornros wrote: Let us leave the dispute about organizations. I actually started to address the topic in the headline by saying: The debate about global warming is far from conclusive. I do not know the answer. You do not know the answer, but experts in climatology say they do know it. They are probably right. Non-experts from outside a field -- such as the plasma fusion scientists who attacked cold fusion -- are usually wrong. You probably know next to nothing about climatology, because it is a complex subject. Therefore you have no basis to judge whether these experts are right or wrong. I know nothing about climatology so I have no basis to judge either. But as I said, as a general rule mainstream experts in hard science who have devoted years to research are usually right, so I defer to them. I am sure that the comments by anti-global warming journalists are preposterous. I know enough about the subject to judge that. For example, they often say that we cannot even predict the weather 5 days ahead so how could anyone predict climate change decades from now. This is like saying that we cannot predict whether you will be alive tomorrow so how can anyone draw up actuarial tables for groups of people? It is presumptuous for anyone to assume they understand climatology better than climatologists, or cold fusion better than Fleischmann, Bockris or McKubre. Even in 1989 I found it infuriating when people such as George Chapline (Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory) and Morrison claimed that Fleischmann did not realize that highly loaded palladium hydrides release hydrogen when recombines at the surface, making the metal hot. It was used as a cigarette lighter in the 19th century. By the way, what I am saying NOT -- repeat not -- a Fallacious Appeal to Authority. That would only be the case if Fleischmann was not a leading expert on electrochemistry and calorimetry, and he unquestionably was. See: http://www.nizkor.org/features/fallacies/appeal-to-authority.html Most people attacking cold fusion and climatology suffer from the Dunning-Kruger effect. Especially the idiots at Scientific American and Wikipedia. Here is an amusing short description of the Dunning-Kruger effect by John Cleese. (Cleese teaches at Cornell University which is how knows Prof. Dunning.) https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kWX8pl9B1Hk - Jed
RE: [Vo]:Story on climate crisis would need some comments
in a battle against the world itself? What if we were to succeed and start the world plunging into another ice age due to our intervention? Can we be sure this will not occur? It is unfortunate that we are not able to find common ground on this subject, but I feel that I have taken the time to become better informed than many. Perhaps you believe that I have become mislead by the global warming deniers but I instead suggest that you may be under the influence of those that would take away your civil rights using scare tactics. Please take the time to study the issue before you pass judgement on my beliefs. Dave -Original Message- From: Ransom Wuller < <mailto:rwul...@freeark.com> rwul...@freeark.com> To: vortex-l < <mailto:vortex-l@eskimo.com> vortex-l@eskimo.com> Sent: Wed, Dec 2, 2015 3:41 pm Subject: RE: [Vo]:Story on climate crisis would need some comments David: I typically enjoy your posts but I find the “Global Warming Hoax” material utterly ridiculous. It is being driven by strong nonscientific motives. Please examine your motives for embracing it. Then answer this question, “If there is even a minimal chance that WE (humanity) are contributing to a warming of the planet, what is the HARM of minimizing that effect” (and supporting steps to so minimize)? Your answer will tell you everything you need to understand about your motives and bias. PS, the HARM (instituting carbon emission standards etc) you imagine is just that (imagined) and it has to do with economics not science. Ransom From: David Roberson [ <mailto:dlrober...@aol.com?> mailto:dlrober...@aol.com] Sent: Wednesday, December 02, 2015 2:09 PM To: <mailto:vortex-l@eskimo.com> vortex-l@eskimo.com Subject: Re: [Vo]:Story on climate crisis would need some comments Jed, I can not force you to look into the data yourself. That is your decision. You sound much like the established Physics community in assuming that LENR is not real because most physicists believe that. Have you actually taken the time to look at how that 97% figure was determined? If you did, you would have seen that it was proven false and that the university for which the scientist worked could not be forced to release the procedure used to reach that figure. A hacker finally obtained the data! It is amazing that you attack what I am merely reporting without doing any research on your own. Google the phrase "Global Warming Hoax" and read plenty of articles by reputable scientists from NASA, etc. It shouldn't take too long for you to realize that the science is quite flawed. Of course, if you believe that the science is settled, then you do not need to research further. Can I assume that you are really going to review a few of those articles? If not, then please refrain from calling that 97% figure accurate until you prove it is. Also, no one is suggesting that the earth is not warming up. It is mainly a natural cycle with the contribution of man hidden within the noise. Dave -Original Message- From: Jed Rothwell < <mailto:jedrothw...@gmail.com> jedrothw...@gmail.com> To: vortex-l < <mailto:vortex-l@eskimo.com> vortex-l@eskimo.com> Sent: Wed, Dec 2, 2015 2:21 pm Subject: Re: [Vo]:Story on climate crisis would need some comments David Roberson < <mailto:dlrober...