Who's to say that these Kenyans are actually 16-19? There's a reason why 
Kenyans tend to drop in times when they are in their mid 20s...1. Are 
actually probably 30 and not 25, 2. After so many years of top level 
running, whether you start at 16 or 20 you tend to fizzle out. Check road 
race results, the winning Kenyans are listed as early/mid 20s and only a few 
stay competitive after 30 whereas many Americans/Europeans stay competitive 
after 30. Even in marathon races in which you can still be very competitive 
in your 30s you still many Kenyans listed early/mid 20s. Kenyans start 
running at an earlier age, reach a top level, then end their careers at an 
earlier age compared to American/European runners.

Cherono is young and has run a very fast time. That doesn't mean that with 
age he will run much faster. Entine is RIGHT in that overall in a large 
group the N./ E. Africans will produce faster runners, but he is DEAD WRONG 
in stating that an American/European will NEVER win a major marathon or gold 
medal...that statement is just plain ignorant on his part and he only states 
it to reap the rewards of further book sales. There can and will always be 
the select few Americans/Europeans that can and will achieve the heights he 
says is impossible, but as a group the N. / E. Africans are better.

Alan
http://www.geocities.com/runningart2004

>Maybe Entine is right ... we have no chance, and should just give up before
>we fall further behind.  We have no chance of ever getting a 16 year old to
>go 8:19 or even a 19 year old to go 7:58.


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