--- Eugen Leitl <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:

> On Sun, Jul 01, 2007 at 01:51:26PM -0700, Tom McCabe
> wrote:
> 
> > All of this applies only to implosion-type
> devices,
> > which are far more complicated and tricky to pull
> off
> > than gun-type devices, and which are therefore
> > unlikely to be used. 
> 
> We're arguing something tedious, and meaningless. 
> There's no analogy to a crude gun assembler in AI.

Actually, there is- a hacked-together recursively
self-improving system that is not well understood. The
problem is, such a system can still work- it will just
destroy the world in the process.

> > If you want to argue, please present your own
> 
> I don't. I was going to quit from this list soon
> actually.
> We're not actually arguing. We're going through the
> motions,
> and have been doing so for years.

Meaning?

> > arguments and not those of phantom anonymous
> weapon
> > designers.
> 
> I can assure you, there are some pretty good people
> at Livermore, and these do give interviews. 

Arguing from any authority is a logical fallacy, let
alone arguing from a phantom anonymous authority.

> Notice that they're not doing AI at Livermore.

Er, so?

> > Is there any significant black market in
> classified
> > information?
> 
> Yes, you can get expertise and equipment from e.g.
> Pakistan.

I meant, NATO countries' classified information, not
nuclear weapons expertise in general.

> > Assuming you're starting from scratch, yes. Why
> not
> > just steal a few kilos of U235? It's a lot easier
> than
> 
> There's considerable background trafficking in HEU
> actually,
> at least if judged from documented busts.

How many HEU busts have there been? I remember
precisely one over the previous few years.

> This
> really means
> the milk of human kindness is not just a myth.

I don't get it.

> > building a billion-dollar enrichment facility.
> 
> Do you know where I could steal a few kilos of
> computronium?

Sure- just build a generic worm to attack
poorly-secured Windows systems and use them to build a
dedicated computer network.

> > By the time sentient software exists, the question
> is
> > moot because it will promptly escape onto the
> Internet
> > and will probably wreak havoc from there.
> 
> Very possible. I'm not going to worry about it
> because
> then I'm dead, and so are you, and everybody else.

So, let me get this straight- we *shouldn't* worry
about it because it might kill us all? I find the
prospect of anything killing us all very worrying.

> > Sooner or later, regardless of what the required
> > computing power is, the general public *will* be
> in
> > possession of it.
> 
> The point is on later. Also, in absence of
> knowledge,
> hardware buys you only very little.

Agreed.

> So here's your mole of switches. What are you going
> to do with it?

Yer what?

> -- 
> Eugen* Leitl <a href="http://leitl.org";>leitl</a>
> http://leitl.org
>
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 - Tom


      
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