Kyle Mcallister wrote:
> --- "Stephen A. Lawrence" <[email protected]> wrote:
> 
>> [Robin von Spaandock wrote:]
>>> I suspect not. CF (or LENR) is finicky, and no one
>>> is yet certain of the precise
>>> requirements (though there are now a few claims of
>>> complete replicability).
>>> Those who can achieve it have been trying for
>>> quite a while to get it right.
>>> Even then, I think a reasonably well equipped lab
>>> is a prerequisite. It's not
>>> something you can do in your garage, and expect to
>>> work.
> 
> Saying it can't be done in a garage is going a bit too
> far. It depends on /what/ one has in his/her garage.


Yes, indeed.  I think I've heard Ed Storms does some of his work in a
(very well equipped) garage.


> People are building fusors in their garages. It takes
> brains, determination, cunning in designing with what
> you can scrounge, someone to listen (hard to get), and
> motivation.


>> There is something else as well.
>>
>> There are some reproducible, repeatable experiments which work, if
>> not every time, then a good fraction of the time. But reliability
>> is not what stands in the way of making a tea heater. There are two
>> other problems with making a gadget which does something useful.
> 
> OK. Exactly how do we set up the reproducible
> experiments, what specific (read: NOT unobtainium)
> substances were used, etc.?

I'm not an expert, but two come to my mind which seem worth pursuing:

See the SPAWAR experiment replication, with which Steve Krivit was
involved, seemed reasonably successful. There should be a lot in the
Vortex archive on that, but in any case here's a relevant link (this is
*not* to a complete paper, just something with references):

http://www.newenergytimes.com/Library2/2008/2008Krivit-CurrentScience.pdf


Also see the recent gas phase experiments by Ed Storms et al; a paper is
here:

http://lenr-canr.org/acrobat/StormsEdetectiono.pdf


There was a wet-cell paper posted to Vortex recently which claimed 20/20
runs produced positive results, and 0/20 control runs produced positive
results.  That seems worth pursuing too but I don't have the link off hand.



> Why do we not concentrate
> almost exclusively on that which we KNOW works, and
> expand upon that? Make variations of this one setup
> that demonstrates excess heat, eventually using
> materials from different sources, testing equipment
> from different manufacturers, and so on, and then toss
> that into the public eye?
>  
>> Second, and more important, the same bugaboo that plagues hot
>> fusion is at work here: The best of the wet-cell CF experiments is
>> nowhere near breakeven.
> 
> It's as bad as all that?

What, the breakeven problem?  Yes, it certainly is.  Hot fusion, cold
fusion, or fusor-fusion, you've got the same problem: energy out is
smaller than energy in, and if you count the cost of the equipment in
the energy budget, energy out is *much* smaller than energy in.

It's almost like we're initiating the fusion reactions one at a time,
grabbing individual pairs of atoms with a tweezers and bashing them
together, and it's very hard to ramp that up and get something useful.
The Sun, or an H-bomb, does it en masse, and the results are very different.

Here's a rule of thumb:  If you need a calorimeter to tell whether your
reactor is working, you can be quite sure it's not producing a useful
amount of energy.


> Why the hatred towards hot
> fusion by the cold fusioneers? Seems neither is doing
> well. The late Bussard's group a possible exception, I
> am watching that one with great interest.

I think the initial extremely negative reaction of hot fusion people to
reports of cold fusion has a lot to do with the bad feelings.


>  
> I will say this: an army of willing amateurs is
> nothing to sneeze at.
> 
> --Kyle
> 
> 
>       
> 

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