Re: [Vo]:Asteroid 2009 DD45

2009-03-10 Thread John Berry
Personally I am highly skeptical that they could predict with enough
accuracy where one would fall in the event it is actually small enough to
evacuate an area rather than a whole country.

On Tue, Mar 10, 2009 at 4:54 PM, mix...@bigpond.com wrote:

 In reply to  Jed Rothwell's message of Mon, 9 Mar 2009 20:47:53 -0400:
 Hi,
 [snip]
 Robin van Spaandonk wrote:
 
 
  Evacuate a city, which is approximately the amount of damage a 1 MT
 blast
  would
  do.
 
 
 One week ahead of time, could they determine with enough accuracy where
 the
 object will strike? Or would they have to say: 'evacuate everyplace from X
 west to Y'?
 
 I do not know enough about astronomy to judge.

 I think after tracking it for 1 or 2 days they could come pretty close, and
 the
 closer it got the more accurate their determination. One could start by
 beginning to evacuate people from  what would most likely be the impact
 point.

 If the zone was initially large, you could provide a general warning, and
 suggest that those who were able, leave. This might be applicable if the
 zone
 were to include e.g. the whole Eastern seaboard, but make clear that only a
 city
 sized area would ultimately be affected. That gives people a sense of their
 chances of survival if they stay put. It also ensures that those who are in
 a
 position to leave early do so, thus limiting the last minute congestion.

 Regards,

 Robin van Spaandonk

 http://rvanspaa.freehostia.com/Project.html




Re: [Vo]:Asteroid 2009 DD45

2009-03-09 Thread Horace Heffner


On Mar 8, 2009, at 5:35 PM, Kyle Mcallister wrote:



Given that I've now made a couple nice power supplies,
maybe I should do some tests of the Morton effect.
I don't have a sphere terminal. Maybe a stainless
steel soup pot will work? :)

--Kyle



A couple hemispherical metal salad bowls might work and are not too  
pricey at Wal-Mart.


Best regards,

Horace Heffner
http://www.mtaonline.net/~hheffner/






Re: [Vo]:Asteroid 2009 DD45

2009-03-09 Thread Horace Heffner


On Mar 8, 2009, at 4:22 PM, Kyle Mcallister wrote:


If during this financial mess we can monitor volcanoes
(which we can do NOTHING about), we can watch the
skies a little better.


Volcano monitoring here in Alaska is pretty important.  Volcanic  
eruptions affect air traffic routing and people's daily lives in  
terms of preparedness, carrying masks, buying air filters, stocking  
up on food, and scheduling work, trips, etc. It is also important for  
the science of volcanology.


I agree asteroid monitoring is important too.  See:

http://mtaonline.net/~hheffner/asteroidRadar.pdf

Best regards,

Horace Heffner
http://www.mtaonline.net/~hheffner/






Re: [Vo]:Asteroid 2009 DD45

2009-03-09 Thread Jed Rothwell

Kyle Mcallister wrote:

If during this financial mess we can monitor volcanoes (which we can 
do NOTHING about) . . .


As I wrote repeatedly, we can LOTS about volcanoes. We can't stop 
them, of course, but we can prevent them from killing people or 
damaging equipment unnecessarily. We can mitigate the danger and 
financial loss. Horace Heffner also reiterated this.


The notions that volcano monitoring is only good for doomsday 
prediction or that the intention is to do something to stop the 
volcano are ludicrous, and unscientific.


We should also keep an eye on asteroids, and possibly develop a 
method of deflecting them. Cold fusion and antigravity would be a 
great help in deflecting them.


- Jed



Re: [Vo]:Asteroid 2009 DD45

2009-03-09 Thread Kyle Mcallister


--- Jed Rothwell jedrothw...@gmail.com wrote:

 As I wrote repeatedly, we can LOTS about volcanoes.
 We can't stop 
 them, of course, but we can prevent them from
 killing people or 
 damaging equipment unnecessarily. We can mitigate
 the danger and 
 financial loss. Horace Heffner also reiterated this.

Same with volcanoes as it is with asteroids: we can
save lives if we know ahead of time. If the thing
blows (or enters atmosphere) without warning, people
die. Only difference is, with our technological level,
we CAN stop asteroids. Unless something happens a la
Jack McDevitt's Moonfall.

 The notions that volcano monitoring is only good for
 doomsday 
 prediction or that the intention is to do
 something to stop the 
 volcano are ludicrous, and unscientific.

