On Fri, Mar 5, 2021 at 3:59 PM PGage <[email protected]> wrote:

> No way to prove, but I think we can make a reasonable inference. Ticket
> sales at my local theater were down in 2020, and I guess its possible they
> will continue at that level after the pandemic, but I think its reasonable
> to infer they will go back up. I’m not saying the inference is as strong
> for major television events, but still reasonable.
>
> This is why I included a hypothesis (a specific, testable prediction). If
> GGA ratings go up next time, but are still lower than the time before, I
> will be right; if they stay the same or go down, then you will be.
>

I want to point out that there is a major difference between activities
that have been shut down, like theater and live music, and TV. Of course
people will return to those venues as soon as they reopen and it's
pointless to draw any conclusions from comparing 2019 attendance to 2020
attendance.

After further reflection (God knows why this takes up any space in my mind)
the Golden Globes ceremony was always sold as a big party with a red carpet
ceremony and boozing at the tables was encouraged to give an
anything-can-happen attitude. All of that was missing this year and that
could have depressed viewership. If next year's ceremony can be sold as a
celebration of show biz stars getting back together and having a good time
that could drive up the number of viewers.

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