The personal home based LENR reactor is not going to sell. But a utility based high output LENR generator station will be readily accepted by the utilities. DGT and Rossi are wasting time in developing a home based unit.
Personal power generators are only installed in a few well to do households. Everybody else uses the GRID. This is true now and into any foreseeable LENR future. The future of LENR is a grid based 20 Gigawatt LENR utility power station. On Sat, Jan 17, 2015 at 4:30 PM, Jed Rothwell <[email protected]> wrote: > Jones Beene <[email protected]> wrote: > >> *But somebody must lose** in this picture**.** The big question mark: >> can th**e upcoming** tidal wave** be stopped by OPEC/Big Oil** …** or is >> it too late for** them**?* >> >> My answer based on history: > > No, it cannot be stopped by them, and yet, no, it is not too late. What I > mean is, if they act now they might slow it down, stop it, or co-opt it, > but history shows they will probably ignore this development until it is > far too late. Look at similar examples such as: > > The replacement of local passenger railroads by automobiles, circa 1920 - > 1930. > > The replacement of long distance passenger trains and ocean liners by > airplanes 1945 - 1960. This led to the final collapse of the Pennsylvania > Railroad, which was the biggest and most powerful corporation on earth in > 1920. > > The replacement of mainframe and minicomputers by personal computers, > software, and by MPP small computers such as the Googleplex, 1980 - 2000. > This bankrupted DEC, Data General and it almost bankrupted IBM, which was > an astounding turn of events. > > The destruction of the steel industry and the recent bankruptcy of GM, > both caused in part by legacy problems such as large numbers of retirees. > This problem was entirely foreseeable, but it is hard to think of a way it > might have been circumvented. > > There are many less well known examples. Very often, the most powerful and > prosperous corporations in one era have been destroyed in 10 or 20 years by > changes in the marketplace or by new technology. The usual narrative is > that the new technology was unforeseen, but in fact, if you read accounts > of these eras, in most cases the new technology was widely predicted, and > in some cases it was even invented by the companies it later destroyed. The > IBM PC is a good example. > > If, today, a power company or an oil company were to invest in cold fusion > and bring it to fruition, I have no doubt this would end up destroying that > company. But they might not agree with me, so they might do it. If you had > told an IBM executive in 1980 that the contract they just negotiated with a > two-bit company called Microsoft for a minor product -- an operating system > -- would nearly bankrupt the company in the 1990, that executive would > think you are crazy. > > The book "The Black Swan" is full stories of events that supposedly came > out of left field and surprised the experts. The author is wrong. Most of > the ones relating to technology did not come out of left field, and did not > surprise the experts. Most of them did not surprise me, personally. I knew > more about some of these developments when they happened than the author > does now, and I spotted several mistakes in the book. Complete surprises > are rare in technology. Cold fusion was a complete surprise, but after 1991 > it was obvious that it might become a practical source of energy. If it > does, people who are surprised will have only themselves to blame. They > should have paid attention, and they should have stopped inventing > ridiculous reasons to deny the facts. History shows that the people running > oil companies and the like will probably not look closely or take the > technology seriously until it is too late. > > It will be too late when the public becomes aware of the fact that cold > fusion is real and that in the near term it has the potential to save every > person thousands of dollars a year. Once that becomes generally known, no > power on earth will be able to stop the research, development and > deployment of cold fusion. People such as the Koch brothers will spend > billions of dollars trying to stop it with PR campaigns and by buying > Members of Congress, but they will overwhelmed by a tsunami of public > opinion. > > - Jed > >