@aol.com> dlrober...@aol.com> wrote: The reference that 97% of scientists believe that man is responsible for 90% of the problem has been proven wildly wrong (<1% actually agree) but keeps being stated over and over. That's nonsense. You sound like the editors at Scientific American who keep assuring me that no paper on cold fusion has ever been published. Most climatologists are sure that CO2 from burning fuel is causing global warming. Maybe they are right, and maybe they are wrong, but there is no doubt that is what the majority of them think. Not <1%; most of them. This is a matter of fact. Not an opinion, and not a scientific dispute. This is what climatologists say in opinion polls and in their own journals and web sites. You can dispute scientific findings all you like, but you cannot dispute what climatologists tell poll takers, or what they say publicly. They DO NOT say what you claim they say. Along the same lines, the people at Scientific American may claim that no good papers have been published. They may claim that no papers have been published in Nature, or in Science. But when they say that no papers have been published they are denying a matter of fact that anyone can verify. That's stupid. - Jed
Re: [Vo]:Russian scientist reports replicating hot-cat excess heat
Serious, explosive document? Too who? Too the few souls in the world who follow this? Replications will need to come from multiple sources before they are considered significant in any overall evaluation, but any positive replication is in essence positive. Further, so far I haven't seen any failed replication. In 1989 those added to the negative publicity and consensus attitude. So if you are just commenting about your silly % evaluation, it is nonsense to begin with, so your evaluation of this fellow is also meaningless, if you are suggesting that a positive replication, regardless of the source is not a positive development, than what would a failed replication be? As to the significance of the replication, it really depends on how well the test was performed, not the credentials of the tester. I suggest that be your method of evaluating the quality of the results. Frankly, your comment smacks of the pseudo skeptic curmudgeons who post on E-Cat News. Ransom I honestly believe a serious scientist (even an unpublished one such as this guy) would never publish a serious, explosive document like this without massive caveats. If the caveats are in the paper, than I apologize, I don't read russian and there has been no good translation as of yet that I could find. The lack of a control run is frightening in itself. On Sun, Dec 28, 2014 at 5:46 AM, Blaze Spinnaker blazespinna...@gmail.com wrote: http://www.researchgate.net/profile/A_Parkhomov/publications On Sun, Dec 28, 2014 at 5:44 AM, Blaze Spinnaker blazespinna...@gmail.com wrote: Unfortunately, I don't think you can say 'scientist' without providing context. There is a wide gap between someone who has been primary author on peer reviewed papers in credible journals that have been cited by other peer reviewed scientists and someone who has not. Unfortunately, looking at Research Gate, this fellow falls in the latter category. I hope this turns out to be real and I hope the reason why Rossi editted his comment from I do not know the particulars, therefore cannot comment, but it is normal that the so called âRossi Effectâ to I do not know the particulars, therefore cannot comment, but it is possible that the so called âRossi Effectâ is replicable after the data published in the Report of Lugano. was because he realized this guy doesn't appear to be credible. Anyways, I want to believe like everyone else, but I just don't find this guy credible at all. On Sat, Dec 27, 2014 at 6:23 AM, Jed Rothwell jedrothw...@gmail.com wrote: See: http://www.e-catworld.com/2014/12/27/lugano-confirmed-replication-report-published-of-hot-cat-device-by-russian-researcher-alexander-g-parkhomov/
RE: [Vo]:ecat license buyback
Blaze: That’s a good question. The license was only good for three years (based on a leaked example) and it relied on products being available for sale, otherwise it had no value. If IH had no plans for production during the remaining window (1 year or so), the license would have been worthless save for the right of the licensee to sue Rossi. Just speculating but the choice may have been to accept no sales through the term (with some hope to extend in the future), sue or a buyout. Just speculation on my part. Ransom From: Blaze Spinnaker [mailto:blazespinna...@gmail.com] Sent: Wednesday, November 19, 2014 3:37 PM To: vortex-l@eskimo.com Subject: Re: [Vo]:ecat license buyback Yeah I was going to post that as well. Very peculiar. Why would anyone sell back the license as things are heating up? On Wed, Nov 19, 2014 at 10:08 AM, Alan Fletcher a...@well.com wrote: Andrea Rossi November 19th, 2014 at 7:43 AM Daniele Passerini (blogger of “22 Passi”) You asked me few days ago about why some of our commercial Licensees have cancelled their websites. The reason is that we decided to offer to all our commercial Licensees to buy back their licence at a price, obviously, superior to the price they paid for it. Some of our Licensees have accepted our proposal and sold us back their license. The details of the agreements are covered by NDA ( Non Disclosure Agreement). We maintained with our former Licensees a friendly and collaborative relationship, open to the possibility of future collaboration upon specific issues. Warm Regards, A.R. - - - - For the ecat bets that probably reduces the probability that Rossi's running a scam. Of course, the statement could be positive or negative, truth-wise.
