On Sat, Jun 20, 2020, 17:29 Tom Wolper <[email protected]> wrote:

> If Trump loses in November MAGA doesn't go into retreat. It forms the
> backbone of the opposition. The Republican faction that will fade into
> oblivion is the Republican moderates.
>

There are technically eight scenarios. Let's agree that the four where the
GOP takes the House back are not fundamentally realistic.

In increasing order of likelihood according to predictit.org

Trump wins, Republicans maintain the Senate (17%): Four more years of this.
Biden wins, Republicans maintain the Senate (24%): What Tom said.
Trump wins, Democrats get the Senate (25%): Everything grinds to a halt for
four years.
Biden wins, Democrats get the Senate (34%): I honestly don't know what
happens to the Republican party. It's one thing to lose the White House.
It's quite another to lose the White House *and* both houses of Congress in
back-to-back elections.

>

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