Jim,

Thanks for the AIRBURST reference.


On Tue, Mar 5, 2013 at 1:05 PM, James Bowery <jabow...@gmail.com> wrote:

> Sandia Labs has done extensive modeling of the dynamics of meteor
> explosions and even has some pretty numeric visualizations for your viewing
> joy:
>
> https://share.sandia.gov/news/resources/releases/2007/asteroid.html
>
>
> On Tue, Mar 5, 2013 at 11:43 AM, ChemE Stewart <cheme...@gmail.com> wrote:
>
>> I understand kinetic energy, but a kinetic energy weapon is designed to
>> slam into something, the meteor did not hit anything  As far as I can tell
>> the largest piece made a round hole in the lake.  The damage was done from
>> a shockwave from a blast.
>>
>> This was not a kinetic energy weapon, it exploded.
>>
>> Some kinetic weapons for targeting objects in 
>> spaceflight<http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Spaceflight>
>>  are anti-satellite 
>> weapons<http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anti-satellite_weapon>
>>  and anti-ballistic 
>> missiles<http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anti-ballistic_missile>.
>> Since in order to reach an object in orbit it is necessary to attain an
>> extremely high velocity, their released kinetic energy alone is enough to
>> destroy their target; explosives are not necessary. For example: the energy
>> of TNT <http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Trinitrotoluene> is 4.6 MJ/kg, and
>> the energy of a kinetic kill vehicle with a closing speed of 10 km/s is of
>> 50 MJ/kg. This saves costly weight and there is no 
>> detonation<http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Detonation> to
>> be precisely timed. This method, however, requires direct contact with the
>> target, which requires a more accurate 
>> trajectory<http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Trajectory>.
>> Some hit-to-kill warheads are additionally equipped with an explosive
>> directional warhead to enhance the kill probability (e.g. Israeli 
>> Arrow<http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Arrow_(Israeli_missile)> missile
>> or U.S.Patriot 
>> PAC-3<http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/MIM-104_Patriot#MIM-104F_.28PAC-3.29>
>> ).
>>
>>
>> On Tue, Mar 5, 2013 at 12:30 PM, James Bowery <jabow...@gmail.com> wrote:
>>
>>> ChemE, I can't recommend arithmetic highly enough to you:
>>>
>>> 10000ton*.5*(30000mph)^2?ton_explosive
>>> ([10000 * tonm] * 0.5) * ([30000 * mph]^2) ? ton_explosive
>>> = 194988.5 ton_explosive
>>>
>>>
>>> http://www.testardi.com/rich/calchemy2/
>>>
>>>
>>> On Tue, Mar 5, 2013 at 11:18 AM, ChemE Stewart <cheme...@gmail.com>wrote:
>>>
>>>> But something exploded with the force of 30 Hiroshima bombs, I don't
>>>> believe a sonic boom can do that
>>>>
>>>>
>>>> On Tuesday, March 5, 2013, James Bowery wrote:
>>>>
>>>>> Yes you missed something.  You missed this part of my post:
>>>>>
>>>>> the motive of concocting such a coincidence would be to telegraph a 
>>>>> message to intelligence agencies that "You will notice we sent the 
>>>>> asteroid's little brother in a controlled
>>>>> shallow-angle entry.  Think what we could have done?  Notice, also, how 
>>>>> we've made your politicians who posit a US weapon system look like 
>>>>> baffoons
>>>>> -- we still possess plausible deniability hiding behind an "act of God" 
>>>>> propaganda."  This has the Heinleinesque feature that it may be a bluff
>>>>> based on a very limited capacity to actually deliver such kinetic energy 
>>>>> weapons from nonterrestrial resources -- a limit that would be very very
>>>>> difficult for adversaries to place reasonable error bars on.
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>> Foreign policy implications are still at issue here but, for crying
>>>>> out loud, aren't there enough potential reasons for conflict between 
>>>>> Russia
>>>>> and the US?
>>>>>
>>>>> On Tue, Mar 5, 2013 at 10:54 AM, ChemE Stewart <cheme...@gmail.com>wrote:
>>>>>
>>>>> Are you saying the meteor itself was a kinetic  energy weapon?
>>>>>  Because it did not hit anything.  It exploded.  Am I missing something?
>>>>>
>>>>> A *kinetic energy penetrator* (also known as a *KE weapon*) is a type
>>>>> of ammunition <http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ammunition> which, like a
>>>>> bullet <http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bullet>, does not contain
>>>>> explosives <http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Explosive> and uses kinetic
>>>>> energy <http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kinetic_energy> to penetrate the
>>>>> target.
>>>>>
>>>>> Stewart
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>> On Tuesday, March 5, 2013, James Bowery wrote:
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>> On Tue, Mar 5, 2013 at 9:57 AM, Jed Rothwell <jedrothw...@gmail.com>wrote:
>>>>>
>>>>> James Bowery wrote:
>>>>>
>>>>>  At this point I'm not really interested in confirmation.  I have all
>>>>> the confirmation I need to summarily reject the "sheer coincidence"
>>>>> explanation with just the two events.
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>> It seems to me you have to have a plausible mechanism to confirm that
>>>>> something is not a coincidence. You have to show how these two rocks
>>>>> affected one-another, or came from the same place. Statistics alone cannot
>>>>> prove a connection. Certainly not in this case, since there are many
>>>>> undiscovered rocks in space.
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>> I agree proximately but disagree ultimately.
>>>>>
>>>>> By proximate agreement, I agree that if one does not have an
>>>>> explanation that is at least as plausible as "sheer coincidence" then one
>>>>> has to behave, in some sense, as though one was merely very unlucky to 
>>>>> have
>>>>> witnessed such a low probability event with nearly eschatological
>>>>> ramifications.
>>>>>
>>>>> By ultimate disagreement, simple application of decision tree
>>>>> discipline demands that one invest some resources in discovering a common
>>>>> cause, whether artificial or natural, that is at least as plausible as the
>>>>> "sheer coincidence" hypothesis -- which is, on its face, not very 
>>>>> plausible.
>>>>>
>>>>> I already made that investment and have satisfied myself there is an
>>>>> artificial explanation that is at least as plausible as the "sheer
>>>>> coincidence" hypothesis.
>>>>>
>>>>> Apparently you missed it:
>>>>>
>>>>> <http://www.mail-archive.com/vortex-l@eskimo.com/msg77055.html>
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>
>>
>

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