RE: [Vo]:ecat license buyback
Precisely, so if there are no products to sell, the sales quota is not met and the license expires. The licensee is left with nothing. So either sue for misrepresentation on the basis that the agreement assumed a product would be available for sale, try to negotiate an extension (assuming that option was on the table from IH), or accept a buy out of the license for original price plus. That is what I assumed since it was reported some of the licensees had received a buyout. Ransom From: Alan Fletcher [mailto:a...@well.com] Sent: Wednesday, November 19, 2014 8:24 PM To: vortex-l@eskimo.com Subject: Re: [Vo]:ecat license buyback A kind reader sent me the link. Thank you. http://shutdownrossi.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/10/Leonardo-Corporation-Exclusive-India-E-Cat-License-S.pdf This particular one was for Roger Greene/Indian Sub-continent (unsigned) ... with the year 2012 printed on the form. It was for three years, and would only be renewed automatically if sales exceeded 10M. So it would expire next year if there were no sales.
RE: [Vo]:Re: Boom - Tom Darden speaks.
Jed: The problem is the issue is NOT scientific. The issue is actually rather simple at this point. Is a very juvenile fraud being perpetrated or not. The latest test leaves little to talk about scientifically (notwithstanding the issue associated with the alumina) making the issue of fraud the only legitimate reason to discard the results. And skeptics are essentially doing just that for that very reason. IH and Darden, after owning the process for 18 months or so, could hardly be expected to be ignorant of a juvenile fraud. They are either complicit at this point or their isn’t fraud. If there isn’t fraud there is no legitimate basis for ignoring or questioning the results. There probably isn’t anyway. However, Darden’s interview is significant because he validates his view that the Ecat is real in the face of fraud allegations. I think what Blaze is saying and I agree is that Darden’s statements diminish the likelihood of fraud and would allow us to refocus on the science which seems strongly supportive of a cold fusion reaction. As to the issue of fraud, Darden is much more important than results which possibly could have been manipulated by Rossi. Ransom From: Jed Rothwell [mailto:jedrothw...@gmail.com] Sent: Saturday, October 11, 2014 9:43 AM To: vortex-l@eskimo.com Subject: Re: [Vo]:Re: Boom - Tom Darden speaks. Blaze Spinnaker blazespinna...@gmail.com wrote: I read somewhere that 70% of all papers are not able to be replicated. Or something crazy like that. Where did you read that, and what sort of papers did it refer to? I believe I have read that studies in sociology have poor replication rates. That is not true of cold fusion. Many experiments have not been replicated, but that is because no one has tried to replicate them. Tom Darden's reptuation is far more valuable than Levi's. This makes no sense. The issue is scientific. A scientist is a better judge of that than a businessman. Furthermore, hundreds of distinguished scientists have published compelling proof that cold fusion is real. You are moving your estimate by several percentage points in response to the opinions of one businessman. Surely, with regard to a scientific subject, the relative weight of peer-reviewed scientific papers by experts should be a hundred times -- or a thousand times -- that of a businessman's opinion! Those papers should be 99.9% of your evaluation, and Darden's opinion would be 0.1%. If you wanted an evaluation of the flight performance of the Boeing Dreamliner airplane, who would you ask? A businessman who invests in aviation? Or a group of 200 experienced professional pilots who have hundreds of hours experience flying the Dreamliner, and thousands of hours flying other aircraft? Also, Tom Darden knows what's inside the ecat. He has complete, unfettered access. The same can not be said for Levi. First, Levi knows what is in the cell. Second, this can be considered a black box test. It makes no difference what is in the cell. The calorimetry proves that whatever it is, it produces orders of magnitude more energy than any chemical fuel, and it works at a high temperature, and high power. So, if the effect can be controlled, it will not only be a practical source of energy, it will be far better than any other sources. That is what matters. - Jed No virus found in this message. Checked by AVG - www.avg.com Version: 2014.0.4765 / Virus Database: 4040/8365 - Release Date: 10/11/14
Re: [Vo]:Pomp weighs in
