I am no expert but from everything I have seen being over water is going to
increase the distance that wifi links are going to make it. Because of lack
of hills and trees. I think water absorbs 2.4Ghz, not reflect it, think
mircowave oven(also 2.4Ghz). So as long as there are not a lot of boat/ships
in the bay that you are crossing and you use directional antennas it seems
like the link should work quite well.

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