At 7:23 PM -0500 10/5/99, Paul C. Smith wrote:
>All -
>       You may remember at the beginning of the year I mentioned that the
>NYYankees' 1999 season would present an obvious example of regression to the
>mean. They won 125 games last year, and not surprisingly, will do worse than
>that this year. They've won 98 during the regular season, and cannot win
>more than 11 more (3 in the current best-of-five series, and 4 in each of
>the next two best-of-seven series). That would give them a total of 109, at
>the very most (please pardon my math if I miss by a couple - there's a man
>on second in the first, Palmeiro is batting, and I'm a little distracted).
>
>       No great prognostication, just good old regression in action.
>
>Paul Smith
>Alverno College
>Milwaukee

I assume that you've read Steve Gould's "Full House".

* PAUL K. BRANDON               [EMAIL PROTECTED]  *
* Psychology Dept       Minnesota State University, Mankato *
* 23 Armstrong Hall, Mankato, MN 56001      ph 507-389-6217 *
*    http://www.mankato.msus.edu/dept/psych/welcome.html    *

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