Wait a minute, is everyone suggesting that all the ash was NI62. Where is that coming from? Only 10% of the ash was even sent as a sample for testing and then I think only certain particles of the ash were tested for isotopic composition. Other than to say that some of the nickel was in a different isotopic concentration from the fuel (and natural isotopic concentration) I don't think the report is suggesting anything else. P29: By the researchers calculations there are 3MWh released from transmutation of Li7, and Ni isotopes, and supposedly all of the other initial chemicals transmuted into Ni too as not present in Ash (which would release huge, though unquantified amounts of binding energy), yet only 1.5MWh output recorded, and calorimetry which is supposed to be accurate to ~10%. more magic involved? fusion + fission transmutations that release copious neutrinos with no gammas, betas, neutrons or alphas? It's starting to smell. On 9 October 2014 11:52, David Roberson dlrober...@aol.com wrote: I may have missed the paragraph that stated the amount of material that was taken from within the reactor as ash. Did they recover approximately the same amount as was put in? Also, I do not recall how much of the ash by weight was nickel and lithium. Perhaps I need to read the report again to look for these details. Does anyone know whether or not the isotropic shifted metals actually added up to the total amount of nickel, etc. at the beginning? I would not be surprised to find that some of the metals from the fuel found their way to being attached to the body of the reactor due to the extreme temperatures. Dave -Original Message- From: Jed Rothwell jedrothw...@gmail.com To: vortex-l vortex-l@eskimo.com Sent: Wed, Oct 8, 2014 10:51 pm Subject: Re: [Vo]:Pomp weighs in Blaze Spinnaker blazespinna...@gmail.com wrote: I can't imagine how, but perhaps what was left behind inside the reactor when added to the ash would show that no isotopic shifts took place. Sorry, but that makes no sense. The material that came out proves there are isotopic shifts. What stayed behind cannot unprove that. What did you have in mind? That the other isotopes all got left behind? That would be an isotope separation technology of a totally unexpected and inexplicable new type. It would be as miraculous as transmutation. Also, if you cannot imagine how then your assertion has no place in a serious scientific discussion. You have to imagine how, and other people have to agree that what you imagine is plausible. This is not a fantasy role playing game, where you can invoke dragons or miracles. - Jed
Re: [Vo]:Gasp- Rossi changes Story on Indipendent Report
I suppose it doesn't really matter, but he was talking about the 1Mw plant supposedly in operation at a customer of Industrial Heat, not the 3rd Party Report. Gasp..He is loosing me! Courtesy Alain Coetmeur: http://energycatalyzer3.com/news/rossi-changes-story-on-third-party-report-interest-in-alternative-energy-grows Ad Astra, Ron Kita, Chiralex
[Vo]:New Paper on Santilli's process
What does anyone make of this Paper? http://www.benthamscience.com/open/topcj/articles/V005/17TOPCJ.pdf Maybe it was already discussed.
Re: [Vo]:Perfect response to Gugliemi
Cude: Why do you bother to respond when you post replies like that. The result of the paper is different than the paper? Come now, the result of the paper is a component of the paper, as a component, if it advances knowledge, then the whole advances knowledge. Didn't you take logic in your training? Whether the viewer deems it credible enough is for the viewer. You wouldn't deem a paper on this topic credible enough under any circumstances, so your opinion is hardly instructive or representative. And citing a view vocal outliers (Guglielmi) is hardly a census of the reaction. As far as benefiting mankind, waiting for Rossi to achieve a working product might (even if the report is accurate) be a long wait (in fact there is no assurances he will even succeed), but you don't need to understand the mechanism to determine if a new form of energy has been achieved. So the scientific community need not wait on the inventor. And of course for the scientific community to wait for an inventor to school them is a sad commentary on the discipline. If this report is insufficient to confirm a new source of energy the testers should be encouraged to do the tests again with modified methodology. It is certainly sufficient to raise the possibility of a new source of energy (the need to interpose a theory of fraud proves it's sufficiency) Ransom On Tue, May 28, 2013 at 5:11 PM, Randy Wuller rwul...@freeark.com wrote: Jed: His two questions can easily be answered. 1) Since the science community currently believes a positive result to be impossible (cold fusion is pseudoscience), such a result would change a potential misperception by the scientific community. Which in point of fact is a much more significant advance of knowledge than any detailed advance may produce. He didn't ask how the result would advance knowledge, but how the paper would. Since the claim is not testable, the paper does *not* serve to change the misperception, as should be obvious by now. What he's saying is that for this exercise to advance knowledge, it is necessary for others to be able to test the claims, and that's not possible. 2) Mankind. Mankind will not benefit from this paper. If the claim is real, mankind would benefit from the technology. He admits that. But this paper will not promote that. Something else is needed. Something testable. As it stands, it benefits Rossi's ability to attract investment, and he's got several academic stooges to help him do it. If Rossi has what he claims, then he has to show the world in a way that they will believer
Re: [Vo]:The inanity of the hidden input power hypothesis