I didn't say this. I said, asteroid defense makes more
sense in light of the fact that we can do something
about it. AFAIK, we can't stop eruptions. We should
still keep an eye on them, but the point is, if we can
spend money on vulcanology, we can spend it on
asteroid defense.
 
 We should also keep an eye on asteroids, and
 possibly develop a 
 method of deflecting them. Cold fusion and
 antigravity would be a 
 great help in deflecting them.

Assuming cold fusion ever amounts to anything. Look
guys, it is time we stopped messing with making the
most sensitive calorimeter in the world, and try to
make the stuff simply work. Make a coffee pot with the
thing, using whatever materials work, and brew up some
Maxwell House. Then Park et al can choke on their
java.

This applies to all claims of overunity (whatever it
is), antigravity (whatever it is), and so on. Doing la
de da de da is for later. Just make a coffee maker
with the thing, using raw heat, and that'll get people
interested. Why can't we do this? If it is so well
proven, as you assert, why can't anyone seem to
reproduce it? Why are we doing experiment after
experiment, changing things? Find one that works,
stick with it, and heat some water.

That aside, there is also no funding in the bill for
antigravity or cold fusion, or anything of the sort.
What's so wrong with nitpicking the damn thing?

--Kyle


  



Re: [Vo]:Asteroid 2009 DD45

2009-03-09 Thread Kyle Mcallister


--- Horace Heffner hheff...@mtaonline.net wrote:

 
 A couple hemispherical metal salad bowls might work
 and are not too  
 pricey at Wal-Mart.
 

Good idea. I will get a couple of them, split some
vinyl tubing down the side, and wrap the lip to
prevent corona.

Noticed Bill Beatty did some attempts at reproducing
it, but with according to the late John Schnurer, the
wrong polarity. Given that I have identical + and -
100kV supplies, I can try both ways.

Where is Bill? Did he ever try it the other polarity?
Will he ever reappear, wielding the Broom of Doom and
clean up the mess that Vortex-L is becoming?

Can we all get back to experiments, please? If *I* do
some experiments relevant to the list and post
results, will it garner any discussion, or just fade
away into the abyss of religious and political
nonsense?

--Kyle


  



Re: [Vo]:Asteroid 2009 DD45

2009-03-09 Thread mixent
In reply to  Kyle Mcallister's message of Sun, 8 Mar 2009 17:22:23 -0700 (PDT):
Hi,
[snip]
This is not the scale of skywatch program we need. If
people can scream about CO2 emissions, they damn sure
ought to get a bit scared when a rock is discovered
only 1.5 million miles away, heading basically right
for us. What could we do in less than a week? 

Evacuate a city, which is approximately the amount of damage a 1 MT blast would
do.

With
more advance notice, we might be able to do something.

Larger rocks would be brighter in the sky, and would likely be detected earlier,
giving us more time to act. 
[snip]
Regards,

Robin van Spaandonk

http://rvanspaa.freehostia.com/Project.html



Re: [Vo]:Asteroid 2009 DD45

2009-03-09 Thread grok
-BEGIN PGP SIGNED MESSAGE-
Hash: SHA1


As the smoke cleared, Kyle Mcallister kyle_mcallis...@yahoo.com
mounted the barricade and roared out:

 Same with volcanoes as it is with asteroids: we can
 save lives if we know ahead of time. If the thing
 blows (or enters atmosphere) without warning, people
 die. Only difference is, with our technological level,
 we CAN stop asteroids. Unless something happens a la
 Jack McDevitt's Moonfall.

While no one can (yet) stop a pyroclastic flow-in-progress, there
_is_ new tek out there to stop lava dead in its trax, apparently. 
And I would assume that the intelligent placement and detonation
of hi-explosives could likely do much to redirect the forces
which are about to explode onto whatever communities lie at the
base of a volcano.

Of course, the real problem is why people are forced to live so
close to volcanos. You can always do agriculture on the slopes --
but live quite comfortably far away, for instance.





 Assuming cold fusion ever amounts to anything. Look
 guys, it is time we stopped messing with making the
 most sensitive calorimeter in the world, and try to
 make the stuff simply work. Make a coffee pot with the
 thing, using whatever materials work, and brew up some
 Maxwell House. Then Park et al can choke on their
 java.
 
