Some countries are investing in "The Third Industrial Revolution" :
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Third_Industrial_Revolution

The European Union is going in big time with this ill-fated green energy
strategy. LENR will not be welcome by these power centers to say the least.


On Sat, Jan 7, 2012 at 12:04 PM, Jed Rothwell <[email protected]> wrote:

> OrionWorks - Steven Vincent Johnson <[email protected]> wrote:
>
>
>>  [Personal comment: Obviously, if Rossi & related competition claims pan
>> out in the near future, that would initiate a sustained and permanent drop
>> in global oil prices, despite rising world demand. Granted, It may not
>> happen immediately, but perhaps within 5 – 10 years . . .
>>
>
> I have discussed this with some economists, including an old friend who is
> a professor. They say that the cost of a commodity such as oil is mainly a
> reflection of future expected supply and demand. They say that if it
> becomes generally known that cold fusion is real, and everyone agrees it is
> real and likely to become a practical source of energy, this will trigger
> an immediate and very large decline in the cost of oil and other fossil
> fuels. Assuming cold fusion is successfully commercialized, this decline
> will be permanent. The price will not recover, even if it takes 10 or 20
> years for cold fusion to replace most fossil fuel consumption. The time it
> takes cold fusion to replace the fuel does not affect the price decline
> much because there is plenty of oil presently accounted for and ready to be
> extracted. If an oil producer knows that in 20 years there will be no
> market for oil, it will sell its present supply of oil as soon as possible,
> even at a drastically lower price. Getting some money for your inventory
> now is better than getting no money in the future. It is like having a
> warehouse full of obsolete laptop computers. They lose a few percent in
> value every week. You sell them now, or never.
>
> When everyone accepts cold fusion is real this will also immediately
> bankrupt wind turbine manufacturers, the solar cell industry, and all other
> alternative sources of energy that are not yet economically competitive
> with coal and oil. It may not kill off ethanol immediately because that is
> not a source of energy. It is an energy sink. It is a political plum. It is
> a method of ripping off consumers and wasting millions of barrels of fossil
> fuel to enrich big agriculture and OPEC.
>
> Because the Fukushima disaster, cold fusion cause the quick demise of
> conventional nuclear power, and ITER, obviously. Conventional nuclear power
> is a dead duck in Japan no matter what happens. I do not think they will
> ever build another reactor there. With one major accident, it went from
> being the cheapest source of energy to the most expensive. It may bankrupt
> TEPCO which is one of the largest power companies on earth.
>
> - Jed
>
>

Reply via email to