At this point I'm not really interested in confirmation. I have all the confirmation I need to summarily reject the "sheer coincidence" explanation with just the two events. I'm interested in anything that would tend to disconfirm -- say evidence that atmospheric entry events of this magnitude are a _lot_ more frequent than currently available data suggest. A smaller meteroid passing at a distance that is 10 times the distance of2012 DA14 is in the noise either way.
On Mon, Mar 4, 2013 at 10:14 AM, ChemE Stewart <[email protected]> wrote: > Jim, > > Have you tried to plug this additional Russian sized asteroid into your > probability model that they just found a couple of days ago passing between > us and the moon? > > > http://science.nbcnews.com/_news/2013/03/03/17171923-another-asteroid-similar-to-russian-meteor-zooming-past-us-harmlessly?lite > > 1860 was the "Year of Meteors" following the largest solar flare event > known. PannSTARRS is soon to zoom past Earth (100 Million miles away) > approaching the Sun, I hope everyone behaves. > > Stewart > > > On Fri, Mar 1, 2013 at 1:54 PM, James Bowery <[email protected]> wrote: > >> I'm overwhelmed by just the 16 hour span of 2 rare-event coincidence and >> am loathe to incorporate more as both a lot of work to validate and as well >> as unnecessary to already put me in a state of mind that I'd rather not >> deal with given the need to pay rent. >> >> >> On Fri, Mar 1, 2013 at 12:36 PM, Jouni Valkonen >> <[email protected]>wrote: >> >>> James, >>> >>> I think that you should also consider that 2014 Mars comet flyby that is >>> once in hundred million years event especially if it is going to hit the >>> planet. Odd coincidence or is it just about pushing the Earth's space >>> program ahead! >>> >>> If you have not yet read this Landis paper, I would recommend to read it >>> because we must become a multiplanetary species. >>> >>> >>> *Colonization of Venus* (by Geoffrey A. Landis) >>> ABSTRACT: *Although the surface of Venus is an extremely hostile >>> environment, at about 50 kilometers above the surface the atmosphere of >>> Venus is the most earthlike environment (other than Earth itself) in the >>> solar system. It is proposed here that in the near term, human exploration >>> of Venus could take place from aerostat vehicles in the atmosphere, and >>> that in the long term, permanent settlements could be made in the form of >>> cities designed to float at about fifty kilometer altitude in the >>> atmosphere of Venus.* >>> >>> http://ntrs.nasa.gov/archive/nasa/casi.ntrs.nasa.gov/20030022668_2003025525.pdf >>> >>> —Jouni >>> >> >> >