I loved Carl Sagan but the biggest mistake he made in his lifetime was making that phrase popular. A claim requires evidence, it doesn't matter what kind of claim. If what you are saying is science can't consider the possibility of something extraordinary unless they are clobbered over the head into submission, science is tantamount to religion and not science. Obviously, for science to conclude anything the proof needs to be conclusive, but that is true of any claim. I would never urge a lack of prudence. But your discussion (what you are calling it) can't be advanced to certainty and that seems to be what you are after. I have seen and read enough to conclude that some deception can be imagined. There is likely no proof of deception and probably won't be any. If some is shown it sould be considered, but lacking any what more can be said. Everyone is likely to have a different opinion as to how likely such a crime is. The question is, given the above what do you do as a scientist regarding the recently disclosed report? I was simply pointing out that ignoring it or concluding without proof of fraud that it isn't some evidence is at least imprudent. Ransom If it's silly to urge prudence, then go ahead and be as wise as you like. Your handwaving generalities and misrepresentations of my position don't progress the discussion any further, unfortunately. I will say two things: Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence, and, if this were Fleischmann, I would not be nearly as concerned. Andrew - Original Message - From: Randy Wuller To: vortex-l@eskimo.com Sent: Sunday, May 26, 2013 4:54 AM Subject: Re: [Vo]:The inanity of the hidden input power hypothesis Andrew: Your point is not well taken. Proof is a continuum. In this case you must posit fraud to counter proof. Fraud may or may not be actually possible in this case but it can always be imagined. The real question is whether the scientific community is required to ignore these results because they can imagine fraud. Such a position is beyond lunacy to me. Of course not. What they should do is consider them in light of the range of proof from zero to conclusive and if they feel conclusive proof is absent, insist that the next investigation remedy the issue. They certainly should not take the position that since we can imagine a possibility where the proof is not conclusive that we can then, 1) ignore the results, or 2) without proof of the imagined exception conclude NO proof exists. You seem to be insisting on black or white even to embrace the possible. This the kind of silly position taken by Cude. Ransom Sent from my iPhone On May 26, 2013, at 1:19 AM, Andrew andrew...@att.net wrote: The bottom line is that currently there is no way to deny the thesis that all the output power derives from the input power. The due diligence exercised by all these august testers was quite frankly of a disappointingly low standard, because they failed to obtain a resolution to this question. What is worse, they appear not to have been aware of it, since it finds no mention in the report. Elephant in the room syndrome, quite likely. Andrew - Original Message - From: Rich Murray To: vortex-l@eskimo.com ; Rich Murray ; Joshua Cude Sent: Saturday, May 25, 2013 9:54 PM Subject: Re: [Vo]:The inanity of the hidden input power hypothesis Thanks, Duncan -- I'd certainly be excited, as would be Joshua Cude, if irrefutable evidence, no faith in anyone needed, arises to launch a scientific explosion of work on cold fusion. My part-time contribution since December 1996 has been to give un-expert detailed critiques of simple facets of cold fusion claims. I am totally willing to be convinced. I'm playing the critical role, because then the enthusiasts have to succeed at the public evidence game, which is much of what drives overall scientific progress. So, the apparent excess heat in this E-Cat HT is several times the apparent electrical input, at up to 960 deg C in a device the size of a bowling pin. So, one of the first candidates for a fake would be at least one well hidden wire, which, if it uses ten time higher voltage, can have a very small diameter conducting gold core -- or it could even be a tube of elastic conducting plastic of much larger size, hidden within a larger plastic water tube -- somewhere in the world by now, this stuff may exist -- or, high voltage conducing wires that are hidden within the insulation of what appears to be conventional power wires -- Jed, is this inane? -- no way to dodge this ball... [PDF] Conducting Polymers and the Evolving Electronics ... - NEPP - NASA nepp.nasa.gov/docuploads/4D1C9F67-F567-4E16.../SyedRevision2.pdf The simplest of these polymers is polyacetelene. The mechanical
Re: [Vo]:Another Solar Firm Shuts Down
How do you know I'm not one of those rich guys. Sorry, stupidity isn't confined to class groups. When the pie shrinks we all lose, when the pie increases we all gain. The silly policies that have taken over conservative thinking are not designed to promote prosperity and that's all I care about. I'd personally like to see this era of pessimism and depression economics end. The sooner the better for me, I'll get richer. If you think austerity and laissez faire economics is the answer, then I hope you don't represent a majority of thinking in this country or the that day I'm hoping for is likely to be farther away. Ransom In this case the Pioneer will be the US taxpayer. Jed's liberal sheep just lept from his wolfs clothing. I figured you were a tax the rich guy. On Fri, Jul 20, 2012 at 10:19 AM, Jed Rothwell jedrothw...@gmail.comjavascript:_e({}, 'cvml', 'jedrothw...@gmail.com'); wrote: Alain Sepeda alain.sep...@gmail.com javascript:_e({}, 'cvml', 'alain.sep...@gmail.com'); wrote: yes, we have to prepare for that in LENR. I hope so! and often the pioneer get toasted by the second wave... business is not fair, but it works. Exactly right. - Jed
