I believe the sentience is an emergent property of biological intelligence.
I assume it is related to the instinct for self-preservation. It is easy to
preserve yourself if you see a clear distinction between you and the rest
of the environment, or you and the other members of your species. An insect
such as a grasshopper cannot distinguish between other grasshoppers, or
between other grasshoppers and a plastic model of a grasshopper at the end
of a stick held by a biologist. I doubt such a limited intelligence can
have any sense of self, or any sense of destiny or future.

If computers can become sentient, surely only large, fast ones with lots of
memory will be capable of it. A desktop computer probably has fewer
effective connections than a grasshopper brain. A grasshopper brain has ~1
million neurons, but lots of dendrites and they all work in parallel,
giving it more processing power than a computer with 4 billion transistors.
So I doubt anything like today's desktop computer could be sentient, or
even intelligent at a level much higher than a grasshopper. A much larger
MPP computer or supercomputer such as Watson might have enough capacity to
be sentient. I wouldn't know. There will soon be computers far larger than
Watson, and I expect they will have enough capacity. The question is: will
they have a natural propensity toward sentience, or is that something that
has to be deliberately programmed? In other words, is it emergent?

I can well imagine a computer a million times faster, bigger and with more
base knowledge and simulated common sense than Watson which is not
sentient, and which has absolutely no emotion, will, or opinion. The Google
system is approaching that state. The programmers at Google are hard at
work trying to make it into something like that, because that would be
profitable. Not as an academic experiment in artificial intelligence.

I do not see why a totally non-sentient supercomputer would be impossible.
Even if sentience is emergent, I expect it would not be hard to prevent it
by not including some set of capabilities. The Internet as a whole has more
connections than a human brain, and far larger memory, but there is no
evidence it is tending toward any kind of intelligence above the level of
an insect.

- Jed

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