In reply to Alain Sepeda's message of Sun, 18 Jan 2015 00:12:31 +0100: Hi, [snip] >one point about blackswan not so black. >even Taleb agree that most blackswan could be predicted. >But the people who took the decision could not see it. > >most blackswan, even fukushima, were in fact predictable with existing data. >most blackswan are simply whiteswan kept in a dark room.
..or white swans are actually black swans that have bleached in the sunlight. :^) Regards, Robin van Spaandonk http://rvanspaa.freehostia.com/project.html