Re: [Vo]:Critique of Space Shuttle written in 1980
Jed: The leap too far point is incorrect. That had little to do with the shuttle's issues. The main problem was that it was designed to be everything. A truck, a car, a lab all rolled into one. You wouldn't design a passenger carrier and add a large truck carrier to it. It makes both complicated. The energetics to take humans to orbit is significantly less then taking 40,000 lb payloads. The whole thing was incompetently designed to do all things for all people, because there was no will at the time for multiple projects. That was it's big problem. Now maybe that added complexity which you point out but it was a process problem not a technology problem. Ransom This was featured in Slate magazine. I read it years ago. It is a damning critique of the Space Shuttle written before the first Shuttle flew: http://www.washingtonmonthly.com/features/2001/8004.easterbrook-fulltext.html Many people consider the Shuttle a technical triumph. I always had my doubts, and after the first accident I thought they should scrap it. This article shows that may people were aware of the shortcomings. The problem with the Shuttle was that it was a leap too far. They tried to accomplish too much in one generation of improvements. There have been many similar failures in the history of technology, such as the IBM Stretch Computer. The Stretch caused no harm. It lost a lot of money, but within a decade IBM recouped the loss by using most of the technology developed for it in other machines. Rossi has tried to make far too big a leap. His megawatt reactor reminds me of the flying boats with multiple engines of the 1930s such as the Dornier Do X: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dornier_Do_X And the Caproni Ca. 60, probably the most ambitious and worst airplane ever built: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Caproni_Ca.60 Come to think of it, the Shuttle also had multiple engines of different types. That is a hallmark of bad technology. - Jed
Re: [Vo]:NI and Rossi not related anymore
I am just suggesting that commercialization of the ecat will require more then Leonardo Corp or Rossi. If Rossi is really developing a commercial product he will need Partners and the structure of that relationship would have been the first order of business after October. So it would not surprise me at all that the entity developing the Ecat would be other then Rossi or Leonardo corp. I am not saying that is happening, for all I know Rossi is just all smoke and mirrors. All I am saying is Krivit should have asked that question and from his report I don't know if he did and/or if he would report it if he did. Ransom Hm if NI was working under an NDA they would use another choice of words to deny a relationship with Rossi, I think, wouldn't they? Betts words are pretty clear (if it is correct what Krivit states on NET) and do not seem to leave much room for interpretation... Further as they explicitly mention Leonardo Corporation in their 14th November press release, why would they by now be working with a partner company of Leonardo Corp.? Of course this might be possible but by now it seems as if you really have to digg deep to find something that supports Rossi. Some weeks ago this was the other way round... For me personally, the NI statement was one of the main reasons to give Rossi some credibility, but as this argument is gone now, I wonder whats still there that speaks for Rossi? Let's hope Defkalion's tests (starting next Friday) have more substance and can really provide irrefutable evidence of LENR... Wolf Did Krivit ask if NI was working with any partner/customer/joint venturer of Rossi/Leonardo Corp. At this point if Rossi is legit he has to Partner with an entity with resources. Frankly, it would be just like Krivit not ask that question or tell if he did. Also, NI could be working under an NDA. Ransom Sent from my iPhone On Feb 18, 2012, at 11:37 PM, Daniel Rocha danieldi...@gmail.com mailto:danieldi...@gmail.com wrote: http://blog.newenergytimes.com/2012/02/18/national-instruments-denies-relationship-with-rossi/ Confirmed by! NI. -- Daniel Rocha - RJ danieldi...@gmail.com mailto:danieldi...@gmail.com
Re: [Vo]:Dick Says Yes To $1M Counter Offer By Defkalion
Jed: LENR does not require neutrons and he claims they will not be able to demonstrate LENR not Cold Fusion. He must be talking to Krivit. Ransom I predict that Dick Smith will find an expert who will say: there are no neutrons, so there is no fusion. That will be the last we hear from him. - Jed
Re: [Vo]:Concerning Rossi's attempts to achieve adequate Patent Protection
