If we do not survive into the future then no one will be there to see that we 
failed.  This is kind of like the old question about whether or not a tree 
falling in the woods makes a sound if no one hears it.  On occasions I have 
wondered if there have been other civilizations many millions of yours before 
that were destroyed in some way.   Would there be enough of a trace remaining 
for us to prove their prior existence?   All the buildings would have long 
since gone away except perhaps some that were buried.  Most metals would have 
rusted by now.  Perhaps the roads would retain a recognizable form, but I am 
not sure this would be true after 100 million years passes.


Jed, unless the robots hunt all of us down and finish us off, I think that we 
will have some of our species retained.  Maybe this is a job that the 
benevolent aliens will take on.  Then again, maybe we are in their zoo at the 
moment on Earth.   Wouldn't that be a twist of fate.


I doubt a nuclear war would put an end to all of us.  A large asteroid might be 
a different problem.


Dave






-----Original Message-----
From: Jed Rothwell <[email protected]>
To: vortex-l <[email protected]>
Sent: Mon, Feb 25, 2013 6:22 pm
Subject: Re: [Vo]:Tech Predictions


David Roberson <[email protected]> wrote:


We have survived this long by some means so I assume that we will continue to 
do so into the future.


I do not see the logic of that! That is like saying we have survived countless 
wars, so why should we worry about a full-scale nuclear war?


In 1914 people said war is war, machine guns will not make much difference, and 
valor will win the day just as it always has. They were wrong. 9 million 
soldiers were killed. Valor made no difference in the face of artillery and 
poison gas.



Technology can profoundly affect the nature of war, or domestic violence, for 
that matter. Suppose those autonomous little cold fusion powered robot killing 
machines I have predicted become possible. Suppose they become very cheap and 
reliable. Anyone, anywhere will be able to murder anyone else. I mean anyone 
anywhere in the world, without getting caught, and without leaving a trace of 
evidence. Think about that if you want a case of the heebee jeebees! Think of 
all the people who want to kill political leaders. Or the jihadists who have it 
in for authors such as Rusdie, and film makers. Or any disgruntled ex-husband, 
or some nut who has it in for one group or another: homosexuals, black people, 
Catholic School girls . . .


I can think of many other nightmare scenarios. I put a few in my book. I left 
out some, too.



I do not think cold fusion can easily be used to make small nuclear bombs. But 
if it can, it might lead to worst catastrophe in human history. I have been 
aware of this for a long time. I discussed it with Martin Fleischmann and 
others. As I said, we have been thinking about ways to deal with the problem. 
There may not be any good way!


- Jed



 

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