This was a lively talk with Bill Burr about the entertainment business and
Hollywood accounting.

https://youtu.be/eGsB7hE_cFo

On Tue, Jun 2, 2020, 7:21 AM Adam Bowie <a...@adambowie.co.uk> wrote:

>
> On Mon, Jun 1, 2020 at 3:21 PM Tom Wolper <twol...@gmail.com> wrote:
>
>>
>> I don't get why Spotify is making this deal because they aren't content
>> originators and, unlike Stern and SiriusXM, I don't see how it will sell
>> subscriptions. Still, in a world where NBC signed Megyn Kelly for $65
>> million with all of her baggage, this may not be such a shocking deal.
>>
>>
> I think there's a two-part reason for this.
>
> Firstly, and most straightforwardly, Spotify gets a massive new audience.
> For reasons that escape me (although that Atlantic article gives a good
> explanation), millions listen. I assume a decent number of people will
> continue to listen on the Spotify app even if they don't subscribe. From my
> understanding Spotify isn't putting this behind a paywall, just forcing you
> to use the app. But even if they don't get any new subscriptions at all,
> Spotify can better monetise that audience than many others because they
> have so much data on their users. They know your demographics (you tell
> them when you sign up); they know when, where and how much people are
> listening; they know all kinds of things that *regular* podcast platforms
> don't know - podcast data is notoriously limited without all the tracking
> data that most digital advertisers have on you. So Spotify can offer more
> details to advertisers and more efficiently sell the podcast. Reports seem
> to suggest that what Rogan gets paid will depend on hitting targets. So on
> a purely commercial level, this may make sense for Spotify for those
> reasons alone.
>
> But Spotify is also taking on the podcast industry. Their second motive is
> to become closer to the default podcast platform. That helps their overall
> business model - if you're listening to "free" podcasts, you're not
> listening to "expensive" music. Somewhere around 60-65% of podcast
> listening is currently via Apple podcasts despite Apple having 50% market
> share of phones in the US, and less across the rest of the world. Spotify
> wants in on that, and unlike Apple who hasn't been active in an area they
> dominate, Spotify is spending a lot becoming a very solid #2. Exclusives
> become a differentiator for them.
>
> I'm not a massive fan of this direction. If your podcast is not in my
> podcast app of choice (Pocket Casts since you asked), I'm
> significantly less likely to hear it. But I can understand the business
> logic of it from Spotify's perspective. Up until now, I don't think that
> there have been as many killer podcasts as podcasts businesses need. Many
> podcasts are "replaceable." We've seen Luminary try this, with their
> exclusive range of podcasts, but reports suggest that they're hemorrhaging
> money. In part this is because you can probably find a sufficiently good
> replacement for any podcast that moved behind the paywall, or otherwise
> never heard their exclusives anyway. Serial might be an example of a killer
> podcast. Or maybe The Daily. Something people would change behaviours to
> still get access to. Even then, I'm not sure that the NYT would put The
> Daily behind a subscription paywall when it's: a) profitable right now with
> their listening figures, and b) acts a massive promotional tool to drive
> those NYT subscriptions. They spread that messaging every single episode!
>
> Today there are more than 1,000,000 podcast series on iTunes.  If my
> favourite tech podcast moved behind a paywall, I might be a bit bummed, but
> I could probably find a suitable replacement. Spotify is gambling that
> Rogan's fans will follow him and there aren't a bunch of others like him -
> or at least as "good" as what he does. It might work for him and Spotify.
> But who else would it work for? I'm not sure.
>
> Disclaimer: I've never listened to him. I can't say that three podcasts by
> *anyone* appeal to me. I only recently found out that he was the presenter
> of Fear Factor which we did get in the UK. But I always found him the most
> obnoxious thing on that, and that's saying something. Oh, and any podcast
> that ever had or has Alex Jones on it, for any reason whatsoever, is not a
> podcast I'm ever going to listen to.
>
>
>
> Adam
>
>>
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