I think the assumption must be that Rossi has a device which will work, otherwise there is not much point in this speculation. If Rossi's device works, I think he will get his patent if the application is properly written and complies with the application requirements. However, that doesn't mean litigation wouldn't follow, but it would likely be Rossi instituting the action to protect his intellectual property. In other words, IF this happens it will likely follow this sequence: 1) Rossi will start selling a product based on Cold Fusion/LENR based on a patent application. 2) His device works and everyone and their uncle researches it/ reverse engineers it or developments a revised slightly different alternative. 3) Rossi brings suit against the competition to enforce his patent, and the lawyers have some fun. I think this all happens without a grant of patent from the patent office, but even with one the same thing happens. Ransom This has not been adequately explained. The USPTO position is based on an assumption that cold fusion is considered impossible. So a patent that claims cold fusion is rejected in the same way that patents for perpetual motion machines are impossible. However, a working model could overturn this. The problem with many failed cold fusion patents was that working models weren't available. My opinion is that a properly written patent on a device that appears to be using LENR could be approved, even without a working model, but if there is a working model, it gets easier. LENR or cold fusion should not be claimed, the theoretical mechanism actually is not important, if the device clearly has the major claimed use. It's certainly possible that the USPTO would claim it's still impossible, but the conditions would have been set up for a legal challenge to the USPTO position, in the courts. Patents have been granted for electrodes used in cold fusion experiments, in fact, where the primary claim did not mention excess energy. But subsidiary claims did. It's complicated and I'd defer to expert opinion. INAL means I'm not a lawyer. But I do have some idea of the legal issues. The real issue is whether or not a patent is defensible in court. The USPTO decision merely establishes some kind of presumption or protection. If the USPTO denies a patent, and someone imitates the technology, the inventor may still be able to claim the protection of patent law, in court. But no patent, no protection. Rossi has been depending on secrecy, which is very, very risky. I'm sure he's heard this advice many times. Maybe he thinks he's able to pull it off, maybe he's a fraud, maybe, maybe. I've read a lot about this, and I don't know. Some people may well know things I don't know. Lots of writers, though, have opinions based on less knowledge
Re: [Vo]:Ian Bryce and Rossi
Well, maybe the scam doesn't work anything like your speculation. Listen, that interview was a huge waste of my time. This Bryce guy knows far less about any of this then anyone following this on the Vortex. Maryyugo could have done a much better job then Bryce discussing why not to invest or MORE importantly why to insist on INDEPENDANT TESTING if you plan to invest. But what was most distressing about this guys interview was the lack of any information on the connection of this group with Rossi, the investment plan, the people organizing the meeting and their connection with Rossi all of which would have been of some interest. Please stop wasting my time, I spend enough of my day on this topic as it is. Ransom Maybe it works like this Potential licensee to LENR device provider We are interested but don't have the X million for the license. LENR device provider to potential licensee No problems. Do a dozen green investor meeting. Not with big fish, just a lot of smaller green fish. Easier to fry. I'll do a video Skype call to each meeting and convince the fish our LENR device will save the planet from Global Warming (that is what they want to hear) and then to sign the cheques to do their small part to save the planet. We might need to sweeten the pot by promising each of them to install a 10 kW LENR device in their home for nothing. Maybe you put a few friends, who go first, with dud cheques in the audience to break the ice. Potential licensee to LENR device provider Brilliant. We will be very rich. When do we get to see and test a working LENR device? LENR device provider to potential licensee Why do you need to do that? We have plenty of scientists who have tested our LENR device and say it works fine. Potential licensee to LENR device provider Ok fair enough. When can we expect our first delivery and what are the payment terms? LENR device provider to potential licensee 12 to 18 months. Payment is cash with order. You pay for shipping from our high tech robotized factory, which by the way is heated with our LENR devices. In fact we have been heating our factories and research labs with our LENR devices since 2006 or maybe 2007 or maybe 2008. I forget which. Potential licensee to LENR device provider Ok fair enough. We understand you have sold a big plant. Can we come to see it working and talk to the customer? LENR device provider to potential licensee That is not possible. It is installed at a very secret location where we, the customer's engineers and our control system supplier are working day and night to make it work better and better. We are making amazing progress every day. Really amazing progress. Potential licensee to LENR device provider Fantastic. We are very impressed. We will get lots of green investor meeting arranged and with your help we will get all the funding we need to pay you for our licensee, to start the process to save our planet and generate lots of sales. We will all be famous and go down in the history books. We are so lucky to be able to work with such a great man as yourself. LENR device provider to potential licensee We are at your service. Just don't invite Ian Bryce or Dick Smith from the Australian Skeptics to any of your meetings or tell the newspapers what you are doing. They will try to stop you. They are not believers. Shaun
