Brian -I think you will be wrong – in a way. And right in a way.
When you look at the possibility of any good inventor showing an energy anomaly with nickel and hydrogen, there is already a high likelihood that it is possible. It has been done many times. Look at the inventors and researchers who have claimed to have seen thermal gain it before: at least 40 going back to 1989 and most were not in the USA. You have the Italians, the Japanese, the French, the Russians, the Indians, etc etc. Someone should compile a list. In fact it is probably closer to 60 successful repots or even more. Therefore it could be said that Rossi – if he were a decent inventor at all, should be able to demonstrate some kind of thermal anomaly similar to what was being done 28 years ago. I would not be surprised at all to see an honest COP of 1.5 or thereabouts. The key word is “honest” since Rossi is a genuinely dishonest individual. The problem which has plagued everyone in Nickel-hydrogen since the early days, and the reason there is no commercial product is low reliability and low COP. An outcome which would be worthwhile and interesting, worth of Thanksgiving - would be a anomaly with COP greater than 3 which is replicated by others immediately. You are probably right about that not happening. Highly doubtful. From: Brian Ahern I would much prefer being wrong here. Being right gets the LENR world nothing new.