I've been meaning to blog on this for a while, thanks for the opportunity:
removepleaseNebula-RnD.com/blog/general/2008/03/estimates1.html

> From: John Rodgers
> Speaking for myself, ... today's
> applications are so complex that all the dependencies are 
> impossible to forecast.  It is not a question of lying - it
> is a question of trying to anticipate the worst case. The first
> estimate you give is the only one that "management" (your
> customers)  will ever remember.
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