Re: [Vo]:Ian Bryce and Rossi
Exactly, you have no proof. What you have is the same thing Rossi has, Rossi says, Smith says, Shaun says I didn't hear half of the nonsense you are posting in that interview with Bryce, who by the way seems as clueless to me as a lot of the Rossi followers just on the other side of the nut house. Frankly, I am really tired of all the speculation, when you have something beside he said, she said, come back. The same goes for all those supporting Rossi. I used the Vortex for real information before Maryyugo popped in and the rest of the nuts on either side of this drama. I wish it would go back to a more fact based site for information flow. I'm receiving e-mails out the yin-yang now and it is getting ridiculous. Ransom While I have no proof, I would expect a few of those going to the meeting would have emailed Rossi to check on the validity of Millin's claim to be the Australian licensee. No one would invest money with Millin without that being made very clear and at least sighting the necessary executed documents to back up Millin's claim. Shaun
Re: [Vo]:Ian Bryce and Rossi
I wouldn't characterize MY as troll either, but annoyingly repetative and of no value whatsoever to this site, absolutely. I don't care that you think Rossi is a fake, I would prefer this site be restricted to technical discussions of the science and even technical discussions of the evidence regarding Rossi and LENR, not all the speculation based on nothing that is now occuring. Ransom On 12-01-21 02:13 PM, Jed Rothwell wrote: You, Mary Yugo and the other trolls... I disagree with the characterization of MY as a troll. Trolling generally refers to making outrageous, offensive, or clearly bogus statements to get a reaction from people. Attacking Rossi, and asserting that those who believe in him do so with too little evidence, is hardly what I would call trolling.
Re: [Vo]:Reviewing Lewan's test of April 2011
So some things are impossible? You should keep an open mind. It doesn't violate any principles of physics for a mist of micrometer droplets to travel through a hose, and it is far more plausible than radiationless nuclear reactions producing heat. Joshua: Considering this mist after traveling meters in a hose had to then travel through water allowed to stand at room temperature before being exposed to air, I suggest impossible would be a good word for it. Ransom
Re: [Vo]:Why not duplicate Rossi\'s setups and see howtheyworkwithout LENR?
That calculation also requires an assumption that the steam that escapes at the end of the hose is dry. That is highly unlikely. If in fact, a fine mist or fog was entrained in that steam, to explain the disappearance of water, very little gain is established. Sure, but the output after traveling through meters of hose also had to then travel through water allowed to stand at room temperature. The calculation ignores any steam condensed in the process and would be very conservative. The best test is the EK demo, because in that case, if the numbers are accepted, then it required an energy gain of at least 2, because the input energy was only enough to bring the water to about 60C. But as in the Lewan test, the input power was not monitored, and moreover, the total energy needed to explain wet steam is rather modest, and certainly does not rule out chemical heat. I disagree, the output was not measured in the E K demo, it was in Lewan's 2nd test and O/I is clearly greater then 2/1 in Lewan's test. While manipulation of input energy, a hidden energy source or chemical energy were not excluded by Lewan's 2nd test, it did confirm significant measured output over input. If the input energy was manipulated, then no, it doesn't, even if you accept that half the water was vaporized. I'd say more then half the water was vaporized. The output also included 1/2 a liter of water while the Ecat was heating up which also went into the bucket. Lewan may have also let the pump trial water go into the bucket another 3/4 liter but you'd have to ask him. If he did that 3/4 of a liter of 20C water may have been in the bucket before the steam began. But ignoring that at least (11.7 - 5.4) is 6.2 of the water disappeared. You say it is virtually all mist taking into account no condensation and ignoring the cooling taking place over 3 hours. Just what level of entrapped steam do you believe can account for this physical evidence? Sorry, mankind has understood steam a lot longer then nuclear physics and without most of the lost water being steam, I'd say that physical evidence is impossible. Radiation less nuclear reactions which have been suggested and ignored for 20 years because we theorize they are impossible is lot more likely.