 This applies to all claims of overunity (whatever it
 is), antigravity (whatever it is), and so on. Doing la
 de da de da is for later. Just make a coffee maker
 with the thing, using raw heat, and that'll get people
 interested. Why can't we do this? If it is so well
 proven, as you assert, why can't anyone seem to
 reproduce it? Why are we doing experiment after
 experiment, changing things? Find one that works,
 stick with it, and heat some water.

How come no one ever answers this oft-made reasonable request
with a working device..? The lack of any known response is what
is giving all the skeptix a field-day. 


- -- grok.






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Re: [Vo]:Asteroid 2009 DD45

2009-03-09 Thread Jed Rothwell
Robin van Spaandonk wrote:


 Evacuate a city, which is approximately the amount of damage a 1 MT blast
 would
 do.


One week ahead of time, could they determine with enough accuracy where the
object will strike? Or would they have to say: 'evacuate everyplace from X
west to Y'?

I do not know enough about astronomy to judge.

- Jed


Re: [Vo]:Asteroid 2009 DD45

2009-03-09 Thread mixent
In reply to  Jed Rothwell's message of Mon, 9 Mar 2009 20:47:53 -0400:
Hi,
[snip]
Robin van Spaandonk wrote:


 Evacuate a city, which is approximately the amount of damage a 1 MT blast
 would
 do.


One week ahead of time, could they determine with enough accuracy where the
object will strike? Or would they have to say: 'evacuate everyplace from X
west to Y'?

I do not know enough about astronomy to judge.

I think after tracking it for 1 or 2 days they could come pretty close, and the
closer it got the more accurate their determination. One could start by
beginning to evacuate people from  what would most likely be the impact point. 

If the zone was initially large, you could provide a general warning, and
suggest that those who were able, leave. This might be applicable if the zone
were to include e.g. the whole Eastern seaboard, but make clear that only a city
sized area would ultimately be affected. That gives people a sense of their
chances of survival if they stay put. It also ensures that those who are in a
position to leave early do so, thus limiting the last minute congestion.

Regards,

Robin van Spaandonk

http://rvanspaa.freehostia.com/Project.html



Re: [Vo]:Asteroid 2009 DD45

2009-03-08 Thread Kyle Mcallister

--- Horace Heffner hheff...@mtaonline.net wrote:

 Asteroid 2009 DD45 had a 48,000 mile close call
 March 2, 2009.  What  
 has not explicitly been said AFAIK is whether or not
 that was within  
 a window that can establish a resonant return,
 i.e. a direct hit on  
 a return fly by.  Perhaps it is too soon to know due
 to the near  
 earth gravitational anomalies.

Chilling thing is, it was already bloody close to us
when discovered, about 1.5 million miles.

My major fear of this is not so much the damage it
would cause if it hit...we can survive a
multimegaton-equivalent impact. But what is preventing
some idiots from seeing this, not thinking, and saying
ROTATE LAUNCH KEY AND RELEASE.

With so much utter trash in The Mighty Hambone
stimulus bill, why is there not some cash for asteroid
detection and defense? We know this is a threat, we
have clear proof of it. Much more so than 'other'
things in there which the threat of is decidedly
unclear.

Where's Eugene Shoemaker when you need him?

--Kyle


  



Re: [Vo]:Asteroid 2009 DD45

2009-03-08 Thread mixent
In reply to  Kyle Mcallister's message of Sun, 8 Mar 2009 14:13:34 -0700 (PDT):
Hi,
[snip]
With so much utter trash in The Mighty Hambone
stimulus bill, why is there not some cash for asteroid
detection and defense? We know this is a threat, we
have clear proof of it. Much more so than 'other'
things in there which the threat of is decidedly
unclear.

Where's Eugene Shoemaker when you need him?

--Kyle
[snip]
I thought it *was* detected by someone paid to do exactly that?

Regards,

Robin van Spaandonk

http://rvanspaa.freehostia.com/Project.html



Re: [Vo]:Asteroid 2009 DD45

2009-03-08 Thread Kyle Mcallister


 [snip]
 I thought it *was* detected by someone paid to do
 exactly that?
 

Not paid very much it seems.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Siding_Spring_Survey

And someone else tracked it after the discovery by way
of funding provided by The Planetary Society.

This is not the scale of skywatch program we need. If
people can scream about CO2 emissions, they damn sure
ought to get a bit scared when a rock is discovered
only 1.5 million miles away, heading basically right
for us. What could we do in less than a week? With
more advance notice, we might be able to do something.

