Stephen A. Lawrence wrote:
> 
> [email protected] wrote:
>> In reply to  Kyle Mcallister's message of Mon, 23 Mar 2009 15:53:48 -0700 
>> (PDT):
>>> /Can we build a damn thing that will make a cup of
>>> warm coffee or tea?/ If not, why not???
>> I suspect not. CF (or LENR) is finicky, and no one is yet certain of the 
>> precise
>> requirements (though there are now a few claims of complete replicability).
>> Those who can achieve it have been trying for quite a while to get it right.
>> Even then, I think a reasonably well equipped lab is a prerequisite. It's not
>> something you can do in your garage, and expect to work.
> 
> There is something else as well.
> 
> There are some reproducible, repeatable experiments which work, if not
> every time, then a good fraction of the time.  But reliability is not
> what stands in the way of making a tea heater.  There are two other
> problems with making a gadget which does something useful.
> 
> First, the repeatable experiments all produce very low-grade heat; it's
> hard to do much with it beyond just detect it.
> 
> Second, and more important, the same bugaboo that plagues hot fusion is
> at work here:  The best of the wet-cell CF experiments is nowhere near
> breakeven.
> 
> With that said, I should add that gas-phase CF at room temperature,
> which operates without a large external energy source, *might* produce
> enough heat to run a Stirling engine -- but I don't think so. As I said,
> these experiments produce low-grade heat; I don't think the heat output
> of the gas-phase experiments is large enough to do that.

In fact, IIRC the gas-phase experiments start with compressed D2.  If we
account for the energy used compressing the gas then they're also well
below break-even (never mind the energy cost of refining the D2, which
is also far from free).

It will be a red letter day when *any* controlled fusion experiment,
hot, cold, or luke-warm, passes breakeven on the operating energy
budget. (By the "operating energy budget", I mean, not including the
cost of fabricating the system -- just the cost of making the fuel and
operating the reactor).

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