On Tue, Jan 22, 2019 at 3:49 AM Bruce A. Metcalf <[email protected]> wrote:
> > 1. Malthusian forces will bring famine to much of the third world, > unless some new disease gets there first. Growing resistance to > acceptance of vaccination will aid the latter. > I am in the middle of reading Hans Rosling's _Factfulness_. He says that current estimates are that global population is expected to plateau at 10-11 Billion by 2100. I.e, not an exponential Malthusian growth. Are you saying that population is going to go much higher than that, or that Earth doesn't have the carrying capacity for 10-11 Billion? > 4. Tribalization will continue to worsen cooperation, from the > international level down to communities. Such conflicts will in some > cases result in political separations, which will serve to ossify such > attitudes. > I agree. I think significant parts of the world are heading to a Civil War of some sort. Perhaps a Civil World War. But I feel this is likely to happen in the near future, and not 20+ years from now. Thaths -- Homer: Hey, what does this job pay? Carl: Nuthin'. Homer: D'oh! Carl: Unless you're crooked. Homer: Woo-hoo!