My guess is, asteroid defense doesn't make a ton of
money for the select group, nor does it allow some
people to control others. But all that aside, it is
unquestionably important to do something about this.
Rendezvous with Rama by the late Sir Arthur C. Clarke
comes to mind. No, not suggesting that this was an
alien spacecraft :) Just that the asteroid detection
program was interesting.

If during this financial mess we can monitor volcanoes
(which we can do NOTHING about), we can watch the
skies a little better. Ironic that moving a rock up
there is much easier than stopping a volcano from
erupting and possibly letting someone or some turbofan
breathe in a bit of dust. On that note, it seems that
birds and rubber boots have more dangerous effects on
aircraft than some dust.

I'd actually like Rick Monteverde's opinion on this as
well...seeing as he is both near volcanoes, and near
some of our best observatories. Rick?

--Kyle


  



Re: [Vo]:Asteroid 2009 DD45

2009-03-08 Thread John Berry
The only way we can realistically do anything is if we have technologies
or friends that we don't generally admit to, I hold out no hope for a
mission as in the movie Armageddon or lasers or...

Though with a bit of foresight get Podkletnov of the job and he may be able
to redirect it.

On Mon, Mar 9, 2009 at 1:22 PM, Kyle Mcallister
kyle_mcallis...@yahoo.comwrote:



  [snip]
  I thought it *was* detected by someone paid to do
  exactly that?
 

 Not paid very much it seems.

 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Siding_Spring_Survey

 And someone else tracked it after the discovery by way
 of funding provided by The Planetary Society.

 This is not the scale of skywatch program we need. If
 people can scream about CO2 emissions, they damn sure
 ought to get a bit scared when a rock is discovered
 only 1.5 million miles away, heading basically right
 for us. What could we do in less than a week? With
 more advance notice, we might be able to do something.

 My guess is, asteroid defense doesn't make a ton of
 money for the select group, nor does it allow some
 people to control others. But all that aside, it is
 unquestionably important to do something about this.
 Rendezvous with Rama by the late Sir Arthur C. Clarke
 comes to mind. No, not suggesting that this was an
 alien spacecraft :) Just that the asteroid detection
 program was interesting.

 If during this financial mess we can monitor volcanoes
 (which we can do NOTHING about), we can watch the
 skies a little better. Ironic that moving a rock up
 there is much easier than stopping a volcano from
 erupting and possibly letting someone or some turbofan
 breathe in a bit of dust. On that note, it seems that
 birds and rubber boots have more dangerous effects on
 aircraft than some dust.

 I'd actually like Rick Monteverde's opinion on this as
 well...seeing as he is both near volcanoes, and near
 some of our best observatories. Rick?

 --Kyle







Re: [Vo]:Asteroid 2009 DD45

2009-03-08 Thread Kyle Mcallister

--- John Berry aethe...@gmail.com wrote:

 The only way we can realistically do anything is
 if we have technologies
 or friends that we don't generally admit to, I
 hold out no hope for a
 mission as in the movie Armageddon or lasers or...

We can do it with nuclear weapons, either a direct
impact surface detonation, or 'glancing blow' to shove
the thing.

Simple kinetic impactors would work as well, although
the sooner we detect it (the main point I was making)
the easier it is to change the thing's orbit with
smaller amounts of kinetic energy applied. Read: less
crap tossed at it, and possible at less velocity.

We don't have the technology yet to deploy solar
shields either, yet that isn't forbode discussion
here. I'm not talking lasers or Armageddon, or even
building an Orion-drive spacecraft as in Deep Impact
to do something. I'm reciting things which we've known
about and studied for decades on this subject.

 Though with a bit of foresight get Podkletnov of the
 job and he may be able
 to redirect it.

We don't know what range the effect propagates out to.
No one alive has successfully replicated his effect in
a way that is accepted or would be accepted.

Caveat: John Schnurer did make a device that works. I
tested it. It does work, but it is tricky and very
crude. But a 1-2% decrease in gravity, or a 0.5-3%
increase in gravity is not really going to do much for
you compared to lobbing a nuke or just a rocket hulk
at the rock.

Another thing: if you're referring to Podkletnov's
'beam' experiments, there's not enough writeup for me
to comment. John didn't tell me much about that, as I
guess Podkletnov and he had some
disagreement...apparently Podkletnov thought John's
device couldn't possibly work as the disk didn't
rotate. (the fields did) 1 2 3 2 1 2 3 2 1 2 3 2
1.and so on.

Given that I've now made a couple nice power supplies,
maybe I should do some tests of the Morton effect.
I don't have a sphere terminal. Maybe a stainless
steel soup pot will work? :)

--Kyle


  



Re: [Vo]:Asteroid 2009 DD45

2009-03-08 Thread John Berry
On Mon, Mar 9, 2009 at 2:35 PM, Kyle Mcallister
kyle_mcallis...@yahoo.comwrote:


 --- John Berry aethe...@gmail.com wrote:

  The only way we can realistically do anything is
  if we have technologies
  or friends that we don't generally admit to, I
  hold out no hope for a
  mission as in the movie Armageddon or lasers or...

 We can do it with nuclear weapons, either a direct
 impact surface detonation, or 'glancing blow' to shove
 the thing.


I don't rule out the plausibility of that.
What I rule out is that a mission can be started in time.

The physics of it are straight forward and manageable with our level of
technology however the level of readiness would be fatal.

It would require better organization and immediate resources without cares
for funding or budget and I'm sorry but that doesn't sound like any place I
know of who can launch a rocket.

I guess it depends on the warning but most of these warnings seem to be
rather short, if we had a good number on months I would like the odds
better.



 Simple kinetic impactors would work as well, although
 the sooner we detect it (the main point I was making)
 the easier it is to change the thing's orbit with
 smaller amounts of kinetic energy applied. Read: less
 crap tossed at it, and possible at less velocity.

 We don't have the technology yet to deploy solar
 shields either, yet that isn't forbode discussion
 here. I'm not talking lasers or Armageddon, or even
 building an Orion-drive spacecraft as in Deep Impact
 to do something. I'm reciting things which we've known
 about and studied for decades on this subject.

  Though with a bit of foresight get Podkletnov of the
  job and he may be able
  to redirect it.

 We don't know what range the effect propagates out to.
 No one alive has successfully replicated his effect in
 a way that is accepted or would be accepted.


IMO morton had the same effect, the distance it works to is significant and
could only be hoped to work at greater disrances.



 Caveat: John Schnurer did make a device that works. I
 tested it. It does work, but it is tricky and very
 crude. But a 1-2% decrease in gravity, or a 0.5-3%
 increase in gravity is not really going to do much for
 you compared to lobbing a nuke or just a rocket hulk
 at the rock.

 Another thing: if you're referring to Podkletnov's
 'beam' experiments,


I was


 there's not enough writeup for me
 to comment. John didn't tell me much about that, as I
 guess Podkletnov and he had some
 disagreement...apparently Podkletnov thought John's
 device couldn't possibly work as the disk didn't
 rotate. (the fields did) 1 2 3 2 1 2 3 2 1 2 3 2
 1.and so on.

 Given that I've now made a couple nice power supplies,
 maybe I should do some tests of the Morton effect.
 I don't have a sphere terminal. Maybe a stainless
 steel soup pot will work? :)

 --Kyle







Re: [Vo]:Asteroid 2009 DD45

2009-03-08 Thread grok
-BEGIN PGP SIGNED MESSAGE-
Hash: SHA1


As the smoke cleared, John Berry aethe...@gmail.com
mounted the barricade and roared out:

 The physics of it are straight forward and manageable with our
 level of technology however the level of readiness would be
 fatal.
 
 It would require better organization and immediate resources
 without cares for funding or budget and I'm sorry but that
 doesn't sound like any place I know of who can launch a rocket.

I know most of you don't want to hear it, but that facts of the
matter actually are that, as long as the Filthy Rich are
siphoning off their claims on all our past, present and future
resources into their offshore accounts, etc., there will never be
the resources available to do much of anything worthwhile.
Like saving the Earth. 


- -- grok.





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[Vo]:Asteroid 2009 DD45

2009-03-07 Thread Horace Heffner
Asteroid 2009 DD45 had a 48,000 mile close call March 2, 2009.  What  
has not explicitly been said AFAIK is whether or not that was within  
a window that can establish a resonant return, i.e. a direct hit on  
a return fly by.  Perhaps it is too soon to know due to the near  
earth gravitational anomalies.


Best regards,

Horace Heffner
http://www.mtaonline.net/~hheffner/